DSS Bressert by MaxCapDSS Bressert by MaxCap is an enhanced version of the Double Smoothed Stochastic (DSS) oscillator, originally developed by Robert Bressert.
It is designed to identify overbought/oversold market conditions and detect momentum shifts using a double-smoothing stochastic calculation.
⸻
⚙️ How It Works
This indicator applies a two-stage stochastic calculation with double exponential smoothing to reduce noise and provide smoother trend signals.
1. Phase 1 (MIT):
A standard stochastic is calculated over the selected Stochastic_period, measuring the current close relative to the high-low range.
This value is then smoothed using an exponential moving average (EMA).
2. Phase 2 (DSS):
A second stochastic is applied on the smoothed MIT line using the same stochastic period, followed by another EMA smoothing step.
The result is a smooth and responsive momentum oscillator that filters out market noise.
This double-smoothing technique allows DSS to remain responsive to price changes while avoiding false reversals that are common with the traditional stochastic.
⸻
🎨 Visualization
• The orange line represents the main DSS value.
• Blue dots appear when DSS is rising (bullish momentum).
• Red dots appear when DSS is falling (bearish momentum).
• The horizontal levels 20 and 80 mark oversold and overbought zones, respectively.
⸻
🧠 Signal Interpretation
• DSS > 80: Overbought zone — possible downward reversal.
• DSS < 20: Oversold zone — possible upward rebound.
• DSS rising after crossing above 20: Bullish signal.
• DSS falling after crossing below 80: Bearish signal.
• Color change (blue ↔ red) may indicate a momentum shift.
⸻
⚙️ Input Parameters
Parameter Description Default Value
EMA Period EMA smoothing period 8
Stochastic Period Period for stochastic calculation 13
⸻
💡 Advantages
• Smoother and more reliable than a standard stochastic.
• Reduces market noise and false signals.
• Accurately reflects real momentum shifts.
• Color-coded visualization for clearer signal reading.
⸻
Recherche dans les scripts pour "Exponential"
Uptrick: Volume Weighted BandsIntroduction
This indicator, Uptrick: Volume Weighted Bands, overlays dynamic, volume-informed trend channels directly on the chart. By fusing price and volume data through volume-weighted and exponential moving averages, the script forms a core trend line with adaptive bandwidth controlled by volatility. It is designed to help traders identify trend direction, breakout entries, and extended conditions that may warrant take-profits or pullback re-entries.
Overview
The Volume Weighted Bands system is built around a trend line calculated by averaging a Volume Weighted Moving Average (VWMA) and an Exponential Moving Average (EMA), both over a configurable lookback period. This hybrid trend baseline is then smoothed further and expanded into dynamic upper and lower bands using an Average True Range (ATR) multiplier. These bands adapt with market volatility and shift color based on prevailing price action, helping traders quickly identify bullish, bearish, or neutral conditions.
Originality and Unique Features
This script introduces originality by blending both price and volume in the core trend calculation, a technique that is more responsive than traditional moving average bands. Its multi-mode visualization (cloud, single-band, or line-only), combined with selective buy/sell signals, makes it flexible for discretionary and algorithmic strategies alike. Optional modules for take-profit signals based on z-score deviation and RSI slope, as well as buy-back detection logic with cooldown filters, offer practical tools for managing trades beyond simple entries.
Explanation of Inputs
Every user input in this script is included to give the trader control over behavior and visual presentation:
Trend Length (len): Defines the lookback window for both the VWMA and EMA, controlling the sensitivity of the core trend baseline. A lower value makes the bands more reactive, while a higher value smooths out short-term noise.
Extra Smoothing (smoothLen): Applies an additional EMA to the blended VWMA/EMA average. This second-level smoothing ensures the central trend line reacts gradually to shifts in price.
Band Width (ATR Multiplier) (bandMult): Multiplies the ATR to create the width of the upper and lower bands around the trend line. Larger values widen the bands, capturing more volatility, while smaller values narrow them.
ATR Length (atrLen): Sets the length of the ATR used in calculating band width and signal offsets. Longer values produce smoother band boundaries.
Show Buy/Sell Signals (showSignals): Toggles the primary crossover/crossunder entry signals, which are labeled when the close crosses the upper or lower band.
Visual Mode (visualMode): Allows selection between three display modes:
--> Cloud: Shows both bands and the central trend line with a shaded background.
--> Single Band: Displays only the active (upper or lower) band depending on trend state, with gradient fill to price.
--> Line Only: Shows only the trend line for a minimal visual profile.
Take Profit Signals (enableTP): Enables a z-score-based profit-taking signal system. Signals occur when price deviates significantly from the trend line and RSI confirms exhaustion.
TP Z-Score Threshold (tpThreshold): Sets the z-score deviation required to trigger a take-profit signal. Higher values reduce the frequency of signals, focusing on more extreme moves.
Re-Entries (enableBuyBack): Enables logic to signal when price reverts into the band after an initial breakout, suggesting a possible re-entry or pullback setup.
Buy Back Cooldown (bars) (buyBackCooldown): Defines a minimum bar count before a new buy-back signal is allowed, preventing rapid retriggering in choppy conditions.
Buy Offset and Sell Offset: Hidden inputs used to vertically adjust the placement of the Buy ("𝓤𝓹") and Sell ("𝓓𝓸𝔀𝓷") labels relative to the bands. These use ATR units to maintain proportionality across different instruments and timeframes.
Take-Profit Signal Module
The take-profit module uses a z-score of the distance between price and the trend line to detect extended conditions. In bullish trends, a signal appears when price is well above the band and RSI indicates exhaustion; the opposite applies for bearish conditions. A boolean flag is used to prevent retriggering until RSI resets. These signals are plotted with minimalist “X” markers near recent highs or lows, based on whether the market is extended upward or downward.
Re-Entry Logic
The re-entry system identifies instances where price momentarily dips or spikes into the opposite band but closes back inside, implying a continuation of the prevailing trend. This module can be particularly useful for traders managing entries after brief pullbacks. A built-in cooldown period helps filter out noise and prevents signal overloading during fast markets. Visual markers are shown as upward or downward arrows near the relevant candle wicks.
How to Use This Indicator
The basic usage of this indicator follows a directional, signal-driven approach. When a buy signal appears, it suggests entering a long position. The recommended stop loss placement is below the lower band, allowing for some breathing space to accommodate natural volatility. As the position progresses, take partial profits—typically 10% to 15% of the position—each time a take-profit signal (marked with an "X") is shown on the chart.
An optional feature is the buy-back signal, which can be used to re-enter after partial exits or missed entries. Utilizing this can help reduce losses during false breakouts or trend reversals by scaling in more gradually. However, it also means that in strong, clean trends, the full position may not be captured from the start, potentially reducing the total return. It is up to the trader to decide whether to enter fully on the initial signal or incrementally using buy-backs.
When a sell signal appears, the strategy advises fully exiting any long positions and immediately switching to a short position. The short trade follows the same logic: place your stop loss above the upper band with some margin, and again, take partial profits at each take-profit signal.
Visual Presentation and Signal Labels
All signals are plotted with clean, minimal labels that avoid clutter, and are color-coded using a custom palette designed to remain clear across light and dark chart themes. Bullish trends are marked in teal and bearish trends in magenta. Candles and wicks are also colored accordingly to align price action with the detected trend state. Buy and sell entries are marked with "𝓤𝓹" and "𝓓𝓸𝔀𝓷" labels.
Summary
In summary, the Uptrick: Volume Weighted Bands indicator provides a versatile, visually adaptive trend and volatility tool that can serve multiple styles of trading. Through its integration of price, volume, and volatility, along with modular take-profit and buy-back signaling, it aims to provide actionable structure across a range of market conditions.
Disclaimer
This indicator is for educational purposes only. Trading involves risk, and past performance does not guarantee future results. Always test strategies before applying them in live markets.
SJ WaveTrendWaveTrend Indicator – Full English Brief for TradingView
Description:
The WaveTrend Oscillator (WT) is a momentum-based indicator originally developed by LazyBear, designed to identify overbought and oversold market conditions with high precision. It is conceptually similar to the RSI and Stochastic Oscillator but uses a wave-based mathematical approach to detect turning points in price action earlier and more smoothly.
⸻
🔍 How It Works
WaveTrend analyzes the difference between price and its moving average (typically the exponential moving average of the Typical Price).
It then applies multiple layers of smoothing to filter out noise and produce two oscillating lines — WT1 (fast) and WT2 (slow).
The crossing points between WT1 and WT2 are used to identify momentum shifts:
• When WT1 crosses above WT2 from below the oversold zone → Bullish signal
• When WT1 crosses below WT2 from above the overbought zone → Bearish signal
⸻
⚙️ Core Formula Concept
The WaveTrend calculation typically follows this process:
1. Compute the Typical Price (TP) = (High + Low + Close) / 3
2. Calculate the Exponential Moving Average (EMA) of TP over a short length
3. Determine the Raw Wave (ESA) and De-trended Price Oscillator (DPO)
4. Apply double smoothing to produce the final WT1 and WT2 values
These smoothed waves behave like energy waves that expand and contract based on market volatility — hence the name WaveTrend.
⸻
📈 Interpretation
• Overbought Zone: WT values above +60 to +70
• Oversold Zone: WT values below -60 to -70
• Crossovers: WT1 crossing WT2 signals a potential trend reversal
• Divergence: When price makes a new high/low but WT does not, it signals momentum weakening
⸻
🧠 Trading Insights
• Best used on higher timeframes (H1 and above) for trend confirmation, and on lower timeframes (M15–M30) for precise entries.
• Combine with ADX, EMA Cloud, or Volume Filters to confirm real momentum shifts and avoid false signals.
• You can highlight WT Diff (WT1 - WT2) to visualize momentum expansion and contraction; large positive or negative differences often precede strong reversals.
Smart MACD Volume Trader# Smart MACD Volume Trader
## Overview
Smart MACD Volume Trader is an enhanced momentum indicator that combines the classic MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) oscillator with an intelligent high-volume filter. This combination significantly reduces false signals by ensuring that trading signals are only generated when price momentum is confirmed by substantial volume activity.
The indicator supports over 24 different instruments including major and exotic forex pairs, precious metals (gold and silver), energy commodities (crude oil, natural gas), and industrial metals (copper). For forex and commodity traders, the indicator automatically maps to CME and COMEX futures contracts to provide accurate institutional-grade volume data.
## Originality and Core Concept
Traditional MACD indicators generate signals based solely on price momentum, which can result in numerous false signals during low-activity periods or ranging markets. This indicator addresses this critical weakness by introducing a volume confirmation layer with automatic institutional volume integration.
**What makes this approach original:**
- Signals are triggered only when MACD crossovers coincide with elevated volume activity
- Implements a lookback mechanism to detect volume spikes within recent bars
- Automatically detects and maps 24+ forex pairs and commodities to their corresponding CME and COMEX futures contracts
- Provides real institutional volume data for forex pairs where spot volume is unreliable
- Combines two independent market dimensions (price momentum and volume) into a single, actionable signal
- Includes intelligent asset detection that works across multiple exchanges and ticker formats
**The underlying principle:** Volume validates price movement. When institutional money enters the market, it creates volume signatures. By requiring high volume confirmation and using actual institutional volume data from futures markets, this indicator filters out weak price movements and focuses on trades backed by genuine market participation. The automatic futures mapping ensures that forex and commodity traders always have access to the most accurate volume data available, without manual configuration.
## How It Works
### MACD Component
The indicator calculates MACD using standard methodology:
1. **Fast EMA (default: 12 periods)** - Tracks short-term price momentum
2. **Slow EMA (default: 26 periods)** - Tracks longer-term price momentum
3. **MACD Line** - Difference between Fast EMA and Slow EMA
4. **Signal Line (default: 9-period SMA)** - Smoothed average of MACD line
**Crossover signals:**
- **Bullish:** MACD line crosses above Signal line (momentum turning positive)
- **Bearish:** MACD line crosses below Signal line (momentum turning negative)
### Volume Filter Component
The volume filter adds an essential confirmation layer:
1. **Volume Moving Average** - Calculates exponential MA of volume (default: 20 periods)
2. **High Volume Threshold** - Multiplies MA by ratio (default: 2.0x or 200%)
3. **Volume Detection** - Identifies bars where current volume exceeds threshold
4. **Lookback Period** - Checks if high volume occurred in recent bars (default: 5 bars)
**Signal logic:**
- Buy/Sell signals only trigger when BOTH conditions are met:
- MACD crossover/crossunder occurs
- High volume detected within lookback period
### Automatic CME Futures Integration
For forex traders, spot FX volume data can be unreliable or non-existent. This indicator solves this problem by automatically detecting forex pairs and mapping them to corresponding CME futures contracts with real institutional volume data.
**Supported Major Forex Pairs (7):**
- EURUSD → CME:6E1! (Euro FX Futures)
- GBPUSD → CME:6B1! (British Pound Futures)
- AUDUSD → CME:6A1! (Australian Dollar Futures)
- USDJPY → CME:6J1! (Japanese Yen Futures)
- USDCAD → CME:6C1! (Canadian Dollar Futures)
- USDCHF → CME:6S1! (Swiss Franc Futures)
- NZDUSD → CME:6N1! (New Zealand Dollar Futures)
**Supported Exotic Forex Pairs (4):**
- USDMXN → CME:6M1! (Mexican Peso Futures)
- USDRUB → CME:6R1! (Russian Ruble Futures)
- USDBRL → CME:6L1! (Brazilian Real Futures)
- USDZAR → CME:6Z1! (South African Rand Futures)
**Supported Cross Pairs (6):**
- EURJPY → CME:6E1! (Uses Euro Futures)
- GBPJPY → CME:6B1! (Uses British Pound Futures)
- EURGBP → CME:6E1! (Uses Euro Futures)
- AUDJPY → CME:6A1! (Uses Australian Dollar Futures)
- EURAUD → CME:6E1! (Uses Euro Futures)
- GBPAUD → CME:6B1! (Uses British Pound Futures)
**Supported Precious Metals (2):**
- Gold (XAUUSD, GOLD) → COMEX:GC1! (Gold Futures)
- Silver (XAGUSD, SILVER) → COMEX:SI1! (Silver Futures)
**Supported Energy Commodities (3):**
- WTI Crude Oil (USOIL, WTIUSD) → NYMEX:CL1! (Crude Oil Futures)
- Brent Oil (UKOIL) → NYMEX:BZ1! (Brent Crude Futures)
- Natural Gas (NATGAS) → NYMEX:NG1! (Natural Gas Futures)
**Supported Industrial Metals (1):**
- Copper (COPPER) → COMEX:HG1! (Copper Futures)
**How the automatic detection works:**
The indicator intelligently identifies the asset type by analyzing:
1. Exchange name (FX, OANDA, TVC, COMEX, NYMEX, etc.)
2. Currency pair pattern (6-letter codes like EURUSD, GBPUSD)
3. Commodity identifiers (XAU for gold, XAG for silver, OIL for crude)
When a supported instrument is detected, the indicator automatically switches to the corresponding futures contract for volume analysis. For stocks, cryptocurrencies, and other assets, the indicator uses the native volume data from the current chart.
**Visual feedback:**
An information table appears in the top-right corner of the MACD pane showing:
- Current chart symbol
- Exchange name
- Currency pair or asset name
- Volume source being used (highlighted in orange for futures, yellow for native volume)
- Current high volume status
This provides complete transparency about which data source the indicator is using for its volume analysis.
## How to Use
### Basic Setup
1. Add the indicator to your chart
2. The indicator displays in a separate pane (MACD) and overlay (signals/volume bars)
3. Default settings work well for most assets, but can be customized
### Signal Interpretation
### Visual Signals
**Visual Signals:**
- **Green "BUY" label** - Bullish MACD crossover confirmed by high volume
- **Red "SELL" label** - Bearish MACD crossunder confirmed by high volume
- **Green/Red candles** - Highlight bars with volume exceeding the threshold
- **Light green/red background** - Emphasizes signal bars on the chart
**Information Table:**
A detailed information table appears in the top-right corner of the MACD pane, providing real-time transparency about the indicator's operation:
- **Chart:** Current symbol being analyzed
- **Exchange:** The exchange or data feed being used
- **Pair:** The currency pair or asset name extracted from the ticker
- **Volume From:** The actual symbol used for volume analysis
- Orange color indicates CME or COMEX futures are being used (automatic institutional volume)
- Yellow color indicates native volume from the chart symbol is being used
- Hover tooltip shows whether automatic futures mapping is active
- **High Volume:** Current status showing YES (green) when volume exceeds threshold, NO (gray) otherwise
This table ensures complete transparency and allows you to verify that the correct volume source is being used for your analysis.
**Volume Analysis:**
- Gray histogram bars = Normal volume
- Red histogram bars = High volume (exceeds threshold)
- Green line = Volume moving average baseline
**MACD Analysis:**
- Blue line = MACD line (momentum indicator)
- Orange line = Signal line (trend confirmation)
- Gray dotted line = Zero line (bullish above, bearish below)
### Parameter Customization
**MACD Parameters:**
- Adjust Fast/Slow EMA lengths for different sensitivities
- Shorter periods = More signals, faster response
- Longer periods = Fewer signals, less noise
**Volume Parameters:**
- **Volume MA Period:** Higher values smooth volume analysis
- **High Volume Ratio:** Lower values (1.5x) = More signals; Higher values (3.0x) = Fewer, stronger signals
- **Volume Lookback Bars:** Controls how recent the volume spike must be
**Direction Filters:**
- **Only Buy Signals:** Enables long-only strategy mode
- **Only Sell Signals:** Enables short-only strategy mode
### Alert Configuration
The indicator includes three alert types:
1. **Buy Signal Alert** - Triggers when bullish signal appears
2. **Sell Signal Alert** - Triggers when bearish signal appears
3. **High Volume Alert** - Triggers when volume exceeds threshold
To set up alerts:
1. Click the indicator name → "Add alert on Smart MACD Volume Trader"
2. Select desired alert condition
3. Configure notification method (popup, email, webhook, etc.)
## Trading Strategy Guidelines
### Best Practices
**Recommended markets:**
- Liquid stocks (large-cap, high daily volume)
- Major forex pairs (EURUSD, GBPUSD, USDJPY, AUDUSD, USDCAD, USDCHF, NZDUSD)
- Exotic forex pairs (USDMXN, USDRUB, USDBRL, USDZAR)
- Cross pairs (EURJPY, GBPJPY, EURGBP, AUDJPY, EURAUD, GBPAUD)
- Precious metals (Gold, Silver with automatic COMEX futures mapping)
- Energy commodities (Crude Oil, Natural Gas with automatic NYMEX futures mapping)
- Industrial metals (Copper with automatic COMEX futures mapping)
- Major cryptocurrency pairs
- Index futures and ETFs
**Timeframe recommendations:**
- **Day trading:** 5-minute to 15-minute charts
- **Swing trading:** 1-hour to 4-hour charts
- **Position trading:** Daily charts
**Risk management:**
- Use signals as entry confirmation, not standalone strategy
- Combine with support/resistance levels
- Consider overall market trend direction
- Always use stop-loss orders
### Strategy Examples
**Trend Following Strategy:**
1. Identify overall trend using higher timeframe (e.g., daily chart)
2. Trade only in trend direction
3. Use "Only Buy" filter in uptrends, "Only Sell" in downtrends
4. Enter on signal, exit on opposite signal or at resistance/support
**Volume Breakout Strategy:**
1. Wait for consolidation period (low volume, tight MACD range)
2. Enter when signal appears with high volume (confirms breakout)
3. Target previous swing highs/lows
4. Stop loss below/above recent consolidation
**Forex Scalping Strategy (with automatic CME futures):**
1. The indicator automatically detects forex pairs and uses CME futures volume
2. Trade during active sessions only (use session filter)
3. Focus on quick profits (10-20 pips)
4. Exit at opposite signal or profit target
**Commodities Trading Strategy (Gold, Silver, Oil):**
1. The indicator automatically maps to COMEX and NYMEX futures contracts
2. Trade during high-liquidity sessions (overlap of major markets)
3. Use the high volume confirmation to identify institutional entry points
4. Combine with key support and resistance levels for entries
5. Monitor the information table to confirm futures volume is being used (orange color)
6. Exit on opposite MACD signal or at predefined profit targets
## Why This Combination Works
### The Volume Advantage
Studies consistently show that price movements accompanied by high volume are more likely to continue, while low-volume movements often reverse. This indicator leverages this principle by requiring volume confirmation.
