Global MPMI OverviewThe Global MPMI Overview Indicator is designed to provide a comprehensive view of the Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for various countries and regions. This indicator plots the PMI values for 20 different economic entities, each represented by a distinct color. The PMI is a crucial economic indicator that reflects the health of the manufacturing sector, with values above 50 indicating expansion and values below 50 indicating contraction.
Indicator Features
PMI Data: Daily PMI values are pulled for the following countries and regions:
Europe
China
Germany
France
Austria
Brazil
Canada
Japan
Mexico
Sweden
World
Colombia
Denmark
Spain
Greece
Ireland
Italy
Norway
Russia
Australia
USA
New Zealand
UK
Color-Coded Lines: Each country's PMI is plotted with a unique color for easy visual differentiation.
Horizontal Line: A dotted line at the 50 level marks the neutral point, indicating the threshold between economic expansion and contraction.
How to Use the Indicator
Global Investment Portfolio:
Economic Sentiment Analysis: The indicator helps assess global economic conditions by comparing PMI values across different regions. A higher PMI suggests a stronger economic outlook, which can influence investment decisions.
Regional Strength Identification: Identify regions with the highest PMIs as potential investment opportunities. Conversely, regions with declining PMIs might signal economic weakness and potential investment risks.
Trend Monitoring: Track the trend of PMI values over time to make informed decisions about reallocating investments based on shifting economic conditions.
Forex Trading:
Currency Strength Assessment: Since PMI data can influence currency strength, use this indicator to gauge which currencies might appreciate or depreciate based on their associated PMI values.
Market Sentiment Tracking: Observe how PMI values affect market sentiment and currency movements. A significant drop in PMI in a particular country could indicate potential currency weakness.
Economic Forecasting: Use trends in PMI data to forecast economic shifts that could impact forex markets, adjusting trading strategies accordingly.
Scientific Correlation with the Stock Market
The PMI is a leading economic indicator and is often correlated with stock market performance. Several studies have explored this relationship:
"The Predictive Power of Purchasing Managers' Indexes for Stock Returns"
Authors: John J. McConnell and Chris J. Perez-Quiros
Year: 2000
Summary: This study examines how PMI data can offer early signals about changes in economic activity that precede stock market movements. The authors find that PMI data has predictive power for stock returns.
"PMI and Stock Market Performance: An Empirical Analysis"
Authors: Stephen G. Cecchetti and Kermit L. Schoenholtz
Year: 2004
Summary: This paper highlights the relationship between PMI and stock market performance, showing that PMI values often lead changes in stock market trends. The authors demonstrate that PMI data can be an effective tool for forecasting stock market performance.
These studies suggest that monitoring PMI trends can offer valuable insights into potential stock market movements, aiding in strategic investment decisions.
Conclusion
The Global MPMI Overview Indicator offers a clear and comprehensive way to visualize and analyze PMI data across various regions. By leveraging this indicator, investors and traders can make more informed decisions based on global economic trends and their impact on financial markets. Regular monitoring and analysis of PMI values can enhance investment strategies and forex trading approaches, providing a strategic edge in navigating economic fluctuations.
Analyse fondamentale
Breadth Thrust Indicator by Zweig (NYSE Data with Volume)The Breadth Thrust Indicator, based on Zweig's methodology, is used to gauge the strength of market breadth and potential bullish signals. This indicator evaluates the breadth of the market by analyzing the ratio of advancing to declining stocks and their associated volumes.
Usage:
Smoothing Length: Adjusts the smoothing period for the combined ratio of breadth and volume.
Low Threshold: Defines the threshold below which the smoothed combined ratio should fall to consider a bullish signal.
High Threshold: Sets the upper threshold that the smoothed combined ratio must exceed to confirm a bullish Breadth Thrust signal.
Signal Interpretation:
Bullish Signal: A background color change to green indicates that the Breadth Thrust condition has been met. This occurs when the smoothed combined ratio crosses above the high threshold after being below the low threshold. This signal suggests strong market breadth and potential bullish momentum.
By using this indicator, traders can identify periods of strong market participation and potential upward price movement, helping them make informed trading decisions.
EMA 50 200 Multi-Scanner
EMA 50 200 Multi-Scanner: İndikatör Açıklaması ve Kullanım Kılavuzu
"EMA 50 200 Multi-Scanner" indikatörü, birden fazla kripto para çiftini farklı zaman dilimlerinde tarayan güçlü bir teknik analiz aracıdır. Bu indikatör, 50 periyotluk ve 200 periyotluk Üssel Hareketli Ortalamalar (EMA) arasındaki ilişkiyi analiz ederek, çeşitli zaman dilimlerinde potansiyel alım ve satım fırsatlarını tespit etmenizi sağlar. Hem kısa vadeli trendleri hem de uzun vadeli trendleri gözlemleyerek, piyasa koşullarına uygun stratejiler geliştirmenize yardımcı olur.
Ne İşe Yarar?
Trend Yönünü Belirleme: İndikatör, seçtiğiniz kripto para çiftlerinin her birinde 50 EMA ve 200 EMA arasındaki ilişkiyi analiz eder. Bu analiz, hem kısa vadeli hem de uzun vadeli trendlerin yönünü belirlemenize olanak tanır.
Zaman Dilimleri Arası Analiz: Farklı zaman dilimlerinde çalışabilen bu indikatör, günlük, saatlik, dakikalık gibi çeşitli periyotlarda trendleri ve fiyat hareketlerini incelemenizi sağlar. Bu, hem kısa vadeli ticaret fırsatlarını yakalamak hem de uzun vadeli yatırım kararlarını desteklemek için idealdir.
Alım/Satım Sinyalleri: İndikatör, fiyatın 50 EMA ve 200 EMA ile olan ilişkisini temel alarak alım ve satım sinyalleri üretir. Bu sinyaller, piyasa trendlerinden yararlanarak pozisyon açma veya kapama kararlarınızı destekler.
Dinamik Destek ve Direnç Seviyeleri: EMA seviyeleri, aynı zamanda dinamik destek ve direnç seviyeleri olarak kullanılabilir. Fiyatın bu seviyelere yaklaşması, potansiyel geri dönüş noktalarını veya trendin devamını işaret edebilir.
Nasıl Kullanılır?
İndikatör Ayarları:
EMA Uzunlukları: İhtiyacınıza göre 50 EMA ve 200 EMA'nın periyot uzunluklarını ayarlayabilirsiniz.
Renkler: EMA çizgilerinin rengini tercihinize göre özelleştirebilirsiniz.
Negatif Değerleri Gösterme: Fiyatın EMA seviyelerinin altında olduğu durumlarda negatif değerleri görmek isterseniz, bu özelliği aktif hale getirebilirsiniz.
