BTC Evaluation IndicatorBTC Evaluation Indicator
The BTC Evaluation Indicator is a volatility-based tool designed to help traders evaluate Bitcoin’s price behavior relative to its moving average trend. It combines customizable moving averages with dynamic standard deviation bands to identify overbought and oversold conditions.
Key Features
Flexible Moving Averages: Choose between SMA, EMA, WMA, VWMA, HMA, or RMA for the baseline trend.
Dynamic Volatility Bands: Upper and lower bands are calculated using standard deviation, scaled by a user-defined multiplier.
Visual Clarity:
Orange line = central moving average (trend mean)
Green line = upper band (potential overbought zone)
Red line = lower band (potential oversold zone)
Shaded gray area = volatility range
Automatic Highlights: Background shading marks when price breaks above the upper band (overbought) or below the lower band (oversold).
How to Use
When price pushes above the upper band, it may indicate overextension or potential local overbought conditions.
When price falls below the lower band, it may signal undervaluation or potential oversold conditions.
The mean line acts as a dynamic equilibrium, often serving as short-term support/resistance.
This indicator is designed for Bitcoin evaluation, but it can be applied to any asset. By combining trend analysis with volatility context, it helps traders better understand when price may be stretched and when conditions are reverting to the mean.
Recherche dans les scripts pour "bitcoin"
Pure Price Zone Flow🔎 What this indicator is
It’s a price-action-based zone indicator. Unlike moving average systems, this one relies only on:
1. Swing Highs & Swing Lows → The highest and lowest points within a recent lookback period (like "mini support & resistance").
2. ATR (Average True Range) → A volatility measure that expands the zone, making it more adaptive to different market conditions.
3. Breakouts & Retests → When price breaks above a swing high (bullish) or below a swing low (bearish), the indicator marks it and highlights the new trend.
👉 The goal is to spot clean structure shifts and define clear trend zones where traders can position themselves.
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⚙️ How it is calculated
1. Swing High & Swing Low
o We look back len candles (default 20).
o Find the highest high (swingHigh) and the lowest low (swingLow) in that window.
o This forms the price range zone.
2. ATR Expansion
o We calculate ATR over the same len.
o Add/subtract it (multiplied by atrMult) to the zone edges to expand them.
o This ensures the zones breathe with volatility (tight in quiet markets, wide in choppy ones).
3. Mid-Zone
o Simply the average of swingHigh and swingLow.
o If price is above mid → bullish bias.
o If below mid → bearish bias.
o This gives us the trend color for candles.
4. Breakouts
o If the close crosses above swingHigh, we mark a bullish breakout with a label.
o If the close crosses below swingLow, we mark a bearish breakdown.
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📊 How it helps traders
This indicator helps by:
1. Identifying Structure Shifts
o Many traders watch swing highs/lows for breakouts or reversals.
o This automates the process and visually confirms when structure is broken.
2. Dynamic Zone Trading
o Instead of fixed support/resistance, the ATR expansion adapts to volatility.
o This avoids false signals in high-volatility conditions.
3. Trend Bias at a Glance
o Candle coloring instantly tells you whether price is in bullish or bearish territory relative to the mid-zone.
4. Breakout Confirmation
o The labels show when a breakout has occurred, so traders can react quickly (e.g., enter with trend, wait for retest, or avoid fading moves).
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🌍 Markets it works best in
• Crypto (Bitcoin, Ethereum, etc.): Very effective since crypto is breakout-driven and respects swing levels.
• Forex: Good for volatility-adaptive structure analysis, especially in trending pairs.
• Indices (SPX, NASDAQ, DAX, NIFTY): Useful for breakout trading during session opens or key news events.
• Commodities (Gold, Oil, Silver): Works well to define intraday ranges and breakout levels.
⚠️ Less useful in low-volatility, mean-reverting assets (like some penny stocks or sideways ranges), because breakouts may be rare or fake.
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💡 How it adds value
• Strips away unnecessary complexity (no lagging averages).
• Focuses directly on what price is doing structurally.
• Adaptive → works across different markets & timeframes.
• Easy visualization → zones, trend coloring, breakout markers.
• Helps traders trade with the flow of the market, instead of guessing tops/bottoms.
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👉 In short:
This indicator turns raw price action into clear, actionable zones.
It highlights when the market shifts from balance to breakout, so traders can align with momentum rather than fighting it.
MVRV and RSI Std DevThis indicator provides a comprehensive, long-term view of market risk and opportunity for Bitcoin by combining fundamental on-chain data with classic momentum analysis.
How It Works:
The oscillator's value is calculated by multiplying two key metrics:
MVRV Ratio: An on-chain metric that indicates if the market price is "fair," "overvalued," or "undervalued" relative to the average price at which all coins last moved.
Weekly RSI: The standard Relative Strength Index on a weekly timeframe to measure long-term market momentum and identify overbought/oversold conditions.
Key Features:
Adaptive Risk Bands: Instead of fixed "overbought/oversold" levels, this indicator uses dynamic bands based on a long-term 4 year moving average and standard deviation. These bands automatically adjust to the market's changing volatility and cyclical nature, ensuring the risk/reward zones remain relevant over time.
Gradient Coloring: The oscillator line is colored on a smooth gradient from deep green (high reward/low risk) to bright red (high risk/low reward). This provides an intuitive, at-a-glance visualization of the market's "temperature."
BTC/Dominance RSI by Sajad BagheriTitle: "BTC/Dominance RSI by Sajad Bagheri"
Description: "Combines BTC Price RSI (Red) and BTC Dominance RSI (Green) to detect trend conflicts and overbought/oversold conditions."
Category: Oscillators
Tags: #BTC, #Dominance, #RSI, #Bitcoin
Access: Public/Private
BTC/Dominance RSI by Sajad BagheriTitle: "BTC/Dominance RSI by Sajad Bagheri"
Description: "Combines BTC Price RSI (Red) and BTC Dominance RSI (Green) to detect trend conflicts and overbought/oversold conditions."
Category: Oscillators
Tags: #BTC, #Dominance, #RSI, #Bitcoin
Access: Public/Private
CTA-min D1 — Donchian 55/20 Trend Breakout (ATR Risk)What it is
A clean, daily trend-following breakout inspired by classic CTA/Turtle logic. It buys strength and sells weakness, then lets winners run with a channel-based trailing stop. No curve-fitting, no clutter—just rules.
How it trades
Timeframe: Daily (D1)
Entry: Close breaks the previous 55-bar Donchian channel (above for longs, below for shorts).
Exit/Trail: Trailing stop at the 20-bar Donchian channel on the opposite side (no fixed TP).
Risk: Initial stop = ATR(N) × stopMult (ATR is smoothed). Position size risks riskPct% of equity based on stop distance.
Labels: “BUY/SELL” only on the entry bar; “STOP BUY/STOP SELL” only on the exit bar.
Pyramiding: Off (one position at a time).
Regime Alignment with EMAs (recommended filter, not enforced by code)
Add EMA 50 and EMA 200 to the D1 chart.
Long bias: take BUY signals only when EMA50 > EMA200 (bullish regime).
Short bias: take SELL signals only when EMA50 < EMA200 (bearish regime).
Optional: for extra selectivity, require the H4 EMAs (50/200) to align with D1 before acting on a signal.
Inputs
entryN (55), exitN (20), atrLen (20), atrSmooth (10), stopMult (2.0), riskPct (0.5%–1.0% recommended).
Works well on (tested by user)
BTCUSD (Bitcoin), EURUSD, GBPJPY, NAS100/US100, USDJPY, AUDUSD, XAGUSD (Silver), US30 (Dow), JP225 (Nikkei), EURGBP, NZDUSD, EURCHF, USDCHF.
How to use
Apply to D1 charts. Review once per day after the daily close and execute next session open to mirror backtest assumptions. Best used as a portfolio strategy across multiple uncorrelated markets. Use the EMA alignment above as a discretionary regime filter to reduce false breakouts.
Notes
For educational use. Markets involve risk; past performance does not guarantee future results. Use responsible position sizing.
Kelly Position Size CalculatorThis position sizing calculator implements the Kelly Criterion, developed by John L. Kelly Jr. at Bell Laboratories in 1956, to determine mathematically optimal position sizes for maximizing long-term wealth growth. Unlike arbitrary position sizing methods, this tool provides a scientifically solution based on your strategy's actual performance statistics and incorporates modern refinements from over six decades of academic research.
The Kelly Criterion addresses a fundamental question in capital allocation: "What fraction of capital should be allocated to each opportunity to maximize growth while avoiding ruin?" This question has profound implications for financial markets, where traders and investors constantly face decisions about optimal capital allocation (Van Tharp, 2007).
Theoretical Foundation
The Kelly Criterion for binary outcomes is expressed as f* = (bp - q) / b, where f* represents the optimal fraction of capital to allocate, b denotes the risk-reward ratio, p indicates the probability of success, and q represents the probability of loss (Kelly, 1956). This formula maximizes the expected logarithm of wealth, ensuring maximum long-term growth rate while avoiding the risk of ruin.
The mathematical elegance of Kelly's approach lies in its derivation from information theory. Kelly's original work was motivated by Claude Shannon's information theory (Shannon, 1948), recognizing that maximizing the logarithm of wealth is equivalent to maximizing the rate of information transmission. This connection between information theory and wealth accumulation provides a deep theoretical foundation for optimal position sizing.
The logarithmic utility function underlying the Kelly Criterion naturally embodies several desirable properties for capital management. It exhibits decreasing marginal utility, penalizes large losses more severely than it rewards equivalent gains, and focuses on geometric rather than arithmetic mean returns, which is appropriate for compounding scenarios (Thorp, 2006).
Scientific Implementation
This calculator extends beyond basic Kelly implementation by incorporating state of the art refinements from academic research:
Parameter Uncertainty Adjustment: Following Michaud (1989), the implementation applies Bayesian shrinkage to account for parameter estimation error inherent in small sample sizes. The adjustment formula f_adjusted = f_kelly × confidence_factor + f_conservative × (1 - confidence_factor) addresses the overconfidence bias documented by Baker and McHale (2012), where the confidence factor increases with sample size and the conservative estimate equals 0.25 (quarter Kelly).
Sample Size Confidence: The reliability of Kelly calculations depends critically on sample size. Research by Browne and Whitt (1996) provides theoretical guidance on minimum sample requirements, suggesting that at least 30 independent observations are necessary for meaningful parameter estimates, with 100 or more trades providing reliable estimates for most trading strategies.
