VWAP Pro v6 (Color + Bands)AI helped me code VWAP
When price goes above VWAP line, VWAP line will turn green to indicate buyers are in control.
When price goes below VWAP line, VWAP line will turn red to indicate sellers are in control.
VWAP line stays blue when price is considered fair value.
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Sniper Swing — Short TF (Clean Signals) [v6]📘 How to Use the Sniper Swing Indicator
1. What It Does
It looks for short-term swing breaks in price.
It uses an oscillator (RSI/Stoch) and swing pivots to confirm moves.
It gives you 3 clear signals only:
BUY → Enter long (expecting price to go up).
Gay bear → Enter short (expecting price to go down).
EXIT → Close your trade (long or short).
Candles also change color:
Green = in a BUY trade.
Red = in a Gay bear trade.
Neutral (gray/none) = no trade.
2. When to Use
Works best on short timeframes (1m–5m) for scalping/intraday.
Use on liquid markets (MES/ES, NQ, SPY, BTC, ETH).
Avoid dead hours with no volume (like overnight futures lull or midday chop).
3. How to Trade With It
A. BUY trade
Wait for a BUY triangle below the candle.
Confirm:
Candle turned green.
Price broke a recent swing high.
Oscillator shows strength (indicator does this for you).
Enter long at the close of that candle.
Place your stop-loss:
At the yellow stop line (auto trailing stop), or
Just below the last swing low.
Stay in while candles are green.
Exit when:
An orange X appears, or
Price hits your stop.
B. Gay bear (short) trade
Wait for a Gay bear triangle above the candle.
Confirm:
Candle turned red.
Price broke a recent swing low.
Oscillator shows weakness.
Enter short at the close of that candle.
Place stop-loss:
At the yellow stop line, or
Just above the last swing high.
Stay in while candles are red.
Exit on an orange X or stop hit.
4. Pro Tips for New Traders
Only take one signal at a time → don’t double dip.
Quality > Quantity: ignore weak, sideways markets. Best signals happen during trends.
Start small: trade micros (MES) or small position sizes.
Use alerts: set TradingView alerts for BUY/Gay bear/EXIT so you don’t miss setups.
Think of the indicator like a navigator: it tells you the likely path, but you’re the driver → always manage risk.
5. Quick Mental Checklist
Signal? (BUY or Gay bear triangle)
Confirmed? (candle color + swing break)
Enter? (on close)
Stop? (yellow line or swing)
Exit? (orange X or stop)
Perp Imbalance Zones • Pro (clean)USD Premium (perp vs spot) → (Perp − Spot) / Spot.
Imbalance (z-score of that premium) → how extreme the current premium is relative to its own history over lenPrem bars.
Hysteresis state machine → flips to a SHORT bias when perp-long pressure is extreme; flips to LONG bias when perp-short pressure is extreme. It exits only after the imbalance cools (prevents whipsaw).
Price stretch filter (±σ) → optional Bollinger check so signals only fire when price is already stretched.
HTF confirmation (optional) → require higher-timeframe imbalance to agree with the current-TF bias.
Gradient visuals → line + background tint deepen as |z| grows (more extreme pressure).
What you see on the pane
A single line (z):
Above 0 = perp richer than spot (perp longs pressing).
Below 0 = perp cheaper than spot (perp shorts pressing).
Guides: dotted levels at ±enterZ (entry) and ±exitZ (cool-off/exit).
Background tint:
Red when state = SHORT bias (perp longs heavy).
Blue when state = LONG bias (perp shorts heavy).
Tint intensity scales with |z| (via hotZ).
Labels (optional): prints when bias flips.
Alerts (optional): “Enter SHORT/LONG bias” and “Exit bias”.
How to use it (playbook)
Attach & set symbols
Put the script on your chart.
Set Spot symbol and Perp symbol to the venue you trade (e.g., BINANCE:BTCUSDT + BINANCE:BTCUSDTPERP).
Read the bias
SHORT bias (red background): perp longs over-extended. Look for short entries if price is at resistance, σ-stretched, or your PA system agrees.
LONG bias (blue background): perp shorts over-extended. Look for long entries at support/σ-stretched down.
Entries
Use the bias flip as a context/confirm. Combine with your structure trigger (OB/level sweep, rejection wick, micro-break in market structure, etc.).
If useSigma=true, only trade when price is already ≥ upper band (shorts) or ≤ lower band (longs).
Exits
Bias auto-exits when |z| falls below exitZ.
You can also take profits at your levels or when the line fades back toward 0 while price mean-reverts to the middle band.
Tuning (what each knob does)
enterZ / exitZ (signal strictness + hysteresis)
Higher enterZ → fewer, cleaner signals (e.g., 1.8–2.2).
exitZ should be lower than enterZ (e.g., 0.6–1.0) to prevent flicker.
lenPrem (context window for z)
Larger (50–100) = steadier baseline, fewer signals.
Smaller (20–30) = more reactive, more signals.
smoothLen (EMA on z)
2–3 = snappier; 5–7 = smoother/laggier but cleaner.
useSigma, bbLen, bbK (price-stretch filter)
On filters chop. Try bbLen=100, bbK=1.0–1.5.
Off if you want more frequent signals or you already gate with your own σ/Keltner.
useHTF, htfTF, htfZmin (trend/confirmation)
Turn on to require higher-TF imbalance agreement (e.g., trading 1H → confirm with 4H htfTF=240, htfZmin≈0.6–1.0).
hotZ (visual intensity)
Lower (2.0–2.5) heats up faster; higher (4.0) is more subtle.
Ready-made presets
Conservative swing (fewer, higher-conviction):
enterZ=2.0, exitZ=1.0, lenPrem=60–80, smoothLen=5, useSigma=true, bbK=1.5, useHTF=true (240/0.8).
Balanced intraday (default feel):
enterZ=1.6–1.8, exitZ=0.8–1.0, lenPrem=50, smoothLen=3–4, useSigma=true, bbK=1.0–1.25, useHTF=false/true depending on trendiness.
Aggressive scalping (more signals):
enterZ=1.2–1.4, exitZ=0.6–0.8, lenPrem=20–30, smoothLen=2–3, useSigma=false, useHTF=false.
Practical tips
Don’t trade the line in isolation. Use it to time trades into your levels: VWAP bands, Monday high/low, prior POC/VAH/VAL, order blocks, etc.
Perp-led reversals often snap—be ready to scale out quickly back to mid-bands.
Venue matters. Keep spot & perp from the same exchange family to avoid cross-venue quirks.
Alerts: enable after you’ve tuned thresholds for your timeframe so you only get high-quality pings.
Composite Sentiment Indicator (SPY/QQQ/SOXX + VixFix)# Multi-Index Composite Sentiment Indicator
A comprehensive sentiment indicator that works across SPY, QQQ, SOXX, and custom symbols. Combines volatility, options flow, macro factors, technicals, and seasonality into a single z-score composite.
## What It Does
Takes multiple market sentiment inputs (VIX, put/call ratios, breadth, yields, etc.) and smooshes them into one normalized line. When the composite is high = markets getting spooked. When it's low = markets getting complacent.
