Mutanabby_AI | ONEUSDT_MR1
ONEUSDT Mean-Reversion Strategy | 74.68% Win Rate | 417% Net Profit
This is a long-only mean-reversion strategy designed specifically for ONEUSDT on the 1-hour timeframe. The core logic identifies oversold conditions following sharp declines and enters positions when selling pressure exhausts, capturing the subsequent recovery bounce.
Backtested Period: June 2019 – December 2025 (~6 years)
Performance Summary
| Metric | Value |
|--------|-------|
| Net Profit | +417.68% |
| Win Rate | 74.68% |
| Profit Factor | 4.019 |
| Total Trades | 237 |
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.364 |
| Sortino Ratio | 1.917 |
| Max Drawdown | 51.08% |
| Avg Win | +3.14% |
| Avg Loss | -2.30% |
| Buy & Hold Return | -80.44% |
Strategy Logic :
Entry Conditions (Long Only):
The strategy seeks confluence of three conditions that identify exhausted selling:
1. Prior Move Filter:*The price change from 5 bars ago to 3 bars ago must be ≥ -7% (ensures we're not entering during freefall)
2. Current Move Filter: The price change over the last 2 bars must be ≤ 0% (confirms momentum is stalling or reversing)
3. Three-Bar Decline: The price change from 5 bars ago to 3 bars ago must be ≤ -5% (confirms a significant recent drop occurred)
When all three conditions align, the strategy identifies a potential reversal point where sellers are exhausted.
Exit Conditions:
- Primary Exit: Close above the previous bar's high while the open of the previous bar is at or below the close from 9 bars ago (profit-taking on strength)
- Trailing Stop: 11x ATR trailing stop that locks in profits as price rises
Risk Management
- Position Sizing:Fixed position based on account equity divided by entry price
- Trailing Stop:11× ATR (14-period) provides wide enough room for crypto volatility while protecting gains
- Pyramiding:Up to 4 orders allowed (can scale into winning positions)
- **Commission:** 0.1% per trade (realistic exchange fees included)
Important Disclaimers
⚠️ This is NOT financial advice.
- Past performance does not guarantee future results
- Backtest results may contain look-ahead bias or curve-fitting
- Real trading involves slippage, liquidity issues, and execution delays
- This strategy is optimized for ONEUSDT specifically — results may differ on other pairs
- Always test before risking real capital
Recommended Usage
- Timeframe:*1H (as designed)
- Pair: ONEUSDT (Binance)
- Account Size: Ensure sufficient capital to survive max drawdown
Source Code
Feedback Welcome
I'm sharing this strategy freely for educational purposes. Please:
- Drop a comment with your backtesting results any you analysis
- Share any modifications that improve performance
- Let me know if you spot any issues in the logic
Happy trading
As a quant trader, do you think this strategy will survive in live trading?
Yes or No? And why?
I want to hear from you guys
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Elliott Wave Full Fractal System v2.0Elliott Wave Full Fractal System v2.0 – Q.C. FINAL (Guaranteed R/R)
Elliott Wave Full Fractal System is a multi-timeframe wave engine that automatically labels Elliott impulses and ABC corrections, then builds a rule-based, ATR-driven risk/reward framework around the “W3–W4–W5” leg.
“Guaranteed R/R” here means every order is placed with a predefined stop-loss and take-profit that respect a minimum Reward:Risk ratio – it does not mean guaranteed profits.
Core Idea
This strategy turns a full fractal Elliott Wave labelling engine into a systematic trading model.
It scans fractal pivots on three wave degrees (Primary, Intermediate, Minor) to detect 5-wave impulses and ABC corrections.
A separate “Trading Degree” pivot stream, filtered by a 200-EMA trend filter and ATR-based dynamic pivots, is then used to find W4 pullback entries with a minimum, user-defined Reward:Risk ratio.
Default Properties & Risk Assumptions
The backtest uses realistic but conservative defaults:
// Default properties used for backtesting
strategy(
"Elliott Wave Full Fractal System - Q.C. FINAL (Guaranteed R/R)",
overlay = true,
initial_capital = 10000, // realistic account size
default_qty_type = strategy.percent_of_equity,
default_qty_value = 1, // 1% risk per trade
commission_type = strategy.commission.cash_per_contract,
commission_value = 0.005, // example stock commission
slippage = 0 // see notes below
)
Account size: 10,000 (can be changed to match your own account).
Position sizing: 1% of equity per trade to keep risk per idea sustainable and aligned with TradingView’s recommendations.
Commission: 0.005 cash per contract/share as a realistic example for stock trading.
Slippage: set to 0 in code for clarity of “pure logic” backtesting. Real-life trading will experience slippage, so users should adjust this according to their market and broker.
Always re-run the backtest after changing any of these values, and avoid using high risk fractions (5–10%+) as that is rarely sustainable.
1. Full Fractal Wave Engine
The script builds and maintains four pivot streams using ATR-adaptive fractals:
Primary Degree (Macro Trend):
Captures the large swings that define the major trend. Labels ①–⑤ and ⒶⒷⒸ using blue “Circle” labels and thicker lines.
Intermediate Degree (Trading Degree):
Captures the medium swings (swing-trading horizon). Uses teal labels ( (1)…(5), (A)(B)(C) ).
Minor Degree (Micro Structure):
Tracks short-term swings inside the larger waves. Uses red roman numerals (i…v, a b c).
ABC Corrections (Optional):
When enabled, the engine tries to detect standard A–B–C corrective structures that follow a completed 5-wave impulse and plots them with dashed lines.
Each degree uses a dynamic pivot lookback that expands when ATR is above its EMA, so the system naturally requires “stronger” pivots in volatile environments and reacts faster in quiet conditions.
2. Theory Rules & Strict Mode
Normal Mode: More permissive detection. Designed to show more wave structures for educational / exploratory use.
Strict Mode: Enforces key Elliott constraints:
Wave 3 not shorter than waves 1 and 5.
No invalid W4 overlap with W1 (for standard impulses).
ABC Logic: After a confirmed bullish impulse, the script expects a down-up-down corrective pattern (A,B,C). After a bearish impulse, it looks for up-down-up.
3. Trend Filter & Pivots
EMA Trend Filter: A configurable EMA (default 200) is used as a non-wave trend filter.
Price above EMA → Only long setups are considered.
Price below EMA → Only short setups are considered.
ATR-Adaptive Pivots: The pivot engine scales its left/right bars based on current ATR vs ATR EMA, making waves and trading pivots more robust in volatile regimes.
4. Dynamic Risk Management (Guaranteed R/R Engine)
The trading engine is designed around risk, not just pattern recognition:
ATR-Based Stop:
Stop-loss is placed at:
Entry ± ATR × Multiplier (user-configurable, default 2.0).
This anchors risk to current volatility.
Minimum Reward:Risk Ratio:
For each setup, the script:
Computes the distance from entry to stop (risk).
Projects a take-profit target at risk × min_rr_ratio away from entry.
Only accepts the setup if risk is positive and the required R:R ratio is achievable.
Result: Every order is created with both TP and SL at a predefined distance, so each trade starts with a known, minimum Reward:Risk profile by design.
“Guaranteed R/R” refers exclusively to this order placement logic (TP/SL geometry), not to win-rate or profitability.
5. Trading Logic – W3–W4–W5 Pattern
The Trading pivot stream (separate from visual wave degrees) looks for a simple but powerful pattern:
Bullish structure:
Sequence of pivots forms a higher-high / higher-low pattern.
Price is above the EMA trend filter.
A strong “W3” leg is confirmed with structure rules (optionally stricter in Strict mode).
Entry (Long – W4 Pullback):
The “height” of W3 is measured.
Entry is placed at a configurable Fibonacci pullback (default 50%) inside that leg.
ATR-based stop is placed below entry.
Take-profit is projected to satisfy min Reward:Risk.
Bearish structure:
Mirrored logic (lower highs/lows, price below EMA, W3 down, W4 retrace up, W5 continuation down).
Once a valid setup is found, the script draws a colored box around the entry zone and a label describing the type of signal (“LONG SETUP” or “SHORT SETUP”) with the suggested limit price.
6. Orders & Execution
Entry Orders: The strategy uses limit orders at the computed W4 level (“Sniper Long” or “Sniper Short”).
Exits: A single strategy.exit() is attached to each entry with:
Take-profit at the projected minimum R:R target.
Stop-loss at ATR-based level.
One Trade at a Time: New setups are only used when there is no open position (strategy.opentrades == 0) to keep the logic clear and risk contained.
7. Visual Guide on the Chart
Wave Labels:
Primary: ①,②,③,④,⑤, ⒶⒷⒸ
Intermediate: (1)…(5), (A)(B)(C)
Minor: i…v, a b c
Trend EMA: Single blue EMA showing the dominant trend.
Setup Boxes:
Green transparent box → long entry zone.
Red transparent box → short entry zone.
Labels: “LONG SETUP / SHORT SETUP” labels mark the proposed limit entry with price.
8. How to Use This Strategy
Attach the strategy to your chart
Choose your market (stocks, indices, FX, crypto, futures, etc.) and timeframe (for example 1h, 4h, or Daily). Then add the strategy to the chart from your Scripts list.
Start with the default settings
Leave all inputs on their defaults first. This lets you see the “intended” behaviour and the exact properties used for the published backtest (account size, 1% risk, commission, etc.).
Study the wave map
Zoom in and out and look at the three wave degrees:
Blue circles → Primary degree (big picture trend).
Teal (1)…(5) → Intermediate degree (swing structure).
Red i…v → Minor degree (micro waves).
Use this to understand how the engine is interpreting the Elliott structure on your symbol.
Watch for valid setups
Look for the coloured boxes and labels:
Green box + “LONG SETUP” label → potential W4 pullback long in an uptrend.
Red box + “SHORT SETUP” label → potential W4 pullback short in a downtrend.
Only trades in the direction of the EMA trend filter are allowed by the strategy.
Check the Reward:Risk of each idea
For each setup, inspect:
Limit entry price.
ATR-based stop level.
Projected take-profit level.
Make sure the minimum Reward:Risk ratio matches your own rules before you consider trading it.
Backtest and evaluate
Open the Strategy Tester:
Verify you have a decent sample size (ideally 100+ trades).
Check drawdowns, average trade, win-rate and R:R distribution.
Change markets and timeframes to see where the logic behaves best.
Adapt to your own risk profile
If you plan to use it live:
Set Initial Capital to your real account size.
Adjust default_qty_value to a risk level you are comfortable with (often 0.5–2% per trade).
Set commission and slippage to realistic broker values.
Re-run the backtest after every major change.
Use as a framework, not a signal machine
Treat this as a structured Elliott/R:R framework:
Filter signals by higher-timeframe trend, major S/R, volume, or fundamentals.
Optionally hide some wave degrees or ABC labels if you want a cleaner chart.
Combine the system’s structure with your own trade management and discretion.
Best Practices & Limitations
This is an approximate Elliott Wave engine based on fractal pivots. It does not replace a full discretionary Elliott analysis.
All wave counts are algorithmic and can differ from a manual analyst’s interpretation.
Like any backtest, results depend heavily on:
Symbol and timeframe.
Sample size (more trades are better).
Realistic commission/slippage settings.
The 0-slippage default is chosen only to show the “raw logic”. In real markets, slippage can significantly impact performance.
No strategy wins all the time. Losing streaks and drawdowns will still occur even with a strict R:R framework.
Disclaimer
This script is for educational and research purposes only and does not constitute financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Past performance, whether real or simulated, is not indicative of future results. Always test on multiple symbols/timeframes, use conservative risk, and consult your financial advisor before trading live capital.
Multi-Distribution Volume Profile (Zeiierman)█ Overview
Multi-Distribution Volume Profile (Zeiierman) is a flexible, structure-first volume profile tool that lets you reshape how volume is distributed across price, from classic uniform profiles to advanced statistical curves like Gaussian, Lognormal, Student-t, and more.
Instead of forcing every market into a single "one-size-fits-all" profile, this tool lets you model how volume is likely concentrated inside each bar (body vs wicks, midpoint, tails, center bias, right-skew, heavy tails, etc.) and then stacks that behavior across a whole lookback window to build a rich, multi-distribution map of traded activity.
On top of that, it overlays a dynamic Center Band (value area) and a fade/gradient model that can color each price row by volume, hits, recency, volatility, reversals, or even liquidity voids, turning a plain profile into a multi-dimensional context map.
Highlights
Choose from multiple Profile Build Modes , including uniform, body-only, wick-only, midpoint/close/open, center-weighted, and a suite of probability-style distributions (Gaussian, Lognormal, Weibull, Student-t, etc.)
Flexible anchor layout: draw the profile on Right/Left (horizontal) or Bottom/Top (vertical) to fit any chart layout
Value Area / Center Band computed from volume quantiles around the POC.
Gradient-based Fade Metrics: volume, price hits, freshness (time decay), volatility impact, dwell time, reversal density, compression, and liquidity voids
Separate bullish vs bearish volume at each price row for directional structure insights
█ How It Works
⚪ Profile Construction
The script scans a user-defined Bars Included window and finds the full high–low span of that zone. It then divides this range into a user-controlled number of Price Levels (rows).
For each historical bar within the window:
It measures the candle’s price range, body, and wicks.
It assigns volume to rows according to the selected Profile Build Mode, for example:
* Range Uniform – volume spread evenly across the full high–low range.
* Range Body Only / Range Wick Only – concentrate volume inside the body or wicks only.
* Midpoint / Close / Open Only – allocate volume entirely into one price row (pinpoint modeling).
HL2 / Body Center Weighted – center weights around the middle of the range/body.
Recent-Weighted Volume – amplify newer bars using exponential time decay.
Volume Squared (Hard) – aggressively boost bars with large volume.
Up Bars Only / Down Bars Only – filter volume to only bullish or bearish bars.
For more advanced shapes, the script uses continuous distributions across the bar’s span:
Linear, Triangular, Exponential to High
Cosine Centered, PERT
Gaussian, Lognormal, Cauchy, Laplace
Pareto, Weibull, Logistic, Gumbel
Gamma, Beta, Chi-Square, Student-t, F-Shape
Each distribution produces a weight for each row within the bar’s range, normalized so the total volume remains consistent, but the shape of where that volume lands changes.
⚪ POC & Center Band (Value Area)
Once all rows are accumulated:
The row with the highest total volume becomes the Point of Control (POC)
The script computes cumulative volume and finds the band that wraps a user-defined Center of Profile % (e.g., 68%) around the center of distribution.
This range is displayed as a central band, often treated like a value area where price has spent the most “effort” trading.
⚪ Gradient Fade Engine
Each row also gets a fade metric, chosen in Fade Metric:
Volume – opacity based on relative volume.
Price Hits – how frequently that row was touched.
Blended (Vol+Hits) – average of volume & hits.
Freshness – emphasizes recent activity, controlled by Decay.
Volatility Impact – rows that saw larger ranges contribute more.
Dwell Time – where price “camped” the longest.
Reversal Density – where direction changes cluster.
Compression – tight-range compression zones.
Liquidity Void – inverse of volume (thin liquidity zones).
When Apply Gradient is enabled, the row’s bullish/bearish colors are tinted from faint to strong based on this chosen metric, effectively turning the profile into a heatmap of your chosen structural property.
█ How to Use
⚪ Explore Different Distribution Assumptions
Switch between multiple Profile Build Modes to see how your assumptions about intrabar volume affect structure:
Use Range Uniform for classical profile reading.
Deploy Gaussian, Logistic, or Cosine shapes to emphasize central clustering.
Try Pareto, Lognormal, or F-Shape to focus on tail / extremal activity.
Use Recent-Weighted Volume to prioritize the most recent structural behavior.
This is especially useful for traders who want to test how different modeling assumptions change perceived value areas and levels of interest.
⚪ Identify Value, Acceptance & Rejection Zones
Use the POC and Center of Profile (%) band to distinguish:
High-acceptance zones – wide central band, thick rows, strong gradient → fair value areas
Rejection zones & tails – thin extremes, low dwell time, high volatility or reversal density
These regions can be used as:
Targets and origin zones for mean reversion
Context for breakout validation (leaving value)
Bias reference for intraday rotations or swing rotations
⚪ Read Directional Structure Within the Profile
Because each row is split into bullish vs bearish contributions, you can visually read:
Where buyers dominated a price region (large bullish slice)
Where sellers absorbed or defended (large bearish slice)
Combining this with Fade Metrics like Reversal Density, Dwell Time, or Freshness turns the profile into a structural order-flow map, without needing raw tick-by-tick volume data.
⚪ Use Fade Metrics for Contextual Heatmaps
Each Fade Metric can be used for a different analytical lens:
Volume / Blended – emphasize where volume and activity are concentrated.
Freshness – highlight the most recently active zones that still matter.
Volatility Impact & Compression – spot areas of explosive moves vs coiled ranges.
Reversal Density – locate micro turning points and battle zones.
Liquidity Void – visually pop out thin regions that may act as speedways or magnets.
█ Settings
Profile Build Mode – Selects how each bar’s volume is distributed across its price range (uniform, body/wick, midpoint/close/open, center-weighted, or statistical distribution families).
Bars Included – Number of bars used to build the profile from the current bar backward.
Price Levels – Vertical resolution of the profile: more levels = smoother but heavier.
Anchor Side – Where the profile is drawn on the chart: Right, Left, Bottom, or Top.
Offset (bars) – Horizontal offset from the last bar to the profile when using Right/Left modes.