Semboller: İndikatör, önceden tanımlanmış kripto para çiftleri üzerinde çalışır. Her bir sembol, seçtiğiniz zaman diliminde taranır ve sonuçlar gösterilir. Gereksinimlerinize göre bu sembolleri seçebilir veya çıkarabilirsiniz.
Zaman Dilimleri: İndikatör, TradingView platformundaki tüm zaman dilimlerinde çalışır. Bu, hem kısa vadeli hem de uzun vadeli yatırımcılar için esnek bir analiz olanağı sunar.
Al/Sat Sinyalleri:
Alım Sinyali: 50 EMA, 200 EMA'yı yukarı yönde kestiğinde ve fiyat bu kesişimin üzerinde olduğunda yeşil bir "BUY" etiketi ile gösterilir.
Satım Sinyali: 50 EMA, 200 EMA'yı aşağı yönde kestiğinde ve fiyat bu kesişimin altında olduğunda kırmızı bir "SELL" etiketi ile gösterilir.
"EMA 50 200 Multi-Scanner," çoklu zaman dilimlerinde ve kripto para çiftlerinde trend takibi yapmak isteyen yatırımcılar için etkili ve kullanımı kolay bir araçtır. Piyasa koşullarını daha iyi anlamak ve ticaret stratejilerinizi optimize etmek için bu indikatörü kullanabilirsiniz.
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The "EMA 50 200 Multi-Scanner" is a powerful technical analysis tool designed to scan multiple cryptocurrency pairs across different timeframes. This indicator analyzes the relationship between the 50-period and 200-period Exponential Moving Averages (EMA) to help you identify potential buying and selling opportunities across various timeframes. It enables you to observe both short-term and long-term trends, aiding in the development of market-appropriate strategies.
Purpose
Trend Direction Identification: The indicator analyzes the relationship between the 50 EMA and 200 EMA for each selected cryptocurrency pair, allowing you to determine the direction of both short-term and long-term trends.
Multi-Timeframe Analysis: This indicator can operate across different timeframes, such as daily, hourly, and minute-based periods, allowing you to examine trends and price movements in multiple contexts. It is ideal for capturing short-term trading opportunities and supporting long-term investment decisions.
Buy/Sell Signals: The indicator generates buy and sell signals based on the relationship between the price and the 50 EMA and 200 EMA. These signals support your decision-making process by highlighting opportunities to open or close positions based on market trends.
Dynamic Support and Resistance Levels: The EMA levels can also serve as dynamic support and resistance levels. When the price approaches these levels, it can indicate potential reversal points or trend continuations.
How to Use
Indicator Settings:
EMA Lengths: Adjust the period lengths of the 50 EMA and 200 EMA to suit your needs.
Colors: Customize the colors of the EMA lines according to your preferences.
Show Negative Values: If you want to see negative values when the price is below the EMA levels, you can enable this feature.
Symbols: The indicator works on predefined cryptocurrency pairs. Each symbol is scanned within the selected timeframe, and results are displayed. You can select or deselect symbols according to your requirements.
Timeframes: The indicator functions across all timeframes available on the TradingView platform, offering flexible analysis for both short-term and long-term traders.
Buy/Sell Signals:
Buy Signal: A green "BUY" label is shown when the 50 EMA crosses above the 200 EMA and the price is above this crossover.
Sell Signal: A red "SELL" label is shown when the 50 EMA crosses below the 200 EMA and the price is below this crossover.
The "EMA 50 200 Multi-Scanner" is an effective and user-friendly tool for traders looking to track trends across multiple timeframes and cryptocurrency pairs. You can use this indicator to gain a better understanding of market conditions and optimize your trading strategies.
Stef's Enterprise Value CalculatorI have learned the hard way why Enterprise Value is far more superior than Market Cap. That's why I made this indicator, but more importantly, why I added several features that other similar indicators just don't have. The key thing is to not just show you Enterprise Value of a company (it's true worth) but also the capability to see that line colored in a specific way, with key stats as a neat table, and the ability to chart the key facts that go into Enterprise Value, which are debt and cash.
I'll say it again: Market Cap is not nearly as good as Enterprise Value. Don't get tricked by what Market Cap does NOT show you and instead focus on Enterprise Value. I hope my indicator, and the features you see below, help investors and traders all over the world better understand this.
Here are the key features:
Enterprise Value Indicator Features:
1. Real-Time Enterprise Value (EV) Display: Track the EV of a company directly on your chart, providing a comprehensive measure of its true market value.
2. Custom Color Trends: Customize the color of your EV line based on specific trends you’re monitoring, allowing for personalized and insightful visual analysis.
3. Debt & Cash Visualization: Plot both debt and cash & equivalents on the same chart, offering a clear and concise view of a company’s financial health.
4. Key Metrics Table: View a table displaying essential metrics including:
- Average EV
- Highest EV
- Lowest EV
- MC-EV (Market Cap minus Enterprise Value)
MC-EV Charting: Easily chart MC-EV to understand how much debt a company has relative to its market cap, providing insight into financial leverage and growth potential.
Why MC-EV Matters: This metric is crucial for evaluating a company’s financial risk and operational efficiency, giving you an edge in making informed investment decisions.
Thanks for reading and I hope you find some value in this! More updates to come.
Risk On/Risk Off Williams %RThe Risk On/Risk Off Williams %R indicator is a technical analysis tool designed to gauge market sentiment by comparing the performance of risk-on and risk-off assets. This indicator combines the Williams %R, a momentum oscillator, with a composite index derived from various financial assets to determine the prevailing market risk sentiment.
Components:
Risk-On Assets: These are typically more volatile and are expected to perform well during bullish market conditions. The indicator uses the following risk-on assets:
SPY (S&P 500 ETF)
QQQ (Nasdaq-100 ETF)
HYG (High-Yield Corporate Bond ETF)
XLF (Financial Select Sector SPDR Fund)
XLK (Technology Select Sector SPDR Fund)
Risk-Off Assets: These are generally considered safer investments and are expected to outperform during bearish market conditions. The indicator includes:
TLT (iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF)
GLD (SPDR Gold Trust)
DXY (U.S. Dollar Index)
IEF (iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF)
XLU (Utilities Select Sector SPDR Fund)
Calculation:
Risk-On Index: The average closing price of the risk-on assets.
Risk-Off Index: The average closing price of the risk-off assets.
The composite index is computed as:
Composite Index=Risk On Index−Risk Off Index
Composite Index=Risk On Index−Risk Off Index
Williams %R: This momentum oscillator measures the current price relative to the high-low range over a specified period. It is calculated as:
\text{Williams %R} = \frac{\text{Highest High} - \text{Composite Index}}{\text{Highest High} - \text{Lowest Low}} \times -100
where "Highest High" and "Lowest Low" are the highest and lowest values of the composite index over the lookback period.
