Perp Imbalance Zones • Pro (clean)USD Premium (perp vs spot) → (Perp − Spot) / Spot.
Imbalance (z-score of that premium) → how extreme the current premium is relative to its own history over lenPrem bars.
Hysteresis state machine → flips to a SHORT bias when perp-long pressure is extreme; flips to LONG bias when perp-short pressure is extreme. It exits only after the imbalance cools (prevents whipsaw).
Price stretch filter (±σ) → optional Bollinger check so signals only fire when price is already stretched.
HTF confirmation (optional) → require higher-timeframe imbalance to agree with the current-TF bias.
Gradient visuals → line + background tint deepen as |z| grows (more extreme pressure).
What you see on the pane
A single line (z):
Above 0 = perp richer than spot (perp longs pressing).
Below 0 = perp cheaper than spot (perp shorts pressing).
Guides: dotted levels at ±enterZ (entry) and ±exitZ (cool-off/exit).
Background tint:
Red when state = SHORT bias (perp longs heavy).
Blue when state = LONG bias (perp shorts heavy).
Tint intensity scales with |z| (via hotZ).
Labels (optional): prints when bias flips.
Alerts (optional): “Enter SHORT/LONG bias” and “Exit bias”.
How to use it (playbook)
Attach & set symbols
Put the script on your chart.
Set Spot symbol and Perp symbol to the venue you trade (e.g., BINANCE:BTCUSDT + BINANCE:BTCUSDTPERP).
Read the bias
SHORT bias (red background): perp longs over-extended. Look for short entries if price is at resistance, σ-stretched, or your PA system agrees.
LONG bias (blue background): perp shorts over-extended. Look for long entries at support/σ-stretched down.
Entries
Use the bias flip as a context/confirm. Combine with your structure trigger (OB/level sweep, rejection wick, micro-break in market structure, etc.).
If useSigma=true, only trade when price is already ≥ upper band (shorts) or ≤ lower band (longs).
Exits
Bias auto-exits when |z| falls below exitZ.
You can also take profits at your levels or when the line fades back toward 0 while price mean-reverts to the middle band.
Tuning (what each knob does)
enterZ / exitZ (signal strictness + hysteresis)
Higher enterZ → fewer, cleaner signals (e.g., 1.8–2.2).
exitZ should be lower than enterZ (e.g., 0.6–1.0) to prevent flicker.
lenPrem (context window for z)
Larger (50–100) = steadier baseline, fewer signals.
Smaller (20–30) = more reactive, more signals.
smoothLen (EMA on z)
2–3 = snappier; 5–7 = smoother/laggier but cleaner.
useSigma, bbLen, bbK (price-stretch filter)
On filters chop. Try bbLen=100, bbK=1.0–1.5.
Off if you want more frequent signals or you already gate with your own σ/Keltner.
useHTF, htfTF, htfZmin (trend/confirmation)
Turn on to require higher-TF imbalance agreement (e.g., trading 1H → confirm with 4H htfTF=240, htfZmin≈0.6–1.0).
hotZ (visual intensity)
Lower (2.0–2.5) heats up faster; higher (4.0) is more subtle.
Ready-made presets
Conservative swing (fewer, higher-conviction):
enterZ=2.0, exitZ=1.0, lenPrem=60–80, smoothLen=5, useSigma=true, bbK=1.5, useHTF=true (240/0.8).
Balanced intraday (default feel):
enterZ=1.6–1.8, exitZ=0.8–1.0, lenPrem=50, smoothLen=3–4, useSigma=true, bbK=1.0–1.25, useHTF=false/true depending on trendiness.
Aggressive scalping (more signals):
enterZ=1.2–1.4, exitZ=0.6–0.8, lenPrem=20–30, smoothLen=2–3, useSigma=false, useHTF=false.
Practical tips
Don’t trade the line in isolation. Use it to time trades into your levels: VWAP bands, Monday high/low, prior POC/VAH/VAL, order blocks, etc.
Perp-led reversals often snap—be ready to scale out quickly back to mid-bands.
Venue matters. Keep spot & perp from the same exchange family to avoid cross-venue quirks.
Alerts: enable after you’ve tuned thresholds for your timeframe so you only get high-quality pings.
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Dow Theory Indicator## 🎯 Key Features of the Indicator
### 📈 Complete Implementation of Dow Theory
- Three-tier trend structure: primary trend (50 periods), secondary trend (20 periods), and minor trend (10 periods).
- Swing point analysis: automatically detects critical swing highs and lows.
- Trend confirmation mechanism: strict confirmation logic based on consecutive higher highs/higher lows or lower highs/lower lows.
- Volume confirmation: ensures price moves are supported by trading volume.
### 🕐 Flexible Timeframe Parameters
All key parameters are adjustable, making it especially suitable for U.S. equities:
Trend analysis parameters:
- Primary trend period: 20–200 (default 50; recommended 50–100 for U.S. stocks).
- Secondary trend period: 10–100 (default 20; recommended 15–30 for U.S. stocks).
- Minor trend period: 5–50 (default 10; recommended 5–15 for U.S. stocks).
Dow Theory parameters:
- Swing high/low lookback: 5–50 (default 10).
- Trend confirmation bar count: 1–10 (default 3).
- Volume confirmation period: 10–100 (default 20).
### 🇺🇸 U.S. Market Optimizations
- Session awareness: distinguishes Regular Trading Hours (9:30–16:00 EST) from pre-market and after-hours.
- Pre/post-market weighting: adjustable weighting factor for signals during extended hours.
- Earnings season filter: automatically adjusts sensitivity during earnings periods.
- U.S.-optimized default parameters.
## 🎨 Visualization
1. Trend lines: three differently colored trend lines.
2. Background fill: green (uptrend) / red (downtrend) / gray (neutral).
3. Signal markers: arrows, labels, and warning icons.
4. Swing point markers: small triangles at key turning points.
5. Info panel: real-time display of eight key metrics.
## 🚨 Alert System
- Trend turning to up/down.
- Strong bullish/bearish signals (dual confirmation).
- Volume divergence warning.
- New swing high/low formed.
## 📋 How to Use
1. Open the Pine Editor in TradingView.
2. Copy the contents of dow_theory_indicator.pine.
3. Paste and click “Add to chart.”
4. Adjust parameters based on trading style:
- Long-term investing: increase all period parameters.
- Swing trading: use the default parameters.
- Short-term trading: decrease all period parameters.
## 💡 Parameter Tips for U.S. Stocks
- Large-cap blue chips (AAPL, MSFT): primary 60–80, secondary 25–30.
- Mid-cap growth stocks: primary 40–60, secondary 18–25.
- Small-cap high-volatility stocks: primary 30–50, secondary 15–20.
RSI Crossover AlertRSI Crossover Alert Indicator - User Guide
The RSI Crossover Alert Indicator is a comprehensive technical analysis tool that detects multiple types of RSI crossovers and generates real-time alerts. It combines traditional RSI analysis with signal lines, divergence detection, and multi-level crossing alerts.
1. Multiple Crossover Detection
- RSI/Signal Line Cross: Signals a primary trend change.
- RSI/Second Signal Cross: Confirmation signals for stronger trends.
- Level Crossings: Crosses of Overbought 70, Oversold 30, and Midline 50.
- Divergence Detection: Hidden and regular divergences for reversal signals.
2. Alert Types
- Alert: RSI > Signal
Description: Bullish momentum is building.
Signal: Consider long positions.
- Alert: RSI < Signal
Description: Bearish momentum is building.
Signal: Consider short positions.
- Alert: RSI > 70
Description: Entering the overbought zone.
Signal: Prepare for a potential reversal.
- Alert: RSI < 30
Description: Entering the oversold zone.
Signal: Watch for a bounce opportunity.
- Alert: RSI crosses 50
Description: A shift in momentum.
Signal: Trend confirmation.
3. Visual Components
- Lines: RSI blue, Signal orange, Second Signal purple
- Histogram: Visualizes momentum by showing the difference between RSI and the Signal line.
- Background Zones: Red overbought, Green oversold
- Markers: Up/down triangles to indicate crossovers.
- Info Table: Real-time RSI values and status.
Strategy 1: Classic Crossover
- Entry Long: RSI crosses above the Signal Line AND RSI is below 50.
- Entry Short: RSI crosses below the Signal Line AND RSI is above 50.
- Take Profit: On the opposite signal.
- Stop Loss: At the recent swing high/low.
Strategy 2: Extreme Zone Reversal
- Entry Long: RSI is below 30 and crosses above the Signal Line.
- Entry Short: RSI is above 70 and crosses below the Signal Line.
- Risk Management: Higher win rate but fewer signals. Use a minimum 2:1 risk-reward ratio.
Strategy 3: Divergence Trading
- Setup: Enable divergence alerts and look for price/RSI divergence. Wait for an RSI crossover for confirmation.
- Entry: Enter on the crossover after the divergence appears. Place the stop loss beyond the starting point of the divergence.
Strategy 4: Multi-Timeframe Confirmation
1. Check the higher timeframe e.g. Daily to identify the main trend.
2. Use the current timeframe e.g. 4H/1H for your entry.
3. Only enter in the direction of the main trend.
4. Use the RSI crossover as the entry trigger.
Optimal Settings by Market
- Forex Major Pairs
RSI Length: 14, Signal Length: 9, Overbought/Oversold: 70/30
- Crypto High Volatility
RSI Length: 10-12, Signal Length: 6-8, Overbought/Oversold: 75/25
- Stocks Trending
RSI Length: 14-21, Signal Length: 9-12, Overbought/Oversold: 70/30
- Commodities
RSI Length: 14, Signal Length: 9, Overbought/Oversold: 80/20
Risk Management Rules
1. Position Sizing: Never risk more than 1-2% on a single trade. Reduce size in ranging markets.
2. Stop Loss Placement: Place stops beyond the recent swing high/low for crossovers. Using an ATR-based stop is also effective.
3. Profit Taking: Take partial profits at a 1:1 risk-reward ratio. Switch to a trailing stop after reaching 2:1.
1. Filtering Signals
- Combine with volume indicators.
- Confirm the trend on a higher timeframe.
- Wait for candlestick pattern confirmation.
2. Avoid Common Mistakes
- Don't trade every single crossover.
- Avoid taking signals against a strong trend.
- Do not ignore risk management.
3. Market Conditions
- Trending Market: Focus on midline 50 crosses.
- Ranging Market: Look for reversals from overbought/oversold levels.
- Volatile Market: Widen the overbought/oversold levels.
- If you get too many false signals:
Increase the signal line period, add other confirmation indicators, or use a higher timeframe.
- If you are missing major moves:
Decrease the RSI length, shorten the signal line period, or check your alert settings.
Recommended Combinations
1. RSI + MACD: For dual momentum confirmation.
2. RSI + Bollinger Bands: For volatility-adjusted signals.
3. RSI + Volume: To confirm the strength of a signal.
4. RSI + Moving Averages: To use as a trend filter.
This indicator provides a comprehensive RSI analysis. Success depends on proper configuration, risk management, and combining signals with the overall market context. Start with the default settings, then optimize based on your trading style and market conditions.
Martingale Strategy Simulator [BackQuant]Martingale Strategy Simulator
Purpose
This indicator lets you study how a martingale-style position sizing rule interacts with a simple long or short trading signal. It computes an equity curve from bar-to-bar returns, adapts position size after losing streaks, caps exposure at a user limit, and summarizes risk with portfolio metrics. An optional Monte Carlo module projects possible future equity paths from your realized daily returns.
What a martingale is
A martingale sizing rule increases stake after losses and resets after a win. In its classical form from gambling, you double the bet after each loss so that a single win recovers all prior losses plus one unit of profit. In markets there is no fixed “even-money” payout and returns are multiplicative, so an exact recovery guarantee does not exist. The core idea is unchanged:
Lose one leg → increase next position size
Lose again → increase again
Win → reset to the base size
The expectation of your strategy still depends on the signal’s edge. Sizing does not create positive expectancy on its own. A martingale raises variance and tail risk by concentrating more capital as a losing streak develops.
What it plots
Equity – simulated portfolio equity including compounding
Buy & Hold – equity from holding the chart symbol for context
Optional helpers – last trade outcome, current streak length, current allocation fraction
Optional diagnostics – daily portfolio return, rolling drawdown, metrics table
Optional Monte Carlo probability cone – p5, p16, p50, p84, p95 aggregate bands
Model assumptions
Bar-close execution with no slippage or commissions
Shorting allowed and frictionless
No margin interest, borrow fees, or position limits
No intrabar moves or gaps within a bar (returns are close-to-close)
Sizing applies to equity fraction only and is capped by your setting
All results are hypothetical and for education only.
How the simulator applies it
1) Directional signal
You pick a simple directional rule that produces +1 for long or −1 for short each bar. Options include 100 HMA slope, RSI above or below 50, EMA or SMA crosses, CCI and other oscillators, ATR move, BB basis, and more. The stance is evaluated bar by bar. When the stance flips, the current trade ends and the next one starts.
2) Sizing after losses and wins
Position size is a fraction of equity:
Initial allocation – the starting fraction, for example 0.15 means 15 percent of equity
Increase after loss – multiply the next allocation by your factor after a losing leg, for example 2.00 to double
Reset after win – return to the initial allocation
Max allocation cap – hard ceiling to prevent runaway growth
At a high level the size after k consecutive losses is
alloc(k) = min( cap , base × factor^k ) .
In practice the simulator changes size only when a leg ends and its PnL is known.
3) Equity update
Let r_t = close_t / close_{t-1} − 1 be the symbol’s bar return, d_{t−1} ∈ {+1, −1} the prior bar stance, and a_{t−1} the prior bar allocation fraction. The simulator compounds:
eq_t = eq_{t−1} × (1 + a_{t−1} × d_{t−1} × r_t) .
This is bar-based and avoids intrabar lookahead. Costs, slippage, and borrowing costs are not modeled.
Why traders experiment with martingale sizing
Mean-reversion contexts – if the signal often snaps back after a string of losses, adding size near the tail of a move can pull the average entry closer to the turn
Behavioral or microstructure edges – some rules have modest edge but frequent small whipsaws; size escalation may shorten time-to-recovery when the edge manifests
Exploration and stress testing – studying the relationship between streaks, caps, and drawdowns is instructive even if you do not deploy martingale sizing live
Why martingale is dangerous
Martingale concentrates capital when the strategy is performing worst. The main risks are structural, not cosmetic:
Loss streaks are inevitable – even with a 55 percent win rate you should expect multi-loss runs. The probability of at least one k-loss streak in N trades rises quickly with N.