## Key Features
- **Multi-Index Support**: Automatically adapts for SPY (uses VIX), QQQ (uses VXN), SOXX (uses VixFix), or custom symbols
- **VixFix Integration**: Larry Williams' VixFix for indices without dedicated VIX measures
- **Signal MA**: Choose from SMA/EMA/WMA/HMA/TEMA/DEMA with color coding (red above MA = risk-on, green below = risk-off)
- **September Focus**: Built-in seasonality weighting for September weakness patterns
- **Comprehensive Components**: Volatility, options sentiment, macro factors, technicals, and sector-specific metrics
## How to Use
**Basic Setup:**
1. Pick your index (SPY/QQQ/SOXX)
2. Choose signal MA type and length (EMA 21 is a good start)
3. Watch for extreme readings and MA crossovers
**Color Signals:**
- Red composite = above signal MA = bearish sentiment
- Green composite = below signal MA = bullish sentiment
- Extreme high readings (red background) = potential tops
- Extreme low readings (green background) = potential bottoms
**For Different Indices:**
- **QQQ**: Uses NASDAQ VIX (VXN) when available, falls back to VixFix
- **SOXX**: Includes semiconductor cycle indicators, uses VixFix for volatility
- **Custom**: Adapts automatically, relies on VixFix and general market metrics
## Components Included
**Volatility**: VIX/VXN/VixFix, term structure, historical vol
**Options**: Put/call ratios, SKEW index
**Macro**: DXY, 10Y yields, yield curve, TIPS spreads
**Technical**: RSI deviation, momentum
**Seasonality**: September effects, quad witching, month-end patterns
**Breadth**: S&P 500 and NASDAQ breadth measures
## Pro Tips
- Works well on Daily Timeframe
- September gets extra weight automatically - watch for August setup signals
- Keltner envelope breaks often mark sentiment exhaustion points
- Use alerts for extreme readings and MA crossovers
Works best when you understand that sentiment extremes often mark turning points, not continuation signals. High readings don't mean "keep shorting" - they mean "start looking for reversal setups."
## Settings Worth Tweaking
- Signal MA type/length for your timeframe
- Component weights based on what matters for your index
- Envelope multipliers for your risk tolerance
- VixFix parameters if default doesn't fit your symbol's volatility
The table shows all current component readings so you can see what's driving the signal. Good for context and debugging weird readings.
Triple Tap Sniper Triple Tap Sniper v3 – EMA Retest Precision System
Triple Tap Sniper is a precision trading tool built around the 21, 34, and 55 EMAs, designed to capture high-probability retests after EMA crosses. Instead of chasing the first breakout candle, the system waits for the first pullback into the EMA21 after a trend-confirming cross — the spot where professional traders often enter.
🔑 Core Logic
EMA Alignment → Trend defined by EMA21 > EMA34 > EMA55 (bullish) or EMA21 < EMA34 < EMA55 (bearish).
Cross Detection → Signals are only armed after a fresh EMA cross.
Retest Entry → Buy/Sell signals fire only on the first retest of EMA21, with trend still intact.
Pro Filters →
📊 Higher Timeframe Confirmation: Aligns signals with larger trend.
📈 ATR Volatility Filter: Blocks weak signals in low-vol chop.
📏 EMA Spread Filter: Ignores tiny “fake crosses.”
🕯️ Price Action Filter: Requires a proper wick rejection for valid entries.
🚀 Why Use Triple Tap Sniper?
✅ Filters out most false signals from sideways markets.
✅ Focuses only on clean trend continuations after pullbacks.
✅ Beginner-friendly visuals (Buy/Sell labels) + alert-ready for automation.
✅ Flexible: works across multiple timeframes & asset classes (stocks, crypto, forex).
⚠️ Notes
This is a signal indicator, not a full strategy. For backtesting and optimization, convert to a strategy and adjust filters per market/timeframe.
No indicator guarantees profits — use with sound risk management.
Quick Overview - 1DInspired by Option Stalker Pro, it shows RS/RW on 1W.
Meant to be used on the 1D chart.
Also shows ATH / ATL - depending on what is closer. Which is great to be aware that you should zoom out more to make sure you don't miss out algolines or support / resistance lines!
Also if the stock is currently at ATH / ATL, this means it might be a low-risk stock pick.
More infos: www.reddit.com
Quick Overview - 5mInspired by Option Stalker Pro, it shows RS/RW on 15m and 30m.
Meant to be used on the 5m chart.
Ideally you want to have RS/RW on as many time scales as possible!
More infos: www.reddit.com
Scalping, Swing Pro: Urban Towers + Bollinger(0.5)+ WMA by KidevThis indicator combines narrow Bollinger Bands (σ = 0.5) with a Weighted Moving Average (WMA-96) to provide traders with a reliable framework for identifying both short-term scalps and medium-term swing setups.
Bollinger Bands (0.5σ):
Traditional Bollinger Bands at 2σ cover ~95% of price movement, while 0.5σ bands narrow the focus to ~50% of price activity. This tighter structure makes them ideal for detecting volatility contractions, consolidations, and early breakout signals.
WMA-96 as Trend Reference:
The 96-period WMA acts as a slower, more stable directional guide. Unlike shorter WMAs, this longer setting filters noise and serves as a reference line for the dominant trend. Traders can use it as an anchor for intraday or swing positions.
Scalping & Swing Benefits:
Price holding above the WMA-96 while staying near the upper 0.5σ band often signals strength.
Contractions (squeezes) in the 0.5σ band followed by expansion frequently mark breakout zones.
Pullbacks toward the WMA-96 combined with band signals can act as re-entry or risk-defined trade areas.
This script provides a balanced view of momentum and stability — the 0.5σ bands reveal short-term volatility shifts, while the WMA-96 grounds the trader in the prevailing trend.
Daily HOD / LOD Anchored VWAP (24/7 Markets)mart Daily HOD/LOD Anchored VWAP (Auto Detect + Alerts)
This indicator automatically anchors VWAP at the High of Day (HOD) and Low of Day (LOD) for each session/day.
No more manual anchoring — the script tracks intraday highs and lows in real-time and resets cleanly at the start of each trading day or session.
✨ Features
✅ Auto-anchored AVWAP at daily High and Low
✅ Works for stock markets (with fixed sessions) and crypto markets (24/7)
✅ Clean reset every session/day
✅ Separate AVWAP lines for HOD and LOD
✅ Customizable colors & line widths
✅ Alerts included 🚨 (get notified instantly when a new High/Low AVWAP starts)
📈 Use Cases
Spot true intraday support/resistance levels
Track where institutions may be defending positions
Combine with price action, orderflow, or volume profile strategies
Perfect for intraday trading, scalping, and swing entries
⚡ Alerts
New HOD AVWAP → Fires when price makes a fresh high of day, starting a new anchored VWAP.
New LOD AVWAP → Fires when price makes a fresh low of day, starting a new anchored VWAP.
🛠️ Settings
Show/hide HOD or LOD VWAP
Customize line colors and thickness
Works seamlessly across stocks, futures, forex, and crypto
💡 Pro Tip:
AVWAP from the high and low of the day often acts as a magnet for price. Watch how price reacts when revisiting these levels — confluence with other indicators = high-probability setups.