Universal Asset Compatibility: The calculator employs intelligent asset detection using TradingView's built-in symbol information, automatically adapting calculations for different asset classes without manual configuration.
ASSET SPECIFIC IMPLEMENTATION
Equity Markets: For stocks and ETFs, position sizing follows the calculation Shares = floor(Kelly Fraction × Account Size / Share Price). This straightforward approach reflects whole share constraints while accommodating fractional share trading capabilities.
Foreign Exchange Markets: Forex markets require lot-based calculations following Lot Size = Kelly Fraction × Account Size / (100,000 × Base Currency Value). The calculator automatically handles major currency pairs with appropriate pip value calculations, following industry standards described by Archer (2010).
Futures Markets: Futures position sizing accounts for leverage and margin requirements through Contracts = floor(Kelly Fraction × Account Size / Margin Requirement). The calculator estimates margin requirements as a percentage of contract notional value, with specific adjustments for micro-futures contracts that have smaller sizes and reduced margin requirements (Kaufman, 2013).
Index and Commodity Markets: These markets combine characteristics of both equity and futures markets. The calculator automatically detects whether instruments are cash-settled or futures-based, applying appropriate sizing methodologies with correct point value calculations.
Risk Management Integration
The calculator integrates sophisticated risk assessment through two primary modes:
Stop Loss Integration: When fixed stop-loss levels are defined, risk calculation follows Risk per Trade = Position Size × Stop Loss Distance. This ensures that the Kelly fraction accounts for actual risk exposure rather than theoretical maximum loss, with stop-loss distance measured in appropriate units for each asset class.
Strategy Drawdown Assessment: For discretionary exit strategies, risk estimation uses maximum historical drawdown through Risk per Trade = Position Value × (Maximum Drawdown / 100). This approach assumes that individual trade losses will not exceed the strategy's historical maximum drawdown, providing a reasonable estimate for strategies with well-defined risk characteristics.
Fractional Kelly Approaches
Pure Kelly sizing can produce substantial volatility, leading many practitioners to adopt fractional Kelly approaches. MacLean, Sanegre, Zhao, and Ziemba (2004) analyze the trade-offs between growth rate and volatility, demonstrating that half-Kelly typically reduces volatility by approximately 75% while sacrificing only 25% of the growth rate.
The calculator provides three primary Kelly modes to accommodate different risk preferences and experience levels. Full Kelly maximizes growth rate while accepting higher volatility, making it suitable for experienced practitioners with strong risk tolerance and robust capital bases. Half Kelly offers a balanced approach popular among professional traders, providing optimal risk-return balance by reducing volatility significantly while maintaining substantial growth potential. Quarter Kelly implements a conservative approach with low volatility, recommended for risk-averse traders or those new to Kelly methodology who prefer gradual introduction to optimal position sizing principles.
Empirical Validation and Performance
Extensive academic research supports the theoretical advantages of Kelly sizing. Hakansson and Ziemba (1995) provide a comprehensive review of Kelly applications in finance, documenting superior long-term performance across various market conditions and asset classes. Estrada (2008) analyzes Kelly performance in international equity markets, finding that Kelly-based strategies consistently outperform fixed position sizing approaches over extended periods across 19 developed markets over a 30-year period.
Several prominent investment firms have successfully implemented Kelly-based position sizing. Pabrai (2007) documents the application of Kelly principles at Berkshire Hathaway, noting Warren Buffett's concentrated portfolio approach aligns closely with Kelly optimal sizing for high-conviction investments. Quantitative hedge funds, including Renaissance Technologies and AQR, have incorporated Kelly-based risk management into their systematic trading strategies.
Practical Implementation Guidelines
Successful Kelly implementation requires systematic application with attention to several critical factors:
Parameter Estimation: Accurate parameter estimation represents the greatest challenge in practical Kelly implementation. Brown (1976) notes that small errors in probability estimates can lead to significant deviations from optimal performance. The calculator addresses this through Bayesian adjustments and confidence measures.
Sample Size Requirements: Users should begin with conservative fractional Kelly approaches until achieving sufficient historical data. Strategies with fewer than 30 trades may produce unreliable Kelly estimates, regardless of adjustments. Full confidence typically requires 100 or more independent trade observations.
Market Regime Considerations: Parameters that accurately describe historical performance may not reflect future market conditions. Ziemba (2003) recommends regular parameter updates and conservative adjustments when market conditions change significantly.
Professional Features and Customization
The calculator provides comprehensive customization options for professional applications:
Multiple Color Schemes: Eight professional color themes (Gold, EdgeTools, Behavioral, Quant, Ocean, Fire, Matrix, Arctic) with dark and light theme compatibility ensure optimal visibility across different trading environments.
Flexible Display Options: Adjustable table size and position accommodate various chart layouts and user preferences, while maintaining analytical depth and clarity.
Comprehensive Results: The results table presents essential information including asset specifications, strategy statistics, Kelly calculations, sample confidence measures, position values, risk assessments, and final position sizes in appropriate units for each asset class.
Limitations and Considerations
Like any analytical tool, the Kelly Criterion has important limitations that users must understand:
Stationarity Assumption: The Kelly Criterion assumes that historical strategy statistics represent future performance characteristics. Non-stationary market conditions may invalidate this assumption, as noted by Lo and MacKinlay (1999).
Independence Requirement: Each trade should be independent to avoid correlation effects. Many trading strategies exhibit serial correlation in returns, which can affect optimal position sizing and may require adjustments for portfolio applications.
Parameter Sensitivity: Kelly calculations are sensitive to parameter accuracy. Regular calibration and conservative approaches are essential when parameter uncertainty is high.
Transaction Costs: The implementation incorporates user-defined transaction costs but assumes these remain constant across different position sizes and market conditions, following Ziemba (2003).
Advanced Applications and Extensions
Multi-Asset Portfolio Considerations: While this calculator optimizes individual position sizes, portfolio-level applications require additional considerations for correlation effects and aggregate risk management. Simplified portfolio approaches include treating positions independently with correlation adjustments.
Behavioral Factors: Behavioral finance research reveals systematic biases that can interfere with Kelly implementation. Kahneman and Tversky (1979) document loss aversion, overconfidence, and other cognitive biases that lead traders to deviate from optimal strategies. Successful implementation requires disciplined adherence to calculated recommendations.
Time-Varying Parameters: Advanced implementations may incorporate time-varying parameter models that adjust Kelly recommendations based on changing market conditions, though these require sophisticated econometric techniques and substantial computational resources.
Comprehensive Usage Instructions and Practical Examples
Implementation begins with loading the calculator on your desired trading instrument's chart. The system automatically detects asset type across stocks, forex, futures, and cryptocurrency markets while extracting current price information. Navigation to the indicator settings allows input of your specific strategy parameters.
Strategy statistics configuration requires careful attention to several key metrics. The win rate should be calculated from your backtest results using the formula of winning trades divided by total trades multiplied by 100. Average win represents the sum of all profitable trades divided by the number of winning trades, while average loss calculates the sum of all losing trades divided by the number of losing trades, entered as a positive number. The total historical trades parameter requires the complete number of trades in your backtest, with a minimum of 30 trades recommended for basic functionality and 100 or more trades optimal for statistical reliability. Account size should reflect your available trading capital, specifically the risk capital allocated for trading rather than total net worth.
Risk management configuration adapts to your specific trading approach. The stop loss setting should be enabled if you employ fixed stop-loss exits, with the stop loss distance specified in appropriate units depending on the asset class. For stocks, this distance is measured in dollars, for forex in pips, and for futures in ticks. When stop losses are not used, the maximum strategy drawdown percentage from your backtest provides the risk assessment baseline. Kelly mode selection offers three primary approaches: Full Kelly for aggressive growth with higher volatility suitable for experienced practitioners, Half Kelly for balanced risk-return optimization popular among professional traders, and Quarter Kelly for conservative approaches with reduced volatility.
Display customization ensures optimal integration with your trading environment. Eight professional color themes provide optimization for different chart backgrounds and personal preferences. Table position selection allows optimal placement within your chart layout, while table size adjustment ensures readability across different screen resolutions and viewing preferences.
Detailed Practical Examples
Example 1: SPY Swing Trading Strategy
Consider a professionally developed swing trading strategy for SPY (S&P 500 ETF) with backtesting results spanning 166 total trades. The strategy achieved 110 winning trades, representing a 66.3% win rate, with an average winning trade of $2,200 and average losing trade of $862. The maximum drawdown reached 31.4% during the testing period, and the available trading capital amounts to $25,000. This strategy employs discretionary exits without fixed stop losses.
Implementation requires loading the calculator on the SPY daily chart and configuring the parameters accordingly. The win rate input receives 66.3, while average win and loss inputs receive 2200 and 862 respectively. Total historical trades input requires 166, with account size set to 25000. The stop loss function remains disabled due to the discretionary exit approach, with maximum strategy drawdown set to 31.4%. Half Kelly mode provides the optimal balance between growth and risk management for this application.
The calculator generates several key outputs for this scenario. The risk-reward ratio calculates automatically to 2.55, while the Kelly fraction reaches approximately 53% before scientific adjustments. Sample confidence achieves 100% given the 166 trades providing high statistical confidence. The recommended position settles at approximately 27% after Half Kelly and Bayesian adjustment factors. Position value reaches approximately $6,750, translating to 16 shares at a $420 SPY price. Risk per trade amounts to approximately $2,110, representing 31.4% of position value, with expected value per trade reaching approximately $1,466. This recommendation represents the mathematically optimal balance between growth potential and risk management for this specific strategy profile.
Example 2: EURUSD Day Trading with Stop Losses
A high-frequency EURUSD day trading strategy demonstrates different parameter requirements compared to swing trading approaches. This strategy encompasses 89 total trades with a 58% win rate, generating an average winning trade of $180 and average losing trade of $95. The maximum drawdown reached 12% during testing, with available capital of $10,000. The strategy employs fixed stop losses at 25 pips and take profit targets at 45 pips, providing clear risk-reward parameters.
Implementation begins with loading the calculator on the EURUSD 1-hour chart for appropriate timeframe alignment. Parameter configuration includes win rate at 58, average win at 180, and average loss at 95. Total historical trades input receives 89, with account size set to 10000. The stop loss function is enabled with distance set to 25 pips, reflecting the fixed exit strategy. Quarter Kelly mode provides conservative positioning due to the smaller sample size compared to the previous example.
