Simple chart.
As you can see, US Inflation has often formed a bullish convergence pattern on it's derived RSI that has been a good predictor of several inflation bottoms.
We have one right now as you can see.
The problem is, that usually, inflation prints this signature when inflation is significantly below targets.
This time, inflation is printing ABOVE targets.
This means if inflation bounces here we can expect another burst of significantly above-target inflation.
Which, logically, means we should not expect rate cuts any time soon.
Either that, or we end up with a weak FED that won't do a U-turn on their rate cut plans, and they cut rates INTO an inflation bounce.
Which is obviously going to be a disaster.
Watch this chart carefully over the next few months going into Q4.
As you can see, US Inflation has often formed a bullish convergence pattern on it's derived RSI that has been a good predictor of several inflation bottoms.
We have one right now as you can see.
The problem is, that usually, inflation prints this signature when inflation is significantly below targets.
This time, inflation is printing ABOVE targets.
This means if inflation bounces here we can expect another burst of significantly above-target inflation.
Which, logically, means we should not expect rate cuts any time soon.
Either that, or we end up with a weak FED that won't do a U-turn on their rate cut plans, and they cut rates INTO an inflation bounce.
Which is obviously going to be a disaster.
Watch this chart carefully over the next few months going into Q4.
Clause de non-responsabilité
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Clause de non-responsabilité
Les informations et les publications ne sont pas destinées à être, et ne constituent pas, des conseils ou des recommandations en matière de finance, d'investissement, de trading ou d'autres types de conseils fournis ou approuvés par TradingView. Pour en savoir plus, consultez les Conditions d'utilisation.