3 Candle Strike SPY Option StrategyImportant notes:
1. This strategy is designed for same day SPY option scalping. All profit shown in back testing report is based on Profit/Loss (P/L) estimates from trading options with approximately 7.5 weeks of data. By default, it is set to 10 option contracts. By default the initial capital is set to $5000.
2. This strategy also takes into account of extended market data, so turn it on for it to work as intended.
3. This strategy is mainly developed for SPY trading on 1 min chart, it probably will not work with other tickers without tweaking all the parameters first.
4. At the time of publish, the market is experiencing high volatility. Keep that in mind as market conditions changes constantly.
How it works:
Basic idea of this strategy is to look for 3 candle reversal pattern within trending market structure. The 3 candle reversal pattern consist of 3 consecutive bullish or bearish candles, followed by an engulfing candle in the opposite direction. This pattern usually signals a reversal of short term trend (a.k.a pullbacks). This strategy uses multiple moving averages to filter long or short entries. For example, if the 21 smoothed moving average is above the 50, only look for long (bullish) entries, and vise versa. There are settings to change these moving average periods to suit your needs. Linear Regression to determine whether the market is trending. The 3 candle pattern is more successful under trending market.
This strategy aims for approximately 1:3 risk to reward ratio. Stop losses are calculated using the closest low or high values for long or short entries, respectively, with an offset using a percentage of the daily ATR value. This allows some price fluctuation without being stopped out prematurely. Price target is calculated by multiplying the difference between the entry price and the stop loss by a factor of 3. When price target is reach, this strategy will set stop loss at the price target and wait for exit conditions to maximize potential profit.
By default, the strategy signals a trade in the opposite direction if the previous one had resulted in a loss. Often times, this opposite trade results in profit.
This strategy automatically signal to close all trades at 3:50 pm EST at the end of the day.
Enjoy~!!! Let's all make $$$
SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
Top 40 High Low Strategy for SPY, 5minThis strategy is developed based on my High Low Index SPY Top 40 indicator
Notes:
- this strategy is only developed for SPY on the 5 min chart . It seems to work with QQQ as well, but it isn't optimized for it
- P/L shown is based on 10 SPY option contracts, call or put, with strike price closest to the entry SPY price and expiry of 0 to 1 day. This includes commissions (can be changed). This is only an estimate calculated using an arbitrary multiplier factor, this can be changed in the setting
- P/L is based on $5000 initial capital
- Works with both regular / extended trading session turned on/off. However, max drawdown is 1/2 with extended trading session ON
- there is still a bug that doesn't allow alert to be created due to calculation error, will update once fixed
This strategy combines signals from the following indicators to determine entry signals:
- High Low Index SPY Top 40
- MACD
- Linear Regression Slope
Entry signal is triggered when:
- High Low Index line crosses the EMA line
- MACD trending in the same direction
- Linear Regression slope is accelerating above a threshold in the same direction, indicating a strong trend
Profit target(PT) and stop loss(SL) are determined using ATR value, with 2:1 Reward to Risk ratio as default.
Exit signal may be triggered prior to PT or SL trigger when:
- High Low Index SPY Top 40 shows a reversal after overbought or oversold conditions (optional)
- Opposite entry signal is triggered
There are a number of optional settings:
- Turn on/off "option trading", P/L will be calculated using share price only without multiplication factor for trading option contracts
- # of options per trade, default to 10
- Reinvest with profit made
- Trade with trailing SL after PT hit
- Take profit early based on Top 40 overbought/oversold
- Trade 0/1 day expiry. This will signal exit by the end of the day on Mon/Wed/Fri, and only exits 1/2 of positions (if in profit) on Tues/Thurs
- Can reduce the SL level without impacting PT
- No entry between 10:05 - 10:20 (don't ask me why, but statistically it performs better)
Consider donating me some of your profit if you make $$$ hahaha~ ;)
Enjoy~~
3 Candle Strike StretegyMainly developed for AMEX:SPY trading on 1 min chart. But feel free to try on other tickers.
Basic idea of this strategy is to look for 3 candle reversal pattern within trending market structure. The 3 candle reversal pattern consist of 3 consecutive bullish or bearish candles,
followed by an engulfing candle in the opposite direction. This pattern usually signals a reversal of short term trend. This strategy also uses multiple moving averages to filter long or short
entries. ie. if the 21 smoothed moving average is above the 50, only look for long (bullish) entries, and vise versa. There is option change these moving average periods to suit your needs.
