Full Moon and New Moon IndicatorThe Full Moon & New Moon Indicator is a custom Pine Script indicator which marks Full Moon (Pournami) and New Moon (Amavasya) events on the price chart. This indicator helps traders who incorporate lunar cycles into their market analysis, as certain traders believe these cycles influence market sentiment and price action. The current script is added for the year 2024 and 2025 and the dates are considered as per the Telugu calendar.
Features
✅ Identifies and labels Full Moon & New Moon days on the chart for the year 2024 and 2025
How it Works!
On a Full Moon day, it places a yellow label ("Pournami") above the corresponding candle.
On a New Moon day, it places a blue label ("Amavasya") above the corresponding candle.
Example Usage
When a Full Moon label appears, check for potential trend reversals or high volatility.
When a New Moon label appears, watch for market consolidation or a shift in sentiment.
Combine with candlestick patterns, support/resistance, or momentum indicators for a stronger trading setup.
🚀 Add this indicator to your TradingView chart and explore the market’s reaction to lunar cycles! 🌕
Recherche dans les scripts pour "人民币升值对A股的影响+2025"
TASC 2025.03 A New Solution, Removing Moving Average Lag█ OVERVIEW
This script implements a novel technique for removing lag from a moving average, as introduced by John Ehlers in the "A New Solution, Removing Moving Average Lag" article featured in the March 2025 edition of TASC's Traders' Tips .
█ CONCEPTS
In his article, Ehlers explains that the average price in a time series represents a statistical estimate for a block of price values, where the estimate is positioned at the block's center on the time axis. In the case of a simple moving average (SMA), the calculation moves the analyzed block along the time axis and computes an average after each new sample. Because the average's position is at the center of each block, the SMA inherently lags behind price changes by half the data length.
As a solution to removing moving average lag, Ehlers proposes a new projected moving average (PMA) . The PMA smooths price data while maintaining responsiveness by calculating a projection of the average using the data's linear regression slope.
The slope of linear regression on a block of financial time series data can be expressed as the covariance between prices and sample points divided by the variance of the sample points. Ehlers derives the PMA by adding this slope across half the data length to the SMA, creating a first-order prediction that substantially reduces lag:
PMA = SMA + Slope * Length / 2
In addition, the article includes methods for calculating predictions of the PMA and the slope based on second-order and fourth-order differences. The formulas for these predictions are as follows:
PredictPMA = PMA + 0.5 * (Slope - Slope ) * Length
PredictSlope = 1.5 * Slope - 0.5 * Slope
Ehlers suggests that crossings between the predictions and the original values can help traders identify timely buy and sell signals.
█ USAGE
This indicator displays the SMA, PMA, and PMA prediction for a specified series in the main chart pane, and it shows the linear regression slope and prediction in a separate pane. Analyzing the difference between the PMA and SMA can help to identify trends. The differences between PMA or slope and its corresponding prediction can indicate turning points and potential trade opportunities.
The SMA plot uses the chart's foreground color, and the PMA and slope plots are blue by default. The plots of the predictions have a green or red hue to signify direction. Additionally, the indicator fills the space between the SMA and PMA with a green or red color gradient based on their differences:
Users can customize the source series, data length, and plot colors via the inputs in the "Settings/Inputs" tab.
█ NOTES FOR Pine Script® CODERS
The article's code implementation uses a loop to calculate all necessary sums for the slope and SMA calculations. Ported into Pine, the implementation is as follows:
pma(float src, int length) =>
float PMA = 0., float SMA = 0., float Slope = 0.
float Sx = 0.0 , float Sy = 0.0
float Sxx = 0.0 , float Syy = 0.0 , float Sxy = 0.0
for count = 1 to length
float src1 = src
Sx += count
Sy += src
Sxx += count * count
Syy += src1 * src1
Sxy += count * src1
Slope := -(length * Sxy - Sx * Sy) / (length * Sxx - Sx * Sx)
SMA := Sy / length
PMA := SMA + Slope * length / 2
However, loops in Pine can be computationally expensive, and the above loop's runtime scales directly with the specified length. Fortunately, Pine's built-in functions often eliminate the need for loops. This indicator implements the following function, which simplifies the process by using the ta.linreg() and ta.sma() functions to calculate equivalent slope and SMA values efficiently:
pma(float src, int length) =>
float Slope = ta.linreg(src, length, 0) - ta.linreg(src, length, 1)
float SMA = ta.sma(src, length)
float PMA = SMA + Slope * length * 0.5
To learn more about loop elimination in Pine, refer to this section of the User Manual's Profiling and optimization page.
TASC 2025.02 Autocorrelation Indicator█ OVERVIEW
This script implements the Autocorrelation Indicator introduced by John Ehlers in the "Drunkard's Walk: Theory And Measurement By Autocorrelation" article from the February 2025 edition of TASC's Traders' Tips . The indicator calculates the autocorrelation of a price series across several lags to construct a periodogram , which traders can use to identify market cycles, trends, and potential reversal patterns.
█ CONCEPTS
Drunkard's walk
A drunkard's walk , formally known as a random walk , is a type of stochastic process that models the evolution of a system or variable through successive random steps.
In his article, John Ehlers relates this model to market data. He discusses two first- and second-order partial differential equations, modified for discrete (non-continuous) data, that can represent solutions to the discrete random walk problem: the diffusion equation and the wave equation. According to Ehlers, market data takes on a mixture of two "modes" described by these equations. He theorizes that when "diffusion mode" is dominant, trading success is almost a matter of luck, and when "wave mode" is dominant, indicators may have improved performance.
Pink spectrum
John Ehlers explains that many recent academic studies affirm that market data has a pink spectrum , meaning the power spectral density of the data is proportional to the wavelengths it contains, like pink noise . A random walk with a pink spectrum suggests that the states of the random variable are correlated and not independent. In other words, the random variable exhibits long-range dependence with respect to previous states.
Autocorrelation function (ACF)
Autocorrelation measures the correlation of a time series with a delayed copy, or lag , of itself. The autocorrelation function (ACF) is a method that evaluates autocorrelation across a range of lags , which can help to identify patterns, trends, and cycles in stochastic market data. Analysts often use ACF to detect and characterize long-range dependence in a time series.
The Autocorrelation Indicator evaluates the ACF of market prices over a fixed range of lags, expressing the results as a color-coded heatmap representing a dynamic periodogram. Ehlers suggests the information from the periodogram can help traders identify different market behaviors, including:
Cycles : Distinguishable as repeated patterns in the periodogram.
Reversals : Indicated by sharp vertical changes in the periodogram when the indicator uses a short data length .
Trends : Indicated by increasing correlation across lags, starting with the shortest, over time.
█ USAGE
This script calculates the Autocorrelation Indicator on an input "Source" series, smoothed by Ehlers' UltimateSmoother filter, and plots several color-coded lines to represent the periodogram's information. Each line corresponds to an analyzed lag, with the shortest lag's line at the bottom of the pane. Green hues in the line indicate a positive correlation for the lag, red hues indicate a negative correlation (anticorrelation), and orange or yellow hues mean the correlation is near zero.
Because Pine has a limit on the number of plots for a single indicator, this script divides the periodogram display into three distinct ranges that cover different lags. To see the full periodogram, add three instances of this script to the chart and set the "Lag range" input for each to a different value, as demonstrated in the chart above.
With a modest autocorrelation length, such as 20 on a "1D" chart, traders can identify seasonal patterns in the price series, which can help to pinpoint cycles and moderate trends. For instance, on the daily ES1! chart above, the indicator shows repetitive, similar patterns through fall 2023 and winter 2023-2024. The green "triangular" shape rising from the zero lag baseline over different time ranges corresponds to seasonal trends in the data.
To identify turning points in the price series, Ehlers recommends using a short autocorrelation length, such as 2. With this length, users can observe sharp, sudden shifts along the vertical axis, which suggest potential turning points from upward to downward or vice versa.
Highs & Lows RTH/OVN/IBs/D/W/M/YOverview
Plots the highs and lows of RTH, OVN/ETH, IBs of those sessions, previous Day, Week, Month, and Year.
Features
Allows the user to enable/disable plotting the high/low of each period.
Lines' length, offset, and colors can be customized
Labels' position, size, color, and style can be customized
Support
Questions, feedbacks, and requests are welcomed. Please feel free to use Comments or direct private message via TradingView.
Disclaimer
This stock chart indicator provided is for informational purposes only and should not be considered as financial or investment advice. The data and information presented in this indicator are obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but we do not warrant its completeness or accuracy.
Users should be aware that:
Any investment decisions made based on this indicator are at your own risk.
The creators and providers of this indicator disclaim all liability for any losses, damages, or other consequences resulting from its use. By using this stock chart indicator, you acknowledge and accept the inherent risks associated with trading and investing in financial markets.
