OPEN-SOURCE SCRIPT
BTC -50% Crash to Recovery Zone
General Overview This is a macro-analysis tool designed to visualize the true duration of Bitcoin’s "Suffering & Recovery Cycles." Unlike standard oscillators that only signal oversold conditions, this script highlights the entire timeline required for the market to flush out leverage and return to All-Time Highs (ATH).
Operational Logic The algorithm tracks Bitcoin’s historical All-Time High (ATH).
The Trigger: It activates automatically when the price drops 50% below the last recorded ATH.
The "Recovery Zone": Once triggered, the chart background turns red (indicating a "Drawdown" state). This zone remains active persistently, even during intermediate relief rallies.
The Reset: The zone deactivates only when the price breaks above the previous ATH, marking the official start of a new Price Discovery phase.
How to Read It
Red Background: We are officially in a Bear Market or Recovery Phase. The asset is technically "underwater." For the long-term investor with a low time preference, this visually defines the accumulation window.
Red Horizontal Line: Indicates the "Target." This is the exact price level of the old ATH that Bitcoin must reclaim to close the bearish cycle.
No Background Color: We are in Price Discovery. The market is healthy and pushing for new highs.
The Financial Lesson This indicator visually demonstrates a fundamental market truth: "Price takes the elevator down, but takes the stairs up." It shows that after a halving of value (-50%), Bitcoin may take months or years to recover previous levels, helping investors filter out the noise of short-term pumps that fail to break the macro-bearish structure.
Operational Logic The algorithm tracks Bitcoin’s historical All-Time High (ATH).
The Trigger: It activates automatically when the price drops 50% below the last recorded ATH.
The "Recovery Zone": Once triggered, the chart background turns red (indicating a "Drawdown" state). This zone remains active persistently, even during intermediate relief rallies.
The Reset: The zone deactivates only when the price breaks above the previous ATH, marking the official start of a new Price Discovery phase.
How to Read It
Red Background: We are officially in a Bear Market or Recovery Phase. The asset is technically "underwater." For the long-term investor with a low time preference, this visually defines the accumulation window.
Red Horizontal Line: Indicates the "Target." This is the exact price level of the old ATH that Bitcoin must reclaim to close the bearish cycle.
No Background Color: We are in Price Discovery. The market is healthy and pushing for new highs.
The Financial Lesson This indicator visually demonstrates a fundamental market truth: "Price takes the elevator down, but takes the stairs up." It shows that after a halving of value (-50%), Bitcoin may take months or years to recover previous levels, helping investors filter out the noise of short-term pumps that fail to break the macro-bearish structure.
Script open-source
Dans l'esprit TradingView, le créateur de ce script l'a rendu open source afin que les traders puissent examiner et vérifier ses fonctionnalités. Bravo à l'auteur! Bien que vous puissiez l'utiliser gratuitement, n'oubliez pas que la republication du code est soumise à nos Règles.
Clause de non-responsabilité
Les informations et publications ne sont pas destinées à être, et ne constituent pas, des conseils ou recommandations financiers, d'investissement, de trading ou autres fournis ou approuvés par TradingView. Pour en savoir plus, consultez les Conditions d'utilisation.
Script open-source
Dans l'esprit TradingView, le créateur de ce script l'a rendu open source afin que les traders puissent examiner et vérifier ses fonctionnalités. Bravo à l'auteur! Bien que vous puissiez l'utiliser gratuitement, n'oubliez pas que la republication du code est soumise à nos Règles.
Clause de non-responsabilité
Les informations et publications ne sont pas destinées à être, et ne constituent pas, des conseils ou recommandations financiers, d'investissement, de trading ou autres fournis ou approuvés par TradingView. Pour en savoir plus, consultez les Conditions d'utilisation.