OPEN-SOURCE SCRIPT
MARA / mNAV=1 (x)
What it does
This script overlays two signals on the MARA chart:
mNAV=1 fair-value line — the MARA price implied by Bitcoin NAV:
mNAV1 = (BTC price × BTC holdings) / MARA shares
Premium/Discount ratio — how far MARA trades vs. its NAV fair value:
Ratio = Close / mNAV1 (1.00 = fair; >1 = premium; <1 = discount)
Inputs
Shares outstanding (default: 370,460,000)
BTC holdings (official or estimated; you can roll forward +25 BTC/day if you want)
BTC symbol used for pricing (e.g., BTCUSD, BTCUSDT, BTCUSDTPERP)
How to use
When Price < mNAV=1 and Ratio < 1.00 → MARA trades at a discount to BTC NAV (potential mean-reversion if BTC is stable).
When Price > mNAV=1 and Ratio > 1.00 → premium (premium often compresses during BTC chop/weakness).
Rule of thumb (with ~53k BTC and 370.46M shares): +$1,000 BTC ≈ +$0.14 on the mNAV=1 line.
Visuals
Blue line = mNAV=1 (fair value) plotted directly on the MARA chart.
Purple line = Ratio (×) on a separate right-hand scale centered around 1.00.
Optional shading: green when Ratio > 1.05 (+5% premium), red when Ratio < 0.95 (−5% discount).
Alerts (suggested)
Premium > +5%: Ratio > 1.05
Discount < −5%: Ratio < 0.95
Notes
This is a proxy for NAV parity; it assumes your BTC holdings input is correct (official last report or your estimate).
Choice of BTC symbol matters; use the feed that best matches your workflow (spot, perp, or index).
The ratio is most informative when BTC is range-bound; during fast BTC moves MARA can overshoot temporarily.
This script overlays two signals on the MARA chart:
mNAV=1 fair-value line — the MARA price implied by Bitcoin NAV:
mNAV1 = (BTC price × BTC holdings) / MARA shares
Premium/Discount ratio — how far MARA trades vs. its NAV fair value:
Ratio = Close / mNAV1 (1.00 = fair; >1 = premium; <1 = discount)
Inputs
Shares outstanding (default: 370,460,000)
BTC holdings (official or estimated; you can roll forward +25 BTC/day if you want)
BTC symbol used for pricing (e.g., BTCUSD, BTCUSDT, BTCUSDTPERP)
How to use
When Price < mNAV=1 and Ratio < 1.00 → MARA trades at a discount to BTC NAV (potential mean-reversion if BTC is stable).
When Price > mNAV=1 and Ratio > 1.00 → premium (premium often compresses during BTC chop/weakness).
Rule of thumb (with ~53k BTC and 370.46M shares): +$1,000 BTC ≈ +$0.14 on the mNAV=1 line.
Visuals
Blue line = mNAV=1 (fair value) plotted directly on the MARA chart.
Purple line = Ratio (×) on a separate right-hand scale centered around 1.00.
Optional shading: green when Ratio > 1.05 (+5% premium), red when Ratio < 0.95 (−5% discount).
Alerts (suggested)
Premium > +5%: Ratio > 1.05
Discount < −5%: Ratio < 0.95
Notes
This is a proxy for NAV parity; it assumes your BTC holdings input is correct (official last report or your estimate).
Choice of BTC symbol matters; use the feed that best matches your workflow (spot, perp, or index).
The ratio is most informative when BTC is range-bound; during fast BTC moves MARA can overshoot temporarily.
Script open-source
Dans l'esprit de TradingView, le créateur de ce script l'a rendu open-source, afin que les traders puissent examiner et vérifier sa fonctionnalité. Bravo à l'auteur! Vous pouvez l'utiliser gratuitement, mais n'oubliez pas que la republication du code est soumise à nos Règles.
Clause de non-responsabilité
Les informations et les publications ne sont pas destinées à être, et ne constituent pas, des conseils ou des recommandations en matière de finance, d'investissement, de trading ou d'autres types de conseils fournis ou approuvés par TradingView. Pour en savoir plus, consultez les Conditions d'utilisation.
Script open-source
Dans l'esprit de TradingView, le créateur de ce script l'a rendu open-source, afin que les traders puissent examiner et vérifier sa fonctionnalité. Bravo à l'auteur! Vous pouvez l'utiliser gratuitement, mais n'oubliez pas que la republication du code est soumise à nos Règles.
Clause de non-responsabilité
Les informations et les publications ne sont pas destinées à être, et ne constituent pas, des conseils ou des recommandations en matière de finance, d'investissement, de trading ou d'autres types de conseils fournis ou approuvés par TradingView. Pour en savoir plus, consultez les Conditions d'utilisation.