Release Date: 2025-01-17
Release Version: v1 r1
Release Notes Date: 2025-01-17
SW monthly Gann Days**Script Description:**
The script you are looking at is based on the work of W.D. Gann, a famous trader and market analyst in the early 20th century, known for his use of geometry, astrology, and numerology in market analysis. Gann believed that certain days in the market had significant importance, and he observed that markets often exhibited significant price moves around specific dates. These dates were typically associated with cyclical patterns in price movements, and Gann referred to these as "Gann Days."
In this script, we have focused on highlighting certain days of the month that Gann believed to have an influence on market behavior. The specific days in question are the **6th to 7th**, **9th to 10th**, **14th to 15th**, **19th to 20th**, **23rd to 24th**, and **29th to 31st** of each month. These ranges are based on Gann’s theory that there are recurring time cycles in the market that cause turning points or critical price movements to occur around certain days of the month.
### **Why Gann Used These Days:**
1. **Mathematical and Astrological Cycles:**
Gann believed that markets were influenced by natural cycles, and that certain dates (or combinations of dates) played a critical role in the price movements. These specific days are part of his broader theory of "time cycles" where the market would often change direction, reverse, or exhibit significant volatility on particular days. Gann's research was based on both mathematical principles and astrological observations, leading him to assign importance to these days.
2. **Gann's Universal Timing Theory:**
According to Gann, financial markets operate in a universe governed by geometric and astrological principles. These cycles repeat themselves over time, and specific days in a given month correspond to key turning points within these repeating cycles. Gann found that the 6th to 7th, 9th to 10th, 14th to 15th, 19th to 20th, 23rd to 24th, and 29th to 31st often marked significant changes in the market, making them particularly important for traders to watch.
3. **Market Psychology and Sentiment:**
These specific days likely correspond to key moments where market participants tend to react in predictable ways, influenced by past market behavior on similar dates. For example, news events or scheduled economic reports might fall within these time windows, causing the market to respond in a particular way. Gann's method involves using these cyclical patterns to predict turning points in market prices, enabling traders to anticipate when the market might make a reversal or face a significant shift in direction.
4. **Turning Points:**
Gann believed that markets often reversed or encountered critical points around specific dates. This is why he considered certain days more important than others. By identifying and focusing on these days, traders can better anticipate the market’s movement and make more informed trading decisions.
5. **Numerology:**
Gann also utilized numerology in his trading system, believing that numbers, and particularly certain key numbers, had significance in predicting market movements. The days selected in this script may correspond to numerological patterns that Gann identified in his analysis of the markets, such as recurring numbers in his astrological and geometric systems.
### **Purpose of the Script:**
This script highlights these "Gann Days" within a trading chart for 2024 and 2025. The color-coding or background highlighting is intended to draw attention to these dates, so traders can observe the potential for significant market movements during these times. By identifying these specific dates, traders following Gann's theories may gain insights into possible turning points, corrections, or key price movements based on the market's historical behavior around these days.
Overall, Gann’s use of specific days was based on his deep belief in the cyclical nature of the market and his attempt to tie those cycles to the natural laws of time, geometry, and astrology. By focusing on these dates, Gann aimed to give traders an edge in predicting significant market events and price shifts.
TASC 2025.01 Linear Predictive Filters█ OVERVIEW
This script implements a suite of tools for identifying and utilizing dominant cycles in time series data, as introduced by John Ehlers in the "Linear Predictive Filters And Instantaneous Frequency" article featured in the January 2025 edition of TASC's Traders' Tips . Dominant cycle information can help traders adapt their indicators and strategies to changing market conditions.
█ CONCEPTS
Conventional technical indicators and strategies often rely on static, unchanging parameters, which may fail to account for the dynamic nature of market data. In his article, John Ehlers applies digital signal processing principles to address this issue, introducing linear predictive filters to identify cyclic information for adapting indicators and strategies to evolving market conditions.
This approach treats market data as a complex series in the time domain. Analyzing the series in the frequency domain reveals information about its cyclic components. To reduce the impact of frequencies outside a range of interest and focus on a specific range of cycles, Ehlers applies second-order highpass and lowpass filters to the price data, which attenuate or remove wavelengths outside the desired range. This band-limited analysis isolates specific parts of the frequency spectrum for various trading styles, e.g., longer wavelengths for position trading or shorter wavelengths for swing trading.
After filtering the series to produce band-limited data, Ehlers applies a linear predictive filter to predict future values a few bars ahead. The filter, calculated based on the techniques proposed by Lloyd Griffiths, adaptively minimizes the error between the latest data point and prediction, successively adjusting its coefficients to align with the band-limited series. The filter's coefficients can then be applied to generate an adaptive estimate of the band-limited data's structure in the frequency domain and identify the dominant cycle.
█ USAGE
This script implements the following tools presented in the article:
Griffiths Predictor
This tool calculates a linear predictive filter to forecast future data points in band-limited price data. The crosses between the prediction and signal lines can provide potential trade signals.
Griffiths Spectrum
This tool calculates a partial frequency spectrum of the band-limited price data derived from the linear predictive filter's coefficients, displaying a color-coded representation of the frequency information in the pane. This mode's display represents the data as a periodogram . The bottom of each plotted bar corresponds to a specific analyzed period (inverse of frequency), and the bar's color represents the presence of that periodic cycle in the time series relative to the one with the highest presence (i.e., the dominant cycle). Warmer, brighter colors indicate a higher presence of the cycle in the series, whereas darker colors indicate a lower presence.
Griffiths Dominant Cycle
This tool compares the cyclic components within the partial spectrum and identifies the frequency with the highest power, i.e., the dominant cycle . Traders can use this dominant cycle information to tune other indicators and strategies, which may help promote better alignment with dynamic market conditions.
Notes on parameters
Bandpass boundaries:
In the article, Ehlers recommends an upper bound of 125 bars or higher to capture longer-term cycles for position trading. He recommends an upper bound of 40 bars and a lower bound of 18 bars for swing trading. If traders use smaller lower bounds, Ehlers advises a minimum of eight bars to minimize the potential effects of aliasing.
Data length:
The Griffiths predictor can use a relatively small data length, as autocorrelation diminishes rapidly with lag. However, for optimal spectrum and dominant cycle calculations, the length must match or exceed the upper bound of the bandpass filter. Ehlers recommends avoiding excessively long lengths to maintain responsiveness to shorter-term cycles.
📊 Multi-Timeframe High/Low Strategy Pro v40.0📊 Multi-Timeframe High/Low Strategy Pro v40.0 (Mustang Algo)
🎯 OVERVIEW
Advanced trading strategy that identifies and trades breakouts of key support and resistance levels across multiple timeframes. Features intelligent pyramiding, ATR-based risk management, and comprehensive backtesting capabilities. Now upgraded to Pine Script v6 for enhanced performance and compatibility.
