Volatility Breaker Blocks [BigBeluga]The Volatility Breaker Blocks indicator identifies key market levels based on significant volatility at pivot highs and lows. It plots blocks that act as potential support and resistance zones, marked in green (support) and blue (resistance). Even after a breakout, these blocks leave behind shadow boxes that continue to impact price action. The sensitivity of block detection can be adjusted in the settings, allowing traders to customize the identification of volatility breakouts. The blocks print triangle labels (up or down) after breakouts, indicating potential areas of interest.
🔵 IDEA
The Volatility Breaker Blocks indicator is designed to highlight key areas in the market where volatility has created significant price action. These blocks, created at pivot highs and lows with increased volatility, act as potential support and resistance levels.
The idea is that even after price breaks through these blocks, the remaining shadow boxes continue to influence price movements. By focusing on volatility-driven pivot points, traders can better anticipate how price may react when it revisits these areas. The indicator also captures the natural tendency for price to retest broken resistance or support levels.
🔵 KEY FEATURES & USAGE
◉ High Volatility Breaker Blocks:
The indicator identifies areas of high volatility at pivot highs and lows, plotting blocks that represent these zones. Green blocks represent support zones (identified at pivot lows), while blue blocks represent resistance zones (identified at pivot highs).
Support:
Resistance:
◉ Shadow Blocks after Breakouts:
When price breaks through a block, the block doesn't disappear. Instead, it leaves behind a shadow box, which can still influence future price action. These shadow blocks act as secondary support or resistance levels.
If the price crosses these shadow blocks, the block stops extending, and the right edge of the box is fixed at the point where the price crosses it. This feature helps traders monitor important price levels even after the initial breakout has occurred.
◉ Triangle Labels for Breakouts:
After the price breaks through a volatility block, the indicator prints triangle labels (up or down) at the breakout points.
◉ Support and Resistance Retests:
One of the key concepts in this indicator is the retesting of broken blocks. After breaking a resistance block, price often returns to the shadow box, which then acts as support. Similarly, after breaking a support block, price tends to return to the shadow box, which becomes a resistance level. This concept of price retesting and bouncing off these levels is essential for understanding how the indicator can be used to identify potential entries and exits.
The natural tendency of price to retest broken resistance or support levels.
Additionaly indicator can display retest signals of broken support or resistance
◉ Customizable Sensitivity:
The sensitivity of volatility detection can be adjusted in the settings. A higher sensitivity captures fewer but more significant breakouts, while a lower sensitivity captures more frequent volatility breakouts. This flexibility allows traders to adapt the indicator to different trading styles and market conditions.
🔵 CUSTOMIZATION
Calculation Window: Defines the window of bars over which the breaker blocks are calculated. A larger window will capture longer-term levels, while a smaller window focuses on more recent volatility areas.
Volatility Sensitivity: Adjusts the threshold for volatility detection. Lower sensitivity captures smaller breakouts, while higher sensitivity focuses on larger, more significant moves.
Retest Signals: Display or hide retest signals of shadow boxes
Volatilité
$TUBR: Stop Loss IndicatorATR-Based Stop Loss Indicator for TradingView by The Ultimate Bull Run Community: TUBR
**Overview**
The ATR-Based Stop Loss Indicator is a custom tool designed for traders using TradingView. It helps you determine optimal stop loss levels by leveraging the Average True Range (ATR), a popular measure of market volatility. By adapting to current market conditions, this indicator aims to minimize premature stop-outs and enhance your risk management strategy.
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**Key Features**
- **Dynamic Stop Loss Levels**: Calculates stop loss prices based on the ATR, providing both long and short stop loss suggestions.
- **Customizable Parameters**: Adjust the ATR period, multiplier, and smoothing method to suit your trading style and the specific instrument you're trading.
- **Visual Aids**: Plots stop loss lines directly on your chart for easy visualization.
- **Alerts and Notifications** (Optional): Set up alerts to notify you when the price approaches or hits your stop loss levels.
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**Understanding the Indicator**
1. **Average True Range (ATR)**:
- **What It Is**: ATR measures market volatility by calculating the average range between high and low prices over a specified period.
- **Why It's Useful**: A higher ATR indicates higher volatility, which can help you set stop losses that accommodate market fluctuations.
2. **ATR Multiplier**:
- **Purpose**: Determines how far your stop loss is placed from the current price based on the ATR.
- **Example**: An ATR multiplier of 1.5 means the stop loss is set at 1.5 times the ATR away from the current price.
3. **Smoothing Methods**:
- **Options**: Choose from RMA (default), SMA, EMA, WMA, or Hull MA.
- **Effect**: Different smoothing methods can make the ATR more responsive or smoother, affecting where the stop loss is placed.
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**How the Indicator Works**
- **Long Stop Loss Calculation**:
- **Formula**: `Long Stop Loss = Close Price - (ATR * ATR Multiplier)`
- **Purpose**: For long positions, the stop loss is set below the current price to protect against downside risk.
- **Short Stop Loss Calculation**:
- **Formula**: `Short Stop Loss = Close Price + (ATR * ATR Multiplier)`
- **Purpose**: For short positions, the stop loss is set above the current price to protect against upside risk.
- **Plotting on the Chart**:
- **Green Line**: Represents the suggested stop loss level for long positions.
- **Red Line**: Represents the suggested stop loss level for short positions.
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**How to Use the Indicator**
1. **Adding the Indicator to Your Chart**:
- **Step 1**: Copy the PineScript code of the indicator.
- **Step 2**: In TradingView, click on **Pine Editor** at the bottom of the platform.
- **Step 3**: Paste the code into the editor and click **Add to Chart**.
- **Step 4**: The indicator will appear on your chart with the default settings.
2. **Adjusting the Settings**:
- **ATR Period**:
- **Definition**: Number of periods over which the ATR is calculated.
- **Adjustment**: Increase for a smoother ATR; decrease for a more responsive ATR.
- **ATR Multiplier**:
- **Definition**: Factor by which the ATR is multiplied to set the stop loss distance.
- **Adjustment**: Increase to widen the stop loss (less likely to be hit); decrease to tighten the stop loss.
- **Smoothing Method**:
- **Options**: RMA, SMA, EMA, WMA, Hull MA.
- **Adjustment**: Experiment to see which method aligns best with your trading strategy.
- **Display Options**:
- **Show Long Stop Loss**: Toggle to display or hide the long stop loss line.
- **Show Short Stop Loss**: Toggle to display or hide the short stop loss line.
3. **Interpreting the Indicator**:
- **Long Positions**:
- **Action**: Set your stop loss at the value indicated by the green line when entering a long trade.
- **Short Positions**:
- **Action**: Set your stop loss at the value indicated by the red line when entering a short trade.
- **Adjusting Stop Losses**:
- **Trailing Stops**: You may choose to adjust your stop loss over time, moving it in the direction of your trade as the ATR-based stop loss levels change.
4. **Implementing in Your Trading Strategy**:
- **Risk Management**:
- **Position Sizing**: Use the stop loss distance to calculate your position size based on your risk tolerance.
- **Consistency**: Apply the same settings consistently to maintain discipline.
- **Combining with Other Indicators**:
- **Enhance Decision-Making**: Use in conjunction with trend indicators, support and resistance levels, or other technical analysis tools.
- **Alerts Setup** (If included in the code):
- **Purpose**: Receive notifications when the price approaches or hits your stop loss level.
- **Configuration**: Set up alerts in TradingView based on the alert conditions defined in the indicator.
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**Benefits of Using This Indicator**
- **Adaptive Risk Management**: By accounting for current market volatility, the indicator helps prevent setting stop losses that are too tight or too wide.
- **Minimize Premature Stop-Outs**: Reduces the likelihood of being stopped out due to normal price fluctuations.
- **Flexibility**: Customizable settings allow you to tailor the indicator to different trading instruments and timeframes.
- **Visualization**: Clear visual representation of stop loss levels aids in quick decision-making.
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**Things to Consider**
- **Market Conditions**:
- **High Volatility**: Be cautious as ATR values—and thus stop loss distances—can widen, increasing potential losses.
- **Low Volatility**: Tighter stop losses may increase the chance of being stopped out by minor price movements.
- **Backtesting and Optimization**:
- **Historical Analysis**: Test the indicator on past data to evaluate its effectiveness and adjust settings accordingly.
- **Continuous Improvement**: Regularly reassess and fine-tune the parameters to adapt to changing market conditions.
- **Risk Per Trade**:
- **Alignment with Risk Tolerance**: Ensure the stop loss level keeps potential losses within your acceptable risk per trade (e.g., 1-2% of your trading capital).
- **Emotional Discipline**:
- **Stick to Your Plan**: Avoid making impulsive changes to your stop loss levels based on emotions rather than analysis.
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**Example Usage Scenario**
1. **Setting Up a Long Trade**:
- **Entry Price**: $100
- **ATR Value**: $2
- **ATR Multiplier**: 1.5
- **Calculated Stop Loss**: $100 - ($2 * 1.5) = $97
- **Action**: Place a stop loss order at $97.
2. **During the Trade**:
- **Price Increases to $105**
- **ATR Remains at $2**
- **New Stop Loss Level**: $105 - ($2 * 1.5) = $102
- **Action**: Move your stop loss up to $102 to lock in profits.
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**Final Tips**
- **Documentation**: Keep a trading journal to record your trades, stop loss levels, and observations for future reference.
- **Education**: Continuously educate yourself on risk management and technical analysis to enhance your trading skills.
- **Support**: Engage with trading communities or seek professional advice if you're unsure about implementing the indicator effectively.
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**Conclusion**
The ATR-Based Stop Loss Indicator is a valuable tool for traders looking to enhance their risk management by setting stop losses that adapt to market volatility. By integrating this indicator into your trading routine, you can improve your ability to protect capital and potentially increase profitability. Remember to use it as part of a comprehensive trading strategy, and always adhere to sound risk management principles.
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**How to Access the Indicator**
To start using the ATR-Based Stop Loss Indicator, follow these steps:
1. **Obtain the Code**: Copy the PineScript code provided for the indicator.
2. **Create a New Indicator in TradingView**:
- Open TradingView and navigate to the **Pine Editor**.
- Paste the code into the editor.
- Click **Save** and give your indicator a name.
3. **Add to Chart**: Click **Add to Chart** to apply the indicator to your current chart.
4. **Customize Settings**: Adjust the input parameters to suit your preferences and start integrating the indicator into your trading strategy.
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**Disclaimer**
Trading involves significant risk, and it's possible to lose all your capital. The ATR-Based Stop Loss Indicator is a tool to aid in decision-making but does not guarantee profits or prevent losses. Always conduct your own analysis and consider seeking advice from a financial professional before making trading decisions.
Double BBW OverlayDouble BBW Overlay Indicator
Overview
The Double BBW (Bollinger Band Width) Overlay indicator is a custom script for TradingView that combines two BBW indicators with adjustable settings. It allows traders to compare the volatility of two different periods of Bollinger Bands on the same chart. By default, the first BBW is calculated with a 10-period center line, and the second BBW with a 20-period center line, but these values can be customized.