Results demonstrate the impact of smaller sample sizes on Kelly calculations. The risk-reward ratio calculates to 1.89, while the Kelly fraction reaches approximately 32% before adjustments. Sample confidence achieves 89%, providing moderate statistical confidence given the 89 trades. The recommended position settles at approximately 7% after Quarter Kelly application and Bayesian shrinkage adjustment for the smaller sample. Position value amounts to approximately $700, translating to 0.07 standard lots. Risk per trade reaches approximately $175, calculated as 25 pips multiplied by lot size and pip value, with expected value per trade at approximately $49. This conservative position sizing reflects the smaller sample size, with position sizes expected to increase as trade count surpasses 100 and statistical confidence improves.
Example 3: ES1! Futures Systematic Strategy
Systematic futures trading presents unique considerations for Kelly criterion application, as demonstrated by an E-mini S&P 500 futures strategy encompassing 234 total trades. This systematic approach achieved a 45% win rate with an average winning trade of $1,850 and average losing trade of $720. The maximum drawdown reached 18% during the testing period, with available capital of $50,000. The strategy employs 15-tick stop losses with contract specifications of $50 per tick, providing precise risk control mechanisms.
Implementation involves loading the calculator on the ES1! 15-minute chart to align with the systematic trading timeframe. Parameter configuration includes win rate at 45, average win at 1850, and average loss at 720. Total historical trades receives 234, providing robust statistical foundation, with account size set to 50000. The stop loss function is enabled with distance set to 15 ticks, reflecting the systematic exit methodology. Half Kelly mode balances growth potential with appropriate risk management for futures trading.
Results illustrate how favorable risk-reward ratios can support meaningful position sizing despite lower win rates. The risk-reward ratio calculates to 2.57, while the Kelly fraction reaches approximately 16%, lower than previous examples due to the sub-50% win rate. Sample confidence achieves 100% given the 234 trades providing high statistical confidence. The recommended position settles at approximately 8% after Half Kelly adjustment. Estimated margin per contract amounts to approximately $2,500, resulting in a single contract allocation. Position value reaches approximately $2,500, with risk per trade at $750, calculated as 15 ticks multiplied by $50 per tick. Expected value per trade amounts to approximately $508. Despite the lower win rate, the favorable risk-reward ratio supports meaningful position sizing, with single contract allocation reflecting appropriate leverage management for futures trading.
Example 4: MES1! Micro-Futures for Smaller Accounts
Micro-futures contracts provide enhanced accessibility for smaller trading accounts while maintaining identical strategy characteristics. Using the same systematic strategy statistics from the previous example but with available capital of $15,000 and micro-futures specifications of $5 per tick with reduced margin requirements, the implementation demonstrates improved position sizing granularity.
Kelly calculations remain identical to the full-sized contract example, maintaining the same risk-reward dynamics and statistical foundations. However, estimated margin per contract reduces to approximately $250 for micro-contracts, enabling allocation of 4-5 micro-contracts. Position value reaches approximately $1,200, while risk per trade calculates to $75, derived from 15 ticks multiplied by $5 per tick. This granularity advantage provides better position size precision for smaller accounts, enabling more accurate Kelly implementation without requiring large capital commitments.
Example 5: Bitcoin Swing Trading
Cryptocurrency markets present unique challenges requiring modified Kelly application approaches. A Bitcoin swing trading strategy on BTCUSD encompasses 67 total trades with a 71% win rate, generating average winning trades of $3,200 and average losing trades of $1,400. Maximum drawdown reached 28% during testing, with available capital of $30,000. The strategy employs technical analysis for exits without fixed stop losses, relying on price action and momentum indicators.
Implementation requires conservative approaches due to cryptocurrency volatility characteristics. Quarter Kelly mode is recommended despite the high win rate to account for crypto market unpredictability. Expected position sizing remains reduced due to the limited sample size of 67 trades, requiring additional caution until statistical confidence improves. Regular parameter updates are strongly recommended due to cryptocurrency market evolution and changing volatility patterns that can significantly impact strategy performance characteristics.
Advanced Usage Scenarios
Portfolio position sizing requires sophisticated consideration when running multiple strategies simultaneously. Each strategy should have its Kelly fraction calculated independently to maintain mathematical integrity. However, correlation adjustments become necessary when strategies exhibit related performance patterns. Moderately correlated strategies should receive individual position size reductions of 10-20% to account for overlapping risk exposure. Aggregate portfolio risk monitoring ensures total exposure remains within acceptable limits across all active strategies. Professional practitioners often consider using lower fractional Kelly approaches, such as Quarter Kelly, when running multiple strategies simultaneously to provide additional safety margins.
Parameter sensitivity analysis forms a critical component of professional Kelly implementation. Regular validation procedures should include monthly parameter updates using rolling 100-trade windows to capture evolving market conditions while maintaining statistical relevance. Sensitivity testing involves varying win rates by ±5% and average win/loss ratios by ±10% to assess recommendation stability under different parameter assumptions. Out-of-sample validation reserves 20% of historical data for parameter verification, ensuring that optimization doesn't create curve-fitted results. Regime change detection monitors actual performance against expected metrics, triggering parameter reassessment when significant deviations occur.
Risk management integration requires professional overlay considerations beyond pure Kelly calculations. Daily loss limits should cease trading when daily losses exceed twice the calculated risk per trade, preventing emotional decision-making during adverse periods. Maximum position limits should never exceed 25% of account value in any single position regardless of Kelly recommendations, maintaining diversification principles. Correlation monitoring reduces position sizes when holding multiple correlated positions that move together during market stress. Volatility adjustments consider reducing position sizes during periods of elevated VIX above 25 for equity strategies, adapting to changing market conditions.
Troubleshooting and Optimization
Professional implementation often encounters specific challenges requiring systematic troubleshooting approaches. Zero position size displays typically result from insufficient capital for minimum position sizes, negative expected values, or extremely conservative Kelly calculations. Solutions include increasing account size, verifying strategy statistics for accuracy, considering Quarter Kelly mode for conservative approaches, or reassessing overall strategy viability when fundamental issues exist.
Extremely high Kelly fractions exceeding 50% usually indicate underlying problems with parameter estimation. Common causes include unrealistic win rates, inflated risk-reward ratios, or curve-fitted backtest results that don't reflect genuine trading conditions. Solutions require verifying backtest methodology, including all transaction costs in calculations, testing strategies on out-of-sample data, and using conservative fractional Kelly approaches until parameter reliability improves.
Low sample confidence below 50% reflects insufficient historical trades for reliable parameter estimation. This situation demands gathering additional trading data, using Quarter Kelly approaches until reaching 100 or more trades, applying extra conservatism in position sizing, and considering paper trading to build statistical foundations without capital risk.
Inconsistent results across similar strategies often stem from parameter estimation differences, market regime changes, or strategy degradation over time. Professional solutions include standardizing backtest methodology across all strategies, updating parameters regularly to reflect current conditions, and monitoring live performance against expectations to identify deteriorating strategies.
Position sizes that appear inappropriately large or small require careful validation against traditional risk management principles. Professional standards recommend never risking more than 2-3% per trade regardless of Kelly calculations. Calibration should begin with Quarter Kelly approaches, gradually increasing as comfort and confidence develop. Most institutional traders utilize 25-50% of full Kelly recommendations to balance growth with prudent risk management.
Market condition adjustments require dynamic approaches to Kelly implementation. Trending markets may support full Kelly recommendations when directional momentum provides favorable conditions. Ranging or volatile markets typically warrant reducing to Half or Quarter Kelly to account for increased uncertainty. High correlation periods demand reducing individual position sizes when multiple positions move together, concentrating risk exposure. News and event periods often justify temporary position size reductions during high-impact releases that can create unpredictable market movements.
Performance monitoring requires systematic protocols to ensure Kelly implementation remains effective over time. Weekly reviews should compare actual versus expected win rates and average win/loss ratios to identify parameter drift or strategy degradation. Position size efficiency and execution quality monitoring ensures that calculated recommendations translate effectively into actual trading results. Tracking correlation between calculated and realized risk helps identify discrepancies between theoretical and practical risk exposure.
Monthly calibration provides more comprehensive parameter assessment using the most recent 100 trades to maintain statistical relevance while capturing current market conditions. Kelly mode appropriateness requires reassessment based on recent market volatility and performance characteristics, potentially shifting between Full, Half, and Quarter Kelly approaches as conditions change. Transaction cost evaluation ensures that commission structures, spreads, and slippage estimates remain accurate and current.
Quarterly strategic reviews encompass comprehensive strategy performance analysis comparing long-term results against expectations and identifying trends in effectiveness. Market regime assessment evaluates parameter stability across different market conditions, determining whether strategy characteristics remain consistent or require fundamental adjustments. Strategic modifications to position sizing methodology may become necessary as markets evolve or trading approaches mature, ensuring that Kelly implementation continues supporting optimal capital allocation objectives.
Professional Applications
This calculator serves diverse professional applications across the financial industry. Quantitative hedge funds utilize the implementation for systematic position sizing within algorithmic trading frameworks, where mathematical precision and consistent application prove essential for institutional capital management. Professional discretionary traders benefit from optimized position management that removes emotional bias while maintaining flexibility for market-specific adjustments. Portfolio managers employ the calculator for developing risk-adjusted allocation strategies that enhance returns while maintaining prudent risk controls across diverse asset classes and investment strategies.
Individual traders seeking mathematical optimization of capital allocation find the calculator provides institutional-grade methodology previously available only to professional money managers. The Kelly Criterion establishes theoretical foundation for optimal capital allocation across both single strategies and multiple trading systems, offering significant advantages over arbitrary position sizing methods that rely on intuition or fixed percentage approaches. Professional implementation ensures consistent application of mathematically sound principles while adapting to changing market conditions and strategy performance characteristics.
Conclusion
The Kelly Criterion represents one of the few mathematically optimal solutions to fundamental investment problems. When properly understood and carefully implemented, it provides significant competitive advantage in financial markets. This calculator implements modern refinements to Kelly's original formula while maintaining accessibility for practical trading applications.
Success with Kelly requires ongoing learning, systematic application, and continuous refinement based on market feedback and evolving research. Users who master Kelly principles and implement them systematically can expect superior risk-adjusted returns and more consistent capital growth over extended periods.
The extensive academic literature provides rich resources for deeper study, while practical experience builds the intuition necessary for effective implementation. Regular parameter updates, conservative approaches with limited data, and disciplined adherence to calculated recommendations are essential for optimal results.