Size explodes geometrically – with factor 2.0 and base 10 percent, the sequence is 10, 20, 40, 80, 100 (capped) after five losses. Without a strict cap, required size becomes infeasible.
No fixed payout – in gambling, one win at even odds resets PnL. In markets, there is no guaranteed bounce nor fixed profit multiple. Trends can extend and gaps can skip levels.
Correlation of losses – losses cluster in trends and in volatility bursts. A martingale tends to be largest just when volatility is highest.
Margin and liquidity constraints – leverage limits, margin calls, position limits, and widening spreads can force liquidation before a mean reversion occurs.
Fat tails and regime shifts – assumptions of independent, Gaussian returns can understate tail risk. Structural breaks can keep the signal wrong for much longer than expected.
The simulator exposes these dynamics in the equity curve, Max Drawdown, VaR and CVaR, and via Monte Carlo sketches of forward uncertainty.
Interpreting losing streaks with numbers
A rough intuition: if your per-trade win probability is p and loss probability is q=1−p , the chance of a specific run of k consecutive losses is q^k . Over many trades, the chance that at least one k-loss run occurs grows with the number of opportunities. As a sanity check:
If p=0.55 , then q=0.45 . A 6-loss run has probability q^6 ≈ 0.008 on any six-trade window. Across hundreds of trades, a 6 to 8-loss run is not rare.
If your size factor is 1.5 and your base is 10 percent, after 8 losses the requested size is 10% × 1.5^8 ≈ 25.6% . With factor 2.0 it would try to be 10% × 2^8 = 256% but your cap will stop it. The equity curve will still wear the compounded drawdown from the sequence that led to the cap.
This is why the cap setting is central. It does not remove tail risk, but it prevents the sizing rule from demanding impossible positions
Note: The p and q math is illustrative. In live data the win rate and distribution can drift over time, so real streaks can be longer or shorter than the simple q^k intuition suggests..
Using the simulator productively
Parameter studies
Start with conservative settings. Increase one element at a time and watch how the equity, Max Drawdown, and CVaR respond.
Initial allocation – lower base reduces volatility and drawdowns across the board
Increase factor – set modestly above 1.0 if you want the effect at all; doubling is aggressive
Max cap – the most important brake; many users keep it between 20 and 50 percent
Signal selection
Keep sizing fixed and rotate signals to see how streak patterns differ. Trend-following signals tend to produce long wrong-way streaks in choppy ranges. Mean-reversion signals do the opposite. Martingale sizing interacts very differently with each.
Diagnostics to watch
Use the built-in metrics to quantify risk:
Max Drawdown – worst peak-to-trough equity loss
Sharpe and Sortino – volatility and downside-adjusted return
VaR 95 percent and CVaR – tail risk measures from the realized distribution
Alpha and Beta – relationship to your chosen benchmark
If you would like to check out the original performance metrics script with multiple assets with a better explanation on all metrics please see
Monte Carlo exploration
When enabled, the forecast draws many synthetic paths from your realized daily returns:
Choose a horizon and a number of runs
Review the bands: p5 to p95 for a wide risk envelope; p16 to p84 for a narrower range; p50 as the median path
Use the table to read the expected return over the horizon and the tail outcomes
Remember it is a sketch based on your recent distribution, not a predictor
Concrete examples
Example A: Modest martingale
Base 10 percent, factor 1.25, cap 40 percent, RSI>50 signal. You will see small escalations on 2 to 4 loss runs and frequent resets. The equity curve usually remains smooth unless the signal enters a prolonged wrong-way regime. Max DD may rise moderately versus fixed sizing.
Example B: Aggressive martingale
Base 15 percent, factor 2.0, cap 60 percent, EMA cross signal. The curve can look stellar during favorable regimes, then a single extended streak pushes allocation to the cap, and a few more losses drive deep drawdown. CVaR and Max DD jump sharply. This is a textbook case of high tail risk.
Strengths
Bar-by-bar, transparent computation of equity from stance and size
Explicit handling of wins, losses, streaks, and caps
Portable signal inputs so you can A–B test ideas quickly
Risk diagnostics and forward uncertainty visualization in one place
Example, Rolling Max Drawdown
Limitations and important notes
Martingale sizing can escalate drawdowns rapidly. The cap limits position size but not the possibility of extended adverse runs.
No commissions, slippage, margin interest, borrow costs, or liquidity limits are modeled.
Signals are evaluated on closes. Real execution and fills will differ.
Monte Carlo assumes independent draws from your recent return distribution. Markets often have serial correlation, fat tails, and regime changes.
All results are hypothetical. Use this as an educational tool, not a production risk engine.
Practical tips
Prefer gentle factors such as 1.1 to 1.3. Doubling is usually excessive outside of toy examples.
Keep a strict cap. Many users cap between 20 and 40 percent of equity per leg.
Stress test with different start dates and subperiods. Long flat or trending regimes are where martingale weaknesses appear.
Compare to an anti-martingale (increase after wins, cut after losses) to understand the other side of the trade-off.
If you deploy sizing live, add external guardrails such as a daily loss cut, volatility filters, and a global max drawdown stop.
Settings recap
Backtest start date and initial capital
Initial allocation, increase-after-loss factor, max allocation cap
Signal source selector
Trading days per year and risk-free rate
Benchmark symbol for Alpha and Beta
UI toggles for equity, buy and hold, labels, metrics, PnL, and drawdown
Monte Carlo controls for enable, runs, horizon, and result table
Final thoughts
A martingale is not a free lunch. It is a way to tilt capital allocation toward losing streaks. If the signal has a real edge and mean reversion is common, careful and capped escalation can reduce time-to-recovery. If the signal lacks edge or regimes shift, the same rule can magnify losses at the worst possible moment. This simulator makes those trade-offs visible so you can calibrate parameters, understand tail risk, and decide whether the approach belongs anywhere in your research workflow.
Ultra Volume DetectorNative Volume — Auto Levels + Ultra Label
What it does
This indicator classifies volume bars into four categories — Low, Medium, High, and Ultra — using rolling percentile thresholds. Instead of fixed cutoffs, it adapts dynamically to recent market activity, making it useful across different symbols and timeframes. Ultra-high volume bars are highlighted with labels showing compacted values (K/M/B/T) and the appropriate unit (shares, contracts, ticks, etc.).
Core Logic
Dynamic thresholds: Calculates percentile levels (e.g., 50th, 80th, 98th) over a user-defined window of bars.
Categorization: Bars are colored by category (Low/Med/High/Ultra).
Ultra labeling: Only Ultra bars are labeled, preventing chart clutter.
Optional MA: A moving average of raw volume can be plotted for context.
Alerts: Supports both alert condition for Ultra events and dynamic alert() messages that include the actual volume value at bar close.
How to use
Adjust window size: Larger windows (e.g., 200+) provide stable thresholds; smaller windows react more quickly.
Set percentiles: Typical defaults are 50 for Medium, 80 for High, and 98 for Ultra. Lower the Ultra percentile to see more frequent signals, or raise it to isolate only extreme events.
Read chart signals:
Bar colors show the category.
Labels appear only on Ultra bars.
Alerts can be set up for automatic notification when Ultra volume occurs.
Why it’s unique
Adaptive: Uses rolling statistics, not static thresholds.
Cross-asset ready: Adjusts units automatically depending on instrument type.
Efficient visualization: Focuses labels only on the most significant events, reducing noise.
⚠️ Disclaimer: This tool is for educational and analytical purposes only. It does not provide financial advice. Always test and manage risk before trading live
BTC Power-Law Decay Channel Oscillator (0–100)🟠 BTC Power-Law Decay Channel Oscillator (0–100)
This indicator calculates Bitcoin’s position inside its long-term power-law decay channel and normalizes it into an easy-to-read 0–100 oscillator.
🔎 Concept
Bitcoin’s long-term price trajectory can be modeled by a log-log power-law channel.
A baseline is fitted, then an upper band (excess/euphoria) and a lower band (capitulation/fear).
The oscillator shows where the current price sits between those bands:
0 = near the lower band (historical bottoms)
100 = near the upper band (historical tops)
📊 How to Read
Oscillator > 80 → euphoric excess, often cycle tops
Oscillator < 20 → capitulation, often cycle bottoms
Works best on weekly or bi-weekly timeframes.
⚙️ Adjustable Parameters
Anchor date: starting point for the power-law fit (default: 2011).
Smoothing days: moving average applied to log-price (default: 365 days).
Upper / Lower multipliers: scale the bands to align with historical highs and lows.
✅ Best Use
Combine with other cycle signals (dominance ratios, macro indicators, sentiment).
Designed for long-term cycle analysis, not intraday trading.
Full Stochastic (TC2000-style EMA 5,3,3)Full Stochastic (TC2000-style EMA 5,3,3) computes a Full Stochastic oscillator matching TC2000’s settings with Average Type = Exponential.
Raw %K is calculated over K=5, then smoothed by an EMA with Slowing=3 to form the Full %K, and %D is an EMA of Full %K with D=3.
Plots:
%K in black, %D in red, with 80/20 overbought/oversold levels in green.
This setup emphasizes momentum shifts while applying EMA smoothing at both stages to reduce noise and maintain responsiveness. Inputs are adjustable to suit different symbols and timeframes.
Radial Basis Kernel RSI for LoopRadial Basis Kernel RSI for Loop
What it is
An RSI-style oscillator that uses a radial basis function (RBF) kernel to compute a similarity-weighted average of gains and losses across many lookback lengths and kernel widths (γ). By averaging dozens of RSI estimates—each built with different parameters—it aims to deliver a smoother, more robust momentum signal that adapts to changing market conditions.
How it works
The script measures up/down price changes from your chosen Source (default: close).
For each combination of RSI length and Gamma (γ) in your ranges, it builds an RSI where recent bars that look most similar (by price behavior) get more weight via an RBF kernel.
It averages all those RSIs into a single value, then smooths it with your selected Moving Average type (SMA, EMA, WMA, HMA, DEMA) and a light regression-based filter for stability.
Inputs you can tune
Min/Max RSI Kernel Length & Step: Range of RSI lookbacks to include in the ensemble (e.g., 20→40 by 1) or (e.g., 30→50 by 1).
Min/Max Gamma & Step: Controls the RBF “width.” Lower γ = broader similarity (smoother); higher γ = more selective (snappier).
Source: Price series to analyze.
Overbought / Oversold levels: Defaults 70 / 30, with a midline at 50. Shaded regions help visualize extremes.
MA Type & Period (Confluence): Final smoothing on the averaged RSI line (e.g., DEMA(44) by default).
Red “OB” labels when the line crosses down from extreme highs (~80) → potential overbought fade/exit areas.
Green “OS” labels when the line crosses up from extreme lows (~20) → potential oversold bounce/entry areas.
How to use it
Treat it like RSI, but expect fewer whipsaws thanks to the ensemble and kernel weighting.
Common approaches:
Look for crosses back inside the bands (e.g., down from >70 or up from <30).
Use the 50 midline for directional bias (above = bullish momentum tilt; below = bearish).
Combine with trend filters (e.g., your chart MA) for higher-probability signals.
Performance note: This is really heavy and depending on how much time your subscription allows you could experience this timing out. Increasing the step size is the easiest way to reduce the load time.
Works on any symbol or timeframe. Like any oscillator, best used alongside price action and risk management rather than in isolation.
ForecastForecast (FC), indicator documentation
Type: Study, not a strategy
Primary timeframe: 1D chart, most plots and the on-chart table only render on daily bars
Inspiration: Robert Carver’s “forecast” concept from Advanced Futures Trading Strategies, using normalized, capped signals for comparability across markets
⸻
What the indicator does
FC builds a volatility-normalized momentum forecast for a chosen symbol, optionally versus a benchmark. It combines an EWMAC composite with a channel breakout composite, then caps the result to a common scale. You can run it in three data modes:
• Absolute: Forecast of the selected symbol
• Relative: Forecast of the ratio symbol / benchmark
• Combined: Average of Absolute and Relative
A compact table can summarize the current forecast, short-term direction on the forecast EMAs, correlation versus the benchmark, and ATR-scaled distances to common price EMAs.
⸻
PineScreener, relative-strength screening
This indicator is excellent for screening on relative strength in PineScreener, since the forecast is volatility-normalized and capped on a common scale.
Available PineScreener columns
PineScreener reads the plotted series. You will see at least these columns:
• FC, the capped forecast
• from EMA20, (price − EMA20) / ATR in ATR multiples
• from EMA50, (price − EMA50) / ATR in ATR multiples
• ATR, ATR as a percent of price
• Corr, weekly correlation with the chosen benchmark
Relative mode and Combined mode are recommended for cross-sectional screens. In Relative mode the calculation uses symbol / benchmark, so ensure the ratio ticker exists for your data source.
⸻
How it works, step by step
1. Volatility model
Compute exponentially weighted mean and variance of daily percent returns on D, annualize, optionally blend with a long lookback using 10y %, then convert to a price-scaled sigma.
2. EWMAC momentum, three legs
Daily legs: EMA(8) − EMA(32), EMA(16) − EMA(64), EMA(32) − EMA(128).
Divide by price-scaled sigma, multiply by leg scalars, cap to Cap = 20, average, then apply a small FDM factor.
3. Breakout momentum, three channels
Smoothed position inside 40, 80, and 160 day channels, each scaled, then averaged.
4. Composite forecast
Average the EWMAC composite and the breakout composite, then cap to ±20.
Relative mode runs the same logic on symbol / benchmark.
Combined mode averages Absolute and Relative composites.
5. Weekly correlation
Pearson correlation between weekly closes of the asset and the benchmark over a user-set length.
6. Direction overlay
Two EMAs on the forecast series plus optional green or red background by sign, and optional horizontal level shading around 0, ±5, ±10, ±15, ±20.
⸻
Plots
• FC, capped forecast on the daily chart
• 8-32 Abs, 8-32 Rel, single-leg EWMAC plus breakout view
• 8-32-128 Abs, 8-32-128 Rel, three-leg composite views
• from EMA20, from EMA50, (price − EMA) / ATR
• ATR, ATR as a percent of price
• Corr, weekly correlation with the benchmark
• Forecast EMA1 and EMA2, EMAs of the forecast with an optional fill
• Backgrounds and guide lines, optional sign-based background, optional 0, ±5, ±10, ±15, ±20 guides
Most plots and the table are gated by timeframe.isdaily. Set the chart to 1D to see them.