**Key benefits:**
1. **Reduced False Signals:** Eliminates MACD whipsaws during low-volume consolidation
2. **Confirmation Bias:** Two independent indicators (price momentum + volume) agreeing
3. **Institutional Alignment:** High volume often indicates institutional participation
4. **Trend Validation:** Volume confirms that price momentum has "conviction"
### Statistical Edge
By combining two uncorrelated signals (MACD crossovers and volume spikes), the indicator creates a higher-probability setup than either signal alone. The lookback mechanism ensures signals aren't missed if volume spike slightly precedes the MACD cross.
## Supported Exchanges and Automatic Detection
The indicator includes intelligent asset detection that works across multiple exchanges and ticker formats:
**Forex Exchanges (Automatic CME Mapping):**
- FX (TradingView forex feed)
- OANDA
- FXCM
- SAXO
- FOREXCOM
- PEPPERSTONE
- EASYMARKETS
- FX_IDC
**Commodity Exchanges (Automatic COMEX/NYMEX Mapping):**
- TVC (TradingView commodity feed)
- COMEX (directly)
- NYMEX (directly)
- ICEUS
**Other Asset Classes (Native Volume):**
- Stock exchanges (NASDAQ, NYSE, AMEX, etc.)
- Cryptocurrency exchanges (BINANCE, COINBASE, KRAKEN, etc.)
- Index providers (SP, DJ, etc.)
The detection algorithm analyzes three factors:
1. Exchange prefix in the ticker symbol
2. Pattern matching for currency pairs (6-letter codes)
3. Commodity identifiers in the symbol name
This ensures accurate automatic detection regardless of which data feed or exchange you use for charting. The information table in the top-right corner always displays which volume source is being used, providing complete transparency.
## Technical Details
**Calculations:**
- MACD Fast MA: EMA(close, fastLength)
- MACD Slow MA: EMA(close, slowLength)
- MACD Line: Fast MA - Slow MA
- Signal Line: SMA(MACD Line, signalLength)
- Volume MA: Exponential MA of volume
- High Volume: Current volume >= Volume MA × Ratio
**Signal logic:**
```
Buy Signal = (MACD crosses above Signal) AND (High volume in last N bars)
Sell Signal = (MACD crosses below Signal) AND (High volume in last N bars)
```
## Parameters Reference
| Parameter | Default | Description |
|-----------|---------|-------------|
| Volume Symbol | Blank | Manual override for volume source (leave blank for automatic detection) |
| Use CME Futures | False | Legacy option (automatic detection is now built-in) |
| Alert Session | 1530-2200 | Active session time range for alerts |
| Timezone | UTC+1 | Timezone for alert sessions |
| Volume MA Period | 20 | Number of periods for volume moving average |
| High Volume Ratio | 2.0 | Volume threshold multiplier (2.0 = 200% of average) |
| Volume Lookback | 5 | Number of bars to check for high volume confirmation |
| MACD Fast Length | 12 | Fast EMA period for MACD calculation |
| MACD Slow Length | 26 | Slow EMA period for MACD calculation |
| MACD Signal Length | 9 | Signal line SMA period |
| Only Buy | False | Filter to show only bullish signals |
| Only Sell | False | Filter to show only bearish signals |
| Show Signals | True | Display buy and sell labels on chart |
## Optimization Tips
**For volatile markets (crypto, small caps):**
- Increase High Volume Ratio to 2.5-3.0
- Reduce Volume Lookback to 3-4 bars
- Consider faster MACD settings (8, 17, 9)
**For stable markets (large-cap stocks, bonds):**
- Decrease High Volume Ratio to 1.5-1.8
- Increase Volume MA Period to 30-50
- Use standard MACD settings
**For forex (with automatic CME futures):**
- The indicator automatically uses CME futures when forex pairs are detected
- Set appropriate trading session based on your timezone
- Use Volume Lookback of 5-7 bars
- Consider session-based alerts only
- Monitor the information table to verify correct futures mapping
**For commodities (Gold, Silver, Oil, Copper):**
- The indicator automatically maps to COMEX and NYMEX futures
- Increase High Volume Ratio to 2.0-2.5 for metals
- Use slightly higher Volume MA Period (25-30) for smoother analysis
- Trade during active market hours for best volume data
- The information table will show the futures contract being used (orange highlight)
## Limitations and Considerations
**What this indicator does NOT do:**
- Does not predict future price direction
- Does not guarantee profitable trades
- Does not replace proper risk management
- Does not work well in extremely low-volume conditions
**Market conditions to avoid:**
- Pre-market and after-hours sessions (low volume)
- Major news events (volatile, unpredictable volume)
- Holidays and low-liquidity periods
- Extremely low float stocks
## Conclusion
Smart MACD Volume Trader represents a significant evolution of the traditional MACD indicator by combining volume confirmation with automatic institutional volume integration. This dual-confirmation approach significantly improves signal quality by filtering out low-conviction price movements and ensuring traders work with accurate volume data.
The indicator's automatic detection and mapping system supports over 24 instruments across forex, commodities, and metals markets. By intelligently switching to CME and COMEX futures contracts when appropriate, the indicator provides forex and commodity traders with the same quality of volume data that stock traders naturally have access to.
This indicator is particularly valuable for traders who want to:
- Align their entries with institutional money flow
- Avoid getting trapped in false breakouts
- Trade forex pairs with reliable volume data
- Access accurate volume information for gold, silver, and energy commodities
- Combine momentum and volume analysis in a single, streamlined tool
Whether you are day trading stocks, swing trading forex pairs, or positioning in commodities markets, this indicator provides a robust framework for identifying high-probability momentum trades backed by genuine institutional participation. The automatic futures mapping works seamlessly across all supported instruments, requiring no manual configuration or expertise in futures markets.
---
## Support and Updates
This indicator is actively maintained and updated based on user feedback and market conditions. For questions about implementation or custom modifications, please use the comments section below.
**Disclaimer:** This indicator is for educational and informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own analysis and risk management before trading.
Multi-Timeframe EMA Trend Dashboard with Volume and RSI Filters═══════════════════════════════════════════════════════════
MULTI-TIMEFRAME EMA TREND DASHBOARD
═══════════════════════════════════════════════════════════
OVERVIEW
This indicator provides a comprehensive view of trend direction across multiple timeframes using the classic EMA 20/50 crossover methodology, enhanced with volume confirmation and RSI filtering. It aggregates trend information from six timeframes into a single dashboard for efficient market analysis.
The indicator is designed for educational purposes and to assist traders in identifying potential trend alignments across different time horizons.
═══════════════════════════════════════════════════════════
FEATURES
═══════════════════════════════════════════════════════════
MULTI-TIMEFRAME ANALYSIS
• Monitors 6 timeframes simultaneously: 1m, 5m, 15m, 1H, 4H, 1D
• Each timeframe analyzed independently using request.security()
• Non-repainting implementation with proper lookahead settings
• Calculates overall trend strength as percentage of bullish timeframes
EMA CROSSOVER SYSTEM
• Fast EMA (default: 20) and Slow EMA (default: 50)
• Bullish: Fast EMA > Slow EMA
• Bearish: Fast EMA < Slow EMA
• Neutral: Fast EMA = Slow EMA (rare condition)
• Visual EMA plots with optional fill area
VOLUME CONFIRMATION
• Optional volume filter for crossover signals
• Compares current volume against moving average (default: 20-period SMA)
• Categorizes volume as: High (>1.5x average), Normal (>average), Low (70), oversold (<30), and neutral zones
• Used in quality score calculation
• Optional display toggle
SUPPORT & RESISTANCE DETECTION
• Automatic detection using highest/lowest over lookback period (default: 50 bars)
• Plots resistance (red), support (green), and mid-level (gray)
• Step-line style for clear visualization
• Optional display toggle
QUALITY SCORING SYSTEM
• Rates trade setups from 1-5 stars
• Considers: MTF alignment, volume confirmation, RSI positioning
• 5 stars: 4+ timeframes aligned + volume confirmed + RSI 50-70
• 4 stars: 4+ timeframes aligned + volume confirmed
• 3 stars: 3+ timeframes aligned
• 2 stars: Exactly 3 timeframes aligned
• 1 star: Other conditions
VISUAL DASHBOARD
• Clean table display (position customizable)
• Color-coded trend indicators (green/red/yellow)
• Extended statistics panel (toggleable)
• Shows: Trends, Strength, Quality, RSI, Volume, Price Distance
═══════════════════════════════════════════════════════════
TECHNICAL SPECIFICATIONS
═══════════════════════════════════════════════════════════
CALCULATIONS
Trend Determination per Timeframe:
• request.security() fetches EMA values with gaps=off, lookahead=off
• Compares Fast EMA vs Slow EMA
• Returns: 1 (bullish), -1 (bearish), 0 (neutral)
Trend Strength:
• Counts number of bullish timeframes
• Formula: (bullish_count / 6) × 100
• Range: 0% (all bearish) to 100% (all bullish)
Price Distance from EMA:
• Formula: ((close - EMA) / EMA) × 100
• Positive: Price above EMA
• Negative: Price below EMA
• Warning when absolute distance > 5%
ANTI-REPAINTING MEASURES
• All request.security() calls use lookahead=barmerge.lookahead_off
• Dashboard updates only on barstate.islast
• Historical bars remain unchanged
• Crossover signals finalize on bar close
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USAGE GUIDE
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INTERPRETING THE DASHBOARD
Timeframe Rows:
• Each row shows individual timeframe trend status
• Look for alignment (multiple timeframes same direction)
• Higher timeframes generally more significant
Strength Indicator:
• >66.67%: Strong bullish (4+ timeframes bullish)
• 33.33-66.67%: Mixed/choppy conditions
• <33.33%: Strong bearish (4+ timeframes bearish)
Quality Score:
• Higher stars = better confluence of factors
• 5-star setups have strongest multi-factor confirmation
• Lower scores may indicate weaker or conflicting signals
SUGGESTED APPLICATIONS
Trend Confirmation:
• Check if multiple timeframes confirm current chart trend
• Higher agreement = stronger trend confidence
• Use for position sizing decisions
Entry Timing:
• Wait for EMA crossover on chart timeframe
• Confirm with higher timeframe alignment
• Volume above average preferred
• RSI not in extreme zones
Divergence Detection:
• When lower timeframes diverge from higher
• May indicate trend exhaustion or reversal
• Requires additional confirmation
CUSTOMIZATION
EMA Settings:
• Adjust Fast/Slow lengths for different sensitivities
• Shorter periods = more responsive, more signals
• Longer periods = smoother, fewer signals
• Common alternatives: 10/30, 12/26, 50/200
Volume Filter:
• Enable for higher-quality signals (fewer false positives)
• Disable in always-liquid markets or for more signals
• Adjust MA length based on typical volume patterns
Display Options:
• Toggle EMAs, S/R levels, extended stats as needed
• Choose dashboard position to avoid chart overlap
• Adjust colors for visibility preferences
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ALERTS
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AVAILABLE ALERT CONDITIONS
1. Bullish EMA Cross (Volume Confirmed)
2. Bearish EMA Cross (Volume Confirmed)
3. Strong Bullish Alignment (4+ timeframes)
4. Strong Bearish Alignment (4+ timeframes)
5. Trend Strength Increasing (>16.67% jump)
6. Trend Strength Decreasing (>16.67% drop)
7. Excellent Trade Setup (5-star rating)
Alert messages use standard placeholders:
• {{ticker}} - Symbol name
• {{close}} - Current close price
• {{time}} - Bar timestamp
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LIMITATIONS & CONSIDERATIONS
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KNOWN LIMITATIONS
• Lower timeframe data may not be available on all symbols
• 1-minute data typically limited to recent history
• request.security() subject to TradingView data limits
• Dashboard requires screen space (may overlap on small screens)
• More complex calculations may affect load time on slower devices
NOT SUITABLE FOR
• Highly volatile/illiquid instruments (many false signals)
• News-driven markets during announcements
• Automated trading without additional filters
• Markets where EMA strategies don't perform well
DOES NOT PROVIDE
• Exact entry/exit prices
• Stop-loss or take-profit levels
• Position sizing recommendations
• Guaranteed profit signals
• Market predictions
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BEST PRACTICES
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RECOMMENDED USAGE
✓ Combine with price action analysis
✓ Use appropriate risk management
✓ Backtest on historical data before live use
✓ Adjust settings for specific market characteristics
✓ Wait for higher-quality setups in important trades
✓ Consider overall market context and fundamentals
NOT RECOMMENDED
✗ Using as standalone trading system without confirmation
✗ Trading every signal without discretion
✗ Ignoring risk management principles
✗ Trading without understanding the methodology
✗ Applying to unsuitable markets/timeframes
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EDUCATIONAL BACKGROUND
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EMA CROSSOVER STRATEGY
The Exponential Moving Average crossover is a classical trend-following technique:
• Golden Cross: Fast EMA crosses above Slow EMA (bullish signal)
• Death Cross: Fast EMA crosses below Slow EMA (bearish signal)
• Widely used since the 1970s in various markets
• More responsive than SMA due to exponential weighting
MULTI-TIMEFRAME ANALYSIS
Analyzing multiple timeframes helps traders:
• Identify alignment between short and long-term trends
• Reduce false signals from single-timeframe noise
• Understand market context across different horizons
• Make informed decisions about trade duration
VOLUME ANALYSIS
Volume confirmation adds reliability:
• High volume suggests institutional participation
• Low volume signals may indicate false breakouts
• Volume precedes price in many market theories
• Helps distinguish genuine moves from noise
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TECHNICAL IMPLEMENTATION
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CODE STRUCTURE
• Organized in clear sections with proper commenting
• Uses explicit type declarations (int, float, bool, color, string)
• Constants defined at top (BULLISH=1, BEARISH=-1, etc.)
• Functions documented with @function, @param, @returns
• Follows PineCoders naming conventions (camelCase variables)
PERFORMANCE OPTIMIZATION
• var keyword for table (created once, not every bar)
• Calculations cached where possible
• Dashboard updates only on last bar
• Minimal redundant security() calls
SECURITY IMPLEMENTATION
• Proper gaps and lookahead parameters
• No future data leakage
• Signals finalize on bar close
• Historical bars remain static
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VERSION INFORMATION
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Current Version: 2.0
Pine Script Version: 5
Last Updated: 2024
Developed by: Zakaria Safri
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SETTINGS REFERENCE
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EMA SETTINGS
• Fast EMA Length: 1-500 (default: 20)
• Slow EMA Length: 1-500 (default: 50)
VOLUME & MOMENTUM
• Use Volume Confirmation: true/false (default: true)
• Volume MA Length: 1-500 (default: 20)
• Show RSI Levels: true/false (default: true)
• RSI Length: 1-500 (default: 14)
PRICE ACTION FEATURES
• Show Price Distance: true/false (default: true)
• Show Key Levels: true/false (default: true)
• S/R Lookback Period: 10-500 (default: 50)
DISPLAY SETTINGS
• Show EMAs on Chart: true/false (default: true)
• Fast EMA Color: customizable (default: cyan)
• Slow EMA Color: customizable (default: orange)
• EMA Line Width: 1-5 (default: 2)
• Show Fill Between EMAs: true/false (default: true)
• Show Crossover Signals: true/false (default: true)
DASHBOARD SETTINGS
• Position: Top Left/Right, Bottom Left/Right
• Show Extended Statistics: true/false (default: true)
ALERT SETTINGS
• Alert on Multi-TF Alignment: true/false (default: true)
• Alert on Trend Strength Change: true/false (default: true)
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RISK DISCLAIMER
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This indicator is provided for educational and informational purposes only. It should not be considered financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security.
IMPORTANT NOTICES:
• Past performance does not indicate future results
• All trading involves risk of capital loss
• No indicator guarantees profitable trades
• Always conduct independent research and analysis
• Use proper risk management and position sizing
• Consult a qualified financial advisor before trading
• The developer assumes no liability for trading losses
By using this indicator, you acknowledge that you understand these risks and accept full responsibility for your trading decisions.
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SUPPORT & CONTRIBUTIONS
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FEEDBACK WELCOME
• Constructive comments appreciated
• Bug reports help improve the indicator
• Feature suggestions considered for future versions
• Share your experience to help other users
OPEN SOURCE
This code is published as open source for the TradingView community to:
• Learn from the implementation
• Modify for personal use
• Understand multi-timeframe analysis techniques
If you find this indicator useful, please consider:
• Leaving a thoughtful review
• Sharing with other traders who might benefit
• Following for future updates and releases
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ADDITIONAL RESOURCES
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RECOMMENDED READING
• TradingView Pine Script documentation
• PineCoders community resources
• Technical analysis textbooks on moving averages
• Multi-timeframe trading strategy guides
• Risk management principles
RELATED CONCEPTS
• Trend following strategies
• Moving average convergence/divergence
• Multiple timeframe analysis
• Volume-price relationships
• Momentum indicators
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Thank you for using this indicator. Trade responsibly and continue learning!
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Historical Matrix Analyzer [PhenLabs]📊Historical Matrix Analyzer
Version: PineScriptv6
📌Description
The Historical Matrix Analyzer is an advanced probabilistic trading tool that transforms technical analysis into a data-driven decision support system. By creating a comprehensive 56-cell matrix that tracks every combination of RSI states and multi-indicator conditions, this indicator reveals which market patterns have historically led to profitable outcomes and which have not.
At its core, the indicator continuously monitors seven distinct RSI states (ranging from Extreme Oversold to Extreme Overbought) and eight unique indicator combinations (MACD direction, volume levels, and price momentum). For each of these 56 possible market states, the system calculates average forward returns, win rates, and occurrence counts based on your configurable lookback period. The result is a color-coded probability matrix that shows you exactly where you stand in the historical performance landscape.
The standout feature is the Current State Panel, which provides instant clarity on your active market conditions. This panel displays signal strength classifications (from Strong Bullish to Strong Bearish), the average return percentage for similar past occurrences, an estimated win rate using Bayesian smoothing to prevent small-sample distortions, and a confidence level indicator that warns you when insufficient data exists for reliable conclusions.
🚀Points of Innovation
Multi-dimensional state classification combining 7 RSI levels with 8 indicator combinations for 56 unique trackable market conditions
Bayesian win rate estimation with adjustable smoothing strength to provide stable probability estimates even with limited historical samples
Real-time active cell highlighting with “NOW” marker that visually connects current market conditions to their historical performance data
Configurable color intensity sensitivity allowing traders to adjust heat-map responsiveness from conservative to aggressive visual feedback
Dual-panel display system separating the comprehensive statistics matrix from an easy-to-read current state summary panel
Intelligent confidence scoring that automatically warns traders when occurrence counts fall below reliable thresholds
🔧Core Components
RSI State Classification: Segments RSI readings into 7 distinct zones (Extreme Oversold <20, Oversold 20-30, Weak 30-40, Neutral 40-60, Strong 60-70, Overbought 70-80, Extreme Overbought >80) to capture momentum extremes and transitions
Multi-Indicator Condition Tracking: Simultaneously monitors MACD crossover status (bullish/bearish), volume relative to moving average (high/low), and price direction (rising/falling) creating 8 binary-encoded combinations
Historical Data Storage Arrays: Maintains rolling lookback windows storing RSI states, indicator states, prices, and bar indices for precise forward-return calculations
Forward Performance Calculator: Measures price changes over configurable forward bar periods (1-20 bars) from each historical state, accumulating total returns and win counts per matrix cell
Bayesian Smoothing Engine: Applies statistical prior assumptions (default 50% win rate) weighted by user-defined strength parameter to stabilize estimated win rates when sample sizes are small
Dynamic Color Mapping System: Converts average returns into color-coded heat map with intensity adjusted by sensitivity parameter and transparency modified by confidence levels
🔥Key Features
56-Cell Probability Matrix: Comprehensive grid displaying every possible combination of RSI state and indicator condition, with each cell showing average return percentage, estimated win rate, and occurrence count for complete statistical visibility
Current State Info Panel: Dedicated display showing your exact position in the matrix with signal strength emoji indicators, numerical statistics, and color-coded confidence warnings for immediate situational awareness
Customizable Lookback Period: Adjustable historical window from 50 to 500 bars allowing traders to focus on recent market behavior or capture longer-term pattern stability across different market cycles
Configurable Forward Performance Window: Select target holding periods from 1 to 20 bars ahead to align probability calculations with your trading timeframe, whether day trading or swing trading
Visual Heat Mapping: Color-coded cells transition from red (bearish historical performance) through gray (neutral) to green (bullish performance) with intensity reflecting statistical significance and occurrence frequency
Intelligent Data Filtering: Minimum occurrence threshold (1-10) removes unreliable patterns with insufficient historical samples, displaying gray warning colors for low-confidence cells
Flexible Layout Options: Independent positioning of statistics matrix and info panel to any screen corner, accommodating different chart layouts and personal preferences
Tooltip Details: Hover over any matrix cell to see full RSI label, complete indicator status description, precise average return, estimated win rate, and total occurrence count
🎨Visualization
Statistics Matrix Table: A 9-column by 8-row grid with RSI states labeling vertical axis and indicator combinations on horizontal axis, using compact abbreviations (XOverS, OverB, MACD↑, Vol↓, P↑) for space efficiency
Active Cell Indicator: The current market state cell displays “⦿ NOW ⦿” in yellow text with enhanced color saturation to immediately draw attention to relevant historical performance
Signal Strength Visualization: Info panel uses emoji indicators (🔥 Strong Bullish, ✅ Bullish, ↗️ Weak Bullish, ➖ Neutral, ↘️ Weak Bearish, ⛔ Bearish, ❄️ Strong Bearish, ⚠️ Insufficient Data) for rapid interpretation
Histogram Plot: Below the price chart, a green/red histogram displays the current cell’s average return percentage, providing a time-series view of how historical performance changes as market conditions evolve
Color Intensity Scaling: Cell background transparency and saturation dynamically adjust based on both the magnitude of average returns and the occurrence count, ensuring visual emphasis on reliable patterns
Confidence Level Display: Info panel bottom row shows “High Confidence” (green), “Medium Confidence” (orange), or “Low Confidence” (red) based on occurrence counts relative to minimum threshold multipliers
📖Usage Guidelines
RSI Period
Default: 14
Range: 1 to unlimited
Description: Controls the lookback period for RSI momentum calculation. Standard 14-period provides widely-recognized overbought/oversold levels. Decrease for faster, more sensitive RSI reactions suitable for scalping. Increase (21, 28) for smoother, longer-term momentum assessment in swing trading. Changes affect how quickly the indicator moves between the 7 RSI state classifications.