How It Works
Bollinger Bands consist of an upper band, a lower band, and a middle band (typically a moving average). The Bollinger Band Width (BBW) measures the distance between the upper and lower bands relative to the center line. The width of these bands indicates market volatility:
Narrow Bands: Low volatility, usually preceding a breakout.
Wide Bands: High volatility, often following a strong price movement.
This indicator plots two BBW values on a non-overlay chart, making it easy to visualize and compare different market conditions over different periods.
Indicator Components
BBW 1 (default period: 10)
Calculates the BBW using a center line based on a 10-period moving average.
The width is plotted in blue by default.
BBW 2 (default period: 20)
Calculates the BBW using a center line based on a 20-period moving average.
The width is plotted in red by default.
Zero Line
A gray horizontal line at the value of 0 for reference, helping to understand the scale of BBW values.
Input Parameters
Center Line Period for BBW 1 (length1)
Default: 10
This controls the length of the moving average for the first BBW calculation. It defines how many periods are used to calculate the middle Bollinger Band for BBW 1.
Center Line Period for BBW 2 (length2)
Default: 20
This controls the length of the moving average for the second BBW calculation. It defines how many periods are used to calculate the middle Bollinger Band for BBW 2.
Standard Deviation Multiplier (mult)
Default: 2.0
This controls how far the upper and lower Bollinger Bands are from the center line. The multiplier affects how sensitive the Bollinger Bands are to price changes, with higher values producing wider bands.
How to Use
Adding the Indicator: Once the script is added to your TradingView account, simply apply the indicator to any chart. It will be displayed as a separate pane below the price chart, showing two BBW lines corresponding to the two different periods.
Customizing Periods: Use the settings panel to adjust the center line periods for BBW 1 and BBW 2 to match your desired trading strategy. For instance, you can analyze short-term versus long-term volatility by adjusting the periods.
Volatility Analysis:
When both BBW lines are narrow, it indicates low volatility across both short-term and long-term periods, which could suggest that a breakout is imminent.
If both BBW lines widen simultaneously, it shows that volatility is increasing in both timeframes, possibly indicating a strong trend.
Use Cases
Breakout Strategy: When the BBW lines contract significantly, it may signal that a low-volatility period is about to end, which is often followed by a price breakout in either direction.
Trend Strength: Comparing short-term and long-term BBW values can help determine if recent price movements are supported by broader market volatility or if they are isolated to the short term.
Chart Display
BBW 1: Blue line, representing the Bollinger Band Width calculated with a center line period of 10 (or your customized value).
BBW 2: Red line, representing the Bollinger Band Width calculated with a center line period of 20 (or your customized value).
Zero Line: A gray line at 0 is provided for reference, although BBW values are always positive.
Advantages of Using Double BBW
Comprehensive View of Volatility: By overlaying two BBW indicators with different timeframes, you can gain insights into both short-term and long-term market volatility trends.
Customizable: You can easily adjust the moving average periods and the standard deviation multiplier to match your preferred trading strategy or the characteristics of the asset you are trading.
Easy Visualization: The separate plots of BBW values make it easier to see shifts in market volatility, allowing you to spot potential trading opportunities.
Mean Reversion Cloud (Ornstein-Uhlenbeck) // AlgoFyreThe Mean Reversion Cloud (Ornstein-Uhlenbeck) indicator detects mean-reversion opportunities by applying the Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process. It calculates a dynamic mean using an Exponential Weighted Moving Average, surrounded by volatility bands, signaling potential buy/sell points when prices deviate.
TABLE OF CONTENTS
🔶 ORIGINALITY
🔸Adaptive Mean Calculation
🔸Volatility-Based Cloud
🔸Speed of Reversion (θ)
🔶 FUNCTIONALITY
🔸Dynamic Mean and Volatility Bands
🞘 How it works
🞘 How to calculate
🞘 Code extract
🔸Visualization via Table and Plotshapes
🞘 Table Overview
🞘 Plotshapes Explanation
🞘 Code extract
🔶 INSTRUCTIONS
🔸Step-by-Step Guidelines
🞘 Setting Up the Indicator
🞘 Understanding What to Look For on the Chart
🞘 Possible Entry Signals
🞘 Possible Take Profit Strategies
🞘 Possible Stop-Loss Levels
🞘 Additional Tips
🔸Customize settings
🔶 CONCLUSION
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🔶 ORIGINALITY The Mean Reversion Cloud (Ornstein-Uhlenbeck) is a unique indicator that applies the Ornstein-Uhlenbeck stochastic process to identify mean-reverting behavior in asset prices. Unlike traditional moving average-based indicators, this model uses an Exponentially Weighted Moving Average (EWMA) to calculate the long-term mean, dynamically adjusting to recent price movements while still considering all historical data. It also incorporates volatility bands, providing a "cloud" that visually highlights overbought or oversold conditions. By calculating the speed of mean reversion (θ) through the autocorrelation of log returns, this indicator offers traders a more nuanced and mathematically robust tool for identifying mean-reversion opportunities. These innovations make it especially useful for markets that exhibit range-bound characteristics, offering timely buy and sell signals based on statistical deviations from the mean.
🔸Adaptive Mean Calculation Traditional MA indicators use fixed lengths, which can lead to lagging signals or over-sensitivity in volatile markets. The Mean Reversion Cloud uses an Exponentially Weighted Moving Average (EWMA), which adapts to price movements by dynamically adjusting its calculation, offering a more responsive mean.
🔸Volatility-Based Cloud Unlike simple moving averages that only plot a single line, the Mean Reversion Cloud surrounds the dynamic mean with volatility bands. These bands, based on standard deviations, provide traders with a visual cue of when prices are statistically likely to revert, highlighting potential reversal zones.
🔸Speed of Reversion (θ) The indicator goes beyond price averages by calculating the speed at which the price reverts to the mean (θ), using the autocorrelation of log returns. This gives traders an additional tool for estimating the likelihood and timing of mean reversion, making the signals more reliable in practice.
🔶 FUNCTIONALITY The Mean Reversion Cloud (Ornstein-Uhlenbeck) indicator is designed to detect potential mean-reversion opportunities in asset prices by applying the Ornstein-Uhlenbeck stochastic process. It calculates a dynamic mean through the Exponentially Weighted Moving Average (EWMA) and plots volatility bands based on the standard deviation of the asset's price over a specified period. These bands create a "cloud" that represents expected price fluctuations, helping traders to identify overbought or oversold conditions. By calculating the speed of reversion (θ) from the autocorrelation of log returns, the indicator offers a more refined way of assessing how quickly prices may revert to the mean. Additionally, the inclusion of volatility provides a comprehensive view of market conditions, allowing for more accurate buy and sell signals.
Let's dive into the details:
🔸Dynamic Mean and Volatility Bands The dynamic mean (μ) is calculated using the EWMA, giving more weight to recent prices but considering all historical data. This process closely resembles the Ornstein-Uhlenbeck (OU) process, which models the tendency of a stochastic variable (such as price) to revert to its mean over time. Volatility bands are plotted around the mean using standard deviation, forming the "cloud" that signals overbought or oversold conditions. The cloud adapts dynamically to price fluctuations and market volatility, making it a versatile tool for mean-reversion strategies. 🞘 How it works Step one: Calculate the dynamic mean (μ) The Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process describes how a variable, such as an asset's price, tends to revert to a long-term mean while subject to random fluctuations. In this indicator, the EWMA is used to compute the dynamic mean (μ), mimicking the mean-reverting behavior of the OU process. Use the EWMA formula to compute a weighted mean that adjusts to recent price movements. Assign exponentially decreasing weights to older data while giving more emphasis to current prices. Step two: Plot volatility bands Calculate the standard deviation of the price over a user-defined period to determine market volatility. Position the upper and lower bands around the mean by adding and subtracting a multiple of the standard deviation. 🞘 How to calculate Exponential Weighted Moving Average (EWMA)
The EWMA dynamically adjusts to recent price movements:
mu_t = lambda * mu_{t-1} + (1 - lambda) * P_t
Where mu_t is the mean at time t, lambda is the decay factor, and P_t is the price at time t. The higher the decay factor, the more weight is given to recent data.
Autocorrelation (ρ) and Standard Deviation (σ)
To measure mean reversion speed and volatility: rho = correlation(log(close), log(close ), length) Where rho is the autocorrelation of log returns over a specified period.
To calculate volatility:
sigma = stdev(close, length)
Where sigma is the standard deviation of the asset's closing price over a specified length.
Upper and Lower Bands
The upper and lower bands are calculated as follows:
upper_band = mu + (threshold * sigma)
lower_band = mu - (threshold * sigma)
Where threshold is a multiplier for the standard deviation, usually set to 2. These bands represent the range within which the price is expected to fluctuate, based on current volatility and the mean.
🞘 Code extract // Calculate Returns
returns = math.log(close / close )
// Calculate Long-Term Mean (μ) using EWMA over the entire dataset
var float ewma_mu = na // Initialize ewma_mu as 'na'
ewma_mu := na(ewma_mu ) ? close : decay_factor * ewma_mu + (1 - decay_factor) * close
mu = ewma_mu
// Calculate Autocorrelation at Lag 1
rho1 = ta.correlation(returns, returns , corr_length)
// Ensure rho1 is within valid range to avoid errors
rho1 := na(rho1) or rho1 <= 0 ? 0.0001 : rho1
// Calculate Speed of Mean Reversion (θ)
theta = -math.log(rho1)
// Calculate Volatility (σ)
sigma = ta.stdev(close, corr_length)
// Calculate Upper and Lower Bands
upper_band = mu + threshold * sigma
lower_band = mu - threshold * sigma
🔸Visualization via Table and Plotshapes
The table shows key statistics such as the current value of the dynamic mean (μ), the number of times the price has crossed the upper or lower bands, and the consecutive number of bars that the price has remained in an overbought or oversold state.
Plotshapes (diamonds) are used to signal buy and sell opportunities. A green diamond below the price suggests a buy signal when the price crosses below the lower band, and a red diamond above the price indicates a sell signal when the price crosses above the upper band.
The table and plotshapes provide a comprehensive visualization, combining both statistical and actionable information to aid decision-making.
🞘 Code extract // Reset consecutive_bars when price crosses the mean
var consecutive_bars = 0
if (close < mu and close >= mu) or (close > mu and close <= mu)
consecutive_bars := 0
else if math.abs(deviation) > 0
consecutive_bars := math.min(consecutive_bars + 1, dev_length)
transparency = math.max(0, math.min(100, 100 - (consecutive_bars * 100 / dev_length)))
🔶 INSTRUCTIONS
The Mean Reversion Cloud (Ornstein-Uhlenbeck) indicator can be set up by adding it to your TradingView chart and configuring parameters such as the decay factor, autocorrelation length, and volatility threshold to suit current market conditions. Look for price crossovers and deviations from the calculated mean for potential entry signals. Use the upper and lower bands as dynamic support/resistance levels for setting take profit and stop-loss orders. Combining this indicator with additional trend-following or momentum-based indicators can improve signal accuracy. Adjust settings for better mean-reversion detection and risk management.
🔸Step-by-Step Guidelines
🞘 Setting Up the Indicator
Adding the Indicator to the Chart:
Go to your TradingView chart.