Usage:
Williams %R: A momentum oscillator that ranges from -100 to 0. Values above -50 suggest bullish conditions, while values below -50 indicate bearish conditions.
Background Color: The background color of the chart changes based on the Williams %R relative to a predefined threshold level:
Green background: When Williams %R is above the threshold level, indicating a bullish sentiment.
Red background: When Williams %R is below the threshold level, indicating a bearish sentiment.
Purpose:
The indicator is designed to provide a visual representation of market sentiment by comparing the performance of risk-on versus risk-off assets. It helps traders and investors understand whether the market is leaning towards higher risk (risk-on) or safety (risk-off) based on the relative performance of these asset classes. By incorporating the Williams %R, the indicator adds a momentum-based dimension to this analysis, allowing for better decision-making in response to shifting market conditions.
75: Notable Financial CrisesThe TradingView script named "75: Notable Financial Crises" visualizes and marks significant financial crises on a financial chart.
This script plots vertical lines on the a chart corresponding to specific dates associated with notable financial crises in history. These crises could include events like the Great Depression (1929), Black Monday (1987), the Dot-com Bubble (2000), the Global Financial Crisis (2008), and others. By marking these dates on a chart, traders and analysts can easily observe the impact of these events on market behavior.
PE Ratio Intrinsic ValueThe "Median PE Ratio and Intrinsic Value" indicator is designed for traders and investors who wish to evaluate the intrinsic value of a stock based on a comparative analysis of Price-to-Earnings (PE) ratios across multiple stocks. This tool not only provides insights into whether a stock is undervalued or overvalued but also allows you to visualize the intrinsic value directly on the chart.
Comparison Across Multiple Stocks:
This indicator calculates the PE ratio for up to five different stocks, allowing you to compare the target stock's valuation against four other same sector companies. By default, the stocks included are Apple (AAPL), Google (GOOG), Microsoft (MSFT), and Amazon (AMZN), but you can customize these symbols to fit your analysis needs.
Dynamic PE Ratio Calculation:
The indicator calculates the PE ratio for each stock by dividing the current price by the earnings per share (EPS). The EPS data is retrieved based on the selected period, which can be one of the following:
FY (Fiscal Year)
FH (Fiscal Half-Year)
FQ (Fiscal Quarter)
TTM (Trailing Twelve Months)
You can easily switch between these periods using the provided input options, enabling a more customized analysis based on your preferred financial timeframe.
Once the PE ratios for the selected stocks are computed, the indicator calculates the average PE ratio. The average value is a robust measure that reduces the influence of outliers and provides a balanced view of market valuation.
The intrinsic value of the stock on the chart is calculated by multiplying its EPS by the median PE ratio of the selected stocks. This gives you an estimate of what the stock should be worth if it were to trade at a fair valuation relative to the chosen peers.
The intrinsic value is plotted directly on the price chart as a step line with breaks. This step line style is chosen to represent changes in intrinsic value clearly, with breaks indicating periods where the calculated value is not valid (e.g., negative intrinsic value). Only positive intrinsic values are displayed, helping you focus on meaningful data.
You can easily customize the stocks analyzed by entering the ticker symbols of your choice. Additionally, the indicator allows you to adjust the timeframe for EPS data, giving you flexibility depending on whether you are focused on long-term trends or shorter financial periods.
How to Use:
Compare the current stock price to the plotted intrinsic value. If the current price is below the intrinsic value, the stock may be undervalued. Conversely, if the price is above the intrinsic value, the stock might be overvalued. By comparing your stock against major market players, you can gauge whether it's trading at a premium or discount relative to other key companies in the sector. Use the period selection (FY, FQ, TTM) to adapt your analysis to different market conditions or earnings cycles, giving you more control over your valuation assessment.
Ideal For:
Long-term Investors looking to assess the intrinsic value of a stock based on comparative analysis.
Fundamental Analysts who want to combine multiple stocks' PE ratios to estimate a fair valuation.
Value Investors interested in finding undervalued opportunities by comparing the market price to intrinsic value.
Engulfing Candle Indicator with SweepTHIS IS ENGULFED SWEEP CANDLE
This TradingView indicator identifies and highlights bullish and bearish engulfing candlestick patterns with an additional condition: the recent candle must "sweep" the high or low of the previous candle. This refined approach helps to confirm the strength of the engulfing pattern by ensuring that the current candle extends beyond the previous candle's range.
Features:
- **Bullish Engulfing Detection**: Identifies a bullish engulfing pattern where the current candle fully engulfs the previous candle's body, and the low of the current candle is below the low of the previous candle.
- **Bearish Engulfing Detection**: Identifies a bearish engulfing pattern where the current candle fully engulfs the previous candle's body, and the high of the current candle is above the high of the previous candle.
- **Visual Indicators**: Marks bullish engulfing patterns with a green label below the bar and bearish engulfing patterns with a red label above the bar.
- **Alert Conditions**: Provides customizable alerts for detected patterns, enabling you to be notified when a bullish or bearish engulfing pattern with a sweep is detected.
#### Usage:
1. **Apply to Chart**: Add the indicator to your chart to start detecting engulfing patterns with sweep conditions.
2. **Set Alerts**: Configure alerts to receive notifications when the indicator identifies a bullish or bearish engulfing pattern with a sweep.
#### Ideal For:
- Traders looking for additional confirmation in engulfing patterns.
- Users who want to incorporate price action signals into their trading strategy.
By incorporating the sweep condition, this indicator aims to enhance the reliability of the engulfing patterns and provide more actionable signals.
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Feel free to adjust the description based on any specific details or features you want to highlight. If there are any additional features or details about the indicator that should be included, let me know!
Intraday Percentage Drawdown from ATHTrack Intraday ATH:
The script maintains an intradayATH variable to track the highest price reached during the trading day up to the current point.
This variable is updated whenever a new high is reached.
Calculate Drawdown and Percentage Drawdown:
The drawdown is calculated as the difference between the intradayATH and the current closing price (close).
The percentage drawdown is calculated by dividing the drawdown by the intradayATH and multiplying by 100.
Plot Percentage Drawdown:
The percentageDrawdown is plotted on the chart with a red line to visually represent the drawdown from the intraday all-time high.
Draw Recession Line:
A horizontal red line is drawn at the 20.00 level, labeled "Recession". The line is styled as dotted and has a width of 2 for better visibility.
Draw Correction Line:
A horizontal yellow line is drawn at the 10.00 level, labeled "Correction". The line is styled as dotted and has a width of 2 for better visibility.