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This script is for educational purposes only. It is not financial advice. Always manage your own risk.
Market Imbalance Tracker (Inefficient Candle + FVG)# 📊 Overview
This indicator combines two imbalance concepts:
• **Squared Up Points (SUP)** – midpoints of large, "inefficient" candles that often attract price back.
• **Fair Value Gaps (FVG)** – 3-candle gaps created by strong impulse moves that often get "filled."
Use them separately or together. Confluence between a SUP line and an FVG boundary/midpoint is high-value.
---
# ⚡ Quick Start (2 minutes)
1. **Add to chart** → keep defaults (Percentile method, 80th percentile, 100-bar lookback).
2. **Watch** for dashed SUP lines to print after large candles.
3. **Toggle Show FVG** → see green/red boxes where gaps exist.
4. **Turn on alerts** → New SUP created, SUP touched, New FVG.
5. **Trade the reaction** → look for confluence (SUP + FVG + S/R), then manage risk.
---
# 🛠 Features
## 🔹 Squared Up Points (SUP)
• **Purpose:** Midpoint of a large candle → potential support/resistance magnet.
• **Detection:** Choose *Percentile* (adaptive) or *ATR Multiple* (absolute).
• **Validation:** Only plots if the preceding candle does not touch the midpoint (with tolerance).
• **Lifecycle:** Line auto-extends into the future; it's removed when touched or aged out.
• **Visual:** Horizontal dashed line (color/width configurable; style fixed to dashed if not exposed).
## 🔹 Fair Value Gaps (FVG)
• **Purpose:** 3-candle gaps from an impulse; price often revisits to "fill."
• **Detection:** Requires a strong directional candle (Marubozu threshold) creating a gap.
• **Types:**
- **Bullish FVG (Green):** Gap below; expectation is downward fill.
- **Bearish FVG (Red):** Gap above; expectation is upward fill.
• **Close Rules (if implemented):**
- *Full Fill:* Gap closes when the opposite boundary is tagged.
- *Midpoint Fill:* Gap closes when its midpoint is tagged.
• **Visual:** Colored boxes; optional split-coloring to emphasize the midpoint.
> **Note:** If a listed FVG option isn't visible in Inputs, you're on a lighter build; use the available switches.
---
# ⚙️ Settings
## SUP Settings
• **Candle Size Method:** Percentile (top X% of recent ranges) or ATR Multiple.
• **Candle Size Percentile:** e.g., 80 → top 20% largest candles.
• **ATR Multiple & Period:** e.g., 1.5 × ATR(14).
• **Percentile Lookback:** Bars used to compute percentile.
• **Lookback Period:** How long SUP lines remain eligible before auto-cleanup.
• **Touch Tolerance (%):** Buffer based on the inefficient candle's range (0% = exact touch).
## Line Appearance
• **Line Color / Width:** Customizable.
• **Style:** Dashed (fixed unless you expose a style input).
## FVG Settings (if present in your build)
• **Show FVG:** On/Off.
• **Close Method:** Full Fill or Midpoint.
• **Marubozu Wick Tolerance:** Max wick % of the impulse bar.
• **Use Split Coloring:** Two-tone box halves around midpoint.
• **Colors:** Bullish/Bearish, and upper/lower halves (if split).
• **Max FVG Age:** Auto-remove older gaps.
---
# 📈 How to Use
## Trading Applications
• **SUP Lines:** Expect reaction on first touch; use as S/R or profit-taking magnets.
• **FVG Fills:** Price frequently tags the midpoint/boundary before continuing.
• **Confluence:** SUP at an FVG midpoint/boundary + higher-timeframe S/R = higher quality.
• **Bias:** Clusters of unfilled FVGs can hint at path of least resistance.
## Best Practices
• **Timeframe:** HTFs for swing levels, LTFs for execution.
• **Volume:** High volume at level = stronger signal.
• **Context:** Trade with broader trend or at least avoid counter-trend without confirmation.
• **Risk:** Always pre-define invalidation; structures fail in chop.
---
# 🔔 Alerts
• **New SUP Created** – When a qualifying inefficient candle prints a SUP midpoint.
• **SUP Touched/Invalidated** – When price touches within tolerance.
• **New FVG Detected** – When a valid gap forms per your rules.
> **Tip:** Set alerts *Once Per Bar Close* on HTFs; *Once* on LTFs to avoid noise.
---
# 🧑💻 Technical Notes
• **Percentile vs ATR:** Percentile adapts to volatility; ATR gives consistency for backtesting.
• **FVG Direction Logic:** Gap above price = bearish (expect up-fill); below = bullish (expect down-fill).
• **Performance:** Limits on lines/boxes and auto-aging keep things snappy.
---
# ⚠️ Limitations
• Imbalances are **context tools**, not signals by themselves.
• Works best with trend or clear impulses; expect noise in narrow ranges.
• Lower-timeframe gaps can be plentiful and lower quality.
---
# 📌 Version & Requirements
• **Pine Script v6**
• Heavy drawings may require **TradingView Pro** or higher (object limits).
---
*For best results, combine with your existing trading strategy and proper risk management.*
Parabolic CCI Pro — Long & Short + ATR Risk — [AlphaFinansData]English Description (Enhanced)
🔹 CCI + Parabolic SAR Strategy (Long & Short, Smart Risk Management)
This indicator combines the power of CCI (Commodity Channel Index) and Parabolic SAR, creating a highly reliable trading system that adapts to market conditions.
🚀 How It Works:
Trend Hunting: CCI detects weakening momentum and potential reversal zones.
Confirmation: Parabolic SAR confirms the trend direction, reducing false signals.
Smart Risk Management: Offers both fixed-percentage and ATR-based dynamic Stop Loss & Take Profit, adjusting to volatility automatically.
Performance Dashboard: Tracks win rate, average profit/loss, max drawdown, and winning/losing streaks for deeper strategy insights.
⚡ Who Is It For?
Day traders looking for quick entries and exits,
Swing traders seeking to capture trend reversals,
Risk-conscious investors who want disciplined SL/TP management.
💡 More than just a signal generator, this indicator provides traders with a structured trading framework that helps maintain consistency and discipline.
Ludvig Indicator PROThe Ludvig Indicator is designed to identify high-probability breakout setups by combining trend, volume, volatility, and relative strength filters. It helps you enter stocks (or ETFs/crypto) when institutional money is likely flowing in, while avoiding false breakouts and weak trends.
🔑 Core Features
Zero-Lag EMA (ZLEMA)
Faster, less lagging trend detection compared to traditional EMAs.
Used as the basis for dynamic ATR bands.
ATR Volatility Bands
Adaptive bands based on the Average True Range (ATR).
Define the zone where price must close outside to confirm trend strength.
Breakout Confirmation
Requires price to close above recent highs (lookback configurable).
Ensures signals are “true breakouts,” not just noise around moving averages.
Volume Filter (Relative Volume)
Validates breakouts with significantly higher volume than average.
Prevents low-liquidity signals from triggering.
Trend Strength (ADX)
Built-in ADX calculation ensures only strong, trending moves are considered.