I also choose to use Linear Regression to determine whether the market is ranging or trending. It seems the 3 candle pattern is more successful under trending market. Hence I use it as a filter.
There is also an option to combine this strategy with moving average crossovers. The idea is to look for 3 candle pattern right after a fast moving average crosses over a slow moving average.
By default , 21 and 50 smoothed moving averages are used. This gives additional entry opportunities and also provides better results.
This strategy aims for 1:3 risk to reward ratio. Stop losses are calculated using the closest low or high values for long or short entries, respectively, with an offset using a percentage of
the daily ATR value. This allows some price fluctuation without being stopped out prematurely. Price target is calculated by multiplying the difference between the entry price and the stop loss
by a factor of 3. When price target is reach, this strategy will set stop loss at the price target and wait for exit condition to maximize potential profit.
This strategy will exit an order if an opposing 3 candle pattern is detected, this could happen before stop loss or price target is reached, and may also happen after price target is reached.
*Note that this strategy is designed for same day SPY option scalping. I haven't determined an easy way to calculate the # of contracts to represent the equivalent option values. Plus the option
prices varies greatly depending on which strike and expiry that may suits your trading style. Therefore, please be mindful of the net profit shown. By default, each entry is approximately equal
to buying 10 of same day or 1 day expiry call or puts at strike $1 - $2 OTM. This strategy will close all open trades at 3:45pm EST on Mon, Wed, and Fri.
**Note that this strategy also takes into account of extended market data.
***Note pyramiding is set to 2 by default, so it allows for multiple entries on the way towards price target.
Remember that market conditions are always changing. This strategy was only able to be back-tested using 1 month of data. This strategy may not work the next month. Please keep that in mind.
Also, I take no credit for any of the indicators used as part of this strategy.
Enjoy~
Volatility Bands Reversal Strategy [Long Only]This strategy based on existng indicator available on TV
If finds the reversals for LONG entries ... I have modified the settings to back test it ...
BUY
====
When the price touches lower band , and tries to close above lower band
some signals are mixed up, you can research and look for a confirmation ...
if the middle band is above EMA50 , you can simply follow the strategy BUY signal
but if the middle band is EMA50 , wait for the price to close above middle band
Sell / Close
==========
wait for the sell signa OR close when price touches the upper band
How do you want to close , you can chose in settings. Chnage these values and see the performance
Please note , sell means just closing the existing LONG position , not short selling
Stop Loss
=========
Stop Loss is defaulted to 6%
This is tested in 1HR, 2HR and 4 HRs chart for SPY and QQQ ETFS ...
for long term investing style , 4 Hrs is the best time frme for this strategy
Warning
========
It is not a financial advise , it is for educational purposes only. Please do your own research before taking any trading decission
VFI strategy [based on VFI indicator published by UTS]This strategy is based on VFI indicator published by UTS.
for the strategy purpose , I have added buy line and sell line to the indicator and tested SPY stock/index on one hour chart
BUY RULE
==========
1. EMA 50 is above EMA 200
2. vfi line is pulled down and crossing above -4
EXIT RULE
==========
1. when vfi line crossing down 5
STOP LOSS
=========
1. default stop loss is set to 5%
ALL the above values (Buy Line , Sell line and Stop Loss ) can be modified in settings window
Notes :
more details of VFI indicator can be found at mkatsanos.com and precisiontradingsystems.com
Warning:
for educational purposes only
S&P Bear Warning IndicatorTHIS SCRIPT HAS BEEN BUILT TO BE USED AS A S&P500 SPY CRASH INDICATOR ON A DAILY TIME FRAME (should not be used as a strategy).
THIS SCRIPT HAS BEEN BUILT AS A STRATEGY FOR VISUALIZATION PURPOSES ONLY AND HAS NOT BEEN OPTIMIZED FOR PROFIT.
