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US Treasury Spot-Futures Price Differential

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Basis Trade Analyzer: US Treasury Spot vs Futures Price Differential

Description:
This advanced indicator calculates and visualizes the price difference between US Treasury notes/bonds in the spot market versus their corresponding futures contracts. It's designed for traders who specialize in basis trading and cash-and-carry arbitrage strategies.

Key Features:

Calculates real-time price differential (basis) between spot and futures for 2Y, 5Y, and 10Y Treasuries

Displays the basis in both price points and basis points (bps)

Visualizes 200-day moving average and ±2 standard deviation bands

Includes comprehensive data table with:

Current spot and futures prices

Price differential and historical average

Volatility measurements

Built-in alerts for statistically significant deviations

Supported Instruments:

Spot: USB02YUSD (2Y), USB05YUSD (5Y), USB10YUSD (10Y)

Futures: ZT1! (2Y), ZF1! (5Y), ZN1! (10Y)

Usage Instructions:

Select the Treasury maturity (2Y/5Y/10Y) from the input menu

Monitor the blue line for current basis

Watch for mean-reversion opportunities when price approaches the bands

Use the data table for quick reference to key metrics

Professional Applications:

Identify cash-and-carry arbitrage opportunities

Monitor convergence trends as contracts approach delivery

Analyze historical basis volatility patterns

Develop relative value trading strategies

Note: The indicator uses direct price comparisons (not yields) for accurate basis calculations. For optimal results, use daily or weekly timeframes.

Clause de non-responsabilité

Les informations et les publications ne sont pas destinées à être, et ne constituent pas, des conseils ou des recommandations en matière de finance, d'investissement, de trading ou d'autres types de conseils fournis ou approuvés par TradingView. Pour en savoir plus, consultez les Conditions d'utilisation.