Default filter: ADX ≥ 18 (configurable).
Relative Strength vs. Benchmark
Compares the asset’s momentum against a benchmark (default: SPY).
Only signals when the asset is outperforming the benchmark.
Useful for sector rotation and picking leaders instead of laggards.
Alerts & Signals
Breakout entries are marked with small green triangles.
Built-in alerts for automated notifications (TradingView alerts).
Market Sessions & Daily Range ProThis tool is designed for market visualization. It displays the real trading sessions (Asia, Europe, and America) together with the daily range (00:00–24:00). Boxes and labels show daily highs, lows, open/close levels, and current extremes. The purpose is to provide traders with a clear visual map of how price behaves across sessions and within the daily structure.
KAMA Trend Flip - SightLing LabsBuckle up, traders—this open-source KAMA Trend Flip indicator is your ticket to sniping trend reversals with a Kaufman Adaptive Moving Average (KAMA) that’s sharper than a Wall Street shark’s tooth. No voodoo, no fluff—just raw, volatility-adaptive math that dances with the market’s rhythm. It zips through trending rockets and chills in choppy waters, slashing false signals like a samurai. Not laggy like the others - this thing is the real deal!
Core Mechanics:
• Efficiency Ratio (ER): Reads the market’s pulse (0-1). High ER = turbo-charged MA, low ER = smooth operator.
• Adaptive Smoothing: Mixes fast (default power 2) and slow (default 30) constants to match market mood swings.
• Trend Signals: KAMA climbs = blue uptrend (bulls run wild). KAMA dips = yellow downtrend (bears take over). Flat = gray snooze-fest.
• Alerts: Instant pings on flips—“Trend Flip Up” for long plays, “Down” for shorts. Plug into bots for set-and-forget domination.
Why It Crushes:
• Smokes static MAs in volatile arenas (crypto, stocks, you name it). Backtests show 20-30% fewer fakeouts than SMA50.
• Visual Pop: Overlays price with bold blue/yellow signals. Slap it on BTC 1D to see trends light up like Times Square.
• Tweakable: Dial ER length (default 50) to your timeframe. Short for scalps, long for swing trades.
Example Settings in Action:
• 10s Chart (Hyper-Scalping): Set Source: Close, ER Length: 100, Fast Power: 1, Slow Power: 6. Catches micro-trends in crypto like a heat-seeking missile. Blue/yellow flips scream entry/exit on fast moves.
• 2m Chart (Quick Trades): Set Source: Close, ER Length: 14, Fast Power: 1, Slow Power: 6. Perfect for rapid trend shifts in stocks or forex. Signals align with momentum bursts—check historical flips for proof.
Deployment:
• Drop it on any chart. Backtest settings to match your asset’s volatility—tweak until it sings.
• Pair with RSI or volume spikes for killer confirmation. Pro move: Enter on flip + volume pop, exit on reverse.
• Strategy-Ready: Slap long/short logic on alerts to build a lean, mean trading machine.
Open source from SightLing Labs—grab it, hack it, profit from it. Share your tweaks in the comments and let’s outsmart the market together. Trade hard, win big!
ADVANCED COSINE PROJECTION SYSTEM — LITE Mark3ACPS-Lite is a projection-based tool designed to visualize potential price paths using cosine-based similarity and stability analysis.
so, i have been working over multiple iterations to have a stable projection based on cosine principles and I've settled with a few stable algorithmic frameworks which works as: what i like to call : next generation leading indicators.
This indicator works well with any charting type like line/bar/candles etc. across ALL timeframes. (including seconds).
Basically this indicator projects a path towards the right.
Based on the trend the color of the projection updates on live refresh (depends on your timeframe of choice)
GREEN path projection for possible up trend
RED for bearish and yellow for sideways trend.
Technical : This indicator Aims to solve "DIRECTION" .
The idea was to to calculate angle between any given vectors : so if we translate it into the trading world : we are trying to determine direction (simplified explanation).
Pros : Scale Independent
meaning factors like flash crash , High impact movements (like NFP's) dont impact the projection logic in terms of Magnitude.
My model focuses on pattern similarity
example : in the previous instance of similar situation how did price react ?
therefore making a similar "COSINE" projection. (based on past "vector"/event)
on the left side there will always be an highlighted box section to visually represent where the future projections are based off of.
Cons: multiple vectors can have same direction from the cosine logic : essentially rendering the projected distance inconclusive.
but i solved that problem fully but on this lite version i made use of live refresh feature to keep the projections on a float : making our right side projections that much more fluid.
finally as a psychological factor not to get caught up on any Bias i made sure the indicator switches color according to immediate trend change logi.
Best Use case : have this indicator across multiple timeframes inside Tradingvieews tabs to Help make better Judgement.
I'm open for feedback / suggestions.
regards,
drsamc.
BUY-SIGNAL Pro - 10 Indicators - Strategy Godinho 2Best 10 indicators
Strong buy YELLOW
Buy GREEN
Hold PINK
Sell RED
NAS100 Component Sentiment Scanner# NAS100 Component Sentiment Scanner
## 🎯 Overview
The NAS100 Component Sentiment Scanner analyzes the top-weighted stocks in the NASDAQ-100 index to provide real-time bullish/bearish sentiment signals that can help predict NAS100 price movements. This indicator combines multiple technical analysis methods to give traders a comprehensive view of underlying market sentiment.
