XTZ trading strategy for Bear monthsThis is my 3rd approach into trading XTZ. It is tuned into bear months and needs to work for at least 30 days.
It looks at the rebalance oscillator and bear market indicator and tries to find a position in the market that does not lose money within the month.
Use the cog icon to update the trading window to fit previous months, and check out the data window for its real performance. Do not rely on the Strategy Tester since this strategy is performing only with `strategy.order` making the values of the Strategy Tester irrelevant and inconsistent with its performance.
Recherche dans les scripts pour "bear"
Rebalance as a Bear/Bull indicatorCheck if the current market has a Bear tendency or a Bull tendency.
Bear areas are marked as red squares going down from 0.
Bull areas are marked as green squares going up from 0.
Buying/Selling windows of opportunity
On top of the Bear/Bull squares, this indicator tries to show you the windows where to look for good buying/selling opportunities.
These are marked as full columns:
Blue columns represent a window to look out for good buying opportunities
Pink columns represent a window to look out for good selling opportunities
How is this possible?
This is an indicator of a simple idea to check if the market has a Bear or Bull tendency:
1. Start with a virtual portfolio of 60/40 tokens per fiat.
2. Rebalance it when its ratio oscillates by a given % (first input)
3. Count the number of times the rebalancer buys, and sells
4. When the number of buys is greater than the number of sells => the market is going down
5. When the number of sells is greater than the number of buys => the market is going up
This is shown as the "Bear/Bull Strength" squares (red when bear, green when bull)
An extra rebalancer is also kept that works at each bar (regardless of the input %).
This is used to calculate an amount of tokens beying sold/bought and used as a "market force" coefficient.
Another extra: based on both the bear/bull strengh and market force an attempt is made to
provide good buying/selling windows of analysis.
The blue background is a buying opportunity, the red background is a sell opportunity.
In a bear market sales are delayed, and in a bull market buys are delayed.
CandleEvaluationLibrary "CandleEvaluation"
Contains functions to evaluate bullish and bearish, engulfing, and outsized candles. They are different from the built-in indicators from TradingView in that these functions don't evaluate classical patterns composed of multiple candles, and they reflect my own understanding of what is "bullish" and bearish", "engulfing", and "outsized".
isBullishBearishCandle()
Determines if the current candle is bullish or bearish according to the length of the wicks and the open and close.
int _barsBack How many bars back is the candle you want to evaluate. By default this is 0, i.e., the current bar.
returns Two values, true or false, for whether it's a bullish or bearish candle respectively.
isTripleBull()
Tells you whether a candle is a "Triple Bull" - that is, one which is bullish in three ways:
It closes higher than it opens
It closes higher than the body of the previous candle
The High is above the High of the previous candle.
int _barsBack How many bars back is the candle you want to evaluate. By default this is 0, i.e., the current bar.
returns True or false.
isTripleBear()
Tells you whether a candle is a "Triple Bear" - that is, one which is bearish in three ways:
It closes lower than it opens
It closes lower than the body of the previous candle
The Low is below the Low of the previous candle.
int _barsBack How many bars back is the candle you want to evaluate. By default this is 0, i.e., the current bar.
returns True or false.
isBigBody()
Tells you if the current candle has a larger than average body size.
int _length - The length of the sma to calculate the average
float _percent - The percentage of the average that the candle body has to be to count as "big". E.g. 100 means it has to be just larger than the average, 200 means it has to be twice as large.
returns True or false
isBullishEngulfing()
Tells you if the current candle is a bullish engulfing candle.
int _barsBack How many bars back is the candle you want to evaluate. By default this is 0, i.e., the current bar.
int _atrFraction The denominator for the ATR fraction, which is the small amount by which the open can be different from the previous close.
returns True or false
isBearishEngulfing()
Tells you if the current candle is a bearish engulfing candle.
int _barsBack How many bars back is the candle you want to evaluate. By default this is 0, i.e., the current bar.
int _atrFraction The denominator for the ATR fraction, which is the small amount by which the open can be different from the previous close.
returns True or false
Percentage Oscillator SwingThe percentage price oscillator (PPO) is a technical momentum indicator.
It shows the relationship between the close of a candle and the highest/lowest point with a specific lenght in percentage terms.
Rules
The higher percentage on the values upwards, compared to those downwards, the higher the power of the bull trend.
The higher percentage on the values downwards, compared to those upwards, the higher the power of the bear trend.
Bull and Bear Marubozus Candlestick PatternMarubozus are an interesting candle pattern wherein the close and open of the candle are also the high / low points of the candle. In other words, a candle with no shadows or wicks.