Apply Gradient – Toggles the fade/heatmap coloring based on the selected metric.
Fade Metric – Chooses the property driving row opacity (Volume, Hits, Freshness, Volatility Impact, Dwell Time, Reversal Density, Compression, Liquidity Void).
Decay – Time-decay factor for Freshness (values close to 1 keep older activity relevant for longer).
Profile Thickness – Relative thickness of the profile along the time axis, as a % of the lookback window.
Center of Profile (%) – Volume percentage used to define the central band (value area) around the POC.
-----------------
Disclaimer
The content provided in my scripts, indicators, ideas, algorithms, and systems is for educational and informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice, investment recommendations, or a solicitation to buy or sell any financial instruments. I will not accept liability for any loss or damage, including without limitation any loss of profit, which may arise directly or indirectly from the use of or reliance on such information.
All investments involve risk, and the past performance of a security, industry, sector, market, financial product, trading strategy, backtest, or individual's trading does not guarantee future results or returns. Investors are fully responsible for any investment decisions they make. Such decisions should be based solely on an evaluation of their financial circumstances, investment objectives, risk tolerance, and liquidity needs.
IDLP – Intraday Daily Levels Pro [FXSMARTLAB]🔥 IDLP – Intraday Daily Levels Pro
IDLP – Intraday Daily Levels Pro is a precision toolkit for intraday traders who rely on objective daily structure instead of repainting indicators and noisy signals.
Every level plotted by IDLP is derived from one simple rule:
Today’s trading decisions must be based on completed market data only.
That means:
✅ No use of the current day’s unfinished data for levels
✅ No lookahead
✅ No hidden repaint behavior
IDLP reconstructs the previous trading day from the intraday chart and then projects that structure forward onto the current session, giving you a stable, institutional-style intraday map.
🧱 1. Previous Daily Levels (Core Structure)
IDLP extracts and displays the full previous daily structure, which you can toggle on/off individually via the inputs:
Previous Daily High (PDH)
Previous Daily Low (PDL)
Previous Daily Open
Previous Daily Close,
Previous Daily Mid (50% of the range)
Previous Daily Q1 (25% of the range)
Previous Daily Q3 (75% of the range)
All of these come from the day that just closed and are then locked for the entire current session.
What these levels tell you:
PDH / PDL – true extremes of yesterday’s price action (liquidity zones, breakout/reversal points).
Previous Daily Open / Close – how the market positioned itself between session start and end
Mid (50%) – equilibrium level of the previous day’s auction.
Q1 / Q3 (25% / 75%) internal structure of the previous day’s range, dividing it into four equal zones and helping you see if price is trading in the lower, middle, or upper quarter of yesterday’s range.
All these levels are non-repaint: once the day is completed, they are fixed and never change when you scroll, replay, or backtest.
🎯 2. Previous Day Pivot System (P, S1, S2, R1, R2)
IDLP includes a classic floor-trader pivot grid, but critically:
It is calculated only from the previous day’s high, low, and close.
So for the current session, the following are fixed:
Pivot P – central reference level of the previous day.
Support 1 (S1) and Support 2 (S2)
Resistance 1 (R1) and Resistance 2 (R2)
These levels are widely used by institutional desks and algos to structure:
mean-reversion plays, breakout zones, intraday targets, and risk placement.
Everything in this section is non-repaint because it only uses the previous day’s fully closed OHLC.
📏 3. 1-Day ADR Bands Around Previous Daily Open
Instead of a multi-day ADR, IDLP uses a pure 1-Day ADR logic:
ADR = Range of the previous day
ADR = PDH − PDL
From that, IDLP builds two clean bands centered around the previous daily Open:
ADR Upper Band = Previous Day Open + (ADR × Multiplier)
ADR Lower Band = Previous Day Open − (ADR × Multiplier)
The multiplier is user-controlled in the inputs:
ADR Multiplier (default: 0.8)
This lets you choose how “tight” or “wide” you want the ADR envelope to be around the previous day’s open.
Typical use cases:
Identify realistic intraday extension targets, Spot exhaustion moves beyond ADR bands, Frame reversals after reaching volatility extremes, Align trades with or against volatility expansion
Again, since ADR is calculated only from the completed previous day, these bands are totally non-repaint during the current session.
🔒 4. True Non-Repaint Architecture
The internal logic of IDLP is built to guarantee non-repaint behavior:
It reconstructs each day using time("D") and tracks:
dayOpen, dayHigh, dayLow, dayClose for the current day
prevDayOpen, prevDayHigh, prevDayLow, prevDayClose for the previous day
At the moment a new day starts:
The “current day” gets “frozen” into prevDay*
These prevDay* values then drive: Previous Daily Levels, Pivots, ADR.
During the current day:
All these “previous day” values stay fixed, no matter what happens.
They do not move in real time, they do not shift in replay.
This means:
What you see in the past is exactly what you would have seen live.
No fake backtests.
No illusion of perfection from repainting behavior.
🎯 5. Designed For Intraday Traders
IDLP – Intraday Daily Levels Pro is made for:
- Day traders and scalpers
- Index and FX traders
- Prop firm challenge trading
- Traders using ICT/SMC-style levels, liquidity, and range logic
- Anyone who wants a clean, institutional-style daily framework without noise
You get:
Previous Day OHLC
Mid / Q1 / Q3 of the previous range
Previous-Day Pivots (P, S1, S2, R1, R2)
1-Day ADR Bands around Previous Day Open
All calculated only from closed data, updated once per day, and then locked.
gelizon ema pack (9 EMA, 21 EMA, 55 EMA, 200 SMA)This indicator plots a set of commonly used moving averages designed for trend identification, momentum confirmation, and multi-timeframe alignment. It includes three exponential moving averages (9, 21, 55) and one long-term simple moving average (200). These moving averages help traders quickly assess short-term momentum, medium-term trend structure, and overall market direction.
Included Moving Averages:
9 EMA – Fast momentum guide; useful for scalping and intraday trend continuation.
21 EMA – Medium-speed EMA that helps identify short-term trend structure.
55 EMA – Smoother trend line offering a broader view of momentum flow.
200 SMA – Widely used long-term trend benchmark for overall market bias.
Features:
Toggle each moving average on or off
Customize colors for all MAs
Clean overlay design for easy chart interpretation
This indicator is ideal for day traders, swing traders, and algorithmic setups that rely on moving-average alignment or crossover behavior to confirm trend direction and identify high-probability entries.
Macro Timing Window Signal ⏱️ Macro Timing Window Signal – Check/X Indicator
This indicator displays a green check mark ✔️ or red X ✖️ in the top-right corner of the chart based on a repeating macro time cycle that divides every hour into active and inactive windows.
How it works:
• ✔️ Green Check (Active Macro Window):
Appears from xx:45 → xx:15 of the next hour (30-minute macro window).
• ✖️ Red X (Inactive Macro Window):
Appears from xx:16 → xx:44 (mid-hour cooldown window).
• Optional flash signal at the exact macro flip points (xx:45, xx:00, xx:15) to highlight transitions.
• Supports sound alerts so you never miss the start or end of a macro window.
This tool is designed for traders who incorporate macro-driven time cycles, liquidity sessions, or algorithmic delivery windows into their strategy.
The display is fixed on-screen, clean, and unobtrusive, ensuring instant recognition of the current macro state without cluttering the chart.
UT Bot Pro Max (Maks Edition)Script v2.0
UT Bot Pro Max is an advanced, high-precision evolution of the well-known UT Bot indicator.
This version is fully rebuilt into a complete decision-making system that evaluates trend structure, volatility conditions, momentum signals, and entry quality.
It is designed for traders who want clear, structured signals supported by objective filters and transparent reasoning.
1. Core Engine: ATR-Based Trailing Logic
At the heart of the system is an ATR dynamic trailing stop.
It is responsible for:
detecting trend reversals
identifying breakout conditions
switching between long and short bias
determining signal strength
Unlike simple ATR lines, this engine adapts to momentum expansion and contraction, forming the backbone for every signal.
2. Three-Tier Signal Structure
Each signal is classified into one of three levels based on the number of confirmations:
Strong Signals
ATR breakout
trend filter (price relative to EMA200)
RSI filter (oversold/overbought context)
This is the highest-quality confirmation and is suitable for full-size entries.
Medium Signals
ATR breakout
trend filter
(no RSI filter)
This represents a valid trend continuation but with slightly reduced confirmation.
Weak Signals
ATR breakout only
(no trend filter, no RSI filter)
This is an early-stage impulse which can evolve into a stronger move.
The multi-level classification allows the trader to size positions rationally and avoid over-committing during uncertain market conditions.
3. Move-Since-Entry Tracking
When a new long or short position is detected, the indicator records the entry price and automatically tracks the percentage movement from that point.
This offers:
real-time monitoring of open trade performance
objective context for managing exits
clear visualization of progress since entry
4. Smart State-Change Alerts
Instead of simple “BUY” or “SELL” messages, the script sends highly structured alerts whenever the internal state changes.
Each alert includes:
the symbol and timeframe
signal direction and strength
recommended position size based on signal tier
ATR values
RSI value and its state
trend context (bullish, bearish, neutral)
distance from ATR trailing stop
movement since entry
previous state reference (optional)
This makes it ideal for automated systems, algorithmic routing, or Telegram-based signal delivery.
5. Professional On-Chart Status Table
The indicator displays a refined information panel containing:
current signal state (Strong / Medium / Weak / Hold)
ATR signal direction
trend filter result
RSI value and condition
distance to trailing stop (percentage)
current position (long / short / flat)
entry recommendation based on signal strength
ATR value and additional context in expanded mode
There is also a compact mode optimized specifically for mobile trading.
6. Optional Heikin Ashi Mode
The indicator can operate using Heikin Ashi close values for traders who prefer smooth, noise-reduced visualizations.
The internal logic is recalculated automatically.
7. Trend-Colored Candles
An optional feature allows candle coloring based on price position relative to the ATR stop line, highlighting bullish and bearish phases directly on the chart.
What This Indicator Provides
Accurate, context-aware entry signals
Scalable position sizing through multi-tier structure
Objective trend confirmation
Breakout detection with volatility adaptation
Continuous tracking of open position performance
Detailed real-time explanations through alerts
A complete visual dashboard consolidating all key metrics
UT Bot Pro Max (Maks Edition) is built as a practical tool for daily trading.
It is suitable for scalping, day trading, swing trading, automated alerts, and mobile workflows.
LiquidityPulse Higher Timeframe Consecutive Candle Run LevelsLiquidityPulse Higher Timeframe Consecutive Candle Run Levels
Research suggests that financial markets can alternate between trend-persistence and mean-reversion regimes, particularly at short (intraday) or very long timeframes. Extended directional moves, whether prolonged intraday rallies or sell-offs, also carry a statistically higher chance of retracing or reversing (Safari & Schmidhuber, 2025). In addition, studies examining support and resistance behaviour show that swing highs or lows formed after strong directional moves may act as structurally and psychologically important price levels, where subsequent price interactions have an increased likelihood of stalling or bouncing rather than passing through directly (Chung & Bellotti, 2021). By highlighting higher-timeframe candle runs and marking their extremal levels, this indicator aims to display areas where directional momentum previously stopped, providing contextual "watch levels" that traders may incorporate into their broader analysis.
How this information is used in the indicator:
When a sequence of consecutive higher-timeframe candles prints in the same direction, the indicator highlights the lower-timeframe chart with a green or red background, depending on whether the higher-timeframe run was bullish or bearish. The highest high (for a bull run) or lowest low (for a bear run) of that sequence forms a recent extremum, and this value is plotted as a swing-high or swing-low level. These levels appear only after the required number of consecutive higher-timeframe candles (set by the user) have closed, and they continue updating as long as the higher-timeframe streak remains intact. A level "freezes" and stops updating only when an opposite-colour higher-timeframe candle closes (e.g., a red candle ending a bull run, or a green candle ending a bear run). Once frozen, the level remains fixed to preserve that structural information for future analysis or retests. The number of past bull/bear levels displayed on the chart is also adjustable in the settings.
Why capture a level after a long directional run:
When price moves in one direction for several consecutive candles (e.g. 4, 5, or more), it reflects strong directional bias, often associated with momentum, liquidity imbalance, or liquidity grabs. Once that sequence breaks, the final level reached marks a point of exhaustion or structural resistance/support, where that bias failed to continue. These inflection points are often used by traders and trading algorithms to assess potential reversals, retests, or breakout setups. By freezing these levels once the run ends, the indicator creates a map of historically significant price zones, allowing traders to observe how price behaves around them over time.
Additional information displayed by the indicator:
Each detected run includes a label showing the run length (the number of consecutive higher-timeframe candles in the streak) along with the source timeframe used for detection. The indicator also displays an overstretch marker: this numerical value appears when the total size of the candle bodies within the run exceeds a user-defined multiple of the average higher-timeframe body size (default: 1.5x). This helps highlight runs that were unusually strong or extended relative to typical volatility. You can also enable alerts that trigger when this overstretch ratio exceeds a higher threshold.
Key Settings
Timeframe: Choose which HTF to analyse (e.g., 15m, 1h, 4h)
Minimum Candle Run Length: Define how many consecutive candles are needed to trigger a level (e.g., 4)
Overstretch Settings: Customize detection threshold and alert trigger (in multiples of average body size)
Background Tints: Enable/disable visual highlights for bull and bear runs
Display Capacity: Choose how many past bull/bear levels to show
How Traders Can Use This Indicator
Traders can:
-Watch levels for retests, reversals, breakouts, or consolidation
-Identify areas where price showed strong directional conviction
-Spot extended or aggressive moves based on overstretch detection
-Monitor how price reacts when retesting prior run levels
-Build confluence with your existing levels, zones, or indicators
Disclaimer
This tool does not reflect true order flow, liquidity, or institutional positioning. It is a visual aid that highlights specific candle behaviour patterns and does not produce predictive signals. All analysis is subject to interpretation, and past price behaviour does not imply future outcomes.
References:
Trends and Reversion in Financial Markets on Time Scales from Minutes to Decades (Sara A. Safari & Christof Schmidhuber, 2025)
Evidence and Behaviour of Support and Resistance Levels in Financial Time Series (Chung & Bellotti, 2021)
Luxy VWAP Magic - MTF Projection EngineThis indicator transforms the classic VWAP into a comprehensive trading system. Instead of switching between multiple indicators, you get everything in one place: multi-timeframe analysis, statistical bands, momentum detection, volume profiling, session tracking, and divergence signals.
What Makes This Different
Traditional VWAP indicators show a single line. This tool treats VWAP as a foundation for complete market analysis. The indicator automatically detects your asset type (stocks, crypto, forex, futures) and adjusts its behavior accordingly. Crypto traders get 24/7 session tracking. Stock traders get proper market hours handling. Everyone gets institutional-grade analytics.
Anchor Period Options
The anchor period determines when VWAP resets and recalculates. You have three categories of options:
Time-Based Anchors:
Session - Resets at market open. Best for intraday stock trading where you want fresh VWAP each day.
Day - Resets at midnight UTC. Standard option for most traders.
Week / Month / Quarter / Year - Longer reset periods for swing traders and position traders who want broader context.
Rolling Window Anchors:
Rolling 5D - A sliding 5-day window that never resets. Solves the Monday problem where weekly VWAP equals daily VWAP on first day of week.
Rolling 21D - Approximately one month of trading data in continuous calculation. Excellent for crypto and forex markets that trade 24/7 without clear session breaks.
Event-Based Anchors:
Dividends - Resets on ex-dividend dates. Track institutional cost basis from dividend events.
Splits - Resets on stock split dates. Useful for analyzing post-split trading behavior.
Earnings - Resets on earnings report dates. See where volume-weighted trading occurred since last quarterly report.
Standard Deviation Bands
Three sets of bands surround the main VWAP line:
Band 1 (Aqua) - Plus and minus one standard deviation. Approximately 68% of price action occurs within this range under normal distribution. Touches suggest minor extension.
Band 2 (Fuchsia) - Plus and minus two standard deviations. Only 5% of trading should occur outside this range statistically. Touches here indicate significant overextension and high probability of mean reversion.
Band 3 (Purple) - Plus and minus three standard deviations. Touches are rare (0.3% probability) and represent extreme conditions. Often marks climax moves or panic selling/buying.
Each band can be toggled independently. Most traders show Band 1 by default and add Band 2 and 3 for specific setups or volatile instruments.
Multi-Timeframe VWAP System
The MTF section plots previous period VWAPs as horizontal support and resistance levels:
Daily VWAP - Previous day's final VWAP value. Key intraday reference level.
Weekly VWAP - Previous week's final VWAP. Important for swing traders.
Monthly VWAP - Previous month's final VWAP. Institutional benchmark level.
Quarterly VWAP - Previous quarter's final VWAP. Major support/resistance for position traders.
Previous Day VWAP - Yesterday's closing VWAP specifically, separate from current daily calculation.
The Confluence Zone percentage setting determines how close multiple VWAPs must be to trigger a confluence alert. When two or more timeframe VWAPs converge within this threshold, you get a high-probability support/resistance zone.
Session VWAPs for Global Markets
For forex, crypto, and futures traders who operate in 24/7 markets, the indicator tracks three major global sessions:
Asia Session - UTC 21:00 to 08:00. Gold colored line. Typically lower volatility, range-bound action that sets overnight levels.
London Session - UTC 08:00 to 17:00. Orange colored line. Often determines daily direction with high volume European participation.