References
Archer, M. D. (2010). Getting Started in Currency Trading: Winning in Today's Forex Market (3rd ed.). John Wiley & Sons.
Baker, R. D., & McHale, I. G. (2012). An empirical Bayes approach to optimising betting strategies. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series D (The Statistician), 61(1), 75-92.
Breiman, L. (1961). Optimal gambling systems for favorable games. In J. Neyman (Ed.), Proceedings of the Fourth Berkeley Symposium on Mathematical Statistics and Probability (pp. 65-78). University of California Press.
Brown, D. B. (1976). Optimal portfolio growth: Logarithmic utility and the Kelly criterion. In W. T. Ziemba & R. G. Vickson (Eds.), Stochastic Optimization Models in Finance (pp. 1-23). Academic Press.
Browne, S., & Whitt, W. (1996). Portfolio choice and the Bayesian Kelly criterion. Advances in Applied Probability, 28(4), 1145-1176.
Estrada, J. (2008). Geometric mean maximization: An overlooked portfolio approach? The Journal of Investing, 17(4), 134-147.
Hakansson, N. H., & Ziemba, W. T. (1995). Capital growth theory. In R. A. Jarrow, V. Maksimovic, & W. T. Ziemba (Eds.), Handbooks in Operations Research and Management Science (Vol. 9, pp. 65-86). Elsevier.
Kahneman, D., & Tversky, A. (1979). Prospect theory: An analysis of decision under risk. Econometrica, 47(2), 263-291.
Kaufman, P. J. (2013). Trading Systems and Methods (5th ed.). John Wiley & Sons.
Kelly Jr, J. L. (1956). A new interpretation of information rate. Bell System Technical Journal, 35(4), 917-926.
Lo, A. W., & MacKinlay, A. C. (1999). A Non-Random Walk Down Wall Street. Princeton University Press.
MacLean, L. C., Sanegre, E. O., Zhao, Y., & Ziemba, W. T. (2004). Capital growth with security. Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 28(4), 937-954.
MacLean, L. C., Thorp, E. O., & Ziemba, W. T. (2011). The Kelly Capital Growth Investment Criterion: Theory and Practice. World Scientific.
Michaud, R. O. (1989). The Markowitz optimization enigma: Is 'optimized' optimal? Financial Analysts Journal, 45(1), 31-42.
Pabrai, M. (2007). The Dhandho Investor: The Low-Risk Value Method to High Returns. John Wiley & Sons.
Shannon, C. E. (1948). A mathematical theory of communication. Bell System Technical Journal, 27(3), 379-423.
Tharp, V. K. (2007). Trade Your Way to Financial Freedom (2nd ed.). McGraw-Hill.
Thorp, E. O. (2006). The Kelly criterion in blackjack sports betting, and the stock market. In L. C. MacLean, E. O. Thorp, & W. T. Ziemba (Eds.), The Kelly Capital Growth Investment Criterion: Theory and Practice (pp. 789-832). World Scientific.
Van Tharp, K. (2007). Trade Your Way to Financial Freedom (2nd ed.). McGraw-Hill Education.
Vince, R. (1992). The Mathematics of Money Management: Risk Analysis Techniques for Traders. John Wiley & Sons.
Vince, R., & Zhu, H. (2015). Optimal betting under parameter uncertainty. Journal of Statistical Planning and Inference, 161, 19-31.
Ziemba, W. T. (2003). The Stochastic Programming Approach to Asset, Liability, and Wealth Management. The Research Foundation of AIMR.
Further Reading
For comprehensive understanding of Kelly Criterion applications and advanced implementations:
MacLean, L. C., Thorp, E. O., & Ziemba, W. T. (2011). The Kelly Capital Growth Investment Criterion: Theory and Practice. World Scientific.
Vince, R. (1992). The Mathematics of Money Management: Risk Analysis Techniques for Traders. John Wiley & Sons.
Thorp, E. O. (2017). A Man for All Markets: From Las Vegas to Wall Street. Random House.
Cover, T. M., & Thomas, J. A. (2006). Elements of Information Theory (2nd ed.). John Wiley & Sons.
Ziemba, W. T., & Vickson, R. G. (Eds.). (2006). Stochastic Optimization Models in Finance. World Scientific.
Cumulative Volume DeltaCumulative Volume Delta (CVD) is a technical analysis indicator used in trading to measure the net buying or selling pressure in a market by tracking the difference between buying and selling volume over time. It’s particularly popular in futures, forex, and cryptocurrency trading, where volume data is critical for understanding market dynamics.
### How It Works:
- **Volume Delta**: For each price bar or time period, the volume delta is calculated as the difference between buying volume (trades executed at the ask price, indicating buyer aggression) and selling volume (trades executed at the bid price, indicating seller aggression).
- Formula: Volume Delta = Buying Volume - Selling Volume
- **Cumulative Volume Delta**: CVD sums up the volume delta over a specified period, creating a running total that reflects the overall trend of buying or selling pressure.
- If CVD is rising, it suggests stronger buying pressure (bullish sentiment).
- If CVD is falling, it indicates stronger selling pressure (bearish sentiment).
### Key Features:
1. **Divergence Analysis**: Traders use CVD to spot divergences between price movements and volume trends. For example, if the price is rising but CVD is declining, it may signal weakening bullish momentum (potential reversal).
2. **Support/Resistance Confirmation**: CVD can confirm breakouts or reversals at key price levels by showing whether volume supports the price movement.
3. **Trend Strength**: A steeply rising or falling CVD line indicates strong directional pressure, while a flat CVD suggests indecision or consolidation.
### Example:
- If a cryptocurrency like Bitcoin has 10,000 units bought at the ask and 7,000 units sold at the bid in a given period, the volume delta is +3,000. Over multiple periods, these deltas are added to form the CVD.
- A rising CVD alongside a price uptrend confirms bullish strength, while a falling CVD during a price uptrend may warn of a potential pullback.
### Limitations:
- **Data Dependency**: CVD relies on accurate bid/ask volume data, which may not be available or reliable on all platforms (e.g., some exchanges don’t provide detailed order book data).
- **Lagging Nature**: As a cumulative indicator, it may lag behind rapid price changes.
- **Context Matters**: CVD should be used with other indicators (e.g., price action, support/resistance) for better accuracy.
### Practical Use:
Traders often plot CVD as a line chart below the price chart on platforms like TradingView or Sierra Chart. It’s useful for:
- Identifying trend reversals or continuations.
- Confirming breakouts or breakdowns.
- Assessing market sentiment in low-liquidity or high-volatility markets.
Clean Multi-Indicator Alignment System
Overview
A sophisticated multi-indicator alignment system designed for 24/7 trading across all markets, with pure signal-based exits and no time restrictions. Perfect for futures, forex, and crypto markets that operate around the clock.
Key Features
🎯 Multi-Indicator Confluence System
EMA Cross Strategy: Fast EMA (5) and Slow EMA (10) for precise trend direction
VWAP Integration: Institution-level price positioning analysis
RSI Momentum: 7-period RSI for momentum confirmation and reversal detection
MACD Signals: Optimized 8/17/5 configuration for scalping responsiveness
Volume Confirmation: Customizable volume multiplier (default 1.6x) for signal validation
🚀 Advanced Entry Logic
Initial Full Alignment: Requires all 5 indicators + volume confirmation
Smart Continuation Entries: EMA9 pullback entries when trend momentum remains intact
Flexible Time Controls: Optional session filtering or 24/7 operation
🎪 Pure Signal-Based Exits
No Forced Closes: Positions exit only on technical signal reversals
Dual Exit Conditions: EMA9 breakdown + RSI flip OR MACD cross + EMA20 breakdown
Trend Following: Allows profitable trends to run their full course
Perfect for Swing Scalping: Ideal for multi-session position holding
📊 Visual Interface
Real-Time Status Dashboard: Live alignment monitoring for all indicators
Color-Coded Candles: Instant visual confirmation of entry/exit signals
Clean Chart Display: Toggle-able EMAs and VWAP with professional styling
Signal Differentiation: Clear labels for entries, X-crosses for exits
🔔 Alert System
Entry Notifications: Separate alerts for buy/sell signals
Exit Warnings: Technical breakdown alerts for position management
Mobile Ready: Push notifications to TradingView mobile app
Market Applications
Perfect For:
Gold Futures (GC): 24-hour precious metals trading
NASDAQ Futures (NQ): High-volatility index scalping
Forex Markets: Currency pairs with continuous operation
Crypto Trading: 24/7 cryptocurrency momentum plays
Energy Futures: Oil, gas, and commodity swing trades
Optimal Timeframes:
1-5 Minutes: Ultra-fast scalping during high volatility
5-15 Minutes: Balanced approach for most markets
15-30 Minutes: Swing scalping for trend following
🧠 Smart Position Management
Tracks implied position direction
Prevents conflicting signals
Allows trend continuation entries
State-aware exit logic
⚡ Scalping Optimized
Fast-reacting indicators with shorter periods
Volume-based confirmation reduces false signals
Clean entry/exit visualization
Minimal lag for time-sensitive trades
Configuration Options
All parameters fully customizable:
EMA Lengths: Adjustable from 1-30 periods
RSI Period: 1-14 range for different market conditions
MACD Settings: Fast (1-15), Slow (1-30), Signal (1-10)
Volume Confirmation: 0.5-5.0x multiplier range
Visual Preferences: Colors, displays, and table options
Risk Management Features
Clear visual exit signals prevent emotion-based decisions
Volume confirmation reduces false breakouts
Multi-indicator confluence improves signal quality
Optional time filtering for session-specific strategies
Best Use Cases
Futures Scalping: NQ, ES, GC during active sessions
Forex Swing Trading: Major pairs during overlap periods
Crypto Momentum: Bitcoin, Ethereum trend following
24/7 Automated Systems: Algorithmic trading implementation
Multi-Market Scanning: Portfolio-wide signal monitoring
Mutanabby_AI | Algo Pro Strategy# Mutanabby_AI | Algo Pro Strategy: Advanced Candlestick Pattern Trading System
## Strategy Overview
The Mutanabby_AI Algo Pro Strategy represents a systematic approach to automated trading based on advanced candlestick pattern recognition and multi-layered technical filtering. This strategy transforms traditional engulfing pattern analysis into a comprehensive trading system with sophisticated risk management and flexible position sizing capabilities.