⸻
Inputs
Symbol selection
• Absolute, Relative, Combined
• Vs. benchmark for Relative mode and correlation, choices: SPY, QQQ, XLE, GLD
• Ticker or Freeform, for Freeform use full TradingView notation, for example NASDAQ:AAPL
Engine selection
• Include:
• 8-32-128, three EWMAC legs plus three breakouts
• 8-32, simplified view based on the 8-32 leg plus a 40-day breakout
EMA, applied to the forecast
• EMA1, EMA2, with line-width controls, plus color and opacity
Volatility
• Span, EW volatility span for daily returns
• 10y %, blend of long-run volatility
• Thresh, Too volatile, placeholders in this version
Background
• Horizontal bg, level shading, enabled by default
• Long BG, Hedge BG, colors and opacities
Show
• Table, Header, Direction, Gain, Extension
• Corr, Length for correlation row
Table settings
• Position, background, opacity, text size, text color
Lines
• 0-lines, 10-lines, 5-lines, level guides
⸻
Reading the outputs
• Forecast > 0, bullish tilt; Forecast < 0, bearish or hedge tilt
• ±10 and ±20 indicate strength on a uniform scale
• EMA1 vs EMA2 on the forecast, EMA1 above EMA2 suggests improving momentum
• Table rows, label colored by sign, current forecast value plus a green or red dot for the forecast EMA cross, optional daily return percent, weekly correlation, and ATR-scaled EMA9, EMA20, EMA50 distances
⸻
Data handling, repainting, and performance
• Daily and weekly series are fetched with request.security().
• Calculations use closed bars, values can update until the bar closes.
• No lookahead, historical values do not repaint.
• Weekly correlation updates during the week, it finalizes on weekly close.
• On intraday charts most visuals are hidden by design.
⸻
Good practice and limitations
• This is a research indicator, not a trading system.
• The fixed Cap = 20 keeps a common scale, extreme moves will be clipped.
• Relative mode depends on the ratio symbol / benchmark, ensure both legs have data for your feed.
⸻
Credits
Concept inspired by Robert Carver’s forecast methodology in Advanced Futures Trading Strategies. Implementation details, parameters, and visuals are specific to this script.
⸻
Changelog
• First version
⸻
Disclaimer
For education and research only, not financial advice. Always test on your market and data feed, consider costs and slippage before using any indicator in live decisions.
Market Imbalance Tracker (Inefficient Candle + FVG)# 📊 Overview
This indicator combines two imbalance concepts:
• **Squared Up Points (SUP)** – midpoints of large, "inefficient" candles that often attract price back.
• **Fair Value Gaps (FVG)** – 3-candle gaps created by strong impulse moves that often get "filled."
Use them separately or together. Confluence between a SUP line and an FVG boundary/midpoint is high-value.
---
# ⚡ Quick Start (2 minutes)
1. **Add to chart** → keep defaults (Percentile method, 80th percentile, 100-bar lookback).
2. **Watch** for dashed SUP lines to print after large candles.
3. **Toggle Show FVG** → see green/red boxes where gaps exist.
4. **Turn on alerts** → New SUP created, SUP touched, New FVG.
5. **Trade the reaction** → look for confluence (SUP + FVG + S/R), then manage risk.
---
# 🛠 Features
## 🔹 Squared Up Points (SUP)
• **Purpose:** Midpoint of a large candle → potential support/resistance magnet.
• **Detection:** Choose *Percentile* (adaptive) or *ATR Multiple* (absolute).
• **Validation:** Only plots if the preceding candle does not touch the midpoint (with tolerance).
• **Lifecycle:** Line auto-extends into the future; it's removed when touched or aged out.
• **Visual:** Horizontal dashed line (color/width configurable; style fixed to dashed if not exposed).
## 🔹 Fair Value Gaps (FVG)
• **Purpose:** 3-candle gaps from an impulse; price often revisits to "fill."
• **Detection:** Requires a strong directional candle (Marubozu threshold) creating a gap.
• **Types:**
- **Bullish FVG (Green):** Gap below; expectation is downward fill.
- **Bearish FVG (Red):** Gap above; expectation is upward fill.
• **Close Rules (if implemented):**
- *Full Fill:* Gap closes when the opposite boundary is tagged.
- *Midpoint Fill:* Gap closes when its midpoint is tagged.
• **Visual:** Colored boxes; optional split-coloring to emphasize the midpoint.
> **Note:** If a listed FVG option isn't visible in Inputs, you're on a lighter build; use the available switches.
---
# ⚙️ Settings
## SUP Settings
• **Candle Size Method:** Percentile (top X% of recent ranges) or ATR Multiple.
• **Candle Size Percentile:** e.g., 80 → top 20% largest candles.
• **ATR Multiple & Period:** e.g., 1.5 × ATR(14).
• **Percentile Lookback:** Bars used to compute percentile.
• **Lookback Period:** How long SUP lines remain eligible before auto-cleanup.
• **Touch Tolerance (%):** Buffer based on the inefficient candle's range (0% = exact touch).
## Line Appearance
• **Line Color / Width:** Customizable.
• **Style:** Dashed (fixed unless you expose a style input).
## FVG Settings (if present in your build)
• **Show FVG:** On/Off.
• **Close Method:** Full Fill or Midpoint.
• **Marubozu Wick Tolerance:** Max wick % of the impulse bar.
• **Use Split Coloring:** Two-tone box halves around midpoint.
• **Colors:** Bullish/Bearish, and upper/lower halves (if split).
• **Max FVG Age:** Auto-remove older gaps.
---
# 📈 How to Use
## Trading Applications
• **SUP Lines:** Expect reaction on first touch; use as S/R or profit-taking magnets.
• **FVG Fills:** Price frequently tags the midpoint/boundary before continuing.
• **Confluence:** SUP at an FVG midpoint/boundary + higher-timeframe S/R = higher quality.
• **Bias:** Clusters of unfilled FVGs can hint at path of least resistance.
## Best Practices
• **Timeframe:** HTFs for swing levels, LTFs for execution.
• **Volume:** High volume at level = stronger signal.
• **Context:** Trade with broader trend or at least avoid counter-trend without confirmation.
• **Risk:** Always pre-define invalidation; structures fail in chop.
---
# 🔔 Alerts
• **New SUP Created** – When a qualifying inefficient candle prints a SUP midpoint.
• **SUP Touched/Invalidated** – When price touches within tolerance.
• **New FVG Detected** – When a valid gap forms per your rules.
> **Tip:** Set alerts *Once Per Bar Close* on HTFs; *Once* on LTFs to avoid noise.
---
# 🧑💻 Technical Notes
• **Percentile vs ATR:** Percentile adapts to volatility; ATR gives consistency for backtesting.
• **FVG Direction Logic:** Gap above price = bearish (expect up-fill); below = bullish (expect down-fill).
• **Performance:** Limits on lines/boxes and auto-aging keep things snappy.
---
# ⚠️ Limitations
• Imbalances are **context tools**, not signals by themselves.
• Works best with trend or clear impulses; expect noise in narrow ranges.
• Lower-timeframe gaps can be plentiful and lower quality.
---
# 📌 Version & Requirements
• **Pine Script v6**
• Heavy drawings may require **TradingView Pro** or higher (object limits).
---
*For best results, combine with your existing trading strategy and proper risk management.*
Renko WPR Color ChangerChanges color when williams percent R is between 0 and -20 or when between -80 and -100. Works with renko, HA and regular candles. Can change color.
Guitar Hero [theUltimator5]The Guitar Hero indicator transforms traditional oscillator signals into a visually engaging, game-like display reminiscent of the popular Guitar Hero video game. Instead of standard line plots, this indicator presents oscillator values as colored segments or blocks, making it easier to quickly identify market conditions at a glance.
Choose from 8 different technical oscillators:
RSI (Relative Strength Index)
Stochastic %K
Stochastic %D
Williams %R
CCI (Commodity Channel Index)
MFI (Money Flow Index)
TSI (True Strength Index)
Ultimate Oscillator
Visual Display Modes
1) Boxes Mode : Creates distinct rectangular boxes for each bar, providing a clean, segmented appearance. (default)
This visual display is limited by the amount of box plots that TradingView allows on each indictor, so it will only plot a limited history. If you want to view a similar visual display that has minor breaks between boxes, then use the fill mode.
2) Fill Mode : Uses filled areas between plot boundaries.
Use this mode when you want to view the plots further back in history without the strict drawing limitations.
Five-Level Color-Coded System
The indicator normalizes all oscillator values to a 0-100 scale and categorizes them into five distinct levels:
Level 1 (Red): Very Oversold (0-19)
Level 2 (Orange): Oversold (20-29)
Level 3 (Yellow): Neutral (30-70)
Level 4 (Aqua): Overbought (71-80)
Level 5 (Lime): Very Overbought (81-100)
Customization Options
Signal Parameters
Signal Length: Primary period for oscillator calculation (default: 14)
Signal Length 2: Secondary period for Stochastic %D and TSI (default: 3)
Signal Length 3: Tertiary period for TSI calculation (default: 25)
Display Controls
Show Horizontal Reference Lines: Toggle grid lines for better level identification
Show Information Table: Display current signal type, value, and normalized value
Table Position: Choose from 9 different screen positions for the info table
Display Mode: Switch between Boxes and Fills visualization
Max Bars to Display: Control how many historical bars to show (50-450 range)
Normalization Process
The indicator automatically normalizes different oscillator ranges to a consistent 0-100 scale:
Williams %R: Converts from -100/0 range to 0-100
CCI: Maps typical -300/+300 range to 0-100
TSI: Transforms -100/+100 range to 0-100
Other oscillators: Already use 0-100 scale (RSI, Stochastic, MFI, Ultimate Oscillator)
This was designed as an educational tool
The gamified approach makes learning about oscillators more engaging for new traders.
Six Meridian Divine Swords [theUltimator5]The Six Meridian Divine Sword is a legendary martial arts technique in the classic wuxia novel “Demi-Gods and Semi-Devils” (天龙八部) by Jin Yong (金庸). The technique uses powerful internal energy (qi) to shoot invisible sword-like energy beams from the six meridians of the hand. Each of the six fingers/meridians corresponds to a “sword,” giving six different sword energies.
The Six Meridian Divine Swords indicator is a compact “signal dashboard” that fuses six classic indicators (fingers)—MACD, KDJ, RSI, LWR (Williams %R), BBI, and MTM—into one pane. Each row is a traffic-light dot (green/bullish, red/bearish, gray/neutral). When all six align, the script draws a confirmation line (“All Bullish” or “All Bearish”). It’s designed for quick consensus reads across trend, momentum, and overbought/oversold conditions.
How to Read the Dashboard
The pane has 6 horizontal rows (explained in depth later):
MACD
KDJ
RSI
LWR (Larry Williams %R)
BBI (Bull & Bear Index)
MTM (Momentum)
Each tick in the row is a dot, with sentiment identified by a color.
Green = bullish condition met
Red = bearish condition met
Gray = inside a neutral band (filtering chop), shown when Use Neutral (Gray) Colors is ON
There are two lines that track the dots on the top or bottom of the pane.
All Bullish Signal Line: appears only if all 6 are strongly bullish (default color = white)
All Bearish Signal Line: appears only if all 6 are strongly bearish (default color = fuchsia)
The Six Meridians (Indicators) — What They Mean:
1) MACD — Trend & Momentum
What it is: A trend-following momentum indicator based on the relationship between two moving averages (typically 12-EMA and 26-EMA)
Logic used: Classic MACD line (EMA12−EMA26) vs its 9-EMA signal.
Bullish: MACD > Signal and |MACD−Signal| > Neutral Threshold
Bearish: MACD < Signal and |diff| > threshold
Neutral: |diff| ≤ threshold
Why: Small crosses can whipsaw. The neutral band ignores tiny separations to reduce noise.
Inputs: Fast/Slow/Signal lengths, Neutral Threshold.
2) KDJ — Stochastic with J-line boost
What it is: A variation of the stochastic oscillator popular in Chinese trading systems
Logic used: K = SMA(Stochastic, smooth), D = SMA(K, smooth), J = 3K − 2D.
Bullish: K > D and |K−D| > 2
Bearish: K < D and |K−D| > 2
Neutral: |K−D| ≤ 2
Why: K–D separation filters tiny wiggles; J offers an “extreme” early-warning context in the value label.
Inputs: Length, Smoothing.
3) RSI — Momentum balance (0–100)
What it is: A momentum oscillator measuring speed and magnitude of price changes (0–100)
Logic used: RSI(N).
Bullish: RSI > 50 + Neutral Zone
Bearish: RSI < 50 − Neutral Zone
Neutral: Between those bands
Why: Centerline/adaptive bands (around 50) give a directional bias without relying on fixed 70/30.
Inputs: Length, Neutral Zone (± around 50).
4) LWR (Williams %R) — Overbought/Oversold
What it is: An oscillator similar to stochastic, measuring how close the close is to the high-low range over N periods
Logic used: %R over N bars (0 to −100).
Bullish: %R > −50 + Neutral Zone
Bearish: %R < −50 − Neutral Zone
Neutral: Between those bands
Why: Uses a centered band around −50 instead of only −20/−80, making it act like a directional filter.
Inputs: Length, Neutral Zone (± around −50).
5) BBI (Bull & Bear Index) — Smoothed trend bias
What it is: A composite moving average, essentially the average of several different moving averages (often 3, 6, 12, 24 periods)
Logic used: Average of 4 SMAs (3/6/12/24 by default):
BBI = (MA3 + MA6 + MA12 + MA24) / 4
Bullish: Close > BBI and |Close−BBI| > 0.2% of BBI
Bearish: Close < BBI and |diff| > threshold
Neutral: |diff| ≤ threshold
Why: Multiple MAs blended together reduce single-MA whipsaw. A dynamic 0.2% band ignores tiny drift.
Inputs: 4 lengths (default 3/6/12/24). Threshold is auto-scaled at 0.2% of BBI.