Click on the "Indicators" button at the top.
Search for "Mean Reversion Cloud (Ornstein-Uhlenbeck)" in the indicators list.
Click on the indicator to add it to your chart.
Configuring the Indicator:
Open the indicator settings by clicking on the gear icon next to its name on the chart.
Decay Factor: Adjust the decay factor (λ) to control the responsiveness of the mean calculation. A higher value prioritizes recent data.
Autocorrelation Length: Set the autocorrelation length (θ) for calculating the speed of mean reversion. Longer lengths consider more historical data.
Threshold: Define the number of standard deviations for the upper and lower bands to determine how far price must deviate to trigger a signal.
Chart Setup:
Select the appropriate timeframe (e.g., 1-hour, daily) based on your trading strategy.
Consider using other indicators such as RSI or MACD to confirm buy and sell signals.
🞘 Understanding What to Look For on the Chart
Indicator Behavior:
Observe how the price interacts with the dynamic mean and volatility bands. The price staying within the bands suggests mean-reverting behavior, while crossing the bands signals potential entry points.
The indicator calculates overbought/oversold conditions based on deviation from the mean, highlighted by color-coded cloud areas on the chart.
Crossovers and Deviation:
Look for crossovers between the price and the mean (μ) or the bands. A bullish crossover occurs when the price crosses below the lower band, signaling a potential buying opportunity.
A bearish crossover occurs when the price crosses above the upper band, suggesting a potential sell signal.
Deviations from the mean indicate market extremes. A large deviation indicates that the price is far from the mean, suggesting a potential reversal.
Slope and Direction:
Pay attention to the slope of the mean (μ). A rising slope suggests bullish market conditions, while a declining slope signals a bearish market.
The steepness of the slope can indicate the strength of the mean-reversion trend.
🞘 Possible Entry Signals
Bullish Entry:
Crossover Entry: Enter a long position when the price crosses below the lower band with a positive deviation from the mean.
Confirmation Entry: Use additional indicators like RSI (above 50) or increasing volume to confirm the bullish signal.
Bearish Entry:
Crossover Entry: Enter a short position when the price crosses above the upper band with a negative deviation from the mean.
Confirmation Entry: Look for RSI (below 50) or decreasing volume to confirm the bearish signal.
Deviation Confirmation:
Enter trades when the deviation from the mean is significant, indicating that the price has strayed far from its expected value and is likely to revert.
🞘 Possible Take Profit Strategies
Static Take Profit Levels:
Set predefined take profit levels based on historical volatility, using the upper and lower bands as guides.
Place take profit orders near recent support/resistance levels, ensuring you're capitalizing on the mean-reversion behavior.
Trailing Stop Loss:
Use a trailing stop based on a percentage of the price deviation from the mean to lock in profits as the trend progresses.
Adjust the trailing stop dynamically along the calculated bands to protect profits as the price returns to the mean.
Deviation-Based Exits:
Exit when the deviation from the mean starts to decrease, signaling that the price is returning to its equilibrium.
🞘 Possible Stop-Loss Levels
Initial Stop Loss:
Place an initial stop loss outside the lower band (for long positions) or above the upper band (for short positions) to protect against excessive deviations.
Use a volatility-based buffer to avoid getting stopped out during normal price fluctuations.
Dynamic Stop Loss:
Move the stop loss closer to the mean as the price converges back towards equilibrium, reducing risk.
Adjust the stop loss dynamically along the bands to account for sudden market movements.
🞘 Additional Tips
Combine with Other Indicators:
Enhance your strategy by combining the Mean Reversion Cloud with momentum indicators like MACD, RSI, or Bollinger Bands to confirm market conditions.
Backtesting and Practice:
Backtest the indicator on historical data to understand how it performs in various market environments.
Practice using the indicator on a demo account before implementing it in live trading.
Market Awareness:
Keep an eye on market news and events that might cause extreme price movements. The indicator reacts to price data and might not account for news-driven events that can cause large deviations.
🔸Customize settings 🞘 Decay Factor (λ): Defines the weight assigned to recent price data in the calculation of the mean. A value closer to 1 places more emphasis on recent prices, while lower values create a smoother, more lagging mean.
🞘 Autocorrelation Length (θ): Sets the period for calculating the speed of mean reversion and volatility. Longer lengths capture more historical data, providing smoother calculations, while shorter lengths make the indicator more responsive.
🞘 Threshold (σ): Specifies the number of standard deviations used to create the upper and lower bands. Higher thresholds widen the bands, producing fewer signals, while lower thresholds tighten the bands for more frequent signals.
🞘 Max Gradient Length (γ): Determines the maximum number of consecutive bars for calculating the deviation gradient. This setting impacts the transparency of the plotted bands based on the length of deviation from the mean.
🔶 CONCLUSION
The Mean Reversion Cloud (Ornstein-Uhlenbeck) indicator offers a sophisticated approach to identifying mean-reversion opportunities by applying the Ornstein-Uhlenbeck stochastic process. This dynamic indicator calculates a responsive mean using an Exponentially Weighted Moving Average (EWMA) and plots volatility-based bands to highlight overbought and oversold conditions. By incorporating advanced statistical measures like autocorrelation and standard deviation, traders can better assess market extremes and potential reversals. The indicator’s ability to adapt to price behavior makes it a versatile tool for traders focused on both short-term price deviations and longer-term mean-reversion strategies. With its unique blend of statistical rigor and visual clarity, the Mean Reversion Cloud provides an invaluable tool for understanding and capitalizing on market inefficiencies.
MTF Squeeze Analyzer - [tradeviZion]MTF Squeeze Analyzer
Multi-Timeframe Squeeze Pro Analyzer Tool
Overview:
The MTF Squeeze Analyzer is a comprehensive tool designed to help traders monitor the TTM Squeeze indicator across multiple timeframes in a streamlined and efficient manner. Built with Pine Script™ version 5, this indicator enhances your market analysis by providing detailed insights into squeeze conditions and momentum shifts, enabling you to make more informed trading decisions.
Key Features:
1. Multi-Timeframe Monitoring:
Comprehensive Coverage: Track squeeze conditions across multiple timeframes, including 1-minute, 5-minute, 15-minute, 30-minute, 1-hour, 2-hour, 4-hour, and daily charts.
Squeeze Counts: Keep count of the number of consecutive bars the price has been within each squeeze level (low, mid, high), helping you assess the strength and duration of consolidation periods.
2. Dynamic Table Display:
Customizable Appearance: Adjust table position, text size, and colors to suit your preferences.
Color-Coded Indicators: Easily identify squeeze levels and momentum shifts with intuitive color schemes.
Message Integration: Features rotating messages to keep you engaged and informed.
3. Alerts for Key Market Events:
Squeeze Start and Fire Alerts: Receive notifications when a squeeze starts or fires on your selected timeframes.
Custom Squeeze Count Alerts: Set thresholds for squeeze counts and get alerted when these levels are reached, allowing you to anticipate potential breakouts.
Fully Customizable: Choose which alerts you want to receive and tailor them to your trading strategy.
4. Momentum Analysis:
Momentum Oscillator: Visualize momentum using a histogram that changes color based on momentum shifts.
Detailed Insights: Determine whether momentum is increasing or decreasing to make more strategic trading decisions.
How It Works:
The indicator is based on the TTM Squeeze concept, which identifies periods of low volatility where the market is "squeezing" before a potential breakout. It analyzes the relationship between Bollinger Bands and Keltner Channels to determine squeeze conditions and uses linear regression to calculate momentum.
1. Squeeze Levels:
No Squeeze (Green): Market is not in a squeeze.
Low Compression Squeeze (Gray): Mild consolidation, potential for a breakout.
Mid Compression Squeeze (Red): Moderate consolidation, higher breakout potential.
High Compression Squeeze (Orange): Strong consolidation, significant breakout potential.
2. Squeeze Counts:
Tracks the number of consecutive bars in each squeeze condition.
Helps identify how long the market has been consolidating, providing clues about potential breakout timing.
3. Momentum Histogram:
Upward Momentum: Shown in aqua or blue, indicating increasing or decreasing upward momentum.
Downward Momentum: Displayed in red or yellow, representing increasing or decreasing downward momentum.
Using Alerts:
Stay ahead of market movements with customizable alerts:
1. Enable Alerts in Settings:
Squeeze Start Alert: Get notified when a new squeeze begins.
Squeeze Fire Alert: Be alerted when a squeeze ends, signaling a potential breakout.
Squeeze Count Alert: Set a specific number of bars for a squeeze condition, and receive an alert when this count is reached.
2. Set Up Alerts on Your Chart:
Click on the indicator name and select " Add Alert on MTF Squeeze Analyzer ".
Choose your desired alert conditions and customize the notification settings.
Click " Create " to activate the alerts.
How to Set It Up:
1. Add the Indicator to Your Chart:
Search for " MTF Squeeze Analyzer " in the TradingView Indicators library.
Add it to your chart.
2. Customize Your Settings:
Table Display:
Choose whether to show the table and select its position on the chart.
Adjust text size and colors to enhance readability.
Timeframe Selection:
Select the timeframes you want to monitor.
Enable or disable specific timeframes based on your trading strategy.
Colors & Styles:
Customize colors for different squeeze levels and momentum shifts.
Adjust header and text colors to match your chart theme.
Alert Settings:
Enable alerts for squeeze start, squeeze fire, and squeeze counts.
Set your preferred squeeze type and count threshold for alerts.
3. Interpret the Data:
Table Information:
The table displays the squeeze status and counts for each selected timeframe.
Colors indicate the type of squeeze, making it easy to assess market conditions at a glance.
Momentum Histogram:
Use the histogram to gauge the strength and direction of market momentum.
Observe color changes to identify shifts in momentum.
Why Use MTF Squeeze Analyzer ?
Enhanced Market Insight:
Gain a deeper understanding of market dynamics by monitoring multiple timeframes simultaneously.
Identify potential breakout opportunities by analyzing squeeze durations and momentum shifts.
Customizable and User-Friendly:
Tailor the indicator to fit your trading style and preferences.
Easily adjust settings without needing to delve into the code.
Time-Efficient:
Save time by viewing all relevant squeeze information in one place.
Reduce the need to switch between different charts and timeframes.
Stay Informed with Alerts:
Never miss a critical market movement with fully customizable alerts.
Focus on other tasks while the indicator monitors the market for you.
Acknowledgment:
This tool builds upon the foundational work of John Carter , who developed the TTM Squeeze concept. It also incorporates enhancements from LazyBear and Makit0 , providing a more versatile and powerful indicator. MTF Squeeze Analyzer extends these concepts by adding multi-timeframe analysis, squeeze counting, and advanced alerting features, offering traders a comprehensive solution for market analysis.
Note: Always practice proper risk management and test the indicator thoroughly to ensure it aligns with your trading strategy. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Trade smarter with TradeVizion—unlock your trading potential today!