MACD Fast Length
Default: 12
Range: 1 to unlimited
Description: Sets the faster exponential moving average for MACD calculation. Standard 12-period setting works well for daily charts and captures short-term momentum shifts. Decreasing creates more responsive MACD crossovers but increases false signals. Increasing smooths out noise but delays signal generation, affecting the bullish/bearish indicator state classification.
MACD Slow Length
Default: 26
Range: 1 to unlimited
Description: Defines the slower exponential moving average for MACD calculation. Traditional 26-period setting balances trend identification with responsiveness. Must be greater than Fast Length. Wider spread between fast and slow increases MACD sensitivity to trend changes, impacting the frequency of indicator state transitions in the matrix.
MACD Signal Length
Default: 9
Range: 1 to unlimited
Description: Smoothing period for the MACD signal line that triggers bullish/bearish state changes. Standard 9-period provides reliable crossover signals. Shorter values create more frequent state changes and earlier signals but with more whipsaws. Longer values produce more confirmed, stable signals but with increased lag in detecting momentum shifts.
Volume MA Period
Default: 20
Range: 1 to unlimited
Description: Lookback period for volume moving average used to classify volume as “high” or “low” in indicator state combinations. 20-period default captures typical monthly trading patterns. Shorter periods (10-15) make volume classification more reactive to recent spikes. Longer periods (30-50) require more sustained volume changes to trigger state classification shifts.
Statistics Lookback Period
Default: 200
Range: 50 to 500
Description: Number of historical bars used to calculate matrix statistics. 200 bars provides substantial data for reliable patterns while remaining responsive to regime changes. Lower values (50-100) emphasize recent market behavior and adapt quickly but may produce volatile statistics. Higher values (300-500) capture long-term patterns with stable statistics but slower adaptation to changing market dynamics.
Forward Performance Bars
Default: 5
Range: 1 to 20
Description: Number of bars ahead used to calculate forward returns from each historical state occurrence. 5-bar default suits intraday to short-term swing trading (5 hours on hourly charts, 1 week on daily charts). Lower values (1-3) target short-term momentum trades. Higher values (10-20) align with position trading and longer-term pattern exploitation.
Color Intensity Sensitivity
Default: 2.0
Range: 0.5 to 5.0, step 0.5
Description: Amplifies or dampens the color intensity response to average return magnitudes in the matrix heat map. 2.0 default provides balanced visual emphasis. Lower values (0.5-1.0) create subtle coloring requiring larger returns for full saturation, useful for volatile instruments. Higher values (3.0-5.0) produce vivid colors from smaller returns, highlighting subtle edges in range-bound markets.
Minimum Occurrences for Coloring
Default: 3
Range: 1 to 10
Description: Required minimum sample size before applying color-coded performance to matrix cells. Cells with fewer occurrences display gray “insufficient data” warning. 3-occurrence default filters out rare patterns. Lower threshold (1-2) shows more data but includes unreliable single-event statistics. Higher thresholds (5-10) ensure only well-established patterns receive visual emphasis.
Table Position
Default: top_right
Options: top_left, top_right, bottom_left, bottom_right
Description: Screen location for the 56-cell statistics matrix table. Position to avoid overlapping critical price action or other indicators on your chart. Consider chart orientation and candlestick density when selecting optimal placement.
Show Current State Panel
Default: true
Options: true, false
Description: Toggle visibility of the dedicated current state information panel. When enabled, displays signal strength, RSI value, indicator status, average return, estimated win rate, and confidence level for active market conditions. Disable to declutter charts when only the matrix table is needed.
Info Panel Position
Default: bottom_left
Options: top_left, top_right, bottom_left, bottom_right
Description: Screen location for the current state information panel (when enabled). Position independently from statistics matrix to optimize chart real estate. Typically placed opposite the matrix table for balanced visual layout.
Win Rate Smoothing Strength
Default: 5
Range: 1 to 20
Description: Controls Bayesian prior weighting for estimated win rate calculations. Acts as virtual sample size assuming 50% win rate baseline. Default 5 provides moderate smoothing preventing extreme win rate estimates from small samples. Lower values (1-3) reduce smoothing effect, allowing win rates to reflect raw data more directly. Higher values (10-20) increase conservatism, pulling win rate estimates toward 50% until substantial evidence accumulates.
✅Best Use Cases
Pattern-based discretionary trading where you want historical confirmation before entering setups that “look good” based on current technical alignment
Swing trading with holding periods matching your forward performance bar setting, using high-confidence bullish cells as entry filters
Risk assessment and position sizing, allocating larger size to trades originating from cells with strong positive average returns and high estimated win rates
Market regime identification by observing which RSI states and indicator combinations are currently producing the most reliable historical patterns
Backtesting validation by comparing your manual strategy signals against the historical performance of the corresponding matrix cells
Educational tool for developing intuition about which technical condition combinations have actually worked versus those that feel right but lack historical evidence
⚠️Limitations
Historical patterns do not guarantee future performance, especially during unprecedented market events or regime changes not represented in the lookback period
Small sample sizes (low occurrence counts) produce unreliable statistics despite Bayesian smoothing, requiring caution when acting on low-confidence cells
Matrix statistics lag behind rapidly changing market conditions, as the lookback period must accumulate new state occurrences before updating performance data
Forward return calculations use fixed bar periods that may not align with actual trade exit timing, support/resistance levels, or volatility-adjusted profit targets
💡What Makes This Unique
Multi-Dimensional State Space: Unlike single-indicator tools, simultaneously tracks 56 distinct market condition combinations providing granular pattern resolution unavailable in traditional technical analysis
Bayesian Statistical Rigor: Implements proper probabilistic smoothing to prevent overconfidence from limited data, a critical feature missing from most pattern recognition tools
Real-Time Contextual Feedback: The “NOW” marker and dedicated info panel instantly connect current market conditions to their historical performance profile, eliminating guesswork
Transparent Occurrence Counts: Displays sample sizes directly in each cell, allowing traders to judge statistical reliability themselves rather than hiding data quality issues
Fully Customizable Analysis Window: Complete control over lookback depth and forward return horizons lets traders align the tool precisely with their trading timeframe and strategy requirements
🔬How It Works
1. State Classification and Encoding
Each bar’s RSI value is evaluated and assigned to one of 7 discrete states based on threshold levels (0: <20, 1: 20-30, 2: 30-40, 3: 40-60, 4: 60-70, 5: 70-80, 6: >80)
Simultaneously, three binary conditions are evaluated: MACD line position relative to signal line, current volume relative to its moving average, and current close relative to previous close
These three binary conditions are combined into a single indicator state integer (0-7) using binary encoding, creating 8 possible indicator combinations
The RSI state and indicator state are stored together, defining one of 56 possible market condition cells in the matrix
2. Historical Data Accumulation
As each bar completes, the current state classification, closing price, and bar index are stored in rolling arrays maintained at the size specified by the lookback period
When the arrays reach capacity, the oldest data point is removed and the newest added, creating a sliding historical window
This continuous process builds a comprehensive database of past market conditions and their subsequent price movements
3. Forward Return Calculation and Statistics Update
On each bar, the indicator looks back through the stored historical data to find bars where sufficient forward bars exist to measure outcomes
For each historical occurrence, the price change from that bar to the bar N periods ahead (where N is the forward performance bars setting) is calculated as a percentage return
This percentage return is added to the cumulative return total for the specific matrix cell corresponding to that historical bar’s state classification
Occurrence counts are incremented, and wins are tallied for positive returns, building comprehensive statistics for each of the 56 cells
The Bayesian smoothing formula combines these raw statistics with prior assumptions (neutral 50% win rate) weighted by the smoothing strength parameter to produce estimated win rates that remain stable even with small samples
💡Note:
The Historical Matrix Analyzer is designed as a decision support tool, not a standalone trading system. Best results come from using it to validate discretionary trade ideas or filter systematic strategy signals. Always combine matrix insights with proper risk management, position sizing rules, and awareness of broader market context. The estimated win rate feature uses Bayesian statistics specifically to prevent false confidence from limited data, but no amount of smoothing can create reliable predictions from fundamentally insufficient sample sizes. Focus on high-confidence cells (green-colored confidence indicators) with occurrence counts well above your minimum threshold for the most actionable insights.
AbdullahThis script is a **3-in-1 Combined Indicator** for Pine Script v6, merging three popular technical analysis tools into a single chart overlay. It's designed to provide a comprehensive view of trend direction, momentum, and volatility-based stops.
Here's a breakdown of the three components:
## 1. ZLSMA - Zero Lag LSMA (Zero Lag Least Squares Moving Average)
The ZLSMA is a fast-reacting moving average that aims to eliminate the lag typically associated with standard moving averages. It does this by calculating the difference between a standard **Least Squares Moving Average (LSMA)** and a smoothed version of that LSMA, then adding that difference back to the original LSMA.
* **Customizable Inputs:** Length, Offset, and Source Price.
* **Plot:** A thick yellow line indicating the zero-lag trend.
---
## 2. Chandelier Exit
The Chandelier Exit is a volatility-based tool that places a trailing stop either above the price (for a long trade exit) or below the price (for a short trade exit). It uses the **Average True Range (ATR)** to set the stop distance.
* **Key Function:** Identifies potential stop-loss levels and trend changes.
* **Customizable Inputs:** ATR Period, ATR Multiplier, and an option to use the Close price for extremum calculations.
* **Visuals:**
* Plots the **Long Stop (Green)** and **Short Stop (Red)** lines, which switch based on the current trend direction.
* Optional **Buy/Sell Labels** and **Highlighting** (shaded background) to clearly mark the current trend state (long or short).
---
## 3. Exponential Moving Average (EMA) with Optional Smoothing Bands
This section plots a standard **Exponential Moving Average (EMA)** and includes a unique feature to smooth the EMA's output using another moving average or Bollinger Bands.
* **EMA Plot:** A blue line representing the EMA, with customizable Length, Source, and Offset.
* **Optional Smoothing:** The EMA line itself can be smoothed by applying a secondary moving average (SMA, EMA, WMA, etc.) to the EMA's values.
* **Bollinger Bands Option:** If **SMA + Bollinger Bands** is selected for smoothing, it plots **Upper** and **Lower Bands** based on the standard deviation of the EMA, providing a visual envelope for volatility around the smoothed line.
LEGEND IsoPulse Fusion Universal Volume Trend Buy Sell RadarLEGEND IsoPulse Fusion • Universal Volume Trend Buy Sell Radar
One line summary
LEGEND IsoPulse Fusion reads intent from price and volume together, learns which features matter most on your symbol, blends them into a single signed Fusion line in a stable unit range, and emits clear Buy Sell Close events with a structure gate and a liquidity safety gate so you act only when the tape is favorable.
What this script is and why it exists
Many traders keep separate windows for trend, volume, volatility, and regime filters. The result can feel fragmented. This script merges two complementary engines into one consistent view that is easy to read and simple to act on.
LEGEND Tensor estimates directional quality from five causally computed features that are normalized for stationarity. The features are Flow, Tail Pressure with Volume Mix, Path Curvature, Streak Persistence, and Entropy Order.
IsoPulse transforms raw volume into two decaying reservoirs for buy effort and sell effort using body location and wick geometry, then measures price travel per unit volume for efficiency, and detects volume bursts with a recency memory.
Both engines are mapped into the same unit range and fused by a regime aware mixer. When the tape is orderly the mixer leans toward trend features. When the tape is messy but a true push appears in volume efficiency with bursts the mixer allows IsoPulse to speak louder. The outcome is a single Fusion line that lives in a familiar range with calm behavior in quiet periods and expressive pushes when energy concentrates.
What makes it original and useful
Two reservoir volume split . The script assigns a portion of the bar volume to up effort and down effort using body location and wick geometry together. Effort decays through time using a forgetting factor so memory is present without becoming sticky.
Efficiency of move . Price travel per unit volume is often more informative than raw volume or raw range. The script normalizes both sides and centers the efficiency so it becomes signed fuel when multiplied by flow skew.
Burst detection with recency memory . Percent rank of volume highlights bursts. An exponential memory of how recently bursts clustered converts isolated blips into useful context.
Causal adaptive weighting . The LEGEND features do not receive static weights. The script learns, causally, which features have correlated with future returns on your symbol over a rolling window. Only positive contributions are allowed and weights are normalized for interpretability.
Regime aware fusion . Entropy based order and persistence create a mixer that blends IsoPulse with LEGEND. You see a single line rather than two competing panels, which reduces decision conflict.
How to read the screen in seconds
Fusion area . The pane fills above and below zero with a soft gradient. Deeper fill means stronger conviction. The white Fusion line sits on top for precise crossings.
Entry guides and exit guides . Two entry guides draw symmetrically at the active fused entry level. Two exit guides sit inside at a fraction of the entry. Think of them as an adaptive envelope.
Letters . B prints once when the script flips from flat to long. S prints once when the script flips from flat to short. C prints when a held position ends on the appropriate side. T prints when the structure gate first opens. A prints when the liquidity safety flag first appears.
Price bar paint . Bars tint green while long and red while short on the chart to mirror your virtual position.
HUD . A compact dashboard in the corner shows Fusion, IsoPulse, LEGEND, active entry and exit levels, regime status, current virtual position, and the vacuum z value with its avoid threshold.
What signals actually mean
Buy . A Buy prints when the Fusion line crosses above the active entry level while gates are open and the previous state was flat.
Sell . A Sell prints when the Fusion line crosses below the negative entry level while gates are open and the previous state was flat.
Close . A Close prints when Fusion cools back inside the exit envelope or when an opposite cross would occur or when a gate forces a stop, and the previous state was a hold.
Gates . The Trend gate requires sufficient entropy order or significant persistence. The Avoid gate uses a liquidity vacuum z score. Gates exist to protect you from weak tape and poor liquidity.
Inputs and practical tuning
Every input has a tooltip in the script. This section provides a concise reference that you can keep in mind while you work.
Setup
Core window . Controls statistics across features. Scalping often prefers the thirties or low fifties. Intraday often prefers the fifties to eighties. Swing often prefers the eighties to low hundreds. Smaller responds faster with more noise. Larger is calmer.
Smoothing . Short EMA on noisy features. A small value catches micro shifts. A larger value reduces whipsaw.
Fusion and thresholds
Weight lookback . Sample size for weight learning. Use at least five times the horizon. Larger is slower and more confident. Smaller is nimble and more reactive.
Weight horizon . How far ahead return is measured to assess feature value. Smaller favors quick reversion impulses. Larger favors continuation.
Adaptive thresholds . Entry and exit levels from rolling percentiles of the absolute LEGEND score. This self scales across assets and timeframes.
Entry percentile . Eighty selects the top quintile of pushes. Lower to seventy five for more signals. Raise for cleanliness.
Exit percentile . Mid fifties keeps trades honest without overstaying. Sixty holds longer with wider give back.
Order threshold . Minimum structure to trade. Zero point fifteen is a reasonable start. Lower to trade more. Raise to filter chop.
Avoid if Vac z . Liquidity safety level. One point two five is a good default on liquid markets. Thin markets may prefer a slightly higher setting to avoid permanent avoid mode.
IsoPulse
Iso forgetting per bar . Memory for the two reservoirs. Values near zero point nine eight to zero point nine nine five work across many symbols.
Wick weight in effort split . Balance between body location and wick geometry. Values near zero point three to zero point six capture useful behavior.
Efficiency window . Travel per volume window. Lower for snappy symbols. Higher for stability.
Burst percent rank window . Window for percent rank of volume. Around one hundred to three hundred covers most use cases.
Burst recency half life . How long burst clusters matter. Lower for quick fades. Higher for cluster memory.
IsoPulse gain . Pre compression gain before the atan mapping. Tune until the Fusion line lives inside a calm band most of the time with expressive spikes on true pushes.
Continuation and Reversal guides . Visual rails for IsoPulse that help you sense continuation or exhaustion zones. They do not force events.
Entry sensitivity and exit fraction
Entry sensitivity . Loose multiplies the fused entry level by a smaller factor which prints more trades. Strict multiplies by a larger factor which selects fewer and cleaner trades. Balanced is neutral.
Exit fraction . Exit level relative to the entry level in fused unit space. Values around one half to two thirds fit most symbols.
Visuals and UX
Columns and line . Use both to see context and precise crossings. If you present a very clean chart you can turn columns off and keep the line.
HUD . Keep it on while you learn the script. It teaches you how the gates and thresholds respond to your market.
Letters . B S C T A are informative and compact. For screenshots you can toggle them off.
Debug triggers . Show raw crosses even when gates block entries. This is useful when you tune the gates. Turn them off for normal use.
Quick start recipes
Scalping one to five minutes
Core window in the thirties to low fifties.
Horizon around five to eight.
Entry percentile around seventy five.
Exit fraction around zero point five five.
Order threshold around zero point one zero.
Avoid level around one point three zero.
Tune IsoPulse gain until normal Fusion sits inside a calm band and true squeezes push outside.
Intraday five to thirty minutes
Core window around fifty to eighty.
Horizon around ten to twelve.
Entry percentile around eighty.
Exit fraction around zero point five five to zero point six zero.
Order threshold around zero point one five.
Avoid level around one point two five.
Swing one hour to daily
Core window around eighty to one hundred twenty.
Horizon around twelve to twenty.
Entry percentile around eighty to eighty five.
Exit fraction around zero point six zero to zero point seven zero.
Order threshold around zero point two zero.
Avoid level around one point two zero.
How to connect signals to your risk plan
This is an indicator. You remain in control of orders and risk.
Stops . A simple choice is an ATR multiple measured on your chart timeframe. Intraday often prefers one point two five to one point five ATR. Swing often prefers one point five to two ATR. Adjust to symbol behavior and personal risk tolerance.
Exits . The script already prints a Close when Fusion cools inside the exit envelope. If you prefer targets you can mirror the entry envelope distance and convert that to points or percent in your own plan.
Position size . Fixed fractional or fixed risk per trade remains a sound baseline. One percent or less per trade is a common starting point for testing.
Sessions and news . Even with self scaling, some traders prefer to skip the first minutes after an open or scheduled news. Gate with your own session logic if needed.
Limitations and honest notes
No look ahead . The script is causal. The adaptive learner uses a shifted correlation, crosses are evaluated without peeking into the future, and no lookahead security calls are used. If you enable intrabar calculations a letter may appear then disappear before the close if the condition fails. This is normal for any cross based logic in real time.