The script has been built to show as a lower indicator and also gives visual SELL signal on top when conditions are met. BARE IN MIND NO STOP LOSS, NOR ADVANCED EXIT STRATEGY HAS BEEN BUILT.
As well as the chart SELL signal an alert option has also been built into this script.
The script utilizes a VIX indicator (maroon line) and 50 period Momentum (blue line) and Danger/No trade zone(pink shading).
When the Momentum line crosses down across the VIX this is a sell off but in order to only signal major sell offs the SELL signal only triggers if the momentum continues down through the danger zone.
A SELL signal could be given earlier by removing the need to wait for momentum to continue down through the Danger Zone however this is designed only to catch major market weakness not small sell offs.
As you can see from the picture between the big October 2018 and March 2020 market declines only 2 additional SELLS were triggered.
To use this indicator to identify ideal buying then you should only buy when Momentum line is crossed above the VIX and the Momentum line is above the Danger Zone (ideally 3 - 5 days above danger zone)
EEMANI - collect money strategy 1This strategy is for stock market ONLY
Strategy: EEMANI ... Collect the money by selling Credit spreads - Tested on SPY index weekly options
This strategy is based on consecutive up and down strategy which is available in TradingView Built in indicator. list, i have added EMA filter to that.
Tested on SPY Hourly chart
============================
ENTRY:
1. when price is consecutively up 3 bars and price is close above EMA (defualt EMA is 8 )
2. consider selling PUT nearest weekly ( SPY weeklies are available for Monday, wednesday and Friday)
Example: if the signal occurs on Monday or Tuesday , Consider selling Wednesday PUT spread
3. PUT strike one leg is mentioned on the chart when signal occurs ( calculate the second value based on your comfortable spread distance, either 5 points or 10 points)
( OR You can chose PUT strikes using a bollinger band --- strike below the lower band )
EXIT:
1. You can wait until the spread expires worthless OR
2. Exit if the short leg is 0.01 OR
3. Exit when 50% of the premium is evaporated (this is to avoid any sudden down spikes )
4. Script is configured to exit after 16 Bars. (that is maximum number of Hourly bars for two days)
StopLoss:
1. when the price touches the Put short leg (as mentioned in entry signal) --- close the position
2. OR when the price touches the Put short leg --- You can defense the position by certain percentage by converting it to IronCondor ,
that means, sell the CALL credit spread ... chose the strikes above upper Bollinger Band
happy Trading
Warning: for educational purposes only
Monthly MA Close Generates buy or sell signal if monthly candle closes above or below the signal MA.
Long positions only.
Inputs:
-Change timeframe MA
-Change period MA
-Use SMA or EMA
-Display MA
-Use another ticker as signal
-Select time period for backtesting
This script is not necessarily written to maximize profits, but to minimize losses.
Although it can outperform 'Buy & Hold' on some occasions when there is a multiple month bearisch trend.
You can optimise this strategy by changing the signal MA inputs.
I would suggest aiming for the best Profit Factor starting from the monthly ("M") setting.
You can always fine-tune the results at a lower timeframe.
The option to use another ticker for providing signals can give you a more stable and unified results.
For example using AMEX:SPY as signal with default parameters gives better results with NASDAQ:AAPL than if you would use NASDAQ:AAPL itself.
I used the anti-repainting function from PineCoders to prevent repainting.
This script is best used for multi-month trading positions & Daily or 4H setting of your chart.
VIX + moving average low-drawdown SPY strategyAims to be a simple way to avoid recessions by combining two complementary tools that work well together: A simple moving average crossover (death cross & golden cross) to detect a bull markets and run with it, and a crossover between the VIX and a moving average of its previous peaks to get out as quickly as possible during periods of volatility.
The Death cross gets you out of slow drawn-out bear markets. The VIX gets you out of sudden rapid crashes.
TradersAI - Test 3**** This is a TEST script only! Do NOT use on real money accounts! *****
***** Intended to be used in testing by invited_only members *****
***** If you want to participate in our testing using your paper trading account(s), send me a private message *****
Yaonology SPY StrategyOnly use this strategy in the US stock market. Especially use in SPY.
www.yaonology.com
A.I.Driven TradersAI Model Trades for 20190612The entry and exit levels here are NOT derived from any specific indicator but are coming from our A.I. driven proprietary models.