Bitcoin CME-Spot Z-Spread - Strategy [presentTrading]This time is a swing trading strategy! It measures the sentiment of the Bitcoin market through the spread of CME Bitcoin Futures and Bitfinex BTCUSD Spot prices. By applying Bollinger Bands to the spread, the strategy seeks to capture mean-reversion opportunities when prices deviate significantly from their historical norms
█ Introduction and How it is Different
The Bitcoin CME-Spot Bollinger Bands Strategy is designed to capture mean-reversion opportunities by exploiting the spread between CME Bitcoin Futures and Bitfinex BTCUSD Spot prices. The strategy uses Bollinger Bands to detect when the spread between these two correlated assets has deviated significantly from its historical norm, signaling potential overbought or oversold conditions.
What sets this strategy apart is its focus on spread trading between futures and spot markets rather than price-based indicators. By applying Bollinger Bands to the spread rather than individual prices, the strategy identifies price inefficiencies across markets, allowing traders to take advantage of the natural reversion to the mean that often occurs in these correlated assets.
BTCUSD 8hr Performance
█ Strategy, How It Works: Detailed Explanation
The strategy relies on Bollinger Bands to assess the volatility and relative deviation of the spread between CME Bitcoin Futures and Bitfinex BTCUSD Spot prices. Bollinger Bands consist of a moving average and two standard deviation bands, which help measure how much the spread deviates from its historical mean.
🔶 Spread Calculation:
The spread is calculated by subtracting the Bitfinex spot price from the CME Bitcoin futures price:
Spread = CME Price - Bitfinex Price
This spread represents the difference between the futures and spot markets, which may widen or narrow based on supply and demand dynamics in each market. By analyzing the spread, the strategy can detect when prices are too far apart (potentially overbought or oversold), indicating a trading opportunity.
🔶 Bollinger Bands Calculation:
The Bollinger Bands for the spread are calculated using a simple moving average (SMA) and the standard deviation of the spread over a defined period.
1. Moving Average (SMA):
The simple moving average of the spread (mu_S) over a specified period P is calculated as:
mu_S = (1/P) * sum(S_i from i=1 to P)
Where S_i represents the spread at time i, and P is the lookback period (default is 200 bars). The moving average provides a baseline for the normal spread behavior.
2. Standard Deviation:
The standard deviation (sigma_S) of the spread is calculated to measure the volatility of the spread:
sigma_S = sqrt((1/P) * sum((S_i - mu_S)^2 from i=1 to P))
3. Upper and Lower Bollinger Bands:
The upper and lower Bollinger Bands are derived by adding and subtracting a multiple of the standard deviation from the moving average. The number of standard deviations is determined by a user-defined parameter k (default is 2.618).
- Upper Band:
Upper Band = mu_S + (k * sigma_S)
- Lower Band:
Lower Band = mu_S - (k * sigma_S)
These bands provide a dynamic range within which the spread typically fluctuates. When the spread moves outside of these bands, it is considered overbought or oversold, potentially offering trading opportunities.
Local view
🔶 Entry Conditions:
- Long Entry: A long position is triggered when the spread crosses below the lower Bollinger Band, indicating that the spread has become oversold and is likely to revert upward.
Spread < Lower Band
- Short Entry: A short position is triggered when the spread crosses above the upper Bollinger Band, indicating that the spread has become overbought and is likely to revert downward.
Spread > Upper Band
🔶 Risk Management and Profit-Taking:
The strategy incorporates multi-step take profits to lock in gains as the trade moves in favor. The position is gradually reduced at predefined profit levels, reducing risk while allowing part of the trade to continue running if the price keeps moving favorably.
Additionally, the strategy uses a hold period exit mechanism. If the trade does not hit any of the take-profit levels within a certain number of bars, the position is closed automatically to avoid excessive exposure to market risks.
█ Trade Direction
The trade direction is based on deviations of the spread from its historical norm:
- Long Trade: The strategy enters a long position when the spread crosses below the lower Bollinger Band, signaling an oversold condition where the spread is expected to narrow.
- Short Trade: The strategy enters a short position when the spread crosses above the upper Bollinger Band, signaling an overbought condition where the spread is expected to widen.
These entries rely on the assumption of mean reversion, where extreme deviations from the average spread are likely to revert over time.
█ Usage
The Bitcoin CME-Spot Bollinger Bands Strategy is ideal for traders looking to capitalize on price inefficiencies between Bitcoin futures and spot markets. It’s especially useful in volatile markets where large deviations between futures and spot prices occur.
- Market Conditions: This strategy is most effective in correlated markets, like CME futures and spot Bitcoin. Traders can adjust the Bollinger Bands period and standard deviation multiplier to suit different volatility regimes.
- Backtesting: Before deployment, backtesting the strategy across different market conditions and timeframes is recommended to ensure robustness. Adjust the take-profit steps and hold periods to reflect the trader’s risk tolerance and market behavior.
█ Default Settings
The default settings provide a balanced approach to spread trading using Bollinger Bands but can be adjusted depending on market conditions or personal trading preferences.
🔶 Bollinger Bands Period (200 bars):
This defines the number of bars used to calculate the moving average and standard deviation for the Bollinger Bands. A longer period smooths out short-term fluctuations and focuses on larger, more significant trends. Adjusting the period affects the responsiveness of the strategy:
- Shorter periods (e.g., 100 bars): Makes the strategy more reactive to short-term market fluctuations, potentially generating more signals but increasing the risk of false positives.
- Longer periods (e.g., 300 bars): Focuses on longer-term trends, reducing the frequency of trades and focusing only on significant deviations.
🔶 Standard Deviation Multiplier (2.618):
The multiplier controls how wide the Bollinger Bands are around the moving average. By default, the bands are set at 2.618 standard deviations away from the average, ensuring that only significant deviations trigger trades.
- Higher multipliers (e.g., 3.0): Require a more extreme deviation to trigger trades, reducing trade frequency but potentially increasing the accuracy of signals.
- Lower multipliers (e.g., 2.0): Make the bands narrower, increasing the number of trade signals but potentially decreasing their reliability.
🔶 Take-Profit Levels:
The strategy has four take-profit levels to gradually lock in profits:
- Level 1 (3%): 25% of the position is closed at a 3% profit.
- Level 2 (8%): 20% of the position is closed at an 8% profit.
- Level 3 (14%): 15% of the position is closed at a 14% profit.
- Level 4 (21%): 10% of the position is closed at a 21% profit.
Adjusting these take-profit levels affects how quickly profits are realized:
- Lower take-profit levels: Capture gains more quickly, reducing risk but potentially cutting off larger profits.
- Higher take-profit levels: Let trades run longer, aiming for bigger gains but increasing the risk of price reversals before profits are locked in.
🔶 Hold Days (20 bars):
The strategy automatically closes the position after 20 bars if none of the take-profit levels are hit. This feature prevents trades from being held indefinitely, especially if market conditions are stagnant. Adjusting this:
- Shorter hold periods: Reduce the duration of exposure, minimizing risks from market changes but potentially closing trades too early.
- Longer hold periods: Allow trades to stay open longer, increasing the chance for mean reversion but also increasing exposure to unfavorable market conditions.
By understanding how these default settings affect the strategy’s performance, traders can optimize the Bitcoin CME-Spot Bollinger Bands Strategy to their preferences, adapting it to different market environments and risk tolerances.
MTF SqzMom [tradeviZion]Credits:
John Carter for creating the TTM Squeeze and TTM Squeeze Pro.
Lazybear for the original interpretation of the TTM Squeeze: Squeeze Momentum Indicator.
Makit0 for evolving Lazybear's script by incorporating TTM Squeeze Pro upgrades – Squeeze PRO Arrows.
MTF SqzMom - Multi-Timeframe Squeeze & Momentum Tool
MTF SqzMom is a tool designed to help traders easily monitor squeeze and momentum signals across multiple timeframes in a simple, organized format. Built using Pine Script 5, it ensures that data remains consistent, even when switching between different time intervals on the chart.
Key Features:
Multi-Timeframe Monitoring: Track squeeze and momentum signals across various timeframes, all in one view. This includes key timeframes like 1-minute, 5-minute, hourly, and daily.
Dynamic Table Display: A color-coded table that automatically adjusts based on the selected timeframes, offering a clear view of market conditions.
Alerts for Key Market Events: Get notifications when a squeeze starts or fires across your chosen timeframes, so you can stay informed without needing to monitor the chart continuously.
Customizable Appearance: Tailor the look of the table by selecting colors for squeeze levels and momentum shifts, and choose the best position on your chart for easy access.
How It Works:
MTF SqzMom is based on the concept of the squeeze, which signals periods of lower volatility where price breakouts may occur. The tool tracks this by monitoring the contraction of Bollinger Bands within Keltner Channels. Along with this, it provides momentum analysis to help you gauge the potential direction of the market after a squeeze.
Squeeze Conditions: The script tracks four levels of squeeze conditions (no squeeze, low, mid, and high), each represented by a different color in the table.
Momentum Analysis: Momentum is visually represented by colors indicating four stages: up increasing, up decreasing, down increasing, and down decreasing. This color coding helps you quickly assess whether the market is gaining or losing momentum.
Using Alerts:
You can enable two types of alerts: when a squeeze starts (indicating consolidation) and when a squeeze fires (indicating a breakout). These alerts cover all timeframes you’ve selected, so you never miss important signals.
How to Set It Up:
1. Enable Alerts in Settings: Turn on "Alert for Squeeze Start" and "Alert for Squeeze Fire" in the settings.
2. Add Alerts to Your Chart:
Click the three dots next to the indicator name.
Select "Add alert on tradeviZion - MTF SqzMom."
3. Customize and Save: Adjust alert options, choose your notification type, and click "Create."
Why Use MTF SqzMom ?
Consistent Data: The tool ensures that squeeze and momentum data remain consistent, even when you switch between chart intervals.
Real-Time Alerts: Stay updated with alerts for squeeze conditions without needing to constantly watch the chart.
Simple to Use, Customizable to Fit: You can easily adjust the table’s look and choose the timeframes and colors that best suit your trading style.
Acknowledgment:
While this tool builds on the TTM Squeeze concept developed by John Carter of Simpler Trading, it offers added flexibility through multi-timeframe analysis, alerts, and customizability to make monitoring market conditions more accessible.
TechniTrend: Dynamic Local Fibonacci LevelsTechniTrend: Dynamic Local Fibonacci Levels
Description: The "Dynamic Local Fibonacci Levels" indicator dynamically displays Fibonacci levels only when the market is experiencing significant volatility. By detecting volatile price movements, this tool helps traders focus on Fibonacci retracement levels that are most relevant during high market activity, reducing noise from calm market periods.
Key Features:
Adaptive Fibonacci Levels: The indicator calculates and plots Fibonacci levels (from 0 to 1) only during periods of high volatility. This helps traders focus on actionable levels during significant price swings.
Customizable Chart Type: Users can choose between Candlestick charts (including shadows) or Line charts (excluding shadows) to determine the high and low price points for Fibonacci level calculations.
Volatility-Based Detection: The Average True Range (ATR) is used to detect significant volatility. Traders can adjust the ATR multiplier to fine-tune the sensitivity of the indicator to price movements.
Fully Customizable Fibonacci Levels: Traders can modify the default Fibonacci levels according to their preferences or trading strategies.
Real-Time Volatility Confirmation: Fibonacci levels are displayed only if the price range between the local high and low exceeds a user-defined volatility threshold, ensuring that these levels are only plotted when the market is truly volatile.
