OPEN-SOURCE SCRIPT
US 10Y - US 2Y Spread
This script displays the Yield Spread between the 10 Year US Treasury Bond (US10Y) and the 2 Year US Treasury Bond (US02Y) as a blue line beneath the chart. It is best to be used on weekly charts a the yield spread is a leading indicator used for detecting possible recessions within the US economy.
A negative yield spread means the 2 year treasury bonds are paying a higher yield than 10 year treasury bonds indicating a possible slowdown of the US economy. In the past negative yield spreads where often followed by recessions and major corrections of the S&P500... you can see examples for this on the above chart for the Gulf War recession, the DotCom Bubble recession, the great recession due to the US housing market collapse and the short COVID recession.
Currently we are in an extended phase of negative yield spreads and if history repeats itself we could be in for a major correction on the financial markets within the next years.
A negative yield spread means the 2 year treasury bonds are paying a higher yield than 10 year treasury bonds indicating a possible slowdown of the US economy. In the past negative yield spreads where often followed by recessions and major corrections of the S&P500... you can see examples for this on the above chart for the Gulf War recession, the DotCom Bubble recession, the great recession due to the US housing market collapse and the short COVID recession.
Currently we are in an extended phase of negative yield spreads and if history repeats itself we could be in for a major correction on the financial markets within the next years.
Script open-source
Dans le plus pur esprit TradingView, l'auteur de ce script l'a publié en open-source, afin que les traders puissent le comprendre et le vérifier. Bravo à l'auteur! Vous pouvez l'utiliser gratuitement, mais la réutilisation de ce code dans une publication est régie par nos Règles. Vous pouvez le mettre en favori pour l'utiliser sur un graphique.
Vous voulez utiliser ce script sur un graphique ?
Clause de non-responsabilité
Les informations et les publications ne sont pas destinées à être, et ne constituent pas, des conseils ou des recommandations en matière de finance, d'investissement, de trading ou d'autres types de conseils fournis ou approuvés par TradingView. Pour en savoir plus, consultez les Conditions d'utilisation.