## 📊 How It Works
The indicator calculates sentiment scores for major NASDAQ-100 components (AAPL, MSFT, NVDA, GOOGL, AMZN, META, TSLA, AVGO, COST, NFLX) using:
- **RSI Analysis**: Identifies overbought/oversold conditions
- **Moving Average Trends**: Compares fast vs slow MA positioning
- **Volume Confirmation**: Validates moves with volume thresholds
- **Price Momentum**: Analyzes recent price direction
- **Market Cap Weighting**: Uses actual NASDAQ-100 weightings for accuracy
## 🚀 Key Features
### Real-Time Sentiment Analysis
- Weighted composite score based on individual stock analysis
- Color-coded sentiment line (Green = Bullish, Red = Bearish)
- Dynamic background coloring for strong signals
### Interactive Data Table
- Shows individual stock scores and signals
- Bullish/Bearish stock count summary
- Customizable position and size
### Smart Signal System
- **Bullish Signals**: Green triangle up when sentiment crosses threshold
- **Bearish Signals**: Red triangle down when sentiment falls below threshold
- **Alert Conditions**: Automatic notifications for signal changes
## ⚙️ Customization Options
### Technical Analysis Settings
- **RSI Period**: Adjust lookback period (default: 14)
- **RSI Levels**: Set overbought/oversold thresholds
- **Moving Averages**: Configure fast/slow MA periods
- **Volume Threshold**: Set volume confirmation multiplier
### Signal Thresholds
- **Bullish/Bearish Levels**: Customize trigger points
- **Strong Signal Levels**: Set extreme sentiment thresholds
- Fine-tune sensitivity to market conditions
### Display Options
- **Toggle Table**: Show/hide sentiment data table
- **Table Position**: 6 position options (Top/Bottom/Middle + Left/Right)
- **Table Size**: Choose from Tiny, Small, Normal, or Large
- **Background Colors**: Enable/disable signal backgrounds
- **Signal Arrows**: Show/hide buy/sell indicators
### Stock Selection
- **Individual Control**: Enable/disable any of the 10 major stocks
- **Dynamic Weighting**: Automatically adjusts calculations based on selected stocks
- **Flexible Analysis**: Focus on specific sectors or market leaders
## 📈 How to Use
### 1. Basic Setup
1. Add the indicator to your NAS100 chart
2. Default settings work well for most traders
3. Observe the sentiment line and signals
### 2. Signal Interpretation
- **Score > 30**: Bullish bias for NAS100
- **Score > 50**: Strong bullish signal
- **Score -30 to 30**: Neutral/consolidation
- **Score < -30**: Bearish bias for NAS100
- **Score < -50**: Strong bearish signal
### 3. Trading Strategies
**Trend Following:**
- Buy NAS100 when bullish signals appear
- Sell/short when bearish signals trigger
- Use background colors for quick visual confirmation
**Divergence Trading:**
- Watch for sentiment/price divergences
- Strong sentiment with weak NAS100 price = potential breakout
- Weak sentiment with strong NAS100 price = potential reversal
**Consensus Trading:**
- Monitor bullish/bearish stock counts in table
- 8+ stocks aligned = strong directional bias
- Mixed signals = wait for clearer consensus
### 4. Advanced Usage
- Combine with your existing NAS100 trading strategy
- Use multiple timeframes for confirmation
- Adjust thresholds based on market volatility
- Focus on specific stocks by disabling others
## 🔔 Alert Setup
The indicator includes built-in alert conditions:
1. Go to TradingView Alerts
2. Select "NAS100 Component Sentiment Scanner"
3. Choose from available alert types:
- NAS100 Bullish Signal
- NAS100 Bearish Signal
- Strong Bullish Consensus
- Strong Bearish Consensus
## 💡 Pro Tips
### Optimization
- **High Volatility**: Increase signal thresholds (±40, ±60)
- **Low Volatility**: Decrease thresholds (±20, ±40)
- **Day Trading**: Use smaller table, focus on real-time signals
- **Swing Trading**: Enable background colors, larger thresholds
### Best Practices
- Don't use as a standalone system - combine with price action
- Check individual stock table for context
- Monitor during market open for most reliable signals
- Consider earnings seasons for individual stock impacts
### Market Conditions
- **Trending Markets**: Higher accuracy, use with trend following
- **Ranging Markets**: Watch for false signals, increase thresholds
- **News Events**: Individual stock news can skew sentiment temporarily
## 🎨 Visual Guide
- **Green Line Above Zero**: Bullish sentiment building
- **Red Line Below Zero**: Bearish sentiment building
- **Background Color Changes**: Strong signal confirmation
- **Triangle Arrows**: Entry/exit signal points
- **Table Colors**: Quick sentiment overview
## ⚠️ Important Notes
- This indicator analyzes component stocks, not NAS100 directly
- Market cap weightings approximate real NASDAQ-100 weightings
- Sentiment can change rapidly during volatile periods
- Always use proper risk management
- Combine with other technical analysis tools
## 🔧 Troubleshooting
- **No signals**: Check if thresholds are too extreme
- **Too many signals**: Increase threshold sensitivity
- **Table not showing**: Ensure "Show Sentiment Table" is enabled
- **Missing stocks**: Verify individual stock toggles in settings
---
**Suitable for**: Day traders, swing traders, NAS100 specialists, index traders
**Best Timeframes**: 5min, 15min, 1H, 4H
**Market Sessions**: US market hours for highest accuracy
Monthly Expected Move (IV + Realized)What it does
Overlays 1-month expected move bands on price using both forward-looking options data and backward-looking realized movement:
IV30 band — from your pasted 30-day implied vol (%)
Straddle band — from your pasted ATM ~30-DTE call+put total
HV band — from Historical Volatility computed on-chart
ATR band — from ATR% extrapolated to ~1 trading month
Use it to quickly answer: “How much could this stock move in ~1 month?” and “Is the market now pricing more/less movement than we’ve actually been getting?”
Inputs (quick)
Implied (forward-looking)
Use IV30 (%) — paste annualized IV30 from your options platform.
Use ATM 30-DTE Straddle — paste Call+Put total (per share) at the ATM strike, ~30 DTE.
Realized (backward-looking)
HV lookback (days) — default 21 (≈1 trading month).
ATR length — default 14.
Note: TradingView can’t fetch option data automatically. Paste the IV30 % or the straddle total you read from your broker (use Mark/mid prices).
How it’s calculated
IV band (±%) = IV30 × √(21/252) (annualized → ~1-month).
Straddle band (±%) = (ATM Call + Put) / Spot to that expiry (≈30 DTE).
HV band (±%) = stdev(log returns, N) × √252 × √(21/252).
ATR band (±%) = (ATR(len)/Close) × √21.
All bands are plotted as upper/lower envelopes around price, plus an on-chart readout of each ±% for quick scanning.
How to use it (at a glance)
IV/Straddle bands wider than HV/ATR → market expects bigger movement than recent actuals (possible catalyst/expansion).
All bands narrow → likely a low-mover; look elsewhere if you want action.
HV > IV → realized swings exceed current pricing (mean-reversion or vol bleed often follows).
Pro tips
For ATM straddle: pick the expiry closest to ~30 DTE, use the ATM strike (closest to spot), and add Call Mark + Put Mark (per share). If the exact ATM strike isn’t quoted, average the two neighboring strikes.
The simple straddle/spot heuristic can read slightly below the IV-derived 1σ; that’s normal.
Keep the chart on daily timeframe—the math assumes trading-day conventions (~252/yr, ~21/mo).
Tweezers Bottom Strategy 5m - Long OnlyTweezers Bottom 5m Strategy – Catch Reversals Like a Pro!
Looking for fast, precise entries on the 5-minute chart? This strategy automatically detects the Tweezers Bottom candlestick pattern and opens long positions at the perfect moment. Signals appear as ▲ arrows on the chart, making it incredibly easy to spot high-probability setups.
Risk and Reward Perfectly Managed: Stop-loss is set just 0.1% below entry, and take-profit at 0.3% above, giving you a clear, controlled trading edge. All levels are visualized on the chart with lines and labels, so you always know where your risk and profit targets are.
Ideal for scalpers and short-term traders across Forex, crypto, and stocks. Enter reversals before the crowd, maximize your winning trades, and automate your trading with minimal risk!
Sector Rotation & Money Flow Dashboard📊 Overview
The Sector Rotation & Money Flow Dashboard is a comprehensive market analysis tool that tracks 39 major sector ETFs in real-time, providing institutional-grade insights into sector rotation, momentum shifts, and money flow patterns. This indicator helps traders identify which sectors are attracting capital, which are losing favor, and where the next opportunities might emerge.
Perfect for swing traders, position traders, and investors who want to stay ahead of sector rotation and ride the strongest trends while avoiding weak sectors.