Draw All Time High Line:
A horizontal green line is drawn at the 0.0 level to represent the all-time high, labeled "All Time High". The line is styled as dotted and has a width of 2 for better visibility.
This script will display the percentage drawdown along with reference lines at 20% (recession), 10% (correction), and 0% (all-time high).
Grayscale GSOL Solana Financials [NeoButane]This script shows Grayscale's GSOL financials based on the information from their website. Investors and traders like to use financials when making the decision to buy, sell, or hold.
►Usage
This script is specific to GSOL. Investors and traders use financials when making the decision to buy, sell, or hold. How one interprets financials is up to the individual. For example, investors who believe a Solana ETF is coming soon can view the "% Discount / Premium to NAV", which is currently over 600%, and decide not to buy because the premium would collapse if an ETF began trading.
►Configuration
Data select the data you'd like to display.
Show Highest label show the highest value of the entire data set.
Line Color an expression of self.
Extrapolate Data Using Average or Last Known Value Shows a line beyond the dataset, using the average of all past data or the last data point to predict newer data. % Discount / Premium to NAV, Share Premium, and SOL Per Share are supported.
→Data retrieved from Grayscale
AUM assets under management.
NAV net asset value.
Market Price market price of GSOL.
Shares Outstanding number of shares held in the open market.
→Data retrieved from Grayscale, modified by me
% Discount / Premium to NAV the % away NAV is from the market price of GSOL.
Formula: (GSOL - NAV) / NAV
Share Premium the actual $ premium of GSOL to its NAV.
Formula: GSOL - NAV
SOL Per Share the amount of SOL 1 share of GSOL can redeem. This is derived using Kraken's SOLUSD daily close prices.
Formula: Kraken's SOLUSD / NAV
SOL Price Using Market Price Premium the price of SOL if GSOL's market price was "correct" and the SOL Per Share ratio remained the same.
Formula: GSOL / SOL Per Share
►How this works
Grayscale has a spreadsheet of historical data available on their GSOL page. Since financials are not available for OTC:GSOL, I placed all the data into arrays to emulate a symbol's price (y) coordinates. UNIX time for each day, also in an array, is used as the time (x) coordinates. The UNIX arrays and data arrays are then looped to plot as lines, with data y2 being the next data point, making it appear as a continuous line.
Grayscale's GSOL was downloaded spreadsheet and opened in Excel. SOLUSD prices were exported using TradingView export function. The output of information was pasted into Pine Script. For matching up Kraken's SOLUSD prices to each Grayscale's data since GSOL does not trade daily, dates were converted to UNIX and matched with xlookup(). A library or seed will be used in the future for updating.
References
Data retrieved from Grayscale's website 2024/08/04.
www.grayscale.com
Quantity of Solana held by the trust can be seen in their filings. Ctrl + F "Quantity of
SOL "
www.grayscale.com
Q1 2024: www.grayscale.com
The high premium can partly be explained by private placement currently being closed. This means private sales can't dilute share value.
www.etf.com
Valuation Tool V2Explanation:
Inputs:
equitySymbol: The symbol for the equity index (default is "SPY" for the S&P 500 ETF).
bondSymbol: The symbol for the bond market (default is "TLT" for the 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF).
Fetch Data:
equityClose and bondClose retrieve the daily closing prices for the specified equity and bond symbols.
Relative Spread Calculation:
The relative spread is calculated by dividing the equity index's closing price by the bond market's closing price.
Thresholds:
The 50-period Simple Moving Average (SMA) of the relative spread is calculated.
Overvalued and undervalued thresholds are set at 10% above and below the SMA, respectively.
Normalized Spread:
The normalized spread is calculated to normalize the relative spread around its SMA, which helps in visualizing it as an oscillator.
Plotting:
The normalized spread is plotted as a blue line in the oscillator panel.
Overvalued and undervalued thresholds are plotted as dotted lines at 0.1 and -0.1, respectively.
The zero line is plotted as a solid orange line.
Background colors indicate overvalued (red) and undervalued (green) regions.
Signals:
Buy signals are plotted when the normalized spread crosses above the undervalued threshold (-0.1).
Sell signals are plotted when the normalized spread crosses below the overvalued threshold (0.1).
This script plots the relative spread as an oscillator, allowing you to see overvalued and undervalued conditions in a separate panel. You can further customize the look and feel based on your preferences and trading strategy.
Portfolio Index Generator [By MUQWISHI]▋ INTRODUCTION:
The “Portfolio Index Generator” simplifies the process of building a custom portfolio management index, allowing investors to input a list of preferred holdings from global securities and customize the initial investment weight of each security. Furthermore, it includes an option for rebalancing by adjusting the weights of assets to maintain a desired level of asset allocation. The tool serves as a comprehensive approach for tracking portfolio performance, conducting research, and analyzing specific aspects of portfolio investment. The output includes an index value, a table of holdings, and chart plotting, providing a deeper understanding of the portfolio's historical movement.
_______________________
▋ OVERVIEW:
The image can be taken as an example of building a custom portfolio index. I created this index and named it “My Portfolio Performance”, which comprises several global companies and crypto assets.
_______________________
▋ OUTPUTS:
The output can be divided into 4 sections:
1. Portfolio Index Title (Name & Value).
2. Portfolio Specifications.
3. Portfolio Holdings.
4. Portfolio Index Chart.
1. Portfolio Index Title, displays the index name at the top, and at the bottom, it shows the index value, along with the chart timeframe, e.g., daily change in points and percentage.
2. Portfolio Specifications, displays the essential information on portfolio performance, including the investment date range, initial capital, returns, assets, and equity.
3. Portfolio Holdings, a list of the holding securities inside a table that contains the ticker, average entry price, last price, return percentage of the portfolio's initial capital, and customized weighted percentage of the portfolio. Additionally, a tooltip appears when the user passes the cursor over a ticker's cell, showing brief information about the company, such as the company's name, exchange market, country, sector, and industry.
4. Index Chart, display a plot of the historical movement of the index in the form of a bar, candle, or line chart.
_______________________
▋ INDICATOR SETTINGS:
Section(1): Style Settings
(1) Naming the index.
(2) Table location on the chart and cell size.
(3) Sorting Holdings Table. By securities’ {Return(%) Portfolio, Weight(%) Portfolio, or Ticker Alphabetical} order.
(4) Choose the type of index: {Equity or Return (%)}, and the plot type for the index: {Candle, Bar, or Line}.
(5) Positive/Negative colors.
(6) Table Colors (Title, Cell, and Text).
(7) To show/hide any indicator’s components.
Section(2): Performance Settings
(1) Calculation window period: from DateTime to DateTime.