New York Session - UTC 13:00 to 22:00. Blue colored line. Highest volume session globally. Sharp directional moves common.
Previous session VWAP values display as horizontal lines when each session closes, acting as intraday support and resistance. The table shows which sessions are currently active with checkmarks.
On-Chart Labels and Signals
The indicator plots several types of labels directly on price action when significant events occur:
Volume Spike Labels
Fire when current bar volume exceeds configurable thresholds relative to both the previous bar and the 20-bar average. Default settings require 300% of previous bar AND 200% of average volume. Green labels indicate bullish candles. Red labels indicate bearish candles. These spikes often mark institutional entry points.
Momentum Shift Labels
Appear when VWAP acceleration changes direction. The Slowing label warns when an active trend loses steam, often preceding reversal. The Accelerating label confirms trend continuation or potential bottom during downtrends. Filters available to show only reversal signals in existing trends.
VWAP Squeeze Labels
Detect when standard deviation bands contract relative to ATR (Average True Range). Low volatility compression often precedes explosive breakout moves. When the squeeze fires (releases), a label appears with directional prediction based on VWAP slope.
Divergence Labels
Mark price/volume divergences using CVD (Cumulative Volume Delta) analysis:
Bullish divergence: Price makes lower low, but CVD makes higher low. Hidden accumulation despite price weakness.
Bearish divergence: Price makes higher high, but CVD makes lower high. Hidden distribution despite price strength.
Dynamic VWAP Coloring
The main VWAP line changes color based on its slope direction:
Green - VWAP is rising. Institutional buying pressure. Volume-weighted price increasing.
Red - VWAP is falling. Institutional selling pressure. Volume-weighted price decreasing.
Gray - VWAP is flat. Consolidation or balance between buyers and sellers.
This coloring can be disabled for a static blue line if you prefer cleaner visuals. The VWAP label next to the line shows the current trend direction and delta percentage.
Calculated Projection Cone
One of the most powerful features is the Calculated Projection Cone. Unlike traditional extrapolation methods that simply extend a trend line forward, this system analyzes what actually happened in similar market conditions throughout the chart's history.
How It Works:
The system classifies each bar into one of 27 unique market states:
Z-Score Level - LOW (oversold), MID (fair value), or HIGH (overbought) based on configurable thresholds
Trend Direction - DOWN, FLAT, or UP based on VWAP slope
Volume Profile - LOW (below 80%), NORMAL (80-150%), or HIGH (above 150%) relative volume
When you look at the current bar, the indicator:
1. Identifies the current market state (e.g., LOW Z-Score + UP Trend + HIGH Volume)
2. Searches through all historical bars on the chart that had the same state
3. Calculates what happened in those bars X bars later (where X is your projection horizon)
4. Shows you the probability of up/down and the average move size
Visual Elements:
Probability Cone - Colored green (bullish probability above 55%), red (bearish below 45%), or gold (neutral). The cone width represents the historical range of outcomes (roughly the 20th to 80th percentile).
Center Line - Shows the average expected price based on historical outcomes in similar conditions.
Probability Label - Displays direction probability and average move. Example: "67% UP (+0.8%)" means 67% of similar past cases moved up, averaging 0.8% gain.
Fallback System:
When the exact 27-state match has insufficient historical data:
First fallback: Uses Z-Score plus Trend only (9 broader states, ignoring volume)
Second fallback: Uses Z-Score only (3 states)
When fallback is active, confidence automatically adjusts
Settings:
Projection Horizon - How many bars forward to analyze outcomes (5, 10, 15, or 20 bars, default 10)
Lookback Period - Historical data window in days (30-252, default 60)
Minimum Samples - Cases needed before using fallback (5-30, default 10)
Z-Score Threshold - Bucket boundary for LOW/MID/HIGH classification (1.0, 1.5, or 2.0 sigma)
Cloud Transparency - Adjust visibility (50-95%)
Colors - Customize bullish, bearish, and neutral cone colors
Confidence Levels:
HIGH - 30 or more similar historical cases found
MEDIUM - 15-29 similar cases
LOW - Fewer than 15 cases (more uncertainty)
IMPORTANT DISCLAIMER:
The Calculated Projection is based on past patterns only. It is NOT a price prediction or financial advice. Similar market states in the past do not guarantee similar outcomes in the future. The probability shown is historical frequency, not a guarantee. Always combine with other analysis and never rely solely on projections for trading decisions.
Alert Conditions
The indicator includes over 20 pre-built alert conditions:
Price vs VWAP:
Price crosses above VWAP
Price crosses below VWAP
Band Touches:
Price touches plus or minus one sigma band
Price touches plus or minus two sigma band (extreme)
Price touches plus or minus three sigma band (very extreme)
Z-Score Extremes:
Z-Score crosses above plus two (overbought extreme)
Z-Score crosses below minus two (oversold extreme)
Momentum and Trend:
Momentum slowing
Momentum accelerating
Trend turns bullish/bearish/neutral
Volume:
Volume spike detected
CVD Direction:
Buyers take control
Sellers take control
High Probability Signals:
Bullish reversal signal (oversold plus accelerating momentum)
Bearish reversal signal (overbought plus slowing momentum)
MTF and Special:
MTF confluence zone entry
VWAP squeeze fired
Bullish/Bearish divergence detected
Any significant signal (catch-all)
All signals use confirmed bar data to prevent false alerts from incomplete candles.
Settings Overview
Settings are organized into logical groups:
VWAP Settings
Anchor Period selection
Show/Hide VWAP line
Dynamic coloring toggle
VWAP label visibility
Bands Visibility
Toggle each of three bands independently
Info Table
Show/Hide table
Table position (9 options)
Text size
Volume spike label settings with adjustable thresholds
Momentum label settings with filters
Signal labels limited to 5 most recent (auto-managed)
Probability engine lookback period
Multi-Timeframe VWAP
Enable/Disable MTF system
Show MTF in table
Show MTF lines on chart
Individual timeframe toggles
Confluence zone threshold
Squeeze detection toggle
Session VWAPs
Enable/Disable session tracking
Apply to all assets option
Show session labels
Divergence Detection
Enable/Disable divergence
Pivot lookback period
Show divergence labels
Calculated Projection
Enable/Disable projection cone
Projection horizon (5, 10, 15, or 20 bars)
Lookback period in days (30-252)
Minimum samples threshold
Z-Score classification threshold (1.0, 1.5, or 2.0 sigma)
Cloud transparency adjustment
Bullish, bearish, and neutral colors
The Info Table - Your Trading Dashboard
The right side of your chart displays a compact table with up to twelve metrics.
Row-by-Row Breakdown:
Asset and Period - Shows what the indicator detected (US Stock, Crypto, Forex, etc.) and your selected anchor period. The detection happens automatically based on exchange data, so VWAP resets and calculations match your actual trading instrument.
Delta Percentage - How far current price sits from VWAP, expressed as a percentage. Positive means price trades above fair value. Negative means below. Large delta values (beyond 1-2%) often precede mean reversion moves. Day traders watch this for overextension.
Z-Score - Statistical deviation from VWAP measured in standard deviations. Unlike raw delta, Z-Score accounts for volatility. A 2% move in a volatile biotech stock differs from 2% in a stable utility. Z-Score normalizes this. Values beyond plus or minus two sigma occur only 5% of the time statistically.
Trend Direction - Whether VWAP itself is rising, falling, or flat. Rising VWAP means the volume-weighted average price is increasing, which indicates institutional accumulation. Falling VWAP suggests distribution. This differs from price trend since it weights by volume.
Momentum State - Is the trend accelerating or slowing down? This measures the rate of change in VWAP slope. When an uptrend shows slowing momentum, it often precedes reversal. Accelerating momentum in a downtrend can signal capitulation and potential bottom.
Relative Volume - Current bar volume compared to the 20-bar average, shown as percentage. Values above 150% indicate above-average activity. Spikes above 200-300% often mark institutional involvement. Low volume (below 80%) warns of potential fake moves.
MTF Bias - Four checkmarks or X marks showing whether price sits above or below Daily, Weekly, Monthly, and Quarterly VWAP. Four checkmarks means strong bullish alignment across all timeframes. Four X marks indicates bearish alignment. Mixed readings suggest consolidation or transition.
Band Probabilities - Historical statistics showing how often price touched each standard deviation band over your lookback period. This helps you understand if mean reversion or trend following works better for your specific instrument.
Session Status - Which global trading sessions are currently active (Asia, London, New York). Shows checkmarks for active sessions. Important for forex and crypto traders who need to know when major liquidity windows open and close.
Divergence State - Whether the indicator detects bullish or bearish divergence between price and cumulative volume delta. Bullish divergence occurs when price makes lower lows but buying pressure (CVD) makes higher lows, suggesting hidden accumulation.
Confidence Score - A weighted composite of all factors displayed as a progress bar and percentage. Combines MTF alignment, Z-Score, trend direction, volume delta, momentum, and relative volume into a single 0-100 score. Higher scores indicate stronger conviction setups.
Calculated Projection - When the Projection Cone is enabled, shows the historical probability of price direction and expected move. For example: "▲ 67% (+0.8%)" means in similar market states historically, price moved up 67% of the time with an average gain of 0.8%. The system analyzes 27 unique market states based on Z-Score, Trend, and Volume conditions.
Recommended Use Cases
Day Trading Stocks:
Use Session anchor with Band 1 visible. Watch for price returning to VWAP after morning move. Volume spikes near VWAP often mark institutional accumulation zones.
Swing Trading:
Use Weekly or Rolling 21D anchor. Enable MTF lines for Daily and Weekly levels. Trade pullbacks to these levels in direction of MTF bias.
Crypto and Forex:
Enable Session VWAPs. Use Rolling anchors to avoid artificial resets. Monitor session transitions for breakout opportunities.
Mean Reversion:
Focus on Z-Score reaching plus or minus two. Add Band 2 visibility. Combine with slowing momentum for highest probability reversals.
Trend Following:
Watch MTF bias alignment. Four checkmarks plus accelerating momentum plus high volume confirms trend continuation setups.
Projection Planning:
Enable the Calculated Projection to see what happened historically in similar market conditions. Use 5-10 bars for intraday setups, 15-20 bars for swing trade planning. Focus on high probability readings (above 60%) with HIGH confidence (30 or more samples). The cone shows the probable range of outcomes based on actual historical data. Combine with other factors like MTF alignment and volume for higher conviction setups.
Important Notes
The indicator does not repaint. MTF values use previous period's confirmed data.
Rolling VWAP works best on 15-minute timeframes and above due to bar lookback requirements.
Session VWAPs apply to global markets by default (forex, crypto, futures). Enable the all-assets option for stocks if desired.
Volume data for forex represents tick volume, not actual traded volume.
All alert conditions fire only on confirmed (closed) bars to prevent false signals.
The Calculated Projection updates each bar as market state changes. This is expected behavior. The projection shows probabilities based on similar past conditions, not a fixed prediction.
Q AND A
Q: Does this indicator repaint?
A: No. The main VWAP calculation uses standard TradingView VWAP methodology. Multi-timeframe values use previous period's confirmed data with appropriate lookahead settings. All alert signals require bar confirmation.
Q: Why does my Rolling VWAP look different on 1-minute versus 15-minute charts?
A: Rolling VWAP calculates across a fixed number of trading days. On very short timeframes, the bar lookback may hit TradingView limits. For best Rolling VWAP accuracy, use 15-minute or higher timeframes.
Q: Can I use this on any instrument?
A: Yes. The indicator automatically detects asset type and adjusts behavior. Stocks use standard market hours. Crypto uses 24/7 calculations. Forex uses tick volume. Everything adapts automatically.
Q: What does the Confidence Score actually measure?
A: The score combines six weighted factors: MTF alignment (25%), Z-Score position (20%), Trend direction (20%), CVD pressure (15%), Momentum state (10%), and Relative volume (10%). Higher scores indicate more factors aligned in one direction.
Q: Why are Session VWAPs not showing on my stock chart?
A: Session VWAPs apply to 24-hour markets by default (forex, crypto, futures). For stocks, enable the Use for All Assets option in Session VWAP settings.
Q: The Divergence labels appear delayed. Is this a bug?
A: Divergence detection requires pivot confirmation, which needs bars on both sides of the pivot point. The label appears at the actual pivot location (several bars back) once confirmed. This is intentional and prevents false signals.
Q: Can I change the band colors?
A: Yes. Each of the three bands has its own color input setting. You can customize Band 1, Band 2, and Band 3 colors to match your preferences. The defaults are Aqua, Fuchsia, and Purple. The main VWAP line color adapts dynamically based on slope direction or can be set to static blue.
Q: How do I set up alerts?
A: Right-click on the chart, select Add Alert, choose this indicator, and select your desired condition from the dropdown. All conditions include descriptive alert messages with relevant data.
Q: What is the Probability Engine lookback period?
A: This setting determines how many trading days the indicator analyzes to calculate band touch rates and mean reversion statistics. Default is 60 days (approximately 3 months). Longer periods provide more stable statistics but may miss recent behavior changes.
Q: Why do I see fewer labels than expected?
A: Signal labels (Volume, Momentum, Squeeze, Divergence) are limited to 5 most recent labels on the chart to keep it clean. When a new label appears, the oldest one is automatically removed. Additionally, momentum labels have several filters: check the slope multiplier setting (higher values require stronger trends) and the Only Reversal Signals option (when enabled, labels only appear for potential reversals, not trend confirmations).
Q: What is the Calculated Projection and how accurate is it?
A: The Calculated Projection analyzes what happened in past market conditions similar to the current state. It classifies each bar by Z-Score level, Trend direction, and Volume profile (27 unique states), then shows the historical probability of up vs down and the average move size. It is NOT a price prediction or guarantee. The probability shown is how often similar conditions led to up/down moves historically, not a future guarantee. Always use it as one input among many.
Q: Why does the Projection probability change?
A: The projection updates on each bar as market state changes. If Z-Score moves from LOW to MID, or trend shifts from UP to FLAT, the system looks up a different historical category. This is expected behavior. The projection shows what happened in similar past conditions to the current bar's state.
Q: The Projection shows LOW confidence. What does that mean?
A: Confidence levels indicate sample size: HIGH means 30 or more historical cases found, MEDIUM means 15-29 cases, LOW means fewer than 15 cases. When sample size is low, the system uses a fallback: first aggregating by Z-Score plus Trend only (ignoring volume), then by Z-Score only. LOW confidence means less statistical reliability, so weight other factors more heavily in your decision.
Q: Why does the cone sometimes show 50/50 probability?
A: A 50/50 reading means that in similar past market states, price moved up roughly half the time and down half the time. This indicates a neutral or balanced condition where historical patterns provide no directional edge. Consider waiting for a higher probability setup or using other analysis methods.
CREDITS AND ACKNOWLEDGMENTS
Methodology Foundation:
VWAP (Volume Weighted Average Price) - Standard institutional benchmark calculation, widely used since the 1980s for algorithmic execution and fair value assessment
Standard Deviation Bands - Statistical volatility measurement applying normal distribution principles to price deviation from mean
Z-Score Analysis - Classic statistical normalization technique for comparing values across different volatility regimes
Cumulative Volume Delta (CVD) - Order flow analysis concept measuring aggressive buying versus selling pressure
Concept Integration:
Mean reversion probability engine - Custom historical statistics tracking for band touch rates
Momentum acceleration detection - Second derivative analysis of VWAP slope changes
VWAP Squeeze - Volatility compression concept adapted from TTM Squeeze methodology applied to VWAP bands versus ATR
Confidence scoring system - Weighted composite scoring combining multiple technical factors
Calculated Projection Cone - Probability-based projection using 27-state market classification (Z-Score, Trend, Volume) with historical outcome analysis and weighted fallback system
All calculations use standard public domain formulas and TradingView built-in functions. No proprietary third-party code was used.
For questions, feedback, or feature requests, please comment below or send a private message.
Happy Trading!
HTF Frequency Zone [BigBeluga]🔵 OVERVIEW
HTF Frequency Zone highlights the dominant price level (Point of Control) and the full high–low expansion of any higher timeframe — Daily, Weekly, or Monthly. It captures the frequency of closes inside each HTF candle and plots the most traded “frequency zone”, allowing traders to easily see where price spent the most time and where buy/sell pressure accumulated.
This tool transforms each higher-timeframe bar into a fully visualized structure:
• Top = HTF high
• Bottom = HTF low
• Midline = HTF Frequency POC
• Color-coded zones = bullish or bearish bias
• Labels = counts of bullish and bearish candles inside the HTF range
It is designed to give traders an immediate understanding of high-timeframe balance, imbalance, and price attraction zones.
🔵 CONCEPTS
HTF Partitioning — Each Weekly/Daily/Monthly candle is converted into a dedicated zone with its own High, Low, and Frequency Point of Control.
Frequency POC (Most Touched Price) — The indicator divides the HTF range into 100 bins and counts how many times price closed near each level.
Dominant Zone — The level with the highest frequency becomes the HTF “Value Zone,” plotted as a bold central line.
Directional Bias —
• Bullish HTF zone
• Bearish HTF zone
Internal Candle Counting — Within each HTF period the indicator counts:
• Buy candles (close > open)
• Sell candles (close < open)
This reveals whether intraperiod flow was bullish or bearish.
HTF Structure Blocks — High, Low, and POC are connected across the entire higher-timeframe duration, showing the real shape of HTF balance.