🎯 What This Indicator Does
Tracks 39 Major Sectors: From technology to utilities, cryptocurrencies to commodities
Calculates Multiple Timeframes: 1-week, 1-month, 3-month, and 6-month performance
Advanced Momentum Metrics: Proprietary momentum score and acceleration calculations
Relative Strength Analysis: Compare sector performance against any benchmark index
Money Flow Signals: Visual indicators showing where institutional money is moving
Smart Filtering: Pre-built strategy filters for different trading styles
Trend Detection: Emoji-based visual system for quick trend identification
💡 Key Features
1. Performance Metrics
Multiple timeframe analysis (1W, 1M, 3M, 6M)
Month-over-month change tracking
Relative strength vs benchmark index
2. Advanced Analytics
Momentum Score: Weighted composite of recent performance
Acceleration: Rate of change in momentum (second derivative)
Money Flow Signals: IN/OUT/TURN/WATCH indicators
3. Strategy Preset Filters
🎯 Swing Trade: High momentum opportunities
📈 Trend Follow: Established uptrends
🔄 Mean Reversion: Oversold bounce candidates
💎 Value Hunt: Deep value opportunities
🚀 Breakout: Emerging strength
⚠️ Risk Off: Sectors to avoid
4. Customization
All 39 sector ETFs can be customized
Adjustable benchmark index
Flexible display options
Multiple sorting methods
📋 Settings Documentation
Display Settings
Show Table (Default: On)
Toggles the entire dashboard display
Table Position (Default: Middle Center)
Choose from 9 positions on your chart
Options: Top/Middle/Bottom × Left/Center/Right
Rows to Show (Default: 15)
Number of sectors displayed (5-40)
Useful for focusing on top/bottom performers
Sort By (Default: Momentum)
1M/3M/6M: Sort by specific timeframe performance
Momentum: Weighted recent performance score
Acceleration: Rate of momentum change
1M Change: Month-over-month improvement
RS: Relative strength vs benchmark
Flow: IN First: Prioritize sectors with inflows
Flow: TURN First: Focus on reversal candidates
Recovery Plays: Oversold sectors recovering
Oversold Bounce: Deepest declines with positive signs
Top Gainers/Losers 3M: Best/worst quarterly performers
Best Acc + Mom: Combined strength score
Worst Acc (Topping): Sectors losing momentum
Filter Settings
Strategy Preset Filter (Default: All)
All: No filtering
🎯 Swing Trade: Mom >5, Acc >2, Money flowing in
📈 Trend Follow: Positive 1M & 3M, RS >0
🔄 Mean Reversion: Oversold but improving
💎 Value Hunt: Down >10% with recovery signs
🚀 Breakout: Rapid momentum surge
⚠️ Risk Off: Declining or topping sectors
Custom Flow Filter: Use manual flow filter
Custom Flow Signal Filter (Default: All)
Only active when Strategy Preset = "Custom Flow Filter"
IN Only: Strong inflows
TURN Only: Reversal signals
WATCH Only: Recovery candidates
OUT Only: Outflow sectors
Active Flows Only: Any non-neutral signal
Hide Low Volume ETFs (Default: Off)
Filters out illiquid sectors (future enhancement)
Visual Settings
Show Trend Emojis (Default: On)
🚀 Breakout (Strong 1M + High Acceleration)
🔥 Hot Recovery (From -10% to positive)
💪 Steady Uptrend (All timeframes positive)
➡️ Sideways/Ranging
⚠️ Warning/Topping (Up >15%, now slowing)
📉 Falling (Negative + declining)
🔄 Bottoming (Improving from lows)
Compact Mode (Default: Off)
Removes decimals for cleaner display
Useful when showing many rows
Min Data Points Required (Default: 3)
Minimum data points needed to display a sector
Prevents showing sectors with insufficient data
Relative Strength Settings
RS Benchmark Index (Default: AMEX:SPY)
Index to compare all sectors against
Can use SPY, QQQ, IWM, or any other index
RS Period (Days) (Default: 21)
Lookback period for RS calculation
21 days = 1 month, 63 days = 3 months, etc.
Sector ETF Settings (Groups 1-39)
Each sector has two inputs:
Symbol: The ticker (e.g., "AMEX:XLF")
Name: Display name (e.g., "Financials")
All 39 sectors can be customized to track different ETFs or markets.
📈 Column Explanations
Sector: ETF name/description
1M%: 1-month (21-day) performance
3M%: 3-month (63-day) performance
6M%: 6-month (126-day) performance
Mom: Momentum score (weighted average, recent-biased)
Acc: Acceleration (momentum rate of change)
Δ1M: Month-over-month change
RS: Relative strength vs benchmark
Flow: Money flow signal
↗️ IN: Strong inflows
🔄 TURN: Potential reversal
👀 WATCH: Recovery candidate
↘️ OUT: Outflows
—: Neutral
🎮 Usage Tips
For Swing Traders (3-14 days)
Use "🎯 Swing Trade" filter
Sort by "Acceleration" or "Momentum"
Look for Flow = "IN" and Mom >10
Confirm with positive RS
For Position Traders (2-8 weeks)
Use "📈 Trend Follow" filter
Sort by "RS" or "Best Acc + Mom"
Focus on consistent green across timeframes
Ensure RS >3 for market leaders
For Value Investors
Use "💎 Value Hunt" filter
Sort by "Recovery Plays" or "Top Losers 3M"
Look for improving Δ1M
Check for "WATCH" or "TURN" signals
For Risk Management
Regularly check "⚠️ Risk Off" filter
Sort by "Worst Acc (Topping)"
Review holdings for ⚠️ warning emojis
Exit sectors showing "OUT" flow
Market Regime Recognition
Bull Market: Many sectors showing "IN" flow, positive RS
Bear Market: Widespread "OUT" flows, negative RS
Rotation: Mixed flows, some "IN" while others "OUT"
Recovery: Multiple "TURN" and "WATCH" signals
🔧 Pro Tips
Combine Filters + Sorting: Filter first to narrow candidates, then sort to prioritize
Multi-Timeframe Confirmation: Best setups show alignment across 1M, 3M, and momentum
RS is Key: Sectors outperforming SPY (RS >0) tend to continue outperforming
Acceleration Matters: Positive acceleration often precedes price breakouts
Flow Transitions: "WATCH" → "TURN" → "IN" progression identifies new trends early
Regular Scans:
Daily: Check "Acceleration" sort
Weekly: Review "1M Change"
Monthly: Analyze "RS" shifts
Divergence Signals:
Price up but Acceleration down = Potential top
Price down but Acceleration up = Potential bottom
Sector Pairs Trading: Long sectors with "IN" flow, short sectors with "OUT" flow
⚠️ Important Notes
This indicator makes 40 security requests (maximum allowed)
Best used on Daily timeframe
Data updates in real-time during market hours
Some ETFs may show "—" if data is unavailable
🎯 Common Strategies
"Follow the Flow"
Only trade sectors showing "IN" flow with positive RS
"Rotation Catcher"
Focus on "TURN" signals in sectors down >15% from highs
"Momentum Rider"
Trade top 3 sectors by Momentum score, exit when Acceleration turns negative
"Mean Reversion"
Buy sectors in bottom 20% by 3M performance when Δ1M improves
"Relative Strength Leader"
Maintain positions only in sectors with RS >5
Not financial advice - always do additional research
Previous Day Fibonacci + Opening RangePrev Day Fibonacci & Opening Range Levels
This indicator is designed for professional traders who want to combine yesterday’s market structure with today’s intraday levels.
