Price / 200 SMA Ratio (Pr) Indicator
The Price / 200 SMA Ratio (Pr) indicator is designed to help traders analyze the relationship between the current price and the 200-period Simple Moving Average (SMA). By calculating the ratio of the close price to the 200 SMA, the indicator provides a visual representation of how the price compares to the long-term trend, giving traders a clear view of potential overbought or oversold conditions.
How It Works:
Ratio Calculation:
The core of this indicator lies in the ratio between the current close price and the 200-period Simple Moving Average (SMA). The formula is straightforward:
Ratio = Close Price / 200 SMA
This ratio indicates whether the current price is above or below the long-term trend (the 200 SMA). A ratio greater than 1 means the price is above the 200 SMA, while a ratio below 1 suggests the price is below the 200 SMA.
Color-Coded Ratio Representation:
The ratio is displayed as a line on the chart with a color that changes dynamically based on the value of the ratio. The color-coding system helps quickly identify key levels:
Black: When the ratio is greater than 5, the price is significantly above the 200 SMA, indicating a highly overbought condition.
Red: When the ratio is greater than 3.5, it signals that the price is significantly above the long-term average but not in extreme territory.
Blue: When the ratio is less than 1, the price is below the 200 SMA, indicating that the market may be in an oversold condition.
Purple: When the ratio is below 0.7, it suggests an extremely oversold market, well below the long-term average.
Green: For values in between, the ratio is considered to be in a more neutral range, showing a balanced market position.
Horizontal Reference Lines:
To make the interpretation of the ratio easier, the indicator includes several reference lines plotted at key ratio levels. These lines help traders visualize specific price zones, giving them clear boundaries for potential trading decisions:
5 Zone (Black line): Marks an extremely high price level, indicating a highly overbought condition.
3.5 Zone (Red line): Represents the upper price zone, where prices are significantly higher than the 200 SMA.
2 Zone (Purple line): This line marks the mid-range of the ratio, providing a visual representation of the transition between overbought and oversold conditions.
1 Zone (Orange line): The 1.0 line is where the price equals the 200 SMA, indicating a balanced market. Prices above 1.0 are considered above average, and prices below 1.0 are below average.
0.7 Zone (Blue line): Represents a very low price level, suggesting an extremely oversold market.
Extra Low Zone (Green line): This line marks an even lower price level, indicating severe oversold conditions.
Background Coloring:
In addition to the ratio line and reference lines, the background color of the chart changes dynamically to provide additional context to the trader:
Red Background: When the ratio is greater than 3.5, the background becomes red, signaling an overbought market condition.
Blue Background: When the ratio is less than 1, the background turns blue, indicating a potential oversold market.
Black Background: If the ratio exceeds 5, the background will be black, signifying an extreme overbought condition.
Green Background: If the ratio drops below 0.7, the background turns green, highlighting an extremely oversold market.
Candle Coloring:
The indicator also changes the color of the individual price bars (candles) based on the ratio value:
Black Candles: When the ratio is greater than 5 or less than 0.7, the price bars are black to emphasize extreme conditions in the market.
White Candles: For all other values, the candles are white, representing a neutral market condition.
What This Indicator Tells You:
Overbought Conditions: When the ratio is significantly above 1 (especially greater than 3.5 or 5), it indicates that the price is far above the 200 SMA, suggesting that the market may be overbought and could experience a correction.
Oversold Conditions: When the ratio is significantly below 1 (especially below 0.7 or 0.5), it suggests that the price is far below the 200 SMA, indicating that the market may be oversold and could be due for a bounce.
Trend and Momentum: The ratio provides insight into the overall trend. If the ratio is consistently above 1, it means the price is generally in an uptrend, and if it’s below 1, it indicates a downtrend.
Why Use This Indicator?
The Price / 200 SMA Ratio indicator is a valuable tool for traders who want to gain insights into the strength or weakness of the price relative to the long-term trend (200 SMA). The color-coding system provides an easy-to-read visual cue, and the reference lines allow traders to identify key price levels where potential reversal or continuation could occur. It helps to spot areas of overbought or oversold conditions, making it ideal for traders looking to enter or exit positions based on extreme price movements.
By combining this indicator with other technical analysis tools, traders can enhance their strategy and make more informed decisions in the market.