Customization Options:
Chart Type: Select between "Candles (Includes Shadows)" and "Line (Excludes Shadows)" for detecting price highs and lows.
Length for High/Low Detection: Choose the period for detecting the highest and lowest price in the given time frame.
ATR Multiplier for Volatility Detection: Adjust the sensitivity of the volatility threshold by setting the ATR multiplier.
Fibonacci Levels: Customize the specific Fibonacci levels to be displayed, from 0 to 1.
Usage Tips:
Focus on Key Levels During Volatility: This indicator is best suited for periods of high volatility. It can help traders identify potential support and resistance levels that may be more significant in turbulent markets.
Adjust ATR Multiplier: Depending on the asset you're trading, you might want to fine-tune the ATR multiplier to better suit the market conditions and volatility.
Recommended Settings:
ATR Multiplier: 1.5
Fibonacci Levels: Default levels set to 0.00, 0.114, 0.236, 0.382, 0.5, 0.618, 0.786, and 1.0
Length for High/Low Detection: 55
Use this indicator to detect key Fibonacci retracement levels in volatile market conditions and make more informed trading decisions based on price dynamics and volatility.
TechniTrend: Strong Candles DetectorTechniTrend: Strong Candles Detector
Description:
The TechniTrend: Strong Candles Detector indicator is designed to identify strong candlestick patterns based on customizable thresholds of candle strength, volume, and price volatility. By detecting significant candles that have a high proportion of body relative to total range, the indicator helps traders identify potential shifts in market direction, making it a useful tool for trend analysis and reversal spotting.
Key Features:
Candle Strength Detection: The indicator calculates the strength of a candle based on the ratio of its body (difference between open and close) to its total range (high minus low). If the body size exceeds a user-defined threshold, the candle is flagged as strong. This helps traders quickly identify key candles that may signal market movements.
Volume Confirmation (Optional): An optional volume confirmation allows the indicator to only flag candles as "strong" if the trading volume during the candle exceeds the average volume over a customizable period. This can help validate that a candle’s movement is backed by significant market participation.
Volatility Body Confirmation (Optional): Users can further refine the detection by requiring that the body of a strong candle exceed the average body size (volatility) of previous candles. This ensures that candles with greater price movement are prioritized.
Customizable Inputs:
Strength Threshold: Defines the minimum ratio of body to total range for a candle to be considered strong.
Moving Average Type: Choose from SMA, EMA, or WMA for calculating the moving average of volume or body volatility.
Volume and Body Confirmation: Adjust the percentage thresholds for the difference between the current volume/body size and their average values.
Visual Alerts: The indicator marks strong bullish candles with green upward labels below the candle, and strong bearish candles with red downward labels above the candle. Additionally, strong candles can be highlighted with a customizable background color for easier visualization.
How It Works:
Strength Ratio:
The core of this indicator is the calculation of the strength ratio, which is defined as the body size (open-close) divided by the total range (high-low). If the body size is larger relative to the total range and exceeds the user-defined threshold, the candle is flagged as strong.
Volume and Volatility Confirmation:
For traders seeking additional confirmation, the indicator can be configured to only mark candles if the current volume or body volatility exceeds the average by a user-defined percentage. These confirmations can be toggled on or off to suit different trading strategies.
Customization Options:
Strength Threshold (0-1):
Sets the minimum strength required for a candle to be flagged. A higher value will result in fewer but more significant candles being marked.
Volume Confirmation:
Toggle on to require a higher volume compared to the average volume for a candle to be confirmed as strong.
Volatility Body Confirmation:
Toggle on to require a larger candle body compared to the average body size for further confirmation.
Candle Color:
Choose the background color used to highlight strong candles.
Recommended Settings:
Strength Threshold: 0.7 (for a good balance between body and range)
Volume Difference: 0.05 (5% above the average volume)
Body Volatility Difference: 0.05 (5% above the average body size)
Length: 14 (for volume and volatility moving averages)
Conclusion: The TechniTrend: Strong Candles Detector is an easy-to-use yet powerful tool for traders who want to identify key candles that signal potential market trends. Its customizable settings allow for fine-tuning to fit different trading styles, whether looking for high-volume breakouts or significant price movements. The indicator offers both a visual and configurable alert system to help traders make more informed decisions.
Sigma 2.0 - Advanced Buy and Sell Signal IndicatorOverview:
Sigma 2.0 is a sophisticated trading indicator designed to help traders identify potential buy and sell opportunities across various financial markets. By leveraging advanced mathematical calculations and incorporating multiple analytical tools, Sigma 2.0 aims to enhance trading strategies by providing precise entry and exit signals.
Key Features:
Advanced Sigma Calculations:
Utilizes a combination of Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) and price deviations to calculate the Sigma lines (sigma1 and sigma2).
Detects potential trend reversals through the crossover of these Sigma lines.
Customizable Signal Filtering:
Offers the ability to filter buy and sell signals based on user-defined thresholds.
Helps reduce false signals in volatile markets by setting overbought and oversold levels.
Overbought and Oversold Detection:
Identifies extreme market conditions where price reversals are more likely.
Changes the background color of the chart to visually indicate overbought or oversold states.
Integration of Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs):
Includes EMAs of different lengths (10, 21, 55, 200) to assist in identifying market trends.
EMAs act as dynamic support and resistance levels.
Higher Timeframe Signal Incorporation:
Allows users to include signals from a higher timeframe to align trades with the broader market trend.
Enhances the reliability of signals by considering multiple timeframes.
Custom Alerts:
Provides alert conditions for both buy and sell signals.
Enables traders to receive notifications, ensuring timely decision-making.
How It Works:
Sigma Calculation Methodology:
The indicator calculates an average price (ap) and applies EMAs to derive the Sigma lines.
sigma1 represents the smoothed price deviation, while sigma2 is a moving average of sigma1.
A crossover of sigma1 above sigma2 generates a buy signal, indicating potential upward momentum.
Conversely, a crossover of sigma1 below sigma2 generates a sell signal.
Signal Filtering and Thresholds:
Users can enable filtering to only consider signals when sigma1 is below or above certain thresholds.
This helps in focusing on more significant market movements and reducing noise.
Overbought/Oversold Levels:
The indicator monitors sigma1 to detect when the market is in extreme conditions.
Background color changes provide a quick visual cue for these conditions.
EMA Analysis:
The plotted EMAs help in confirming the trend direction.
They can be used alongside Sigma signals to validate trade entries and exits.
Higher Timeframe Signals:
Incorporates signals from a user-selected higher timeframe.
Helps in aligning trades with the overall market trend, increasing the potential success rate.
How to Use:
Adding the Indicator to Your Chart:
Search for "Sigma 2.0" in the TradingView Indicators menu and add it to your chart.
Configuring the Settings:
Adjust the Sigma configurations (Channel Length, Average Length, Signal Line Length) to suit your trading style.
Set the overbought and oversold levels according to your risk tolerance.
Choose whether to filter signals by thresholds.
Select the higher timeframe for additional signal confirmation.
Interpreting the Signals:
Buy Signals:
Indicated by a green triangle below the price bar.
Occur when sigma1 crosses above sigma2 and other conditions are met.
Sell Signals:
Indicated by a red triangle above the price bar.
Occur when sigma1 crosses below sigma2 and other conditions are met.
Higher Timeframe Signals:
Plotted with lime (buy) and maroon (sell) triangles.
Help confirm signals in the current timeframe.
Utilizing EMAs:
Observe the EMAs to gauge the overall trend.
Consider aligning buy signals when the price is above key EMAs and sell signals when below.
Setting Up Alerts:
Use the built-in alert conditions to receive notifications for buy and sell signals.
Customize alert messages as needed.
Credits:
Original Concept Inspiration:
This indicator is inspired by the WaveTrend oscillator and other momentum-based indicators.
Special thanks to the original authors whose work laid the foundation for this enhanced version.
Disclaimer:
Trading involves significant risk, and past performance is not indicative of future results.
This indicator is a tool to assist in analysis and should not be the sole basis for any trading decision.
Always perform thorough analysis and consider multiple factors before entering a trade.
Note:
Ensure your chart is clean and only includes this indicator when publishing.
The script is open-source and can be modified to fit individual trading strategies.
For any questions or support, feel free to reach out or comment.
Hyperbolic Tangent Volatility Stop [InvestorUnknown]The Hyperbolic Tangent Volatility Stop (HTVS) is an advanced technical analysis tool that combines the smoothing capabilities of the Hyperbolic Tangent Moving Average (HTMA) with a volatility-based stop mechanism. This indicator is designed to identify trends and reversals while accounting for market volatility.
Hyperbolic Tangent Moving Average (HTMA):
The HTMA is at the heart of the HTVS. This custom moving average uses a hyperbolic tangent transformation to smooth out price fluctuations, focusing on significant trends while ignoring minor noise. The transformation reduces the sensitivity to sharp price movements, providing a clearer view of the underlying market direction.
The hyperbolic tangent function (tanh) is commonly used in mathematical fields like calculus, machine learning and signal processing due to its properties of “squashing” inputs into a range between -1 and 1. The function provides a non-linear transformation that can reduce the impact of extreme values while retaining a certain level of smoothness.
tanh(x) =>
e_x = math.exp(x)
e_neg_x = math.exp(-x)
(e_x - e_neg_x) / (e_x + e_neg_x)
The HTMA is calculated by applying a non-linear transformation to the difference between the source price and its simple moving average, then adjusting it using the standard deviation of the price data. The result is a moving average that better tracks the real market direction.
htma(src, len, mul) =>
tanh_src = tanh((src - ta.sma(src, len)) * mul) * ta.stdev(src, len) + ta.sma(src, len)
htma = ta.sma(tanh_src, len)
Important Note: The Hyperbolic Tangent function becomes less accurate with very high prices. For assets priced above 100,000, the results may deteriorate, and for prices exceeding 1 million, the function may stop functioning properly. Therefore, this indicator is better suited for assets with lower prices or lower price ratios.
Volatility Stop (VolStop):
HTVS employs a Volatility Stop mechanism based on the Average True Range (ATR). This stop dynamically adjusts based on market volatility, ensuring that the indicator adapts to changing conditions and avoids false signals in choppy markets.
The VolStop follows the price, with a higher ATR pushing the stop farther away to avoid premature exits during volatile periods. Conversely, when volatility is low, the stop tightens to lock in profits as the trend progresses.
The ATR Length and ATR Multiplier are customizable, allowing traders to control how tightly or loosely the stop follows the price.
pine_volStop(src, atrlen, atrfactor) =>
if not na(src)
var max = src
var min = src
var uptrend = true
var float stop = na
atrM = nz(ta.atr(atrlen) * atrfactor, ta.tr)
max := math.max(max, src)
min := math.min(min, src)
stop := nz(uptrend ? math.max(stop, max - atrM) : math.min(stop, min + atrM), src)
uptrend := src - stop >= 0.0
if uptrend != nz(uptrend , true)
max := src
min := src
stop := uptrend ? max - atrM : min + atrM
Backtest Mode:
HTVS includes a built-in backtest mode, allowing traders to evaluate the indicator's performance on historical data. In backtest mode, it calculates the cumulative equity curve and compares it to a simple buy and hold strategy.