✨ KEY FEATURES
📈 Multi-Timeframe Levels:
- Yesterday's High/Low
- Today's High/Low (intraday)
- Last Week's High/Low
- Last Month's High/Low
- Last Year's High/Low
🔥 Advanced Position Management:
- Pyramiding up to 100 simultaneous positions
- Configurable equity allocation per trade (0.1% - 100%)
- Daily trade limiter to control overtrading
- Smart position sizing with percentage-based allocation
🎯 Flexible Entry Signals:
- 10 Long entry options (breakouts above key levels)
- 10 Short entry options (breakdowns below key levels)
- Mix and match any combination of signals
- Real-time alerts for all level breaks
🛡️ Risk Management:
- ATR-based or Percentage-based Stop Loss
- ATR-based or Percentage-based Take Profit
- Time-based exits (exit after X bars)
- Precise price-based exits using limit/stop orders
- Entry price calculation for accurate TP/SL placement
📊 Visual Features:
- Clean, modern design with color-coded levels
- Customizable labels with emojis for easy identification
- ATR bands and histogram visualization
- Real-time position information panel
- Adjustable line lookback period (10-500 bars)
⚙️ HOW TO USE
1️⃣ Enable Strategy:
• Check "▶️ Enable Strategy" in Backtesting Settings
• Optionally set date range filter for testing specific periods
2️⃣ Select Entry Signals:
• Choose which level breaks trigger Long entries (⬆️)
• Choose which level breaks trigger Short entries (⬇️)
• Can combine multiple signals for complex strategies
3️⃣ Configure Exits:
• Enable Take Profit and/or Stop Loss
• Choose between Percentage or ATR-based calculations
• Set percentage values (e.g., 10% TP, 5% SL)
• Optionally enable time-based exit (bars)
4️⃣ Advanced Options:
• Enable Pyramiding for multiple concurrent positions
• Set max number of trades per day (1-1000)
• Adjust position sizing per trade (0.1-100%)
📋 CONFIGURATION PARAMETERS
Visual Settings:
- Toggle individual levels on/off
- Line lookback length (10-500 bars)
- Label size (large/normal/small/tiny)
- Label color customization
- Label positioning offset (0-50)
ATR Settings:
- ATR Period (default: 14, range: 1-200)
- ATR Multiplier (default: 2.0, range: 0.1-10.0)
- Optional ATR bands visualization
- Optional ATR histogram display
Entry Signals:
- 10 Long entry triggers (crossover signals)
- 10 Short entry triggers (crossunder signals)
- Individual activation for each signal
Exit Settings:
Take Profit:
- Enable/Disable TP
- Type: Percent (0.1-100%) or ATR (0.1-20x)
- Percent: 0.1% to 100% gain target
- ATR: 0.1 to 20 ATR multipliers
Stop Loss:
- Enable/Disable SL
- Type: Percent (0.1-100%) or ATR (0.1-20x)
- Percent: 0.1% to 100% loss limit
- ATR: 0.1 to 20 ATR multipliers
Time Exit:
- 0-1000 bars (0 = disabled)
Multi-Trade Settings:
- Enable/Disable Pyramiding
- Max concurrent trades (1-100)
- Equity % per trade (0.1-100%)
Daily Limit:
- Enable/Disable daily trade limit
- Max trades per day (1-1000)
Backtesting:
- Date range filtering
- From/To Year, Month, Day selection
🎨 VISUAL DESIGN
Modern, clean interface featuring:
- Color-coded levels with transparency:
- 📗📕 Yesterday (bright green/red)
- 🟢🔴 Today (cyan/magenta)
- 🔵🟠 Last Week (blue/orange)
- 🟣🔷 Last Month (purple/light blue)
- 🟤🟫 Last Year (brown)
- Different line styles per timeframe
- Compact emoji labels (Y-High, T-Low, W-High, M-Low, Yr-High)
- Dynamic info panel showing active settings
- Semi-transparent fills for ATR zones
⚡ PERFECT FOR
- Breakout trading strategies
- Multi-timeframe analysis
- Systematic algorithmic trading
- Range breakout systems
- Support/Resistance trading
- Scalping with pyramiding
- Day trading with level breaks
📊 BACKTESTING ENGINE
Comprehensive backtesting with:
- Date range filtering for precise periods
- Accurate entry/exit execution
- Multiple position management
- Detailed performance metrics
- Trade-by-trade analysis
- Pyramiding simulation
🔔 ALERTS AVAILABLE
Set custom alerts for:
- Any level breakout (10 different levels)
- Crossover and crossunder events
- All timeframe combinations
- Entry and exit signals
- Position management events
🆕 VERSION 40.0 UPDATES
- Upgraded to Pine Script v6
- Enhanced compatibility and performance
- Improved input system (input.bool, input.int, input.float)
- Updated security function (request.security)
- Fixed ta.barssince calculations
- Optimized strategy.close implementation
- Shorter title for TradingView compliance
⚠️ IMPORTANT TECHNICAL NOTES
- Uses precise limit/stop prices for TP/SL (not ticks)
- Entry price-based calculations (not current close)
- Pyramiding controlled via strategy declaration
- Daily trade counter resets at midnight
- ATR calculated on each bar for consistency
- Works best on intraday timeframes for daily levels
- Time-based exits use global scope calculations
💡 USAGE TIPS
- Start with single signal testing to understand behavior
- Use percentage-based exits for consistent risk/reward ratios
- Enable daily limit to prevent overtrading volatile days
- Combine ATR-based stops with percentage targets
- Test different level combinations for your specific asset
- Lower pyramiding percentage for safer multi-position trading
- Consider market volatility when setting ATR multipliers
📈 STRATEGY LOGIC EXPLANATION
The strategy identifies critical support/resistance levels from multiple timeframes (yesterday, today, week, month, year) and generates trading signals when price breaks through these levels.
**Entry Logic:**
- LONG: Price crosses above selected high/low levels
- SHORT: Price crosses below selected high/low levels
**Exit Logic:**
- Take Profit: Fixed percentage or ATR-based target
- Stop Loss: Fixed percentage or ATR-based stop
- Time Exit: Maximum bars in position
**Position Management:**
- Pyramiding allows building multiple positions
- Daily limiter prevents excessive trading
- Per-trade allocation controls risk per entry
🎓 BEST PRACTICES
1. **Risk Management:** Never risk more than 1-2% per trade
2. **Pyramiding:** Use smaller percentages (0.5-2%) when enabled
3. **Daily Limits:** Set realistic limits based on market volatility
4. **TP/SL Ratio:** Aim for minimum 1:1.5 risk/reward ratio
5. **Backtesting:** Test thoroughly across different market conditions
6. **Timeframes:** Use appropriate timeframes for your trading style
7. **Level Selection:** Choose relevant levels for your asset class
📊 RECOMMENDED SETTINGS
**Conservative (Low Risk):**
- Pyramiding: Disabled
- TP: 5% or 3 ATR
- SL: 2% or 1.5 ATR
- Daily Limit: 3-5 trades
- Signals: Week/Month highs only
**Moderate (Balanced):**
- Pyramiding: Enabled (max 3)
- Per Trade: 2%
- TP: 3% or 2.5 ATR
- SL: 1.5% or 1 ATR
- Daily Limit: 5-10 trades
- Signals: Yesterday + Week levels
**Aggressive (High Risk):**
- Pyramiding: Enabled (max 5)
- Per Trade: 1%
- TP: 2% or 2 ATR
- SL: 1% or 0.75 ATR
- Daily Limit: 10-20 trades
- Signals: All levels enabled
⚠️ RISK DISCLAIMER
This indicator is for educational and informational purposes only. Trading involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for every investor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always:
- Test thoroughly in paper trading first
- Use proper risk management
- Never risk more than you can afford to lose
- Understand the strategy before live trading
- Consider transaction costs and slippage
- Consult a financial advisor if needed
🔧 TROUBLESHOOTING
- **No trades executing:** Check if "Enable Strategy" is ON
- **Too many trades:** Reduce signals or enable daily limit
- **TP/SL not working:** Verify percentage/ATR settings
- **Pyramiding not working:** Check max trades and % per trade
- **Labels not showing:** Ensure "Show Labels" is enabled
📞 SUPPORT & FEEDBACK
For questions, suggestions, bug reports, or feature requests:
- Comment below this indicator
- Contact the author through TradingView
- Report any issues with specific examples
🌟 FEATURES SUMMARY
✅ Multi-timeframe level detection
✅ Customizable breakout signals
✅ ATR and percentage-based exits
✅ Advanced pyramiding system
✅ Daily trade limiting
✅ Time-based exits
✅ Modern visual design
✅ Comprehensive backtesting
✅ Real-time alerts
✅ Pine Script v6 compatible
📚 VERSION HISTORY
- v40.0 - Pine Script v6 upgrade + bug fixes
- v39.3 - Fixed TP/SL with limit/stop prices
- v39.2 - Entry price-based calculations
- v39.1 - Fixed daily trade counter
- v39.0 - Pyramiding + daily limiter
- v38.0 - Multi-trade capability (100 positions)
- v37.0 - ATR-based exits
- v36.0 - Backtesting integration
- v35.0 - Added yearly levels
🚀 GET STARTED
1. Add indicator to your chart
2. Open settings panel
3. Enable "▶️ Enable Strategy"
4. Select your preferred entry signals
5. Configure TP/SL settings
6. Run backtest on historical data
7. Optimize parameters for your asset
8. Set up alerts for live trading
Happy Trading! 🎯💰📈
---
© 2025 Multi-Timeframe High/Low Strategy Pro
Built with precision. Tested with care. Trade with confidence.
Vandan V2Vandan V2 is an automated trading strategy for NQ1! (E-mini Nasdaq-100) based on short-term mean reversion with dynamic risk control. It combines volatility filters and overbought/oversold signals to capture local market imbalances.
Backtested from 2015 to 2025, it achieved a +730% total return, Profit Factor of 1.40, max drawdown of only 1.61%, and over 106,000 trades. Designed for systematic scalping or intraday arbitrage with a limit of 3 simultaneous contracts.
Ulcer Index (UI) by CoryP1990 – Quant ToolkitThe Ulcer Index measures downside volatility, i.e. how deep and persistent drawdowns are from recent highs. Unlike standard deviation, which treats upside and downside equally, the Ulcer Index focuses purely on pain . It’s a favorite of risk-adjusted performance metrics like the Martin Ratio.
How it works
Computes the RMS (root-mean-square) of drawdowns over a look-back window.
Rising UI → drawdowns worsening (stress increasing).
Falling UI → drawdowns shrinking (recovery phase).
Red line = Ulcer Index rising.
Lime line = Ulcer Index falling.
Red background = High-risk regime (above threshold).
Green background = Low-risk regime (below threshold).
Use cases
Gauge portfolio stress levels and timing of recovery phases.
Identify “calm vs storm” periods for position sizing.
Combine with volatility or sentiment measures for regime classification.
Defaults
Length = 14
High-risk threshold = 10
Low-risk threshold = 5
Example — NVIDIA (NVDA, 1D)
During the sharp decline through 2022, the Ulcer Index repeatedly spiked above 10 while the background turned red, highlighting an extended high-stress drawdown phase. As NVDA began recovering in early 2023, the UI line switched to lime and drifted below 5, marking a transition into a low-risk regime. Throughout 2024–2025, the index stayed mostly sub-5 with brief red pulses on minor corrections, which is clear evidence that downside volatility has remained contained during the broader uptrend.