🔵 FEATURES
Automatic HTF Zone Construction — Generates a complete price zone every time the selected timeframe flips (Daily / Weekly / Monthly).
Dynamic High & Low Extraction — The indicator scans every bar inside the HTF window to find true extremes of the range.
100-Level Frequency Scan — Each close within the period is assigned to a bin, creating a detailed distribution of price interaction.
HTF POC Highlighting — The most frequent price level is plotted with a bold red line for immediate visual clarity.
Bull/Bear Coloring —
• Green → Bullish HTF zone.
• Orange → Bearish HTF zone.
Zone Shading — High–Low range is filled with a semi-transparent color matching trend direction.
Buy/Sell Candle Counters — Printed at the top and bottom of each HTF block, showing how many internal candles were bullish or bearish.
POC Label — Displays frequency count (how many touches) at the POC level.
Adaptive Threshold Warning — If bars inside the HTF window are too few (<10), the indicator warns the trader to switch timeframe.
🔵 HOW TO USE
Higher-Timeframe Biasing — Read the zone color to determine if the HTF candle leaned bullish or bearish.
Value Zone Reactions — Price often reacts to the Frequency POC; use it as support/resistance or liquidity magnet.
Range Context — Identify when price is trading near HTF highs (breakout potential) or lows (reversal potential).
Momentum Evaluation — More bullish internal candles = internal buying pressure; more bearish = internal selling pressure.
Swing Trading — Use HTF zones as the “macro map,” then execute trades on lower timeframes aligned with the zone structure.
Liquidity Awareness — The HTF POC often aligns with algorithmic liquidity levels, making it a strong reaction point.
🔵 CONCLUSION
HTF Frequency Zone transforms raw higher-timeframe candles into detailed distribution zones that reveal true market behavior inside the HTF structure. By showing highs, lows, buying/selling activity, and the most interacted price level (Frequency POC), this tool becomes invaluable for traders who want to align executions with powerful HTF levels, liquidity magnets, and structural zones.
CISD by tncylyvCISD (Change in State of Delivery) by tncylyv
The CISD (Change in State of Delivery) indicator is a precision price action tool designed to help traders identify key reversal points based on ICT concepts. Unlike standard support and resistance indicators, this script tracks the specific algorithmic opening prices responsible for the current delivery state and highlights when that state has been invalidated.
🧠 What is CISD?
Change in State of Delivery refers to the moment price shifts from a Buy Program to a Sell Program (or vice versa).
• Bearish CISD (-CISD): Occurs when price closes below the opening price of the up-candle sequence that created the most recent High.
• Bullish CISD (+CISD): Occurs when price closes above the opening price of the down-candle sequence that created the most recent Low.
This indicator automates the identification of these levels, tracking the "Active" reference price in real-time and marking historical reversals.
🚀 Key Features
1. Continuous Active Level Tracking:
o The indicator plots a continuous, stepped line (The "Active CISD") that follows the market structure. As the market expands (makes new highs or lows), the line updates to the new valid reference point.
o This allows you to see the current invalidation level at a glance without cluttering the chart with old lines.
2. Triggered Reversal Lines:
o When a candle closes beyond the Active CISD level, a "Triggered" line is drawn to mark the exact price and location of the reversal.
o These lines serve as excellent historical references for potential Order Blocks or Breakers later in time.
3. Smart Filtering:
o You can choose to display Both Bullish and Bearish setups, or filter to see Bullish Only or Bearish Only. This is ideal for traders who have a specific daily bias and want to remove noise from the chart.
4. Clean & Customizable:
o Fully customizable colors for Bullish and Bearish events.
o Options to toggle Labels, adjust Line Width, and change Line Styles (Solid, Dashed, Dotted).
o "No Continuation" Logic: This version focuses purely on major reversals (Change in State) rather than minor pullbacks, keeping your chart clean.
⚙️ Settings Guide
• Show Active CISD Level: Toggles the continuous stepped line representing the current threshold for a reversal.
• Triggered CISD Display: Choose between Both, Bullish Only, Bearish Only, or None. This controls the historical lines left behind after a reversal occurs.
• Visual Settings: Adjust line width, label sizes, and font styles to match your chart aesthetic.
• Colors: Customize the Shrek Mode (Bullish) and Blood Bath (Bearish) colors.
⚠️ A Note for Developers
This indicator is open source! If you are a Pine Script developer, feel free to check the source code. I’ve utilized some... creative variable naming conventions to make the coding experience more entertaining. Enjoy the read!
________________________________________
Risk Disclaimer: This tool is for educational purposes and market analysis. It does not guarantee future performance. Always manage your risk.
Volume Threshold Levels - Crypto LidyaVolume Threshold Levels – Crypto Lidya
Understanding volume behavior is one of the most effective ways to detect trend changes, manipulation candles, aggressive entries, and institutional activity.
Volume Threshold Levels (VTL) not only displays raw volume but also calculates dynamic volume thresholds (2x – 3x – 4x) based on the moving average, allowing you to identify statistically meaningful volume anomalies with precision.
📌 1. Volume Columns
The indicator plots each bar’s volume using traditional column-style visualization.
Green: Bullish candle
Red: Bearish candle
Gray: Neutral candle
This helps traders clearly understand the relationship between price and volume.
📌 2. Average Volume Area
VTL offers two types of moving averages for volume:
SMA (Simple Moving Average)
EMA (Exponential Moving Average)
The average volume is drawn as a soft yellow area across the chart.
This area acts as the baseline for normal volume levels.
📌 3. Dynamic Threshold Lines (2x / 3x / 4x)
The script calculates and displays multipliers of the average volume:
2x Average
3x Average
4x Average
These levels appear as bright yellow lines.
They are extremely useful for identifying breakouts, traps, and aggressive institutional entries.
📌 4. Volume Spike Detection (Alerts)
VTL identifies upward crossovers where volume breaks above key levels:
1x Volume Signal
2x Volume Signal
3x Volume Signal
4x Volume Signal
These can be used directly as TradingView alerts.
This allows you to automate detection of high-impact volume spikes.
📌 5. Use Cases
The indicator performs exceptionally well in:
Breakout confirmation
Liquidity sweep analysis
Detecting manipulation candles
Combining with OB, FVG, or other SMC structures
Scalping and low-timeframe aggressive volume interpretation
Algorithmic filters for volume-based strategies
📌 6. Summary
VTL delivers:
✔ Dynamic average volume baseline
✔ Clear 2x–3x–4x volume thresholds
✔ Accurate detection of upside volume explosions
✔ A strong tool for traders who rely on volume confirmation
Completely open-source and ready to be extended.
PDH/PDL Sweep & Rejection - sudoPDH/PDL Sweep + Rejection
This indicator identifies classic liquidity sweeps of the previous day's high or low, then confirms whether price rejected that level with force. It is built to highlight moments when the market takes liquidity and immediately snaps back in the opposite direction, a behavior often linked to failed breakouts, engineered stops, or clean reversals. The tool marks these events directly on the chart so you can see them without manually watching the daily levels.
What it detects
The indicator focuses on two events:
PDH sweep and rejection
Price breaks above the previous day's high, overshoots the level by a meaningful amount, and then closes back below the high.
PDL sweep and rejection
Price breaks below the previous day's low, overshoots, and then closes back above the low.
These are structural liquidity events, not random wicks. The script checks for enough overshoot and strong bar range to confirm it was a genuine stop grab rather than noise.
How it works
The indicator evaluates each bar using the following logic:
1. Previous day levels
It pulls yesterday's high and low directly from the daily timeframe. These act as the PDH and PDL reference points for intraday trading.
2. Overshoot measurement
After breaking the level, price must push far enough beyond it to qualify as a sweep. Instead of using arbitrary pips, the required overshoot is scaled relative to ATR. This keeps the logic stable across different assets and volatility conditions.
3. Range confirmation
The bar must be larger than normal compared to ATR. This ensures the sweep happened with momentum and not because of small, choppy price movement.
4. Rejection close
A valid signal only prints if price closes back inside the previous day's range.
For a PDH sweep, the bar must close below PDH.
For a PDL sweep, the bar must close above PDL.
This confirms a failed breakout and a rejection.
What gets placed on the chart
Red downward triangle above the bar: Previous Day High sweep and rejection
Lime upward triangle below the bar: Previous Day Low sweep and rejection
The markers appear exactly on the bar where the sweep and rejection occurred.
How traders can use this
Identify potential reversals
Sweeps often occur when algorithms target liquidity pools. When followed by a strong rejection, the market may be preparing for a reversal or rotation.
Avoid chasing breakouts
A clear sweep warns that a breakout attempt failed. This can prevent traders from entering at the worst possible location.
Time entries at extremes
The markers help you see where the market grabbed stops and immediately turned. These areas can become high quality entry zones in both trend continuation and countertrend setups.
Support liquidity based models
The indicator aligns naturally with trading frameworks that consider liquidity, displacement, failed breaks, and microstructure shifts.
Add confidence to confluence-based setups
Combine sweeps with displacement, FVGs, or higher timeframe levels to refine entry timing.
Why this indicator is helpful
It automates a pattern that traders often identify manually. Sweeps are easy to miss in fast markets, and this tool eliminates the need to constantly monitor daily levels. By marking only the events that show overshoot plus rejection plus significant range, it filters out the weak or false signals and leaves only meaningful liquidity events.
Displacement Pulse Markers - sudoThis indicator is designed to highlight sudden and meaningful bursts of price movement. These bursts are called displacement pulses. A pulse appears when price expands with force, closes near the extreme of its own bar, and breaks through a recent structural level. The indicator places small circles above or below the candle to signal these moments so that traders can quickly spot abnormal movement and potential shifts in market intent.
How it works
The indicator evaluates each bar for three conditions:
Range expansion relative to volatility
The bar must be larger than normal. It compares the bar range to ATR and requires that range to exceed a multiple of ATR. When this condition is met, the bar is considered a large or forceful bar.
Close location within the bar
The bar has to close near its own high or low. A close near the top suggests strong buying force. A close near the bottom suggests strong selling force. The user can adjust what percentage qualifies as near the top or bottom.
Break of recent structure
The bar must break a recent pivot level. For bullish pulses, the high of the bar must exceed the highest high of the past N bars. For bearish pulses, the low must break the lowest low of the past N bars. This confirms that the move did not merely expand but actually displaced prior structure.
When all conditions align
A bullish displacement pulse is marked with a small aqua circle below the bar.
A bearish displacement pulse is marked with a fuchsia circle above the bar.
The result is a clean on chart visualization of where price produced meaningful displacement.
How traders can use this
Spot abnormal momentum
Pulses can highlight areas where price behaves with more force than usual. These events often appear around news, liquidity sweeps, or algorithmic shifts.
Identify possible regime changes
A pulse that breaks structure while closing near the extreme may signal a transition from a ranging environment to a trending one. It does not predict direction but flags where displacement actually occurred.
Support narrative building
When combined with levels, zones, or other frameworks, pulses can confirm whether the market had enough strength to break through an area with conviction.
Filter trades or refine entries
Some traders may choose to trade in the direction of recent pulses during trending conditions. Others may only enter a trade after a pulse confirms that the market has shifted away from compression.
Track where the market is imbalanced
A pulse visually marks whether buyers or sellers were able to generate strong initiative movement. These points often become useful reference zones for continuation or rejection analysis.
Why this indicator is useful
It reduces complex logic into simple visual markers. Instead of scanning bar by bar for structural breaks, volatility expansions, and close strength, the indicator does this automatically and highlights only the bars that meet all criteria. This keeps the chart clean while still providing precision about where displacement actually occurred.
VMDM - Volume, Momentum & Divergence Master [BullByte]VMDM - Volume, Momentum and Divergence Master
Educational Multi-Layer Market Structure Analysis System
Multi-factor divergence engine that scores RSI momentum, volume pressure, and institutional footprints into one non-repainting confluence rating (0-100).
WHAT THIS INDICATOR IS
VMDM is an educational indicator designed to teach traders how to recognize high-probability reversal and continuation patterns by analyzing four independent market dimensions simultaneously. Instead of relying on a single indicator that may produce frequent false signals, VMDM creates a confluence-based scoring system that weights multiple confirmation factors, helping you understand which setups have stronger technical backing and which are lower quality.
This is NOT a trading system or signal generator. It is a learning tool that visualizes complex market structure concepts in an accessible format for both coders and non-coders.
THE PROBLEM IT SOLVES
Most traders face these common challenges:
Challenge 1 - Indicator Overload: Running RSI, volume analysis, and divergence detection separately creates chart clutter and conflicting signals. You waste time cross-referencing multiple windows trying to determine if all factors align.
Challenge 2 - False Divergences: Standard divergence indicators trigger on every minor pivot, creating noise. Many divergences fail because they lack supporting evidence from volume or market structure.
Challenge 3 - Missed Context: A bullish RSI divergence means nothing if it occurs during weak volume or in the middle of strong distribution. Context determines quality.
Challenge 4 - Repainting Confusion: Many divergence scripts repaint, showing perfect historical signals that never actually triggered in real-time, leading to false confidence.
Challenge 5 - Institutional Pattern Recognition: Absorption zones, stop hunts, and exhaustion patterns are taught in trading education but difficult to identify systematically without manual analysis.
VMDM addresses all five challenges by combining complementary analytical layers into one transparent, non-repainting, confluence-weighted system with visual clarity.
WHY THIS SPECIFIC COMBINATION - MASHUP JUSTIFICATION
This indicator is NOT a random mashup of popular indicators. Each of the four layers serves a specific analytical purpose and together they create a complete market structure assessment framework.
THE FOUR ANALYTICAL LAYERS
LAYER 1 - RSI MOMENTUM DIVERGENCE (Trend Exhaustion Detection)
Purpose: Identifies when price momentum is weakening before price itself reverses.
Why RSI: The Relative Strength Index measures momentum on a bounded 0-100 scale, making divergence detection mathematically consistent across all assets and timeframes. Unlike raw price oscillators, RSI normalizes momentum regardless of volatility regime.
How It Contributes: Divergence between price pivots and RSI pivots reveals early momentum exhaustion. A lower price low with a higher RSI low (bullish regular divergence) signals sellers are losing strength even as price makes new lows. This is the PRIMARY signal generator in VMDM.
Limitation If Used Alone: RSI divergence by itself produces many false signals because momentum can remain weak during continued trends. It needs confirmation from volume and structural evidence.
LAYER 2 - VOLUME PRESSURE ANALYSIS (Buying vs Selling Intensity)
Purpose: Quantifies whether the current bar's volume reflects buying pressure or selling pressure based on where price closed within the bar's range.
Methodology: Instead of just measuring volume size, VMDM calculates WHERE in the bar range the close occurred. A close near the high on high volume indicates strong buying absorption. A close near the low indicates selling pressure. The calculation accounts for wick size (wicks reduce pressure quality) and uses percentile ranking over a lookback period to normalize pressure strength on a 0-100 scale.
Formula Concept:
Buy Pressure = Volume × (Close - Low) / (High - Low) × Wick Quality Factor
Sell Pressure = Volume × (High - Close) / (High - Low) × Wick Quality Factor
Net Pressure = Buy Pressure - Sell Pressure
Pressure Strength = Percentile Rank of Net Pressure over lookback period
Why Percentile Ranking: Absolute volume varies by asset and session. Percentile ranking makes 85th percentile pressure on low-volume crypto comparable to 85th percentile pressure on high-volume forex.
How It Contributes: When a bullish divergence occurs at a pivot low AND pressure strength is above 60 (strong buying), this adds 25 confluence points. It confirms that the divergence is occurring during actual accumulation, not just weak selling.
Limitation If Used Alone: Pressure analysis shows current bar intensity but cannot identify trend exhaustion or reversal timing. High buying pressure can exist during a strong uptrend with no reversal imminent.
LAYER 3 - BEHAVIORAL FOOTPRINT PATTERNS (Volume Anomaly Detection)
CRITICAL DISCLAIMER: The terms "institutional footprint," "absorption," "stop hunt," and "exhaustion" used in this indicator are EDUCATIONAL LABELS for specific price and volume behavioral patterns. These patterns are detected through technical analysis of publicly available price, volume, and bar structure data. This indicator does NOT have access to actual institutional order flow, market maker data, broker stop-loss locations, or any non-public data source. These pattern names are used because they are common terminology in trading education to describe these technical behaviors. The analysis is interpretive and based on observable price action, not privileged information.
Purpose: Detect volume anomalies and price patterns that historically correlate with potential reversal zones or trend continuation failure.
Pattern Type 1 - Absorption (Labeled as "ACCUMULATION" or "DISTRIBUTION")
Detection Criteria: Volume is more than 2x the moving average AND bar range is less than 50 percent of the average bar range.
Interpretation: High volume compressed into a tight range suggests large participants are absorbing supply (accumulation) or distribution (distribution) without allowing price to move significantly. This often precedes directional moves once absorption completes.
Visual: Colored box zone highlighting the absorption area.
Pattern Type 2 - Stop Hunt (Labeled as "BULL HUNT" or "BEAR HUNT")
Detection Criteria: Price penetrates a recent 10-bar high or low by a small margin (0.2 percent), then closes back inside the range on above-average volume (1.5x+).
Interpretation: Price briefly spikes beyond recent structure (likely triggering stop losses placed just beyond obvious levels) then reverses. This is a classic false breakout pattern often seen before reversals.
Visual: Label at the wick extreme showing hunt direction.