The strategy operates on a long-only basis, entering positions when bullish engulfing patterns meet specific technical criteria and exiting when bearish engulfing patterns indicate potential trend reversals. The system incorporates multiple confirmation layers to enhance signal reliability while providing comprehensive customization options for different trading approaches and risk management preferences.
## Core Algorithm Architecture
The strategy foundation relies on bullish and bearish engulfing candlestick pattern recognition enhanced through technical analysis filtering mechanisms. Entry signals require simultaneous satisfaction of four distinct criteria: confirmed bullish engulfing pattern formation, candle stability analysis indicating decisive price action, RSI momentum confirmation below specified thresholds, and price decline verification over adjustable lookback periods.
The candle stability index measures the ratio between candlestick body size and total range including wicks, ensuring only well-formed patterns with clear directional conviction generate trading signals. This filtering mechanism eliminates indecisive market conditions where pattern reliability diminishes significantly.
RSI integration provides momentum confirmation by requiring oversold conditions before entry signal generation, ensuring alignment between pattern formation and underlying momentum characteristics. The RSI threshold remains fully adjustable to accommodate different market conditions and volatility environments.
Price decline verification examines whether current prices have decreased over a specified period, confirming that bullish engulfing patterns occur after meaningful downward movement rather than during sideways consolidation phases. This requirement enhances the probability of successful reversal pattern completion.
## Advanced Position Management System
The strategy incorporates dual position sizing methodologies to accommodate different account sizes and risk management approaches. Percentage-based position sizing calculates trade quantities as equity percentages, enabling consistent risk exposure across varying account balances and market conditions. This approach proves particularly valuable for systematic trading approaches and portfolio management applications.
Fixed quantity sizing provides precise control over trade sizes independent of account equity fluctuations, offering predictable position management for specific trading strategies or when implementing precise risk allocation models. The system enables seamless switching between sizing methods through simple configuration adjustments.
Position quantity calculations integrate seamlessly with TradingView's strategy testing framework, ensuring accurate backtesting results and realistic performance evaluation across different market conditions and time periods. The implementation maintains consistency between historical testing and live trading applications.
## Comprehensive Risk Management Framework
The strategy features dual stop loss methodologies addressing different risk management philosophies and market analysis approaches. Entry price-based stop losses calculate stop levels as fixed percentages below entry prices, providing predictable risk exposure and consistent risk-reward ratio maintenance across all trades.
The percentage-based stop loss system enables precise risk control by limiting maximum loss per trade to predetermined levels regardless of market volatility or entry timing. This approach proves essential for systematic trading strategies requiring consistent risk parameters and capital preservation during adverse market conditions.
Lowest low-based stop losses identify recent price support levels by analyzing minimum prices over adjustable lookback periods, placing stops below these technical levels with additional buffer percentages. This methodology aligns stop placement with market structure rather than arbitrary percentage calculations, potentially improving stop loss effectiveness during normal market fluctuations.
The lookback period adjustment enables optimization for different timeframes and market characteristics, with shorter periods providing tighter stops for active trading and longer periods offering broader stops suitable for position trading approaches. Buffer percentage additions ensure stops remain below obvious support levels where other market participants might place similar orders.
## Visual Customization and Interface Design
The strategy provides comprehensive visual customization through eight predefined color schemes designed for different chart backgrounds and personal preferences. Color scheme options include Classic bright green and red combinations, Ocean themes featuring blue and orange contrasts, Sunset combinations using gold and crimson, and Neon schemes providing high visibility through bright color selections.
Professional color schemes such as Forest, Royal, and Fire themes offer sophisticated alternatives suitable for business presentations and professional trading environments. The Custom color scheme enables precise color selection through individual color picker controls, maintaining maximum flexibility for specific visual requirements.
Label styling options accommodate different chart analysis preferences through text bubble, triangle, and arrow display formats. Size adjustments range from tiny through huge settings, ensuring appropriate visual scaling across different screen resolutions and chart configurations. Text color customization maintains readability across various chart themes and background selections.
## Signal Quality Enhancement Features
The strategy incorporates signal filtering mechanisms designed to eliminate repetitive signal generation during choppy market conditions. The disable repeating signals option prevents consecutive identical signals until opposing conditions occur, reducing overtrading during consolidation phases and improving overall signal quality.
Signal confirmation requirements ensure all technical criteria align before trade execution, reducing false signal occurrence while maintaining reasonable trading frequency for active strategies. The multi-layered approach balances signal quality against opportunity frequency through adjustable parameter optimization.
Entry and exit visualization provides clear trade identification through customizable labels positioned at relevant price levels. Stop loss visualization displays active risk levels through colored line plots, ensuring complete transparency regarding current risk management parameters during live trading operations.
## Implementation Guidelines and Optimization
The strategy performs effectively across multiple timeframes with optimal results typically occurring on intermediate timeframes ranging from fifteen minutes through four hours. Higher timeframes provide more reliable pattern formation and reduced false signal occurrence, while lower timeframes increase trading frequency at the expense of some signal reliability.
Parameter optimization should focus on RSI threshold adjustments based on market volatility characteristics and candlestick pattern timeframe analysis. Higher RSI thresholds generate fewer but potentially higher quality signals, while lower thresholds increase signal frequency with corresponding reliability considerations.
Stop loss method selection depends on trading style preferences and market analysis philosophy. Entry price-based stops suit systematic approaches requiring consistent risk parameters, while lowest low-based stops align with technical analysis methodologies emphasizing market structure recognition.
## Performance Considerations and Risk Disclosure
The strategy operates exclusively on long positions, making it unsuitable for bear market conditions or extended downtrend periods. Users should consider market environment analysis and broader trend assessment before implementing the strategy during adverse market conditions.
Candlestick pattern reliability varies significantly across different market conditions, with higher reliability typically occurring during trending markets compared to ranging or volatile conditions. Strategy performance may deteriorate during periods of reduced pattern effectiveness or increased market noise.
Risk management through stop loss implementation remains essential for capital preservation during adverse market movements. The strategy does not guarantee profitable outcomes and requires proper position sizing and risk management to prevent significant capital loss during unfavorable trading periods.
## Technical Specifications
The strategy utilizes standard TradingView Pine Script functions ensuring compatibility across all supported instruments and timeframes. Default configuration employs 14-period RSI calculations, adjustable candle stability thresholds, and customizable price decline verification periods optimized for general market conditions.
Initial capital settings default to $10,000 with percentage-based equity allocation, though users can adjust these parameters based on account size and risk tolerance requirements. The strategy maintains detailed trade logs and performance metrics through TradingView's integrated backtesting framework.
Alert integration enables real-time notification of entry and exit signals, stop loss executions, and other significant trading events. The comprehensive alert system supports automated trading applications and manual trade management approaches through detailed signal information provision.
## Conclusion
The Mutanabby_AI Algo Pro Strategy provides a systematic framework for candlestick pattern trading with comprehensive risk management and position sizing flexibility. The strategy's strength lies in its multi-layered confirmation approach and sophisticated customization options, enabling adaptation to various trading styles and market conditions.
Successful implementation requires understanding of candlestick pattern analysis principles and appropriate parameter optimization for specific market characteristics. The strategy serves traders seeking automated execution of proven technical analysis techniques while maintaining comprehensive control over risk management and position sizing methodologies.
Mutanabby_AI __ OSC+ST+SQZMOMMutanabby_AI OSC+ST+SQZMOM: Multi-Component Trading Analysis Tool
Overview
The Mutanabby_AI OSC+ST+SQZMOM indicator combines three proven technical analysis components into a unified trading system, providing comprehensive market analysis through integrated oscillator signals, trend identification, and volatility assessment.
Core Components
Wave Trend Oscillator (OSC): Identifies overbought and oversold market conditions using exponential moving average calculations. Key threshold levels include overbought zones at 60 and 53, with oversold areas marked at -60 and -53. Crossover signals between the two oscillator lines generate entry opportunities, displayed as colored circles on the chart for easy identification.
Supertrend Indicator (ST): Determines overall market direction using Average True Range calculations with a 2.5 factor and 10-period ATR configuration. Green lines indicate confirmed uptrends while red lines signal downtrend conditions. The indicator automatically adapts to market volatility changes, providing reliable trend identification across different market environments.
Squeeze Momentum (SQZMOM): Compares Bollinger Bands with Keltner Channels to identify consolidation periods and potential breakout scenarios. Black squares indicate squeeze conditions representing low volatility periods, green triangles signal confirmed upward breakouts, and red triangles mark downward breakout confirmations.
Signal Generation Logic
Long Entry Conditions:
Green triangles from Squeeze Momentum component
Supertrend line transitioning to green
Bullish crossovers in Wave Trend Oscillator from oversold territory
Short Entry Conditions:
Red triangles from Squeeze Momentum component
Supertrend line transitioning to red
Bearish crossovers in Wave Trend Oscillator from overbought territory
Automated Risk Management
The indicator incorporates comprehensive risk management through ATR-based calculations. Stop losses are automatically positioned at 3x ATR distance from entry points, while three progressive take profit targets are established at 1x, 2x, and 3x ATR multiples respectively. All risk management levels are clearly displayed on the chart using colored lines and informative labels.
When trend direction changes, the system automatically clears previous risk levels and generates new calculations, ensuring all risk parameters remain current and relevant to existing market conditions.
Alert and Notification System
Comprehensive alert framework includes trend change notifications with complete trade setup details, squeeze release alerts for breakout opportunity identification, and trend weakness warnings for active position management. Alert messages contain specific trading pair information, timeframe specifications, and all relevant entry and exit level data.
Implementation Guidelines
Timeframe Selection: Higher timeframes including 4-hour and daily charts provide the most reliable signals for position trading strategies. One-hour charts demonstrate good performance for day trading applications, while 15-30 minute timeframes enable scalping approaches with enhanced risk management requirements.
Risk Management Integration: Limit individual trade risk to 1-2% of total capital using the automatically calculated stop loss levels for precise position sizing. Implement systematic profit-taking at each target level while adjusting stop loss positions to protect accumulated gains.
Market Volatility Adaptation: The indicator's ATR-based calculations automatically adjust to changing market volatility conditions. During high volatility periods, risk management levels appropriately widen, while low volatility conditions result in tighter risk parameters.
Optimization Techniques
Combine indicator signals with fundamental support and resistance level analysis for enhanced signal validation. Monitor volume patterns to confirm breakout strength, particularly when Squeeze Momentum signals develop. Maintain awareness of scheduled economic events that may influence market behavior independent of technical indicator signals.