How reliable are they, though? Probably not very reliable on their own. It may also depend on the size of the candle. You would probably want to incorporate this candle pattern with other filters, like RSI, MACD, to filter trade opportunities.
KINSKI ADXThis ADX indicator (Average Directional Index) tries to estimate the strength of a trend. The Average Directional Index is derived from the positive (+DI) and the negative directional indicator (-DI). The direction of movement is determined by comparing the highs and lows of the current and past periods.
As soon as the indicator determines a trend strength for upward or downward trend, a label is displayed. An upward trend is labelled "Bullish Trend". The downward trend bears the label "Bearish Trend".
The clouds in the background represent the movements of the Average Directional Index High/Low:
Color orange: neutral, uncertain in which direction it is going.
Color green: upward trend
Color red: downward trend
The line represents the average value of the ADX signal:
Color orange: neutral: still uncertain in which direction it is going
Color green / outgoing line: upward trend
Color green / descending line: weakening upward trend
Color red / exiting line: downward trend
Color red / descending line: weakening downward trend
The following configurable options are possible:
"ADX Smoothing
Directional Index Length
Level Range
Level Trend
Best Bulls Bears Volume trend Breakout V2 [badshah_e_alam]This is a intraday indicator. Only to be used on timeframe less than daily charts.
This indicator purely uses volume to plot the graph. The indicator helps in conforming a breakout strategy.
This indicator is advanced version of my previously developed indicator you can check this link
Total volume is made up of buying volume and selling volume . Buying volume is the number of shares, contracts, or lots that were associated with green bars, and selling volume is the number that were associated with red bars.
The labels on the right side are the current bar value and that days bulls /bears weightage.
the first value shows the current bar volume.
second value show the bulls weight in %
third value show the bears weightage throughout the day ( %)
The Blue plot in graph keeps the track of bulls movement in intraday( %)
The Red plot in graph keeps the track of bears movement in intraday ( %)
X axis is time.
Y axis ranges from 100 to -100
I use 1:2 risk to reward ratio. Do your own research.
**not a financial advice**
Example of price increasing, volume decreasing
this indicator can be used for confirming a breakout strategy with bulls or bears in action. In the current example, the buyer’s volume percentage is reducing and the price is increasing throughout the day. Hence a breakout of the trendline is confirmation of a short trade.
Example of Price reducing, volume decreasing
example of price moving down , bears losing the grip
Example of price decreasing volume increasing
Thanks to nizar9599 for giving idea to improve my previous indicator.
DISCLAIMER
Any and all liability for risks resulting from investment transactions or other asset dispositions carried out by the user based on information received or a market analysis is expressly excluded by me.
All the information made available here is generally provided to serve as an example only, without obligation and without specific recommendations for action. It does not constitute and cannot replace investment advice. We therefore recommend that you contact your personal financial advisor before carrying out specific transactions and investments.
Do your own research, This is not a financial advice.
Percentile Rank Market FilterA simple script to filter bull and bear markets by using percentile rank filter. Using market regimes to filter by bull/bear/sideways markets helps to understand how your strategy will
behave in various market regimes and allows you to avoid unprofitable regimes and only trade in profitable ones.
The idea of market regime filtering is used in the most successful technical algorithmic trading strategies, as one should always design a trading strategy with a particular market in mind according to trading legend, Larry Connors
Feel free to use this script in your strategies to improve your profits and lower drawdowns.
Altered True Strength Indicator (TSI) Reupload-
Altered TSI provides a slightly more volatile signal that demonstrates extremities in price action with greater success than standard TSI. In addition, I added bull/bear cross indicators (green/red) to make it easier to notice the crosses to save time when the market is moving fast (I couldn't find a regular TSI script with this addition). Finally, the signal also has overextension parameters (red and green lines)
I think this is best used on Intraday time frames as the signals respond to volatility very well and using Heikin Ashi candles, trend is more visual. In this particular example, I am showing SPY on the 3m time chart (my favorite short time frame) and the signal alone provided many opportunities for trades when using simple divergences and countering overextension direction when short term (blue) signal crosses either
In the first example (purple lines), SPY ramps but it was a dull signal given the signal strength flatlining- we would be looking for a short entry. When the signal fires, it provides a clean $1.50 move down in spy.
In the second example (orange), the blue signal provides a nice V shape (rebound signal) in which we are looking for a long entry. 390.50 is a strong SPY support in confluence with 2nd std dev VWAP extension, but disregarding that bull signal fires resulting in a 2 dollar move upwards. Exit is provided when blue line crosses green overextension.