Pattern Type 3 - Exhaustion (Labeled as "SELL EXHAUST" or "BUY EXHAUST")
Detection Criteria: Lower wick is more than 2.5x the body size with volume above 1.8x average and RSI below 35 (sell exhaustion), OR upper wick more than 2.5x body size with volume above 1.8x average and RSI above 65 (buy exhaustion).
Interpretation: Large wicks with high volume and extreme RSI suggest aggressive buying or selling was met with equally aggressive rejection. This exhaustion often marks short-term extremes.
Visual: Label showing exhaustion type.
How These Contribute: When a divergence forms at a pivot AND one of these behavioral patterns is active, the confluence score increases by 20 points. This confirms the divergence is occurring during structural anomaly activity, not just normal price flow.
Limitation If Used Alone: These patterns can occur mid-trend and do not indicate direction without momentum context. Absorption in a strong uptrend may just be continuation accumulation.
LAYER 4 - CONFLUENCE SCORING MATRIX (Quality Weighting System)
Purpose: Translate all detected conditions into a single 0-100 quality score so you can objectively compare setups.
Scoring Breakdown:
Divergence Present: +30 points (primary signal)
Pressure Confirmation: +25 points (volume supports direction)
Behavioral Footprint Active: +20 points (structural anomaly present)
RSI Extreme: +15 points (RSI below 30 or above 70 at pivot)
Volume Spike: +10 points (current volume above 1.5x average)
Maximum Possible Score: 100 points
Why These Weights: The weights reflect reliability hierarchy based on backtesting observation. Divergence is the core signal (30 points), but without volume confirmation (25 points) many fail. Behavioral patterns add meaningful context (20 points). RSI extremes and volume spikes are secondary confirmations (15 and 10 points).
Quality Tiers:
90-100: TEXTBOOK (all factors aligned)
75-89: HIGH QUALITY (strong confluence)
60-74: VALID (meets minimum threshold)
Below 60: DEVELOPING (not displayed unless threshold lowered)
How It Contributes: The confluence score allows you to filter noise. You can set your minimum quality threshold in settings. Higher thresholds (75+) show fewer but higher-quality patterns. Lower thresholds (50-60) show more patterns but include lower-confidence setups. This teaches you to distinguish strong setups from weak ones.
Limitation: Confluence scoring is historical observation-based, not predictive guarantee. A 95-point setup can still fail. The score represents technical alignment, not future certainty.
WHY THIS COMBINATION WORKS TOGETHER
Each layer addresses a limitation in the others:
RSI Divergence identifies WHEN momentum is exhausting (timing)
Volume Pressure confirms WHETHER the exhaustion is accompanied by opposite-side accumulation (confirmation)
Behavioral Footprint shows IF structural anomalies support the reversal hypothesis (context)
Confluence Scoring weights ALL factors into an objective quality metric (filtering)
Using only RSI divergence gives you timing without confirmation. Using only volume pressure gives you intensity without directional context. Using only pattern detection gives you anomalies without trend exhaustion context. Using all four together creates a complete analytical framework where each layer compensates for the others' weaknesses.
This is not a mashup for the sake of combining indicators. It is a structured analytical system where each component has a defined role in a multi-dimensional market assessment process.
HOW TO READ THE INDICATOR - VISUAL ELEMENTS GUIDE
VMDM displays up to five visual layer types. You can enable or disable each layer independently in settings under "Visual Layers."
VISUAL LAYER 1 - MARKET STRUCTURE (Pivot Points and Lines)
What You See:
Small labels at swing highs and lows marked "PH" (Pivot High) and "PL" (Pivot Low) with horizontal dashed lines extending right from each pivot.
What It Means:
These are CONFIRMED pivots, not real-time. A pivot low appears AFTER the required right-side confirmation bars pass (default 3 bars). This creates a delay but prevents repainting. The pivot only appears once it is mathematically confirmed.
The horizontal lines represent support (from pivot lows) and resistance (from pivot highs) levels where price previously found significant rejection.
Color Coding:
Green label and line: Pivot Low (potential support)
Red label and line: Pivot High (potential resistance)
How To Use:
These pivots are the foundation for divergence detection. Divergence is only calculated between confirmed pivots, ensuring all signals are non-repainting. The lines help you see historical structure levels.
VISUAL LAYER 2 - PRESSURE ZONES (Background Color)
What You See:
Subtle background color shading on bars - light green or light red tint.
What It Means:
This visualizes volume pressure strength in real-time.
Color Coding:
Light Green Background: Pressure Strength above 70 (strong buying pressure - price closing near highs on volume)
Light Red Background: Pressure Strength below 30 (strong selling pressure - price closing near lows on volume)
No Color: Neutral pressure (pressure between 30-70)
How To Use:
When a bullish divergence pattern appears during green pressure zones, it suggests the divergence is forming during accumulation. When a bearish divergence appears during red zones, distribution is occurring. Pressure zones help you filter divergences - those forming in supportive pressure environments have higher probability.
VISUAL LAYER 3 - DIVERGENCE LINES (Dotted Connectors)
What You See:
Dotted lines connecting two pivot points (either two pivot lows or two pivot highs).
What It Means:
A divergence has been detected between those two pivots. The line connects the price pivots where RSI showed opposite behavior.
Color Coding:
Bright Green Line: Bullish divergence (regular or hidden)
Bright Red Line: Bearish divergence (regular or hidden)
How To Use:
The divergence line appears ONLY after the second pivot is confirmed (delayed by right-side confirmation bars). This is intentional to prevent repainting. When you see the line appear, it means:
For Bullish Regular Divergence:
Price made a lower low (second pivot lower than first)
RSI made a higher low (RSI at second pivot higher than first)
Interpretation: Downtrend losing momentum
For Bullish Hidden Divergence:
Price made a higher low (second pivot higher than first)
RSI made a lower low (RSI at second pivot lower than first)
Interpretation: Uptrend continuation likely (pullback within uptrend)
For Bearish Regular Divergence:
Price made a higher high (second pivot higher than first)
RSI made a lower high (RSI at second pivot lower than first)
Interpretation: Uptrend losing momentum
For Bearish Hidden Divergence:
Price made a lower high (second pivot lower than first)
RSI made a higher high (RSI at second pivot higher than first)
Interpretation: Downtrend continuation likely (bounce within downtrend)
If "Show Consolidated Analysis Label" is disabled, a small label will appear on the divergence line showing the divergence type abbreviation.
VISUAL LAYER 4 - BEHAVIORAL FOOTPRINT MARKERS
What You See:
Boxes, labels, and markers at specific bars showing pattern detection.
ABSORPTION ZONES (Boxes):
Colored rectangular boxes spanning one or more bars.
Purple Box: Accumulation absorption zone (high volume, tight range, bullish close)
Red Box: Distribution absorption zone (high volume, tight range, bearish close)
If absorption continues for multiple consecutive bars, the box extends and a counter appears in the label showing how many bars the absorption lasted.
What It Means: Large volume is being absorbed without significant price movement. This often precedes directional breakouts once the absorption phase completes.
STOP HUNT MARKERS (Labels):
Small labels below or above wicks labeled "BULL HUNT" or "BEAR HUNT" (may show bar count if consecutive).
What It Means:
BULL HUNT : Price spiked below recent lows then reversed back up on volume - likely triggered sell stops before reversing
BEAR HUNT : Price spiked above recent highs then reversed back down on volume - likely triggered buy stops before reversing
EXHAUSTION MARKERS (Labels):
Labels showing "SELL EXHAUST" or "BUY EXHAUST."
What It Means:
SELL EXHAUST : Large lower wick with high volume and low RSI - aggressive selling met with strong rejection
BUY EXHAUST : Large upper wick with high volume and high RSI - aggressive buying met with strong rejection
How To Use:
These markers help you identify WHERE structural anomalies occurred. When a divergence signal appears AT THE SAME TIME as one of these patterns, the confluence score increases. You are looking for alignment - divergence + behavioral pattern + pressure confirmation = high-quality setup.
VISUAL LAYER 5 - CONSOLIDATED ANALYSIS LABEL (Main Pattern Signal)
What You See:
A large label appearing at pivot points (or in real-time mode, at current bar) containing full pattern analysis.
Label Appearance:
Depending on your "Use Compact Label Format" setting:
COMPACT MODE (Single Line):
Example: "BULLISH REGULAR | Q:HIGH QUALITY C:82"
Breakdown:
BULLISH REGULAR: Divergence type detected
Q:HIGH QUALITY: Pattern quality tier
C:82: Confluence score (82 out of 100)
FULL MODE (Multi-Line Detailed):
Example:
PATTERN DETECTED
-------------------
BULLISH REGULAR
Quality: HIGH QUALITY
Price: Lower Low
Momentum: Higher Low
Signal: Weakening Downtrend
CONFLUENCE: 82/100
-------------------
Divergence: 30
Pressure: 25
Institutional: 20
RSI Extreme: 0
Volume: 10
Breakdown:
Top section: Pattern type and quality
Middle section: Divergence explanation (what price did vs what RSI did)
Bottom section: Confluence score with itemized breakdown showing which factors contributed
Label Position:
In Confirmed modes: Label appears AT the pivot point (delayed by confirmation bars)
In Real-time mode: Label appears at current bar as conditions develop
Label Color:
Gold: Textbook quality (90+ confluence)
Green: High quality (75-89 confluence)
Blue: Valid quality (60-74 confluence)
How To Use:
This is your primary decision-making label. When it appears:
Check the divergence type (regular divergences are reversal signals, hidden divergences are continuation signals)
Review the quality tier (textbook and high quality have better historical win rates)
Examine the confluence breakdown to see which factors are present and which are missing
Look at the chart context (trend, support/resistance, timeframe)
Use this information to assess whether the setup aligns with your strategy
The label does NOT tell you to buy or sell. It tells you a technical pattern has formed and provides the quality assessment. Your trading decision must incorporate risk management, market context, and your strategy rules.
UNDERSTANDING THE THREE DETECTION MODES
VMDM offers three signal detection modes in settings to accommodate different trading styles and learning objectives.
MODE 1: "Confluence Only (Real-Time)"
How It Works: Displays signals AS THEY DEVELOP on the current bar without waiting for pivot confirmation. The system calculates confluence score from pressure, volume, RSI extremes, and behavioral patterns. Divergence signals are NOT required in this mode.
Delay: ZERO - signals appear immediately.
Use Case: Real-time scanning for high-confluence zones without divergence requirement. Useful for intraday traders who want immediate alerts when multiple factors align.
Tradeoff: More frequent signals but includes setups without confirmed divergence. Higher false signal rate. Signals can change as the bar develops (not repainting in historical bars, but current bar updates).
Visual Behavior: Labels appear at the current bar. No divergence lines unless divergence happens to be present.
MODE 2: "Divergence + Confluence (Confirmed)" - DEFAULT RECOMMENDED
How It Works: Full system engagement. Signals appear ONLY when:
A pivot is confirmed (requires right-side confirmation bars to pass)
Divergence is detected between current pivot and previous pivot
Total confluence score meets or exceeds your minimum threshold
Delay: Equal to your "Pivot Right Bars" setting (default 3 bars). This means signals appear 3 bars AFTER the actual pivot formed.
Use Case: Highest-quality, non-repainting signals for swing traders and learners who want to study confirmed pattern completion.
Tradeoff: Delayed signals. You will not receive the signal until confirmation occurs. In fast-moving markets, price may have already moved significantly by the time the signal appears.
Visual Behavior: Labels appear at the historical pivot location (in the past). Divergence lines connect the two pivots. This is the most educational mode because it shows completed, confirmed patterns.
Non-Repainting Guarantee: Yes. Once a signal appears, it never disappears or changes.
MODE 3: "Divergence + Confluence (Relaxed)"
How It Works: Same as Confirmed mode but with adaptive thresholds. If confluence is very high (10 points above threshold), the signal may appear even if some factors are weak. If divergence is present but confluence is slightly below threshold (within 10 points), it may still appear.
Delay: Same as Confirmed mode (right-side confirmation bars).
Use Case: Slightly more signals than Confirmed mode for traders willing to accept near-threshold setups.
Tradeoff: More signals but lower average quality than Confirmed mode.
Visual Behavior: Same as Confirmed mode.
DASHBOARD GUIDE - READING THE METRICS
The dashboard appears in the corner of your chart (position selectable in settings) and provides real-time market state analysis.
You can choose between four dashboard detail levels in settings: Off, Compact, Optimized (default), Full.
DASHBOARD ROW EXPLANATIONS
ROW 1 - Header Information
Left: Current symbol and timeframe
Center: "VMDM "
Right: Version number
ROW 2 - Mode and Delay
Shows which detection mode you are using and the signal delay.
Example: "CONFIRMED | Delay: 3 bars"
This reminds you that signals in confirmed mode appear 3 bars after the pivot forms.
ROW 3 - Market Regime
Format: "TREND UP HV" or "RANGING NV"
First Part - Trend State:
TREND UP: 20 EMA above 50 EMA with strong separation
TREND DOWN: 20 EMA below 50 EMA with strong separation
RANGING: EMAs close together, low trend strength
TRANSITION: Between trending and ranging states
Second Part - Volatility State:
HV: High Volatility (current ATR more than 1.3x the 50-bar average ATR)
NV: Normal Volatility (current ATR between 0.7x and 1.3x average)
LV: Low Volatility (current ATR less than 0.7x average)
Third Column: Volatility ratio (example: "1.45x" means current ATR is 1.45 times normal)
How To Use: Regime context helps you interpret signals. Reversal divergences are more reliable in ranging or transitional regimes. Continuation divergences (hidden) are more reliable in trending regimes. High volatility means wider stops may be needed.
ROW 4 - Pressure
Shows current volume pressure state.
Format: "BUYING | ██████████░░░░░░░░░"
States:
BUYING : Pressure strength above 60 (closes near highs)
SELLING : Pressure strength below 40 (closes near lows)
NEUTRAL : Pressure strength between 40-60
Bar Visualization: Each block represents 10 percentile points. A full bar (10 filled blocks) = 100th percentile pressure.
Color: Green for buying, red for selling, gray for neutral.
How To Use: When pressure aligns with divergence direction (bullish divergence during buying pressure), confluence is stronger.
ROW 5 - Volume and RSI
Format: "1.8x | RSI 68 | OB"
First Value: Current volume ratio (1.8x = volume is 1.8 times the moving average)
Second Value: Current RSI reading
Third Value: RSI state
OB: Overbought (RSI above 70)
OS: Oversold (RSI below 30)
Blank: Neutral RSI
How To Use: Volume spikes (above 1.5x) during divergence formation add confluence. RSI extremes at pivots add confluence.
ROW 6 - Behavioral Footprint
Format: "BULL HUNT | 2 bars"
Shows the most recent behavioral pattern detected and how long ago.
States:
ACCUMULATION / DISTRIBUTION: Absorption detected
BULL HUNT / BEAR HUNT: Stop hunt detected
SELL EXHAUST / BUY EXHAUST: Exhaustion detected
SCANNING: No recent pattern
NOW: Pattern is active on current bar
How To Use: When footprint activity is recent (within 50 bars) or active now, it adds context to divergence signals forming in that area.
ROW 7 - Current Pattern
Shows the divergence type currently detected (if any).
Examples: "BULLISH REGULAR", "BEARISH HIDDEN", "Scanning..."
Quality: Shows pattern quality (TEXTBOOK, HIGH QUALITY, VALID)
How To Use: This tells you what type of signal is active. Regular divergences are reversal setups. Hidden divergences are continuation setups.
ROW 8 - Session Summary
Format: "14 events | A3 H8 E3"
First Value: Total institutional events this session
Breakdown:
A: Absorption events
H: Stop hunt events
E: Exhaustion events
How To Use: High event counts suggest an active, volatile session with frequent structural anomalies. Low counts suggest quiet, orderly price action.
ROW 9 - Confluence Score (Optimized/Full mode only)
Format: "78/100 | ████████░░"
Shows current real-time confluence score even if no pattern is confirmed yet.
How To Use: Watch this in real-time to see how close you are to pattern formation. When it exceeds your threshold and divergence forms, a signal will appear (after confirmation delay).
ROW 10 - Patterns Studied (Optimized/Full mode only)
Format: "47 patterns | 12 bars ago"
First Value: Total confirmed patterns detected since chart loaded
Second Value: How many bars since the last confirmed pattern appeared
How To Use: Helps you understand pattern frequency on your selected symbol and timeframe. If many bars have passed since last pattern, market may be trending without reversal opportunities.
ROW 11 - Bull/Bear Ratio (Optimized/Full mode only)
Format: "28:19 | BULL"
Shows count of bullish vs bearish patterns detected.
Balance:
BULL: More bullish patterns detected (suggests market has had more bullish reversals/continuations)
BEAR: More bearish patterns detected
BAL: Equal counts
How To Use: Extreme imbalances can indicate directional bias in the studied period. A heavily bullish ratio in a downtrend might suggest frequent failed rallies (bearish continuation). Context matters.
ROW 12 - Volume Ratio Detail (Optimized/Full mode only)
Shows current volume vs average volume in absolute terms.
Example: "1.4x | 45230 / 32300"
How To Use: Confirms whether current activity is above or below normal.
ROW 13 - Last Institutional Event (Full mode only)
Shows the most recent institutional pattern type and how many bars ago it occurred.
Example: "DISTRIBUTION | 23 bars"
How To Use: Tracks recency of last anomaly for context.