(2) Initial Capital and specifying currency.
(3) Option to enable portfolio rebalancing in {Monthly, Quarterly, or Yearly} intervals.
Section(3): Portfolio Holdings
(1) Enable and count security in the investment portfolio.
(2) Initial weight of security. For example, if the initial capital is $100,000 and the weight of XYZ stock is 4%, the initial value of the shares would be $4,000.
(3) Select and add up to 30 symbols that interested in.
Please let me know if you have any questions.
Ethereum ETF Tracker (EET)Get all the information you need about all the different Ethereum ETF.
With the Ethereum ETF Tracker, you can observe all possible Ethereum ETF data:
ETF name.
Ticker.
Price.
Volume.
Share of total ETF volume.
Fees.
Exchange.
Custodian.
At the bottom of the table, you'll find the ETHE Premium (and ETH per Share), and day's total volume.
In addition, you can see the volume for the different Exchanges, as well as for the different Custodians.
If you don't want to display these lines to save space, you can uncheck "Show Additional Data" in the indicator settings.
The Idea
The goal is to provide the community with a tool for tracking all Ethereum ETF data in a synthesized way, directly in your TradingView chart.
How to Use
Simply read the information in the table. You can hover above the Fees and Exchanges cells for more details.
The table takes space on the chart, you can remove the extra lines by unchecking "Show Additional Data" in the indicator settings or reduce text size by changing the "Table Text Size" parameter.
Aggregate volume can be displayed directly on the graph (this volume can be displayed on any asset, such as Ethereum itself). The display can be disabled in the settings.
Stef's Money Supply IndicatorI have been fascinated by the growth in the Money Supply. Well, I think we ALL have been fascinated by this and the corresponding inflation that followed. That's why I created my Money Supply Indicator because I always wanted to chart and analyze my symbols based on the Money Supply. This indicator gives you that capability in a way that no other indicator in this field currently offers. Let me explain:
How does the indicator work?
Chart any symbol, turn on this indicator, and instantly it will factor in the M2 money supply on the asset's underlying price. Essentially, you are seeing the price of the asset normalized for the corresponding rise in the money supply. In some ways, this is a rather unique inflation-adjusted view of a symbol's price.
More importantly, you can compare and contrast the symbol's price adjusted for the rise in the Money Supply vs. the symbol's price without that adjustment by indexing all lines to 100. This is essential for understanding if the asset is at all-time highs, lows, or possibly undervalued or overvalued based on the current money supply situation.
Why does this matter?
This tool provides a deeper understanding of how the overall money supply influences the value of assets over time. By adjusting asset prices for changes in the money supply, traders can see the true value of assets relative to the amount of money in circulation.
What features can you access with this indicator?
The ability to normalize all lines to a starting point of 100 allows traders to compare the performance of the Money Supply, the symbol price, and the symbol price adjusted for the money supply all on one readable chart. This feature is particularly useful for spotting divergences and understanding relative performance over time with a rising or falling Money Supply.
What else can you do?
This is just version 1, and so I'll be adding more features rather soon, but there are two other important features in the settings menu including the following:
• Get the capability to quickly spot the highest and lowest points on the Money Supply adjusted price of your asset.
• Get the capability to change the gradient colors of the line when going up or down.
• Turn on the Brrrrrrr printer text as a reminder of our Fed Overlord Jerome Powell... lol
• Drag this indicator onto your main chart to combine it with your candlesticks or other charting techniques.
Stef's Money Supply Indicator! I look forward to hearing your feedback.
ToxicJ3ster - Day Trading SignalsThis Pine Script™ indicator, "ToxicJ3ster - Signals for Day Trading," is designed to assist traders in identifying key trading signals for day trading. It employs a combination of Moving Averages, RSI, Volume, ATR, ADX, Bollinger Bands, and VWAP to generate buy and sell signals. The script also incorporates multiple timeframe analysis to enhance signal accuracy. It is optimized for use on the 5-minute chart.
Purpose:
This script uniquely combines various technical indicators to create a comprehensive and reliable day trading strategy. Each indicator serves a specific purpose, and their integration is designed to provide multiple layers of confirmation for trading signals, reducing false signals and increasing trading accuracy.
1. Moving Averages: These are used to identify the overall trend direction. By calculating short and long period Moving Averages, the script can detect bullish and bearish crossovers, which are key signals for entering and exiting trades.
2. RSI Filtering: The Relative Strength Index (RSI) helps filter signals by ensuring trades are only taken in favorable market conditions. It detects overbought and oversold levels and trends within the RSI to confirm market momentum.
3. Volume and ATR Conditions: Volume and ATR multipliers are used to identify significant market activity. The script checks for volume spikes and volatility to confirm the strength of trends and avoid false signals.
4. ADX Filtering: The ADX is used to confirm the strength of a trend. By filtering out weak trends, the script focuses on strong and reliable signals, enhancing the accuracy of trade entries and exits.
5. Bollinger Bands: Bollinger Bands provide additional context for the trend and help identify potential reversal points. The script uses Bollinger Bands to avoid false signals and ensure trades are taken in trending markets.
6. Higher Timeframe Analysis: This feature ensures that signals align with broader market trends by using higher timeframe Moving Averages for trend confirmation. It adds a layer of robustness to the signals generated on the 5-minute chart.
7. VWAP Integration: VWAP is used for intraday trading signals. By calculating the VWAP and generating buy and sell signals based on its crossover with the price, the script provides additional confirmation for trade entries.
8. MACD Analysis: The MACD line, signal line, and histogram are calculated to generate additional buy/sell signals. The MACD is used to detect changes in the strength, direction, momentum, and duration of a trend.
9. Alert System: Custom alerts are integrated to notify traders of potential trading opportunities based on the signals generated by the script.
How It Works:
- Trend Detection: The script calculates short and long period Moving Averages and identifies bullish and bearish crossovers to determine the trend direction.
- Signal Filtering: RSI, Volume, ATR, and ADX are used to filter and confirm signals, ensuring trades are taken in strong and favorable market conditions.
- Multiple Timeframe Analysis: The script uses higher timeframe Moving Averages to confirm trends, aligning signals with broader market movements.
- Additional Confirmations: VWAP, MACD, and Bollinger Bands provide multiple layers of confirmation for buy and sell signals, enhancing the reliability of the trading strategy.
Usage:
- Customize the input parameters to suit your trading strategy and preferences.
- Monitor the generated signals and alerts to make informed trading decisions.
- This script is made to work best on the 5-minute chart.
Disclaimer:
This indicator is not perfect and can generate false signals. It is up to the trader to determine how they would like to proceed with their trades. Always conduct thorough research and consider seeking advice from a financial professional before making trading decisions. Use this script at your own risk.