This is an attempt at exploring the trading community here at TradingView and sharing our daily trading plans published at our site with the community here in the form a Pine Script - just starting and learning this platform. Please help point out any obvious errors or gotchas committed in the scripts. Thanks and have a great trading day!
**** The Trading Plan Published for today ****
>>>> Medium-Frequency Models: <<<<< For today, Wednesday 06/12, our medium-frequency models indicate using the 2895 as a pivot point - opening a long on a break above 2895, and opening a short on a break below 2895 (wait for a close on at least a five minute chart to determine the break), both sides with a 9-point trailing stop.
Note: For the trades to trigger, the breaks should occur during the regular session hours starting at 9:30am ET. By design, these models do NOT open any new positions after 3:45pm. Only one open position at any given time.
>>>>> Aggressive Intraday Models: <<<<< For today, Wednesday 06/12, our aggressive intraday models indicate going long on a break above 2892 or 2875 with an 6-point trailing stop, and going short on a break below 2887 or 2878 with an 8-point trailing stop.
Note: For the trades to trigger, the breaks should occur during regular session hours starting at 9:30am ET. Due to the intraday nature of these aggressive models, they indicate closing any open trades at 3:55pm and remaining flat into the session close. No opening of new positions after 3:45pm. Only one open position at any given time.
PPSignal System Algorithm Introduction
System Algorithm based on historical price probabilities and volumes. We recommend use financial stock, bond, crypts, indices, futures and Forex market (GBPUSD, EURUSD, USDJPY, USDCAD, AUDUSD, USOIL, XAUUSD, SOYUSD, DXY, SPY, SP1!, bitcoin) with defined trends above 50 or 100 and 200 simple moving averages idem if you want trade downtrend financial assets.
Use projections and retracements Fibonacci, MACD and RSI or Stoch oscillator and figures charters Head and shoulder, triangles and double bottom, double top, etc.
This system will notify you of the probability of success. The profit will be defined for yourself and according to your investor profile.
There are stocks and other assets with high returns but the system does not know exactly. Check in the Strategy tester section and then net profit.
We have other tools that support to PPsignal system, we will publish them shortly.
Define system parameters
As it is a system that is based on past data we recommend using the most historical data weekly (W) but you an use day historical data or 3 o 2 hs.
Candle color: you can choose if you want a trend color for candles or not, in the chart propieties menu detach the border option.
PPsignal it's a very simple system with which you will have a great support when it is a good time for enter in the marker and out.
we await your comments.
Eng. Oscar Alejandro Peruchena
Quants Mathematical and Market Analyst
Cowabunga System from babypips.comPlease do read the information below as well, especially if you are new to Forex.
The Cowabunga System is a type of Mechanical Trading System that filters trades based on the trend of the 4 hour chart with EMAs and some other familiar indicators (RSI, Stochastics and MACD) while entering trades base on 15 minute chart.
I have coded (quite amateurishly) the basic system onto a 15 minute chart (the 4 hour settings are coded as well). The author says the system is to be traded off the 15 minute chart with the 4 hour chart only as a reference for trend direction.
4 Hour Chart Settings
5 EMA
10 EMA
Stochastics (10,3,3)
RSI (9)
Then we move onto the 15 minute chart, where he gives us the trade entry rules.
15 Minute Chart Settings
5 EMA
10 EMA
Stochastics (10,3,3)
RSI (9)
MACD (12,26,9)
Entry Rules - long entry rules used, obviously reverse these for shorting.
1. EMA must cross above the 10 EMA.
2. RSI must be greater than 50 and not overbought.
3. Stochastic must be headed up and not be in overbought territory.
4. MACD histogram must go from negative to positive OR be negative and start to increase in value.
What I did.
1. Set the RSI and Stochastic levels to avoid entries when they indicate overbought conditions for long and oversold conditions for short (80 and 20 levels).
2. Users can input specific times they want to backtest.
3. User's can configure profit targets, trailing stops and stops. Default is set it to was 100 pips profit target with a 40 pip trailing stop. (Note, when you are changing these values, please note that each pip is worth 10, so 100 pips is entered as 1000.)