SETTINGS GUIDE - EVERY PARAMETER EXPLAINED
PERFORMANCE SECTION
Enable All Visuals (Master Toggle)
Default: ON
What It Does: Master kill switch for ALL visual elements (labels, lines, boxes, background colors, dashboard). When OFF, only plot outputs remain (invisible unless you open data window).
When To Change: Turn OFF on mobile devices, 1-second charts, or slow computers to improve performance. You can still receive alerts even with visuals disabled.
Impact: Dramatic performance improvement when OFF, but you lose all visual feedback.
Maximum Object History
Default: 50 | Range: 10-100
What It Does: Limits how many of each object type (labels, lines, boxes) are kept in memory. Older objects beyond this limit are deleted.
When To Change: Lower to 20-30 on fast timeframes (1-minute charts) to prevent slowdown. Increase to 100 on daily charts if you want more historical pattern visibility.
Impact: Lower values = better performance but less historical visibility. Higher values = more history visible but potential slowdown on fast timeframes.
Alert Cooldown (Bars)
Default: 5 | Range: 1-50
What It Does: Minimum number of bars that must pass before another alert of the same type can fire. Prevents alert spam when multiple patterns form in quick succession.
When To Change: Increase to 20+ on 1-minute charts to reduce noise. Decrease to 1-2 on daily charts if you want every pattern alerted.
Impact: Higher cooldown = fewer alerts. Lower cooldown = more alerts.
USER EXPERIENCE SECTION
Show Enhanced Tooltips
Default: ON
What It Does: Enables detailed hover-over tooltips on labels and visual elements.
When To Change: Turn OFF if you encounter Pine Script compilation errors related to tooltip arguments (rare, platform-specific issue).
Impact: Minimal. Just adds helpful hover text.
MARKET STRUCTURE DETECTION SECTION
Pivot Left Bars
Default: 3 | Range: 2-10
What It Does: Number of bars to the LEFT of the center bar that must be higher (for pivot low) or lower (for pivot high) than the center bar for a pivot to be valid.
Example: With value 3, a pivot low requires the center bar's low to be lower than the 3 bars to its left.
When To Change:
Increase to 5-7 on noisy timeframes (1-minute charts) to filter insignificant pivots
Decrease to 2 on slow timeframes (daily charts) to catch more pivots
Impact: Higher values = fewer, more significant pivots = fewer signals. Lower values = more frequent pivots = more signals but more noise.
Pivot Right Bars
Default: 3 | Range: 2-10
What It Does: Number of bars to the RIGHT of the center bar that must pass for confirmation. This creates the non-repainting delay.
Example: With value 3, a pivot is confirmed 3 bars AFTER it forms.
When To Change:
Increase to 5-7 for slower, more confirmed signals (better for swing trading)
Decrease to 2 for faster signals (better for intraday, but still non-repainting)
Impact: Higher values = longer delay but more reliable confirmation. Lower values = faster signals but less confirmation. This setting directly controls your signal delay in Confirmed and Relaxed modes.
Minimum Confluence Score
Default: 60 | Range: 40-95
What It Does: The threshold score required for a pattern to be displayed. Patterns with confluence scores below this threshold are not shown.
When To Change:
Increase to 75+ if you only want high-quality textbook setups (fewer signals)
Decrease to 50-55 if you want to see more developing patterns (more signals, lower average quality)
Impact: This is your primary signal filter. Higher threshold = fewer, higher-quality signals. Lower threshold = more signals but includes weaker setups. Recommended starting point is 60-65.
TECHNICAL PERIODS SECTION
RSI Period
Default: 14 | Range: 5-50
What It Does: Lookback period for RSI calculation.
When To Change:
Decrease to 9-10 for faster, more sensitive RSI that detects shorter-term momentum changes
Increase to 21-28 for slower, smoother RSI that filters noise
Impact: Lower values make RSI more volatile (more frequent extremes and divergences). Higher values make RSI smoother (fewer but more significant divergences). 14 is industry standard.
Volume Moving Average Period
Default: 20 | Range: 10-200
What It Does: Lookback period for calculating average volume. Current volume is compared to this average to determine volume ratio.
When To Change:
Decrease to 10-14 for shorter-term volume comparison (more sensitive to recent volume changes)
Increase to 50-100 for longer-term volume comparison (smoother, less sensitive)
Impact: Lower values make volume ratio more volatile. Higher values make it more stable. 20 is standard.
ATR Period
Default: 14 | Range: 5-100
What It Does: Lookback period for Average True Range calculation used for volatility measurement and label positioning.
When To Change: Rarely needs adjustment. Use 7-10 for faster volatility response, 21-28 for slower.
Impact: Affects volatility ratio calculation and visual label spacing. Minimal impact on signals.
Pressure Percentile Lookback
Default: 50 | Range: 10-300
What It Does: Lookback period for calculating volume pressure percentile ranking. Your current pressure is ranked against the pressure of the last X bars.
When To Change:
Decrease to 20-30 for shorter-term pressure context (more responsive to recent changes)
Increase to 100-200 for longer-term pressure context (smoother rankings)
Impact: Lower values make pressure strength more sensitive to recent bars. Higher values provide more stable, long-term pressure assessment. Capped at 300 for performance reasons.
SIGNAL DETECTION SECTION
Signal Detection Mode
Default: "Divergence + Confluence (Confirmed)"
Options:
Confluence Only (Real-time)
Divergence + Confluence (Confirmed)
Divergence + Confluence (Relaxed)
What It Does: Selects which detection logic mode to use (see "Understanding The Three Detection Modes" section above).
When To Change: Use Confirmed for learning and non-repainting signals. Use Real-time for live scanning without divergence requirement. Use Relaxed for slightly more signals than Confirmed.
Impact: Fundamentally changes when and how signals appear.
VISUAL LAYERS SECTION
All toggles default to ON. Each controls visibility of one visual layer:
Show Market Structure: Pivot markers and support/resistance lines
Show Pressure Zones: Background color shading
Show Divergence Lines: Dotted lines connecting pivots
Show Institutional Footprint Markers: Absorption boxes, hunt labels, exhaustion labels
Show Consolidated Analysis Label: Main pattern detection label
Use Compact Label Format
Default: OFF
What It Does: Switches consolidated label between single-line compact format and multi-line detailed format.
When To Change: Turn ON if you find full labels too large or distracting.
Impact: Visual clarity vs. information density tradeoff.
DASHBOARD SECTION
Dashboard Mode
Default: "Optimized"
Options: Off, Compact, Optimized, Full
What It Does: Controls how much information the dashboard displays.
Off: No dashboard
Compact: 8 rows (essential metrics only)
Optimized: 12 rows (recommended balance)
Full: 13 rows (every available metric)
Dashboard Position
Default: "Top Right"
Options: Top Right, Top Left, Bottom Right, Bottom Left
What It Does: Screen corner where dashboard appears.
HOW TO USE VMDM - PRACTICAL WORKFLOW
STEP 1 - INITIAL SETUP
Add VMDM to your chart
Select your detection mode (Confirmed recommended for learning)
Set your minimum confluence score (start with 60-65)
Adjust pivot parameters if needed (default 3/3 is good for most timeframes)
Enable the visual layers you want to see
STEP 2 - CHART ANALYSIS
Let the indicator load and analyze historical data
Review the patterns that appear historically
Examine the confluence scores - notice which patterns had higher scores
Observe which patterns occurred during supportive pressure zones
Notice the divergence line connections - understand what price vs RSI did
STEP 3 - PATTERN RECOGNITION LEARNING
When a consolidated analysis label appears:
Read the divergence type (regular or hidden, bullish or bearish)
Check the quality tier (textbook, high quality, or valid)
Review the confluence breakdown - which factors contributed
Look at the chart context - where is price relative to structure, trend, etc.
Observe the behavioral footprint markers nearby - do they support the pattern
STEP 4 - REAL-TIME MONITORING
Watch the dashboard for real-time regime and pressure state
Monitor the current confluence score in the dashboard
When it approaches your threshold, be alert for potential pattern formation
When a new pattern appears (after confirmation delay), evaluate it using the workflow above
Use your trading strategy rules to decide if the setup aligns with your criteria
STEP 5 - POST-PATTERN OBSERVATION
After a pattern appears:
Mark the level on your chart
Observe what price does after the pattern completes
Did price respect the reversal/continuation signal
What was the confluence score of patterns that worked vs. those that failed
Learn which quality tiers and confluence levels produce better results on your specific symbol and timeframe
RECOMMENDED TIMEFRAMES AND ASSET CLASSES
VMDM is timeframe-agnostic and works on any asset with volume data. However, optimal performance varies:
BEST TIMEFRAMES
15-Minute to 1-Hour: Ideal balance of signal frequency and reliability. Pivot confirmation delay is acceptable. Sufficient volume data for pressure analysis.
4-Hour to Daily: Excellent for swing trading. Very high-quality signals. Lower frequency but higher significance. Recommended for learning because patterns are clearer.
1-Minute to 5-Minute: Works but requires adjustment. Increase pivot bars to 5-7 for filtering. Decrease max object history to 30 for performance. Expect more noise.
Weekly/Monthly: Works but very infrequent signals. Increase confluence threshold to 70+ to ensure only major patterns appear.
BEST ASSET CLASSES
Forex Majors: Excellent volume data and clear trends. Pressure analysis works well.
Crypto (Major Pairs): Good volume data. High volatility makes divergences more pronounced. Works very well.
Stock Indices (SPY, QQQ, etc.): Excellent. Clean price action and reliable volume.
Individual Stocks: Works well on high-volume stocks. Low-volume stocks may produce unreliable pressure readings.
Commodities (Gold, Oil, etc.): Works well. Clear trends and reactions.
WHAT THIS INDICATOR CANNOT DO - LIMITATIONS
LIMITATION 1 - It Does Not Predict The Future
VMDM identifies when technical conditions align historically associated with potential reversals or continuations. It does not predict what will happen next. A textbook 95-confluence pattern can still fail if fundamental events, news, or larger timeframe structure override the setup.
LIMITATION 2 - Confirmation Delay Means You Miss Early Entry
In Confirmed and Relaxed modes, the non-repainting design means you receive signals AFTER the pivot is confirmed. Price may have already moved significantly by the time you receive the signal. This is the tradeoff for non-repainting reliability. You can use Real-time mode for faster signals but sacrifice divergence confirmation.
LIMITATION 3 - It Does Not Tell You Position Sizing or Risk Management
VMDM provides technical pattern analysis. It does not calculate stop loss levels, take profit targets, or position sizing. You must apply your own risk management rules. Never risk more than you can afford to lose based on a technical signal.
LIMITATION 4 - Volume Pressure Analysis Requires Reliable Volume Data
On assets with thin volume or unreliable volume reporting, pressure analysis may be inaccurate. Stick to major liquid assets with consistent volume data.
LIMITATION 5 - It Cannot Detect Fundamental Events
VMDM is purely technical. It cannot predict earnings reports, central bank decisions, geopolitical events, or other fundamental catalysts that can override technical patterns.
LIMITATION 6 - Divergence Requires Two Pivots
The indicator cannot detect divergence until at least two pivots of the same type have formed. In strong trends without pullbacks, you may go long periods without signals.
LIMITATION 7 - Institutional Pattern Names Are Interpretive
The behavioral footprint patterns are named using common trading education terminology, but they are detected through technical analysis, not actual institutional data access. The patterns are interpretations based on price and volume behavior.
CONCEPT FOUNDATION - WHY THIS APPROACH WORKS
MARKET PRINCIPLE 1 - Momentum Divergence Precedes Price Reversal
Price is the final output of market forces, but momentum (the rate of change in those forces) shifts first. When price makes a new low but the momentum behind that move is weaker (higher RSI low), it signals that sellers are losing strength even though they temporarily pushed price lower. This precedes reversal. This is a fundamental principle in technical analysis taught by Charles Dow, widely observed in market behavior.
MARKET PRINCIPLE 2 - Volume Reveals Conviction
Price can move on low volume (low conviction) or high volume (high conviction). When price makes a new low on declining volume while RSI shows improving momentum, it suggests the new low is not confirmed by participant conviction. Adding volume pressure analysis to momentum divergence adds a confirmation layer that filters false divergences.
MARKET PRINCIPLE 3 - Anomalies Mark Structural Extremes
When volume spikes significantly but range contracts (absorption), or when price spikes beyond structure then reverses (stop hunt), or when aggressive moves are met with large-wick rejection (exhaustion), these anomalies often mark short-term extremes. Combining these structural observations with momentum analysis creates context.
MARKET PRINCIPLE 4 - Confluence Improves Probability
No single technical factor is reliable in isolation. RSI divergence alone fails frequently. Volume analysis alone cannot time entries. Combining multiple independent factors into a weighted system increases the probability that observed patterns have structural significance rather than random noise.
THE EDUCATIONAL VALUE
By visualizing all four layers simultaneously and breaking down the confluence scoring transparently, VMDM teaches you to think in terms of multi-dimensional analysis rather than single-indicator reliance. Over time, you will learn to recognize these patterns manually and understand which combinations produce better results on your traded assets.
INSTITUTIONAL TERMINOLOGY - IMPORTANT CLARIFICATION
This indicator uses the following terms that are common in trading education:
Institutional Footprint
Absorption (Accumulation / Distribution)
Stop Hunt
Exhaustion
CRITICAL DISCLAIMER:
These terms are EDUCATIONAL LABELS for specific price action and volume behavior patterns detected through technical analysis of publicly available chart data (open, high, low, close, volume). This indicator does NOT have access to:
Actual institutional order flow or order book data
Market maker positions or intentions
Broker stop-loss databases
Non-public trading data
Proprietary institutional information
The patterns labeled as "institutional footprint" are interpretations based on observable price and volume behavior that educational trading literature often associates with potential large-participant activity. The detection is algorithmic pattern recognition, not privileged data access.
When this indicator identifies "absorption," it means it detected high volume within a small range - a condition that MAY indicate large orders being filled but is not confirmation of actual institutional participation.
When it identifies a "stop hunt," it means price briefly penetrated a structural level then reversed - a pattern that MAY have triggered stop losses but is not confirmation that stops were specifically targeted.
When it identifies "exhaustion," it means high volume with large rejection wicks - a pattern that MAY indicate aggressive participation meeting strong opposition but is not confirmation of institutional involvement.
These are technical analysis interpretations, not factual statements about market participant identity or intent.
DISCLAIMER AND RISK WARNING
EDUCATIONAL PURPOSE ONLY
This indicator is designed as an educational tool to help traders learn to recognize technical patterns, understand multi-factor analysis, and practice systematic market observation. It is NOT a trading system, signal service, or financial advice.
NO PERFORMANCE GUARANTEE
Past pattern behavior does not guarantee future results. A pattern that historically preceded price movement in one direction may fail in the future due to changing market conditions, fundamental events, or random variance. Confluence scores reflect historical technical alignment, not future certainty.
TRADING INVOLVES SUBSTANTIAL RISK
Trading financial instruments involves substantial risk of loss. You can lose more than your initial investment. Never trade with money you cannot afford to lose. Always use proper risk management including stop losses, position sizing, and portfolio diversification.
NO PREDICTIVE CLAIMS
This indicator does NOT predict future price movement. It identifies when technical conditions align in patterns that historically have been associated with potential reversals or continuations. Market behavior is probabilistic, not deterministic.
BACKTESTING LIMITATIONS
If you backtest trading strategies using this indicator, ensure you account for:
Realistic commission costs
Realistic slippage (difference between signal price and actual fill price)
Sufficient sample size (minimum 100 trades for statistical relevance)
Reasonable position sizing (risking no more than 1-2 percent of account per trade)
The confirmation delay inherent in the indicator (you cannot enter at the exact pivot in Confirmed mode)
Backtests that do not account for these factors will produce unrealistic results.
AUTHOR LIABILITY
The author (BullByte) is not responsible for any trading losses incurred using this indicator. By using this indicator, you acknowledge that all trading decisions are your sole responsibility and that you understand the risks involved.
NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE
Nothing in this indicator, its code, its description, or its visual outputs constitutes financial, investment, or trading advice. Consult a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions.
FREQUENTLY ASKED QUESTIONS
Q: Why do signals appear in the past, not at the current bar
A: In Confirmed and Relaxed modes, signals appear at confirmed pivots, which requires waiting for right-side confirmation bars (default 3). This creates a delay but prevents repainting. Use Real-time mode if you want current-bar signals without pivot confirmation.
Q: Can I use this for automated trading
A: You can create alert-based automation, but understand that Confirmed mode signals appear AFTER the pivot with delay, so your entry will not be at the pivot price. Real-time mode signals can change as the current bar develops. Automation requires careful consideration of these factors.
Q: How do I know which confluence score to use
A: Start with 60. Observe which patterns work on your symbol/timeframe. If too many false signals, increase to 70-75. If too few signals, decrease to 55. Quality vs. quantity tradeoff.
Q: Do regular divergences mean I should enter a reversal trade immediately
A: No. Regular divergences indicate momentum exhaustion, which is a WARNING sign that trend may reverse, not a confirmation that it will. Use confluence score, market context, support/resistance, and your strategy rules to make entry decisions. Many divergences fail.
Q: What's the difference between regular and hidden divergence
A: Regular divergence = price and momentum move in opposite directions at extremes = potential reversal signal. Hidden divergence = price and momentum move in opposite directions during pullbacks = potential continuation signal. Hidden divergence suggests the pullback is just a correction within the larger trend.