Part of the Quant Toolkit - a series of transparent, open-source indicators designed for professional-grade analytics and education. Built by CoryP1990.
AMF PG Strategy v2.3AMF PG Strategy v2.3
1. Core Philosophy: Filtered and Volatility-Aware Trend Following
"AMF PG Strategy" is an advanced trend-following system designed to adapt to the dynamic nature of modern markets. The strategy's core philosophy is not just to follow the trend but also to wait for the right conditions to enter the market.
This is not a "black box." It is a rules-based framework that gives the user full control over various market filters. By requiring multiple conditions to be met simultaneously, the strategy aims to filter out low-quality signals and focus only on high-probability trend opportunities.
2. Core Engine: AMF PG Trend Following
At the heart of the strategy is a proprietary, volatility-aware trend-following mechanism called AMF PG (Praetorian Guard). This engine operates as follows:
Dynamic Bands: Creates a dynamic upper and lower band around the price that is constantly recalculated. The width of these bands is not fixed; It dynamically adjusts based on recent market volatility, volume flow, and price expansion. This adaptive structure allows the strategy to adapt to both calm and high-volatility markets.
Entry Signals: A buy signal is triggered when the price rises above the upper band. A sell signal is triggered when the price falls below the lower band. However, these signals are executed only when all the active filters described below give the green light.
Trailing Stop-Loss: When a position is entered, the opposite band automatically acts as a trailing stop-loss level. For example, when a buy position is opened, the lower band follows the price as a stop-loss. This allows for profit retention and trend continuation.
3. Multi-Layered Filter System: Understanding the Market
The power of this strategy comes from its modular filter system, which allows the user to filter market conditions based on their own analysis. Each filter can be enabled or disabled individually in the settings:
Filter 1: Trend Strength (ADX Filter): This filter confirms whether there is a strong trend in the market. It uses the ADX (Average Directional Index) indicator and only allows trades if the ADX value is above a certain threshold. This helps avoid trading in weak or directionless markets. It also confirms the direction of the trend by checking the position of the DMI (+DI and -DI) lines.
Filter 2: Sideways Market (Chop Index Filter): This filter determines whether the market is excessively choppy or directionless. Using the Chop Index, this filter aims to protect against fakeouts by blocking trades when the market is highly indecisive.
Filter 3: Market Structure (Hurst Exponent Filter): This is one of the strategy's most advanced filters. It analyzes the current market behavior using the Hurst Exponent. This mathematical tool attempts to determine whether a market tends to trend (permanent), tends to revert to the mean (anti-permanent), or moves randomly. This filter ensures that signals are generated only when market structure supports trending trades.
4. Risk Management: Maximum Drawdown Protection
This strategy includes a built-in capital protection mechanism. Users can specify the percentage of their capital they will tolerate to decline from its peak. If the strategy's capital reaches this set drawdown limit, the protection feature is activated, closing all open positions and preventing new trades from being opened. This acts as an emergency brake to protect capital against unexpected market conditions.
5. Automation Ready: Customizable Webhook Alerts
The strategy is designed for traders who want to automate their signals. From the Settings menu, you can configure custom alert messages in JSON format, compatible with third-party automation services (via Webhooks).
6. Strategy Backtest Information
Please note that past performance is not indicative of future results. The published chart and performance report were generated on the 4-hour timeframe of the BTCUSD pair with the following settings:
Test Period: January 1, 2016 - October 31, 2025
Default Position Size: 15% of Capital
Pyramiding: Closed
Commission: 0.0008
Slippage: 2 ticks (Please enter the slippage you used in your own tests)
Testing Approach: The published test includes 423 trades and is statistically significant. It is strongly recommended that you test on different assets and timeframes for your own analysis. The default settings are a template and should be adjusted by the user for their own analysis.
Bitcoin: Price projection from previous cycles onto 2024 cycleAn indicator for displaying the BITFINEX:BTCUSD price movement pattern from previous cycles onto the 2024–2025 cycle.
Best checked on Bitfinex or the “Brave New Coin – Bitcoin Liquid Index” (though that one has gone offline).
Next time it should be done with embedded constants rather than by copying candles from previous cycles.
Publishing to share the idea.
#1 Vishal Toora Buy Sell Tablecopyright Vishal Toora
**“© 2025 Vishal Toora — counting volumes so you don’t have to. Buy, sell, or just stare at the screen.”**
Or a few more playful options:
1. **“© Vishal Toora — making deltas speak louder than your ex.”**
2. **“© Vishal Toora — one signal to rule them all (Buy/Sell/Neutral).”**
3. **“© Vishal Toora — because guessing markets is so 2024.”**
Disclaimer: This indicator is for educational and informational purposes only. I do not claim 100% accuracy, and you are responsible for your own trading decisions.
Spooky Time (10/31/25) [VTB]Get ready to add some eerie fun to your charts this Halloween! "Spooky Time" is a lighthearted indicator that draws a festive, animated Halloween scene right on your TradingView chart. Perfect for traders who want to celebrate the spooky season without missing a beat on the markets. Whether you're analyzing stocks, crypto, or forex, this overlay brings a touch of holiday spirit to your setup.
#### Key Features:
- **Jack-o'-Lantern Pumpkin**: A detailed, glowing pumpkin with carved eyes, nose, and a jagged mouth. The eyes and mouth cycle through black (off), yellow, and red glows for a subtle animation effect, giving it that classic haunted vibe.
- **Flickering Candle**: A wax candle with a wick and an animated flame that shifts positions slightly across three frames, mimicking a real flickering light. The flame color changes between yellow, red, and orange for added dynamism.
- **Spider Web and Spider**: A spiral web with radial lines, complete with a creepy-crawly spider. The spider's legs animate with small movements, as if it's ready to pounce—perfect for that extra spooky touch!
- **Customization Options**: Toggle the "Desiringmachine" label on/off, choose its position on the chart (e.g., Bottom Center), and select the text color. The entire scene is positioned relative to the chart's open price and ATR for better scaling.
- **Animation Cycle**: The whole setup uses a simple 3-frame animation based on bar_index, making it feel alive without overwhelming your chart.
This indicator is purely visual and non-intrusive—it doesn't plot any trading signals or data, so it won't interfere with your strategies. Just add it to your chart for some Halloween cheer during your trading sessions!
**Date Note**: Timed for Halloween 2025 (10/31/25)—feel the spooky energy!
**Happy Halloween!!!** 🎃👻🕸️
iFVG Strategie by Futures.RobbyiFVG Strategy Checklist by Futures.Robby
Updated: October 27, 2025
Description
This script is a manual checklist designed to help traders evaluate their setups based on the iFVG (Fair Value Gap) strategy. It serves solely as a visual aid and does not perform automatic analysis, signal generation, or trade execution.
How It Works
The script creates an interactive checklist directly on the chart. Traders manually select which criteria are met, and the script calculates a percentage score, displaying it with color coding:
Green (≥ 60%): Good fulfillment of criteria
Orange (40–59%): Partial fulfillment
Red (< 40%): Poor fulfillment
Checklist Criteria
The checklist is divided into two main sections:
1. Trade Criteria (8 Points)
Eight manually selectable criteria to assess setup quality:
Trade im Bias → Trade in Bias: Trade follows the higher timeframe trend (H1/H4/Daily).
BE Level → BE Level: Swing point between entry and target.
Sweep → Sweep: Price hits a key swing before reversing.
Displacement → Displacement: iFVG broken by strong candles.
Leg FVG geschlossen → Leg FVG Closed: No open m1 to m5 FVGs to target.
FVG Reaktion → FVG Reaction: Reaction at FVG during sweep (HTF).
FVG Größe → FVG Size: 6 to 10 points.
Anzahl Kerzen → Number of Candles: Maximum of 6 candles.