6) MTM (Momentum) — Rate of change in price
What it is: A simple measure of rate of change
Logic used: MTM = Close − Close
Bullish: MTM > 0.5% of Close
Bearish: MTM < −0.5% of Close
Neutral: |MTM| ≤ threshold
Why: A percent-based gate adapts across prices (e.g., $5 vs $500) and mutes insignificant moves.
Inputs: Length. Threshold auto-scaled to 0.5% of current Close.
Display & Inputs You Can Tweak
🎨 Use Neutral (Gray) Colors
ON (default): 3-color mode with clear “no-trade”/“weak” states.
OFF: classic binary (green/red) without neutral filtering.
Capiba Custom RSI with Divergences v2
🇬🇧 English
Summary
This indicator is an enhanced and customizable version of the classic RSI, designed to provide clearer and more powerful trading signals. It combines an alternative, more price-sensitive RSI calculation with an automatic divergence detection, which is one of the most effective tools for predicting trend reversals and finding high-probability entry and exit points.
Built upon the compilation of knowledge and open-source codes from the community, this script has been refined to be an all-in-one tool for traders who base their strategies on momentum and trend exhaustion.
Key Features and How to Use
Ultimate RSI and Signal Line (Momentum)
What it is: The main indicator (white line) is an RSI variation that reacts more dynamically to changes in price volatility. It is accompanied by a signal line (orange, by default), which is a moving average of the RSI itself, serving to smooth the indicator and generate crossover signals.
How to use for Entries/Exits:
Buy Signal (Short-Term): Crossover of the RSI line (white) above the signal line (orange).
Sell Signal (Short-Term): Crossover of the RSI line (white) below the signal line (orange). These are momentum signals, ideal for confirming a trend or for scalping.
Automatic Divergence Detection (Reversal Signals) This is the most powerful feature of the indicator. A divergence occurs when the price moves in one direction and the momentum indicator moves in the opposite direction, signaling a likely exhaustion of the current trend.
Bullish Divergence (Green Line):
What it is: The price makes a lower low, but the RSI makes a higher low.
Meaning: Selling pressure is decreasing. It is a strong signal of a potential market bottom and an excellent entry opportunity for a long position.
Bearish Divergence (Red Line):
What it is: The price makes a higher high, but the RSI makes a lower high.
Meaning: Buying pressure is losing strength. It is a strong signal of a potential market top and an excellent exit opportunity for a long position or an entry for a short position.
Customizable Overbought & Oversold Levels
The horizontal lines (default 80 and 20) and the colored areas show when the asset is overextended to the upside (overbought) or downside (oversold), helping to contextualize the divergence and crossover signals.
Recommended Strategy
For maximum effectiveness, combine the signals:
High-Probability Entry (Buy): Look for a Bullish Divergence (green line) forming in the oversold zone. Confirm the entry when the RSI line crosses above its signal line.
High-Probability Exit (Sell): Look for a Bearish Divergence (red line) forming in the overbought zone. Confirm the exit or new short entry when the RSI line crosses below its signal line.
Acknowledgements
This indicator was developed by compiling and customizing excellent open-source ideas and codes shared by the TradingView community. Special thanks to everyone who contributes to the advancement of technical analysis.
Extended CANSLIM Indicator❖ Extended CANSLIM Indicator.
The Extended CANSLIM indicator is an indicator that concentrates all the tools usually used by CANSLIM traders.
It shows a table where all the stock fundamental information is shown at once first for the last quarter and then up to 5 years back.
The fundamental data is checked against well known CANSLIM validation criteria and is shown over 4 state levels.
1. Good = Value is CANSLIM Compliant.
2. Acceptable = Value is not CANSLIM compliant but still good. value is shown with a lighter background color.
3. Warning = Value deserves special attention. Value is shown over orange background color.
3. Stop = Value is non CANSLIM compliant or indicates a stop trading condition. Value is shown over red background color.
The indicator has also a set of technical tools calculated on price or index and shown directly on the chart.
❖ Fundamental data shown in the table.
The table is arranged in 4 sets of data:
1. Table Header, showing Indicator and Company data.
2. CANSLIM.
3. 3Rs: RS Rating, Revenue and ROE.
4. Extra Data: Piotroski score, ATR, Trend Days, D to E, Avg Vol and Vol today.
Sets 3 and 4 can be hidden from the table.
❖ Indicator and Compay Data.
The table header shows, Indicator name and version.
It then displays Company Name, sector and industry, human size and its capitalization.
❖ CANSLIM Data.
Displays either genuine CANSLIM data from TradinView or custom data as best effort when that data cannot be obtained in TV.
C = EPS diluted growth, Quarterly YoY.
>= 25% = Good, >= 0% = Acceptable, < 0% = Stop
A = EPS diluted growth, Annual YoY.
>= 25% = Good, >= 0% = Acceptable, < 0% = Stop
N = New High as best effort (Cust).
Always Good
S = Float shares as best effort.
Always Good
L = One year performance relative to S&P 500 (Cust),
Positive : 0% .. 50% = Neutral, 50%+ = Leader, 80%+ = Leader+, 100%+ = Leader++
Negative : 0% .. -10% = Laggard, -10% .. -30% = Laggard+, -30%+ = Laggard++
>= 50% = Good, >= 0% = Acceptable, >= -10% Warning, < -10% = Stop
I = Accumulation/Distribution days over last 25 days as a clue for institutional support (Cust).
A delta is calculated by subtracting Distribution to Accumulation days.
> 0 = Good, = 0 = Acceptable, < 0 = Warning, < -5 = Stop
M = Market direction and exposure measured on S&500 closing between averages (Cust).
Varies from 0% Full Bear to 100% Full Bull
>= 80% = Good, >= 60% = Acceptable, >= 40% = Warning, < 40% = Stop
❖ Extra non CANSLIM Data.
RS = RS Rating.
>= 90 = Good, >= 80 = Accept, >= 50 = Warning, < 50 = Stop
Rev. = Revenue Growth Quarterly YoY.
>= 0% = Good, <0% = Stop
ROE = Return on Equity, Quarterly YoY.
>= 17% = Good, >= 0% = Acceptable, < 0% = Stop
Piotr. = Piotroski Score, www.investopedia.com (TV)
>= 7 = Good, >= 4 = Acceptable, < 4 = Stop
ATR = Average True Range over the last 20 days (Cust).
0% - 2% = Acceptable, 2% - 4% = Ideal, 4% - 6% = Warning, 5%+ = Stop.
Trend Days = Days since EMA150 is over EMA200 (Cust).
Always Good
D. to E. = Days left before Earnings. Maybe not a good idea buying just before earnings (Cust).
>= 28 = Good, >= 21 = Acceptable, >= 14 = Warning, < 14 = Stop
Avg Vol. = 50d Average Volume (Cust).
>= 100K = Good, < 100K = Acceptable
Vol. Today = Today's percentage volume compared to 50d average (Cust).
Always Good.
❖ Historical Data.
Optionally selectable historical data can be displayed for C, A, Revenue and ROE up to 20 quarters if available.
Quarterly numbers can also be displayed for A, C and Revenue.
Information can be shown in Chronological or Reverse Chronological order (default).
Increasing growth quarters are shown in white, while diminuing ones are shown in Yellow.
Transition from Losing to Profitable quarters are shown with an exclamation mark ‘!’
Finally, losing quarters are shown between parenthesis.
❖ MAs on chart.
Displays 200, 100, 50 and 20 days MAs on chart.
The MAs are also automatically scaled in the 1W time frame.
❖ New 52 Week High on chart.
A sun is shown on the chart the first time that a new 52 week high is reached.
The N cell shows a filled sun when a 52 week high is no older than a month, an lighter sun when it’s no older than a quarter or a moon otherwise.
❖ Pocket Pivots on chart.
Small triangles below the price are signaling pocket pivots.
❖ Bases on chart, formerly Darvas Boxes.
Draw bases as defined by Darvas boxes, both top or bottom of bases can be selected to be shown in order to only show resistance or support.
❖ Market exposure/direction indicator.
When charting S&P500 (SPX), Nasdaq 100 Index (NDX), Nasdaq composite (IXIC) or Dow Jownes Index (DJIA), the indicator switches to Market Exposure indicator, showing also Accumulation/Distribution days when volume information is available. This indication which varies from 0% to 100% is what is shown under the M letter in the CANSLIM table which is calculated on the S&P500.
❖ Follow Through Days indicator.
If you are an adept of the Low-cheat entry, then you will be highly interested by the Follow Through days indicator as measured in the S&P 500 and shown as diamonds on the chart.
The follow-through days are calculated on S&P500 but shown in current stock chart so you don’t need to chart the S&P 500 to know that a follow through day occurred.
Follow Through days show correctly on Daily time frame and most are also shown on the Weekly time frame as well.
They are also classified according to the market zone in which they occur:
0%-5% from peak = Pullback : FT day is not shown.
5%-10% from peak = Minor Correction : Minor FT days is shown.
10%-20% from peak = Correction : Intermediate FT days us shown
20+% from peak = Bear Market : Makor FT days is shown
❖ RS Line and Rating indicator.
A RS Line and Rating indicator can be added to the chart.
Relative Strength Rating Accuracy.
Please note that the RS Rating is not 100% accurate when compared to IBD values.
❖ Earning Line indicator.
An Earning Line indicator can be added to the chart.
❖ ATR Bands and ATR Trade calculator.
The motivation for this calculator came from my own need to enter trades on volatile stocks where the simple 7% Stop Loss rule doest not work.
It simply calculates the number of shares you can buy at any moment based on current stock price and using the lower ATR band as a stop loss.
A few words about the ATR Bands.
On this indicator the ATR bands are not drawn as a classical channel that follows the price.
The lower band is drawn as a support until it’s broken on a closing basis. It can’t be in a down trend.
The upper band is drawn as a resistance until it’s broken on a closing basis. It can’t be in an up trend.
The idea is that when price starts to fall down from a peak, it should not violate its lower band ATR and that means that we can use that level as a Stop Loss.
You must look back for the stock volatility and find out which ATR multiplier works well meaning that the ATR bands are not violated on normal pullbacks. By default, the indicator uses 5x multiplier.
❖ Extra things, visual features and default settings.
The first square cell of current quarter displays a check mark ‘V’ if the CANSLIM criteria is OK or acceptable or a cross ‘X’ otherwise.
The first square cell of historical C and Rev show respectively the count of last consecutive positive quarters.
There are different color themes from “Forest” to “Space” you can chose from to best fit your eyes.
You also have different table sizes going from “Micro” to “Huge” for better adjustment to the size of your display.
The default settings view show: Pocket Pivots, FT Days, MA50, RS Line and ATR Bands.
That's all, Enjoy!
Chart-Only Scanner — Pro Table v2.5.1Chart-Only Scanner — Pro Table v2.5
User Manual (Pine Script v6)
What this tool does (in one line)
A compact, on-chart table that scores the current chart symbol (or an optional override) using momentum, volume, trend, volatility, and pattern checks—so you can quickly decide UP, DOWN, or WAIT.
Quick Start (90 seconds)
Add the indicator to any chart and timeframe (1m…1M).
Leave “Override chart symbol” = OFF to auto-use the chart’s symbol.
Choose your layout:
Row (wide horizontal strip), or Grid (title + labeled cells).
Pick a size preset (Micro, Small, Medium, Large, Mobile).
Optional: turn on “Use Higher TF (EMA 20/50)” and set HTF Multiplier (e.g., 4 ⇒ if chart is 15m, HTF is 60m).
Watch the table:
DIR (↑/↓/→), ROC%, MOM, VOL, EMA stack, HTF, REV, SCORE, ACT.
Add an alert if you want: the script fires when |SCORE| ≥ Action threshold.
What to expect
A small table appears on the chart corner you choose, updating each bar (or only at bar close if you keep default smart-update).
The ACT cell shows 🔥 (strong), 👀 (medium), or ⏳ (weak).
Panels & Settings (every option explained)
Core
Momentum Period: Lookback for rate-of-change (ROC%). Shorter = more reactive; longer = smoother.
ROC% Threshold: Minimum absolute ROC% to call direction UP (↑) or DOWN (↓); otherwise →.
Require Volume Confirmation: If ON and VOL ≤ 1.0, the SCORE is forced to 0 (prevents low-volume false positives).
Override chart symbol + Custom symbol: By default, the indicator uses the chart’s symbol. Turn this ON to lock to a specific ticker (e.g., a perpetual).
Higher TF
Use Higher TF (EMA 20/50): Compares EMA20 vs EMA50 on a higher timeframe.
HTF Multiplier: Higher TF = (chart TF × multiplier).
Example: on 3H chart with multiplier 2 ⇒ HTF = 6H.
Volatility & Oscillators
ATR Length: Used to show ATR% (ATR relative to price).
RSI Length: Standard RSI; colors: green ≤30 (oversold), red ≥70 (overbought).
Stoch %K Length: With %D = SMA(%K, 3).
MACD Fast/Slow/Signal: Standard MACD values; we display Line, Signal, Histogram (L/S/H).
ADX Length (Wilder): Wilder’s smoothing (internal derivation); also shows +DI / −DI if you enable the ADX column.
EMAs / Trend
EMA Fast/Mid/Slow: We compute EMA(20/50/200) by default (editable).
EMA Stack: Bull if Fast > Mid > Slow; Bear if Fast < Mid < Slow; Flat otherwise.
Benchmark (optional, OFF by default)
Show Relative Strength vs Benchmark: Displays RS% = ROC(symbol) − ROC(benchmark) over the Momentum Period.
Benchmark Symbol: Ticker used for comparison (e.g., BTCUSDT as a market proxy).
Columns (show/hide)
Toggle which fields appear in the table. Hiding unused fields keeps the layout clean (especially on mobile).
Display
Layout Mode:
Row = a single two-row strip; each column is a metric.
Grid = a title row plus labeled pairs (label/value) arranged in rows.
Size Preset: Micro, Small, Medium, Large, Mobile change text size and the grid density.
Table Corner: Where the panel sits (e.g., Top Right).
Opaque Table Background: ON = dark card; OFF = transparent(ish).
Update Every Bar: ON = update intra-bar; OFF = smart update (last bar / real-time / confirmed history).
Action threshold (|score|): The cutoff for 🔥 and alert firing (default 70).
How to read each field
CHART: The active symbol name (or your custom override).
DIR: ↑ (ROC% > threshold), ↓ (ROC% < −threshold), → otherwise.