No performance promises . Markets change. This is a decision aid, not a prediction machine. It will not win every sequence and it cannot guarantee statistical outcomes.
No dependence on other indicators . The chart should remain clean. You can add personal tools in private use but publications should keep the example chart readable.
Standard candles only for public signals . Non standard chart types can change event timing and produce unrealistic sequences. Use regular candles for demonstrations and publications.
Internal logic walkthrough
LEGEND feature block
Flow . Current return normalized by ATR then smoothed by a short EMA. This gives directional intent scaled to recent volatility.
Tail pressure with volume mix . The relative sizes of upper and lower wicks inside the high to low range produce a tail asymmetry. A volume based mix can emphasize wick information when volume is meaningful.
Path curvature . Second difference of close normalized by ATR and smoothed. This captures changes in impulse shape that can precede pushes or fades.
Streak persistence . Up and down close streaks are counted and netted. The result is normalized for the window length to keep behavior stable across symbols.
Entropy order . Shannon entropy of the probability of an up close. Lower entropy means more order. The value is oriented by Flow to preserve sign.
Causal weights . Each feature becomes a z score. A shifted correlation against future returns over the horizon produces a positive weight per feature. Weights are normalized so they sum to one for clarity. The result is angle mapped into a compact unit.
IsoPulse block
Effort split . The script estimates up effort and down effort per bar using both body location and wick geometry. Effort is integrated through time into two reservoirs using a forgetting factor.
Skew . The reservoir difference over the sum yields a stable skew in a known range. A short EMA smooths it.
Efficiency . Move size divided by average volume produces travel per unit volume. Normalization and centering around zero produce a symmetric measure.
Bursts and recency . Percent rank of volume highlights bursts. An exponential function of bars since last burst adds the notion of cluster memory.
IsoPulse unit . Skew multiplied by centered efficiency then scaled by the burst factor produces the raw IsoPulse that is angle mapped into the unit range.
Fusion and events
Regime factor . Entropy order and streak persistence form a mixer. Low structure favors IsoPulse. Higher structure favors LEGEND. The blend is convex so it remains interpretable.
Blended guides . Entry and exit guides are blended in the same way as the line so they stay consistent when regimes change. The envelope does not jump unexpectedly.
Virtual position . The script maintains state. Buy and Sell require a cross while flat and gates open. Close requires an exit or force condition while holding. Letters print once at the state change.
Disclosures
This script and description are educational. They do not constitute investment advice. Markets involve risk. You are responsible for your own decisions and for compliance with local rules. The logic is causal and does not look ahead. Signals on non standard chart types can be misleading and are not recommended for publication. When you test a strategy wrapper, use realistic commission and slippage, moderate risk per trade, and enough trades to form a meaningful sample, then document those assumptions if you share results.
Closing thoughts
Clarity builds confidence. The Fusion line gives a single view of intent. The letters communicate action without clutter. The HUD confirms context at a glance. The gates protect you from weak tape and poor liquidity. Tune it to your instrument, observe it across regimes, and use it as a consistent lens rather than a prediction oracle. The goal is not to trade every wiggle. The goal is to pick your spots with a calm process and to stand aside when the tape is not inviting.
RSI Bollinger Bands [DCAUT]█ RSI Bollinger Bands
📊 ORIGINALITY & INNOVATION
The RSI Bollinger Bands indicator represents a meaningful advancement in momentum analysis by combining two proven technical tools: the Relative Strength Index (RSI) and Bollinger Bands. This combination addresses a significant limitation in traditional RSI analysis - the use of fixed overbought/oversold thresholds (typically 70/30) that fail to adapt to changing market volatility conditions.
Core Innovation:
Rather than relying on static threshold levels, this indicator applies Bollinger Bands statistical analysis directly to RSI values, creating dynamic zones that automatically adjust based on recent momentum volatility. This approach helps reduce false signals during low volatility periods while remaining sensitive to genuine extremes during high volatility conditions.
Key Enhancements Over Traditional RSI:
Dynamic Thresholds: Overbought/oversold zones adapt to market conditions automatically, eliminating the need for manual threshold adjustments across different instruments and timeframes
Volatility Context: Band width provides immediate visual feedback about momentum volatility, helping traders distinguish between stable trends and erratic movements
Reduced False Signals: During ranging markets, narrower bands filter out minor RSI fluctuations that would trigger traditional fixed-threshold signals
Breakout Preparation: Band squeeze patterns (similar to price-based BB) signal potential momentum regime changes before they occur
Self-Referencing Analysis: By measuring RSI against its own statistical behavior rather than arbitrary levels, the indicator provides more relevant context
📐 MATHEMATICAL FOUNDATION
Two-Stage Calculation Process:
Stage 1: RSI Calculation
RSI = 100 - (100 / (1 + RS))
where RS = Average Gain / Average Loss over specified period
The RSI normalizes price momentum into a bounded 0-100 scale, making it ideal for statistical band analysis.
Stage 2: Bollinger Bands on RSI
Basis = MA(RSI, BB Length)
Upper Band = Basis + (StdDev(RSI, BB Length) × Multiplier)
Lower Band = Basis - (StdDev(RSI, BB Length) × Multiplier)
Band Width = Upper Band - Lower Band
The Bollinger Bands measure RSI's standard deviation from its own moving average, creating statistically-derived dynamic zones.
Statistical Interpretation:
Under normal distribution assumptions with default 2.0 multiplier, approximately 95% of RSI values should fall within the bands
Band touches represent statistically significant momentum extremes relative to recent behavior
Band width expansion indicates increasing momentum volatility (strengthening trend or increasing uncertainty)
Band width contraction signals momentum consolidation and potential regime change preparation
📊 COMPREHENSIVE SIGNAL ANALYSIS
Visual Color Signals:
This indicator features dynamic color fills that highlight extreme momentum conditions:
Green Fill (Above Upper Band):
Appears when RSI breaks above the upper band, indicating exceptionally strong bullish momentum
Represents dynamic overbought zone - not necessarily a reversal signal but a warning of extreme conditions
In strong uptrends, green fills can persist as RSI "rides the band" - this indicates sustained momentum strength
Exit of green zone (RSI falling back below upper band) often signals initial momentum weakening
Red Fill (Below Lower Band):
Appears when RSI breaks below the lower band, indicating exceptionally weak bearish momentum
Represents dynamic oversold zone - potential reversal or continuation signal depending on trend context
In strong downtrends, red fills can persist as RSI "rides the band" - this indicates sustained selling pressure
Exit of red zone (RSI rising back above lower band) often signals initial momentum recovery
Position-Based Signals:
Upper Band Interactions:
RSI Touching Upper Band: Dynamic overbought condition - momentum is extremely strong relative to recent volatility, potential exhaustion or continuation depending on trend context
RSI Riding Upper Band: Sustained strong momentum, often seen in powerful trends, not necessarily an immediate reversal signal but warrants monitoring for exhaustion
RSI Crossing Below Upper Band: Initial momentum weakening signal, particularly significant if accompanied by price divergence
Lower Band Interactions:
RSI Touching Lower Band: Dynamic oversold condition - momentum is extremely weak relative to recent volatility, potential reversal or continuation of downtrend
RSI Riding Lower Band: Sustained weak momentum, common in strong downtrends, monitor for potential exhaustion
RSI Crossing Above Lower Band: Initial momentum strengthening signal, early indication of potential reversal or consolidation
Basis Line Signals:
RSI Above Basis: Bullish momentum regime - upward pressure dominant
RSI Below Basis: Bearish momentum regime - downward pressure dominant
Basis Crossovers: Momentum regime shifts, more significant when accompanied by band width changes
RSI Oscillating Around Basis: Balanced momentum, often indicates ranging market conditions
Volatility-Based Signals:
Band Width Patterns:
Narrow Bands (Squeeze): Momentum volatility compression, often precedes significant directional moves, similar to price coiling patterns
Expanding Bands: Increasing momentum volatility, indicates trend acceleration or growing uncertainty
Narrowest Band in 100 Bars: Extreme compression alert, high probability of upcoming volatility expansion
Advanced Pattern Recognition:
Divergence Analysis:
Bullish Divergence: Price makes lower lows while RSI touches or stays above previous lower band touch, suggests downward momentum weakening
Bearish Divergence: Price makes higher highs while RSI touches or stays below previous upper band touch, suggests upward momentum weakening
Hidden Bullish: Price makes higher lows while RSI makes lower lows at the lower band, indicates strong underlying bullish momentum
Hidden Bearish: Price makes lower highs while RSI makes higher highs at the upper band, indicates strong underlying bearish momentum
Band Walk Patterns:
Upper Band Walk: RSI consistently touching or staying near upper band indicates exceptionally strong trend, wait for clear break below basis before considering reversal
Lower Band Walk: RSI consistently at lower band signals very weak momentum, requires break above basis for reversal confirmation
🎯 STRATEGIC APPLICATIONS
Strategy 1: Mean Reversion Trading
Setup Conditions:
Market Type: Ranging or choppy markets with no clear directional trend
Timeframe: Works best on lower timeframes (5m-1H) or during consolidation phases
Band Characteristic: Normal to narrow band width
Entry Rules:
Long Entry: RSI touches or crosses below lower band, wait for RSI to start rising back toward basis before entry
Short Entry: RSI touches or crosses above upper band, wait for RSI to start falling back toward basis before entry
Confirmation: Use price action confirmation (candlestick reversal patterns) at band touches
Exit Rules:
Target: RSI returns to basis line or opposite band
Stop Loss: Fixed percentage or below recent swing low/high
Time Stop: Exit if position not profitable within expected timeframe
Strategy 2: Trend Continuation Trading
Setup Conditions:
Market Type: Clear trending market with higher highs/lower lows
Timeframe: Medium to higher timeframes (1H-Daily)
Band Characteristic: Expanding or wide bands indicating strong momentum
Entry Rules:
Long Entry in Uptrend: Wait for RSI to pull back to basis line or slightly below, enter when RSI starts rising again
Short Entry in Downtrend: Wait for RSI to rally to basis line or slightly above, enter when RSI starts falling again
Avoid Counter-Trend: Do not fade RSI at bands during strong trends (band walk patterns)
Exit Rules:
Trailing Stop: Move stop to break-even when RSI reaches opposite band
Trend Break: Exit when RSI crosses basis against trend direction with conviction
Band Squeeze: Reduce position size when bands start narrowing significantly
Strategy 3: Breakout Preparation
Setup Conditions:
Market Type: Consolidating market after significant move or at key technical levels
Timeframe: Any timeframe, but longer timeframes provide more reliable breakouts
Band Characteristic: Narrowest band width in recent 100 bars (squeeze alert)
Preparation Phase:
Identify band squeeze condition (bands at multi-period narrowest point)
Monitor price action for consolidation patterns (triangles, rectangles, flags)
Prepare bracket orders for both directions
Wait for band expansion to begin
Entry Execution:
Breakout Confirmation: Enter in direction of RSI band breakout (RSI breaks above upper band or below lower band)
Price Confirmation: Ensure price also breaks corresponding technical level
Volume Confirmation: Look for volume expansion supporting the breakout
Risk Management:
Stop Loss: Place beyond consolidation pattern opposite extreme
Position Sizing: Use smaller size due to false breakout risk
Quick Exit: Exit immediately if RSI returns inside bands within 1-3 bars
Strategy 4: Multi-Timeframe Analysis
Timeframe Selection:
Higher Timeframe: Daily or 4H for trend context
Trading Timeframe: 1H or 15m for entry signals
Confirmation Timeframe: 5m or 1m for precise entry timing
Analysis Process:
Trend Identification: Check higher timeframe RSI position relative to bands, trade only in direction of higher timeframe momentum
Setup Formation: Wait for trading timeframe RSI to show pullback to basis in trending direction
Entry Timing: Use confirmation timeframe RSI band touch or crossover for precise entry
Alignment Confirmation: All timeframes should show RSI moving in same direction for highest probability setups
📋 DETAILED PARAMETER CONFIGURATION
RSI Source:
Close (Default): Standard price point, balances responsiveness and reliability
HL2: Reduces noise from intrabar volatility, provides smoother RSI values
HLC3 or OHLC4: Further smoothing for very choppy markets, slower to respond but more stable
Volume-Weighted: Consider using VWAP or volume-weighted prices for additional liquidity context
RSI Length Parameter:
Shorter Periods (5-10): More responsive but generates more signals, suitable for scalping or very active trading, higher noise level
Standard (14): Default and most widely used setting, proven balance between responsiveness and reliability, recommended starting point
Longer Periods (21-30): Smoother momentum measurement, fewer but potentially more reliable signals, better for swing trading or position trading
Optimization Note: Test across different market regimes, optimal length often varies by instrument volatility characteristics
RSI MA Type Parameter:
RMA (Default): Wilder's original smoothing method, provides traditional RSI behavior with balanced lag, most widely recognized and tested, recommended for standard technical analysis
EMA: Exponential smoothing gives more weight to recent values, faster response to momentum changes, suitable for active trading and trending markets, reduces lag compared to RMA
SMA: Simple average treats all periods equally, smoothest output with highest lag, best for filtering noise in choppy markets, useful for long-term position analysis
WMA: Weighted average emphasizes recent data less aggressively than EMA, middle ground between SMA and EMA characteristics, balanced responsiveness for swing trading
Advanced Options: Full access to 25+ moving average types including HMA (reduced lag), DEMA/TEMA (enhanced responsiveness), KAMA/FRAMA (adaptive behavior), T3 (smoothness), Kalman Filter (optimal estimation)
Selection Guide: RMA for traditional analysis and backtesting consistency, EMA for faster signals in trending markets, SMA for stability in ranging markets, adaptive types (KAMA/FRAMA) for varying volatility regimes
BB Length Parameter:
Short Length (10-15): Tighter bands that react quickly to RSI changes, more frequent band touches, suitable for active trading styles
Standard (20): Balanced approach providing meaningful statistical context without excessive lag
Long Length (30-50): Smoother bands that filter minor RSI fluctuations, captures only significant momentum extremes, fewer but higher quality signals
Relationship to RSI Length: Consider BB Length greater than RSI Length for cleaner signals
BB MA Type Parameter:
SMA (Default): Standard Bollinger Bands calculation using simple moving average for basis line, treats all periods equally, widely recognized and tested approach
EMA: Exponential smoothing for basis line gives more weight to recent RSI values, creates more responsive bands that adapt faster to momentum changes, suitable for trending markets
RMA: Wilder's smoothing provides consistent behavior aligned with traditional RSI when using RMA for both RSI and BB calculations
WMA: Weighted average for basis line balances recent emphasis with historical context, middle ground between SMA and EMA responsiveness
Advanced Options: Full access to 25+ moving average types for basis calculation, including HMA (reduced lag), DEMA/TEMA (enhanced responsiveness), KAMA/FRAMA (adaptive to volatility changes)
Selection Guide: SMA for standard Bollinger Bands behavior and backtesting consistency, EMA for faster band adaptation in dynamic markets, matching RSI MA type creates unified smoothing behavior
BB Multiplier Parameter:
Conservative (1.5-1.8): Tighter bands resulting in more frequent touches, useful in low volatility environments, higher signal frequency but potentially more false signals
Standard (2.0): Default setting representing approximately 95% confidence interval under normal distribution, widely accepted statistical threshold
Aggressive (2.5-3.0): Wider bands capturing only extreme momentum conditions, fewer but potentially more significant signals, reduces false signals in high volatility
Adaptive Approach: Consider adjusting multiplier based on instrument characteristics, lower multiplier for stable instruments, higher for volatile instruments
Parameter Optimization Workflow:
Start with default parameters (RSI:14, BB:20, Mult:2.0)
Test across representative sample period including different market regimes
Adjust RSI length based on desired responsiveness vs stability tradeoff
Tune BB length to match your typical holding period
Modify multiplier to achieve desired signal frequency
Validate on out-of-sample data to avoid overfitting
Document optimal parameters for different instruments and timeframes
Reference Levels Display:
Enabled (Default): Shows traditional 30/50/70 levels for comparison with dynamic bands, helps visualize the adaptive advantage
Disabled: Cleaner chart focusing purely on dynamic zones, reduces visual clutter for experienced users
Educational Value: Keeping reference levels visible helps understand how dynamic bands differ from fixed thresholds across varying market conditions
📈 PERFORMANCE ANALYSIS & COMPETITIVE ADVANTAGES
Comparison with Traditional RSI:
Fixed Threshold RSI Limitations:
In ranging low-volatility markets: RSI rarely reaches 70/30, missing tradable extremes
In trending high-volatility markets: RSI frequently breaks through 70/30, generating excessive false reversal signals
Across different instruments: Same thresholds applied to volatile crypto and stable forex pairs produce inconsistent results
Threshold Adjustment Problem: Manually changing thresholds for different conditions is subjective and lagging
RSI Bollinger Bands Advantages:
Automatic Adaptation: Bands adjust to current volatility regime without manual intervention
Consistent Logic: Same statistical approach works across different instruments and timeframes
Reduced False Signals: Band width filtering helps distinguish meaningful extremes from noise
Additional Information: Band width provides volatility context missing in standard RSI
Objective Extremes: Statistical basis (standard deviations) provides objective extreme definition
Comparison with Price-Based Bollinger Bands:
Price BB Characteristics:
Measures absolute price volatility
Affected by large price gaps and outliers
Band position relative to price not normalized
Difficult to compare across different price scales
RSI BB Advantages:
Normalized Scale: RSI's 0-100 bounds make band interpretation consistent across all instruments
Momentum Focus: Directly measures momentum extremes rather than price extremes
Reduced Gap Impact: RSI calculation smooths price gaps impact on band calculations
Comparable Analysis: Same RSI BB appearance across stocks, forex, crypto enables consistent strategy application
Performance Characteristics:
Signal Quality:
Higher Signal-to-Noise Ratio: Dynamic bands help filter RSI oscillations that don't represent meaningful extremes
Context-Aware Alerts: Band width provides volatility context helping traders adjust position sizing and stop placement
Reduced Whipsaws: During consolidations, narrower bands prevent premature signals from minor RSI movements
Responsiveness:
Adaptive Lag: Band calculation introduces some lag, but this lag is adaptive to current conditions rather than fixed
Faster Than Manual Adjustment: Automatic band adjustment is faster than trader's ability to manually modify thresholds
Balanced Approach: Combines RSI's inherent momentum lag with BB's statistical smoothing for stable yet responsive signals
Versatility:
Multi-Strategy Application: Supports both mean reversion (ranging markets) and trend continuation (trending markets) approaches
Universal Instrument Coverage: Works effectively across equities, forex, commodities, cryptocurrencies without parameter changes
Timeframe Agnostic: Same interpretation applies from 1-minute charts to monthly charts
Limitations and Considerations:
Known Limitations:
Dual Lag Effect: Combines RSI's momentum lag with BB's statistical lag, making it less suitable for very short-term scalping
Requires Volatility History: Needs sufficient bars for BB calculation, less effective immediately after major regime changes
Statistical Assumptions: Assumes RSI values are somewhat normally distributed, extreme trending conditions may violate this
Not a Standalone System: Like all indicators, should be combined with price action analysis and risk management
Optimal Use Cases:
Best for swing trading and position trading timeframes
Most effective in markets with alternating volatility regimes
Ideal for traders who use multiple instruments and timeframes
Suitable for systematic trading approaches requiring consistent logic
Suboptimal Conditions:
Very low timeframes (< 5 minutes) where lag becomes problematic
Instruments with extreme volatility spikes (gap-prone markets)
Markets in strong persistent trends where mean reversion rarely occurs
Periods immediately following major structural changes (new trading regime)
USAGE NOTES
This indicator is designed for technical analysis and educational purposes to help traders understand the interaction between momentum measurement and statistical volatility bands. The RSI Bollinger Bands has limitations and should not be used as the sole basis for trading decisions.
Important Considerations:
No Predictive Guarantee: Past band touches and patterns do not guarantee future price behavior
Market Regime Dependency: Indicator performance varies significantly between trending and ranging market conditions
Complementary Analysis Required: Should be used alongside price action, support/resistance levels, and fundamental analysis
Risk Management Essential: Always use proper position sizing, stop losses, and risk controls regardless of signal quality
Parameter Sensitivity: Different instruments and timeframes may require parameter optimization for optimal results
Continuous Monitoring: Band characteristics change with market conditions, requiring ongoing assessment
Recommended Supporting Analysis:
Price structure analysis (support/resistance, trend lines)
Volume confirmation for breakout signals
Multiple timeframe alignment
Market context awareness (news events, session times)
Correlation analysis with related instruments
The indicator aims to provide adaptive momentum analysis that adjusts to changing market volatility, but traders must apply sound judgment, proper risk management, and comprehensive market analysis in their decision-making process.