Backtesting features can be adjusted to focus on specific signal types, such as Long Only, Short Only, or Long & Short.
An optional Buy and Hold Equity plot provides insight into how the indicator performs relative to simply holding the asset over time.
The indicator includes a Hints Table, which provides useful recommendations on how to best display the indicator for different use cases. For example, when using the overlay mode, it suggests displaying the indicator in the same pane as price action, while backtest mode is recommended to be used in a separate pane for better clarity.
The Hyperbolic Tangent Volatility Stop offers traders a balanced approach to trend-following, using the robustness of the HTMA for smoothing and the adaptability of the Volatility Stop to avoid whipsaw trades during volatile periods. With its backtesting features and alert system, this indicator provides a comprehensive toolkit for active traders.
Multi-Step FlexiSuperTrend - Indicator [presentTrading]This version of the indicator is built upon the foundation of a strategy version published earlier. However, this indicator version focuses on providing visual insights and alerts for traders, rather than executing trades. This one is mostly for @thorcmt.
█ Introduction and How it is Different
The **Multi-Step FlexiSuperTrend Indicator** is a versatile tool designed to provide traders with a highly customizable and flexible approach to trend analysis. Unlike traditional supertrend indicators, which focus on a single factor or threshold, the **FlexiSuperTrend** allows users to define multiple levels of take-profit targets and incorporate different trend normalization methods.
It comes with several advanced customization features, including multi-step take profits, deviation plotting, and trend normalization, making it suitable for both novice and expert traders.
BTCUSD 6hr Performance
█ Strategy, How It Works: Detailed Explanation
The **Multi-Step FlexiSuperTrend** works by calculating a supertrend based on multiple factors and incorporating oscillations from trend deviations. Here’s a breakdown of how it functions:
🔶 SuperTrend Calculation
At the heart of the indicator is the SuperTrend formula, which dynamically adjusts based on price movements.
🔶 Normalization of Deviations
To enhance accuracy, the **FlexiSuperTrend** calculates multiple deviations from the trend and normalizes them.
🔶 Multi-Step Take Profit Levels
The indicator allows setting up to three take profit levels, which are displayed via price level alerts. lows traders to exit part of their position at various profit intervals.
For more detail, please check the strategy version - Multi-Step-FlexiSuperTrend-Strategy:
and 'FlexiSuperTrend-Strategy'
█ Trade Direction
The **Multi-Step FlexiSuperTrend Indicator** supports both long and short trade directions.
This flexibility allows traders to adapt to trending, volatile, or sideways markets.
█ Usage
To use the **FlexiSuperTrend Indicator**, traders can set up their preferences for the following key features:
- **Trading Direction**: Choose whether to focus on long, short, or both signals.
- **Indicator Source**: The price source to calculate the trend (e.g., close, hl2).
- **Indicator Length**: The number of periods to calculate the ATR and trend (the larger the value, the smoother the trend).
- **Starting and Increment Factor**: These adjust how reactive the trend is to price movements. The starting factor dictates how far the initial trend band is from the price, and the increment factor adjusts subsequent trend deviations.
The indicator then displays buy and sell signals on the chart, along with alerts for each take-profit level.
Local picture
█ Default Settings
The default settings of the **Multi-Step FlexiSuperTrend** are carefully designed to provide an optimal balance between sensitivity and accuracy. Let’s examine these default parameters and their effect on performance:
🔶 Indicator Length (Default: 10)
The **Indicator Length** determines the lookback period for the ATR calculation. A smaller value makes the indicator more reactive to price changes, but may generate more false signals. A longer length smooths the trend and reduces noise but may delay signals.
Effect on performance: Shorter lengths perform better in volatile markets, while longer lengths excel in trending markets.
🔶 Starting Factor (Default: 0.618)
This factor adjusts the starting distance of the SuperTrend from the current price. The smaller the starting factor, the closer the trend is to the price, making it more sensitive. Conversely, a larger factor allows more distance, reducing sensitivity but filtering out false signals.
Effect on performance: A smaller factor provides quicker signals but can lead to frequent false positives. A larger factor generates fewer but more reliable signals.
🔶 Increment Factor (Default: 0.382)
The **Increment Factor** controls how the trend bands adjust as the price moves. It increases the distance of the bands from the price with each iteration.
Effect on performance: A higher increment factor can result in wider stop-loss or trend reversal bands, allowing for longer trends to develop without frequent exits. A lower factor keeps the bands closer to the price and is more suited for shorter-term trades.
🔶 Take Profit Levels (Default: 2%, 8%, 18%)
The default take-profit levels are set at 2%, 8%, and 18%. These values represent the thresholds at which the trader can partially exit their positions. These multi-step levels are highly customizable depending on the trader’s risk tolerance and strategy.
Effect on performance: Lower take-profit levels (e.g., 2%) capture small, quick profits in volatile markets, while higher levels (8%-18%) allow for a more gradual exit in strong trends.
🔶 Normalization Method (Default: None)
The default normalization method is **None**, meaning the deviations are not normalized. However, enabling normalization (e.g., **Max-Min**) can improve the clarity of the indicator’s signals in volatile or choppy markets by smoothing out the noise.
Effect on performance: Using a normalization method can reduce the effect of extreme deviations, making signals more stable and less prone to false positives.
Trend CCITrend CCI (TCCI) Indicator
Description:
The Trend CCI (TCCI) indicator is a unique combination of the Commodity Channel Index (CCI) and the Average True Range (ATR), designed to identify trends and market reversals with a refined sensitivity to price volatility. The indicator plots the CCI, adjusted by an ATR filter, and color-codes the trendline to signal uptrends and downtrends.
How It Works:
This indicator uses the CCI to measure price momentum and an ATR-based filter to smooth out market noise, making it easier to detect significant shifts in the market trend. Key parameters such as the ATR Period, ATR Multiplier, and CCI Period have been carefully chosen to optimize the indicator's performance:
1. ATR Period (default: 18)
The ATR Period determines the number of periods used to calculate the **Average True Range**, which reflects market volatility. In this case, an **ATR Period of 18** has been selected for several reasons:
Balance between responsiveness and noise reduction : A period of 18 strikes a balance between being responsive to recent price movements and filtering out minor fluctuations. Shorter ATR periods might be too reactive, creating false signals, while longer periods might miss shorter-term trends.
Adaptable to various market conditions : An 18-period ATR is suitable for both intraday and swing trading strategies, making it versatile across different time frames.
Standard industry practice : Many traders use ATR settings between 14 and 20 periods as a convention for detecting reliable volatility levels.
2. ATR Multiplier (default: 1.5)
The ATR Multiplier is applied to the ATR value to define how sensitive the indicator is to volatility. In this case, a multiplier of 1.5 has been chosen:
Avoiding whipsaws in low volatility markets: By setting the multiplier to 1.5, the indicator filters out smaller, less significant price movements, reducing the likelihood of whipsaw signals (i.e., false trend reversals during periods of low volatility).
Optimizing signal accuracy: A moderate multiplier like 1.5 ensures that the indicator only generates signals when the price moves a significant distance from the average range. Higher multipliers (e.g., 2.0) may ignore valid opportunities, while lower multipliers (e.g., 1.0) might create too many signals.
Enhancing trend clarity : The multiplier’s role in widening the range allows the indicator to respond more clearly during periods of strong trends, reducing signal noise and false positives.
3. CCI Period (default: 63)
The CCI Period defines the number of periods used to calculate the Commodity Channel Index. A 63-period CCI is selected based on the following considerations:
Smoothing the momentum calculation: A longer period, such as 63, is used to smooth out the CCI and reduce the effects of short-term price fluctuations. This period captures longer-term momentum, making it ideal for identifying more significant market trends.
-Filtering out short-term noise: While shorter CCI periods (e.g., 14 or 20) may be more reactive, they tend to produce more signals, some of which may be false. A 63-period CCI focuses on stronger and more sustained price movements, providing fewer but higher-quality signals.
Adapted to intermediate trading: A 63-period CCI aligns well with traders looking for medium-term trend-following strategies, striking a balance between long-term trend identification and responsiveness to significant price shifts.
How to Use:
Green Area: When the trendline turns green, it signals that the CCI is positive, reflecting upward momentum. This can be interpreted as a buy signal, indicating the potential for long positions or continuing bullish trades.
Red Area: When the trendline turns red, it signals that the CCI is negative, reflecting downward momentum. This can be interpreted as a sell signal, indicating potential short positions or bearish trades.
ATR Filter: The ATR helps reduce false signals by ignoring minor price movements. Traders can adjust the ATR Multiplier to make the indicator more or less sensitive based on market conditions. A lower multiplier (e.g., 1.2) may increase signal frequency, while a higher multiplier (e.g., 2.0) reduces it.
Originality:
The Trend CCI (TCCI) stands out due to its combination of the CCI and ATR. While many indicators simply plot raw CCI values, this script enhances the CCI’s effectiveness by incorporating an ATR-based volatility filter. This ensures that only significant trends trigger signals, making it a more reliable tool in volatile markets. The choice of the ATR period, multiplier, and CCI period ensures a refined balance between trend detection and noise reduction, distinguishing it as a powerful trend-following indicator.
Additionally, the visual aspect—using color-coded trendlines that dynamically shift between green and red—simplifies the interpretation of market trends, offering traders a clear and immediate understanding of trend direction and momentum strength.
Final Recommendations:
Use in Trending Markets The TCCI is most effective in trending markets, where its signals align with broader market momentum. In sideways or low-volatility markets, consider adjusting the ATR multiplier or using other complementary indicators to confirm the signals.
Risk Management: Always integrate robust risk management practices, such as using stop-loss orders and position sizing, to protect against sudden market reversals or periods of heightened volatility.
Adjust for Volatility: Consider the volatility of the asset being traded. In highly volatile assets, a higher ATR multiplier (e.g., 2.0) may be necessary to filter out noise, while in more stable assets, a lower multiplier (e.g., 1.2) might generate earlier signals.
By using the Trend CCI (TCCI) indicator with a deeper understanding of its key parameters, traders can better identify trends, reduce noise, and improve their overall decision-making in the markets.
Good Profits!
Uptrick: Market MoodsThe "Uptrick: Market Moods" indicator is an advanced technical analysis tool designed for the TradingView platform. It combines three powerful indicators—Relative Strength Index (RSI), Average True Range (ATR), and Bollinger Bands—into one cohesive framework, aimed at helping traders better understand and interpret market sentiment. By capturing shifts in the emotional climate of the market, it provides a holistic view of market conditions, which can range from calm to stressed or even highly excited. This multi-dimensional analysis tool stands apart from traditional single-indicator approaches by offering a more complete picture of market dynamics, making it a valuable resource for traders looking to anticipate and react to changes in market behavior.
The RSI in the "Uptrick: Market Moods" indicator is used to measure momentum. RSI is an essential component of many technical analysis strategies, and in this tool, it is used to identify potential market extremes. When RSI values are high, they indicate an overbought condition, meaning the market may be approaching a peak. Conversely, low RSI values suggest an oversold condition, signaling that the market could be nearing a bottom. These extremes provide crucial clues about shifts in market sentiment, helping traders gauge whether the current emotional state of the market is likely to result in a reversal. This understanding is pivotal in predicting whether the market is transitioning from calm to stressed or from excited to overbought.