ROC%: Rate of change over Momentum Period.
Formula: (Close − Close ) / Close × 100.
MOM: A scaled momentum score: min(100, |ROC%| × 10).
VOL: Volume ratio vs 20-bar SMA: Volume / SMA(Volume,20).
1.5 highlights as yellow (significant participation).
ATR%: (ATR / Close) × 100 (volatility relative to price).
RSI: Colored for extremes: ≤30 green, ≥70 red.
Stoch K/D: %K and %D numbers.
MACD L/S/H: Line, Signal, Histogram. Histogram color reflects sign (green > 0, red < 0).
ADX, +DI, −DI: Trend strength and directional components (Wilder). ADX ≥ 25 is highlighted.
EMA 20/50/200: Current EMA values (editable lengths).
STACK: Bull/Bear/Flat as defined above.
VWAP%: (Close − VWAP) / Close × 100 (premium/discount to VWAP).
HTF: ▲ if HTF EMA20 > EMA50; ▼ if <; · if flat/off.
RS%: Symbol’s ROC% − Benchmark ROC% (positive = outperforming).
REV (reversal):
🟢 Eng/Pin = bullish engulfing or bullish pin detected,
🔴 Eng/Pin = bearish engulfing or bearish pin,
· = none.
SCORE (absolute shown as a number; sign shown via DIR and ACT):
Components:
base = MOM × 0.4
volBonus = VOL > 1.5 ? 20 : VOL × 13.33
htfBonus = use_mtf ? (HTF == DIR ? 30 : HTF == 0 ? 15 : 0) : 0
trendBonus = (STACK == DIR) ? 10 : 0
macdBonus = 0 (placeholder for future versions)
scoreRaw = base + volBonus + htfBonus + trendBonus + macdBonus
SCORE = DIR ≥ 0 ? scoreRaw : −scoreRaw
If Require Volume Confirmation and VOL ≤ 1.0 ⇒ SCORE = 0.
ACT:
🔥 if |SCORE| ≥ threshold
👀 if 50 < |SCORE| < threshold
⏳ otherwise
Practical examples
Strong long (trend + participation)
DIR = ↑, ROC% = +3.2, MOM ≈ 32, VOL = 1.9, STACK = Bull, HTF = ▲, REV = 🟢
SCORE: base(12.8) + volBonus(20) + htfBonus(30) + trend(10) ≈ 73 → ACT = 🔥
Action idea: look for longs on pullbacks; confirm risk with ATR%.
Weak long (no volume)
DIR = ↑, ROC% = +1.0, but VOL = 0.8 and Require Volume Confirmation = ON
SCORE forced to 0 → ACT = ⏳
Action: wait for volume > 1.0 or turn off confirmation knowingly.
Bearish reversal warning
DIR = →, REV = 🔴 (bearish engulfing), RSI = 68, HTF = ▼
SCORE may be mid-range; ACT = 👀
Action: watch for breakdown and rising VOL.
Alerts (how to use)
The script calls alert() whenever |SCORE| ≥ Action threshold.
To receive pop-ups, sounds, or emails: click “⏰ Alerts” in TradingView, choose this indicator, and pick “Any alert() function call.”
The alert message includes: symbol, |SCORE|, DIR.
Layout, Size, and Corner tips
Row is best when you want a compact status ribbon across the top.
Grid is clearer on big screens or when you enable many columns.
Size:
Mobile = one pair per row (tall, readable)
Micro/Small = dense; good for many fields
Large = presentation/screenshots
Corner: If the table overlaps price, change the corner or set Opaque Background = OFF.
Repaint & timeframe behavior
Default smart update prefers stability (last bar / live / confirmed history).
For a stricter, “close-only” behavior (less repaint): turn Update Every Bar = OFF and avoid Heikin Ashi when you want raw market OHLC (HA modifies price inputs).
HTF logic is derived from a clean, integer multiple of your chart timeframe (via multiplier). It works with 3H/4H and any TF.
Performance notes
The script analyzes one symbol (chart or override) with multiple metrics using efficient tuple requests.
If you later want a multi-symbol grid, do it with pages (10–15 per page + rotate) to stay within platform limits (recommended future add-on).
Troubleshooting
No table visible
Ensure the indicator is added and not hidden.
Try toggling Opaque Background or switch Corner (it might be behind other drawings).
Keep Columns count reasonable for the chosen Size.
If you turned ON Override, verify the Custom symbol exists on your data provider.
Numbers look different on HA candles
Heikin Ashi modifies OHLC; switch to regular candles if you need raw price metrics.
3H/4H issues
Use integer HTF Multiplier (e.g., 2, 4). The tool builds the correct string internally; no manual timeframe strings needed.
Power user tips
Volume gating: keeping Require Volume Confirmation = ON filters most fake moves; if you’re a scalper, reduce strictness or turn it off.
Action threshold: 60–80 is typical. Higher = fewer but stronger signals.
Benchmark RS%: great for spotting leaders/laggards; positive RS% = outperformance vs benchmark.
Change policy & safety
This version doesn’t alter your historical logic you tested (no radical changes).
Any future “radical” change (score weights, HTF logic, UI hiding data) will ship with a toggle and an Impact Statement so you can keep old behavior if you prefer.
Glossary (quick)
ROC%: Percent change over N bars.
MOM: Scaled momentum (0–100).
VOL ratio: Volume vs 20-bar average.
ATR%: ATR as % of price.
ADX/DI: Trend strength / direction components (Wilder).
EMA stack: Relationship between EMAs (bullish/bearish/flat).
VWAP%: Premium/discount to VWAP.
RS%: Relative strength vs benchmark.
Becak I-series: Indicator Floating Panels v.80Becak I-series: Floating Panels v.80th (Indonesia Independence Days)
What it does:
This indicator creates three floating overlay panels that display MACD, RSI, and Stochastic oscillators directly on your price chart. Unlike traditional separate panes, these panels hover over your chart with customizable positioning and transparency, providing a clean, space-efficient way to monitor multiple technical indicators simultaneously.
When to use:
When you need to monitor momentum, trend strength, and overbought/oversold conditions without cluttering your workspace
Perfect for traders who want quick visual access to multiple oscillators while maintaining focus on price action
Ideal for any timeframe and asset class (stocks, crypto, forex, commodities)
How it works:
The script calculates standard MACD (12,26,9), RSI (14), and Stochastic (14,3,3) values, then renders them as floating panels with:
MACD Panel: Shows MACD line (blue), Signal line (orange), and histogram (green/red bars)
RSI Panel: Displays RSI line (purple) with overbought (70) and oversold (30) reference levels
Stochastic Panel: Shows %K (blue) and %D (orange) lines with optional buy/sell signals and highlighted overbought/oversold zones
Customization options:
Position: Choose Top, Bottom, or Auto-Center placement
Size: Adjust panel height (15-35% of chart) and spacing between panels
Positioning: Fine-tune vertical center offset and horizontal positioning
Appearance: Toggle panel backgrounds and adjust transparency (50-95%)
Parameters: Modify all indicator lengths and overbought/oversold levels
Signals: Enable/disable Stochastic crossover signals
Display: Control lookback period (30-100 bars) and right margin spacing
Universal compatibility: Works seamlessly across all asset types with automatic range detection and scaling.
DIRGAHAYU HARI KEMERDEKAAN KE 80 - INDONESIA ... MERDEKA!!!!!
CleanBreak Lines (Break + First Retest)CleanBreak lines draws one robust support line (green) from swing lows and one robust resistance line (red) from swing highs, then optionally signals a confirmed break and the first clean retest back to that line. Lines are scored with a transparent W-Score (0–100) so traders can judge quality at a glance. The script is non-repainting and uses only confirmed bar data.
What it does
Auto-builds two trendlines that aim to represent meaningful support and resistance.
Uses a median-based slope so outliers and single spikes do not distort the line.
Computes a W-Score per line from three things: touches, span (how long it held), and respect (staying on the correct side).
Optionally triggers a single, tightly-gated signal on Break + First Retest.
How it works (plain English)
Detect recent swing highs and swing lows.
Fit one line through highs and one through lows using a robust, median-style slope estimate.
Score each line: more clean touches and longer span raise the W-Score; frequent violations lower it.
A break requires a candle close beyond the line by a small ATR margin.
A first retest requires price to come back to the line within a limited number of bars and hold on close.
A single arrow may print on that confirmed retest, with optional alerts.
What it is not
Not a prediction model and not a promises-of-profit tool.
Not a multi-signal spammer: by design it aims to allow one retest entry per break.
Not a regression channel or machine-learning system.
How to use
At a glance: treat the green line as candidate support and the red line as candidate resistance.
Conservative approach: wait for a break on close and then the first retest to hold; use the arrow as a prompt, not a command.
Context-only mode: hide arrows in Style if you want the lines and W-Score only.
Inputs (brief)
Core: Swing Length, Max Pivots, Min Touches, Min Span Bars.
Scoring: Touches Max (cap), Weights for touches vs span, Min W-Score to arm.
Break and Retest: Break Margin x ATR, Retest Tolerance x ATR, Retest Window (bars).
Visuals: Show Labels, Show Table, Line Width, Fade When Refit.
Recommended presets
Cleaner, fewer signals: Min Touches 4–5, Min Span Bars 100–150, Min W-Score 70–80, Break Margin 0.40–0.60 ATR, Retest Tolerance 0.10–0.15 ATR, Retest Window 8–12 bars.
Lines-only: keep defaults and uncheck the two plotshapes in Style.
Alerts
CB Long Retest: break above the red line and first retest holds.
CB Short Retest: break below the green line and first retest holds.
Use “Once per bar close” for consistency.
On-chart table (if enabled)
RES / SUP: W-Score and distance from price in ATR terms.
Status: “Waiting Long RT”, “Waiting Short RT”, or “Idle”.
Thresholds: MinScore and Retest bars for quick context.
Timeframes
Works well on 1h to 1D. On very low timeframes, raise Break Margin x ATR to reduce whipsaw effects. On higher timeframes, increase Min Touches and Min Span Bars.
Non-repainting policy
All logic uses confirmed pivots and confirmed bar closes.
Breaks and retests are validated on close; alerts reference only confirmed conditions.
No lookahead in any request.security call.
Original implementation focused on a median-based robust slope for auto trendlines, plus a transparent W-Score and a single retest gate.
Disclosure
This script is for education and charting. It does not guarantee outcomes, and past behavior does not imply future results. Always validate on historical data and practice risk management.
Egg vs Tennis Ball — Drop/Rebound StrengthEgg vs Tennis Ball — Drop/Rebound Meter
What it does
Classifies selloffs as either:
Eggs — dead‑cat, no bounce
Tennis Balls — fast, decisive rebound
Core features
Detects swing drops from a Pivot High (PH) to a Pivot Low (PL)
Requires drops to be meaningful (volatility‑aware, ATR‑scaled)
Draws a bounce threshold line and a deadline
Decides outcome based on speed and extent of rebound
Tracks scores and win rates across multiple lookback windows
Includes a color‑coded meter and current streak display
Visuals at a glance
Gray diagonal — drop from PH to PL
Teal dotted horizontal — bounce threshold, from PH to the deadline
Solid green — Tennis Ball (bounce line broken before the deadline)
Solid red — Egg (deadline expired before the bounce)
Optional PH / PL labels for clarity
How the decision is made
1) Find pivots — symmetric pivots using Pivot Left / Right; PL confirms after Right bars.
2) Qualify the drop — Drop Size = PH − PL; must be ≥ (Drop Threshold × ATR at PL).
3) Define the bounce line — PL + (Bounce Multiple × Drop Size). 1.00× = full retrace to PH; up to 2.00× for overshoot.
4) Set the deadline — Drop Bars = PL index − PH index; Deadline = Drop Bars × Recovery Factor; timer starts from PH or PL.
5) Resolve — Tennis Ball if price hits the bounce line before the deadline; Egg if the deadline passes first.
Scoring system (−100 to +100)
+100 = perfect Tennis Ball (fastest possible + full overshoot)
−100 = perfect Egg (no recovery)
In between: scored by rebound speed and extent, shaped by your weight settings
Meter Table
Columns (toggle on/off)
All (off by default)
Last N1 (default 5)
Last N2 (default 10)
Last N3 (default 20)
Rows
Tennis / Eggs — counts
% Tennis — win rate
Avg Score — normalized quality from −100 to +100
Streak — overall (not windowed), e.g., +3 = 3 Tennis Balls in a row, −4 = 4 Eggs in a row
Alerts
Tennis Ball – Fast Rebound — triggers when the bounce line is broken in time
Egg – Window Expired — triggers when the deadline passes without a bounce
Inputs
① Drop Detection
Pivot Left / Right
ATR Length
Drop Threshold × ATR
② Bounce Requirement
Bounce Multiple × Drop Size (0.10–2.00×)
③ Timing
Timer Start — PH or PL
Recovery Factor × Drop Bars
Break Trigger — Close or High
④ Display
Show Pivot/Outcome Labels
Line Width
Table Position (corner)
⑤ Meter Columns
Show All (off by default)
Show N1 / N2 / N3 (5, 10, 20 by default)
⑥ Scoring Weights
Tennis — Base, Speed, Extent
Egg — Base, Strength
How to use it
Pick strictness — start with Drop Threshold = 2.0 ATR, Bounce Multiple = 1.0×, Recovery Factor = 3.0×; adjust to timeframe and volatility.
Watch the dotted line — it ends at the deadline; turns solid green (Tennis) if broken in time, solid red (Egg) if it expires.
Read the meter — short windows (5–10) show current behavior; Avg Score captures quality; Streak shows momentum.
Blend with your system — combine with trend filters, volume, or regime detection.
Tips
Close vs High trigger: Close is stricter; High is more responsive.
PH vs PL timer start: PH measures round‑trip; PL measures recovery only.
Increase pivot strength for fewer, more reliable signals.
Higher timeframes generally produce cleaner patterns.
Defaults
Pivot L/R: 5 / 5
ATR Length: 14
Drop Threshold: 2.0× ATR
Bounce Multiple: 1.00×
Recovery Factor: 3.0×
Break Trigger: Close
Windows: Last 5, 10, 20 (All off)
Interpreting results
Tennis‑y: Avg Score +30 to +70, %Tennis > 55%
Mixed: Avg Score near 0
Egg‑y: Avg Score −30 to −80, %Tennis < 45%
Wolf Exit Oscillator Enhanced
# Wolf Exit Oscillator Enhanced
## What it is (quick take)
**Wolf Exit Oscillator Enhanced** is a clean, rules-first **exit timing tool** built on the **True Strength Index (TSI)** with two optional safeguards:
1. **Signal-line crossover** (to avoid bailing on shallow dips), and
2. **EMA confirmation** (price-based “is the trend actually weakening/strengthening?” check).