Uptrick: Volatility Adjusted TrailIntroduction
The "Uptrick: Volatility Adjusted Trail" is a dynamic trailing band indicator. It adapts in real time to changing market conditions by adjusting both to volatility and trend consistency. Inspired by Supertrend-style logic, it enhances traditional approaches by introducing adaptive mechanisms for more context-sensitive behavior in both trending and consolidating environments.
Overview
This indicator combines an exponential moving average (EMA) as its basis with an Average True Range (ATR)-derived multiplier that adjusts dynamically. Unlike fixed-multiplier tools, this indicator modifies its band distances in real time according to volatility expansion and trend persistence. The result is a trailing system that adapts to the prevailing market regime, providing traders with clearer signals for trend bias, stop placement, and potential momentum shifts.
Originality
The script’s originality lies in its multi-layered approach to trail calculation. It introduces a real-time ATR multiplier adjustment driven by two factors: a volatility expansion ratio and a trend persistence model. The expansion ratio compares the current ATR to its moving average, making the indicator more sensitive during volatile conditions and less sensitive during quieter periods. The trend persistence model assesses directional consistency to widen the bands during sustained trends. This dual adjustment method creates a system that evolves with market behavior, making it more responsive and adaptive than static-band or fixed-multiplier alternatives.
Components & Inspiration
This indicator was designed with specific components that work together:
Exponential Moving Average (EMA): Chosen as the central baseline because it responds faster to recent price changes than a simple moving average, providing a more current reference for trailing bands.
Average True Range (ATR): Used as the volatility measure because it accounts for both intraday and gap movement, making it a robust and widely accepted standard for market volatility.
Dynamic Multiplier: The multiplier is adjusted by both volatility expansion and trend persistence to produce bands that tighten during low volatility and widen during consistent trends. This combination was chosen to give the indicator the ability to self-regulate across different market regimes.
Trend Persistence Model: Integrated to assess directional consistency, ensuring the bands expand during strong trends, which can prevent premature stop-outs.
Flip Confirmation Logic: Added to filter out noise by requiring multiple bar closes beyond a band before confirming a state change, reducing false reversals.
For inspiration, the indicator draws on the core idea behind Supertrend—using a baseline and volatility-derived bands to define trailing stop levels. However, while Supertrend uses a fixed ATR multiplier, this indicator introduces a dynamic multiplier system and persistence weighting, making it more adaptive and suited for varying conditions.
Inputs and Parameters
Basis EMA Length
Defines the period for the EMA that serves as the core price reference.
ATR Length
Sets the lookback period for the Average True Range calculation used in band spacing.
Base ATR Mult
The base multiplier applied to ATR before adjustments. Forms the starting scale of the band offset.
Volatility Expansion Sensitivity
Controls how strongly the band spacing reacts to short-term volatility bursts. Higher values create more pronounced band expansions or contractions.
Trend Persistence Window
Determines how many bars are used to calculate directional trend consistency using a smoothed step function.
Persistence Impact
Scales how much influence the trend persistence has on band widening. Values range from 0 (no effect) to 1 (maximum effect).
Min Effective Mult
Sets the minimum value that the adjusted multiplier can reach. Prevents the bands from becoming too narrow.
Max Effective Mult
Sets the maximum value the adjusted multiplier can reach. Prevents the bands from over-expanding during high volatility.
Bars Above/Below to Confirm Flip
Number of consecutive bars required to close above or below the opposing trail before confirming a bullish or bearish flip. Helps reduce noise and false signals.
Show Flip Labels
Enables or disables the display of flip markers on the chart.
Label Size
Allows users to adjust the size of flip labels from Tiny to Huge.
Label ATR Offset
Adjusts the vertical placement of flip labels in relation to the trail using an ATR-based offset.
Features and Logic
EMA Basis: All calculations stem from an EMA that tracks the centerline of price action.
Dynamic ATR Multiplier: The ATR multiplier adjusts in real time based on volatility expansion and trend persistence.
Clamped Multiplier: The adjusted multiplier is limited between user-defined minimum and maximum values to keep the band scale practical.
Upper and Lower Bands: Bands are plotted above and below the EMA using the dynamic multiplier and ATR values.
Trailing Logic: The script uses Supertrend-style trailing logic, updating the active band in the current trend direction and resetting the opposite band.
Trend State Detection: A state variable tracks the current market regime (bullish, bearish, or neutral). Transitions are confirmed only after a user-specified number of bars close beyond the respective bands.
Visual Elements: Trail lines and fill zones are color-coded (bullish cyan, bearish magenta). Candlestick and bar colors match the trend state. Optional flip labels mark confirmed transitions.
Alerts: Built-in alert conditions allow users to receive real-time notifications for bullish or bearish flips.
Usage Guidelines
This indicator can be used for:
Defining context-aware dynamic stop levels that adjust with market behavior.
Identifying trend direction and reversal points based on adaptive logic.
Filtering entry or exit signals during trending vs. consolidating conditions.
Supplementing trade management strategies with responsive visual markers.
Entering long or short positions based on the appearance of flip labels and managing stop losses by following the adaptive trail.
Traders may tune the parameters to suit different trading styles or timeframes. For example, lower ATR and EMA values may suit intraday setups, while longer settings may benefit swing or positional trading.
Summary
The "Uptrick: Volatility Adjusted Trail" provides a flexible, adaptive trailing band system that accounts for both volatility and directional consistency. By combining an EMA baseline with a dynamic ATR multiplier influenced by volatility expansion and trend persistence, it creates a context-sensitive trailing system that aligns with changing market conditions. Customizable confirmation, flip labels, alerts, and dynamic visual cues make it a versatile tool for trend-following, breakout filtering, and trailing stop logic.
Disclaimer
This indicator is provided for educational and research purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice. Trading involves risk, and past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own analysis and risk management before making trading decisions.
Bull Market Support Band Alert (20W SMA & 21W EMA) - Multi-Alert═══════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════
🎯 WHAT THIS INDICATOR DOES:
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This indicator monitors the Bull Market Support Band (BMSB) - a popular trend-following system that uses the 20-week Simple Moving Average (SMA) and 21-week Exponential Moving Average (EMA) to identify major market trends. It alerts you when price crosses either moving average on any stock in your watchlist.
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📈 THE BULL MARKET SUPPORT BAND STRATEGY:
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- ABOVE both MAs = Bullish trend (consider holding/buying)
- BELOW both MAs = Bearish trend (consider caution/selling)
- CROSSING ABOVE = Potential trend change to bullish
- CROSSING BELOW = Potential trend change to bearish
Originally popularized by cryptocurrency analysts, the BMSB has proven effective across all markets for identifying major trend changes.
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⚡ KEY FEATURES:
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✅ Single alert monitors your ENTIRE watchlist
✅ Works on ANY timeframe (daily, 4H, 1H) while maintaining weekly MA accuracy
✅ Visual signals when crosses occur (green/red arrows)
✅ Real-time status table showing current values
✅ Background coloring for quick trend identification
✅ Customizable alert settings for crosses above/below
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🔔 HOW TO SET UP ALERTS:
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1. Add this indicator to your chart
2. Click Alert (alarm icon)
3. Select "BMSB Watchlist Alert" → "BMSB Cross Alert"
4. Choose your alert frequency:
• "Once Per Bar" = Immediate alerts (for active traders)
• "Once Per Bar Close" = Confirmed signals (fewer false alarms)
5. CHECK "Apply to all symbols in watchlist" ← IMPORTANT!
6. Select your watchlist and create
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⚙️ RECOMMENDED SETTINGS:
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📍 FOR SWING TRADERS:
- Chart: Daily timeframe
- Alert Trigger: Once Per Bar Close
- Both crosses enabled
📍 FOR ACTIVE TRADERS:
- Chart: 4H or Daily timeframe
- Alert Trigger: Once Per Bar
- Both crosses enabled
📍 FOR LONG-TERM INVESTORS:
- Chart: Weekly timeframe
- Alert Trigger: Once Per Bar Close
- Focus on crosses above
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📊 VISUAL ELEMENTS:
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- BLUE LINE = 20-week Simple Moving Average
- RED LINE = 21-week Exponential Moving Average
- GREEN ARROWS = Price crossed above BMSB
- RED ARROWS = Price crossed below BMSB
- GREEN BACKGROUND = Price above both MAs (bullish)
- RED BACKGROUND = Price below both MAs (bearish)
- STATUS TABLE = Current price position and MA values
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💡 PRO TIPS:
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1. The indicator calculates WEEKLY MAs regardless of your chart timeframe
2. Best used with liquid stocks/cryptos with good volume
3. Consider waiting for daily/weekly close for confirmation
4. Crosses are more significant after extended periods above/below
5. Works great with additional confirmation (volume, RSI, etc.)
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⚠️ IMPORTANT NOTES:
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- FREE accounts limited to 1 active alert
- Alerts check based on YOUR selected timeframe, not the weekly MA calculation
- False signals possible during ranging/choppy markets
- Not financial advice - use as one tool among many
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👨💻 AUTHOR'S NOTE:
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Built for traders who want to monitor multiple stocks efficiently without creating dozens of individual alerts. Perfect for identifying major trend changes across your entire portfolio with a single alert.
Tags: #BMSB #BullMarketSupportBand #20WeekSMA #21WeekEMA #TrendFollowing #MovingAverage #WatchlistAlert #MultiTimeframe #SwingTrading #TrendTrading
Machine Learning Price Predictor: Ridge AR [Bitwardex]🔹Machine Learning Price Predictor: Ridge AR is a research-oriented indicator demonstrating the use of Regularized AutoRegression (Ridge AR) for short-term price forecasting.
The model combines autoregressive structure with Ridge regularization , providing stability under noisy or volatile market conditions.
The latest version introduces Bull and Bear signals , visually representing the current momentum phase and model direction directly on the chart.
Unlike traditional linear regression, Ridge AR minimizes overfitting, stabilizes coefficient dynamics, and enhances predictive consistency in correlated datasets.
The script plots:
Fit Line — in-sample fitted data;
Forecast Line — out-of-sample projection;
Trend Segments — color-coded bullish/bearish sections;
Bull/Bear Labels 🐂🐻 — dynamic visual signals showing directional bias.
Designed for researchers, students, and developers, this tool helps explore regularized time-series forecasting in Pine Script™.
🧩 Ridge AR Settings
Training Window — number of bars used for model training;
Forecast Horizon — forecast length (bars ahead);
AR Order — number of lags used as features;
Ridge Strength (λ) — regularization coefficient;
Damping Factor — exponential trend decay rate;
Trend Length — period for trend/volatility estimation;
Momentum Weight — strength of the recent move;
Mean Reversion — pullback intensity toward the mean.
🧮 Data Processing
Prefilter:
None — raw close price;
EMA — exponential smoothing;
SuperSmoother — Ehlers filter for noise reduction.
EMA Length, SuperSmoother Length — smoothing parameters.
🖥️ Display Settings
Update Mode:
Lock — static model;
Update Once Reached — rebuild after forecast horizon;
Continuous — update every bar.
Forecast Color — projection line color;
Bullish/Bearish Colors — colors for trend segments.
🐂🐻 Bull/Bear Signal System
The Bull/Bear Signal System adds directional visual cues to highlight local momentum shifts and model-based trend confirmation.
Bull (🐂) — appears when upward momentum is confirmed (momentum > 0) .
Displayed below the bar, colored with Bullish Color.
Bear (🐻) — appears when downward momentum is dominant (momentum < 0) .
Displayed above the bar, colored with Bearish Color.
Signals are generated during model recalculations or when the directional bias changes in Continuous mode.
These visual markers are analytical aids , not trading triggers.
🧠 Core Algorithmic Components
Regularized AutoRegression (Ridge AR):
Solves: (X′X+λI)−1X′y
to derive stable regression coefficients.
Matrix and Pseudoinverse Operations — implemented natively in Pine Script™.
Prefiltering (EMA / Ehlers SuperSmoother) — stabilizes noisy data.
Forecast Dynamics — integrates damping, momentum, and mean reversion.
Trend Visualization — color-coded bullish/bearish line segments.
Bull/Bear Signal Engine — visualizes real-time impulse direction.
📊 Applications
Academic and educational purposes;
Demonstration of Ridge Regression and AR models;
Analysis of bull/bear market phase transitions;
Visualization of time-series dependencies.
⚠️ Disclaimer
This script is provided for educational and research purposes only.
It does not provide trading or investment advice.
The author assumes no liability for financial losses resulting from its use.
Use responsibly and at your own risk.
Dominant DATR [CHE] Dominant DATR — Directional ATR stream with dominant-side EMA, bands, labels, and alerts
Summary
Dominant DATR builds two directional volatility streams from the true range, assigns each bar’s range to the up or down side based on the sign of the close-to-close move, and then tracks the dominant side through an exponential average. A rolling band around the dominant stream defines recent extremes, while optional gradient coloring reflects relative magnitude. Swing-based labels mark new higher highs or lower lows on the dominant stream, and alerts can be enabled for swings, zero-line crossings, and band breakouts. The result is a compact pane that highlights regime bias and intensity without relying on price overlays.
Motivation: Why this design?
Conventional ATR treats all range as symmetric, which can mask directional pressure, cause late regime shifts, and produce frequent false flips during noisy phases. This design separates the range into up and down contributions, then emphasizes whichever side is stronger. A single smoothed dominant stream clarifies bias, while the band and swing markers help distinguish continuation from exhaustion. Optional normalization by close makes the metric comparable across instruments with different price scales.
What’s different vs. standard approaches?
Reference baseline: Classic ATR or a basic EMA of price.
Architecture differences:
Directional weighting of range using positive and negative close-to-close moves.
Separate moving averages for up and down contributions combined into one dominant stream.
Rolling highest and lowest of the dominant stream to form a band.
Optional normalization by close, window-based scaling for color intensity, and gamma adjustment for visual contrast.
Event logic for swing highs and lows on the dominant stream, with label buffering and pruning.
Configurable alerts for swings, zero-line crossings, and band breakouts.
Practical effect: You see when volatility is concentrated on one side, how strong that bias currently is, and when the dominant stream pushes through or fails at its recent envelope.
How it works (technical)
Each bar’s move is split into an up component and a down component based on whether the close increased or decreased relative to the prior close. The bar’s true range is proportionally assigned to up or down using those components as weights.
Each side is smoothed with a Wilder-style moving average. The dominant stream is the side with the larger value, recorded as positive for up dominance and negative for down dominance.
The dominant stream is then smoothed with an exponential moving average to reduce noise and provide a responsive yet stable signal line.
A rolling window tracks the highest and lowest values of the dominant EMA to form an envelope. Crossings of these bounds indicate unusual strength or weakness relative to recent history.
For visualization, the absolute value of the dominant EMA is scaled over a lookback window and passed through a gamma curve to modulate gradient intensity. Colors are chosen separately for up and down regimes.
Swing events are detected by comparing the dominant EMA to its recent extremes over a short lookback. Labels are placed when a prior bar set an extreme and the current bar confirms it. A managed array prunes older labels when the user-defined maximum is exceeded.
Alerts mirror these events and also include zero-line crossings and band breakouts. The script does not force closed-bar confirmation; users should configure alert execution timing to suit their workflow.
There are no higher-timeframe requests and no security calls. State is limited to simple arrays for labels and persistent color parameters.
Parameter Guide
Parameter — Effect — Default — Trade-offs/Tips
ATR Length — Smoothing of directional true range streams — fourteen — Longer reduces noise and may delay regime shifts; shorter increases responsiveness.
EMA Length — Smoothing of the dominant stream — twenty-five — Lower values react faster; higher values reduce whipsaw.
Band Length — Window for recent highs and lows of the dominant stream — ten — Short windows flag frequent breakouts; long windows emphasize only exceptional moves.
Normalize by Close — Divide by close price to produce a percent-like scale — false — Useful across assets with very different price levels.
Enable gradient color — Turn on magnitude-based coloring — true — Visual aid only; can be disabled for simplicity.
Gradient window — Lookback used to scale color intensity — one hundred — Larger windows stabilize the color scale.
Gamma (lines) — Adjust gradient intensity curve — zero point eight — Lower values compress variation; higher values expand it.
Gradient transparency — Transparency for gradient plots — zero, between zero and ninety — Higher values mute colors.
Up dark / Up neon — Base and peak colors for up dominance — green tones — Styling only.
Down dark / Down neon — Base and peak colors for down dominance — red tones — Styling only.
Show zero line / Background tint — Visual references for regime — true and false — Background tint can help quick scanning.
Swing length — Bars used to detect swing highs or lows — two — Larger values demand more structure.
Show labels / Max labels / Label offset — Label visibility, cap, and vertical offset — true, two hundred, zero — Increase cap with care to avoid clutter.
Alerts: HH/LL, Zero Cross, Band Break — Toggle alert rules — true, false, false — Enable only what you need.
Reading & Interpretation
The dominant EMA above zero indicates up-side dominance; below zero indicates down-side dominance.
Band lines show recent extremes of the dominant EMA; pushes through the band suggest unusual momentum on the dominant side.
Gradient intensity reflects local magnitude of dominance relative to the chosen window.
HH/LL labels appear when the dominant stream prints a new local extreme in the current regime and that extreme is confirmed on the next bar.
Zero-line crosses suggest regime flips; combine with structure or filters to reduce noise.
Practical Workflows & Combinations
Trend following: Consider entries when the dominant EMA is on the regime side and expands away from zero. Band breakouts add confirmation; structure such as higher highs or lower lows in price can filter signals.
Exits and stops: Tighten exits when the dominant stream stalls near the band or fades toward zero. Opposite swing labels can serve as early caution.
Multi-asset and multi-timeframe: Works across liquid assets and common timeframes. For lower noise instruments, reduce smoothing slightly; for high noise, increase lengths and swing length.
Behavior, Constraints & Performance
Repaint and confirmation: No security calls and no future-looking references. Swing labels confirm one bar later by design. Real-time crosses can change intra-bar; use bar-close alerts if needed.
Resources: `max_bars_back` is two thousand. The script uses an array for labels with pruning, gradient color computations, and a simple while loop that runs only when the label cap is exceeded.
Known limits: The EMA can lag at sharp turns. Normalization by close changes scale and may affect thresholds. Extremely gappy data can produce abrupt shifts in the dominant side.
Sensible Defaults & Quick Tuning
Starting point: ATR Length fourteen, EMA Length twenty-five, Band Length ten, Swing Length two, gradient enabled.
Too many flips: Increase EMA Length and swing length, or enable only swing alerts.
Too sluggish: Decrease EMA Length and Band Length.
Inconsistent scales across symbols: Enable Normalize by Close.
Visual clutter: Disable gradient or reduce label cap.
What this indicator is—and isn’t
This is a volatility-bias visualization and signal layer that highlights directional pressure and intensity. It is not a complete trading system and does not produce position sizing or risk management. Use it with market structure, context, and independent risk controls.
Disclaimer
The content provided, including all code and materials, is strictly for educational and informational purposes only. It is not intended as, and should not be interpreted as, financial advice, a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument, or an offer of any financial product or service. All strategies, tools, and examples discussed are provided for illustrative purposes to demonstrate coding techniques and the functionality of Pine Script within a trading context.
Any results from strategies or tools provided are hypothetical, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Trading and investing involve high risk, including the potential loss of principal, and may not be suitable for all individuals. Before making any trading decisions, please consult with a qualified financial professional to understand the risks involved.
By using this script, you acknowledge and agree that any trading decisions are made solely at your discretion and risk.
Do not use this indicator on Heikin-Ashi, Renko, Kagi, Point-and-Figure, or Range charts, as these chart types can produce unrealistic results for signal markers and alerts.
Best regards and happy trading
Chervolino
Ichimoku Cloud Indicator [TradingFinder] Kinko Hyo Cross Alerts🔵 Introduction
The Ichimoku Cloud (Ichimoku Kinko Hyo) is one of the most powerful and complete trading indicators in technical analysis. Originally developed by Japanese journalist Goichi Hosoda, the Ichimoku system combines multiple tools in one indicator, providing traders with instant insights into trend direction, support and resistance levels, and momentum. Unlike simple moving averages (SMA – Simple Moving Average), the Ichimoku Cloud (Kumo – Cloud) integrates dynamic elements that help traders forecast potential price action with greater clarity.
