Directional Momentum Flux Strategy

5 août 2019

Directional Momentum Flux (DMF) is a compound indicator designed to surface signals of projected change in directional momentum. The primary goal is to identify possible momentum inflection points and signal them before they happen, which is reached by applying a set of well-known high-level indicators (e.g. DEMA, RSIs, CCIs and VWAP), lower-level indicators (e.g. BOP, PPO and RMOMO), and some special sauce brewed in-house by yours truly.

This strategy is invite-only. Invitations are offered for a one-time fee of $250 payable in several cryptocurrencies (ETH, BTC, DASH, XMR or ZEC). Once you've got an invitation, you will automatically receive updates forever*.

DMF was designed to work across multiple asset classes. Extensive backtesting has been performed over multiple sample series (not just during the bull runs, for example) and against a randomized pool of assets. But don't take my word for it, I've included some time-based backtesting support tools to make it easy-peasy for you to validate the results yourself!

Under the hood, DMF is powered by numerous indicators, including:

✓ Double EMA & Composite SMA;
✓ Double RSI (fast & slow, variable);
✓ Composite StochRSI & VWAP (StochRSI+, two series);
✓ Composite Commodity Channel Index (CCI+, two series);
✓ Volume-Weighted Balance of Power (BOP itself was adapted from BOP_LB, kudos to LazyBear);
✓ Percentage Price Oscillator (PPO, split, two series);
✓ Range-adjusted Momentum Oscillator (RMOMO, my fancy MOM variant);

It crunches all that data and generates signals which are issued in two ways:

✓ Vertical Bands (or VBs) - Entry/Exit windows as vertical bands that remain "lit" (e.g. the background of a series of candles is semi-opaque white) while the top-level signals are showing sufficiently strong BUY signals. These windows are the primary entry/exit targets and can be relied upon with sufficient risk mitigation (e.g. a reasonable stop-loss or other scale-out exit mechanism). A VB followed immediately by an egg is as good as gold.
✓ Eggs - Entry/Exit validation signals that confirm the condition indicated by VBs. A lit VB without an egg in the same or next candle session is considered to be valid, but not safe (see above warning). Waiting for an egg can improve performance at the risk of missing the best possible entry point. Consider your risk tolerance and act accordingly.


Basic Instructions:

✓ Configure The Settings! The defaults are pretty good, but don't be scared to try variations. For example, by default SHORT positions are disabled. You might want to enable them if your risk tolerance allows them. (IMO there's gold on both ends of the rainbow. 🌈)
✓ Pay attention to the VBs. If you see a lit band being placed in an otherwise dark area, it's a projected inflection point. This is expected to be validated and confirmed in the same or immediately following period with an egg. You can enter a LONG position at this time.
✓ Pay attention to the eggs. If you see an egg, it's a confirmation that the VB changes in the same or immediately preceding candle period is valid. If you did not enter or exit your position at the point of the VB shift, now is the time to do so.
✓ Watch for the end of a VB period and be prepared to exit your position quickly as the next egg may be accompanied by a large directional momentum inflection.


Things to Note:

📉 - DMF is designed for day trading with aggressive position TTLs (15m was the upper bound during development and strategy testing). It appears to issue valid signals for other intervals, but it was not designed for >15m and YMMV. Don't go manually opening a LONG with no exit strategy and go to sleep... it probably won't work out to your benefit. You should be prepared to exit positions at any time. (Pro tip: automation is your friend!)

💸 - DMF indicator is not free from risk. As with all investment strategies, it is crucial to exercise caution and only trade with funds you are comfortable losing. DMF does not offer any form of guarantee or warranty, implied or otherwise. If you lose money, your house, your 401K... that's on you. (Pro tip: don't risk anything you're not ready to lose, because losses are part of the game and you WILL have them.)

🤔 - By using this indicator, you understand that any and all risks are the sole and complete responsibility of the end user (yeah, that's you). Don't use it if you're not 100% clear that you know exactly what you're doing. (Pro tip: always ask questions if you're feeling confused.)

⏱ - * Forever in this context means that, where room for improvement exists, I will improve it over time and you'll get all updates until I stop making them. (Pro tip: nobody lives forever.)

9 oct. 2022

Notes de version

Improved controls