Futures Fighter MO: Multi-Confluence Day Trading System ADX/SMI

👋 Strategy Overview: The Multi-Confluence Mashup

The Futures Fighter MO is a comprehensive, multi-layered day trading strategy designed for experienced traders focusing on high-liquidity futures contracts (e.g., NQ, ES, R2K).

This strategy is a sophisticated mashup that uses the 1-minute chart for surgical entries while enforcing strict environmental filtering through higher-timeframe data. We aim to capture high-conviction moves only when multiple, uncorrelated signals align.


🧠 How the Logic Works (Concepts & Confluence)

Our logic is built on four pillars, which must align for a trade to be executed:

Primary Trend Filter

Indicators:
ADX/DMI (15-Minute Lookback)
Role:
Price action is filtered to ensure the ADX (17/14) is above 25, confirming a strong, prevailing market trend (Bullish or Bearish). Trades are strictly rejected during "Flat" (sideways) market regimes.

Entry Signal Types

The system uses multiple entry types:
- 🟢 Trend Long/Short: A breakout/rejection near the 200-Period EMA is confirmed by the primary ADX trend.
- 🔴 Engulfing Rejection: A strong signal when a Bullish/Bearish Engulfing or Doji prints near the long-term 500-Period EMA (emaGOD) while the Stochastic Momentum Index (SMI on 30M) is in an extreme overbought/oversold state (below $-40$ or above $40$).

Volatility & Volume Confirmation
Indicators: Average True Range (ATR) and 20-Period SMA of Volume
Role: Every entry requires a volume spike (Current Volume $> 1.5 \times$ SMA Volume) to confirm that the move is supported by significant liquidity. Volatility is tracked via ATR to define bar range and stop boundaries.

Structural Guardrails
Indicators: Daily Pivot Points (PP, S1-S3, R1-R3)
Role: Trades are disabled if the current bar's price range intersects with a Daily Pivot Point. This is a critical filter to avoid high-chop consolidation zones near key structural levels.


📊 Strategy Results & Required Disclosures

I strive to publish backtesting results that are transparent and realistic for the retail futures trader.

- Initial Capital: $50,000 - A realistic base for Mini/Micro futures contracts.
- Order Size: 1 Contract (Pyramiding up to 3) - Conservative risk relative to the account size.
- Commission: $0.11 USD per order - Represents realistic costs for low-cost brokers.
- Slippage: 2 Ticks - Accounts for expected market friction.

⚠️ Risk Management & Deviations

Stop-Loss: The strategy uses a dynamic stop-loss system where positions are closed upon a reversal (e.g., breaking the 50-Period EMA or failure to hold a Pivot Point), rather than a fixed tick-based stop. This is suited for experienced traders using a low relative risk (single Micro-contract entry) on a larger account. Users must confirm that the first entry's maximum potential loss remains below $10\%$ of their capital for compliance.

Trade Sample Size: Due to data limitations of the TradingView Essential plan (showing $\approx 50$ trades over 2 weeks), the sample size is under the ideal $100+$ target. Justification: This system is designed to generate signals across a portfolio of correlated futures markets (NQ, ES, R2K, Gold, Crude), meaning the real sample size for a user tracking the portfolio is significantly higher.

Drawdown Control: This strategy is designed for manual management. It requires the user to turn the script/alerts OFF after a significant drawdown and only reactivate it once a recovery trend is established externally.

The strategy uses a combination of dynamic trailing stops, structural support/resistance zones, and a fixed profit target to manage open positions.

🛑 Strategy Exit Logic

1. General Stop-Loss (Dynamic Trailing Stop)
These conditions act as the primary dynamic stop, closing the position if the market reverses past a key Moving Average (MA):
- Long Positions Closed When: The current bar's close crosses under the 50-Period EMA (emaLong).
- Short Positions Closed When: The current bar's close crosses above the 50-Period EMA (emaLong).

2. Profit Target (Fixed Percentage)
The script includes a general exit based on a user-defined profit percentage:
Take Profit Trigger: The position is closed when the currentProfitPercent meets or exceeds the input Profit Target (%) (default is 1.0% of the entry price).

3. Structural Exits (Daily Pivot Points)
These exits are high-priority, "close all" orders that trigger when the price fails to hold or reclaims a recent Daily Pivot Point, suggesting a failure of the current move.

- VR Close All - Long ($\sym{size} > 0$) - Price crosses under a Daily Resistance Level (R1, R2, or R3) minus 1 ATR within the last 10 bars. This indicates the current momentum failed to hold Resistance as support.

- VS Close All - Short ($\sym{size} < 0$) - Price crosses above a Daily Support Level (S1, S2, or S3) plus 1 ATR within the last 10 bars. This indicates the current momentum failed to hold Support as resistance.

4. Trend Failure Exit (Trend-Following Signals Only)
This exit protects against holding a position when the primary high-timeframe trend used for the entry has failed:

- Long Positions Closed When: The primary trend is no longer "bullish" for more than 2 consecutive bars (i.e., it turned "bearish" or "flat").
- Short Positions Closed When: The primary trend is no longer "bearish" for more than 2 consecutive bars (i.e., it turned "bullish" or "flat").

5. End of Day (EOD) Session Control

The final hard exits based on time:
- End of Session (EoS): At 11:30 AM, new trades are disabled (TradingDay := false). Open positions are kept.
- End of Day (EoD): At 1:30 PM, all remaining open positions are closed (strategy.close_all).


🤝 Development & Disclaimer

This script and description were created with assistance from Gemini and GitHub Copilot. My focus is on helping fellow real estate investors and day traders develop mechanically sound systems.

Disclaimer: This is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always abide by the Realtor Code and manage your own risk.