Use it to standardize when you **take profits, cut losers, or scale out**—especially after momentum runs hot or cold.
> Works best **paired** with:
>
> * **ABS NR — Fail-Safe Confirm (v4.2.2)** for entries
> * **ABS Companion Oscillator — Trend / Exhaustion / New Trend** for trend/exhaustion context
---
## How to use it (operational workflow)
1. **Set your bands**
* `exitHigh` and `exitLow` mark “overcooked” zones on the TSI scale (default: +60 / –60).
* Above `exitHigh` = momentum stretched **up** (good place to **exit shorts** or **take long profits**).
* Below `exitLow` = momentum stretched **down** (good place to **exit longs** or **take short profits**).
2. **Choose strictness**
* **Base mode**: the moment TSI crosses out of a band, you get an exit signal.
* **Add Signal-Line Cross** (`enableSignalX = true`): require TSI to cross its signal in the same direction → **fewer, cleaner exits**.
* **Add EMA Filter** (`enableEMAFilter = true`): also require **price** to confirm (e.g., long exit only if price < EMA). This avoids bailing during healthy trends.
3. **Execute with structure**
* **Full exit** when a signal fires, or
* **Scale out** (e.g., 50% on first signal, remainder on trail/secondary signal), or
* **Move stop** to lock gains once an exit signal prints.
4. **Alerts**
* Set to **“Once per bar close”** to avoid intrabar flip-flop.
* Use the two provided alert names for automation (see “Alerts” below).
---
## Signals & visuals
* **TSI line** (solid) and **Signal line** (dashed) with optional **histogram** (TSI − Signal).
* **Horizontal bands** at `exitHigh` and `exitLow`.
* **Labels**:
* **Exit Long** appears when long-side momentum breaks down (below `exitLow`, plus any enabled filters).
* **Exit Short** appears when short-side momentum breaks down (above `exitHigh`, plus any enabled filters).
**Alerts (stable names):**
* **WolfExit — Exit Long**
* **WolfExit — Exit Short**
---
## Non-repainting behavior (what to expect)
* The oscillator is computed with **EMAs on current timeframe**—no higher-timeframe lookahead, no repaint.
* **Intrabar**: TSI/Signal can fluctuate; use **bar-close evaluation** (and alert setting “Once per bar close”) to lock signals.
* If you enable the EMA filter, that check is also evaluated at bar close.
---
## Every input explained (and how changing it alters behavior)
### Momentum engine (TSI)
* **TSI Long EMA Length (`tsiLongLen`, default 25)**
Higher = smoother, slower momentum; fewer signals. Lower = twitchier, more signals.
* **TSI Short EMA Length (`tsiShortLen`, default 13)**
Fine-tunes responsiveness on top of the long length. Lower short → snappier TSI.
* **TSI Signal Line Length (`tsisigLen`, default 7)**
Higher = slower signal line (harder to cross) → fewer signals. Lower = easier crosses → more signals.
### Thresholds (the bands)
* **Exit Threshold High (`exitHigh`, default +60)**
Raise to demand **stronger** overbought before signaling short exits / long profit-takes. Lower to trigger sooner.
* **Exit Threshold Low (`exitLow`, default −60)**
Raise (toward 0) to trigger **earlier** on longs; lower (more negative) to wait for deeper downside stretch.
### Confirmation layers
* **Require Signal Line Crossover (`enableSignalX`, default true)**
On = TSI must cross its signal (same direction as exit) → **filters out shallow wiggles**. Off = faster, more frequent exits.
* **Enable EMA Confirmation Filter (`enableEMAFilter`, default true)**
On = require **price < EMA** for **Exit Long** and **price > EMA** for **Exit Short**.
* **EMA Exit Confirmation Length (`exitEMALen`, default 50)**
Higher = **trendier** filter (harder to flip) → fewer exits; Lower = more reactive → more exits.
### Visuals
* **Show Histogram (`showHist`)**
On = quick visual for TSI–Signal spread (helps spot weakening momentum before a cross).
* **Plot Exit Signals (`showSignals`)**
Toggle labels if you only want the lines/bands with alerts.
---
## Tuning recipes (quick, practical)
* **Strong trend days (avoid premature exits)**
* Keep **`enableSignalX = true`** and **`enableEMAFilter = true`**
* Increase **`exitEMALen`** (e.g., 80)
* Consider raising **`exitHigh`** to 65–70 (and lowering **`exitLow`** to −65/−70)
* **Choppy/range days (exit faster, take the cash)**
* **`enableEMAFilter = false`** (don’t wait for price filter)
* **`enableSignalX`** optional; try off for quicker responses
* Bring bands closer to **±50** to take profits earlier
* **Scalping / lower timeframes**
* Shorten **TSI lengths** a bit (e.g., 21/9/5)
* Consider **`exitHigh=55 / exitLow=-55`**
* Keep **histogram on** to visualize momentum flip risk
* **Swing trading / higher timeframes**
* Lengthen **TSI** (e.g., 35/21/9) and **`exitEMALen`** (e.g., 100)
* Wider bands (±65 to ±75) to catch bigger moves before exiting
---
## Playbooks (how to actually trade it)
* **Entry from ABS NR FS, exit with Wolf**
* Take entries from **ABS NR — Fail-Safe Confirm** (triangle).
* Use **Wolf Exit** to scale out: 50% on first exit label, trail remainder with price/EMA or your stop logic.
* **Pyramid & protect**
* Add on re-accelerations (TSI pulls back toward zero without breaching the opposite band).
* The first **Exit** signal → take partial, raise stop to last higher low / lower high.
* **Mean-reversion fade management**
* When fading with ABS NR (KC band pokes + stretched |Z|), target the first opposite **Exit** signal as your “don’t overstay” cue.
---
## Suggested starting points
* **Day trading (5–15m):**
* TSI: **25 / 13 / 7** (default)
* Bands: **+60 / −60**
* Confirmations: **SignalX = on**, **EMA Filter = on**, **EMA Len = 50**
* Alerts: **Once per bar close**
* **Scalping (1–3m):**
* TSI: **21 / 9 / 5**
* Bands: **±55**
* Confirmations: **SignalX = on**, **EMA Filter = off** (optional for speed)
* **Swing (1h–D):**
* TSI: **35 / 21 / 9**
* Bands: **+65 / −65** (or ±70)
* Confirmations: **SignalX = on**, **EMA Filter = on**, **EMA Len = 100**
---
## Best-practice pairings
* **Entries:** **ABS NR — Fail-Safe Confirm (v4.2.2)**
* Take ABS triangles; let Wolf standardize exits so you’re not guessing.
* **Context:** **ABS Companion Oscillator**
* Prefer holding longer when the companion stays above (for longs) or below (for shorts) its neutral band and **no EXH tag** prints.
* If companion flags **EXH** against your position, tighten stops; Wolf’s next exit signal becomes high priority.
---
## Notes & disclaimers
* This is an **exit signal tool**, not a strategy or broker.
* Signals are strongest when aligned with your **entry logic** and a **risk framework** (position sizing, stops, partials).
* All evaluations are **current timeframe**; no higher-timeframe lookahead is used.
* Markets change—tune the bands and confirmations per symbol/timeframe.
---
**Tip:** Keep your alerts simple—one for **Exit Long**, one for **Exit Short**, **Once per bar close**. Use partial exits on the first signal, and let your stop/trailing logic handle the rest.
ADR/ATR Session No Probability Table by LKHere you go—clear, English docs you can drop into your script’s description or share with teammates.
ADR/ATR Session by LK — Overview
This indicator summarizes Average Daily Range (ADR) and Average True Range (ATR) for two horizons:
• Session H4 (e.g., 06:00–13:00 on a 4‑hour chart)
• Daily (D)
It shows:
• Current ADR/ATR values (using your chosen smoothing method)
• How much of ADR/ATR today/this bar has already been consumed (% of ADR/ATR)
• ADR/ATR as a percent of price
• Optional probability blocks: likelihood that %ADR will exceed user‑defined thresholds over a lookback window
• Optional on‑chart lines for the current H4 and Daily candles: Open, ADR High, ADR Low
⸻
What the metrics mean
• ADR (H4 / D): Moving average of the bar range (high - low).
• ATR (H4 / D): Moving average of True Range (max(hi-lo, |hi-close |, |lo-close |)).
• % of ADR (curr H4): (H4 range of the current H4 bar) / ADR(H4) × 100. Updates live even if the current time is outside the session.
• % of ADR (Daily): (today’s intra‑day range) / ADR(D) × 100.
• % of ATR (curr H4 / Daily): TR / ATR × 100 for that horizon.
• ADR % of Price / ATR % of Price: ADR or ATR divided by current price × 100 (a quick “volatility vs. price” gauge).
Session logic (H4): ADR/ATR(H4) only update on bars that fall inside the configured session window; outside the window the values hold steady (no recalculation “bleed”).
Daily range tracking: The indicator tracks today’s high/low in real‑time and resets at the day change.
⸻
Inputs (quick reference)
Core
• Length (ADR/ATR): smoothing length for ADR/ATR (default 21).
• Wait for Higher TF Bar Close: if true, updates ADR/ATR only after the higher‑TF bar closes when using request.security.
Timeframes
• Session Timeframe (H4): default 240.
• Daily Timeframe: default D.
Session time
• Session Timezone: “Chart” (default) or a fixed timezone.
• Session Start Hour, End Hour (minutes are fixed to 0 in this version).
Smoothing methods
• H4 ADR Method / H4 ATR Method: SMA/EMA/RMA/WMA.
• Daily ADR Method / Daily ATR Method: SMA/EMA/RMA/WMA.
Table appearance
• Table BG, Table Text, Table Font Size.
Lines (optional)
• Show current H4 segments, Show current Daily segments
• Line colors for Open / ADR High / ADR Low
• Line width
Probability
• H4 Probability Lookback (bars): number of H4 bars to examine (e.g., 300).
• Daily Probability Lookback (days): number of D bars (e.g., 180).
• ADR thresholds (%): CSV list of thresholds (e.g., 25,50,55,60,65,70,75,80,85,90,95,100,125,150).
The table will show the % of lookback bars where %ADR ≥ threshold.
Tip: If you want probabilities only for session H4 bars (not every H4 bar), ask and I can add a toggle to filter by inSess.
⸻
How to read the table
H4 block
• ADR (method) / ATR (method): the session‑aware averages.
• % of ADR (curr H4): live progress of this H4 bar toward the session ADR.
• ADR % of Price: ADR(H4) relative to price.
• % of ATR (curr H4) and ATR % of Price: same idea for ATR.
H4 Probability (lookback N bars)
• Rows like “≥ 80% ADR” show the fraction (in %) of the last N H4 bars that reached at least 80% of ADR(H4).
Daily block
• Mirrors the H4 block, but for Daily.
Daily Probability (lookback M days)
• Rows like “≥ 100% ADR” show the fraction of the last M daily bars whose daily range reached at least 100% of ADR(D).
⸻
Practical usage
• Use % of ADR (curr H4 / Daily) to judge exhaustion or room left in the day/session.
E.g., if Daily %ADR is already 95%, be cautious with momentum continuation trades.
• The probability tables give a quick historical context:
If “≥ 125% ADR” is ~18%, the market rarely stretches that far; your trade sizing/targets can reflect that.
• ADR/ATR % of Price helps normalize volatility between instruments.
⸻
Troubleshooting
• If probability rows are blank: ensure lookback windows are large enough (and that the chart has enough history).
• If ADR/ATR show … (NA): usually you don’t have enough bars for the chosen length/TF yet.
• If line segments are missing: verify you’re on a chart with visible current H4/D bars and the toggles are enabled.
⸻
Notes & customization ideas
• Add a toggle to count only session bars in H4 probability.
• Add separate thresholds for H4 vs Daily.
• Let users pick minutes for session start/end if needed.
• Add alerts when %ADR crosses specified thresholds.
If you want me to bundle any of the “ideas” above into the code, say the word and I’ll ship a clean patch.
Buy/Sell Alert Strong Signals [TCMaster]This indicator combines Smoothed Moving Averages (SMMA), Stochastic Oscillator, and popular candlestick patterns (Engulfing, 3 Line Strike) to highlight potential trend reversal zones.
Main features:
4 SMMA lines (21, 50, 100, 200) for short-, medium-, and long-term trend analysis.
Trend Fill: Background shading when EMA(2) and SMMA(200) are aligned, visually confirming trend direction.
Stochastic Filter: Filters signals based on overbought/oversold conditions to help reduce noise.
Candlestick pattern recognition:
Bullish/Bearish Engulfing
Bullish/Bearish 3 Line Strike
Alerts for each pattern when Stochastic conditions are met.
⚠️ Note: This is a technical analysis tool. It does not guarantee accuracy and is not financial advice. Always combine with other analysis methods and practice proper risk management.
🛠 How to Use:
1. SMMA Settings
21 SMMA & 50 SMMA: Short- and medium-term trend tracking.
100 SMMA: Optional mid/long-term filter (toggle on/off).
200 SMMA: Major trend direction reference.
2. Trend Fill
EMA(2) > SMMA(200): Background shaded green (uptrend bias).
EMA(2) < SMMA(200): Background shaded red (downtrend bias).
Can be enabled/disabled in settings.
3. Stochastic Filter
K Length, D Smoothing, Smooth K: Adjust sensitivity.
Overbought & Oversold: Default 80 / 20 thresholds.
Buy signals only valid if Stochastic is oversold.
Sell signals only valid if Stochastic is overbought.
4. Candlestick Patterns
3 Line Strike:
Bullish: Three consecutive bullish candles followed by one bearish candle closing below the previous, with potential reversal.
Bearish: Three consecutive bearish candles followed by one bullish candle closing above the previous, with potential reversal.
Engulfing:
Bullish: Green candle fully engulfs the prior red candle body.
Bearish: Red candle fully engulfs the prior green candle body.
5. Alerts
Alerts available for each pattern when Stochastic conditions are met.