The Average True Range adds another layer to this analysis by offering insights into market volatility. Volatility is a key factor in understanding the mood of the market, as periods of high volatility often reflect high levels of excitement or stress, while low volatility typically indicates a calm, steady market. ATR is calculated based on the range of price movements over a given period, and the higher the value, the more volatile the market is. The "Uptrick: Market Moods" indicator uses ATR to dynamically gauge volatility levels, helping traders understand whether the market is currently moving in a way that aligns with its emotional mood. For example, an increase in ATR accompanied by an RSI value that indicates overbought conditions could suggest that the market is in a highly excited state, with the potential for either strong momentum continuation or a sharp reversal.
Bollinger Bands complement these tools by providing visual cues about price volatility and the range within which the market is likely to move. Bollinger Bands plot two standard deviations away from a simple moving average of the price. This banding technique helps traders visualize how far the price is likely to deviate from its average over a certain period. The "Uptrick: Market Moods" indicator uses Bollinger Bands to establish price boundaries and identify breakout conditions. When prices break above the upper band or below the lower band, it often signals that the market is either highly stressed or excited. This breakout condition serves as a visual representation of the market mood, alerting traders to moments when prices are moving beyond typical ranges and when significant emotional shifts are occurring in the market.
Technically, the "Uptrick: Market Moods" indicator has been developed using TradingView’s Pine Script language, a highly efficient language for building custom indicators. It employs functions like ta.rsi, ta.atr, and ta.sma to perform the necessary calculations. The use of these built-in functions ensures that the calculations are both accurate and efficient, allowing the indicator to operate in real-time without lagging, even in volatile market conditions. The ta.rsi function is used to compute the Relative Strength Index, while ta.atr calculates the Average True Range, and ta.sma is used to smooth out price data for the Bollinger Bands. These functions are applied dynamically within the script, allowing the "Uptrick: Market Moods" indicator to respond to changes in market conditions in real time.
The user interface of the "Uptrick: Market Moods" indicator is designed to provide a visually intuitive experience. The market mood is color-coded on the chart, making it easy for traders to identify whether the market is calm, stressed, or excited at a glance. This feature is especially useful for traders who need to make quick decisions in fast-moving markets. Additionally, the indicator includes an interactive table that updates in real-time, showing the most recent mood state and its frequency. This provides valuable statistical insights into market behavior over specific time frames, helping traders track the dominant emotional state of the market. Whether the market is in a prolonged calm state or rapidly transitioning through moods, this real-time feedback offers actionable data that can help traders adjust their strategies accordingly.
The RSI component of the "Uptrick: Market Moods" indicator helps detect the speed and direction of price movements, offering insight into whether the market is approaching extreme conditions. By providing signals based on overbought and oversold levels, the RSI helps traders decide whether to enter or exit positions. The ATR element acts as a volatility gauge, dynamically adjusting traders’ expectations in response to changes in market volatility. Meanwhile, the Bollinger Bands help identify trends and potential breakout conditions, serving as an additional confirmation tool that highlights when the price has moved beyond normal boundaries, indicating heightened market excitement or stress.
Despite the robust capabilities of the "Uptrick: Market Moods" indicator, it does have limitations. In markets affected by sudden shifts, such as those driven by major news events or external economic factors, the indicator’s performance may not always be reliable. These external factors can cause rapid mood swings that are difficult for any technical analysis tool to fully anticipate. Additionally, the indicator’s complexity may pose a learning curve for novice traders, particularly those who are unfamiliar with the concepts of RSI, ATR, and Bollinger Bands. However, with practice, traders can become proficient in using the tool to its full potential, leveraging the insights it provides to better navigate market shifts.
For traders seeking a deeper understanding of market sentiment, the "Uptrick: Market Moods" indicator is an invaluable resource. It is recommended for those dealing with medium to high volatility instruments, where understanding emotional shifts can offer a strategic advantage. While it can be used on its own, integrating it with other forms of analysis, such as fundamental analysis and additional technical indicators, can enhance its effectiveness. By confirming signals with other tools, traders can reduce the likelihood of false signals and improve their overall trading strategy.
To further enhance the accuracy of the "Uptrick: Market Moods" indicator, it can be integrated with volume-based tools like Volume Profile or On-Balance Volume (OBV). This combination allows traders to confirm the moods identified by the indicator with volume data, providing additional confirmation of market sentiment. For example, when the market is in an excited mood, an increase in trading volume could reinforce the reliability of that signal. Conversely, if the market is stressed but volume remains low, traders may want to proceed with caution. Using multiple indicators together creates a more comprehensive trading approach, helping traders better manage risk and make informed decisions based on multiple data points.
In conclusion, the "Uptrick: Market Moods" indicator is a powerful and unique addition to the suite of technical analysis tools available on TradingView. It provides traders with a multi-dimensional view of market sentiment by combining the analytical strengths of RSI, ATR, and Bollinger Bands into a single tool. Its ability to capture and interpret the emotional mood of the market makes it an essential tool for traders seeking to gain an edge in understanding market behavior. While the indicator has certain limitations, particularly in rapidly shifting markets, its ability to provide real-time insights into market sentiment is a valuable asset for traders of all experience levels. Used in conjunction with other tools and sound trading practices, the "Uptrick: Market Moods" indicator offers a comprehensive solution for navigating the complexities of financial markets.
High Yield Spread Strategy with SMA FilterThis Pine Script strategy is designed for statistical analysis and research purposes only, not for live trading or financial decision-making. The script evaluates the relationship between financial volatility (measured by either the VIX or the High Yield Spread) and market positioning strategies (long or short) based on user-defined conditions. Specifically, it allows users to test the assumption that elevated levels of VIX or the High Yield Spread may justify short positions in the market—a widely held belief in financial circles—but this script demonstrates that shorting is not always the optimal choice, even under these conditions.
Key Components:
1. High Yield Spread and VIX:
• High Yield Spread is the difference between the yields of corporate high-yield (or “junk”) bonds and U.S. Treasury securities. A rising spread often reflects increased market risk perception.
• VIX (Volatility Index) is often referred to as the market’s “fear gauge.” Higher VIX levels usually indicate heightened market uncertainty or expected volatility.
2. Strategy Logic:
• The script allows users to specify a threshold for the VIX or High Yield Spread, and it automatically evaluates if the spread exceeds this level, which traditionally would suggest an environment for higher market risk and thus potentially favoring short trades.
• However, the strategy provides flexibility to enter long or short positions, even in a high-risk environment, emphasizing that a high VIX or High Yield Spread does not always warrant shorting.
3. SMA Filter:
• A Simple Moving Average (SMA) filter can be applied to the price data, where positions are only entered if the price is above or below the SMA (depending on the trade direction). This adds a technical component to the strategy, incorporating price trends into decision-making.
4. Hold Duration:
• The script also allows users to define how long to hold a position after entering, enabling an analysis of different timeframes.
Theoretical Background:
The traditional belief that high VIX or High Yield Spreads favor short positions is not universally supported by research. While a spike in the VIX or credit spreads is often associated with increased market risk, research suggests that excessive volatility does not always lead to negative returns. In fact, high volatility can sometimes signal an approaching market rebound.
For example:
• Studies have shown that long-term investments during periods of heightened volatility can yield favorable returns due to mean reversion. Whaley (2000) notes that VIX spikes are often followed by market recoveries as volatility tends to revert to its mean over time .
• Research by Blitz and Vliet (2007) highlights that low-volatility stocks have historically outperformed high-volatility stocks, suggesting that volatility may not always predict negative returns .
• Furthermore, credit spreads can widen in response to broader market stress, but these may overshoot the actual credit risk, presenting opportunities for long positions when spreads are high and risk premiums are mispriced .
Educational Purpose:
The goal of this script is to challenge assumptions about shorting during volatile periods, showing that long positions can be equally, if not more, effective during market stress. By incorporating an SMA filter and customizable logic for entering trades, users can test different hypotheses regarding the effectiveness of both long and short positions under varying market conditions.
Note: This strategy is not intended for live trading and should be used solely for educational and statistical exploration. Misinterpreting financial indicators can lead to incorrect investment decisions, and it is crucial to conduct comprehensive research before trading.
References:
1. Whaley, R. E. (2000). “The Investor Fear Gauge”. The Journal of Portfolio Management, 26(3), 12-17.
2. Blitz, D., & van Vliet, P. (2007). “The Volatility Effect: Lower Risk Without Lower Return”. Journal of Portfolio Management, 34(1), 102-113.
3. Bhamra, H. S., & Kuehn, L. A. (2010). “The Determinants of Credit Spreads: An Empirical Analysis”. Journal of Finance, 65(3), 1041-1072.
This explanation highlights the academic and research-backed foundation of the strategy and the nuances of volatility, while cautioning against the assumption that high VIX or High Yield Spread always calls for shorting.
Risk Contract Table by Soothing TradesDescription:
Risk Contract Table by Soothing Trades
This script provides an intuitive table that displays the calculated risk in dollars for various contract sizes based on the size of the last closed candle.
It is designed to help traders quickly assess their risk exposure based on the most recent price movement.
Key Features:
Automatic and Manual Tick Value Calculation: Automatically fetches the tick value for your instrument.
You can also override it with a manual input using a convenient checkbox.
Customizable Contract Sizes: Easily input your preferred contract sizes.
The script dynamically adjusts the table headers and risk calculations based on your inputs.
Real-Time Updates:
The table updates with each new candle close, ensuring that your risk calculations are always based on the latest candle size.
User-Friendly Display: The table is displayed directly on your chart with customizable colors for both text and background, making it easy to match your chart’s theme.
How to Use:
Tick Value: By default, the script uses the automatic tick value.
To manually set the tick value, check the "Use Manual Tick Value" box and enter your desired value.
Contract Sizes: You can input the number of contracts for each category (5ct, 10ct, 15ct, 17ct). The script calculates and displays the risk for each contract size based on the tick movement of the last closed candle only.
Real-Time Calculations: Risk calculations are updated only after the candle is closed, so there are no misleading values during live market activity.
Customization Options:
Manual Tick Value Override: Use a custom tick value by enabling the "Use Manual Tick Value" option.
Custom Contract Sizes: Input your desired contract sizes, and the table headers and risk calculations will update accordingly.
Color Customization: Customize the text and background colors to fit your chart’s aesthetic.
How It Works:
The script calculates the tick movement from the last closed candle and multiplies it by the specified tick value and the number of contracts.
You can choose to use the default automatic tick value or manually input your own.
A table appears on the chart showing the risk for different contract sizes based solely on the size of the last candle, providing a quick snapshot of potential exposure from the most recent price movement.
This script is ideal for traders who want to keep a quick and accurate overview of their potential risk exposure based on the size of the most recent price action.
Whether you are scalping, day trading, or holding positions overnight, this tool by Soothing Trades will help you stay informed and make better trading decisions.
Happy Trading!
- use at own risk, for education and test purpose only.
Developed by Soothing Trades
Outlier changes alertAn indicator that calculates click (price change), percentage change, and Z-score changes while displaying outliers based on defined ranges.