Q: Why does the pressure zone color sometimes conflict with the divergence direction
A: Pressure is real-time current bar analysis. Divergence is confirmed pivot analysis from the past. They measure different things at different times. A bullish divergence confirmed 3 bars ago might appear during current selling pressure. This is normal.
Q: Can I use this on stocks without volume data
A: No. Volume is required for pressure analysis and behavioral pattern detection. Use only on assets with reliable volume reporting.
Q: How often should I expect signals
A: Depends on timeframe and settings. Daily charts might produce 5-10 signals per month. 1-hour charts might produce 20-30. 15-minute charts might produce 50-100. Adjust confluence threshold to control frequency.
Q: Can I modify the code
A: Yes, this is open source. You can modify for personal use. If you publish a modified version, please credit the original and ensure your publication meets TradingView guidelines.
Q: What if I disagree with a pattern's confluence score
A: The scoring weights are based on general observations and may not suit your specific strategy or asset. You can modify the code to adjust weights if you have data-driven reasons to do so.
Final Notes
VMDM - Volume, Momentum and Divergence Master is an educational multi-layer market analysis system designed to teach systematic pattern recognition through transparent, confluence-weighted signal detection. By combining RSI momentum divergence, volume pressure quantification, behavioral footprint pattern recognition, and quality scoring into a unified framework, it provides a comprehensive learning environment for understanding market structure.
Use this tool to develop your analytical skills, understand how multiple technical factors interact, and learn to distinguish high-quality setups from noise. Remember that technical analysis is probabilistic, not predictive. No indicator replaces proper education, risk management, and trading discipline.
Trade responsibly. Learn continuously. Risk only what you can afford to lose.
-BullByte
Per Bak Self-Organized CriticalityTL;DR: This indicator measures market fragility. It measures the system's vulnerability to cascade failures and phase transitions. I've added four independent stress vectors: tail risk, volatility regime, credit stress, and positioning extremes. This allows us to quantify how susceptible markets are to disproportionate moves from small shocks, similar to how a steep sandpile is primed for avalanches.
Avalanches, forest fires, earthquakes, pandemic outbreaks, and market crashes. What do they all have in common? They are not random.
These events follow power laws - stable systems that naturally evolve toward critical states where small triggers can unleash catastrophic cascades.
For example, if you are building a sandpile, there will be a point with a little bit additional sand will cause a landslide.
Markets build fragility grain by grain, like a sandpile approaching avalanche.
The Per Bak Self-Organized Criticality (SOC) indicator detects when the markets are a few grains away from collapse.
This indicator is highly inspired by the work of Per Bak related to the science of self-organized criticality .
As Bak said:
"The earthquake does not 'know how large it will become'. Thus, any precursor state of a large event is essentially identical to a precursor state of a small event."
For markets, this means:
We cannot predict individual crash size from initial conditions
We can predict statistical distribution of crashes
We can identify periods of increased systemic risk (proximity to critical state)
BTW, this is a forwarding looking indicator and doesn't reprint. :)
The Story of Per Bak
In 1987, Danish physicist Per Bak and his colleagues discovered an important pattern in nature: self-organized criticality.
Their sandpile experiment revealed something: drop grains of sand one by one onto a pile, and the system naturally evolves toward a critical state. Most grains cause nothing. Some trigger small slides. But occasionally a single grain triggers a massive avalanche.
The key insight is that we cannot predict which grain will trigger the avalanche, but you can measure when the pile has reached a critical state.
Why Markets Are the Ultimate SOC System?
Financial markets exhibit all the hallmarks of self-organized criticality:
Interconnected agents (traders, institutions, algorithms) with feedback loops
Non-linear interactions where small events can cascade through the system
Power-law distributions of returns (fat tails, not normal distributions)
Natural evolution toward fragility as leverage builds, correlations tighten, and positioning crowds
Phase transitions where calm markets suddenly shift to crisis regimes
Mathematical Foundation
Power Law Distributions
Traditional finance assumes returns follow a normal distribution. "Markets return 10% on average." But I disagree. Markets follow power laws:
P(x) ∝ x^(-α)
Where P(x) is the probability of an event of size x, and α is the power law exponent (typically 3-4 for financial markets).
What this means: Small moves happen constantly. Medium moves are less frequent. Catastrophic moves are rare but follow predictable probability distributions. The "fat tails" are features of critical systems.
Critical Slowing Down
As systems approach phase transitions, they exhibit critical slowing down—reduced ability to absorb shocks. Mathematically, this appears as:
τ ∝ |T - T_c|^(-ν)
Where τ is the relaxation time, T is the current state, T_c is the critical threshold, and ν is the critical exponent.
Translation: Near criticality, markets take longer to recover from perturbations. Fragility compounds.
Component Aggregation & Non-Linear Emergence
The Per Bak SOC our index aggregates four normalized components (each scaled 0-100) with tunable weights:
SOC = w₁·C_tail + w₂·C_vol + w₃·C_credit + w₄·C_position
Default weights (you can change this):
w₁ = 0.34 (Tail Risk via SKEW)
w₂ = 0.26 (Volatility Regime via VIX term structure)
w₃ = 0.18 (Credit Stress via HYG/LQD + TED spread)
w₄ = 0.22 (Positioning Extremes via Put/Call ratio)
Each component uses percentile ranking over a 252-day lookback combined with absolute thresholds to capture both relative regime shifts and extreme absolute levels.
The Four Pillars Explained
1. Tail Risk (SKEW Index)
Measures options market pricing of fat-tail events. High SKEW indicates elevated outlier probability.
C_tail = 0.7·percentrank(SKEW, 252) + 0.3·((SKEW - 115)/0.5)
2. Volatility Regime (VIX Term Structure)
Combines VIX level with term structure slope. Backwardation signals acute stress.
C_vol = 0.4·VIX_level + 0.35·VIX_slope + 0.25·VIX_ratio
3. Credit Stress (HYG/LQD + TED Spread)
Tracks high-yield deterioration versus investment-grade and interbank lending stress.
C_credit = 0.65·percentrank(LQD/HYG, 252) + 0.35·(TED/0.75)·100
4. Positioning Extremes (Put/Call Ratio)
Detects extreme hedging demand through percentile ranking and z-score analysis.
C_position = 0.6·percentrank(P/C, 252) + 0.4·zscore_normalized
What the Indicator Really Measures?
Not Volatility but Fragility
Markets Going Down ≠ Fragility Building (actually when markets go down, risk and fragility are released)
The 0-100 Scale & Regime Thresholds
The indicator outputs a 0-100 fragility score with four regimes:
🟢 Safe (0-39): System resilient, can absorb normal shocks
🟡 Building (40-54): Early fragility signs, watch for deterioration
🟠 Elevated (55-69): System vulnerable
🔴 Critical (70-100): Highly susceptible to cascade failures
Further Reading for Nerds
Bak, P., Tang, C., & Wiesenfeld, K. (1987). "Self-organized criticality: An explanation of 1/f noise." Physical Review Letters.
Bak, P. & Chen, K. (1991). "Self-organized criticality." Scientific American.
Bak, P. (1996). How Nature Works: The Science of Self-Organized Criticality. Copernicus.
Feedback is appreciated :)
BTC Price Prediction Model [Global PMI]V2🇺🇸 English Guide
1. Introduction
This indicator was created by GW Capital using Gemini Vibe Coding technology. It leverages advanced AI coding capabilities to reconstruct complex macroeconomic models into actionable trading tools.
2. Credits
Special thanks to the original model author, Marty Kendall. His research into the correlation between Bitcoin's price and macroeconomic factors lays the foundation for this algorithm.
3. Model Principles & Formula
This model calculates the "Fair Value" of Bitcoin based on four key macroeconomic pillars. It assumes that Bitcoin's price is a function of Global Liquidity, Network Security, Risk Appetite, and the Economic Cycle.
💡 Unique Insight: PMI & The 4-Year Cycle
A key distinguishing feature of this model is the hypothesis that Bitcoin's famous "4-Year Halving Cycle" may be intrinsically linked to the Global Business Cycle (PMI), rather than just supply shocks.
Therefore, the model incorporates PMI as a valuation "Amplifier".
Note: Due to TradingView data limitations, US PMI is currently used as the proxy for the global cycle.
The Formula
$$\ln(BTC) = \alpha + (1 + \beta \cdot PMI_{z}) \times $$
Global Liquidity (M2): Sum of M2 supply from US, China, Eurozone, and Japan (converted to USD). Represents the pool of fiat money available to flow into assets.
Network Security (Hashrate): Bitcoin's hashrate, representing the physical security and utility of the network.
Risk Appetite (S&P 500): Used as a proxy for global risk sentiment.
Economic Cycle (PMI Z-Score): US Manufacturing PMI is used to amplify or dampen the valuation based on where we are in the business cycle (Expansion vs. Contraction).
4. How to Use
The indicator plots the Fair Value (White Line) and four sentiment bands based on statistical deviation (Z-Score).
Sentiment Zones
🚨 Extreme Greed (Red Zone): Price > +0.3 StdDev. Historically indicates a market top or overheated sentiment.
⚠️ Greed (Orange Zone): Price > +0.15 StdDev. Bullish momentum is strong but caution is advised.
⚖️ Fair Value (White Line): The theoretical "correct" price based on macro data.
😨 Fear (Teal Zone): Price < -0.15 StdDev. Undervalued territory.
💎 Extreme Fear (Green Zone): Price < -0.3 StdDev. Historically a generational buying opportunity.
Sentiment Score (0-100)
100: Maximum Greed (Top)
50: Fair Value
0: Maximum Fear (Bottom)
5. Usage Recommendations
Timeframe: Daily (1D) or Weekly (1W) ONLY.
Reason: The underlying data sources (M2, PMI) are updated monthly. The S&P 500 and Hashrate are daily. Using this indicator on intraday charts (e.g., 15m, 1h, 4h) adds no value because the fundamental data does not change that fast.
Long-Term View: This is a macro-cycle indicator designed for identifying cycle tops and bottoms over months and years, not for day trading.
6. Disclaimer
This indicator is for educational and informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice. The model relies on historical correlations which may not hold true in the future. All trading involves risk. GW Capital and the creators assume no responsibility for any trading losses.
7. Support Us ❤️
If you find this indicator useful, please Boost 👍, Comment, and add it to your Favorites! Your support keeps us going.
🇨🇳 中文说明 (Chinese Version)
1. 简介
本指标由 GW Capital 使用 Gemini Vibe Coding 技术制作。利用先进的 AI 编程能力，将复杂的宏观经济模型重构为可执行的交易工具。
2. 致谢
特别感谢模型原作者 Marty Kendall。他对这一算法的研究奠定了基础，揭示了比特币价格与宏观经济因素之间的深层联系。
3. 模型原理与公式
该模型基于四大宏观经济支柱计算比特币的“公允价值”。它假设比特币的价格是全球流动性、网络安全性、风险偏好和经济周期的函数。
💡 独家洞察：PMI 与 4年周期
本模型的一个核心独特之处在于：我们认为比特币著名的“4年减半周期”背后的真正驱动力，可能与全球商业周期 (PMI) 高度同步，而不仅仅是供应减半。
因此，模型特别引入 PMI 作为估值的“放大器” (Amplifier)。
注：由于 TradingView 数据源限制，目前采用历史数据最详尽的美国 PMI 作为全球周期的代理指标。
模型公式
$$\ln(BTC) = \alpha + (1 + \beta \cdot PMI_{z}) \times $$
全球流动性 (M2): 美、中、欧、日四大经济体的 M2 总量（折算为美元）。代表可流入资产的法币资金池。
网络安全性 (Hashrate): 比特币全网算力，代表网络的物理安全性和实用价值。
风险偏好 (S&P 500): 作为全球风险情绪的代理指标。
经济周期 (PMI Z-Score): 美国制造业 PMI 用于根据商业周期（扩张 vs 收缩）来放大或抑制估值。
4. 指标用法
指标会在图表上绘制 公允价值 (白线) 以及基于统计偏差 (Z-Score) 的四条情绪带。
情绪区间
🚨 极度贪婪 (红色区域): 价格 > +0.3 标准差。历史上通常预示市场顶部或情绪过热。
⚠️ 一般贪婪 (橙色区域): 价格 > +0.15 标准差。多头动能强劲，但需谨慎。
⚖️ 公允价值 (白线): 基于宏观数据的理论“正确”价格。
😨 一般恐惧 (青色区域): 价格 < -0.15 标准差。进入低估区域。
💎 极度恐惧 (绿色区域): 价格 < -0.3 标准差。历史上通常是代际级别的买入机会。
情绪评分 (0-100)
100: 极度贪婪 (顶部)
50: 公允价值
0: 极度恐惧 (底部)
5. 使用建议
周期: 仅限日线 (1D) 或周线 (1W)。
原因: 底层数据源（M2, PMI）是月度更新的。标普500和算力是日度更新的。在日内图表（如15分钟、1小时、4小时）上使用此指标没有任何意义，因为基本面数据不会变化得那么快。
长期视角: 这是一个宏观周期指标，旨在识别数月甚至数年的周期顶部和底部，而非用于日内交易。
6. 免责声明
本指标仅供教育和参考使用，不构成任何财务建议。该模型依赖于历史相关性，未来可能不再适用。所有交易均涉及风险。GW Capital 及制作者不对任何交易损失承担责任。
BTC Price Prediction Model [Global PMI]🇨🇳 中文说明 (Chinese Version)
1. 简介
本指标由 GW Capital 使用 Gemini Vibe Coding 技术制作。利用先进的 AI 编程能力，将复杂的宏观经济模型重构为可执行的交易工具。
2. 致谢
特别感谢模型原作者 Marty Kendall。他对这一算法的研究奠定了基础，揭示了比特币价格与宏观经济因素之间的深层联系。
3. 模型原理与公式
该模型基于四大宏观经济支柱计算比特币的“公允价值”。它假设比特币的价格是全球流动性、网络安全性、风险偏好和经济周期的函数。
模型公式
$$\ln(BTC) = \alpha + (1 + \beta \cdot PMI_{z}) \times $$
全球流动性 (M2): 美、中、欧、日四大经济体的 M2 总量（折算为美元）。代表可流入资产的法币资金池。
网络安全性 (Hashrate): 比特币全网算力，代表网络的物理安全性和实用价值。
风险偏好 (S&P 500): 作为全球风险情绪的代理指标。
经济周期 (PMI Z-Score): 美国制造业 PMI 用于根据商业周期（扩张 vs 收缩）来放大或抑制估值。
4. 指标用法
指标会在图表上绘制 公允价值 (白线) 以及基于统计偏差 (Z-Score) 的四条情绪带。
情绪区间
🚨 极度贪婪 (红色区域): 价格 > +0.3 标准差。历史上通常预示市场顶部或情绪过热。
⚠️ 一般贪婪 (橙色区域): 价格 > +0.15 标准差。多头动能强劲，但需谨慎。
⚖️ 公允价值 (白线): 基于宏观数据的理论“正确”价格。
😨 一般恐惧 (青色区域): 价格 < -0.15 标准差。进入低估区域。
💎 极度恐惧 (绿色区域): 价格 < -0.3 标准差。历史上通常是代际级别的买入机会。
情绪评分 (0-100)
100: 极度贪婪 (顶部)
50: 公允价值
0: 极度恐惧 (底部)
5. 使用建议
周期: 仅限日线 (1D) 或周线 (1W)。
原因: 底层数据源（M2, PMI）是月度更新的。标普500和算力是日度更新的。在日内图表（如15分钟、1小时、4小时）上使用此指标没有任何意义，因为基本面数据不会变化得那么快。
长期视角: 这是一个宏观周期指标，旨在识别数月甚至数年的周期顶部和底部，而非用于日内交易。
6. 免责声明
本指标仅供教育和参考使用，不构成任何财务建议。该模型依赖于历史相关性，未来可能不再适用。所有交易均涉及风险。GW Capital 及制作者不对任何交易损失承担责任。
🇺🇸 English Guide (英文说明)
1. Introduction
This indicator was created by GW Capital using Gemini Vibe Coding technology. It leverages advanced AI coding capabilities to reconstruct complex macroeconomic models into actionable trading tools.
2. Credits
Special thanks to the original model author, Marty Kendall. His research into the correlation between Bitcoin's price and macroeconomic factors lays the foundation for this algorithm.
3. Model Principles & Formula
This model calculates the "Fair Value" of Bitcoin based on four key macroeconomic pillars. It assumes that Bitcoin's price is a function of Global Liquidity, Network Security, Risk Appetite, and the Economic Cycle.
The Formula
$$\ln(BTC) = \alpha + (1 + \beta \cdot PMI_{z}) \times $$
Global Liquidity (M2): Sum of M2 supply from US, China, Eurozone, and Japan (converted to USD). Represents the pool of fiat money available to flow into assets.
Network Security (Hashrate): Bitcoin's hashrate, representing the physical security and utility of the network.
Risk Appetite (S&P 500): Used as a proxy for global risk sentiment.
Economic Cycle (PMI Z-Score): US Manufacturing PMI is used to amplify or dampen the valuation based on where we are in the business cycle (Expansion vs. Contraction).
4. How to Use
The indicator plots the Fair Value (White Line) and four sentiment bands based on statistical deviation (Z-Score).
Sentiment Zones
🚨 Extreme Greed (Red Zone): Price > +0.3 StdDev. Historically indicates a market top or overheated sentiment.