2. Goals (1 Point)
Six optional goal conditions, counted together as 1 point:
Equal H / L → Equal High/Low
Session H / L → Session High/Low
News H / L → News High/Low
HTF Swing Point → HTF Swing Point
HTF OB → HTF Order Block
HTF FVG → HTF FVG
Settings and Customization
The script’s settings are translated as follows:
Group: Trade Criteria
Trade im Bias → Trade in Bias
Tooltip: Trendrichtung folgt HTF (H1/H4/Täglich) – Trend follows HTF direction
BE Level → BE Level
Tooltip: Swingpunkt zwischen Einstieg und Ziel – Swing point between entry and target
Sweep → Sweep
Tooltip: Kurs erreicht markanten Swing – Price hits key swing before inverse
Displacement → Displacement
Tooltip: iFVG durch starke Kerzen gebrochen – iFVG broken by strong candles
Leg FVG geschlossen → Leg FVG Closed
Tooltip: Keine offenen m1 bis m5 FVGs bis Ziel – No open m1 to m5 FVGs to target
FVG Reaktion → FVG Reaction
Tooltip: Reaktion an FVG beim Sweep (HTF) – Reaction at FVG during sweep (HTF)
FVG Größe → FVG Size
Tooltip: 6 bis 10 Punkte – 6 to 10 points
Anzahl Kerzen → Number of Candles
Tooltip: Maximal 6 Kerzen – Maximum of 6 candles
Group: Goals
Equal H / L → Equal High/Low
Session H / L → Session High/Low
News H / L → News High/Low
HTF Swing Point → HTF Swing Point
HTF OB → HTF Order Block
HTF FVG → HTF FVG
ℹ️ Ziele zählen gemeinsam als 1 Punkt → ℹ️ Goals count together as 1 point
Window Position & Size
Fensterposition → Window Position
oben rechts → top right
oben links → top left
unten rechts → bottom right
unten links → bottom left
Tabellengröße → Table Size
normal → normal
small → small
tiny → tiny
Translation of Chart Table Contents
The table headers and entries on the chart are translated as follows:
Table Headers:
Trade Checkliste → Trade Checklist
Ziele → Goals
Status Symbols:
✅ → ✅ (Fulfilled)
❌ → ❌ (Not fulfilled)
Individual Criteria (Trade Criteria):
Trade im Bias → Trade in Bias
BE Level → BE Level
Sweep → Sweep
Displacement → Displacement
Leg FVG geschlossen → Leg FVG Closed
FVG Reaktion → FVG Reaction
FVG Größe → FVG Size
Anzahl Kerzen → Number of Candles
Individual Criteria (Goals):
Equal H / L → Equal High/Low
Session H / L → Session High/Low
News H / L → News High/Low
HTF Swing Point → HTF Swing Point
HTF OB → HTF Order Block
HTF FVG → HTF FVG
Note Line:
Ziele zählen gemeinsam als 1 Punkt → Goals count together as 1 point
Important Note
This tool is not an automated indicator, but a visual decision aid for traders who want to apply their strategy in a structured and conscious way.
Flux AI PullBack System (Hybrid Pro)Flux AI PullBack System (Hybrid Pro)
//Session-Aware | Adaptive Confluence | Grace Confirm Logic//
Overview:
The Flux AI PullBack System (Hybrid Pro v5) is an adaptive, session-aware pullback indicator designed to identify high-probability continuation setups within trending markets. It automatically adjusts between “Classic” and “Enhanced” logic modes based on volatility, volume, and ATR slope, allowing it to perform seamlessly across different market sessions (Asian, London, and New York).
Core Features:
Hybrid Auto Mode — Dynamically switches between Classic (fast-moving) and Enhanced (strict) modes.
Session-Aware Context — Optimized for intraday trading in ES, NQ, and SPY.
Grace Confirmation Logic — Validates pullbacks with a follow-through condition to reduce noise.
Adaptive EMA Zone (38/62) — Highlights pullback areas with dynamic aqua fill and transparency linked to trend strength.
Noise Suppression Filter — Prevents false pullbacks during EMA crossovers or unstable transitions.
Weighted Confluence Model — Combines trend, ATR, volume, and swing structure for confirmation strength.
Pine v6 Compliant Alerts — Constant-string safe, ready for webhooks and automation.
Visual Elements:
Aqua EMA Zone: Displays the “breathing” pullback band (tightens during volatility spikes).
PB↑ / PB↓ Markers: Confirmed pullbacks with subtle transparency and fixed label size.
Bar Highlights: Yellow for pullbacks; ice-blue for confirmed continuation.
Use Cases
Perfect for:
Intraday trend traders
0DTE SPX / ES scalpers
Futures traders (NQ, MNQ, MES)
Algorithmic strategy builders using webhooks
Recommended Timeframes:
1–15 minute charts (scalping / intraday)
Higher timeframes for swing confirmations.
Attribution:
This open-source script was inspired by Chris Moody’s “CM Slingshot System” and JustUncleL’s Pullback Tools, but it was built from scratch using AI-assisted code refinement (ChatGPT).
All logic and enhancements are original, not derived from proprietary software.
License: MIT (Open Source)
© 2025 Ken Anderson — You may modify, use, or redistribute with credit.
Keywords:
Pullback, Reversal, AI Trading, EMA Zone, Session Aware, Futures Trading, SPX, ES, NQ, ATR Filter, Volume Confirmation, Flux System, Pine Script v6, Non-Repainting, Adaptive Trading Indicator.
FCBI Brake PressureBrake Pressure (FCBI − USIRYY)
Concept
The Brake Pressure indicator quantifies whether the bond market is braking or releasing liquidity relative to real yields (USIRYY).
It is derived from the Financial-Conditions Brake Index (FCBI) and expresses the balance between long-term yield pressure and real-rate dynamics.
Formula
Brake Pressure = FCBI − USIRYY
where FCBI = (US10Y) − (USINTR) − (CPI YoY)
Purpose
While FCBI measures the intensity of financial-condition pressure, Brake Pressure shows when that brake is being applied or released.
It captures the turning point of liquidity transmission in the financial system.
How to Read
Brake Pressure < 0 (orange) → Brake engaged → financial conditions tighter than real-rate baseline; liquidity constrained.
Brake Pressure ≈ 0 → Neutral zone → transition phase between tightening and easing.
Brake Pressure > 0 (teal) → Brake released → financial conditions looser than real-rate baseline; liquidity flows freely → late-cycle setup before recession.
Zero-Cross Logic
Cross ↑ above 0 → FCBI > USIRYY → brake released → liquidity acceleration → typically 6–18 months before recession.
Cross ↓ below 0 → FCBI < USIRYY → brake re-engaged → tightening resumes.
Historical Behavior
Each major U.S. recession (2001, 2008, 2020) was preceded by a Brake Pressure cross above zero after a negative phase, signaling that long yields had stopped resisting Fed cuts and liquidity was expanding.
Practical Use
• Identify late-cycle turning points and liquidity inflection phases.
• Combine with FCBI for a complete macro transmission picture.
• Watch for sustained positive readings as early macro-recession warnings.
Current Example (Oct 2025)
FCBI ≈ −3.1, USIRYY ≈ +3.0 → Brake Pressure ≈ −6.1 → Brake still engaged. When this crosses above 0, it signals that liquidity is free flowing and the recession countdown has begun.
Summary
FCBI shows how tight the brake is. Brake Pressure shows when the brake releases.
When Brake Pressure > 0, the system has entered the liquidity-expansion phase that historically precedes a U.S. recession.
Financial-Conditions Brake Index (FCBI) — US10Y brake on USIRYYFinancial-Conditions Brake Index (FCBI) – US10Y Brake on USIRYY
Concept
The Financial-Conditions Brake Index (FCBI) measures how U.S. long-term yields (US10Y) interact with the Federal Funds Rate (USINTR) and inflation (CPI YoY) to shape real-rate conditions (USIRYY).
It visualizes whether the bond market is tightening or loosening overall financial conditions relative to the Federal Reserve’s policy stance.
Formula
FCBI = (US10Y) − (USINTR) − (CPI YoY)
How It Works
The FCBI expresses the difference between the long-term yield curve and short-term policy rates, adjusted for inflation. It shows whether the long end of the curve is amplifying or counteracting the Fed’s stance.
FCBI > +2 → Strong brake → Long yields remain elevated despite easing → tight conditions → recession delayed.
FCBI +1 to +2 → Mild brake → Financial transmission slower; lag ≈ 12–18 months.
FCBI 0 to +1 → Neutral → Typical early post-cut environment.
FCBI < 0 → Accelerator → Long yields and inflation expectations falling → liquidity flows freely → recession often follows within 6–14 months.
How to Read the Chart
Blue line (FCBI) shows the strength of the financial brake.
Red line (USIRYY) represents the real yield baseline.
Recession shading (gray) marks NBER recessions for comparison.
FCBI < USIRYY → Brake engaged → financial conditions tighter than real-rate baseline.
FCBI > USIRYY → Brake released → long end easing faster than policy → liquidity surge → late-cycle setup.
Historically, U.S. recessions begin on average about 14 months after the first Fed rate cut, and a decline of the FCBI below zero often precedes that window.
Practical Use
Use the FCBI to identify when policy transmission is blocked (brake engaged) or flowing (brake released).
Cross-check with yield-curve inversions, Fed policy shifts, and inflation expectations to estimate macro timing windows.
Current Example (Oct 2025)
FCBI ≈ −3.1, USIRYY ≈ +3.0 → Brake still engaged.
Once FCBI rises above USIRYY and crosses positive, it signals the “brake released” phase — historically the final liquidity surge before a U.S. recession.
Summary
FCBI shows how tight the brake is.
USIRYY shows how fast the car is moving.
When FCBI rises above USIRYY, the brake is released — liquidity accelerates and the historical recession countdown begins.