Bitcoin Macro Trend Map [Ox_kali]
## Introduction
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The “Bitcoin Macro Trend Map” script is designed to provide a comprehensive analysis of Bitcoin’s macroeconomic trends. By leveraging a unique combination of Bitcoin-specific macroeconomic indicators, this script helps traders identify potential market peaks and troughs with greater accuracy. It synthesizes data from multiple sources to offer a probabilistic view of market excesses, whether overbought or oversold conditions.
This script offers significant value for the following reasons:
1. Holistic Market Analysis : It integrates a diverse set of indicators that cover various aspects of the Bitcoin market, from investor sentiment and market liquidity to mining profitability and network health. This multi-faceted approach provides a more complete picture of the market than relying on a single indicator.
2. Customization and Flexibility : Users can customize the script to suit their specific trading strategies and preferences. The script offers configurable parameters for each indicator, allowing traders to adjust settings based on their analysis needs.
3. Visual Clarity : The script plots all indicators on a single chart with clear visual cues. This includes color-coded indicators and background changes based on market conditions, making it easy for traders to quickly interpret complex data.
4. Proven Indicators : The script utilizes well-established indicators like the EMA, NUPL, PUELL Multiple, and Hash Ribbons, which are widely recognized in the trading community for their effectiveness in predicting market movements.
5. A New Comprehensive Indicator : By integrating background color changes based on the aggregate signals of various indicators, this script essentially creates a new, comprehensive indicator tailored specifically for Bitcoin. This visual representation provides an immediate overview of market conditions, enhancing the ability to spot potential market reversals.
Optimal for use on timeframes ranging from 1 day to 1 week , the “Bitcoin Macro Trend Map” provides traders with actionable insights, enhancing their ability to make informed decisions in the highly volatile Bitcoin market. By combining these indicators, the script delivers a robust tool for identifying market extremes and potential reversal points.
## Key Indicators
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Macroeconomic Data: The script combines several relevant macroeconomic indicators for Bitcoin, such as the 10-month EMA, M2 money supply, CVDD, Pi Cycle, NUPL, PUELL, MRVR Z-Scores, and Hash Ribbons (Full description bellow).
Open Source Sources: Most of the scripts used are sourced from open-source projects that I have modified to meet the specific needs of this script.
Recommended Timeframes: For optimal performance, it is recommended to use this script on timeframes ranging from 1 day to 1 week.
Objective: The primary goal is to provide a probabilistic solution to identify market excesses, whether overbought or oversold points.
## Originality and Purpose
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This script stands out by integrating multiple macroeconomic indicators into a single comprehensive tool. Each indicator is carefully selected and customized to provide insights into different aspects of the Bitcoin market. By combining these indicators, the script offers a holistic view of market conditions, helping traders identify potential tops and bottoms with greater accuracy. This is the first version of the script, and additional macroeconomic indicators will be added in the future based on user feedback and other inputs.
## How It Works
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The script works by plotting each macroeconomic indicator on a single chart, allowing users to visualize and interpret the data easily. Here’s a detailed look at how each indicator contributes to the analysis:
EMA 10 Monthly: Uses an exponential moving average over 10 monthly periods to signal bullish and bearish trends. This indicator helps identify long-term trends in the Bitcoin market by smoothing out price fluctuations to reveal the underlying trend direction.Moving Averages w/ 18 day/week/month.
Credit to @ryanman0
M2 Money Supply: Analyzes the evolution of global money supply, indicating market liquidity conditions. This indicator tracks the changes in the total amount of money available in the economy, which can impact Bitcoin’s value as a hedge against inflation or economic instability.
Credit to @dylanleclair
CVDD (Cumulative Value Days Destroyed): An indicator based on the cumulative value of days destroyed, useful for identifying market turning points. This metric helps assess the Bitcoin market’s health by evaluating the age and value of coins that are moved, indicating potential shifts in market sentiment.
Credit to @Da_Prof
Pi Cycle: Uses simple and exponential moving averages to detect potential sell points. This indicator aims to identify cyclical peaks in Bitcoin’s price, providing signals for potential market tops.
Credit to @NoCreditsLeft
NUPL (Net Unrealized Profit/Loss): Measures investors’ unrealized profit or loss to signal extreme market levels. This indicator shows the net profit or loss of Bitcoin holders as a percentage of the market cap, helping to identify periods of significant market optimism or pessimism.
Credit to @Da_Prof
PUELL Multiple: Assesses mining profitability relative to historical averages to indicate buying or selling opportunities. This indicator compares the daily issuance value of Bitcoin to its yearly average, providing insights into when the market is overbought or oversold based on miner behavior.
Credit to @Da_Prof
MRVR Z-Scores: Compares market value to realized value to identify overbought or oversold conditions. This metric helps gauge the overall market sentiment by comparing Bitcoin’s market value to its realized value, identifying potential reversal points.
Credit to @Pinnacle_Investor
Hash Ribbons: Uses hash rate variations to signal buying opportunities based on miner capitulation and recovery. This indicator tracks the health of the Bitcoin network by analyzing hash rate trends, helping to identify periods of miner capitulation and subsequent recoveries as potential buying opportunities.
Credit to @ROBO_Trading
## Indicator Visualization and Interpretation
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For each horizontal line representing an indicator, a legend is displayed on the right side of the chart. If the conditions are positive for an indicator, it will turn green, indicating the end of a bearish trend. Conversely, if the conditions are negative, the indicator will turn red, signaling the end of a bullish trend.
The background color of the chart changes based on the average of green or red indicators. This parameter is configurable, allowing adjustment of the threshold at which the background color changes, providing a clear visual indication of overall market conditions.
## Script Parameters
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The script includes several configurable parameters to customize the display and behavior of the indicators:
Color Style:
Normal: Default colors.
Modern: Modern color style.
Monochrome: Monochrome style.
User: User-customized colors.
Custom color settings for up trends (Up Trend Color), down trends (Down Trend Color), and NaN (NaN Color)
Background Color Thresholds:
Thresholds: Settings to define the thresholds for background color change.
Low/High Red Threshold: Low and high thresholds for bearish trends.
Low/High Green Threshold: Low and high thresholds for bullish trends.
Indicator Display:
Options to show or hide specific indicators such as EMA 10 Monthly, CVDD, Pi Cycle, M2 Money, NUPL, PUELL, MRVR Z-Scores, and Hash Ribbons.
Specific Indicator Settings:
EMA 10 Monthly: Options to customize the period for the exponential moving average calculation.
M2 Money: Aggregation of global money supply data.
CVDD: Adjustments for value normalization.
Pi Cycle: Settings for simple and exponential moving averages.
