wsbza

Turning Point?

wsbza Mis à jour   
FX:USOIL   CFDs sur Pétrole brut (WTI)
It might be bit early to call the end of bullish rally since late December 2018. But we could certainly have a count that shows wave (C) of {B} has reached it's peak.
Commentaire:
But the above count does not necessarily mean the start of the multi months bear market, here is an alternative count
Commentaire:
possible Long-term wave count
Commentaire:
Divergence between RSI & Price, but price is still trading above the blue up trend line
Commentaire:
short-term count
Commentaire:
any push above 64.72 would argue either wave 4 or wave 5 is under way
Commentaire:
Commentaire:
break below the blue wave {i} low at 60.04 would indicate wave {iii} decline is under way
Commentaire:
there are two possible bearish counts: either 1-2 or 1-2 plus {i}-{ii}
Commentaire:
Commentaire:
The '1-2' scenario also has two possible counts
flat {b} of 2
triangle {b} of 2
Commentaire:
break below 62.09 ( end of wave (i) of {c} of 2) would indicate blue wave {c} is done
Commentaire:
The '1-2 plus {i}-{ii}' scenario
Commentaire:
Commentaire:
also notice that price has failed number of times to climb back above the uptrend line
Commentaire:
Therefore I think it's less likely to see another wave 5 of (C). A solid close below $60.02 (6 May low) would confirm the above bearish counts.
Commentaire:
is wave 3 ready to explode?
Commentaire:
Short-term count
Commentaire:
daily chart
Commentaire:
we could also assume the 1-2 is one degree higher and count the structure as follows
Commentaire:
Commentaire:
possible short-term counts:
either
or
Commentaire:
Commentaire:
alternative count
Commentaire:
Commentaire:
wave {iv} under way?
Commentaire:
Commentaire:
wave (iv) could be a triangle
Commentaire:
Commentaire:
possible short-term counts:
wave 3 done ( or if 1-2 = (1)-(2), then 3 = 1 of (3) )
Commentaire:
or wave (i)-(ii) of {v}
Commentaire:
immediate break above end of wave {iv} at $53.36 would eliminate the above (i)-(ii) scenario
Commentaire:
Commentaire:
wave 4 or wave 2 of (3)
Commentaire:
Commentaire:
triangle
or flat?
Commentaire:
triangle
or flat
Commentaire:
Commentaire:
{a}-{b}-{c} flat with a diagonal wave {c}?
Commentaire:
Commentaire:
or an impulse wave {c}
Commentaire:
Commentaire:
possible short-term count
Commentaire:
possible short-term count
Commentaire:
either way
Commentaire:
Commentaire:
let's see if guppy ema could trigger the bearish signal
Commentaire:
a solid close below wave (iv) low at $57.73 would also argue wave 2 has reached it's peak
Commentaire:
Commentaire:
break below wave {a}(of 2) high at $54.80 would confirm the above bearish count
Commentaire:
possible short-term count
Commentaire:
key resistance at $58.32 as wave iv should not breach the end of wave i
Commentaire:
possible short-term counts
or
Commentaire:
note the rally from recent low at 56.03 is contained within a parallel channel
Commentaire:
triple zigzag?
Commentaire:
Commentaire:
Need to see an impulsive decline to break below the end of wave x at 57.30
Commentaire:
Commentaire:
alternative count
Commentaire:
possible short-term count
Commentaire:
possible short-term count
Commentaire:
Commentaire:
either pink A-B-C complete (Y) or grey (1)-(2) then {i}-{ii}
Commentaire:
Commentaire:
Note on 11 July, i assumed the following two scenarios:
Bullish A-B-C for wave (Y)
Bearish (1)-(2)
Commentaire:
the bullish count is no longer valid, simply because wave B of a zigzag can never move beyond the start of wave A
Commentaire:
Commentaire:
possible short term counts
Commentaire:
bearish green {i}-{ii}-(i)-(ii)
OR
bullish grey A-B-C flat for wave (2)
Commentaire:
Commentaire:
Commentaire:
Commentaire:
no change
Commentaire:
Complex flat for wave (2)
Simple flat for wave (2)
Commentaire:
OR even a more complex correction for wave (2) , e.g. double three combination where wave Y is a triangle
Commentaire:
Flat
or Combination
Commentaire:
there are some bullish possibilities
or
Commentaire:
medium term expectations
OR

'When you have eliminated the impossible, whatever remains, however improbable must be the truth.'


Email:info@ewc.space
Clause de non-responsabilité

Les informations et les publications ne sont pas destinées à être, et ne constituent pas, des conseils ou des recommandations en matière de finance, d'investissement, de trading ou d'autres types de conseils fournis ou approuvés par TradingView. Pour en savoir plus, consultez les Conditions d'utilisation.