The Cowabunga System from babypips.com is another popular and active system. The author, Pip Surfer, continues to post wins and losses with this system. It shows there is a lot of honesty and integrity with this system if the author keeps up to date even 10 years later and is not afraid of sharing the times the system causes losses.
As an example of this, here is post he shared just last week . It's almost like a journal, he gives specific times and reasons why he entered, lets the readers know when he was stopped out, etc. I think that what he does is equally important as his system.
To read more about this system, visit the thread on babypips.com, click here.
Free Strategy #08 (Combo of #01 and #02) (ES / SPY)This strategy was designed to be traded on daily data on the ES and SPY—the strategy was originally developed for NinjaTrader, which displays daily ES data based on RTH hours instead of 24 hours (1440 minute) like TradingView does, so we are presenting the results on the SPY until we figure out how to overcome this hurdle.
The strategy combines the two ideas from strategy #01 and strategy #02 .
Strategy #08
Quantity 100
Slippage: 2 ticks
Commission: 4.95 per order
Net Profit: 26,044.60
Max Drawdown: 3,947.60
Buy and Hold (Custom)
Quantity 100
Slippage: 2 ticks
Commission: 4.95 per order
Entry Long: 1993-02-01 @ 43.99
Exit Long: 2017-07-28 @ 246.34
Net Profit: 20,225.10
Max Drawdown: 9,042.00
Free Strategy #02 (ES / SPY)This strategy was designed to be traded on daily data on the ES and SPY—the strategy was originally developed for NinjaTrader, which displays daily ES data based on RTH hours instead of 24 hours (1440 minute) like TradingView does, so we are presenting the results on the SPY until we figure out how to overcome this hurdle.
Strategy #02
Quantity 100
Slippage: 2 ticks
Commission: 4.95 per order
Net Profit: 10,118.30
Max Drawdown: 4.037.60
Buy and Hold (Custom)
Quantity 100
Slippage: 2 ticks
Commission: 4.95 per order
Entry Long: 1993-02-01 @ 43.99
Exit Long: 2017-07-28 @ 246.34
Net Profit: 20,225.10
Max Drawdown: 9,042.00
Free Strategy #01 (ES / SPY)The strategy was designed to be traded based on daily data on the ES and SPY--the strategy was originally developed on NinjaTrader using approximately 50% out of sample data with a slippage of 1 tick on the ES. This is our first strategy that we converted from NinjaTrader to TradingView, so if you see any issues with our conversion, please let us know as we are still learning TradingView Pine Script.
SPY Master v1.0This is a simple swing trading algorithm that uses a fast RSI-EMA to trigger buy/cover signals and a slow RSI-EMA to trigger sell/short signals for SPY, an xchange-traded fund for the S&P 500.
The idea behind this strategy follows the premise that most profitable momentum trades usually occur during periods when price is trending up or down. Periods of flat price actions are usually where most unprofitable trades occur. Because we cannot predict exactly when trending periods will occur, the algorithm basically bets money on all trade opportunities during all market conditions. Despite an accuracy rate of only 40%, the algorithm's asymmetric risk/reward profile allows the average winner to be 2x the average loser. The end result is a positive (profitable) net payout.
TRADING RULES:
Buy/Cover = EMA3(RSI2) cross> 50
Sell/Short = EMA5(RSI2) cross< 50
BACKTEST SETTINGS:
- Period = March 2011 - Present
- Initial capital = $10,000
- Dividends excluded
- Trading costs excluded
PERFORMANCE COMPARISON:
There are 657 trades, which means 1,314 orders. Assuming each order costs $2 (what I pay for at Interactive Brokers), total trading costs should be $2,628.
-SPY (buy & hold) = 132.73 ---> 193.22 = +45.57% (dividends excluded)
-SPY Master v1.0 = $12,649 - $2,628 = $10,021 = +100.21%
DISCLAIMER: None of my ideas and posts are investment advice. Past performance is not an indication of future results. This strategy was constructed with the benefit of hindsight and its future performance cannot be guaranteed.
