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Adaptive Realized Volatility by Ibotrade Strategies

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# Adaptive Realized Volatility (ARV) by Ibotrade Strategies™
**BuildRef: ARV-2.0 | Pine v6**

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## What It Does
A **clean, adaptive volatility gauge** that:
- Smooths realized volatility using an **EWMA** (lambda auto-adjusts on spikes)
- Filters microstructure noise via median-based outlier removal
- Colors **price candles** in real time:
- **Green** = Low-vol regime (below 20th percentile)
- **Red** = High-vol/stress regime (above 80th percentile)
- **Yellow** = Neutral
- Plots the **ARV curve** with **dynamic ±1σ bands** (adjustable width & opacity)
- Labels **"CALM"** and **"STRESS"** entries automatically
- Fires **3 types of volatility-expansion alerts** (EMA cross, new N-high, % jump)

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## Key Inputs
| Input | Default | Purpose |
|-------|--------|--------|
| Lookback Window | 20 | Core volatility calculation period |
| Base EWMA Lambda | 0.94 | Smoothing (drops to 0.70 on spikes) |
| Spike Detection Mult. | 3.0 | Flags extreme moves |
| Microstructure Filter | 5.0 × median | Removes noise |
| Band Multiplier | 0.35 | Controls band width |
| Percentile Lookback | 100 | Regime thresholds (20th/80th) |

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## Example: NVDA Daily (Nov 2024 – Nov 2025)
![NVDA with Ibotrade ARV v2.0](attachment:nvda_arv_chart.png)
*Green candles = calm accumulation, red = stress/distribution, yellow = transition. ARV line in yellow/red/green with gray bands.*

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## How to Use
1. **Add to any chart** (works best on **daily / 4H**)
2. Watch **candle color shifts** for regime changes
3. Enter **longs in green zones**, avoid **red stress zones**
4. Use **band breakouts** or **STRESS labels** as risk-off signals
5. Set **alerts** for vol expansion (great for options or position sizing)

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## Alerts Included
- `High Vol Breakout` – ARV crosses above 80th percentile
- `Low Vol Calm` – ARV drops below 20th percentile
- `Vol Exp - Cross EMA` / `New N-High` / `Pct Jump` – Early expansion signals

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## License
**Mozilla Public License 2.0 (MPL-2.0)** – Open source, free to use & modify
*Not financial advice. Use at your own risk.*

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**Created by Ibotrade Strategies™**
Feedback & feature requests welcome in the comments!

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Clause de non-responsabilité

Les informations et les publications ne sont pas destinées à être, et ne constituent pas, des conseils ou des recommandations en matière de finance, d'investissement, de trading ou d'autres types de conseils fournis ou approuvés par TradingView. Pour en savoir plus, consultez les Conditions d'utilisation.