In the third example (white), we are searching for a short entry at 392.5 resistance in confluence with divergently higher highs. Bear cross signal when fired and a significant cross is visible provides a $2.50 move to the downside with a potential exit provided when blue line crosses red overextension line in confluence with previous LOD area.
In the fourth example (green), we watch as the blue line provides a V pattern, we are searching for a long entry. If you didn't take a riskier long at 2nd std dev VWAP overextension with V recovery on blue line at red overextension for a ride to vwap, then you are looking for a secondary entry long as you wouldn't take the trade at resistance (vwap). Bullishly divergent lows provide this entry and the signal does not bear cross at all (but looking for significant crosses is more important even if the signal were to make a minor bear cross). Bullishly divergent double bottom provides a long entry to end of day with a nice clean signal for a $5.00 move until eod or when signal crosses overextension range.
Ideally, close to the money options or SPY/SPXS/SPXL are best used in the intraday time frame.
Again, this is not a standalone indicator but it's best used in conjunction with other indicators/trading strategies
Any questions feel free to comment
Bull Bear Power1. Calculate
* Base on RSI status in the same period of price bar, "Bull Bear Power" is counting number of bars moved above 70 then return result to "bull power" series, and counting number of bars moved below 30 then return result to "bear power" series.
* By default RSI period is 2 and Bar period is 15.
2. Interface
* Bull power: green columns.
* Bear power: red columns.
* Info Line: show info of RSI and Bull Bear Power
- Bull Bear Power info: Period, Bull value, Bear value
- RSI info: RSI value, RSI status: overbought (>70), oversold(<30), crossunder 70, crossover 30.
3. Trade:
* Consider place Long oder when Bull power increase from below to above Bear power
* Consider place Short oder when Bear power increase from below to above Bull power
Combo Backtest 123 Reversal & Elder Ray (Bear Power) This is combo strategies for get a cumulative signal.
First strategy
This System was created from the Book "How I Tripled My Money In The
Futures Market" by Ulf Jensen, Page 183. This is reverse type of strategies.
The strategy buys at market, if close price is higher than the previous close
during 2 days and the meaning of 9-days Stochastic Slow Oscillator is lower than 50.
The strategy sells at market, if close price is lower than the previous close price
during 2 days and the meaning of 9-days Stochastic Fast Oscillator is higher than 50.
Second strategy
Developed by Dr Alexander Elder, the Elder-ray indicator measures buying
and selling pressure in the market. The Elder-ray is often used as part
of the Triple Screen trading system but may also be used on its own.
Dr Elder uses a 13-day exponential moving average (EMA) to indicate the
market consensus of value. Bull Power measures the ability of buyers to
drive prices above the consensus of value. Bear Power reflects the ability
of sellers to drive prices below the average consensus of value.
Bull Power is calculated by subtracting the 13-day EMA from the day's High.
Bear power subtracts the 13-day EMA from the day's Low.
You can use in the xPrice any series: Open, High, Low, Close, HL2, HLC3, OHLC4 and ect...
WARNING:
- For purpose educate only
- This script to change bars colors.
Combo Strategy 123 Reversal & Elder Ray (Bear Power) This is combo strategies for get a cumulative signal.
First strategy
This System was created from the Book "How I Tripled My Money In The
Futures Market" by Ulf Jensen, Page 183. This is reverse type of strategies.
The strategy buys at market, if close price is higher than the previous close
during 2 days and the meaning of 9-days Stochastic Slow Oscillator is lower than 50.
The strategy sells at market, if close price is lower than the previous close price
during 2 days and the meaning of 9-days Stochastic Fast Oscillator is higher than 50.
Second strategy
Developed by Dr Alexander Elder, the Elder-ray indicator measures buying
and selling pressure in the market. The Elder-ray is often used as part
of the Triple Screen trading system but may also be used on its own.
Dr Elder uses a 13-day exponential moving average (EMA) to indicate the
market consensus of value. Bull Power measures the ability of buyers to
drive prices above the consensus of value. Bear Power reflects the ability
of sellers to drive prices below the average consensus of value.
Bull Power is calculated by subtracting the 13-day EMA from the day's High.
Bear power subtracts the 13-day EMA from the day's Low.
You can use in the xPrice any series: Open, High, Low, Close, HL2, HLC3, OHLC4 and ect...
WARNING:
- For purpose educate only
- This script to change bars colors.
[eternal] Elder Ray Bull and Bear Power OscillatorsElder Ray is an indicator that displays Bull Power and Bear Power at the same time.
This indicator is a modified indicator of Elder Ray.
Setting eternal = False and sommozing Period = 1 will be the same as Elder Ray.
Since the eternal option is a definite signal option, it does not disappear even if the value of close changes if a signal comes out.
