This Pine Script indicator calculates the **Value at Risk (VaR)** using the **Historical Method** to help traders understand potential losses during a given period( Chart Timeframe) with a specific level of confidence.
What is Value at Risk (VaR) ? Value at Risk (VaR) is a measure used in finance to estimate the potential loss in value of an asset, portfolio, or investment over a specific time period, given normal market conditions, and at a certain confidence level.
Example: Suppose you invest ₹1,00,000 in stocks. A VaR of 5% at a 95% confidence level means: - There is a **95% chance** that you won’t lose more than **₹5,000** in a day. - Conversely, there is a **5% chance** that your loss could exceed ₹5,000 in a day.
VaR is a helpful tool for understanding risk and making informed investment decisions!
How It Works:
1. The indicator calculates the percentage difference between consecutive bars.
2. The differences are sorted, and the VaR is determined based on the assurance level you specify.
3. A label displays the VaR value on the chart, indicating the potential maximum loss with the selected assurance level within one period eg - ( 1h, 4h , 1D, 1W, 1M etc as per your chart timeframe )
Key Features:
- Customizable Assurance Level: Set the confidence level (e.g., 95%) to determine the probability of loss.
-Historical Approach: Uses the past percentage changes in price to calculate the risk.
-Clear Insights: Displays the calculated VaR value on the chart with an informative tooltip explaining the risk.
Use this tool to better understand your market exposure and manage risk!
Dans le plus pur esprit TradingView, l'auteur de ce script l'a publié en open-source, afin que les traders puissent le comprendre et le vérifier. Bravo à l'auteur! Vous pouvez l'utiliser gratuitement, mais la réutilisation de ce code dans une publication est régie par nos Règles. Vous pouvez le mettre en favori pour l'utiliser sur un graphique.
Les informations et les publications ne sont pas destinées à être, et ne constituent pas, des conseils ou des recommandations en matière de finance, d'investissement, de trading ou d'autres types de conseils fournis ou approuvés par TradingView. Pour en savoir plus, consultez les Conditions d'utilisation.