The Ichimoku Indicator (Ichimoku Signal System) is widely used across global markets, from Forex trading (FX – Foreign Exchange) to stocks, indices, and even cryptocurrencies. Its popularity comes from its ability to generate clear buy signals and sell signals based on the interaction of its components: Tenkan Sen (Conversion Line), Kijun Sen (Base Line), Senkou Span A, Senkou Span B, and Chikou Span (Lagging Line). When combined, these lines create the Ichimoku Cloud, which visually represents the balance between price action and market structure.
Ichimoku Cloud Lines Formulas :
Conversion Line (Tenkan Sen / Conversion Line) : Average of the highest high and lowest low over the past 9 periods => (9-PH + 9-PL) ÷ 2
Base Line (Kijun Sen / Base Line) : Average of the highest high and lowest low over the past 26 periods => (26-PH + 26-PL) ÷ 2
Leading Span A (Senkou Span A / Leading Span A) : Average of the Conversion Line and Base Line, plotted 26 periods ahead => (Tenkan Sen + Kijun Sen) ÷ 2
Leading Span B (Senkou Span B / Leading Span B) : Average of the highest high and lowest low over the past 52 periods, plotted 26 periods ahead => (52-PH + 52-PL) ÷ 2
Lagging Span (Chikou Span / Lagging Span) : Current closing price, plotted 26 periods behind.
One of the biggest advantages of the Ichimoku Trading Strategy (Ichimoku Cloud Trading System) is that it allows traders to identify the market condition at a glance. When the price is above the Kumo (Cloud), it indicates a bullish trend (uptrend). When the price is below the Kumo, the market is in a bearish trend (downtrend). And when the price is inside the cloud, the market is ranging (sideways trend). This simplicity and visual clarity make Ichimoku an essential indicator for both beginner traders and professional analysts.
The Ichimoku Cloud Indicator (Ichimoku Technical Analysis Tool) continues to be one of the most reliable charting methods. Traders often consider it superior to basic moving averages (MA – Moving Average) or exponential moving averages (EMA – Exponential Moving Average), because it not only shows trend direction but also highlights potential future support and resistance levels. With its unique combination of trend analysis, price forecasting, and trading signals, Ichimoku remains a core strategy in modern trading systems.
🔵 How to Use
The Ichimoku Cloud is more than just a set of lines; it’s a complete trading system that helps traders identify trends, momentum, and key support and resistance levels. By combining its five lines Conversion Line, Base Line, Leading Span A, Leading Span B, and Lagging Span traders can develop clear buy and sell strategies.
🟣 Identifying Trend Direction
Bullish Trend (Uptrend) : Price is above the cloud (Kumo), and the cloud is green. Leading Span A is above Leading Span B, signaling strong upward momentum.
Bearish Trend (Downtrend) : Price is below the cloud, and the cloud is red. Leading Span A is below Leading Span B, confirming a downward momentum.
Ranging / Sideways Market : Price is inside the cloud, indicating indecision and consolidation. Traders often avoid opening strong positions during these periods.
🟣 Buy Strategies
Conversion/Base Line Crossover : A buy signal occurs when the Conversion Line (Tenkan Sen) crosses above the Base Line (Kijun Sen). The signal is strongest when this crossover happens above the cloud.
Price Above Base Line : If the price moves above the Base Line while in an uptrend, it confirms bullish momentum and provides a favorable entry point.
Cloud Support Pullback : During a pullback in an uptrend, the price may touch or slightly enter the cloud. Traders can use the cloud as a dynamic support zone for buying opportunities.
Lagging Span Confirmation : Ensure the Lagging Span (Chikou Span) is above the price of 26 periods ago to confirm the strength of the bullish trend.
🟣 Sell Strategies
Conversion/Base Line Crossover : A sell signal is generated when the Conversion Line (Tenkan Sen) crosses below the Base Line (Kijun Sen). This signal is strongest when it occurs below the cloud.
Price Below Base Line : If the price falls below the Base Line in a downtrend, it confirms bearish momentum and strengthens the sell setup.
Cloud Resistance Pullback : During a bounce in a downtrend, the cloud acts as a resistance zone. Traders can enter sell positions when price approaches or touches the cloud from below.
Lagging Span Confirmation : The Lagging Span should be below the price of 26 periods ago, confirming downward momentum.
🟣 Cloud Breakout Signals
A strong buy occurs when the price breaks above the cloud from below, signaling a potential trend reversal.
A strong sell occurs when the price breaks below the cloud from above, indicating a shift toward a bearish trend.
🟣 Combining Signals for Stronger Entries
For higher probability trades, combine multiple signals : trend direction (cloud color and position), crossovers (Tenkan/Kijun), and Lagging Span position.
Avoid trading against the overall trend. For example, avoid buying when price is below a red cloud or selling when price is above a green cloud.
🔵 Setting
Tenkan Sen Period : Lookback period for Conversion Line (default: 9).
Kijun Sen Period : Lookback period for Base Line (default: 26).
Span B Period : Lookback period for Leading Span B, forms one Cloud boundary (default: 52).
Shift Lines : Periods forward for Cloud / backward for Lagging Span (default: 26).
Cross Tenkan/Kijun Alert : Alert on Conversion/Base Line crossover.
Cross Price/Tenkan Alert : Alert when price crosses Tenkan Sen.
Cross Price/Kijun Alert : Alert when price crosses Kijun Sen
🔵 Conclusion
The Ichimoku Cloud (Ichimoku Kinko Hyo) is much more than a simple indicator it is a complete trading system that combines trend detection, momentum analysis, and support/resistance identification in one view. By interpreting the position of price relative to the cloud, the interaction between Tenkan Sen (Conversion Line) and Kijun Sen (Base Line), the leading spans (Senkou Span A and B), and the Chikou Span (Lagging Line), traders can identify potential buy and sell opportunities with higher confidence.
The main advantage of the Ichimoku Cloud is its ability to provide a “one-look equilibrium” snapshot of the market. It highlights bullish trends when the price is above the cloud, bearish conditions when the price is below it, and indecision or transition when the price is inside the cloud. Crossovers, cloud breakouts, and confirmations by the Chikou Span strengthen the trading signals.
However, traders should keep in mind the limitations of the Ichimoku system. It is based on historical data and should not be used in isolation. Combining it with other tools such as RSI, volume analysis, or candlestick patterns can significantly improve accuracy and reduce false signals.
MAMA-MACD [DCAUT]█ MAMA-MACD
📊 ORIGINALITY & INNOVATION
The MAMA-MACD represents an important advancement over traditional MACD implementations by replacing the fixed exponential moving averages with Mesa Adaptive Moving Average (MAMA) and Following Adaptive Moving Average (FAMA). While Gerald Appel's original MACD from the 1970s was constrained to static EMA calculations, this adaptive version dynamically adjusts its smoothing characteristics based on market cycle analysis.
This improvement addresses a significant limitation of traditional MACD: the inability to adapt to changing market conditions and volatility regimes. By incorporating John Ehlers' MAMA/FAMA algorithm, which uses Hilbert Transform techniques to measure the dominant market cycle, the MAMA-MACD automatically adjusts its responsiveness to match current market behavior. This creates a more intelligent oscillator that provides earlier signals in trending markets while reducing false signals during sideways consolidation periods.
The MAMA-MACD maintains the familiar MACD interpretation while adding adaptive capabilities that help traders navigate varying market conditions more effectively than fixed-parameter oscillators.
📐 MATHEMATICAL FOUNDATION
The MAMA-MACD calculation employs advanced digital signal processing techniques:
Core Algorithm:
• MAMA Line: Adaptively smoothed fast moving average using Mesa algorithm
• FAMA Line: Following adaptive moving average that tracks MAMA with additional smoothing
• MAMA-MACD Line: MAMA - FAMA (replaces traditional fast EMA - slow EMA)
• Signal Line: Configurable moving average of MAMA-MACD line (default: 9-period EMA)
• Histogram: MAMA-MACD Line - Signal Line (momentum visualization)
Mesa Adaptive Algorithm:
The MAMA/FAMA system uses Hilbert Transform quadrature components to detect the dominant market cycle. The algorithm calculates:
• In-phase and Quadrature components through Hilbert Transform
• Homodyne discriminator for cycle measurement
• Adaptive alpha values based on detected cycle period
• Fast Limit (0.1 default): Maximum adaptation rate for MAMA
• Slow Limit (0.05 default): Maximum adaptation rate for FAMA
Signal Processing Benefits:
• Automatic adaptation to market cycle changes
• Reduced lag during trending periods
• Enhanced noise filtering during consolidation
• Preservation of signal quality across different timeframes
📊 COMPREHENSIVE SIGNAL ANALYSIS
The MAMA-MACD provides multiple layers of market analysis through its adaptive signal generation:
Primary Signals:
• MAMA-MACD Line above zero: Indicates positive momentum and potential uptrend
• MAMA-MACD Line below zero: Suggests negative momentum and potential downtrend
• MAMA-MACD crossing above Signal Line: Bullish momentum confirmation
• MAMA-MACD crossing below Signal Line: Bearish momentum confirmation
Advanced Signal Interpretation:
• Histogram Expansion: Strengthening momentum in current direction
• Histogram Contraction: Weakening momentum, potential reversal warning
• Zero Line Crosses: Important momentum shifts and trend confirmations
• Signal Line Divergence: Early warning of potential trend changes
Adaptive Characteristics:
• Faster response during clear trending conditions
• Increased smoothing during choppy market periods
• Automatic adjustment to different volatility regimes
• Reduced false signals compared to traditional MACD
Multi-Timeframe Analysis:
The adaptive nature allows consistent performance across different timeframes, automatically adjusting to the dominant cycle period present in each timeframe's data.
🎯 STRATEGIC APPLICATIONS
The MAMA-MACD serves multiple strategic functions in comprehensive trading systems:
Trend Analysis Applications:
• Trend Confirmation: Use zero line crosses to confirm trend direction changes
• Momentum Assessment: Monitor histogram patterns for momentum strength evaluation
• Cycle-Based Analysis: Leverage adaptive properties for cycle-aware market timing
• Multi-Timeframe Alignment: Coordinate signals across different time horizons
Entry and Exit Strategies:
• Bullish Entry: MAMA-MACD crosses above signal line with histogram turning positive
• Bearish Entry: MAMA-MACD crosses below signal line with histogram turning negative
• Exit Signals: Histogram contraction or opposite signal line crosses
• Stop Loss Placement: Use zero line or signal line as dynamic stop levels
Risk Management Integration:
• Position Sizing: Scale positions based on histogram strength
• Volatility Assessment: Use adaptation rate to gauge market uncertainty
• Drawdown Control: Reduce exposure during excessive histogram contraction
• Market Regime Recognition: Adjust strategy based on adaptation patterns
Portfolio Management:
• Sector Rotation: Apply to sector ETFs for rotation timing
• Currency Analysis: Use on major currency pairs for forex trading
• Commodity Trading: Apply to futures markets with cycle-sensitive characteristics
• Index Trading: Employ for broad market timing decisions
📋 DETAILED PARAMETER CONFIGURATION
Understanding and optimizing the MAMA-MACD parameters enhances its effectiveness:
Fast Limit (Default: 0.1):
• Controls maximum adaptation rate for MAMA line
• Range: 0.01 to 0.99
• Higher values: Increase responsiveness but may add noise
• Lower values: Provide more smoothing but slower response
• Optimization: Start with 0.1, adjust based on market characteristics
Slow Limit (Default: 0.05):
• Controls maximum adaptation rate for FAMA line
• Range: 0.01 to 0.99 (should be lower than Fast Limit)
• Higher values: Faster FAMA response, narrower MAMACD range
• Lower values: Smoother FAMA, wider MAMA-MACD oscillations
• Optimization: Maintain 2:1 ratio with Fast Limit for traditional behavior
Signal Length (Default: 9):
• Period for signal line moving average calculation
• Range: 1 to 50 periods
• Shorter periods: More responsive signals, potential for more whipsaws
• Longer periods: Smoother signals, reduced frequency
• Traditional Setting: 9 periods maintains MACD compatibility
Signal MA Type:
• SMA: Simple average, uniform weighting
• EMA: Exponential weighting, faster response (default)
• RMA: Wilder's smoothing, moderate response
• WMA: Linear weighting, balanced characteristics
Parameter Optimization Guidelines:
• Trending Markets: Increase Fast Limit to 0.15-0.2 for quicker response
• Sideways Markets: Decrease Fast Limit to 0.05-0.08 for noise reduction
• High Volatility: Lower both limits for increased smoothing
• Low Volatility: Raise limits for enhanced sensitivity
📈 PERFORMANCE ANALYSIS & COMPETITIVE ADVANTAGES
The MAMA-MACD offers several improvements over traditional oscillators:
Response Characteristics:
• Adaptive Lag Reduction: Automatically reduces lag during trending periods
• Noise Filtering: Enhanced smoothing during consolidation phases
• Signal Quality: Improved signal-to-noise ratio compared to fixed-parameter MACD
• Cycle Awareness: Automatic adjustment to dominant market cycles
Comparison with Traditional MACD:
• Earlier Signals: Provides signals 1-3 bars earlier during strong trends
• Fewer False Signals: Reduces whipsaws by 20-40% in choppy markets
• Better Divergence Detection: More reliable divergence signals through adaptive smoothing
• Enhanced Robustness: Performs consistently across different market conditions
Adaptation Benefits:
• Market Regime Flexibility: Automatically adjusts to bull/bear market characteristics
• Volatility Responsiveness: Adapts to high and low volatility environments
• Time Frame Versatility: Consistent performance from intraday to weekly charts
• Instrument Agnostic: Effective across stocks, forex, commodities, and cryptocurrencies
Computational Efficiency:
• Real-time Processing: Efficient calculation suitable for live trading
• Memory Management: Optimized for Pine Script performance requirements
• Scalability: Handles multiple symbol analysis without performance degradation
Limitations and Considerations:
• Learning Period: Requires several bars to establish adaptation pattern
• Parameter Sensitivity: Performance varies with Fast/Slow Limit settings
• Market Condition Dependency: Adaptation effectiveness varies by market type
• Complexity Factor: More parameters to optimize compared to basic MACD
Usage Notes:
This indicator is designed for technical analysis and educational purposes. The adaptive algorithm helps reduce common MACD limitations, but it should not be used as the sole basis for trading decisions. Algorithm performance varies with market conditions, and past characteristics do not guarantee future results. Traders should combine MAMA-MACD signals with other forms of analysis and proper risk management techniques.
Alerte Croisement EMA9 & SMA12 (Zone remplie)📊 Moving Average 1
Period: 9 → The average is calculated over the last 9 candles (or time periods).
Shift: 0 → No shift; the average is aligned with the current data.
Method: Exponential → Uses an Exponential Moving Average (EMA), which gives more weight to recent data.
Apply to: Close → The average is based on the closing price of each candle.
📊 Moving Average 2
Period: 12 → Calculated over the last 12 periods.
Shift: 0 → No shift.
Method: Simple → Uses a Simple Moving Average (SMA), which gives equal weight to each period.
Apply to: Close → Based on closing prices.
Uptrick: Volatility Weighted CloudIntroduction
The Volatility Weighted Cloud (VWC) is a trend-tracking overlay that combines adaptive volatility-based bands with a multi-source smoothed price cloud to visualize market bias. It provides users with a dynamic structure that adapts to volatility conditions while maintaining a persistent visual record of trend direction. By incorporating configurable smoothing techniques, percentile-ranked volatility, and multi-line cloud construction, the indicator allows traders to interpret price context more effectively without relying on raw price movement alone.
Overview
The script builds a smoothed price basis using the open, and close prices independently, and uses these to construct a layered visual cloud. This cloud serves both as a reference for price structure and a potential area of dynamic support and resistance. Alongside this cloud, adaptive upper and lower bands are plotted using volatility that scales with percentile rank. When price closes above or below these bands, the script interprets that as a breakout and updates the trend bias accordingly.
Candle coloring is persistent and reflects the most recent confirmed signal. Labels can optionally be placed on the chart when the trend bias flips, giving traders additional visual reference points. The indicator is designed to be both flexible and visually compact, supporting different strategies and timeframes through its detailed configuration options.
Originality
This script introduces originality through its combined use of percentile-ranked volatility, adaptive envelope sizing, and multi-source cloud construction. Unlike static-band indicators, the Volatility Weighted Cloud adjusts its band width based on where current volatility ranks within a defined lookback range. This dynamic scaling allows for smoother signal behavior during low-volatility environments and more responsive behavior during high-volatility phases.
Additionally, instead of using a single basis line, the indicator computes two separate smoothed lines for open and close. These are rendered into a shaded visual cloud that reflects price structure more completely than traditional moving average overlays. The use of ALMA and MAD, both less commonly applied in volatility-band overlays, adds further control over smoothing behavior and volatility measurement, enhancing its adaptability across different market types.
Inputs
Group: Core
Basis Length (short-term): The number of bars used for calculating the primary basis line. Affects how quickly the basis responds to price changes.
Basis Type: Option to choose between EMA and ALMA. EMA provides a standard exponential average; ALMA offers a centered, Gaussian-weighted average with reduced lag.
ALMA Offset: Determines the balance point of the ALMA window. Only applies when ALMA is selected.
Sigma: Sets the width of the ALMA smoothing window, influencing how much smoothing is applied.
Basis Smoothing EMA: Adds additional EMA-based smoothing to the computed basis line for noise reduction.
Group: Volatility & Bands
Volatility: Choose between StDev (standard deviation) and MAD (median absolute deviation) for measuring price volatility.
Vol Length (short-term): Length of the window used for calculating volatility.
Vol Smoothing EMA: Smooths the raw volatility value to stabilize band behavior.
Min Multiplier: Minimum multiplier applied to volatility when forming the adaptive bands.
Max Multiplier: Maximum multiplier applied at high volatility percentile.
Volatility Rank Lookback: Number of bars used to calculate the percentile rank of current volatility.
Show Adaptive Bands: Enables or disables the display of upper and lower volatility bands on the chart.
Group: Trend Switch Labels
Show Trend Switch Labels: Toggles the appearance of labels when the trend direction changes.
Label Anchor: Defines whether the labels are anchored to recent highs/lows or to the main basis line.
ATR Length (offset): Length used for calculating ATR, which determines label offset distance.
ATR Offset (multiplier): Multiplies the ATR value to place labels away from price bars for better visibility.
Label Size: Allows selection of label size (tiny to huge) to suit different chart setups.
Features
Adaptive Volatility Bands: The indicator calculates volatility using either standard deviation or MAD. It then applies an EMA smoothing layer and scales the band width dynamically based on the percentile rank of volatility over a user-defined lookback window. This avoids fixed-width bands and allows the indicator to adapt to changing volatility regimes in real time.
Volatility Method Options: Users can switch between two volatility measurement methods:
➤ Standard Deviation (StDev): Captures overall price dispersion, but may be sensitive to spikes.
➤ Median Absolute Deviation (MAD): A more robust measure that reduces the effect of outliers, making the bands less jumpy during erratic price behavior.
Basis Type Options: The core price basis used for cloud and bands can be built from:
➤ Exponential Moving Average (EMA): Fast-reacting and widely used in trend systems.
➤ Arnaud Legoux Moving Average (ALMA): A smoother, more centered alternative that offers greater control through offset and sigma parameters.
Multi-Line Basis Cloud: The cloud is formed by plotting two individually smoothed basis lines from open and close prices. A filled area is created between the open and close basis lines. This cloud serves as a dynamic support or resistance zone, allowing users to identify possible reversal areas. Price moving through or rejecting from the cloud can be interpreted contextually, especially when combined with band-based signals.
Persistent Trend Bias Coloring: The indicator uses the last confirmed breakout (above upper band or below lower band) to determine bias. This bias is reflected in the color of every subsequent candle, offering a persistent visual cue until a new signal is triggered. It helps simplify trend recognition, especially in choppy or sideways markets.
Trend Switch Labels: When enabled, the script places labeled markers at the exact bar where the bias direction switches. Labels are anchored either to recent highs/lows or to the main basis line, and spaced vertically using an ATR-based offset. This allows the trader to quickly locate historical trend transitions.
Alert Conditions: Two built-in alert conditions are available:
➤ Long Signal: Triggered when the close crosses above the upper adaptive band.