In other words, when a signal comes out, it is premised to trade immediately, and the signal comes out at the moment when the bar is updated.
The signal of this indicator seems to be weak in the range market due to its operating principle.
(It seems that the author wanted to try a definite signal)
* It has not been verified whether or not you can finally win, so please use it after individual income and expenditure verification.
Elder RayはBull Power, Bear Powerを同時に表示したインジケーターです。
このインジケーターはElder Rayを改造したインジケーターです。
eternal = False, sommozing Period = 1に設定すると Elder Rayと同じものになります。
eternal オプションは確定シグナルオプションなので、シグナルが出ればcloseの値が変化しても消えることはないです。
つまり、シグナルが出れば即座に取引する前提になっていて、シグナルが出るタイミングはバーが更新した瞬間です。
このインジケーターのシグナルは動作原理上レンジ相場に弱いと思われます。
（作者は確定シグナルを試してみたかったらしい）
※最終的に勝てるかは未検証ですので、個人で収支検証後、使用をお願いします。
Combo Backtest 123 Reversal & Elder Ray (Bear Power) This is combo strategies for get a cumulative signal.
First strategy
This System was created from the Book "How I Tripled My Money In The
Futures Market" by Ulf Jensen, Page 183. This is reverse type of strategies.
The strategy buys at market, if close price is higher than the previous close
during 2 days and the meaning of 9-days Stochastic Slow Oscillator is lower than 50.
The strategy sells at market, if close price is lower than the previous close price
during 2 days and the meaning of 9-days Stochastic Fast Oscillator is higher than 50.
Second strategy
Developed by Dr Alexander Elder, the Elder-ray indicator measures buying
and selling pressure in the market. The Elder-ray is often used as part
of the Triple Screen trading system but may also be used on its own.
Dr Elder uses a 13-day exponential moving average (EMA) to indicate the
market consensus of value. Bear Power measures the ability of sellers to
drive prices below the consensus of value. Bear Power reflects the ability
of sellers to drive prices below the average consensus of value.
Bull Power is calculated by subtracting the 13-day EMA from the day's High.
Bear power subtracts the 13-day EMA from the day's Low.
You can use in the xPrice any series: Open, High, Low, Close, HL2, HLC3, OHLC4 and ect...
WARNING:
- For purpose educate only
- This script to change bars colors.
Combo Strategy 123 Reversal & Elder Ray (Bear Power) This is combo strategies for get a cumulative signal.
First strategy
This System was created from the Book "How I Tripled My Money In The
Futures Market" by Ulf Jensen, Page 183. This is reverse type of strategies.
The strategy buys at market, if close price is higher than the previous close
during 2 days and the meaning of 9-days Stochastic Slow Oscillator is lower than 50.
The strategy sells at market, if close price is lower than the previous close price
during 2 days and the meaning of 9-days Stochastic Fast Oscillator is higher than 50.
Second strategy
Developed by Dr Alexander Elder, the Elder-ray indicator measures buying
and selling pressure in the market. The Elder-ray is often used as part
of the Triple Screen trading system but may also be used on its own.
Dr Elder uses a 13-day exponential moving average (EMA) to indicate the
market consensus of value. Bear Power measures the ability of sellers to
drive prices below the consensus of value. Bear Power reflects the ability
of sellers to drive prices below the average consensus of value.
Bull Power is calculated by subtracting the 13-day EMA from the day's High.
Bear power subtracts the 13-day EMA from the day's Low.
You can use in the xPrice any series: Open, High, Low, Close, HL2, HLC3, OHLC4 and ect...
WARNING:
- For purpose educate only
- This script to change bars colors.
Bull/Bear Engulf High Low LookupAllows to specify the high and low look-back period for both Bullish and Bearish engulfing candles. In essence, it is an extension of the classical engulf pattern. By default lookback period is set to 3.
Can be used on any time-frame and any instrument. Previous candle is irrelevent.
An engulfing candle is defined as follows:
Bullish: Must trade BELOW prior candle LOW and close ABOVE prior candle HIGH
Bullish: Must trade ABOVE prior candle HIGH and close BELOW prior candle LOW
Bulls and BearsThis is a standard 'Bulls and Bears Power" Oscillator, how ever,...
There are two different formulas for calculating bulls and bears, the standard version, uses Highest and Lowest of prices in a given period, BUT, the version we have in meta trader platform, uses the current high and current low for each bar.
Within this indicator, you can use the standard version or the meta trader version, it will draw both bulls and bears and you can turn each one on and off in the style section.
