Mohsen-Razavi

Yearly analysis: I see decades of bearish...

Short
OANDA:XAUUSD   Or / Dollar Américain
On the yearly timeframe, we're witnessing formation of a massive double top. A double in the area of ~1900 (±50).
There's a high probability that Gold will move towards the neckline of this probable double top (1200-1300 area).

Everything depends on the next few years:

Strong breakout of the neckline (1200-1300), aligned with vigorous US funds and DXY in a good shape, means investors of the new world have finally found industries and social/national investments far more profitable than safe haven assets. In this scenario, I see some targets around 600-700 for XAU.

In another scenario, 1200-1300 area lowers the momentum, meaning safe haven assets are not so east-to-defeat ! Takes a longer time.

Anyway, in both scenarios, I see really high probability of retesting 1200-1300 area. However, it's on the yearly timeframe, slow, but steady...
Clause de non-responsabilité

Les informations et les publications ne sont pas destinées à être, et ne constituent pas, des conseils ou des recommandations en matière de finance, d'investissement, de trading ou d'autres types de conseils fournis ou approuvés par TradingView. Pour en savoir plus, consultez les Conditions d'utilisation.