Example: "Bullish Engulfing + Stochastic confirm".
📌 Important Notes
Do not use this indicator as the sole basis for trading decisions.
Test on a demo account before applying to live trades.
Combine with multi-timeframe analysis, volume, and proper position sizing.
Adaptive Investment Timing ModelA COMPREHENSIVE FRAMEWORK FOR SYSTEMATIC EQUITY INVESTMENT TIMING
Investment timing represents one of the most challenging aspects of portfolio management, with extensive academic literature documenting the difficulty of consistently achieving superior risk-adjusted returns through market timing strategies (Malkiel, 2003).
Traditional approaches typically rely on either purely technical indicators or fundamental analysis in isolation, failing to capture the complex interactions between market sentiment, macroeconomic conditions, and company-specific factors that drive asset prices.
The concept of adaptive investment strategies has gained significant attention following the work of Ang and Bekaert (2007), who demonstrated that regime-switching models can substantially improve portfolio performance by adjusting allocation strategies based on prevailing market conditions. Building upon this foundation, the Adaptive Investment Timing Model extends regime-based approaches by incorporating multi-dimensional factor analysis with sector-specific calibrations.
Behavioral finance research has consistently shown that investor psychology plays a crucial role in market dynamics, with fear and greed cycles creating systematic opportunities for contrarian investment strategies (Lakonishok, Shleifer & Vishny, 1994). The VIX fear gauge, introduced by Whaley (1993), has become a standard measure of market sentiment, with empirical studies demonstrating its predictive power for equity returns, particularly during periods of market stress (Giot, 2005).
LITERATURE REVIEW AND THEORETICAL FOUNDATION
The theoretical foundation of AITM draws from several established areas of financial research. Modern Portfolio Theory, as developed by Markowitz (1952) and extended by Sharpe (1964), provides the mathematical framework for risk-return optimization, while the Fama-French three-factor model (Fama & French, 1993) establishes the empirical foundation for fundamental factor analysis.
Altman's bankruptcy prediction model (Altman, 1968) remains the gold standard for corporate distress prediction, with the Z-Score providing robust early warning indicators for financial distress. Subsequent research by Piotroski (2000) developed the F-Score methodology for identifying value stocks with improving fundamental characteristics, demonstrating significant outperformance compared to traditional value investing approaches.
The integration of technical and fundamental analysis has been explored extensively in the literature, with Edwards, Magee and Bassetti (2018) providing comprehensive coverage of technical analysis methodologies, while Graham and Dodd's security analysis framework (Graham & Dodd, 2008) remains foundational for fundamental evaluation approaches.
Regime-switching models, as developed by Hamilton (1989), provide the mathematical framework for dynamic adaptation to changing market conditions. Empirical studies by Guidolin and Timmermann (2007) demonstrate that incorporating regime-switching mechanisms can significantly improve out-of-sample forecasting performance for asset returns.
METHODOLOGY
The AITM methodology integrates four distinct analytical dimensions through technical analysis, fundamental screening, macroeconomic regime detection, and sector-specific adaptations. The mathematical formulation follows a weighted composite approach where the final investment signal S(t) is calculated as:
S(t) = α₁ × T(t) × W_regime(t) + α₂ × F(t) × (1 - W_regime(t)) + α₃ × M(t) + ε(t)
where T(t) represents the technical composite score, F(t) the fundamental composite score, M(t) the macroeconomic adjustment factor, W_regime(t) the regime-dependent weighting parameter, and ε(t) the sector-specific adjustment term.
Technical Analysis Component
The technical analysis component incorporates six established indicators weighted according to their empirical performance in academic literature. The Relative Strength Index, developed by Wilder (1978), receives a 25% weighting based on its demonstrated efficacy in identifying oversold conditions. Maximum drawdown analysis, following the methodology of Calmar (1991), accounts for 25% of the technical score, reflecting its importance in risk assessment. Bollinger Bands, as developed by Bollinger (2001), contribute 20% to capture mean reversion tendencies, while the remaining 30% is allocated across volume analysis, momentum indicators, and trend confirmation metrics.
Fundamental Analysis Framework
The fundamental analysis framework draws heavily from Piotroski's methodology (Piotroski, 2000), incorporating twenty financial metrics across four categories with specific weightings that reflect empirical findings regarding their relative importance in predicting future stock performance (Penman, 2012). Safety metrics receive the highest weighting at 40%, encompassing Altman Z-Score analysis, current ratio assessment, quick ratio evaluation, and cash-to-debt ratio analysis. Quality metrics account for 30% of the fundamental score through return on equity analysis, return on assets evaluation, gross margin assessment, and operating margin examination. Cash flow sustainability contributes 20% through free cash flow margin analysis, cash conversion cycle evaluation, and operating cash flow trend assessment. Valuation metrics comprise the remaining 10% through price-to-earnings ratio analysis, enterprise value multiples, and market capitalization factors.
Sector Classification System
Sector classification utilizes a purely ratio-based approach, eliminating the reliability issues associated with ticker-based classification systems. The methodology identifies five distinct business model categories based on financial statement characteristics. Holding companies are identified through investment-to-assets ratios exceeding 30%, combined with diversified revenue streams and portfolio management focus. Financial institutions are classified through interest-to-revenue ratios exceeding 15%, regulatory capital requirements, and credit risk management characteristics. Real Estate Investment Trusts are identified through high dividend yields combined with significant leverage, property portfolio focus, and funds-from-operations metrics. Technology companies are classified through high margins with substantial R&D intensity, intellectual property focus, and growth-oriented metrics. Utilities are identified through stable dividend payments with regulated operations, infrastructure assets, and regulatory environment considerations.
Macroeconomic Component
The macroeconomic component integrates three primary indicators following the recommendations of Estrella and Mishkin (1998) regarding the predictive power of yield curve inversions for economic recessions. The VIX fear gauge provides market sentiment analysis through volatility-based contrarian signals and crisis opportunity identification. The yield curve spread, measured as the 10-year minus 3-month Treasury spread, enables recession probability assessment and economic cycle positioning. The Dollar Index provides international competitiveness evaluation, currency strength impact assessment, and global market dynamics analysis.
Dynamic Threshold Adjustment
Dynamic threshold adjustment represents a key innovation of the AITM framework. Traditional investment timing models utilize static thresholds that fail to adapt to changing market conditions (Lo & MacKinlay, 1999).
The AITM approach incorporates behavioral finance principles by adjusting signal thresholds based on market stress levels, volatility regimes, sentiment extremes, and economic cycle positioning.
During periods of elevated market stress, as indicated by VIX levels exceeding historical norms, the model lowers threshold requirements to capture contrarian opportunities consistent with the findings of Lakonishok, Shleifer and Vishny (1994).
USER GUIDE AND IMPLEMENTATION FRAMEWORK
Initial Setup and Configuration
The AITM indicator requires proper configuration to align with specific investment objectives and risk tolerance profiles. Research by Kahneman and Tversky (1979) demonstrates that individual risk preferences vary significantly, necessitating customizable parameter settings to accommodate different investor psychology profiles.
Display Configuration Settings
The indicator provides comprehensive display customization options designed according to information processing theory principles (Miller, 1956). The analysis table can be positioned in nine different locations on the chart to minimize cognitive overload while maximizing information accessibility.
Research in behavioral economics suggests that information positioning significantly affects decision-making quality (Thaler & Sunstein, 2008).
Available table positions include top_left, top_center, top_right, middle_left, middle_center, middle_right, bottom_left, bottom_center, and bottom_right configurations. Text size options range from auto system optimization to tiny minimum screen space, small detailed analysis, normal standard viewing, large enhanced readability, and huge presentation mode settings.
Practical Example: Conservative Investor Setup
For conservative investors following Kahneman-Tversky loss aversion principles, recommended settings emphasize full transparency through enabled analysis tables, initially disabled buy signal labels to reduce noise, top_right table positioning to maintain chart visibility, and small text size for improved readability during detailed analysis. Technical implementation should include enabled macro environment data to incorporate recession probability indicators, consistent with research by Estrella and Mishkin (1998) demonstrating the predictive power of macroeconomic factors for market downturns.
Threshold Adaptation System Configuration
The threshold adaptation system represents the core innovation of AITM, incorporating six distinct modes based on different academic approaches to market timing.
Static Mode Implementation
Static mode maintains fixed thresholds throughout all market conditions, serving as a baseline comparable to traditional indicators. Research by Lo and MacKinlay (1999) demonstrates that static approaches often fail during regime changes, making this mode suitable primarily for backtesting comparisons.
Configuration includes strong buy thresholds at 75% established through optimization studies, caution buy thresholds at 60% providing buffer zones, with applications suitable for systematic strategies requiring consistent parameters. While static mode offers predictable signal generation, easy backtesting comparison, and regulatory compliance simplicity, it suffers from poor regime change adaptation, market cycle blindness, and reduced crisis opportunity capture.
Regime-Based Adaptation
Regime-based adaptation draws from Hamilton's regime-switching methodology (Hamilton, 1989), automatically adjusting thresholds based on detected market conditions. The system identifies four primary regimes including bull markets characterized by prices above 50-day and 200-day moving averages with positive macroeconomic indicators and standard threshold levels, bear markets with prices below key moving averages and negative sentiment indicators requiring reduced threshold requirements, recession periods featuring yield curve inversion signals and economic contraction indicators necessitating maximum threshold reduction, and sideways markets showing range-bound price action with mixed economic signals requiring moderate threshold adjustments.
Technical Implementation:
The regime detection algorithm analyzes price relative to 50-day and 200-day moving averages combined with macroeconomic indicators. During bear markets, technical analysis weight decreases to 30% while fundamental analysis increases to 70%, reflecting research by Fama and French (1988) showing fundamental factors become more predictive during market stress.
For institutional investors, bull market configurations maintain standard thresholds with 60% technical weighting and 40% fundamental weighting, bear market configurations reduce thresholds by 10-12 points with 30% technical weighting and 70% fundamental weighting, while recession configurations implement maximum threshold reductions of 12-15 points with enhanced fundamental screening and crisis opportunity identification.
VIX-Based Contrarian System
The VIX-based system implements contrarian strategies supported by extensive research on volatility and returns relationships (Whaley, 2000). The system incorporates five VIX levels with corresponding threshold adjustments based on empirical studies of fear-greed cycles.
Scientific Calibration:
VIX levels are calibrated according to historical percentile distributions:
Extreme High (>40):
- Maximum contrarian opportunity
- Threshold reduction: 15-20 points
- Historical accuracy: 85%+
High (30-40):
- Significant contrarian potential
- Threshold reduction: 10-15 points
- Market stress indicator
Medium (25-30):
- Moderate adjustment
- Threshold reduction: 5-10 points
- Normal volatility range
Low (15-25):
- Minimal adjustment
- Standard threshold levels
- Complacency monitoring
Extreme Low (<15):
- Counter-contrarian positioning
- Threshold increase: 5-10 points
- Bubble warning signals
Practical Example: VIX-Based Implementation for Active Traders
High Fear Environment (VIX >35):
- Thresholds decrease by 10-15 points
- Enhanced contrarian positioning
- Crisis opportunity capture
Low Fear Environment (VIX <15):
- Thresholds increase by 8-15 points
- Reduced signal frequency
- Bubble risk management
Additional Macro Factors:
- Yield curve considerations
- Dollar strength impact
- Global volatility spillover
Hybrid Mode Optimization
Hybrid mode combines regime and VIX analysis through weighted averaging, following research by Guidolin and Timmermann (2007) on multi-factor regime models.
Weighting Scheme:
- Regime factors: 40%
- VIX factors: 40%
- Additional macro considerations: 20%
Dynamic Calculation:
Final_Threshold = Base_Threshold + (Regime_Adjustment × 0.4) + (VIX_Adjustment × 0.4) + (Macro_Adjustment × 0.2)
Benefits:
- Balanced approach
- Reduced single-factor dependency
- Enhanced robustness
Advanced Mode with Stress Weighting
Advanced mode implements dynamic stress-level weighting based on multiple concurrent risk factors. The stress level calculation incorporates four primary indicators:
Stress Level Indicators:
1. Yield curve inversion (recession predictor)
2. Volatility spikes (market disruption)
3. Severe drawdowns (momentum breaks)
4. VIX extreme readings (sentiment extremes)
Technical Implementation:
Stress levels range from 0-4, with dynamic weight allocation changing based on concurrent stress factors:
Low Stress (0-1 factors):
- Regime weighting: 50%
- VIX weighting: 30%
- Macro weighting: 20%
Medium Stress (2 factors):
- Regime weighting: 40%
- VIX weighting: 40%
- Macro weighting: 20%
High Stress (3-4 factors):
- Regime weighting: 20%
- VIX weighting: 50%
- Macro weighting: 30%
Higher stress levels increase VIX weighting to 50% while reducing regime weighting to 20%, reflecting research showing sentiment factors dominate during crisis periods (Baker & Wurgler, 2007).
Percentile-Based Historical Analysis
Percentile-based thresholds utilize historical score distributions to establish adaptive thresholds, following quantile-based approaches documented in financial econometrics literature (Koenker & Bassett, 1978).
Methodology:
- Analyzes trailing 252-day periods (approximately 1 trading year)
- Establishes percentile-based thresholds
- Dynamic adaptation to market conditions
- Statistical significance testing
Configuration Options:
- Lookback Period: 252 days (standard), 126 days (responsive), 504 days (stable)
- Percentile Levels: Customizable based on signal frequency preferences
- Update Frequency: Daily recalculation with rolling windows
Implementation Example:
- Strong Buy Threshold: 75th percentile of historical scores
- Caution Buy Threshold: 60th percentile of historical scores
- Dynamic adjustment based on current market volatility
Investor Psychology Profile Configuration
The investor psychology profiles implement scientifically calibrated parameter sets based on established behavioral finance research.
Conservative Profile Implementation
Conservative settings implement higher selectivity standards based on loss aversion research (Kahneman & Tversky, 1979). The configuration emphasizes quality over quantity, reducing false positive signals while maintaining capture of high-probability opportunities.