Holt Damped Forecast [CHE]A Friendly Note on These Pine Script Scripts
Hey there! Just wanted to share a quick, heartfelt heads-up: All these Pine Script examples come straight from my own self-study adventures as a total autodidact—think late nights tinkering and learning on my own. They're purely for educational vibes, helping me (and hopefully you!) get the hang of Pine Script basics, cool indicators, and building simple strategies.
That said, please know this isn't any kind of financial advice, investment nudge, or pro-level trading blueprint. I'd love for you to dive in with your own research, run those backtests like a champ, and maybe bounce ideas off a qualified expert before trying anything in a real trading setup. No guarantees here on performance or spot-on accuracy—trading's got its risks, and those are totally on each of us.
Let's keep it fun and educational—happy coding! 😊
Holt Damped Forecast — Damped trend forecasts with fan bands for uncertainty visualization and momentum integration
Summary
This indicator applies damped exponential smoothing to generate forward price forecasts, displaying them as probabilistic fan bands to highlight potential ranges rather than point estimates. It incorporates residual-based uncertainty to make projections more reliable in varying market conditions, reducing overconfidence in strong trends. Momentum from the trend component is shown in an optional label alongside signals, aiding quick assessment of direction and strength without relying on lagging oscillators.
Motivation: Why this design?
Standard exponential smoothing often extrapolates trends indefinitely, leading to unrealistic forecasts during mean reversion or weakening momentum. This design uses damping to gradually flatten long-term projections, better suiting real markets where trends fade. It addresses the need for visual uncertainty in forecasts, helping traders avoid entries based on overly optimistic point predictions.
What’s different vs. standard approaches?
- Reference baseline: Diverges from basic Holt's linear exponential smoothing, which assumes persistent trends without decay.
- Architecture differences:
- Adds damping to the trend extrapolation for finite-horizon realism.
- Builds fan bands from historical residuals for probabilistic ranges at multiple confidence levels.
- Integrates a dynamic label combining forecast details, scaled momentum, and directional signals.
- Applies tail background coloring to recent bars based on forecast direction for immediate visual cues.
- Practical effect: Charts show converging forecast bands over time, emphasizing shorter horizons where accuracy is higher. This visibly tempers aggressive projections in trends, making it easier to spot when uncertainty widens, which signals potential reversals or consolidation.
How it works (technical)
The indicator maintains two persistent components: a level tracking the current price baseline and a trend capturing directional slope. On each bar, the level updates by blending the current source price with a one-step-ahead expectation from the prior level and damped trend. The trend then adjusts by weighting the change in level against the prior damped trend. Forecasts extend this forward over a user-defined number of steps, with damping ensuring the trend influence diminishes over distance.
Uncertainty derives from the standard deviation of historical residuals—the differences between actual prices and one-step expectations—scaled by the damping structure for the forecast horizon. Bands form around the median forecast at specified confidence intervals using these scaled errors. Initialization seeds the level to the first bar's price and trend to zero, with persistence handling subsequent updates. A security call fetches the last bar index for tail logic, using lookahead to align with realtime but introducing minor repaint on unconfirmed bars.
Parameter Guide
The Source parameter selects the price input for level and residual calculations, defaulting to close; consider using high or low for assets sensitive to volatility, as close works well for most trend-following setups. Forecast Steps (h) defines the number of bars ahead for projections, defaulting to 4—shorter values like 1 to 5 suit intraday trading, while longer ones may widen bands excessively in choppy conditions. The Color Scheme (2025 Trends) option sets the base, up, and down colors for bands, labels, and backgrounds, starting with Ruby Dawn; opt for serene schemes on clean charts or vibrant ones to stand out in dark themes.
Level Smoothing α controls the responsiveness of the price baseline, defaulting to 0.3—values above 0.5 enhance tracking in fast markets but may amplify noise, whereas lower settings filter disturbances better. Trend Smoothing β adjusts sensitivity to slope changes, at 0.1 by default; increasing to 0.2 helps detect emerging shifts quicker, but keeping it low prevents whipsaws in sideways action. Damping φ (0..1) governs trend persistence, defaulting to 0.8—near 0.9 preserves carryover in sustained moves, while closer to 0.5 curbs overextensions more aggressively.
Show Fan Bands (50/75/95) toggles the probabilistic range display, enabled by default; disable it in oscillator panes to reduce clutter, but it's key for overlay forecasts. Residual Window (Bars) sets the length for deviation estimates, at 400 bars initially—100 to 200 works for short timeframes, and 500 or more adds stability over extended histories. Line Width determines the thickness of band and median lines, defaulting to 2; go thicker at 3 to 5 for emphasis on higher timeframes or thinner for layered indicators.
Show Median/Forecast Line reveals the central projection, on by default—hide if bands provide enough detail, or keep for pinpoint entry references. Show Integrated Label activates the combined view of forecast, momentum, and signal, defaulting to true; it's right-aligned for convenience, so turn it off on smaller screens to save space. Show Tail Background colors the last few bars by forecast direction, enabled initially; pair low transparency for subtle hints or higher for bolder emphasis.
Tail Length (Bars) specifies bars to color backward from the current one, at 3 by default—1 to 2 fits scalping, while 5 or more underscores building momentum. Tail Transparency (%) fades the background intensity, starting at 80; 50 to 70 delivers strong signals, and 90 or above allows seamless blending. Include Momentum in Label adds the scaled trend value, defaulting to true—ATR% scaling here offers relative strength context across assets.
Include Long/Short/Neutral Signal in Label displays direction from the trend sign, on by default; neutral helps in ranging markets, though it can be overlooked during strong trends. Scaling normalizes momentum output (raw, ATR-relative, or level-relative), set to ATR% initially—ATR% ensures cross-asset comparability, while %Level provides percentage perspectives. ATR Length defines the period for true range averaging in scaling, at 14; align it with your chart timeframe or shorten for quicker volatility responses.
Decimals sets precision in the momentum label, defaulting to 2—0 to 1 yields clean integers, and 3 or more suits detailed forex views. Show Zero-Cross Markers places arrows at direction changes, enabled by default; keep size small to minimize clutter, with text labels for fast scanning.
Reading & Interpretation
Fan bands expand outward from the current bar, with the median line as the central forecast—narrower bands indicate lower uncertainty, wider suggest caution. Colors tint up (positive forecast vs. prior level) in the scheme's up hue and down otherwise. The optional label lists the horizon, median, and range brackets at 50%, 75%, and 95% levels, followed by momentum (scaled per mode) and signal (Long if positive trend, Short if negative, Neutral if zero). Zero-cross arrows mark trend flips: upward triangle below bar for bullish cross, downward above for bearish. Tail background reinforces the forecast direction on recent bars.
Practical Workflows & Combinations
- Trend following: Enter long on upward zero-cross if median forecast rises above price and bands contain it; confirm with higher highs/lows. Short on downward cross with falling median.
- Exits/Stops: Trail stops below 50% lower band in longs; exit if momentum drifts negative or signal turns neutral. Use wider bands (75/95%) for conservative holds in volatile regimes.
- Multi-asset/Multi-TF: Defaults work across stocks, forex, crypto on 5m-1D; scale steps by TF (e.g., 10+ on daily). Layer with volume or structure tools—avoid over-reliance on isolated crosses.
Behavior, Constraints & Performance
Closed-bar logic ensures stable historical plots, but realtime updates via security lookahead may shift forecasts until bar confirmation, introducing minor repaint on the last bar. No explicit HTF calls beyond bar index fetch, minimizing gaps but watch for low-liquidity assets. Resources include a 2000-bar lookback for residuals and up to 500 labels, with no loops—efficient for most charts. Known limits: Early bars show wide bands due to sparse residuals; assumes stationary errors, so gaps or regime shifts widen inaccuracies.
Sensible Defaults & Quick Tuning
Start with defaults for balanced smoothing on 15m-4H charts. For choppy conditions (too many crosses), lower β to 0.05 and raise residual window to 600 for stability. In trending markets (sluggish signals), increase α/β to 0.4/0.2 and shorten steps to 2. If bands overexpand, boost φ toward 0.95 to preserve trend carry. Tune colors for theme fit without altering logic.
What this indicator is—and isn’t
This is a visualization and signal layer for damped forecasts and momentum, complementing price action analysis. It isn’t a standalone system—pair with risk rules and broader context. Not predictive beyond the horizon; use for confirmation, not blind entries.
Disclaimer
The content provided, including all code and materials, is strictly for educational and informational purposes only. It is not intended as, and should not be interpreted as, financial advice, a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument, or an offer of any financial product or service. All strategies, tools, and examples discussed are provided for illustrative purposes to demonstrate coding techniques and the functionality of Pine Script within a trading context.
Any results from strategies or tools provided are hypothetical, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Trading and investing involve high risk, including the potential loss of principal, and may not be suitable for all individuals. Before making any trading decisions, please consult with a qualified financial professional to understand the risks involved.
By using this script, you acknowledge and agree that any trading decisions are made solely at your discretion and risk.