The multi-component design provides internal signal confirmation through multiple alignment requirements, significantly reducing false signal occurrence while maintaining reasonable trade frequency for active trading strategies.
Technical Specifications
The Wave Trend Oscillator utilizes customizable channel length (default 10) and average length (default 21) parameters for optimal market sensitivity. Supertrend calculations employ ATR period of 10 with factor multiplier of 2.5 for balanced signal quality. Squeeze Momentum analysis uses Bollinger Band length of 20 periods with 2.0 multiplication factor, combined with Keltner Channel length of 20 periods and 1.5 multiplication factor.
Conclusion
The Mutanabby_AI OSC+ST+SQZMOM indicator provides a systematic approach to technical market analysis through the integration of proven oscillator, trend, and momentum components. Success requires thorough understanding of each element's functionality and disciplined implementation of proper risk management principles.
Practice with demo trading accounts before live implementation to develop familiarity with signal interpretation and trade management procedures. The indicator's systematic approach effectively reduces emotional decision-making while providing clear, objective guidelines for trade entry, management, and exit strategies across various market conditions.
CVDD Z-ScoreCumulative Value Days Destroyed (CVDD) - The CVDD was created by Willy Woo and is the ratio of the cumulative value of Coin Days Destroyed in USD and the market age (in days). While this indicator is used to detect bottoms normally, an extension is used to allow detection of BTC tops. When the BTC price goes above the CVDD extension, BTC is generally considered to be overvalued. Because the "strength" of the BTC tops has decreased over the cycles, a logarithmic function for the extension was created by fitting past cycles as log extension = slope * time + intercept. This indicator is triggered for a top when the BTC price is above the CVDD extension. For the bottoms, the CVDD is shifted upwards at a default value of 120%. The slope, intercept, and CVDD bottom shift can all be modified in the script.
Now with the automatic Z-Score calculation for ease of classification of Bitcoin's valuation according to this metric.
Created for TRW.
Mayer Multiple Z-ScoreMayer Multiple is a ratio between the current Market Price and its 200 days moving average.
Being a lagging indicator it shows periods of relative value for the asset but does not have much predictive power.
It is worth noting that the indicator relies on a fairly responsive moving average on the scale of a Bitcoin market cycle and as such may be best suited for the swing traders to find zones where price is overbought and oversold within a market cycle.
Added the Z-Score metric for easy classification of the value of Bitcoin according to this indicator. Customizable thresholds from Z-Score calculation as the metric suffers alpha decay / compression.
Created for TRW
[Stratégia] VWAP Mean Magnet v9 (Simple Alert)This strategy is specifically designed for a ranging (sideways-moving) Bitcoin market.
A trade is only opened and signaled on the chart if all three of the following conditions are met simultaneously at the close of a candle:
Zone Entry
The price must cross into the signal zone: the red band for a Short (sell) position, or the green band for a Long (buy) position.
RSI Confirmation
The RSI indicator must also confirm the signal. For a Short, it must go above 65 (overbought condition). For a Long, it must fall below 25 (oversold condition).
Volume Filter
The volume on the entry candle cannot be excessively high. This safety filter is designed to prevent trades during risky, high-momentum breakouts.
On-Chain Signals [LuxAlgo]The On-Chain Signals indicator uses fundamental blockchain metrics to provide traders with an objective technical view of their favorite cryptocurrencies.
It uses IntoTheBlock datasets integrated within TradingView to generate four key signals: Net Network Growth, In the Money, Concentration, and Large Transactions.
Together, these four signals provide traders with an overall directional bias of the market. All of the data can be visualized as a gauge, table, historical plot, or average.
🔶 USAGE
The main goal of this tool is to provide an overall directional bias based on four blockchain signals, each with three possible biases: bearish, neutral, or bullish. The thresholds for each signal bias can be adjusted on the settings panel.
These signals are based on IntoTheBlock's On-Chain Signals.
Net network growth: Change in the total number of addresses over the last seven periods; i.e., how many new addresses are being created.
In the Money: Change in the seven-period moving average of the total supply in the money. This shows how many addresses are profitable.
Concentration: Change in the aggregate addresses of whales and investors from the previous period. These are addresses holding at least 0.1% of the supply. This shows how many addresses are in the hands of a few.
Large Transactions: Changes in the number of transactions over $100,000. This metric tracks convergence or divergence from the 21- and 30-day EMAs and indicates the momentum of large transactions.
All of these signals together form the blockchain's overall directional bias.
Bearish: The number of bearish individual signals is greater than the number of bullish individual signals.
Neutral: The number of bearish individual signals is equal to the number of bullish individual signals.
Bullish: The number of bullish individual signals is greater than the number of bearish individual signals.
If the overall directional bias is bullish, we can expect the price of the observed cryptocurrency to increase. If the bias is bearish, we can expect the price to decrease. If the signal is neutral, the price may be more likely to stay the same.
Traders should be aware of two things. First, the signals provide optimal results when the chart is set to the daily timeframe. Second, the tool uses IntoTheBlock data, which is available on TradingView. Therefore, some cryptocurrencies may not be available.
🔹 Display Mode
Traders have three different display modes at their disposal. These modes can be easily selected from the settings panel. The gauge is set by default.
🔹 Gauge
The gauge will appear in the center of the visible space. Traders can adjust its size using the Scale parameter in the Settings panel. They can also give it a curved effect.
The number of bars displayed directly affects the gauge's resolution: More bars result in better resolution.
The chart above shows the effect that different scale configurations have on the gauge.
🔹 Historical Data
The chart above shows the historical data for each of the four signals.
Traders can use this mode to adjust the thresholds for each signal on the settings panel to fit the behavior of each cryptocurrency. They can also analyze how each metric impacts price behavior over time.
🔹 Average
This display mode provides an easy way to see the overall bias of past prices in order to analyze price behavior in relation to the underlying blockchain's directional bias.
The average is calculated by taking the values of the overall bias as -1 for bearish, 0 for neutral, and +1 for bullish, and then applying a triangular moving average over 20 periods by default. Simple and exponential moving averages are available, and traders can select the period length from the settings panel.
🔶 DETAILS
The four signals are based on IntoTheBlock's On-Chain Signals. We gather the data, manipulate it, and build the signals depending on each threshold.
Net network growth
float netNetworkGrowthData = customData('_TOTALADDRESSES')
float netNetworkGrowth = 100*(netNetworkGrowthData /netNetworkGrowthData - 1)
In the Money
float inTheMoneyData = customData('_INOUTMONEYIN')
float averageBalance = customData('_AVGBALANCE')
float inTheMoneyBalance = inTheMoneyData*averageBalance
float sma = ta.sma(inTheMoneyBalance,7)
float inTheMoney = ta.roc(sma,1)
Concentration
float whalesData = customData('_WHALESPERCENTAGE')
float inverstorsData = customData('_INVESTORSPERCENTAGE')
float bigHands = whalesData+inverstorsData
float concentration = ta.change(bigHands )*100
Large Transactions
float largeTransacionsData = customData('_LARGETXCOUNT')
float largeTX21 = ta.ema(largeTransacionsData,21)
float largeTX30 = ta.ema(largeTransacionsData,30)
float largeTransacions = ((largeTX21 - largeTX30)/largeTX30)*100
🔶 SETTINGS
Display mode: Select between gauge, historical data and average.
Average: Select a smoothing method and length period.
🔹 Thresholds
Net Network Growth : Bullish and bearish thresholds for this signal.
In The Money : Bullish and bearish thresholds for this signal.
Concentration : Bullish and bearish thresholds for this signal.
Transactions : Bullish and bearish thresholds for this signal.
🔹 Dashboard
Dashboard : Enable/disable dashboard display
Position : Select dashboard location
Size : Select dashboard size
🔹 Gauge
Scale : Select the size of the gauge
Curved : Enable/disable curved mode
Select Gauge colors for bearish, neutral and bullish bias
🔹 Style
Net Network Growth : Enable/disable historical plot and choose color
In The Money : Enable/disable historical plot and choose color
Concentration : Enable/disable historical plot and choose color
Large Transacions : Enable/disable historical plot and choose color
Correlation HeatMap [TradingFinder] Sessions Data Science Stats🔵 Introduction
n financial markets, correlation describes the statistical relationship between the price movements of two assets and how they interact over time. It plays a key role in both trading and investing by helping analyze asset behavior, manage portfolio risk, and understand intermarket dynamics. The Correlation Heatmap is a visual tool that shows how the correlation between multiple assets and a central reference asset (the Main Symbol) changes over time.
It supports four market types forex, stocks, crypto, and a custom mode making it adaptable to different trading environments. The heatmap uses a color-coded grid where warmer tones represent stronger negative correlations and cooler tones indicate stronger positive ones. This intuitive color system allows traders to quickly identify when assets move together or diverge, offering real-time insights that go beyond traditional correlation tables.
🟣 How to Interpret the Heatmap Visually ?
Each cell represents the correlation between the main symbol and one compared asset at a specific time.
Warm colors (e.g. red, orange) suggest strong negative correlation as one asset rises, the other tends to fall.
Cool colors (e.g. blue, green) suggest strong positive correlation both assets tend to move in the same direction.
Lighter shades indicate weaker correlations, while darker shades indicate stronger correlations.
The heatmap updates over time, allowing users to detect changes in correlation during market events or trading sessions.
One of the standout features of this indicator is its ability to overlay global market sessions such as Tokyo, London, New York, or major equity opens directly onto the heatmap timeline. This alignment lets traders observe how correlation structures respond to real-world session changes. For example, they can spot when assets shift from being inversely correlated to moving together as a new session opens, potentially signaling new momentum or macro flow. The customizable symbol setup (including up to 20 compared assets) makes it ideal not only for forex and crypto traders but also for multi-asset and sector-based stock analysis.
🟣 Use Cases and Advantages
Analyze sector rotation in equities by tracking correlation to major indices like SPX or DJI.
Monitor altcoin behavior relative to Bitcoin to find early entry opportunities in crypto markets.
Detect changes in currency alignment with DXY across trading sessions in forex.
Identify correlation breakdowns during market volatility, signaling possible new trends.
Use correlation shifts as confirmation for trade setups or to hedge multi-asset exposure
🔵 How to Use
Correlation is one of the core concepts in financial analysis and allows traders to understand how assets behave in relation to one another. The Correlation Heatmap extends this idea by going beyond a simple number or static matrix. Instead, it presents a dynamic visual map of how correlations shift over time.