Outlier Detection:
Mark outliers (for price, percentage, Z-score) based on user-defined thresholds. For example, any price movement exceeding a certain Z-score or percentage change could be marked as an outlier and displayed on chart.
Indicator Overview:
1. Click (Price Change):
Calculate the absolute price change from one period to another (e.g., from the current closing price to the previous closing price).
2. Percentage Change:
Calculate the percentage price change over a specific period, showing how much the price has changed in relative terms compared to the previous price.
3. Z-Score:
Compute the Z-score to standardize the price change relative to its historical average and standard deviation. The Z-score helps in detecting whether a price movement is an outlier or falls within a normal range of volatility.
Demand and Supply Conditions with SignalsIntroduction:
This document outlines a trading strategy that utilizes price action analysis and color signals to make informed trading decisions. The strategy focuses on identifying demand and supply conditions, curve patterns, and generating signals based on historical price data. The colors associated with each condition and signal serve as visual indicators to assist in decision-making.
I. Strategy Overview:
Objective:
The objective of this trading strategy is to identify potential trading opportunities based on price action analysis and color signals.
Key Components:
Demand Condition: A green upward-facing triangle indicates a potential demand condition.
Supply Condition: A red downward-facing triangle indicates a potential supply condition.
Curve Pattern Condition: A blue upward-facing triangle indicates a potential curve pattern condition.
Signal Condition: A yellow upward-facing triangle indicates a potential buy signal.
II. Understanding the Colors:
* Green: Represents the demand condition, which suggests potential buying pressure in the market. A green upward-facing triangle is plotted on the chart when the demand condition is met at a specific candle or bar.
* Red: Represents the supply condition, which suggests potential selling pressure in the market. A red downward-facing triangle is plotted on the chart when the supply condition is met at a specific candle or bar.
* Blue: Represents the curve pattern condition, which suggests the presence of a specific pattern based on price action analysis. A blue upward-facing triangle is plotted on the chart when the curve pattern condition is met at a specific candle or bar.
* Yellow: Represents the signal condition, which is a combination of the demand condition and the curve pattern condition. A yellow upward-facing triangle is plotted on the chart when the signal condition is met at a specific candle or bar, indicating a potential buy signal.
III. Decision-Making Process:
* Demand and Supply Conditions: Identify potential buying opportunities when a green demand condition is present. Consider potential selling opportunities when a red supply condition is present. Use these conditions to assess the overall market sentiment and potential price reversals.
* Curve Patterns: Analyze the presence of blue curve pattern conditions to identify specific price patterns. These patterns can provide additional confirmation for potential trading decisions.
* Signal Condition: Pay attention to the yellow signal condition, which indicates a potential buy signal. Evaluate the overall market context and consider entering a buy position when the signal condition is met.
* Risk Management: Implement proper risk management techniques such as setting stop-loss orders and position sizing to protect against potential losses.
IV. Conclusion:
This trading strategy leverages price action analysis and color signals to identify potential trading opportunities. The colors associated with each condition and signal serve as visual aids to highlight specific points on the chart. It's important to thoroughly backtest and validate the strategy before applying it to real-world trading scenarios. Additionally, always consider market conditions, risk management, and individual trading preferences when making trading decisions.
Disclaimer: Trading involves risks, and this document does not guarantee profitable outcomes. Traders should exercise caution and perform their own due diligence before engaging in any trading activity.
Remember to continually review and adapt your trading strategy based on market conditions and personal experiences to enhance its effectiveness.
TechniTrend: Average VolatilityTechniTrend: Average Volatility
Description:
The "Average Volatility" indicator provides a comprehensive measure of market volatility by offering three different types of volatility calculations: High to Low, Body, and Shadows. The indicator allows users to apply various types of moving averages (SMA, EMA, SMMA, WMA, and VWMA) on these volatility measures, enabling a more flexible approach to trend analysis and volatility tracking.
Key Features:
Customizable Volatility Types:
High to Low: Measures the range between the highest and lowest prices in the selected period.
Body: Measures the absolute difference between the opening and closing prices of each candle (just the body of the candle).
Shadows: Measures the difference between the wicks (shadows) of the candle.
Flexible Moving Averages:
Choose from five different types of moving averages to apply on the calculated volatility:
SMA (Simple Moving Average)
EMA (Exponential Moving Average)
SMMA (RMA) (Smoothed Moving Average)
WMA (Weighted Moving Average)
VWMA (Volume-Weighted Moving Average)
Custom Length:
Users can customize the period length for the moving averages through the Length input.
Visualization:
Three separate plots are displayed, each representing the average volatility of a different type:
Blue: High to Low volatility.
Green: Candle body volatility.
Red: Candle shadows volatility.
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This indicator offers a versatile and highly customizable tool for analyzing volatility across different components of price movement, and it can be adapted to different trading styles or market conditions.
Options Series - Explode BB⭐ Bullish Zone:
⭐ Bearish Zone:
⭐ Neutral Zone:
The provided script integrates Bollinger Bands with different lengths (20 and 200 periods) and applies customized candle coloring based on certain conditions. Here's a breakdown of its importance and insights:
⭐ 1. Dual Bollinger Bands (BBs):
Bollinger Bands (BB) with 20-period length:
This is the standard setting for Bollinger Bands, with a 20-period simple moving average (SMA) as the central line and upper/lower bands derived from the standard deviation.
These bands are used to identify volatility. Wider bands indicate higher volatility, while narrower bands indicate low volatility.
200-period BB:
This is a longer-term indicator providing insight into the overall trend and long-term volatility.
The 200-period bands filter out noise and offer a "macro" view of price movements compared to the 20-period bands, which focus on short-term price actions.
⭐ 2. Overlay of Bollinger Bands and SMA:
The script plots the Bollinger Bands along with the SMA (Simple Moving Average) of the 200-period BB. This gives traders both a short-term (20-period) and long-term (200-period) perspective, which is valuable for detecting major trend shifts or key support and resistance zones.
Using multiple time frames (20-period for short-term and 200-period for long-term) can help traders spot both immediate opportunities and overarching trends.
⭐ 3. Candle Coloring Based on Key Conditions:
Bullish Signal (GreenFluroscent): When the price closes above the upper 200-period Bollinger Band, the candle turns green, indicating a potential bullish breakout.
Bearish Signal (RedFluroscent): If the price closes below the lower 200-period Bollinger Band, the candle turns red, suggesting a bearish breakout.
Neutral or Uncertain Market: Candles are gray when the price remains between the upper and lower bands, indicating a lack of a strong directional bias.
This color-coded visualization allows traders to quickly assess market sentiment based on the Bollinger Bands' extremes.
⭐ 4. Strategic Importance of the Setup:
Multi-timeframe Analysis: Combining short-term (20-period) and long-term (200-period) Bollinger Bands enables traders to assess the market's overall volatility and trend strength. The longer-term bands act as a reference for broader trend direction, while the shorter-term bands can signal shorter-term pullbacks or entry/exit points.
Breakout Identification: By color-coding the candles when prices cross either the upper or lower 200-period bands, the script makes it easier to spot potential breakouts. This can be particularly helpful in trading strategies that rely on volatility expansions or trend-following tactics.
⭐ 5. Customization and Flexibility:
Custom Colors: The script uses distinct fluorescent green and red colors to highlight key bullish and bearish conditions, providing clear visual cues.
Simplicity with Flexibility: Despite its simplicity, the script leaves room for customization, allowing traders to adjust the Bollinger Band multipliers or apply different conditions to candle coloring for more nuanced setups.
This script enhances standard Bollinger Band usage by introducing multi-timeframe analysis, breakout signals, and visual cues for trend strength, making it a powerful tool for both trend-following and mean-reversion strategies.
🚀 Conclusion:
This script effectively simplifies volatility analysis by visually marking bullish, bearish, and neutral zones, making it a robust tool for identifying trade opportunities across multiple timeframes. Its dual-band approach ensures both trend-following and mean-reversion strategies are supported.
GAP Momentum Oscillator
This function calculates GAP Momentum, a measure of momentum based on the gaps between opening and closing prices over several periods.
Gaps are calculated for defined periods (here, by default, 14 periods). It determines :
UpGaps: the sum of positive gaps, i.e. openings that are higher than the previous period's close.
DnGaps: the sum of negative gaps, i.e. openings below the previous period's close.
It then calculates the GAP Momentum as the ratio between the sum of the up gaps and the sum of the down gaps, multiplied by 100. If the total of the down gaps is zero, the ratio takes a default value of 1 to avoid division by zero.
Standard Deviation based Upper Lower RangeThis script makes use of historical data for finding the standard deviation on daily returns. Based on the mean and standard deviation, the upper and lower range for the stock is shown upto 2x standard deviation. These bounds can be treated as volatility range for the next n trading sessions. This volatility is based on historical data. Users can change the lookback historical period, and can also set the time period (days) for upcoming trading sessions.
This indicator can be useful in determining stoploss and target levels along with the traditional support/resistance levels. It can also be useful in option trading where one needs to determine a range beyond which it is safe to sell an option.
A range of 1 SD has around 65% to 68% probability that it will not be breached. A range of 2 SD has around 95% probability that it will not be breached.
The indicator is based on Normal distribution theory. In future editions, I envision to also calculate the skewness and kurtosis so that we can determine if a stock is properly following Normal Distribution theory. That may further favor the calculated range.
Time based Insights [Digit23]Description:
The NSE Trading Time Insights indicator is a powerful tool designed for traders on the National Stock Exchange (NSE) of India. It provides a comprehensive overview of different trading sessions throughout the day, offering valuable insights into market characteristics and potential trading strategies for each time period.
Key Features:
1. Dynamic Session Display: The indicator automatically detects the current trading session and highlights it in the table.
2. Customizable Table: Users can choose to display either a full table showing all sessions or focus on the current session only.
3. User-Editable Content: Time ranges, session characteristics, and trading insights are fully customizable by the user.
4. Visual Customization: Table position and color scheme can be adjusted to suit individual preferences.
5. Market Status Indicator: Clearly shows when the market is closed.
Sessions Covered:
1. Opening Bell
2. Mid-Morning
3. Lunch Hour
4. Early Afternoon
5. Power Hour
For each session, the indicator displays:
- Time Range
- Session Name
- Market Characteristics
- Trading Insights
Customization Options:
- Table Position: Choose from top-left, top-right, bottom-left, or bottom-right of the chart.
- Color Scheme: Customize colors for header, cells, highlighting, and market closed status.
- Session Details: Edit time ranges, characteristics, and trading insights for each session.
Usage:
This indicator is particularly useful for:
1. New traders learning about intraday market dynamics on the NSE.
2. Experienced traders looking for a quick reference of session characteristics.
3. Traders developing or refining time-based trading strategies.
4. Anyone seeking to understand the typical flow of the trading day on the NSE.
Note:
The indicator uses the chart's time to determine the current session. Ensure your chart is set to the correct time zone for accurate results.
Disclaimer:
This indicator is for informational purposes only. The provided insights and characteristics are general in nature and may not reflect current market conditions. Always conduct your own analysis and risk assessment before making trading decisions.