🔹 Features:
Automatic Fibonacci Retracements: Draws customizable Fibonacci retracement/extension levels based on the previous day’s High & Low.
Full Customization: Users can adjust the Fibonacci ratios and colors directly in settings.
Opening Range Levels: Plots today’s first candle High & Low (user-selectable timeframe for OR).
Clear Visuals: Helps identify key reversal zones, breakout levels, and confluence areas between higher timeframe structure and intraday moves.
🔹 Usage Ideas:
Spot potential reversal zones when price reacts to previous-day Fib levels.
Combine Opening Range breakout strategies with daily Fib levels for high-probability setups.
Use as confluence levels with your existing price action or indicator-based strategy.
⚡ Pro Tip: Look for overlaps between the Opening Range and Fibonacci retracements — these zones often act as strong support/resistance areas.
Seasonality Monte Carlo Forecaster [BackQuant]Seasonality Monte Carlo Forecaster
Plain-English overview
This tool projects a cone of plausible future prices by combining two ideas that traders already use intuitively: seasonality and uncertainty. It watches how your market typically behaves around this calendar date, turns that seasonal tendency into a small daily “drift,” then runs many randomized price paths forward to estimate where price could land tomorrow, next week, or a month from now. The result is a probability cone with a clear expected path, plus optional overlays that show how past years tended to move from this point on the calendar. It is a planning tool, not a crystal ball: the goal is to quantify ranges and odds so you can size, place stops, set targets, and time entries with more realism.
What Monte Carlo is and why quants rely on it
• Definition . Monte Carlo simulation is a way to answer “what might happen next?” when there is randomness in the system. Instead of producing a single forecast, it generates thousands of alternate futures by repeatedly sampling random shocks and adding them to a model of how prices evolve.
• Why it is used . Markets are noisy. A single point forecast hides risk. Monte Carlo gives a distribution of outcomes so you can reason in probabilities: the median path, the 68% band, the 95% band, tail risks, and the chance of hitting a specific level within a horizon.
• Core strengths in quant finance .
– Path-dependent questions : “What is the probability we touch a stop before a target?” “What is the expected drawdown on the way to my objective?”
– Pricing and risk : Useful for path-dependent options, Value-at-Risk (VaR), expected shortfall (CVaR), stress paths, and scenario analysis when closed-form formulas are unrealistic.
– Planning under uncertainty : Portfolio construction and rebalancing rules can be tested against a cloud of plausible futures rather than a single guess.
• Why it fits trading workflows . It turns gut feel like “seasonality is supportive here” into quantitative ranges: “median path suggests +X% with a 68% band of ±Y%; stop at Z has only ~16% odds of being tagged in N days.”
How this indicator builds its probability cone
1) Seasonal pattern discovery
The script builds two day-of-year maps as new data arrives:
• A return map where each calendar day stores an exponentially smoothed average of that day’s log return (yesterday→today). The smoothing (90% old, 10% new) behaves like an EWMA, letting older seasons matter while adapting to new information.
• A volatility map that tracks the typical absolute return for the same calendar day.
It calculates the day-of-year carefully (with leap-year adjustment) and indexes into a 365-slot seasonal array so “March 18” is compared with past March 18ths. This becomes the seasonal bias that gently nudges simulations up or down on each forecast day.
2) Choice of randomness engine
You can pick how the future shocks are generated:
• Daily mode uses a Gaussian draw with the seasonal bias as the mean and a volatility that comes from realized returns, scaled down to avoid over-fitting. It relies on the Box–Muller transform internally to turn two uniform random numbers into one normal shock.
• Weekly mode uses bootstrap sampling from the seasonal return history (resampling actual historical daily drifts and then blending in a fraction of the seasonal bias). Bootstrapping is robust when the empirical distribution has asymmetry or fatter tails than a normal distribution.
Both modes seed their random draws deterministically per path and day, which makes plots reproducible bar-to-bar and avoids flickering bands.
3) Volatility scaling to current conditions
Markets do not always live in average volatility. The engine computes a simple volatility factor from ATR(20)/price and scales the simulated shocks up or down within sensible bounds (clamped between 0.5× and 2.0×). When the current regime is quiet, the cone narrows; when ranges expand, the cone widens. This prevents the classic mistake of projecting calm markets into a storm or vice versa.
4) Many futures, summarized by percentiles
The model generates a matrix of price paths (capped at 100 runs for performance inside TradingView), each path stepping forward for your selected horizon. For each forecast day it sorts the simulated prices and pulls key percentiles:
• 5th and 95th → approximate 95% band (outer cone).
• 16th and 84th → approximate 68% band (inner cone).
• 50th → the median or “expected path.”
These are drawn as polylines so you can immediately see central tendency and dispersion.
5) A historical overlay (optional)
Turn on the overlay to sketch a dotted path of what a purely seasonal projection would look like for the next ~30 days using only the return map, no randomness. This is not a forecast; it is a visual reminder of the seasonal drift you are biasing toward.
Inputs you control and how to think about them
Monte Carlo Simulation
• Price Series for Calculation . The source series, typically close.
• Enable Probability Forecasts . Master switch for simulation and drawing.
• Simulation Iterations . Requested number of paths to run. Internally capped at 100 to protect performance, which is generally enough to estimate the percentiles for a trading chart. If you need ultra-smooth bands, shorten the horizon.
• Forecast Days Ahead . The length of the cone. Longer horizons dilute seasonal signal and widen uncertainty.
• Probability Bands . Draw all bands, just 95%, just 68%, or a custom level (display logic remains 68/95 internally; the custom number is for labeling and color choice).
• Pattern Resolution . Daily leans on day-of-year effects like “turn-of-month” or holiday patterns. Weekly biases toward day-of-week tendencies and bootstraps from history.
• Volatility Scaling . On by default so the cone respects today’s range context.
Plotting & UI
• Probability Cone . Plots the outer and inner percentile envelopes.
• Expected Path . Plots the median line through the cone.
• Historical Overlay . Dotted seasonal-only projection for context.
• Band Transparency/Colors . Customize primary (outer) and secondary (inner) band colors and the mean path color. Use higher transparency for cleaner charts.
What appears on your chart
• A cone starting at the most recent bar, fanning outward. The outer lines are the ~95% band; the inner lines are the ~68% band.
• A median path (default blue) running through the center of the cone.
• An info panel on the final historical bar that summarizes simulation count, forecast days, number of seasonal patterns learned, the current day-of-year, expected percentage return to the median, and the approximate 95% half-range in percent.
• Optional historical seasonal path drawn as dotted segments for the next 30 bars.
How to use it in trading
1) Position sizing and stop logic
The cone translates “volatility plus seasonality” into distances.
• Put stops outside the inner band if you want only ~16% odds of a stop-out due to noise before your thesis can play.