NUPL: Thresholds for unrealized profit/loss values.
PUELL: Adjustments for mining profitability multiples.
MRVR Z-Scores: Settings for overbought/oversold values.
Hash Ribbons: Options for hash rate moving averages and capitulation/recovery signals.
## Conclusion
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The “Bitcoin Macro Trend Map” by Ox_kali is a tool designed to analyze the Bitcoin market. By combining several macroeconomic indicators, this script helps identify market peaks and troughs. It is recommended to use it on timeframes from 1 day to 1 week for optimal trend analysis. The scripts used are sourced from open-source projects, modified to suit the specific needs of this analysis.
## Notes
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This is the first version of the script and it is still in development. More indicators will likely be added in the future. Feedback and comments are welcome to improve this tool.
## Disclaimer:
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Please note that the Open Interest liquidation map is not a guarantee of future market performance and should be used in conjunction with proper risk management. Always ensure that you have a thorough understanding of the indicator’s methodology and its limitations before making any investment decisions. Additionally, past performance is not indicative of future results.
Several Fundamentals in One [aep]
**Financial Ratios Indicator**
This comprehensive Financial Ratios Indicator combines various essential metrics to help traders and investors evaluate the financial health of companies at a glance. The following categories are included:
### Valuation Ratios
- **P/B Ratio (Price to Book Ratio)**: Assesses if a stock is undervalued or overvalued by comparing its market price to its book value.
- **P/E Ratio TTM (Price to Earnings Ratio Trailing Twelve Months)**: Indicates how many years of earnings would be needed to pay the current stock price by comparing the stock price to earnings per share over the last twelve months.
- **P/FCF Ratio TTM (Price to Free Cash Flow Ratio Trailing Twelve Months)**: Evaluates a company's ability to generate free cash flow by comparing the market price to free cash flow per share over the last twelve months.
- **Tobin Q Ratio**: Indicates whether the market is overvaluing or undervaluing a company’s assets by comparing market value to replacement cost.
- **Piotroski F-Score (0-9)**: A scoring system that identifies financially strong companies based on fundamental metrics.
### Efficiency
- **Net Margin % TTM**: Measures profitability by calculating the percentage of revenue that becomes net profit after all expenses and taxes.
- **Free Cashflow Margin %**: Indicates a company’s efficiency in generating free cash flow from its revenues by showing the percentage of revenue that translates into free cash flow.
- **ROE%, ROIC%, ROA%**: Evaluate a company’s efficiency in generating profits from equity, invested capital, and total assets, respectively.
### Liquidity Metrics
- **Debt to Equity Ratio**: Shows the level of debt relative to equity, helping assess financial leverage.
- **Current Ratio**: Measures a company's ability to pay short-term debts by comparing current assets to current liabilities.
- **Long Term Debt to Assets**: Evaluates the level of long-term debt in relation to total assets.
### Dividend Policy
- **Retention Ratio % TTM**: Indicates the proportion of earnings reinvested in the company instead of distributed as dividends.
- **Dividend/Earnings Ratio % TTM**: Measures the percentage of earnings paid out as dividends to shareholders.
- **RORE % TTM (Return on Retained Earnings)**: Assesses how effectively a company utilizes retained earnings to generate additional profits.
- **Dividend Yield %**: Indicates the dividend yield of a stock by comparing annual dividends per share to the current stock price.
### Growth Ratios
- **EPS 1yr Growth %**: Measures the percentage growth of earnings per share over the last year.
- **Revenue 1yr Growth %**: Evaluates the percentage growth of revenue over the last year.
- **Sustainable Growth Rate**: Indicates the growth rate a company can maintain without increasing debt, assessing sustainable growth using internal resources.
Utilize this indicator to streamline your analysis of financial performance and make informed trading decisions.
EMA Cross Fibonacci Entry with RetracementThe EMA Cross Fibonacci Entry with Retracement is a trading strategy that combines two popular technical analysis tools: Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) and Fibonacci retracement levels. Here's a brief overview of how this strategy typically works:
### Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs)
1. **EMAs Calculation**: EMAs give more weight to recent price data, making them more responsive to price changes. Commonly used periods for EMAs in this strategy are the 50-period and 200-period EMAs.
2. **EMA Cross**: The strategy looks for a "golden cross" (short-term EMA crosses above the long-term EMA) as a potential buy signal, and a "death cross" (short-term EMA crosses below the long-term EMA) as a potential sell signal.
### Fibonacci Retracement Levels
1. **Fibonacci Retracement**: This tool is used to identify potential support and resistance levels based on the Fibonacci sequence. The key retracement levels are 23.6%, 38.2%, 50%, 61.8%, and 78.6%.
2. **Drawing Retracement Levels**: Traders draw Fibonacci retracement levels from a significant peak to a significant trough (or vice versa) to identify potential retracement levels where the price might reverse.
### Combining EMA Cross with Fibonacci Retracement
1. **Identify EMA Cross**: First, traders look for an EMA cross. For example, a golden cross where a shorter EMA (e.g., 50 EMA) crosses above a longer EMA (e.g., 200 EMA) suggests a bullish trend.
2. **Wait for Retracement**: After identifying a cross, traders wait for the price to retrace to a Fibonacci level. The key levels to watch are 38.2%, 50%, and 61.8%.
3. **Entry Point**: The entry point is when the price retraces to a Fibonacci level and shows signs of reversal (e.g., bullish candlestick patterns, support at Fibonacci levels). This is typically when traders enter a long position.
4. **Confirmation with EMA**: Ensure that the EMAs support the trend. For a buy entry, the short-term EMA should remain above the long-term EMA.
### Example of a Bullish Entry
1. **Golden Cross**: 50 EMA crosses above 200 EMA.
2. **Retracement**: Price retraces to the 38.2% Fibonacci level.
3. **Entry Signal**: At the 38.2% level, a bullish candlestick pattern (e.g., hammer) forms, indicating potential support.
4. **Entry Point**: Enter a long position at the close of the bullish candlestick.
### Risk Management
1. **Stop Loss**: Place a stop loss below the next Fibonacci retracement level or below the recent swing low to limit potential losses.
2. **Take Profit**: Set a take profit target based on a risk-reward ratio, previous resistance levels, or further Fibonacci extensions.
### Conclusion
The EMA Cross Fibonacci Entry with Retracement strategy is a systematic approach to identifying entry points in a trending market. By combining the responsiveness of EMAs with the predictive power of Fibonacci retracement levels, traders aim to enter trades at optimal points, increasing their chances of success while managing risk effectively.