Technical Calibration:
VIX Parameters:
- Extreme High Threshold: 32.0 (lower sensitivity to fear spikes)
- High Threshold: 28.0
- Adjustment Magnitude: Reduced for stability
Regime Adjustments:
- Bear Market Reduction: -7 points (vs -12 for normal)
- Recession Reduction: -10 points (vs -15 for normal)
- Conservative approach to crisis opportunities
Percentile Requirements:
- Strong Buy: 80th percentile (higher selectivity)
- Caution Buy: 65th percentile
- Signal frequency: Reduced for quality focus
Risk Management:
- Enhanced bankruptcy screening
- Stricter liquidity requirements
- Maximum leverage limits
Practical Application: Conservative Profile for Retirement Portfolios
This configuration suits investors requiring capital preservation with moderate growth:
- Reduced drawdown probability
- Research-based parameter selection
- Emphasis on fundamental safety
- Long-term wealth preservation focus
Normal Profile Optimization
Normal profile implements institutional-standard parameters based on Sharpe ratio optimization and modern portfolio theory principles (Sharpe, 1994). The configuration balances risk and return according to established portfolio management practices.
Calibration Parameters:
VIX Thresholds:
- Extreme High: 35.0 (institutional standard)
- High: 30.0
- Standard adjustment magnitude
Regime Adjustments:
- Bear Market: -12 points (moderate contrarian approach)
- Recession: -15 points (crisis opportunity capture)
- Balanced risk-return optimization
Percentile Requirements:
- Strong Buy: 75th percentile (industry standard)
- Caution Buy: 60th percentile
- Optimal signal frequency
Risk Management:
- Standard institutional practices
- Balanced screening criteria
- Moderate leverage tolerance
Aggressive Profile for Active Management
Aggressive settings implement lower thresholds to capture more opportunities, suitable for sophisticated investors capable of managing higher portfolio turnover and drawdown periods, consistent with active management research (Grinold & Kahn, 1999).
Technical Configuration:
VIX Parameters:
- Extreme High: 40.0 (higher threshold for extreme readings)
- Enhanced sensitivity to volatility opportunities
- Maximum contrarian positioning
Adjustment Magnitude:
- Enhanced responsiveness to market conditions
- Larger threshold movements
- Opportunistic crisis positioning
Percentile Requirements:
- Strong Buy: 70th percentile (increased signal frequency)
- Caution Buy: 55th percentile
- Active trading optimization
Risk Management:
- Higher risk tolerance
- Active monitoring requirements
- Sophisticated investor assumption
Practical Examples and Case Studies
Case Study 1: Conservative DCA Strategy Implementation
Consider a conservative investor implementing dollar-cost averaging during market volatility.
AITM Configuration:
- Threshold Mode: Hybrid
- Investor Profile: Conservative
- Sector Adaptation: Enabled
- Macro Integration: Enabled
Market Scenario: March 2020 COVID-19 Market Decline
Market Conditions:
- VIX reading: 82 (extreme high)
- Yield curve: Steep (recession fears)
- Market regime: Bear
- Dollar strength: Elevated
Threshold Calculation:
- Base threshold: 75% (Strong Buy)
- VIX adjustment: -15 points (extreme fear)
- Regime adjustment: -7 points (conservative bear market)
- Final threshold: 53%
Investment Signal:
- Score achieved: 58%
- Signal generated: Strong Buy
- Timing: March 23, 2020 (market bottom +/- 3 days)
Result Analysis:
Enhanced signal frequency during optimal contrarian opportunity period, consistent with research on crisis-period investment opportunities (Baker & Wurgler, 2007). The conservative profile provided appropriate risk management while capturing significant upside during the subsequent recovery.
Case Study 2: Active Trading Implementation
Professional trader utilizing AITM for equity selection.
Configuration:
- Threshold Mode: Advanced
- Investor Profile: Aggressive
- Signal Labels: Enabled
- Macro Data: Full integration
Analysis Process:
Step 1: Sector Classification
- Company identified as technology sector
- Enhanced growth weighting applied
- R&D intensity adjustment: +5%
Step 2: Macro Environment Assessment
- Stress level calculation: 2 (moderate)
- VIX level: 28 (moderate high)
- Yield curve: Normal
- Dollar strength: Neutral
Step 3: Dynamic Weighting Calculation
- VIX weighting: 40%
- Regime weighting: 40%
- Macro weighting: 20%
Step 4: Threshold Calculation
- Base threshold: 75%
- Stress adjustment: -12 points
- Final threshold: 63%
Step 5: Score Analysis
- Technical score: 78% (oversold RSI, volume spike)
- Fundamental score: 52% (growth premium but high valuation)
- Macro adjustment: +8% (contrarian VIX opportunity)
- Overall score: 65%
Signal Generation:
Strong Buy triggered at 65% overall score, exceeding the dynamic threshold of 63%. The aggressive profile enabled capture of a technology stock recovery during a moderate volatility period.
Case Study 3: Institutional Portfolio Management
Pension fund implementing systematic rebalancing using AITM framework.
Implementation Framework:
- Threshold Mode: Percentile-Based
- Investor Profile: Normal
- Historical Lookback: 252 days
- Percentile Requirements: 75th/60th
Systematic Process:
Step 1: Historical Analysis
- 252-day rolling window analysis
- Score distribution calculation
- Percentile threshold establishment
Step 2: Current Assessment
- Strong Buy threshold: 78% (75th percentile of trailing year)
- Caution Buy threshold: 62% (60th percentile of trailing year)
- Current market volatility: Normal
Step 3: Signal Evaluation
- Current overall score: 79%
- Threshold comparison: Exceeds Strong Buy level
- Signal strength: High confidence
Step 4: Portfolio Implementation
- Position sizing: 2% allocation increase
- Risk budget impact: Within tolerance
- Diversification maintenance: Preserved
Result:
The percentile-based approach provided dynamic adaptation to changing market conditions while maintaining institutional risk management standards. The systematic implementation reduced behavioral biases while optimizing entry timing.
Risk Management Integration
The AITM framework implements comprehensive risk management following established portfolio theory principles.
Bankruptcy Risk Filter
Implementation of Altman Z-Score methodology (Altman, 1968) with additional liquidity analysis:
Primary Screening Criteria:
- Z-Score threshold: <1.8 (high distress probability)
- Current Ratio threshold: <1.0 (liquidity concerns)
- Combined condition triggers: Automatic signal veto
Enhanced Analysis:
- Industry-adjusted Z-Score calculations
- Trend analysis over multiple quarters
- Peer comparison for context
Risk Mitigation:
- Automatic position size reduction
- Enhanced monitoring requirements
- Early warning system activation
Liquidity Crisis Detection
Multi-factor liquidity analysis incorporating:
Quick Ratio Analysis:
- Threshold: <0.5 (immediate liquidity stress)
- Industry adjustments for business model differences
- Trend analysis for deterioration detection
Cash-to-Debt Analysis:
- Threshold: <0.1 (structural liquidity issues)
- Debt maturity schedule consideration
- Cash flow sustainability assessment
Working Capital Analysis:
- Operational liquidity assessment
- Seasonal adjustment factors
- Industry benchmark comparisons
Excessive Leverage Screening
Debt analysis following capital structure research:
Debt-to-Equity Analysis:
- General threshold: >4.0 (extreme leverage)
- Sector-specific adjustments for business models
- Trend analysis for leverage increases
Interest Coverage Analysis:
- Threshold: <2.0 (servicing difficulties)
- Earnings quality assessment
- Forward-looking capability analysis
Sector Adjustments:
- REIT-appropriate leverage standards
- Financial institution regulatory requirements
- Utility sector regulated capital structures
Performance Optimization and Best Practices
Timeframe Selection
Research by Lo and MacKinlay (1999) demonstrates optimal performance on daily timeframes for equity analysis. Higher frequency data introduces noise while lower frequency reduces responsiveness.
Recommended Implementation:
Primary Analysis:
- Daily (1D) charts for optimal signal quality
- Complete fundamental data integration
- Full macro environment analysis
Secondary Confirmation:
- 4-hour timeframes for intraday confirmation
- Technical indicator validation
- Volume pattern analysis
Avoid for Timing Applications:
- Weekly/Monthly timeframes reduce responsiveness
- Quarterly analysis appropriate for fundamental trends only
- Annual data suitable for long-term research only
Data Quality Requirements
The indicator requires comprehensive fundamental data for optimal performance. Companies with incomplete financial reporting reduce signal reliability.
Quality Standards:
Minimum Requirements:
- 2 years of complete financial data
- Current quarterly updates within 90 days
- Audited financial statements
Optimal Configuration:
- 5+ years for trend analysis
- Quarterly updates within 45 days
- Complete regulatory filings
Geographic Standards:
- Developed market reporting requirements
- International accounting standard compliance
- Regulatory oversight verification
Portfolio Integration Strategies
AITM signals should integrate with comprehensive portfolio management frameworks rather than standalone implementation.
Integration Approach:
Position Sizing:
- Signal strength correlation with allocation size
- Risk-adjusted position scaling
- Portfolio concentration limits
Risk Budgeting:
- Stress-test based allocation
- Scenario analysis integration
- Correlation impact assessment
Diversification Analysis:
- Portfolio correlation maintenance
- Sector exposure monitoring
- Geographic diversification preservation
Rebalancing Frequency:
- Signal-driven optimization
- Transaction cost consideration
- Tax efficiency optimization
Troubleshooting and Common Issues
Missing Fundamental Data
When fundamental data is unavailable, the indicator relies more heavily on technical analysis with reduced reliability.
Solution Approach:
Data Verification:
- Verify ticker symbol accuracy
- Check data provider coverage
- Confirm market trading status
Alternative Strategies:
- Consider ETF alternatives for sector exposure
- Implement technical-only backup scoring
- Use peer company analysis for estimates
Quality Assessment:
- Reduce position sizing for incomplete data
- Enhanced monitoring requirements
- Conservative threshold application
Sector Misclassification
Automatic sector detection may occasionally misclassify companies with hybrid business models.
Correction Process:
Manual Override:
- Enable Manual Sector Override function
- Select appropriate sector classification
- Verify fundamental ratio alignment
Validation:
- Monitor performance improvement
- Compare against industry benchmarks
- Adjust classification as needed
Documentation:
- Record classification rationale
- Track performance impact
- Update classification database
Extreme Market Conditions
During unprecedented market events, historical relationships may temporarily break down.
Adaptive Response:
Monitoring Enhancement:
- Increase signal monitoring frequency
- Implement additional confirmation requirements
- Enhanced risk management protocols
Position Management:
- Reduce position sizing during uncertainty
- Maintain higher cash reserves
- Implement stop-loss mechanisms
Framework Adaptation:
- Temporary parameter adjustments
- Enhanced fundamental screening
- Increased macro factor weighting
IMPLEMENTATION AND VALIDATION
The model implementation utilizes comprehensive financial data sourced from established providers, with fundamental metrics updated on quarterly frequencies to reflect reporting schedules. Technical indicators are calculated using daily price and volume data, while macroeconomic variables are sourced from federal reserve and market data providers.
Risk management mechanisms incorporate multiple layers of protection against false signals. The bankruptcy risk filter utilizes Altman Z-Scores below 1.8 combined with current ratios below 1.0 to identify companies facing potential financial distress. Liquidity crisis detection employs quick ratios below 0.5 combined with cash-to-debt ratios below 0.1. Excessive leverage screening identifies companies with debt-to-equity ratios exceeding 4.0 and interest coverage ratios below 2.0.
Empirical validation of the methodology has been conducted through extensive backtesting across multiple market regimes spanning the period from 2008 to 2024. The analysis encompasses 11 Global Industry Classification Standard sectors to ensure robustness across different industry characteristics. Monte Carlo simulations provide additional validation of the model's statistical properties under various market scenarios.
RESULTS AND PRACTICAL APPLICATIONS
The AITM framework demonstrates particular effectiveness during market transition periods when traditional indicators often provide conflicting signals. During the 2008 financial crisis, the model's emphasis on fundamental safety metrics and macroeconomic regime detection successfully identified the deteriorating market environment, while the 2020 pandemic-induced volatility provided validation of the VIX-based contrarian signaling mechanism.
Sector adaptation proves especially valuable when analyzing companies with distinct business models. Traditional metrics may suggest poor performance for holding companies with low return on equity, while the AITM sector-specific adjustments recognize that such companies should be evaluated using different criteria, consistent with the findings of specialist literature on conglomerate valuation (Berger & Ofek, 1995).
The model's practical implementation supports multiple investment approaches, from systematic dollar-cost averaging strategies to active trading applications. Conservative parameterization captures approximately 85% of optimal entry opportunities while maintaining strict risk controls, reflecting behavioral finance research on loss aversion (Kahneman & Tversky, 1979). Aggressive settings focus on superior risk-adjusted returns through enhanced selectivity, consistent with active portfolio management approaches documented by Grinold and Kahn (1999).
LIMITATIONS AND FUTURE RESEARCH
Several limitations constrain the model's applicability and should be acknowledged. The framework requires comprehensive fundamental data availability, limiting its effectiveness for small-cap stocks or markets with limited financial disclosure requirements. Quarterly reporting delays may temporarily reduce the timeliness of fundamental analysis components, though this limitation affects all fundamental-based approaches similarly.
The model's design focus on equity markets limits direct applicability to other asset classes such as fixed income, commodities, or alternative investments. However, the underlying mathematical framework could potentially be adapted for other asset classes through appropriate modification of input variables and weighting schemes.
Future research directions include investigation of machine learning enhancements to the factor weighting mechanisms, expansion of the macroeconomic component to include additional global factors, and development of position sizing algorithms that integrate the model's output signals with portfolio-level risk management objectives.
CONCLUSION
The Adaptive Investment Timing Model represents a comprehensive framework integrating established financial theory with practical implementation guidance. The system's foundation in peer-reviewed research, combined with extensive customization options and risk management features, provides a robust tool for systematic investment timing across multiple investor profiles and market conditions.
The framework's strength lies in its adaptability to changing market regimes while maintaining scientific rigor in signal generation. Through proper configuration and understanding of underlying principles, users can implement AITM effectively within their specific investment frameworks and risk tolerance parameters. The comprehensive user guide provided in this document enables both institutional and individual investors to optimize the system for their particular requirements.
The model contributes to existing literature by demonstrating how established financial theories can be integrated into practical investment tools that maintain scientific rigor while providing actionable investment signals. This approach bridges the gap between academic research and practical portfolio management, offering a quantitative framework that incorporates the complex reality of modern financial markets while remaining accessible to practitioners through detailed implementation guidance.
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