RobertSoos

USDNOK - inflation + double top support my short view

Short
RobertSoos Mis à jour   
FX:USDNOK   U.S. Dollar/Norwegian Krone
+ NOK inflation above consensus 3.4% (yoy) -> fundamental support
+/- DXY in sideways around 95 level
+ September 20th interest rate decision: hike to 0.75% expected -> market hasnt priced it fully yet

- Double top too obvious -> short stops still can be hit
- 50d EMA is near support -> breakdown needed
Transaction en cours:
-Stop modified above the H4 pullback level @ 8.2650
-Targeting further lows @ 8.02 -> trying to follow H4 20EMA
Transaction en cours:
-Today Norges Bank raised rates, said to continue gradually in 2019 Q1 as expected
-Market reaction was typical: USDNOK spiked up 1.5%, most intraday stops were triggered
-My stop was 2% away from the low ahead of the risk event
- Daily 61.8% is my target
Trade fermée: cible de profit atteinte:
Emotional close: sitting in profit for 3 weeks in this cross, fear of giving back gain
Technically: not even 2H 50DMA got broken -> did not want to risk a bigger pullback

Clause de non-responsabilité

Les informations et les publications ne sont pas destinées à être, et ne constituent pas, des conseils ou des recommandations en matière de finance, d'investissement, de trading ou d'autres types de conseils fournis ou approuvés par TradingView. Pour en savoir plus, consultez les Conditions d'utilisation.