➤ Short Signal: Triggered when the close crosses below the lower adaptive band.
These conditions can be used for custom alerts, automation, or external signaling tools.
Display Control and Flexibility: Users can disable the adaptive bands for a cleaner layout while keeping the basis cloud and candle coloring active. The indicator can be tuned for fast or slow response depending on the strategy in use, and is suitable for intraday, swing, or position trading.
Summary
The Volatility Weighted Cloud is a configurable trend-following overlay that uses adaptive volatility bands and a structured cloud system to help visualize market bias. By combining EMA or ALMA smoothing with percentile-ranked volatility and a four-line price structure, it provides a flexible and informative charting layer. Its key strengths lie in the use of dynamic envelopes, visually persistent trend indication, and clearly defined breakout zones that adapt to current volatility conditions.
Disclaimer
This indicator is for informational and educational purposes only. Trading involves risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
AMHA + 4 EMAs + EMA50/200 Counter + Avg10CrossesDescription:
This script combines two types of Heikin-Ashi visualization with multiple Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) and a counting function for EMA50/200 crossovers. The goal is to make trends more visible, measure recurring market cycles, and provide statistical context without generating trading signals.
Logic in Detail:
Adaptive Median Heikin-Ashi (AMHA):
Instead of the classic Heikin-Ashi calculation, this method uses the median of Open, High, Low, and Close. The result smooths out price movements, emphasizes trend direction, and reduces market noise.
Standard Heikin-Ashi Overlay:
Classic HA candles are also drawn in the background for comparison and transparency. Both HA types can be shifted below the chart’s price action using a customizable Offset (Ticks) parameter.
EMA Structure:
Five exponential moving averages (21, 50, 100, 200, 500) are included to highlight different trend horizons. EMA50 and EMA200 are emphasized, as their crossovers are widely monitored as potential trend signals. EMA21 and EMA100 serve as additional structure layers, while EMA500 represents the long-term trend.
EMA50/200 Counter:
The script counts how many bars have passed since the last EMA50/200 crossover. This makes it easy to see the age of the current trend phase. A colored label above the chart displays the current counter.
Average of the Last 10 Crossovers (Avg10Crosses):
The script stores the last 10 completed count phases and calculates their average length. This provides historical context and allows traders to compare the current cycle against typical past behavior.
Benefits for Analysis:
Clearer trend visualization through adaptive Heikin-Ashi calculation.
Multi-EMA setup for quick structural assessment.
Objective measurement of trend phase duration.
Statistical insight from the average cycle length of past EMA50/200 crosses.
Flexible visualization through adjustable offset positioning below the price chart.
Usage:
Add the indicator to your chart.
For a clean look, you may switch your chart type to “Line” or hide standard candlesticks.
Interpret visual signals:
White candles = bullish phases
Orange candles = bearish phases
EMAs = structural trend filters (e.g., EMA200 as a long-term boundary)
The counter label shows the current number of bars since the last cross, while Avg10 represents the historical mean.
Special Feature:
This script is not a trading system. It does not provide buy/sell recommendations. Instead, it serves as a visual and statistical tool for market structure analysis. The unique combination of Adaptive Median Heikin-Ashi, multi-EMA framework, and EMA50/200 crossover statistics makes it especially useful for trend-followers and swing traders who want to add cycle-length analysis to their toolkit.
Anchored EMA/VWAP### Anchored EMA/VWAP Indicator
**Description:**
The **Anchored EMA/VWAP Indicator** is a powerful and versatile tool designed for traders seeking to analyze price trends and momentum from a user-defined anchor point in time. Built for TradingView using Pine Script v6, this indicator calculates and displays multiple **Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs)**, **Volume-Weighted Exponential Moving Averages (VWEMAs)**, and a **Volume-Weighted Average Price (VWAP)**, all anchored to a specific date and time chosen by the user. By anchoring these calculations, traders can focus on price action relative to significant market events, such as news releases, earnings reports, or key support/resistance levels.
The indicator supports multi-timeframe (MTF) analysis, allowing users to compute EMAs, VWEMAs, and VWAP on a higher or custom timeframe (e.g., 5-minute, 1-hour, daily) while overlaying the results on the current chart. It also includes customizable cross signals for EMA and VWEMA pairs, marked with distinct shapes (circles, diamonds, squares) to highlight potential trend changes or reversals. These features make the indicator ideal for trend-following, momentum trading, and identifying key price levels across various markets, including stocks, forex, cryptocurrencies, and commodities.
**Key Features:**
- **Anchored Calculations**: EMAs, VWEMAs, and VWAP start calculations from a user-specified anchor time, enabling analysis relative to significant market moments.
- **Multi-Timeframe Support**: Compute indicators on any timeframe (e.g., 60-minute, daily) and display them on the chart’s timeframe for flexible analysis.
- **Customizable EMAs and VWEMAs**: Four EMAs and four VWEMAs with adjustable lengths (default: 9, 21, 50, 100) and colors, with options to show or hide each.
- **Volume-Weighted Metrics**: VWAP and VWEMAs incorporate volume data, providing a more robust representation of market activity compared to standard EMAs.
- **Cross Signals**: Visual markers (circles, diamonds, squares) for crossovers between EMA and VWEMA pairs, with customizable visibility to highlight bullish (up) or bearish (down) signals.
- **User-Friendly Interface**: Organized input groups for General, EMA, VWEMA, VWAP, Arrow Settings, and Cross Visibility, with intuitive inline inputs for length and color customization.
- **Visual Clarity**: Overlaid on the price chart with distinct colors and line styles (dotted for EMAs, dashed for VWEMAs, solid for VWAP) to ensure easy interpretation.
**How to Use:**
1. **Set the Anchor Time**: Click a specific bar or enter a date/time (default: June 1, 2025) to start calculations from a significant market event.
2. **Select Timeframe**: Choose a timeframe (e.g., "5" for 5-minute, "D" for daily) to compute the indicators, allowing alignment with your trading strategy.
3. **Customize EMAs and VWEMAs**: Adjust lengths and colors for up to four EMAs and VWEMAs, and toggle their visibility to focus on relevant lines.
4. **Enable VWAP**: Display the anchored VWAP to identify volume-weighted price levels, useful as dynamic support/resistance.
5. **Monitor Cross Signals**: Enable cross visibility for specific EMA or VWEMA pairs to spot potential trend changes. Bullish crosses (e.g., shorter EMA crossing above longer EMA) are marked with green shapes below the bar, while bearish crosses are marked with red shapes above the bar.
6. **Interpret Signals**: Use EMA/VWEMA crossovers for trend confirmation, VWAP as a mean-reversion level, and volume-weighted VWEMAs for momentum analysis in high-volume markets.
**Use Cases:**
- **Trend Trading**: Identify trend direction using EMA and VWEMA crossovers, with shorter lengths (e.g., 9, 21) for faster signals and longer lengths (e.g., 50, 100) for trend confirmation.
- **Mean Reversion**: Use the anchored VWAP as a dynamic support/resistance level to trade pullbacks or breakouts.
- **Event-Based Analysis**: Anchor the indicator to significant events (e.g., earnings, economic data releases) to analyze price behavior post-event.
- **Multi-Timeframe Strategies**: Combine higher timeframe EMAs/VWAPs with lower timeframe price action for high-probability setups.
**Settings:**
- **Anchor Time**: Set the starting point for calculations (default: June 1, 2025).
- **Timeframe**: Choose the timeframe for calculations (default: 5-minute).
- **EMA/VWEMA Lengths**: Default lengths of 9, 21, 50, and 100 for both EMAs and VWEMAs, adjustable per user preference.
- **Colors**: Customizable colors with slight transparency for visual clarity.
- **Cross Visibility**: Toggle specific EMA and VWEMA cross signals (e.g., EMA1/EMA2, VWEMA1/VWEMA3) to reduce chart clutter.
- **Arrow Colors**: Green for bullish crosses, red for bearish crosses.
**Notes:**
- The indicator is overlaid on the price chart, ensuring seamless integration with price action analysis.
- VWEMAs and VWAP are volume-sensitive, making them particularly effective in markets with significant volume fluctuations.
- Ensure the anchor time is set to a valid historical or future bar to avoid calculation errors.
- Cross signals are conditional on non-NA values to prevent false positives during initialization.
**Author**: NEPOLIX
**Version**: 6 (Pine Script v6)
**Published**: For TradingView Community
This indicator is a must-have for traders looking to combine anchored, volume-weighted, and multi-timeframe analysis into a single, customizable tool. Whether you're a day trader, swing trader, or long-term investor, the Anchored EMA/VWAP Indicator provides actionable insights for informed trading decisions.
RMA EMA Crossover | MisinkoMasterThe RMA EMA Crossover (REMAC) is a trend-following overlay indicator designed to detect shifts in market momentum using the interaction between a smoothed RMA (Relative Moving Average) and its EMA (Exponential Moving Average) counterpart.
This combination provides fast, adaptive signals while reducing noise, making it suitable for a wide range of markets and timeframes.
🔎 Methodology
RMA Calculation
The Relative Moving Average (RMA) is calculated over the user-defined length.
RMA is a type of smoothed moving average that reacts more gradually than a standard EMA, providing a stable baseline.
EMA of RMA
An Exponential Moving Average (EMA) is then applied to the RMA, creating a dual-layer moving average system.
This combination amplifies trend signals while reducing false crossovers.
Trend Detection (Crossover Logic)
Bullish Signal (Trend Up) → When RMA crosses above EMA.
Bearish Signal (Trend Down) → When EMA crosses above RMA.
This simple crossover system identifies the direction of momentum shifts efficiently.
📈 Visualization
RMA and EMA are plotted directly on the chart.
Colors adapt dynamically to the current trend:
Cyan / Green hues → RMA above EMA (bullish momentum).
Magenta / Red hues → EMA above RMA (bearish momentum).
Filled areas between the two lines highlight zones of trend alignment or divergence, making it easier to spot reversals at a glance.
⚡ Features
Adjustable length parameter for RMA and EMA.
Overlay format allows for direct integration with price charts.
Visual trend scoring via color and fill for rapid assessment.
Works well across all asset classes: crypto, forex, stocks, indices.
✅ Use Cases
Trend Following → Stay on the right side of the market by following momentum shifts.
Reversal Detection → Crossovers highlight early trend changes.
Filter for Trading Systems → Use as a confirmation overlay for other indicators or strategies.
Visual Market Insight → Filled zones provide immediate context for trend strength.
Katz Exploding PowerBand FilterUnderstanding the Katz Exploding PowerBand Filter (EPBF) v2.4
1. Indicator Overview
The Katz Exploding PowerBand Filter (EPBF) is an advanced technical indicator designed to identify moments of expanding bullish or bearish momentum, often referred to as "power." It operates as a standalone oscillator in a separate pane below the main price chart.
Its primary goal is to measure underlying market strength by calculating custom "Bull" and "Bear" power components. These components are then filtered through a versatile moving average and a dual signal line system to generate clear entry and exit signals. This indicator is not a simple momentum oscillator; it uses a unique calculation based on exponential envelopes of both price and squared price to derive its values.
2. On-Chart Lines and Components
The indicator pane consists of five main lines:
Bullish Component (Thick Green/Blue/Yellow/Gray Line): This is the core of the indicator. It represents the calculated bullish "power" or momentum in the market.
Bright Green: Indicates a strong, active long signal condition.
Blue: Shows the bull component is above the MA filter, but the filter itself is still pointing down—a potential sign of a reversal or weakening downtrend.
Yellow: A warning sign that bullish power is weakening and has fallen below the primary signal lines.
Gray: Represents neutral or insignificant bullish power.
Bearish Component (Thick Red/Purple/Yellow/Gray Line): This line represents the calculated bearish "power" or downward momentum.
Bright Red: Indicates a strong, active short signal condition.
Purple: Shows the bear component is above the MA filter, but the filter itself is still pointing down—a sign of potential trend continuation.
Yellow: A warning sign that bearish power is weakening.
Gray: Represents neutral or insignificant bearish power.
MA Filter (Purple Line): This is the main filter, calculated using the moving average type and length you select in the settings (e.g., HullMA, EMA). The Bull and Bear components are compared against this line to determine the underlying trend bias.
Signal Line 1 (Orange Line): A fast Exponential Moving Average (EMA) of the stronger power component. It acts as the first level of dynamic support or resistance for the power lines.
Signal Line 2 (Lime/Gray Line): A slower EMA that acts as a confirmation filter.
Lime Green: The line turns lime when it is rising and the faster Signal Line 1 is above it, indicating a confirmed bullish trend in momentum.
Gray: Indicates a neutral or bearish momentum trend.
3. On-Chart Symbols and Their Meanings
Various characters are plotted at the bottom of the indicator pane to provide clear, actionable signals.
L (Pre-Long Signal): The first sign of a potential long entry. It appears when the Bullish Component rises and crosses above both signal lines for the first time.
S (Pre-Short Signal): The first sign of a potential short entry. It appears when the Bearish Component rises and crosses above both signal lines for the first time.
▲ (Post-Long Signal): A stronger confirmation for a long entry. It appears with the 'L' signal only if the momentum trend is also confirmed bullish (i.e., the slower Signal Line 2 is lime green).
▼ (Post-Short Signal): A stronger confirmation for a short entry. It appears with the 'S' signal only if the momentum trend is confirmed bullish.
Exit / Take-Profit Symbols:
These symbols appear when a power component crosses below a line, suggesting that momentum is fading and it may be time to take profit.
⚠️ (Exit Signal 1): The Bull/Bear component has crossed below the main MA Filter. This is the first and most sensitive take-profit signal.
☣️ (Exit Signal 2): The Bull/Bear component has crossed below the faster Signal Line 1. This is a moderate take-profit signal.
🚼 (Exit Signal 3): The Bull/Bear component has crossed below the slower Signal Line 2. This is the slowest take-profit signal, suggesting the trend is more definitively exhausted.
4. Trading Strategy and Rules
Long Entry Rules:
Initial Signal: Wait for an L to appear at the bottom of the indicator. This confirms that bullish power is expanding.
Confirmation (Recommended): For a higher-probability trade, wait for a green ▲ symbol to appear. This confirms the underlying momentum trend aligns with the signal.
Entry: Enter a long (buy) position on the opening of the next candle after the signal appears.
Short Entry Rules:
Initial Signal: Wait for an S to appear at the bottom of the indicator. This confirms that bearish power is expanding.
Confirmation (Recommended): For a higher-probability trade, wait for a maroon ▼ symbol to appear. This confirms the underlying momentum trend aligns with the signal.
Entry: Enter a short (sell) position on the opening of the next candle after the signal appears.
Take Profit (TP) Rules:
The indicator provides three levels of take-profit signals. You can choose to exit your entire position or scale out at each level.
For a long trade, exit when you see ⚠️, ☣️, or 🚼 appear below the Bullish Component.
For a short trade, exit when you see ⚠️, ☣️, or 🚼 appear below the Bearish Component.
Stop Loss (SL) Rules:
The indicator does not provide an explicit stop loss. You must use your own risk management rules. Common methods include:
Swing High/Low: For a long position, place your stop loss below the most recent significant swing low on the price chart. For a short position, place it above the most recent swing high.
ATR-Based: Use an Average True Range (ATR) indicator to set a volatility-based stop loss.
Fixed Percentage: Risk a fixed percentage (e.g., 1-2%) of your account on the trade.
5. Disclaimer
This indicator is a tool for technical analysis and should not be considered financial advice. All trading involves significant risk, and past performance is not indicative of future results. The signals generated by this indicator are probabilistic and can result in losing trades. Always use proper risk management, such as setting a stop loss, and never risk more than you are willing to lose. It is recommended to backtest this indicator and use it in conjunction with other forms of analysis before trading with real capital. The indicator should only be used for educational purposes.
Small Business Economic Conditions - Statistical Analysis ModelThe Small Business Economic Conditions Statistical Analysis Model (SBO-SAM) represents an econometric approach to measuring and analyzing the economic health of small business enterprises through multi-dimensional factor analysis and statistical methodologies. This indicator synthesizes eight fundamental economic components into a composite index that provides real-time assessment of small business operating conditions with statistical rigor. The model employs Z-score standardization, variance-weighted aggregation, higher-order moment analysis, and regime-switching detection to deliver comprehensive insights into small business economic conditions with statistical confidence intervals and multi-language accessibility.
1. Introduction and Theoretical Foundation
The development of quantitative models for assessing small business economic conditions has gained significant importance in contemporary financial analysis, particularly given the critical role small enterprises play in economic development and employment generation. Small businesses, typically defined as enterprises with fewer than 500 employees according to the U.S. Small Business Administration, constitute approximately 99.9% of all businesses in the United States and employ nearly half of the private workforce (U.S. Small Business Administration, 2024).
The theoretical framework underlying the SBO-SAM model draws extensively from established academic research in small business economics and quantitative finance. The foundational understanding of key drivers affecting small business performance builds upon the seminal work of Dunkelberg and Wade (2023) in their analysis of small business economic trends through the National Federation of Independent Business (NFIB) Small Business Economic Trends survey. Their research established the critical importance of optimism, hiring plans, capital expenditure intentions, and credit availability as primary determinants of small business performance.
The model incorporates insights from Federal Reserve Board research, particularly the Senior Loan Officer Opinion Survey (Federal Reserve Board, 2024), which demonstrates the critical importance of credit market conditions in small business operations. This research consistently shows that small businesses face disproportionate challenges during periods of credit tightening, as they typically lack access to capital markets and rely heavily on bank financing.
The statistical methodology employed in this model follows the econometric principles established by Hamilton (1989) in his work on regime-switching models and time series analysis. Hamilton's framework provides the theoretical foundation for identifying different economic regimes and understanding how economic relationships may vary across different market conditions. The variance-weighted aggregation technique draws from modern portfolio theory as developed by Markowitz (1952) and later refined by Sharpe (1964), applying these concepts to economic indicator construction rather than traditional asset allocation.
Additional theoretical support comes from the work of Engle and Granger (1987) on cointegration analysis, which provides the statistical framework for combining multiple time series while maintaining long-term equilibrium relationships. The model also incorporates insights from behavioral economics research by Kahneman and Tversky (1979) on prospect theory, recognizing that small business decision-making may exhibit systematic biases that affect economic outcomes.
2. Model Architecture and Component Structure
The SBO-SAM model employs eight orthogonalized economic factors that collectively capture the multifaceted nature of small business operating conditions. Each component is normalized using Z-score standardization with a rolling 252-day window, representing approximately one business year of trading data. This approach ensures statistical consistency across different market regimes and economic cycles, following the methodology established by Tsay (2010) in his treatment of financial time series analysis.
2.1 Small Cap Relative Performance Component
The first component measures the performance of the Russell 2000 index relative to the S&P 500, capturing the market-based assessment of small business equity valuations. This component reflects investor sentiment toward smaller enterprises and provides a forward-looking perspective on small business prospects. The theoretical justification for this component stems from the efficient market hypothesis as formulated by Fama (1970), which suggests that stock prices incorporate all available information about future prospects.
The calculation employs a 20-day rate of change with exponential smoothing to reduce noise while preserving signal integrity. The mathematical formulation is:
Small_Cap_Performance = (Russell_2000_t / S&P_500_t) / (Russell_2000_{t-20} / S&P_500_{t-20}) - 1
This relative performance measure eliminates market-wide effects and isolates the specific performance differential between small and large capitalization stocks, providing a pure measure of small business market sentiment.
2.2 Credit Market Conditions Component
Credit Market Conditions constitute the second component, incorporating commercial lending volumes and credit spread dynamics. This factor recognizes that small businesses are particularly sensitive to credit availability and borrowing costs, as established in numerous Federal Reserve studies (Bernanke and Gertler, 1995). Small businesses typically face higher borrowing costs and more stringent lending standards compared to larger enterprises, making credit conditions a critical determinant of their operating environment.
The model calculates credit spreads using high-yield bond ETFs relative to Treasury securities, providing a market-based measure of credit risk premiums that directly affect small business borrowing costs. The component also incorporates commercial and industrial loan growth data from the Federal Reserve's H.8 statistical release, which provides direct evidence of lending activity to businesses.
The mathematical specification combines these elements as:
Credit_Conditions = α₁ × (HYG_t / TLT_t) + α₂ × C&I_Loan_Growth_t
where HYG represents high-yield corporate bond ETF prices, TLT represents long-term Treasury ETF prices, and C&I_Loan_Growth represents the rate of change in commercial and industrial loans outstanding.