Do not use this indicator on Heikin-Ashi, Renko, Kagi, Point-and-Figure, or Range charts, as these chart types can produce unrealistic results for signal markers and alerts.
Best regards and happy trading
Chervolino
JOPA Channel (Dual-Volumed) v1 [JopAlgo]JOPA Channel (Dual-Volumed) v1
Short title: JOPAV1 • License: MPL-2.0 • Provider: JopAlgo
We have developed our own, first channel-based trading indicator and we’re making it available to all traders. The goal was a channel that breathes with the tape—built on a volume-weighted backbone—so the outcome stays lively instead of static. That led to the JOPA Channel.
All important features (at a glance)
In one line: A Rolling-VWAP channel whose width adapts with two volumes (RVOL + dollar-flow), adds order-flow asymmetry (OBV tilt) and regime awareness (Efficiency Ratio), and frames risk with outer containment bands from residual extremes—so you see fair value, momentum, and exhaustion in one view.
Feature list
Rolling VWAP centerline: Tracks where volume traded (fair value).
Dual-volume width: Bands expand/contract with relative volume and value traded (price×volume).
OBV tilt: Upper/lower widths skew toward the side actually pushing.
Regime adapter (ER): Tighter in trend, wider in chop—automatically.
Outer containment rails: Residual-extreme ceilings/floors, smoothed + margin.
20% / 80% guides: 20% light blue (discount), 80% light red (premium).
Squeeze dots (optional): Orange circles below candles during compression.
Non-repainting: Uses rolling sums and past-only math; no lookahead.
Default visual in this release
Containment rails + fill: ON (stepline, medium).
Inner Value rails + fill: Rails OFF (stepline, thin), fill ON (drawn only if rails are shown).
20% & 80% guides: ON (dashed, thin; 20% light blue, 80% light red).
Squeeze dots: OFF by default (orange circles when enabled).
What you see on the chart
RVWAP (centerline): Your compass for fair value.
Inner Value Bands (optional): Tight rails for breakouts and pullback timing.
Outer Containment Bands (default ON): High-confidence ceilings/floors for targets and fades.
20% / 80% guides: Quick read of “where in the channel” price is sitting.
Squeeze dots (optional): Volatility compression heads-up (no text labels).
Non-repainting note: The indicator does not revise closed bars. Forecast-Lock uses linear regression to extrapolate 1–3 bars ahead without using future data.
How to use it
Core reads (works on any timeframe)
Bias: Above a rising RVWAP → long bias; below a falling RVWAP → short bias.
Breakouts (momentum): Close beyond an Inner Value rail with RVOL ≥ threshold (alert provided).
Reversions (fades): Tag Outer Containment, stall, then close back inside → expect mean reversion toward RVWAP.
20/80 timing:
At/above 80% (light red) → premium/exhaustion risk; trim longs or consider fades if RVOL cools.
At/below 20% (light blue) → discount/exhaustion risk; trim shorts or consider longs if RVOL cools.
Squeeze clusters: When dots bunch up, expect a range break; use the Breakout alert as confirmation.
Playbooks by trading style
Day Trading (1–5m)
Setup: Keep the chart clean (Containment ON, Value rails OFF). Toggle Inner Value ON when hunting a breakout or timing a pullback.
Pullback Long: Dip to RVWAP / Lower Value with sub-threshold RVOL, then a close back above RVWAP → long.
Stop: Just beyond Lower Containment or the pullback swing.
Targets (1:1:1): ⅓ at RVWAP, ⅓ at Upper Value, ⅓ trail toward Upper Containment.
Breakout Long: After a squeeze cluster, take the Breakout Long alert (close > Upper Value, RVOL ≥ min). If no retest, demand the next bar holds outside.
Range Fade: Only when RVWAP is flat and dots cluster; short Upper Containment → RVWAP (mirror for longs at the lower rail).
Intraday (15m–1H)
HTF compass: Take bias from 4H.
Pullback Long: “Touch & reclaim” of RVWAP while RVOL cools; enter on the reclaim close or break of that candle’s high.
Breakout: Run Inner Value ON; act on Breakout alerts (RVOL gate ≈ 1.10–1.15 typical).
Avoid low-probability fades against the 4H slope unless RVWAP is flat.
Swing (4H–1D)
Continuation: In uptrends, buy pullbacks to RVWAP / Lower Value with sub-threshold RVOL; scale at Upper Containment.
Adds: Post-squeeze Breakout Long adds; trail on RVWAP or Lower Value.
Fades: Prefer when RVWAP flattens and price oscillates between containments.
Position (1D+)
Framework: Daily RVWAP slope + position within containment.
Add rule: Each reclaim of RVWAP after a dip is an add; trim into Upper Containment or near 80% light red.
Sizing: Containment distance is larger—size down and trail on RVWAP.
Inputs & Settings (complete)
Core
Source: Price input for RVWAP.
Rolling VWAP Length: Window of the centerline (higher = smoother).
Volume Baseline (RVOL): SMA window for relative volume.
Inner Value Bands (volatility-based width)
k·StdDev(residuals), k·ATR, k·MAD(residuals): Blend three measures into base width.
StdDev / ATR / MAD Lengths: Lookbacks for each.
Two-Volume Fusion
RVOL Exponent: How aggressively width responds to relative volume.
Dollar-Flow Gain: Adds push from price×volume (value traded).
Dollar-Flow Z-Window: Standardization window for dollar-flow.
Asymmetry (Order-Flow Tilt)
Enable Tilt (OBV): Lets flow skew upper/lower widths.
Tilt Strength (0..1): Gain applied to OBV slope z-score.
OBV Slope Z-Window: Window to standardize OBV slope.
Regime Adapter
Efficiency Ratio Lookback: Measures trend vs chop.
ER Width Min/Max: Maps ER into a width factor (tighter in trend, wider in chop).
Band Tracking (inner value rails)
Tracking Mode:
Base: Pure base rails.
Parallel-Lock: Smooth RVWAP & width; track in parallel.
Slope-Lock: Adds a fraction of recent slope (momentum-friendly).
Forecast-Lock: 1–3 bar extrapolation via linreg (non-repainting on closed bars).
Attach Strength (0..1): Blend tracked rails vs base rails.
Tracking Smooth Length: EMA smoothing of RVWAP and width.
Slope Influence / Forecast Lead Bars: Gains for the chosen mode.
Outer Containment Bands
Show Containment Bands: Master toggle (default ON).
Residual Extremes Lookback: Highest/lowest residual window.
Extreme Smoothing (EMA): Stability on extreme lines.
Margin vs inner width: Extra padding relative to smoothed inner width.
Squeeze & Alerts
Squeeze Window / Threshold: Width vs average; at/under threshold = dot (when enabled).
Min RVOL for Breakout: Required RVOL for breakout alerts.
Style (defaults in this release)
Inner Value rails: OFF (stepline, thin).
Inner & Containment fills: ON.
Containment rails: ON (stepline, medium).
20% / 80% guides: ON — 20% light blue, 80% light red, dashed, thin.
Squeeze dots: OFF by default (orange circles below candles when enabled).
Practical templates (copy/paste into a plan)
Momentum Breakout
Context: Squeeze cluster near RVWAP; Inner Value ON.
Trigger: Breakout Long (close > Upper Value & RVOL ≥ min).
Stop: Below Lower Value (tight) or below RVWAP (safer).
Targets (1:1:1): ⅓ Value → ⅓ Containment → ⅓ trail on RVWAP.
Pullback Continuation
Context: Uptrend; dip to RVWAP / Lower Value with cooling RVOL.
Trigger: Close back above RVWAP or break of reclaim candle’s high.
Stop: Just outside Lower Containment or pullback swing.
Targets: RVWAP → Upper Value → Upper Containment.
Containment Reversion (range)
Context: RVWAP flat; repeated containment tags.
Trigger: Stall at containment, then close back inside.
Stop: A step beyond that containment.
Target: RVWAP; runner only if RVOL stays muted.
Alerts included
DVWAP Breakout Long / Short (Value Bands)
Top Zone / Bottom Zone (20% / 80% guides)
Tip: On lower TFs, act on Breakout alerts with higher-TF bias (e.g., trade 5–15m in the direction of 1H/4H RVWAP slope/position).
Best practices
Let RVWAP be the compass; if unsure, wait until price picks a side.
Respect RVOL; low-RVOL breaks are prone to fail.
Use guides for timing, not certainty. Pair 20/80 zones with flow context.
Start with defaults; change one knob at a time.
Common pitfalls
Fading every containment touch → only fade when RVWAP is flat or RVOL cools.
Over-tuning inputs → the defaults are robust; small tweaks go a long way.
Fighting the higher timeframe on low TFs → expensive habit.
Footer — License & Publishing
License: Mozilla Public License 2.0 (MPL-2.0). You may modify and redistribute; keep this file under MPL and provide source for this file.
Originality: © 2025 JopAlgo. No third-party code reused; Pine built-ins and common formulas only.
Publishing: Keep this header/description intact when releasing on TradingView. Avoid promotional links in the public script text.