Divergence of DecisionPoint Breadth Swenlin Trading [LazyBear]// This source code is subject to the terms of the Mozilla Public License 2.0 at mozilla.org
// © 03.freeman
//This is indicator from LazyBear is very accurate for stocks and indexes.
//I added some code snippets for spot and draw divergences automatically
//
// @author LazyBear
//
//
Best use with daily time frame.
Enter when a divergence is found (Bull or Bear label) and wait at least a couple of candles before exit.
Next improvement: alerts ready made for webhooks and screener for multiple tickers.
Please use comment section for any feedback.
Bull MountainsAre you a BEAR?
Then get out of here!
This indicator is only for long movements, its reading is simple and if you use it correctly it will give you very good results, the components are:
The highest quality configuration is as follows:
It is not necessary that all the components are aligned, the appearance of the upper mountain on the lower mountain is already a good sign, but if you add some seasoning more the soup will be better =)
Note: once the position is taken, it is the trader's responsibility to manage it. INSTRUMENTS WITH REAL VOLUME ARE REQUIRED FOR THIS INDICATOR.
tip: what would happen if you look for the signal in an upper frame and then look for an input in a lower frame? mmmmm....
tip: play with the 'Length' setting and see what happens
Bull a thumbs up please!
I wish you many greens !!
Bull Bear BarsHighlights when the movement of a candle is supported by a major increase in volume. Thus one could reasonably assume that a follow thru is likely to occur.
Blue= bullish
Yellow = bearish
I personally use this as an entry system. I enter only if the blue high or yellow low is surpassed by the very next candle , if not, then i do not enter. Thus trading with momentum and greatly avoiding choppy market conditions.
***Example*** In the chart above, during $XBT’s month long November 2019 Downtrend.. I am showing my bull long entries (without showing the obvious winning bear entries!) and found that only once did the price fail to advance less than 1% before any significant drawdown occurs (As shown on the chart by thumbs up & thumbs down symbols.)
***When using this indicator it is important to keep in mind that Blue bullish bars can and will appear at the top of upswings likewise, yellow bearish bars can and will appear at the bottom of downswings.. which could potentially signify trend reversals.
This knowledge can also can be used to ones advantage (” buy when everyone is selling, sell when everyone is buying.”)
This is a common occurrence because retail traders are often late to the party before they catch on to a trend resulting in buying heavily at the top and selling heavily at the bottom providing liquidity to earlier entrants to exit and as per usual the price then reverses on the mass of late bloomers.***
This indicator can be used in many different ways so goodluck in finding the method that best suits your style and be careful out there. Cheers
BONUS: Also has the ability to set alerts!
Keltner Channel with signals [ChuckBanger]This is Keltner Channel where I added Bull and Bear signals. It has a lot of settings to play around with. Have fun...
For more information on Keltner Channel: www.investopedia.com
Dependent Variable Odd Generator For Machine Learning TechniquesCAUTION : Not suitable for strategy, open to development.
If can we separate the stagnant market from other markets, can we be so much more accurate?
This project was written to research it. It is just the tiny part of the begining.
And this is a very necessary but very small side function in the main function. Lets start :
Hi users, I had this idea in my mind for a long time but I had a hard time finding the parameters that would make the market stagnant. This idea is my first original command system. Although it is very difficult to make sense of the stagnant market, I think that this command system can achieve realistic proportions. With 's money flow index, I opened the track to determine the level. On the other hand, the prices were also using a money flow index, and it forced me to make the limitations between the levels in a logical way. But the good thing is that since the bollinger bandwidth uses a larger period, we are able to print normal values at extreme buy and sell values.
In terms of price, we can define excessive purchase and sale values as the period is smaller. I have repeatedly looked at the limit values that determine the bull, bear, and bollinger bandwidth (mfi), and I think this is the right one. Then I have included these values in the probability set.
The bull and bear market did not form the intersection of the cluster, and because there are connected events, the stagnant market, which is the intersection, will be added to the other markets with the same venn diagram logic and the sum of the probability set will be 1. is equal to. I hope that we can renew the number generators in the very important parameters of machine learning such as Markov Process with generators dependent on dependent variables, which bring us closer to reality. This function is open to development and can be made of various ideas on machine learning. Best wishes.
This code is open source under the MIT license. If you have any improvements or corrections to suggest, please send me a pull request via the github repository github.com
Sentiment Zone OscillatorHere's a (forgotten but still useful) Sentiment Zone Oscillator. The Sentiment Zone Oscillator takes a sum of positive price candles over a user-specified window length. Normally, a triple exponential moving average of the sum is used, but we opted to just go with a double EMA for the sake of more responsiveness. When the histogram is green it is bullish and red/pink means bears.