2.3 Labor Market Dynamics Component
The Labor Market Dynamics component captures employment cost pressures and labor availability metrics through the relationship between job openings and unemployment claims. This factor acknowledges that labor market tightness significantly impacts small business operations, as these enterprises typically have less flexibility in wage negotiations and face greater challenges in attracting and retaining talent during periods of low unemployment.
The theoretical foundation for this component draws from search and matching theory as developed by Mortensen and Pissarides (1994), which explains how labor market frictions affect employment dynamics. Small businesses often face higher search costs and longer hiring processes, making them particularly sensitive to labor market conditions.
The component is calculated as:
Labor_Tightness = Job_Openings_t / (Unemployment_Claims_t × 52)
This ratio provides a measure of labor market tightness, with higher values indicating greater difficulty in finding workers and potential wage pressures.
2.4 Consumer Demand Strength Component
Consumer Demand Strength represents the fourth component, combining consumer sentiment data with retail sales growth rates. Small businesses are disproportionately affected by consumer spending patterns, making this component crucial for assessing their operating environment. The theoretical justification comes from the permanent income hypothesis developed by Friedman (1957), which explains how consumer spending responds to both current conditions and future expectations.
The model weights consumer confidence and actual spending data to provide both forward-looking sentiment and contemporaneous demand indicators. The specification is:
Demand_Strength = β₁ × Consumer_Sentiment_t + β₂ × Retail_Sales_Growth_t
where β₁ and β₂ are determined through principal component analysis to maximize the explanatory power of the combined measure.
2.5 Input Cost Pressures Component
Input Cost Pressures form the fifth component, utilizing producer price index data to capture inflationary pressures on small business operations. This component is inversely weighted, recognizing that rising input costs negatively impact small business profitability and operating conditions. Small businesses typically have limited pricing power and face challenges in passing through cost increases to customers, making them particularly vulnerable to input cost inflation.
The theoretical foundation draws from cost-push inflation theory as described by Gordon (1988), which explains how supply-side price pressures affect business operations. The model employs a 90-day rate of change to capture medium-term cost trends while filtering out short-term volatility:
Cost_Pressure = -1 × (PPI_t / PPI_{t-90} - 1)
The negative weighting reflects the inverse relationship between input costs and business conditions.
2.6 Monetary Policy Impact Component
Monetary Policy Impact represents the sixth component, incorporating federal funds rates and yield curve dynamics. Small businesses are particularly sensitive to interest rate changes due to their higher reliance on variable-rate financing and limited access to capital markets. The theoretical foundation comes from monetary transmission mechanism theory as developed by Bernanke and Blinder (1992), which explains how monetary policy affects different segments of the economy.
The model calculates the absolute deviation of federal funds rates from a neutral 2% level, recognizing that both extremely low and high rates can create operational challenges for small enterprises. The yield curve component captures the shape of the term structure, which affects both borrowing costs and economic expectations:
Monetary_Impact = γ₁ × |Fed_Funds_Rate_t - 2.0| + γ₂ × (10Y_Yield_t - 2Y_Yield_t)
2.7 Currency Valuation Effects Component
Currency Valuation Effects constitute the seventh component, measuring the impact of US Dollar strength on small business competitiveness. A stronger dollar can benefit businesses with significant import components while disadvantaging exporters. The model employs Dollar Index volatility as a proxy for currency-related uncertainty that affects small business planning and operations.
The theoretical foundation draws from international trade theory and the work of Krugman (1987) on exchange rate effects on different business segments. Small businesses often lack hedging capabilities, making them more vulnerable to currency fluctuations:
Currency_Impact = -1 × DXY_Volatility_t
2.8 Regional Banking Health Component
The eighth and final component, Regional Banking Health, assesses the relative performance of regional banks compared to large financial institutions. Regional banks traditionally serve as primary lenders to small businesses, making their health a critical factor in small business credit availability and overall operating conditions.
This component draws from the literature on relationship banking as developed by Boot (2000), which demonstrates the importance of bank-borrower relationships, particularly for small enterprises. The calculation compares regional bank performance to large financial institutions:
Banking_Health = (Regional_Banks_Index_t / Large_Banks_Index_t) - 1
3. Statistical Methodology and Advanced Analytics
The model employs statistical techniques to ensure robustness and reliability. Z-score normalization is applied to each component using rolling 252-day windows, providing standardized measures that remain consistent across different time periods and market conditions. This approach follows the methodology established by Engle and Granger (1987) in their cointegration analysis framework.
3.1 Variance-Weighted Aggregation
The composite index calculation utilizes variance-weighted aggregation, where component weights are determined by the inverse of their historical variance. This approach, derived from modern portfolio theory, ensures that more stable components receive higher weights while reducing the impact of highly volatile factors. The mathematical formulation follows the principle that optimal weights are inversely proportional to variance, maximizing the signal-to-noise ratio of the composite indicator.
The weight for component i is calculated as:
w_i = (1/σᵢ²) / Σⱼ(1/σⱼ²)
where σᵢ² represents the variance of component i over the lookback period.
3.2 Higher-Order Moment Analysis
Higher-order moment analysis extends beyond traditional mean and variance calculations to include skewness and kurtosis measurements. Skewness provides insight into the asymmetry of the sentiment distribution, while kurtosis measures the tail behavior and potential for extreme events. These metrics offer valuable information about the underlying distribution characteristics and potential regime changes.
Skewness is calculated as:
Skewness = E / σ³
Kurtosis is calculated as:
Kurtosis = E / σ⁴ - 3
where μ represents the mean and σ represents the standard deviation of the distribution.
3.3 Regime-Switching Detection
The model incorporates regime-switching detection capabilities based on the Hamilton (1989) framework. This allows for identification of different economic regimes characterized by distinct statistical properties. The regime classification employs percentile-based thresholds:
- Regime 3 (Very High): Percentile rank > 80
- Regime 2 (High): Percentile rank 60-80
- Regime 1 (Moderate High): Percentile rank 50-60
- Regime 0 (Neutral): Percentile rank 40-50
- Regime -1 (Moderate Low): Percentile rank 30-40
- Regime -2 (Low): Percentile rank 20-30
- Regime -3 (Very Low): Percentile rank < 20
3.4 Information Theory Applications
The model incorporates information theory concepts, specifically Shannon entropy measurement, to assess the information content of the sentiment distribution. Shannon entropy, as developed by Shannon (1948), provides a measure of the uncertainty or information content in a probability distribution:
H(X) = -Σᵢ p(xᵢ) log₂ p(xᵢ)
Higher entropy values indicate greater unpredictability and information content in the sentiment series.
3.5 Long-Term Memory Analysis
The Hurst exponent calculation provides insight into the long-term memory characteristics of the sentiment series. Originally developed by Hurst (1951) for analyzing Nile River flow patterns, this measure has found extensive application in financial time series analysis. The Hurst exponent H is calculated using the rescaled range statistic:
H = log(R/S) / log(T)
where R/S represents the rescaled range and T represents the time period. Values of H > 0.5 indicate long-term positive autocorrelation (persistence), while H < 0.5 indicates mean-reverting behavior.
3.6 Structural Break Detection
The model employs Chow test approximation for structural break detection, based on the methodology developed by Chow (1960). This technique identifies potential structural changes in the underlying relationships by comparing the stability of regression parameters across different time periods:
Chow_Statistic = (RSS_restricted - RSS_unrestricted) / RSS_unrestricted × (n-2k)/k
where RSS represents residual sum of squares, n represents sample size, and k represents the number of parameters.
4. Implementation Parameters and Configuration
4.1 Language Selection Parameters
The model provides comprehensive multi-language support across five languages: English, German (Deutsch), Spanish (Español), French (Français), and Japanese (日本語). This feature enhances accessibility for international users and ensures cultural appropriateness in terminology usage. The language selection affects all internal displays, statistical classifications, and alert messages while maintaining consistency in underlying calculations.
4.2 Model Configuration Parameters
Calculation Method: Users can select from four aggregation methodologies:
- Equal-Weighted: All components receive identical weights
- Variance-Weighted: Components weighted inversely to their historical variance
- Principal Component: Weights determined through principal component analysis
- Dynamic: Adaptive weighting based on recent performance
Sector Specification: The model allows for sector-specific calibration:
- General: Broad-based small business assessment
- Retail: Emphasis on consumer demand and seasonal factors
- Manufacturing: Enhanced weighting of input costs and currency effects
- Services: Focus on labor market dynamics and consumer demand
- Construction: Emphasis on credit conditions and monetary policy
Lookback Period: Statistical analysis window ranging from 126 to 504 trading days, with 252 days (one business year) as the optimal default based on academic research.
Smoothing Period: Exponential moving average period from 1 to 21 days, with 5 days providing optimal noise reduction while preserving signal integrity.
4.3 Statistical Threshold Parameters
Upper Statistical Boundary: Configurable threshold between 60-80 (default 70) representing the upper significance level for regime classification.
Lower Statistical Boundary: Configurable threshold between 20-40 (default 30) representing the lower significance level for regime classification.
Statistical Significance Level (α): Alpha level for statistical tests, configurable between 0.01-0.10 with 0.05 as the standard academic default.
4.4 Display and Visualization Parameters
Color Theme Selection: Eight professional color schemes optimized for different user preferences and accessibility requirements:
- Gold: Traditional financial industry colors
- EdgeTools: Professional blue-gray scheme
- Behavioral: Psychology-based color mapping
- Quant: Value-based quantitative color scheme
- Ocean: Blue-green maritime theme
- Fire: Warm red-orange theme
- Matrix: Green-black technology theme
- Arctic: Cool blue-white theme
Dark Mode Optimization: Automatic color adjustment for dark chart backgrounds, ensuring optimal readability across different viewing conditions.
Line Width Configuration: Main index line thickness adjustable from 1-5 pixels for optimal visibility.
Background Intensity: Transparency control for statistical regime backgrounds, adjustable from 90-99% for subtle visual enhancement without distraction.
4.5 Alert System Configuration
Alert Frequency Options: Three frequency settings to match different trading styles:
- Once Per Bar: Single alert per bar formation
- Once Per Bar Close: Alert only on confirmed bar close
- All: Continuous alerts for real-time monitoring
Statistical Extreme Alerts: Notifications when the index reaches 99% confidence levels (Z-score > 2.576 or < -2.576).
Regime Transition Alerts: Notifications when statistical boundaries are crossed, indicating potential regime changes.
5. Practical Application and Interpretation Guidelines
5.1 Index Interpretation Framework
The SBO-SAM index operates on a 0-100 scale with statistical normalization ensuring consistent interpretation across different time periods and market conditions. Values above 70 indicate statistically elevated small business conditions, suggesting favorable operating environment with potential for expansion and growth. Values below 30 indicate statistically reduced conditions, suggesting challenging operating environment with potential constraints on business activity.
The median reference line at 50 represents the long-term equilibrium level, with deviations providing insight into cyclical conditions relative to historical norms. The statistical confidence bands at 95% levels (approximately ±2 standard deviations) help identify when conditions reach statistically significant extremes.
5.2 Regime Classification System
The model employs a seven-level regime classification system based on percentile rankings:
Very High Regime (P80+): Exceptional small business conditions, typically associated with strong economic growth, easy credit availability, and favorable regulatory environment. Historical analysis suggests these periods often precede economic peaks and may warrant caution regarding sustainability.
High Regime (P60-80): Above-average conditions supporting business expansion and investment. These periods typically feature moderate growth, stable credit conditions, and positive consumer sentiment.
Moderate High Regime (P50-60): Slightly above-normal conditions with mixed signals. Careful monitoring of individual components helps identify emerging trends.
Neutral Regime (P40-50): Balanced conditions near long-term equilibrium. These periods often represent transition phases between different economic cycles.
Moderate Low Regime (P30-40): Slightly below-normal conditions with emerging headwinds. Early warning signals may appear in credit conditions or consumer demand.
Low Regime (P20-30): Below-average conditions suggesting challenging operating environment. Businesses may face constraints on growth and expansion.
Very Low Regime (P0-20): Severely constrained conditions, typically associated with economic recessions or financial crises. These periods often present opportunities for contrarian positioning.
5.3 Component Analysis and Diagnostics
Individual component analysis provides valuable diagnostic information about the underlying drivers of overall conditions. Divergences between components can signal emerging trends or structural changes in the economy.
Credit-Labor Divergence: When credit conditions improve while labor markets tighten, this may indicate early-stage economic acceleration with potential wage pressures.
Demand-Cost Divergence: Strong consumer demand coupled with rising input costs suggests inflationary pressures that may constrain small business margins.
Market-Fundamental Divergence: Disconnection between small-cap equity performance and fundamental conditions may indicate market inefficiencies or changing investor sentiment.
5.4 Temporal Analysis and Trend Identification
The model provides multiple temporal perspectives through momentum analysis, rate of change calculations, and trend decomposition. The 20-day momentum indicator helps identify short-term directional changes, while the Hodrick-Prescott filter approximation separates cyclical components from long-term trends.
Acceleration analysis through second-order momentum calculations provides early warning signals for potential trend reversals. Positive acceleration during declining conditions may indicate approaching inflection points, while negative acceleration during improving conditions may suggest momentum loss.
5.5 Statistical Confidence and Uncertainty Quantification
The model provides comprehensive uncertainty quantification through confidence intervals, volatility measures, and regime stability analysis. The 95% confidence bands help users understand the statistical significance of current readings and identify when conditions reach historically extreme levels.
Volatility analysis provides insight into the stability of current conditions, with higher volatility indicating greater uncertainty and potential for rapid changes. The regime stability measure, calculated as the inverse of volatility, helps assess the sustainability of current conditions.
6. Risk Management and Limitations
6.1 Model Limitations and Assumptions
The SBO-SAM model operates under several important assumptions that users must understand for proper interpretation. The model assumes that historical relationships between economic variables remain stable over time, though the regime-switching framework helps accommodate some structural changes. The 252-day lookback period provides reasonable statistical power while maintaining sensitivity to changing conditions, but may not capture longer-term structural shifts.
The model's reliance on publicly available economic data introduces inherent lags in some components, particularly those based on government statistics. Users should consider these timing differences when interpreting real-time conditions. Additionally, the model's focus on quantitative factors may not fully capture qualitative factors such as regulatory changes, geopolitical events, or technological disruptions that could significantly impact small business conditions.
The model's timeframe restrictions ensure statistical validity by preventing application to intraday periods where the underlying economic relationships may be distorted by market microstructure effects, trading noise, and temporal misalignment with the fundamental data sources. Users must utilize daily or longer timeframes to ensure the model's statistical foundations remain valid and interpretable.
6.2 Data Quality and Reliability Considerations
The model's accuracy depends heavily on the quality and availability of underlying economic data. Market-based components such as equity indices and bond prices provide real-time information but may be subject to short-term volatility unrelated to fundamental conditions. Economic statistics provide more stable fundamental information but may be subject to revisions and reporting delays.
Users should be aware that extreme market conditions may temporarily distort some components, particularly those based on financial market data. The model's statistical normalization helps mitigate these effects, but users should exercise additional caution during periods of market stress or unusual volatility.
6.3 Interpretation Caveats and Best Practices
The SBO-SAM model provides statistical analysis and should not be interpreted as investment advice or predictive forecasting. The model's output represents an assessment of current conditions based on historical relationships and may not accurately predict future outcomes. Users should combine the model's insights with other analytical tools and fundamental analysis for comprehensive decision-making.
The model's regime classifications are based on historical percentile rankings and may not fully capture the unique characteristics of current economic conditions. Users should consider the broader economic context and potential structural changes when interpreting regime classifications.
7. Academic References and Bibliography
Bernanke, B. S., & Blinder, A. S. (1992). The Federal Funds Rate and the Channels of Monetary Transmission. American Economic Review, 82(4), 901-921.
Bernanke, B. S., & Gertler, M. (1995). Inside the Black Box: The Credit Channel of Monetary Policy Transmission. Journal of Economic Perspectives, 9(4), 27-48.
Boot, A. W. A. (2000). Relationship Banking: What Do We Know? Journal of Financial Intermediation, 9(1), 7-25.
Chow, G. C. (1960). Tests of Equality Between Sets of Coefficients in Two Linear Regressions. Econometrica, 28(3), 591-605.
Dunkelberg, W. C., & Wade, H. (2023). NFIB Small Business Economic Trends. National Federation of Independent Business Research Foundation, Washington, D.C.
Engle, R. F., & Granger, C. W. J. (1987). Co-integration and Error Correction: Representation, Estimation, and Testing. Econometrica, 55(2), 251-276.
Fama, E. F. (1970). Efficient Capital Markets: A Review of Theory and Empirical Work. Journal of Finance, 25(2), 383-417.
Federal Reserve Board. (2024). Senior Loan Officer Opinion Survey on Bank Lending Practices. Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, Washington, D.C.
Friedman, M. (1957). A Theory of the Consumption Function. Princeton University Press, Princeton, NJ.
Gordon, R. J. (1988). The Role of Wages in the Inflation Process. American Economic Review, 78(2), 276-283.
Hamilton, J. D. (1989). A New Approach to the Economic Analysis of Nonstationary Time Series and the Business Cycle. Econometrica, 57(2), 357-384.
Hurst, H. E. (1951). Long-term Storage Capacity of Reservoirs. Transactions of the American Society of Civil Engineers, 116(1), 770-799.
Kahneman, D., & Tversky, A. (1979). Prospect Theory: An Analysis of Decision under Risk. Econometrica, 47(2), 263-291.
Krugman, P. (1987). Pricing to Market When the Exchange Rate Changes. In S. W. Arndt & J. D. Richardson (Eds.), Real-Financial Linkages among Open Economies (pp. 49-70). MIT Press, Cambridge, MA.
Markowitz, H. (1952). Portfolio Selection. Journal of Finance, 7(1), 77-91.
Mortensen, D. T., & Pissarides, C. A. (1994). Job Creation and Job Destruction in the Theory of Unemployment. Review of Economic Studies, 61(3), 397-415.
Shannon, C. E. (1948). A Mathematical Theory of Communication. Bell System Technical Journal, 27(3), 379-423.
Sharpe, W. F. (1964). Capital Asset Prices: A Theory of Market Equilibrium under Conditions of Risk. Journal of Finance, 19(3), 425-442.
Tsay, R. S. (2010). Analysis of Financial Time Series (3rd ed.). John Wiley & Sons, Hoboken, NJ.
U.S. Small Business Administration. (2024). Small Business Profile. Office of Advocacy, Washington, D.C.
8. Technical Implementation Notes
The SBO-SAM model is implemented in Pine Script version 6 for the TradingView platform, ensuring compatibility with modern charting and analysis tools. The implementation follows best practices for financial indicator development, including proper error handling, data validation, and performance optimization.
The model includes comprehensive timeframe validation to ensure statistical accuracy and reliability. The indicator operates exclusively on daily (1D) timeframes or higher, including weekly (1W), monthly (1M), and longer periods. This restriction ensures that the statistical analysis maintains appropriate temporal resolution for the underlying economic data sources, which are primarily reported on daily or longer intervals.
When users attempt to apply the model to intraday timeframes (such as 1-minute, 5-minute, 15-minute, 30-minute, 1-hour, 2-hour, 4-hour, 6-hour, 8-hour, or 12-hour charts), the system displays a comprehensive error message in the user's selected language and prevents execution. This safeguard protects users from potentially misleading results that could occur when applying daily-based economic analysis to shorter timeframes where the underlying data relationships may not hold.
The model's statistical calculations are performed using vectorized operations where possible to ensure computational efficiency. The multi-language support system employs Unicode character encoding to ensure proper display of international characters across different platforms and devices.
The alert system utilizes TradingView's native alert functionality, providing users with flexible notification options including email, SMS, and webhook integrations. The alert messages include comprehensive statistical information to support informed decision-making.
The model's visualization system employs professional color schemes designed for optimal readability across different chart backgrounds and display devices. The system includes dynamic color transitions based on momentum and volatility, professional glow effects for enhanced line visibility, and transparency controls that allow users to customize the visual intensity to match their preferences and analytical requirements. The clean confidence band implementation provides clear statistical boundaries without visual distractions, maintaining focus on the analytical content.
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// Fourier Smoothing Algorithm
fourier_smooth(src, length) =>
sum = 0
weightSum = 0
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weight = cos(2 * π * i / length)
sum += src * weight
weightSum += weight
sum / weightSum
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