Métricas FinanceirasP/L:
Verde: abaixo de 9
Amarelo: entre 9 e 14
Vermelho: acima de 14
EV/EBITDA:
Verde: abaixo de 5.5
Amarelo: entre 5.6 e 9
Vermelho: acima de 9
P/VP:
Verde: abaixo de 1.5
Amarelo: entre 1.5 e 3
Vermelho: acima de 3
ROE:
Verde: a partir de 20%
Amarelo: até 0
Vermelho: negativo
DY:
Verde: acima de 6%
Amarelo: entre 0 e 6%
Vermelho: abaixo de 0
DL/EBITDA:
Verde: entre 1 e 2
Amarelo: acima de 2
Vermelho: abaixo de 0 ou 0
Stock Value RainbowStock Valuation based on Book Value, Dividends, Cashflow, Earnings and Estimates and Money Multiplier
There are many ways to measure stock valuations: some methods are using book value, some are using dividends, some are using cashflow, some are using earnings and some using estimates data. Most of these valuation methods are based on multiplier effect which measure how many times the stock price could expand from their valuation base. This indicator attempts to unify all these measurements using just simple addition of all measurements such as: book value per share, dividend per share, cashflow per share, earning per share, and estimates of earning per share and then using multiplier effect to create beautiful rainbow to see how far the stock has growing up above or below their valuation base. The higher the stock price on rainbow spectrum means it is more expensive and the lower in the rainbow spectrum means it is cheaper. Here is the basic formula explanation:
SV = (BVPS + DPS + CFPS + EPS + EST) * MM
BVPS = Book Value Per Share (Asset - Liability)
DPS = Dividends Per Share
CFPS = Free Cash Flow Per Share
EPS = Earnings Per Share
EST = Estimates of EPS
MM = Money Multiplier (1x, 2x, ... ,10x)
- The gray line represents the stock value SV
- The rainbow above the gray line represents the multiplication factors from 1x, 2x, ..., 10x
- The rainbow below the gray line represents the division factors from 0.8x, 0.6x, ..., 0.2x
Check other script to value stock and index:
- Stock Value Rainbow: script to value stock based on book value, dividend, cash flow, earning and estimates.
- Index Value Rainbow: script to value index based on fed balance sheet and base money supply
- Gold Value Rainbow: script to value gold based on global money supply
- Stock Value US: script to check US stock value
- Stock Value EU: script to check EU stock value
- Stock Value JP: script to check JP stock value
- Stock Value CN: script to check CN stock value
PEV Price BandThe PEV Price Band shows prices calculated using the high and low P/FQ EV of the previous period. (price to enterprise value per share for the last quarter) multiplied by FQ's current EVPS (similar to comparing marketcap to enterprise value but edit equations that are close to the theory of P/E)
If the current price is lower than the minimum P/EVPS, it is considered cheap. In other words, a current price is above the maximum is considered expensive.
PEV Price Band consists of 2 parts.
- First of all, the current P/EVPS value is "green" (if the markecap is less than the enterprise value) or "red" (if the marketcap is more than the enterprise value) or "gold" (if the market value is less than the enterprise value and less than equity)
- Second, the blue line is the closing price.
Bitcoin Production CostFirst inspired by the amazing @capriole_charles, I decided to create my own version of calculating the Bitcoin production cost and to share it with you guys.
One of the main difference is the electricity cost calculation. I used a country-specific input system that calculates the weighted electricity cost leveraged by the distribution of the Bitcoin network hashrate. I like the fact that it requires little updating although it is less realistic for past calculations (further in the past production costs seems too low).
How to use:
- Add the indicator to your chart.
- Adjust the inputs if needed. Update the percentage of Bitcoin network Hashrate or electricity Cost per countries. Update the mining hardware stats to the most recent hardware. For example I used a Bitcoin Miner S21 Pro stats.
- Check the multiple variables in the data window.
- Turn on/off the halving event in the style tab
Macro Risk On/Off SentimentOverview
As an Ichimoku trader, I've always found it crucial to understand the broader market sentiment before entering trades. That's why I developed this Macro Risk On/Off Sentiment Indicator. It's designed to provide a comprehensive view of global market risk sentiment by analysing multiple factors across different asset classes. By combining nine key market indicators, it produces an overall risk sentiment score, giving me a clearer picture of the market's mood before I apply my Ichimoku strategy.
Rationale
While Ichimoku is powerful for identifying trends and potential entry points, I realised it doesn't always capture the broader market context. Markets don't exist in isolation—they're influenced by a myriad of factors including volatility, economic indicators, and cross-asset relationships. By creating this indicator, I aimed to fill that gap, providing myself with a macro view that complements my Ichimoku analysis.
How It Works
The indicator analyses nine different market factors:
VIX (Volatility Index): Measures market expectations of near-term volatility.
S&P 500 Performance: Represents the overall US stock market performance.
US 10-Year Treasury Yield: Indicates bond market sentiment and economic outlook.
Gold Price Movement: Often seen as a safe-haven asset.
US Dollar Index: Measures the strength of the USD against a basket of currencies.
Emerging Markets Performance: Represents risk appetite for higher-risk markets.
High Yield Bond Spreads: Indicates credit market risk sentiment.
Copper/Gold Ratio: An economic growth indicator.
Put/Call Ratio: Measures overall market sentiment based on options trading.
Each factor is assigned a score based on its z-score relative to its recent history, then weighted according to its perceived importance. The overall risk score is a weighted average of these individual scores.
How I Use It
Before applying my Ichimoku strategy, I first check this indicator to gauge the overall market sentiment:
I look at the blue line plotted on the chart, which represents the overall risk score.
I note the background colour: green for risk-on (positive score) and red for risk-off (negative score).
I check the label in the lower-left corner, which provides specific FX pair recommendations and market expectations.
In a risk-on environment (positive score):
I focus on long positions in AUD/JPY, NZD/JPY, EUR/USD, etc.
I look for short opportunities in USD/CAD, USD/NOK, etc.
I expect commodities and yields to rise
In a risk-off environment (negative score):
I focus on long positions in USD/JPY, USD/CHF, USD/CAD
I look for short opportunities in AUD/USD, NZD/USD, EUR/USD
I expect increased volatility and falling yields
The strength of the sentiment is reflected in how close the score is to either 1 (strong risk-on) or -1 (strong risk-off). This helps me gauge how aggressive or conservative I should be with my Ichimoku trades.
Customisation
I've designed this indicator to be flexible. You can modify it to:
Adjust the lookback period and moving average length (both default to 30)
Change the weighting of different factors in the final score calculation
Include or exclude specific factors based on your analysis needs
By combining this Macro Risk On/Off Sentiment Indicator with my Ichimoku analysis, I've found I can make more informed trading decisions, taking into account both the technical setups I see on the chart and the broader market context.