⚠️ Greed (Orange Zone): Price > +0.15 StdDev. Bullish momentum is strong but caution is advised.
⚖️ Fair Value (White Line): The theoretical "correct" price based on macro data.
😨 Fear (Teal Zone): Price < -0.15 StdDev. Undervalued territory.
💎 Extreme Fear (Green Zone): Price < -0.3 StdDev. Historically a generational buying opportunity.
Sentiment Score (0-100)
100: Maximum Greed (Top)
50: Fair Value
0: Maximum Fear (Bottom)
5. Usage Recommendations
Timeframe: Daily (1D) or Weekly (1W) ONLY.
Reason: The underlying data sources (M2, PMI) are updated monthly. The S&P 500 and Hashrate are daily. Using this indicator on intraday charts (e.g., 15m, 1h, 4h) adds no value because the fundamental data does not change that fast.
Long-Term View: This is a macro-cycle indicator designed for identifying cycle tops and bottoms over months and years, not for day trading.
6. Disclaimer
This indicator is for educational and informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice. The model relies on historical correlations which may not hold true in the future. All trading involves risk. GW Capital and the creators assume no responsibility for any trading losses.
Fibonacci Projection with Volume & Delta Profile (Zeiierman)█ Overview
Fibonacci Projection with Volume & Delta Profile (Zeiierman) blends classic Fibonacci swing analysis with modern volume-flow reading to create a unified, projection-based market framework. The indicator automatically detects the latest swing high and swing low, builds a complete Fibonacci structure, and then projects future extension targets with clear visual pathways.
What makes this tool unique is the integration of two volume-based systems directly into the Fibonacci structure. A Fib-aligned Volume Profile shows how bullish and bearish volume accumulated inside the swing range, while a separate Delta Profile reveals the imbalance of buy–sell pressure inside each Fibonacci interval. Together, these elements transform the standard Fibonacci tool into a multi-dimensional structural and volume-flow map.
█ How It Works
The indicator first detects the most recent swing high and swing low using the Period setting. That swing defines the Fibonacci range, from which the script draws retracement levels (0.236–0.786) and builds a forward projection path using the chosen Projection Level and a 1.272 extension.
Along this path, it draws projection lines, target boxes, and percentage labels that show how far each projected leg extends relative to the previous one.
Inside the same swing range, the script builds a Fib-based Volume Profile by splitting price into rows and assigning each bar’s volume as bullish (close > open) or bearish (close ≤ open). On top of that, it calculates a Volume Delta Profile between each pair of fib levels, showing whether buyers or sellers dominated that band and how strong that imbalance was.
█ How to Use
This tool helps traders quickly understand market structure and where the price may be heading next. The projection engine shows the most likely future targets, highlights strong or weak legs in the move, and updates automatically whenever a new swing forms. This ensures you always see the most relevant and up-to-date projection path.
The Fib Volume Profile shows where volume supported the move and where it did not. Thick bullish buckets reveal zones where buyers stepped in aggressively, often becoming retestable support. Thick bearish buckets highlight zones of resistance or rejection, particularly useful if projected levels align with prior liquidity.
The Delta Profile adds a second dimension to volume reading by showing where buy–sell pressure was truly imbalanced. A projected Fibonacci target that aligns with a strong bullish delta, for example, may suggest continuation. A projection into a band dominated by bearish delta may warn of reversal or hesitation.
█ Settings
Period – bars used to determine swing high/low
Projection Level – chosen Fib ratio for projection path
-----------------
Disclaimer
The content provided in my scripts, indicators, ideas, algorithms, and systems is for educational and informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice, investment recommendations, or a solicitation to buy or sell any financial instruments. I will not accept liability for any loss or damage, including without limitation any loss of profit, which may arise directly or indirectly from the use of or reliance on such information.
All investments involve risk, and the past performance of a security, industry, sector, market, financial product, trading strategy, backtest, or individual's trading does not guarantee future results or returns. Investors are fully responsible for any investment decisions they make. Such decisions should be based solely on an evaluation of their financial circumstances, investment objectives, risk tolerance, and liquidity needs.
Relative Volume EMA (RVOL)Relative Volume EMA (RVOL) measures the current bar’s volume relative to its typical volume over a selected lookback period.
It helps traders identify whether a price move is supported by real participation or if it’s occurring on weak, low-quality volume.
This version uses:
RVOL = Current Volume ÷ Volume EMA
Volume EMA Length: adjustable
Signal Threshold: a customizable horizontal line (default = 1.2)
How to Use
1. RVOL > 1.2 → High-Quality Momentum
A value above 1.2 indicates that the current bar has at least 20% more volume than normal, suggesting:
Strong conviction
Algorithmic activity
Momentum-backed breakout or breakdown
Higher probability trend continuation
These bars are ideal for confirming entries after a technical setup (e.g., pullback, engulfing pattern, Ichimoku trend confirmation, etc.).
2. RVOL < 1.0 → Weak or Low-Quality Move
When RVOL is below 1.0:
Volume is below average
Moves are more likely to fail or reverse
Breakouts are unreliable
Triggers lack institutional participation
These bars are best avoided for trade entries.
Why This Indicator Is Useful
In many strategies, price alone is not enough.
RVOL acts as a filter to ensure that your signals occur during times when the market is actually active and committed.
Typical use cases:
Confirm trend-following entries
Validate pullbacks and breakout candles
Filter out low-volume chop
Identify session-based volume surges
Improve risk-to-reward quality by entering only during true momentum
Recommended Settings
EMA Length: 20
Threshold Line: 1.2
Works well on Forex, Crypto, and Indices
Best used on 15m, 30m, 1H, and 4H charts
@Aladdin's Trading Web – Command CenterThe indicator uses standard Pine Script functionality including z-score normalization, standard deviation calculations, percentage change measurements, and request.security calls for multiple predefined symbols. There are no proprietary algorithms, external data feeds, or restricted calculation methods that would require protecting the source code.
Description:
The @Aladdin's Trading Web – Command Center indicator provides a composite market regime assessment through a weighted combination of multiple intermarket relationships. The indicator calculates normalized z-scores across several key market components including banks, volatility, the US dollar, credit spreads, interest rates, and alternative assets.
Each component is standardized using z-score methodology over a user-defined lookback period and combined according to configurable weighting parameters. The resulting composite measure provides a normalized assessment of the prevailing market environment, with the option to invert rate relationships for specific market regime conditions.
The indicator focuses on capturing the synchronized behavior across these interconnected market segments to provide a unified view of systemic market conditions.
RSI Forecast Colorful [DiFlip]RSI Forecast Colorful
Introducing one of the most complete RSI indicators available — a highly customizable analytical tool that integrates advanced prediction capabilities. RSI Forecast Colorful is an evolution of the classic RSI, designed to anticipate potential future RSI movements using linear regression. Instead of simply reacting to historical data, this indicator provides a statistical projection of the RSI’s future behavior, offering a forward-looking view of market conditions.
⯁ Real-Time RSI Forecasting
For the first time, a public RSI indicator integrates linear regression (least squares method) to forecast the RSI’s future behavior. This innovative approach allows traders to anticipate market movements based on historical trends. By applying Linear Regression to the RSI, the indicator displays a projected trendline n periods ahead, helping traders make more informed buy or sell decisions.
⯁ Highly Customizable
The indicator is fully adaptable to any trading style. Dozens of parameters can be optimized to match your system. All 28 long and short entry conditions are selectable and configurable, allowing the construction of quantitative, statistical, and automated trading models. Full control over signals ensures precise alignment with your strategy.
⯁ Innovative and Science-Based
This is the first public RSI indicator to apply least-squares predictive modeling to RSI calculations. Technically, it incorporates machine-learning logic into a classic indicator. Using Linear Regression embeds strong statistical foundations into RSI forecasting, making this tool especially valuable for traders seeking quantitative and analytical advantages.
⯁ Scientific Foundation: Linear Regression
Linear regression is a fundamental statistical method that models the relationship between a dependent variable y and one or more independent variables x. The general formula for simple linear regression is:
y = β₀ + β₁x + ε
where:
y = predicted variable (e.g., future RSI value)
x = explanatory variable (e.g., bar index or time)
β₀ = intercept (value of y when x = 0)
β₁ = slope (rate of change of y relative to x)
ε = random error term
The goal is to estimate β₀ and β₁ by minimizing the sum of squared errors. This is achieved using the least squares method, ensuring the best linear fit to historical data. Once the coefficients are calculated, the model extends the regression line forward, generating the RSI projection based on recent trends.
⯁ Least Squares Estimation
To minimize the error between predicted and observed values, we use the formulas:
β₁ = Σ((xᵢ - x̄)(yᵢ - ȳ)) / Σ((xᵢ - x̄)²)
β₀ = ȳ - β₁x̄
Σ denotes summation; x̄ and ȳ are the means of x and y; and i ranges from 1 to n (number of observations). These equations produce the best linear unbiased estimator under the Gauss–Markov assumptions — constant variance (homoscedasticity) and a linear relationship between variables.
⯁ Linear Regression in Machine Learning
Linear regression is a foundational component of supervised learning. Its simplicity and precision in numerical prediction make it essential in AI, predictive algorithms, and time-series forecasting. Applying regression to RSI is akin to embedding artificial intelligence inside a classic indicator, adding a new analytical dimension.
⯁ Visual Interpretation
Imagine a time series of RSI values like this:
Time →
RSI →
The regression line smooths these historical values and projects itself n periods forward, creating a predictive trajectory. This projected RSI line can cross the actual RSI, generating sophisticated entry and exit signals. In summary, the RSI Forecast Colorful indicator provides both the current RSI and the forecasted RSI, allowing comparison between past and future trend behavior.
⯁ Summary of Scientific Concepts Used
Linear Regression: Models relationships between variables using a straight line.
Least Squares: Minimizes squared prediction errors for optimal fit.
Time-Series Forecasting: Predicts future values from historical patterns.
Supervised Learning: Predictive modeling based on known output values.
Statistical Smoothing: Reduces noise to highlight underlying trends.
⯁ Why This Indicator Is Revolutionary
Scientifically grounded: Built on statistical and mathematical theory.
First of its kind: The first public RSI with least-squares predictive modeling.
Intelligent: Incorporates machine-learning logic into RSI interpretation.
Forward-looking: Generates predictive, not just reactive, signals.
Customizable: Exceptionally flexible for any strategic framework.
⯁ Conclusion
By combining RSI and linear regression, the RSI Forecast Colorful allows traders to predict market momentum rather than simply follow it. It's not just another indicator: it's a scientific advancement in technical analysis technology. Offering 28 configurable entry conditions and advanced signals, this open-source indicator paves the way for innovative quantitative systems.
⯁ Example of simple linear regression with one independent variable
This example demonstrates how a basic linear regression works when there is only one independent variable influencing the dependent variable. This type of model is used to identify a direct relationship between two variables.
⯁ In linear regression, observations (red) are considered the result of random deviations (green) from an underlying relationship (blue) between a dependent variable (y) and an independent variable (x)
This concept illustrates that sampled data points rarely align perfectly with the true trend line. Instead, each observed point represents the combination of the true underlying relationship and a random error component.
⯁ Visualizing heteroscedasticity in a scatterplot with 100 random fitted values using Matlab
Heteroscedasticity occurs when the variance of the errors is not constant across the range of fitted values. This visualization highlights how the spread of data can change unpredictably, which is an important factor in evaluating the validity of regression models.
⯁ The datasets in Anscombe’s quartet were designed to have nearly the same linear regression line (as well as nearly identical means, standard deviations, and correlations) but look very different when plotted
This classic example shows that summary statistics alone can be misleading. Even with identical numerical metrics, the datasets display completely different patterns, emphasizing the importance of visual inspection when interpreting a model.
⯁ Result of fitting a set of data points with a quadratic function
This example illustrates how a second-degree polynomial model can better fit certain datasets that do not follow a linear trend. The resulting curve reflects the true shape of the data more accurately than a straight line.
⯁ What Is RSI?
The RSI (Relative Strength Index) is a technical indicator developed by J. Welles Wilder. It measures the velocity and magnitude of recent price movements to identify overbought and oversold conditions. The RSI ranges from 0 to 100 and is commonly used to identify potential reversals and evaluate trend strength.
⯁ How RSI Works
RSI is calculated from average gains and losses over a set period (commonly 14 bars) and plotted on a 0–100 scale. It consists of three key zones:
Overbought: RSI above 70 may signal an overbought market.
Oversold: RSI below 30 may signal an oversold market.
Neutral Zone: RSI between 30 and 70, indicating no extreme condition.
These zones help identify potential price reversals and confirm trend strength.
⯁ Entry Conditions
All conditions below are fully customizable and allow detailed control over entry signal creation.
📈 BUY
🧲 Signal Validity: Signal remains valid for X bars.
🧲 Signal Logic: Configurable using AND or OR.
🧲 RSI > Upper
🧲 RSI < Upper
🧲 RSI > Lower
🧲 RSI < Lower
🧲 RSI > Middle
🧲 RSI < Middle
🧲 RSI > MA
🧲 RSI < MA
🧲 MA > Upper
🧲 MA < Upper
🧲 MA > Lower
🧲 MA < Lower
🧲 RSI (Crossover) Upper
🧲 RSI (Crossunder) Upper
🧲 RSI (Crossover) Lower
🧲 RSI (Crossunder) Lower
🧲 RSI (Crossover) Middle
🧲 RSI (Crossunder) Middle
🧲 RSI (Crossover) MA
🧲 RSI (Crossunder) MA
🧲 MA (Crossover)Upper
🧲 MA (Crossunder)Upper
🧲 MA (Crossover) Lower
🧲 MA (Crossunder) Lower
🧲 RSI Bullish Divergence
🧲 RSI Bearish Divergence
🔮 RSI (Crossover) Forecast MA
🔮 RSI (Crossunder) Forecast MA
📉 SELL
🧲 Signal Validity: Signal remains valid for X bars.
🧲 Signal Logic: Configurable using AND or OR.
🧲 RSI > Upper
🧲 RSI < Upper
🧲 RSI > Lower
🧲 RSI < Lower
🧲 RSI > Middle
🧲 RSI < Middle
🧲 RSI > MA
🧲 RSI < MA
🧲 MA > Upper
🧲 MA < Upper
🧲 MA > Lower
🧲 MA < Lower
🧲 RSI (Crossover) Upper
🧲 RSI (Crossunder) Upper
🧲 RSI (Crossover) Lower
🧲 RSI (Crossunder) Lower
🧲 RSI (Crossover) Middle
🧲 RSI (Crossunder) Middle
🧲 RSI (Crossover) MA
🧲 RSI (Crossunder) MA
🧲 MA (Crossover)Upper
🧲 MA (Crossunder)Upper
🧲 MA (Crossover) Lower
🧲 MA (Crossunder) Lower
🧲 RSI Bullish Divergence
🧲 RSI Bearish Divergence
🔮 RSI (Crossover) Forecast MA
🔮 RSI (Crossunder) Forecast MA
🤖 Automation
All BUY and SELL conditions can be automated using TradingView alerts. Every configurable condition can trigger alerts suitable for fully automated or semi-automated strategies.
⯁ Unique Features
Linear Regression Forecast
Signal Validity: Keep signals active for X bars
Signal Logic: AND/OR configuration
Condition Table: BUY/SELL
Condition Labels: BUY/SELL
Chart Labels: BUY/SELL markers above price
Automation & Alerts: BUY/SELL
Background Colors: bgcolor
Fill Colors: fill
Linear Regression Forecast
Signal Validity: Keep signals active for X bars
Signal Logic: AND/OR configuration
Condition Table: BUY/SELL
Condition Labels: BUY/SELL
Chart Labels: BUY/SELL markers above price
Automation & Alerts: BUY/SELL
Background Colors: bgcolor
Fill Colors: fill
Elliott Wave — HYBRID BEAST MODE⭐ Elliott Wave — HYBRID BEAST MODE
Description (Copy/Paste for Publishing)
Elliott Wave — HYBRID BEAST MODE is an advanced, automated Elliott Wave detection engine that blends classical wave theory with modern algorithmic logic. This tool identifies impulsive waves, corrective structures, wave-strength conditions, and volume-enhanced Wave 3 confirmations — all while automatically adapting to any timeframe.
This script uses a hybrid approach:
• Elliott Oscillator (5/35 MA difference)
• Pivot-based wave structure detection
• Automated wave spacing (dynamic by timeframe)
• Fibonacci projection mapping
• Wave channels & structure geometry
• Dashboard for quick-read market conditions
• Automatic alerts for Wave 3, Wave 5, and corrective waves
Key Features
✔ Auto Wave Detection using pivot geometry and spacing logic
✔ Elliott Oscillator histogram for momentum confirmation
✔ Wave Labels (1–5, A–B–C) with intelligent spacing
✔ Adaptive Timeframe System that recalculates wave spacing automatically
✔ Wave 3 Strength Logic using your custom volume multiplier
✔ Fibonacci Levels for projection and confirmation
✔ Wave Channels for structure alignment
✔ Built-In Alerts for key high-probability moments
✔ Designed for 4H / Daily, but optimized for all timeframes
Use Cases
• Identifying impulsive wave cycles
• Confirming corrections & retracements
• Determining trend exhaustion
• Timing Wave 3 and Wave 5 extensions
• Integrating wave theory with oscillator momentum
This is a full Elliott Wave toolbox packed into one script — ideal for traders who want automatic structure detection without the subjectivity of manual wave counting.