• Size positions so that a test of the inner band is survivable and a test of the outer band is rare but acceptable.
• If your target sits inside the 68% band at your horizon, the payoff is likely modest; outside the 68% but inside the 95% can justify “one-good-push” trades; beyond the 95% band is a low-probability flyer—consider scaling plans or optionality.
2) Entry timing with seasonal bias
When the median path slopes up from this calendar date and the cone is relatively narrow, a pullback toward the lower inner band can be a high-quality entry with a tight invalidation. If the median slopes down, fade rallies toward the upper band or step aside if it clashes with your system.
3) Target selection
Project your time horizon to N bars ahead, then pick targets around the median or the opposite inner band depending on your style. You can also anchor dynamic take-profits to the moving median as new bars arrive.
4) Scenario planning & “what-ifs”
Before events, glance at the cone: if the 95% band already spans a huge range, trade smaller, expect whips, and avoid placing stops at obvious band edges. If the cone is unusually tight, consider breakout tactics and be ready to add if volatility expands beyond the inner band with follow-through.
5) Options and vol tactics
• When the cone is tight : Prefer long gamma structures (debit spreads) only if you expect a regime shift; otherwise premium selling may dominate.
• When the cone is wide : Debit structures benefit from range; credit spreads need wider wings or smaller size. Align with your separate IV metrics.
Reading the probability cone like a pro
• Cone slope = seasonal drift. Upward slope means the calendar has historically favored positive drift from this date, downward slope the opposite.
• Cone width = regime volatility. A widening fan tells you that uncertainty grows fast; a narrow cone says the market typically stays contained.
• Mean vs. price gap . If spot trades well above the median path and the upper band, mean-reversion risk is high. If spot presses the lower inner band in an up-sloping cone, you are in the “buy fear” zone.
• Touches and pierces . Touching the inner band is common noise; piercing it with momentum signals potential regime change; the outer band should be rare and often brings snap-backs unless there is a structural catalyst.
Methodological notes (what the code actually does)
• Log returns are used for additivity and better statistical behavior: sim_ret is applied via exp(sim_ret) to evolve price.
• Seasonal arrays are updated online with EWMA (90/10) so the model keeps learning as each bar arrives.
• Leap years are handled; indexing still normalizes into a 365-slot map so the seasonal pattern remains stable.
• Gaussian engine (Daily mode) centers shocks on the seasonal bias with a conservative standard deviation.
• Bootstrap engine (Weekly mode) resamples from observed seasonal returns and adds a fraction of the bias, which captures skew and fat tails better.
• Volatility adjustment multiplies each daily shock by a factor derived from ATR(20)/price, clamped between 0.5 and 2.0 to avoid extreme cones.
• Performance guardrails : simulations are capped at 100 paths; the probability cone uses polylines (no heavy fills) and only draws on the last confirmed bar to keep charts responsive.
• Prerequisite data : at least ~30 seasonal entries are required before the model will draw a cone; otherwise it waits for more history.
Strengths and limitations
• Strengths :
– Probabilistic thinking replaces single-point guessing.
– Seasonality adds a small but meaningful directional bias that many markets exhibit.
– Volatility scaling adapts to the current regime so the cone stays realistic.
• Limitations :
– Seasonality can break around structural changes, policy shifts, or one-off events.
– The number of paths is performance-limited; percentile estimates are good for trading, not for academic precision.
– The model assumes tomorrow’s randomness resembles recent randomness; if regime shifts violently, the cone will lag until the EWMA adapts.
– Holidays and missing sessions can thin the seasonal sample for some assets; be cautious with very short histories.
Tuning guide
• Horizon : 10–20 bars for tactical trades; 30+ for swing planning when you care more about broad ranges than precise targets.
• Iterations : The default 100 is enough for stable 5/16/50/84/95 percentiles. If you crave smoother lines, shorten the horizon or run on higher timeframes.
• Daily vs. Weekly : Daily for equities and crypto where month-end and turn-of-month effects matter; Weekly for futures and FX where day-of-week behavior is strong.
• Volatility scaling : Keep it on. Turn off only when you intentionally want a “pure seasonality” cone unaffected by current turbulence.
Workflow examples
• Swing continuation : Cone slopes up, price pulls into the lower inner band, your system fires. Enter near the band, stop just outside the outer line for the next 3–5 bars, target near the median or the opposite inner band.
• Fade extremes : Cone is flat or down, price gaps to the upper outer band on news, then stalls. Favor mean-reversion toward the median, size small if volatility scaling is elevated.
• Event play : Before CPI or earnings on a proxy index, check cone width. If the inner band is already wide, cut size or prefer options structures that benefit from range.
Good habits
• Pair the cone with your entry engine (breakout, pullback, order flow). Let Monte Carlo do range math; let your system do signal quality.
• Do not anchor blindly to the median; recalc after each bar. When the cone’s slope flips or width jumps, the plan should adapt.
• Validate seasonality for your symbol and timeframe; not every market has strong calendar effects.
Summary
The Seasonality Monte Carlo Forecaster wraps institutional risk planning into a single overlay: a data-driven seasonal drift, realistic volatility scaling, and a probabilistic cone that answers “where could we be, with what odds?” within your trading horizon. Use it to place stops where randomness is less likely to take you out, to set targets aligned with realistic travel, and to size positions with confidence born from distributions rather than hunches. It will not predict the future, but it will keep your decisions anchored to probabilities—the language markets actually speak.
Triple EMA with Alert | 21, 50, 200 EMA Strategy + Crossover🚀 Boost your trading edge with the Triple EMA with Alert — a professional-grade indicator designed for traders who want precise, real-time trend confirmation across short, medium, and long-term market movements.
🔹 What Makes This Indicator Powerful?
Three Adjustable EMAs — Default: 21, 50, 200 periods (fully customizable 1–200).
Toggle Visibility — Show only the EMAs you need for your strategy.
Real-Time Alerts — Get notified instantly when:
EMA 1 crosses EMA 2 → short-term trend change.
EMA 2 crosses EMA 3 → medium-term trend alignment.
Works on All Markets & Timeframes — Forex, crypto, stocks, indices, and commodities.
🔹 Why Traders Love It
📊 Multi-Timeframe Trend Confirmation — Filter out noise and trade with market momentum.
🎯 Accurate Crossover Signals — Identify bullish and bearish momentum shifts.
🔔 Hands-Free Monitoring — Alerts keep you informed even when you’re away from the chart.
💡 Versatile for Any Strategy — Perfect for scalping, swing trading, or long-term investing.
🔹 How to Use It
Bullish Signal — EMA 1 crossing above EMA 2 or EMA 2 crossing above EMA 3.
Bearish Signal — EMA 1 crossing below EMA 2 or EMA 2 crossing below EMA 3.
Combine with support/resistance zones, RSI, or volume for higher probability trades.
📌 Pro Tip:
Use EMA 21 & EMA 50 for momentum confirmation.
Use EMA 200 to spot the overall market direction.
If you’re serious about trend trading with precision, the Triple EMA with Alert will keep you one step ahead of market moves — no more missed entries or exits.






