In this indicator, a Main Symbol is selected as the reference point for analysis. In standard modes such as forex, stocks, or crypto, the symbol currently shown on the main chart is automatically used as the main symbol. This allows users to begin correlation analysis right away without adjusting any settings.
The horizontal axis of the heatmap shows time, while the vertical axis lists the selected assets. Each cell on the heatmap shows the correlation between that asset and the main symbol at a given moment.
This approach is especially useful for intermarket analysis. In forex, for example, tracking how currency pairs like OANDA:EURUSD EURUSD, FX:GBPUSD GBPUSD, and PEPPERSTONE:AUDUSD AUDUSD correlate with TVC:DXY DXY can give insight into broader capital flow.
If these pairs start showing increasing positive correlation with DXY say, shifting from blue to light green it could signal the start of a new phase or reversal. Conversely, if negative correlation fades gradually, it may suggest weakening relationships and more independent or volatile movement.
In the crypto market, watching how altcoins correlate with Bitcoin can help identify ideal entry points in secondary assets. In the stock market, analyzing how companies within the same sector move in relation to a major index like SP:SPX SPX or DJ:DJI DJI is also a highly effective technique for both technical and fundamental analysts.
This indicator not only visualizes correlation but also displays major market sessions. When enabled, this feature helps traders observe how correlation behavior changes at the start of each session, whether it's Tokyo, London, New York, or the opening of stock exchanges. Many key shifts, breakouts, or reversals tend to happen around these times, and the heatmap makes them easy to spot.
Another important feature is the market selection mode. Users can switch between forex, crypto, stocks, or custom markets and see correlation behavior specific to each one. In custom mode, users can manually select any combination of symbols for more advanced or personalized analysis. This makes the heatmap valuable not only for forex traders but also for stock traders, crypto analysts, and multi-asset strategists.
Finally, the heatmap's color-coded design helps users make sense of the data quickly. Warm colors such as red and orange reflect stronger negative correlations, while cool colors like blue and green represent stronger positive relationships. This simplicity and clarity make the tool accessible to both beginners and experienced traders.
🔵 Settings
Correlation Period: Allows you to set how many historical bars are used for calculating correlation. A higher number means a smoother, slower-moving heatmap, while a lower number makes it more responsive to recent changes.
Select Market: Lets you choose between Forex, Stock, Crypto, or Custom. In the first three options, the chart’s active symbol is automatically used as the Main Symbol. In Custom mode, you can manually define the Main Symbol and up to 20 Compared Symbols.
Show Open Session: Enables the display of major trading sessions such as Tokyo, London, New York, or equity market opening hours directly on the timeline. This helps you connect correlation shifts with real-world market activity.
Market Mode: Lets you select whether the displayed sessions relate to the forex or stock market.
🔵 Conclusion
The Correlation Heatmap is a robust and flexible tool for analyzing the relationship between assets across different markets. By tracking how correlations change in real time, traders can better identify alignment or divergence between symbols and gain valuable insights into market structure.
Support for multiple asset classes, session overlays, and intuitive visual cues make this one of the most effective tools for intermarket analysis.
Whether you’re looking to manage portfolio risk, validate entry points, or simply understand capital flow across markets, this heatmap provides a clear and actionable perspective that you can rely on.
BTC CME Futures Gaps (BTCGapHunt_CME)BTC CME Futures Gaps Indicator
Overview
This indicator visualises price gaps between the daily close and open of Bitcoin CME futures (CME:BTC1!). These gaps are often revisited ("filled") by market price action and may serve as technical targets.
Thanks
... to Maven and the Blockchain Masons (x.com/Masons_DAO) to push me on this topic.
What Is a CME Gap?
CME Bitcoin Futures do not trade 24/7. Gaps form when the market reopens at a different price than where it last closed.
Gaps are often used as support/resistance or liquidity targets.
This indicator tracks, visualises, and alerts on these gaps.
Key Features
Automatic gap detection using daily open/close on CME:BTC1!
Dynamic gap size threshold based on ATR (Average True Range)
Highlight unfilled gaps and track partial fills visually
Alerts for gap formation and fill events
Parameter overlay showing real-time settings
Supported and Overrideable Parameters
ATR Length: Defines the lookback period for ATR calculation (default: 14)
Gap Size Multiplier: Multiplies the ATR to set the dynamic gap threshold (default: 1.0)
Proximity Threshold: Price distance from gap edge to consider it filled (default: 100 USD)
Max Gaps Tracked: Maximum number of concurrent gaps shown (default: 50)
Alerts Enabled: Toggle alerts for gap formation and gap fill events
How the Gap Size Is Calculated
Minimum Gap Size = ATR(14) * Gap Size Multiplier
ATR Length and Gap Size Multiplier are configurable.
Gap threshold adjusts dynamically with market volatility.
Visual Guide
Red Box: Fully unfilled gap
Lemon Yellow Box: Partially filled gap
Right Margin Boxes: Snapshot of unfilled gaps for quick access
Top-Right Panel: Current ATR, Gap Size, Thresholds, etc.
Alerts
Gap Formed: A new gap is detected.
Gap Filled: The gap is either partially or fully filled.
Recommended Timeframes
1H, 4H, 1D (best resolution)
Designed for BTC spot/perpetual charts (e.g., BTCUSD, BTCUSDT)
How To Use
Add the script to your BTC chart.
Monitor red/yellow boxes for unfilled gaps.
Check config panel for current threshold and settings.
Enable alerts via TradingView for real-time updates.
Notes
Up to 50 gaps are tracked (adjustable).
Data source: CME futures via request.security.
All visuals and alerts are time-synced with your chart.
Disclaimer
This script is for educational purposes only. Trade at your own risk.
RS to BTC – EYASU V1RS to BTC – Full Suite
📝 Description:
This script tracks the relative strength of any coin against Bitcoin (RSBTC) in real-time. It is designed for altcoin traders who want to identify which coins are outperforming or underperforming BTC across multiple timeframes.
Features:
📈 RSBTC Line: Real-time plot of the altcoin’s price divided by BTC price
🟦 RSBTC Moving Average: Smooths the RS line to help identify trends
🔵 RSBTC RSI (Hidden by default): Highlights momentum of RS to detect overbought/oversold zones
🚨 Alerts: Set alerts for RSBTC crossing its moving average and RSI levels
Ideal for:
Spotting early altcoin breakouts
Timing entries/exits based on BTC-relative performance
Filtering for strong/weak coins before macro news
📱 Fully mobile compatible. Load it on any USDT chart — it auto-detects BTC and gives RS instantly.
Created by: @Eyasustock
License: Mozilla Public License 2.0
Crypto Options Greeks & Volatility Analyzer [BackQuant]Crypto Options Greeks & Volatility Analyzer
Overview
The Crypto Options Greeks & Volatility Analyzer is a comprehensive analytical tool that calculates Black-Scholes option Greeks up to the third order for Bitcoin and Ethereum options. It integrates implied volatility data from VOLMEX indices and provides multiple visualization layers for options risk analysis.
Quick Introduction to Options Trading
Options are financial derivatives that give the holder the right, but not the obligation, to buy or sell an underlying asset at a predetermined price (strike price) within a specific time period (expiration date). Understanding options requires grasping two fundamental concepts:
Call Options : Give the right to buy the underlying asset at the strike price. Calls increase in value when the underlying price rises above the strike price.
Put Options : Give the right to sell the underlying asset at the strike price. Puts increase in value when the underlying price falls below the strike price.
The Language of Options: Greeks
Options traders use "Greeks" - mathematical measures that describe how an option's price changes in response to various factors:
Delta : How much the option price moves for each $1 change in the underlying
Gamma : How fast delta changes as the underlying moves
Theta : Daily time decay - how much value erodes each day
Vega : Sensitivity to implied volatility changes
Rho : Sensitivity to interest rate changes
These Greeks are essential for understanding risk. Just as a pilot needs instruments to fly safely, options traders need Greeks to navigate market conditions and manage positions effectively.
Why Volatility Matters
Implied volatility (IV) represents the market's expectation of future price movement. High IV means:
Options are more expensive (higher premiums)
Market expects larger price swings
Better for option sellers
Low IV means:
Options are cheaper
Market expects smaller moves
Better for option buyers
This indicator helps you visualize and quantify these critical concepts in real-time.
Back to the Indicator
Key Features & Components
1. Complete Greeks Calculations
The indicator computes all standard Greeks using the Black-Scholes-Merton model adapted for cryptocurrency markets:
First Order Greeks:
Delta (Δ) : Measures the rate of change of option price with respect to underlying price movement. Ranges from 0 to 1 for calls and -1 to 0 for puts.
Vega (ν) : Sensitivity to implied volatility changes, expressed as price change per 1% change in IV.
Theta (Θ) : Time decay measured in dollars per day, showing how much value erodes with each passing day.
Rho (ρ) : Interest rate sensitivity, measuring price change per 1% change in risk-free rate.
Second Order Greeks:
Gamma (Γ) : Rate of change of delta with respect to underlying price, indicating how quickly delta will change.
Vanna : Cross-derivative measuring delta's sensitivity to volatility changes and vega's sensitivity to price changes.
Charm : Delta decay over time, showing how delta changes as expiration approaches.
Vomma (Volga) : Vega's sensitivity to volatility changes, important for volatility trading strategies.
Third Order Greeks:
Speed : Rate of change of gamma with respect to underlying price (∂Γ/∂S).
Zomma : Gamma's sensitivity to volatility changes (∂Γ/∂σ).
Color : Gamma decay over time (∂Γ/∂T).
Ultima : Third-order volatility sensitivity (∂²ν/∂σ²).