VWAP Retest + EMA9 Cross + Candle Pattern V2📈 VWAP Retest + EMA9 Cross + Candle Pattern Strategy_V2
Setup: This intraday momentum strategy combines 3 core elements:
• VWAP Retest: Price retests VWAP within a small buffer zone
• EMA9 Crossover: EMA9 crosses above VWAP within the last 3 bars
• Bullish Candle Pattern: At least one bullish signal — Hammer, Engulfing, or Momentum candle
A trade is triggered only during the US morning session (9:30–12:30 EST) and only if price is above yesterday’s high, suggesting strong momentum.
⚙️ Strategy Settings
• Initial Capital: $100,000
• Position Sizing: 10% of equity per trade
• Commission: 0.03% per trade
• Slippage: 1 tick
• Take Profit: +3% from entry
• Stop Loss: 0.5% below VWAP at entry
• Forced Exit: 1:00 PM EST
📊 Strategy Logic
• VWAP Retest Filter ensures entry is near a value zone.
• EMA9 Cross Confirmation aligns short-term momentum with volume-weighted price.
• Bullish Candle Patterns provide price action confirmation:
○ ✅ Hammer
○ ✅ Bullish Engulfing
○ ✅ Large momentum body
• Above Yesterday’s High (YH) acts as a bullish bias filter.
🧪 Backtest Results (Jan 2023 – Oct 2025)
• Total Trades: 120
• Win Rate: 52.5%
• Profit Factor: 1.18
• Max Drawdown: 1.22%
• Net P&L: +$1,064 (+1.06%)
Due to chart data limits, only part of the period may be visible on publication charts.
🔍 Chart Visuals
This strategy plots:
• VWAP (white) and EMA9 (orange)
• Candle pattern markers:
○ “H” = Hammer
○ “BE” = Bullish Engulfing
○ “M” = Momentum Candle
• “SETUP” label when all conditions are met
• YH/YL labels for context — previous day’s high/low
💡 Use Case
This setup is designed for intraday momentum scalping, ideal for traders who:
• Trade morning breakouts
• Use VWAP as a dynamic support/resistance
• Want clear, rule-based entries based on both trend and price action
Educational and research use - not financial advice.
RSI Divergence Strategy v6 What this does
Detects regular and hidden divergences between price and RSI using confirmed RSI pivots. Adds RSI@pivot entry gates, a normalized strength + volume filter, optional volume gate, delayed entries, and transparent risk management with rigid SL and activatable trailing. Visuals are throttled for clarity and include a gap-free horizontal RSI gradient.
How it works (simple)
🧮 RSI is calculated on your selected source/period.
📌 RSI pivots are confirmed with left/right lookbacks (lbL/lbR). A pivot becomes final only after lbR bars; before that, it can move (expected).
🔎 The latest confirmed pivot is compared against the previous confirmed pivot within your bar window:
• Regular Bullish = price lower low + RSI higher low
• Hidden Bullish = price higher low + RSI lower low
• Regular Bearish = price higher high + RSI lower high
• Hidden Bearish = price lower high + RSI higher high
💪 Each divergence gets a strength score that multiplies price % change, RSI change, and a volume ratio (Volume SMA / Baseline Volume SMA).
• Set Min divergence strength to filter tiny/noisy signals.
• Turn on the volume gate to require volume ratio ≥ your threshold (e.g., 1.0).
🎯 RSI@pivot gating:
• Longs only if RSI at the bullish pivot ≤ 30 (default).
• Shorts only if RSI at the bearish pivot ≥ 70 (default).
⏱ Entry timing:
• Immediate: on divergence confirm (delay = 0).
• Delayed: after N bars if RSI is still valid.
• RSI-only mode: ignore divergences; use RSI thresholds only.
🛡 Risk:
• Rigid SL is placed from average entry.
• Trailing activates only after unrealized gain ≥ threshold; it re-anchors on new highs (long) or new lows (short).
What’s NEW here (vs. the reference) — and why you may care
• Improved pivots + bar window → fewer early/misaligned signals; cleaner drawings.
• RSI@pivot gates → entries aligned with true oversold/overbought at the exact decision bar.
• Normalized strength + volume gate → ignore weak or low-volume divergences.
• Delayed entries → require the signal to persist N bars if you want more confirmation.
• Rigid SL + activatable trailing → trailing engages only after a cushion, so it’s less noisy.
• Clutter control + gradient → readable chart with a smooth RSI band look.
Suggested starting values (clear ranges)
• RSI@pivot thresholds: LONG ≤ 30 (oversold), SHORT ≥ 70 (overbought).
• Min divergence strength:
0.0 = off
3–6 = moderate filter
7–12 = strict filter for noisy LTFs
• Volume gate (ratio):
1.0 = at least baseline volume
1.2–1.5 = strong-volume only (fewer but cleaner signals)
• Pivot lookbacks:
lbL 1–2, lbR 3–4 (raise lbR to confirm later and reduce noise)
• Bar window (between pivots):
Min 5–10, Max 30–60 (increase Min if you see micro-pivots; increase Max for wider structures)
• Risk:
Rigid SL 2–5% on liquid majors; 5–10% on higher-volatility symbols
Trailing activation 1–3%, trailing 0.5–1.5% are common intraday starts
Plain-text examples
• BTCUSDT 1h → RSI 9, lbL 1, lbR 3, Min strength 5.0, Volume gate 1.0, SL 4.5%, Trail on 2.0%, Trail 1.0%.
• SPY 15m → RSI 8, lbL 1, lbR 3, Min strength 7.0, Volume gate 1.2, SL 3.0%, Trail on 1.5%, Trail 0.8%.
• EURUSD 4h → RSI 14, lbL 2, lbR 4, Min strength 4.0, Volume gate 1.0, SL 2.5%, Trail on 1.0%, Trail 0.5%.
Notes & limitations
• Pivot confirmation means the newest candidate pivot can move until lbR confirms it (expected).
• Results vary by timeframe/symbol/settings; always forward-test.
• Educational tool — no performance or profit claims.
Credits
• RSI by J. Welles Wilder Jr. (1978).
• Reference divergence script by eemani123:
• This version by tagstrading 2025 adds: improved pivot engine, RSI@pivot gating, normalized strength + optional volume gate, delayed entries, rigid SL and activatable trailing, and a gap-free RSI gradient.
Gold–Bitcoin Correlation (Offset Model) by KManus88This indicator analyzes the correlation between Gold (XAU/USD) and Bitcoin (BTC/USD) using a time-offset model adjustable by the user.
The goal is to detect cyclical leads or lags between both assets, highlighting how capital flows into Gold may precede or follow movements in the crypto market.
Key Features:
Dynamic correlation calculation between Gold and Bitcoin.
Adjustable offset in days (default: 107) to fine-tune the temporal shift.
Automatic labels and on-chart visualization.
Compatible with multiple timeframes and logarithmic scales.
Interpretation:
Positive correlation suggests synchronized trends between both assets.
Negative correlation signals divergence or rotation of liquidity.
The time-offset parameter helps estimate when a shift in Gold could later reflect in Bitcoin.
Recommended use:
For macro-financial and global liquidity cycle analysis.
As a complementary tool in cross-asset momentum strategies.
© 2025 – Developed by KManus88 | Inspired by monetary correlation studies and global liquidity cycles.
This script is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice.
Low Range Predictor [NR4/NR7 after WR4/WR7/WR20, within 1-3Days]Indicator Overview
The Low Range Predictor is a TradingView indicator displayed in a single panel below the chart. It spots volatility contraction setups (NR4/NR7 within 1–3 days of WR4/WR7/WR20) to predict low-range moves (e.g., <0.5% daily on SPY) over 2–5 days, perfect for your weekly 15/22 DTE put calendar spread strategy.
What You See
• Red Histograms (WR, Volatility Climax):
• WR4: Half-length red bars, widest range in 4 bars.
• WR7: Three-quarter-length red bars, widest in 7 bars.
• WR20: Full-length red bars, widest in 20 bars.
• Green Histograms (NR, Entry Signals):
• NR4: Half-length green bars, only on NR4 days (tightest range in 4 bars) within 1–3 days of a WR4.
• NR7: Full-length green bars, only on NR7 days within 1–3 days of a WR7.
• Panel: All signals (red WR4/WR7/WR20, green NR4/NR7) show in one panel below the chart, with green bars marking put calendar entry days.
Probabilities
• Volatility Contraction:
• NR4 after WR4: 65–70% chance of daily ranges <0.5% on SPY for 2–5 days (ATR drops 20–30%). Occurs ~2–3 times/month.
• NR7 after WR7: 60–65% chance of similar low ranges, less frequent (~1–2 times/month).
• Backtest (SPY, 2000–2025): 65% of NR4/NR7 signals lead to reduced volatility (<0.7% daily range) vs. 50% for random days.
• Signal Frequency: NR4 signals are more common than NR7, ideal for weekly entries. WR20 provides context but isn’t tied to NR signals.
