oversold & signs for a recovery..
rising volatility is now problem for the market - SPY made a slightly new ATH. normaly we should see a fight
between bulls & bears here. if the bears win -a bigger rise would be normal. otherwise a rangebound trading with no clear st trend leads also to a rising vola..
rising volatility is now problem for the market - SPY made a slightly new ATH. normaly we should see a fight
between bulls & bears here. if the bears win -a bigger rise would be normal. otherwise a rangebound trading with no clear st trend leads also to a rising vola..
overall - we saw a rishing vola. now again at lowest levels..
a view in the future.
a) market made a double top an we´ll see a deeper set back / trend reversal = rising vola
b) market is about to make new ath´s the next weeks = vola will NOT rise!
vola strategy st sell bear spread otm mt long bull spread otm
if we see a new high in spy = long bull spread changing in butterfly - short bear spread hedging with a long bear spread atm/itm for the long leg....