OPEN-SOURCE SCRIPT
Bitcoin Cost Of Production

Description
This indicator estimates a Bitcoin “Cost Floor” proxy using network difficulty as a substitute for direct energy costs. The goal is not to compute real-world mining costs, but to display a structural cost-pressure baseline derived from on-chain and market data.
The model is intentionally simple and uses two externally fitted parameters (alpha, k).
No fitting is performed inside Pine.
How the model works
The cost proxy is defined as:
Cost Floor = alpha ⋅ Difficulty^k / Issuance
Inputs:
• Difficulty (GLASSNODE:BTC_DIFFICULTY)
• Issuance = Subsidy ⋅ Blocks Mined + Fees_BTC
Parameters (fitted externally in Python):
• alpha: scaling factor to map the proxy into price space (USD).
• k: damping exponent on difficulty. This reduces the sensitivity of the model to long-term technological progress and efficiency gains in mining hardware.
What the indicator displays
• Smoothed Cost Floor (purple)
• Cost Zone (purple zone): Cost × 1.2
• Raw Cost Floor (yellow, optional)
How to use it
This is not a timing tool. It provides a macro context for where price trades relative to a difficulty/issuance-based cost-pressure proxy.
It may be useful for:
• cycle context (stress vs relief regimes)
• comparing price drawdowns against a structural baseline
• studying long-term support behavior during miner stress phases
Important notes
• This indicator does not repaint.
• This script is designed only for INDEX:BTCUSD.
• It does not provide trading signals or financial advice.
This indicator estimates a Bitcoin “Cost Floor” proxy using network difficulty as a substitute for direct energy costs. The goal is not to compute real-world mining costs, but to display a structural cost-pressure baseline derived from on-chain and market data.
The model is intentionally simple and uses two externally fitted parameters (alpha, k).
No fitting is performed inside Pine.
How the model works
The cost proxy is defined as:
Cost Floor = alpha ⋅ Difficulty^k / Issuance
Inputs:
• Difficulty (GLASSNODE:BTC_DIFFICULTY)
• Issuance = Subsidy ⋅ Blocks Mined + Fees_BTC
Parameters (fitted externally in Python):
• alpha: scaling factor to map the proxy into price space (USD).
• k: damping exponent on difficulty. This reduces the sensitivity of the model to long-term technological progress and efficiency gains in mining hardware.
What the indicator displays
• Smoothed Cost Floor (purple)
• Cost Zone (purple zone): Cost × 1.2
• Raw Cost Floor (yellow, optional)
How to use it
This is not a timing tool. It provides a macro context for where price trades relative to a difficulty/issuance-based cost-pressure proxy.
It may be useful for:
• cycle context (stress vs relief regimes)
• comparing price drawdowns against a structural baseline
• studying long-term support behavior during miner stress phases
Important notes
• This indicator does not repaint.
• This script is designed only for INDEX:BTCUSD.
• It does not provide trading signals or financial advice.
Script open-source
Dans l'esprit TradingView, le créateur de ce script l'a rendu open source afin que les traders puissent examiner et vérifier ses fonctionnalités. Bravo à l'auteur! Bien que vous puissiez l'utiliser gratuitement, n'oubliez pas que la republication du code est soumise à nos Règles.
Clause de non-responsabilité
Les informations et publications ne sont pas destinées à être, et ne constituent pas, des conseils ou recommandations financiers, d'investissement, de trading ou autres fournis ou approuvés par TradingView. Pour en savoir plus, consultez les Conditions d'utilisation.
Script open-source
Dans l'esprit TradingView, le créateur de ce script l'a rendu open source afin que les traders puissent examiner et vérifier ses fonctionnalités. Bravo à l'auteur! Bien que vous puissiez l'utiliser gratuitement, n'oubliez pas que la republication du code est soumise à nos Règles.
Clause de non-responsabilité
Les informations et publications ne sont pas destinées à être, et ne constituent pas, des conseils ou recommandations financiers, d'investissement, de trading ou autres fournis ou approuvés par TradingView. Pour en savoir plus, consultez les Conditions d'utilisation.