2. Implied Volatility Analysis
The indicator includes a sophisticated IV ranking system that analyzes current implied volatility relative to its recent history:
IV Rank : Percentile ranking of current IV within its 30-day range (0-100%)
IV Percentile : Percentage of days in the lookback period where IV was lower than current
IV Regime Classification : Very Low, Low, High, or Very High
Color-Coded Headers : Visual indication of volatility regime in the Greeks table
Trading regime suggestions based on IV rank:
IV Rank > 75%: "Favor selling options" (high premium environment)
IV Rank 50-75%: "Neutral / Sell spreads"
IV Rank 25-50%: "Neutral / Buy spreads"
IV Rank < 25%: "Favor buying options" (low premium environment)
3. Gamma Zones Visualization
Gamma zones display horizontal price levels where gamma exposure is highest:
Purple horizontal lines indicate gamma concentration areas
Opacity scaling : Darker shading represents higher gamma values
Percentage labels : Shows gamma intensity relative to ATM gamma
Customizable zones : 3-10 price levels can be analyzed
These zones are critical for understanding:
Pin risk around expiration
Potential for explosive price movements
Optimal strike selection for gamma trading
Market maker hedging flows
4. Probability Cones (Expected Move)
The probability cones project expected price ranges based on current implied volatility:
1 Standard Deviation (68% probability) : Shown with dashed green/red lines
2 Standard Deviations (95% probability) : Shown with dotted green/red lines
Time-scaled projection : Cones widen as expiration approaches
Lognormal distribution : Accounts for positive skew in asset prices
Applications:
Strike selection for credit spreads
Identifying high-probability profit zones
Setting realistic price targets
Risk management for undefined risk strategies
5. Breakeven Analysis
The indicator plots key price levels for options positions:
White line : Strike price
Green line : Call breakeven (Strike + Premium)
Red line : Put breakeven (Strike - Premium)
These levels update dynamically as option premiums change with market conditions.
6. Payoff Structure Visualization
Optional P&L labels display profit/loss at expiration for various price levels:
Shows P&L at -2 sigma, -1 sigma, ATM, +1 sigma, and +2 sigma price levels
Separate calculations for calls and puts
Helps visualize option payoff diagrams directly on the chart
Updates based on current option premiums
Configuration Options
Calculation Parameters
Asset Selection : BTC or ETH (limited by VOLMEX IV data availability)
Expiry Options : 1D, 7D, 14D, 30D, 60D, 90D, 180D
Strike Mode : ATM (uses current spot) or Custom (manual strike input)
Risk-Free Rate : Adjustable annual rate for discounting calculations
Display Settings
Greeks Display : Toggle first, second, and third-order Greeks independently
Visual Elements : Enable/disable probability cones, gamma zones, P&L labels
Table Customization : Position (6 options) and text size (4 sizes)
Price Levels : Show/hide strike and breakeven lines
Technical Implementation
Data Sources
Spot Prices : INDEX:BTCUSD and INDEX:ETHUSD for underlying prices
Implied Volatility : VOLMEX:BVIV (Bitcoin) and VOLMEX:EVIV (Ethereum) indices
Real-Time Updates : All calculations update with each price tick
Mathematical Framework
The indicator implements the full Black-Scholes-Merton model:
Standard normal distribution approximations using Abramowitz and Stegun method
Proper annualization factors (365-day year)
Continuous compounding for interest rate calculations
Lognormal price distribution assumptions
Alert Conditions
Four categories of automated alerts:
Price-Based : Underlying crossing strike price
Gamma-Based : 50% surge detection for explosive moves
Moneyness : Deep ITM alerts when |delta| > 0.9
Time/Volatility : Near expiration and vega spike warnings
Practical Applications
For Options Traders
Monitor all Greeks in real-time for active positions
Identify optimal entry/exit points using IV rank
Visualize risk through probability cones and gamma zones
Track time decay and plan rolls
For Volatility Traders
Compare IV across different expiries
Identify mean reversion opportunities
Monitor vega exposure across strikes
Track higher-order volatility sensitivities
Conclusion
The Crypto Options Greeks & Volatility Analyzer transforms complex mathematical models into actionable visual insights. By combining institutional-grade Greeks calculations with intuitive overlays like probability cones and gamma zones, it bridges the gap between theoretical options knowledge and practical trading application.
Whether you're:
A directional trader using options for leverage
A volatility trader capturing IV mean reversion
A hedger managing portfolio risk
Or simply learning about options mechanics
This tool provides the quantitative foundation needed for informed decision-making in cryptocurrency options markets.
Remember that options trading involves substantial risk and complexity. The Greeks and visualizations provided by this indicator are tools for analysis - they should be combined with proper risk management, position sizing, and a thorough understanding of options strategies.
As crypto options markets continue to mature and grow, having professional-grade analytics becomes increasingly important. This indicator ensures you're equipped with the same analytical capabilities used by institutional traders, adapted specifically for the unique characteristics of 24/7 cryptocurrency markets.
BTC 5M Scalper: 3EMA Reversal v1.6 Lite by AIOBest Timeframe: 5 minutes!!
Optimal Asset: BTC/USDT (Bitcoin)
Stop Placement: Below the signal candle's low (for long) / Above the signal candle's high (for short)
Risk/Reward: Minimum 1:2 ratio recommended
Description:
This 3EMA Reversal strategy identifies trend continuation signals using:
Fast EMA (20) and Slow EMA (50) crossover
Volume confirmation (above 20-period average)
Engulfing candle pattern
Built-in stop loss and take profit levels
Usage Instructions:
Apply to BTC/USDT 5-minute chart
Enter long when green triangle appears (stop below signal candle)
Enter short when red triangle appears (stop above signal candle)
TP levels are automatically calculated based on your RR setting
Pro Tip: Combine with 1-hour trend analysis for better results. The strategy works best in trending markets with above-average volume.
BTC Unified Overlay w/ Auto FibBTC Unified Overlay w/ Auto Fib, RSI, VWAP & Volume
This overlay combines essential indicators into one visual script designed for Bitcoin (BTCUSD) trading on lower timeframes:
🔁 Auto Fibonacci Zones – Auto-detects 0.382 and 0.618 retracement levels using recent price swings
🎯 RSI(14) – Includes cluster and crossover tagging for overbought/oversold zones
📊 Volume Histogram with 10-bar Moving Average – Highlights breakout bars
📏 VWAP with ±1SD and ±2SD Bands – Shows dynamic fair value range
🟢 Breakout Signal Tagging – Detects high-volume breakout opportunities
Ideal for traders who want a unified, color-coded visualization of key momentum and structure indicators.
Script optimized for screenshot automation and compatible with external webhook pipelines.
BTC 1m Chop Top/Bottom Reversal (Stable Entries)Strategy Description: BTC 5m Chop Top/Bottom Reversal (Stable Entries)
This strategy is engineered to capture precise reversal points during Bitcoin’s choppy or sideways price action on the 5-minute timeframe. It identifies short-term tops and bottoms using a confluence of volatility bands, momentum indicators, and price structure, optimized for high-probability scalping and intraday reversals.
Core Logic:
Volatility Filter: Uses an EMA with ATR bands to define overextended price zones.
Momentum Divergence: Confirms reversals using RSI and MACD histogram shifts.
Price Action Filter: Requires candle confirmation in the direction of the trade.
Locked Signal Logic: Prevents repaints and disappearing trades by confirming signals only once per bar.
Trade Parameters:
Short Entry: Above upper band + overbought RSI + weakening MACD + bearish candle
Long Entry: Below lower band + oversold RSI + strengthening MACD + bullish candle
Take Profit: ±0.75%
Stop Loss: ±0.4%
This setup is tuned for traders using tight risk control and leverage, where execution precision and minimal drawdown tolerance are critical.
BTC Fractal Momentum ExtremesDescription – BTC Fractal Momentum Extremes (BTCFME)
BTC Fractal Momentum Extremes (BTCFME) is a multi-factor, multi-method technical indicator designed to detect potential top and bottom reversal points in Bitcoin price action by integrating a confluence of unconventional signals. It combines fractals, adaptive momentum, volume dynamics, price velocity convergence, and market structure shifts — all filtered through real-time volatility and contextualized by temporal market conditions.
This tool is best used by traders looking to spot high-confidence turning points on intraday or swing timeframes, and works particularly well in volatile, momentum-driven environments.
Key Components & Methodology
BTCFME utilizes five independent signal-generation methods:
1. Fractal Volume Divergence
Detects reversal fractals in price (5-bar patterns) and validates them with volume anomalies:
Volume spikes (e.g., climax moves) or
Volume exhaustion (e.g., waning participation)
2. Adaptive Momentum Oscillator
Calculates momentum normalized by ATR-adjusted volatility, filtering out noise in choppy markets. It spots directional shifts when momentum inflects from extreme levels.
3. Market Structure Breaks
Identifies dynamic support and resistance using a configurable lookback, and flags potential breakouts or breakdowns from those levels.
4. Price Velocity Convergence
Analyzes the rate of change (velocity) and its acceleration. When both compress within a narrow volatility range, it signals a potential inflection zone.
5. Temporal Confluence Filter
Signals are only considered valid during active market hours (9 AM – 4 PM, excluding weekends) to reduce false positives during illiquid or inefficient trading periods.
Signal Logic & Sensitivity
Signals are generated when at least 3 out of 4 core methods agree, controlled by the Signal Sensitivity setting:
1 (High Sensitivity) = Trigger signals with fewer confirmations
5 (Low Sensitivity) = Require stronger multi-factor confluence
🔹 Buy (Bottom) Signals trigger when:
Bullish fractals appear
Momentum is deeply negative but improving
Price tests structure support
Velocity compresses below average
🔺 Sell (Top) Signals trigger when:
Bearish fractals with volume spikes appear
Momentum peaks and starts to decline
Price tests resistance
Velocity compresses near highs
Visual Features
Arrows: Buy signals = green arrow below candle. Sell signals = red arrow above candle.
Background Color: Indicates overall momentum regime (green = bullish bias, red = bearish, gray = neutral).
Dynamic Support & Resistance Lines: Based on recent swing highs/lows.
Signal Table (top-right): Shows real-time stats on:
Momentum value
Volatility factor
Volume strength (vs. 20-SMA)
Market structure status
Alerts
You can set alerts using the built-in conditions:
BTC Bottom Alert → Fires on potential market bottoms.
BTC Top Alert → Fires on potential market tops.
These alerts are filtered to avoid whipsaw conditions, by checking that opposite signals did not trigger in the last 2 candles.
How to Use
Timeframes: Best suited for 1H–4H and Daily BTC charts, but adaptable to others with parameter tuning.
Confirm with Price Action: Use BTCFME signals in conjunction with candlestick patterns or S/R zones for best results.
Adjust Sensitivity: Lower values catch more signals (good for scalping), higher values filter for stronger reversals (ideal for swing trades).
Use in Trending or Reversing Markets: BTCFME performs best during trending environments or volatile reversals — avoid during prolonged flat/ranging zones.
Notes & Recommendations
BTCFME is not a standalone buy/sell signal; combine it with risk management and trend confirmation tools.
Avoid using it during extremely low-volume sessions (e.g., late weekends).
Adjust parameters based on BTC's evolving volatility and your trading style.
