VWAP Trendfollow Strategy [wbburgin]This is an experimental strategy that enters long when the instrument crosses over the upper standard deviation band of a VWAP and enters short when the instrument crosses below the bottom standard deviation band of the VWAP. I have added a trend filter as well, which stops entries that are opposite to the current trend of the VWAP. The trend filter will reduce total false breakouts, thus improving the % profitable while maintaining the overall returns of the strategy. Because this is a trend-following breakout strategy, the % profitable will typically be low but the average % return will be higher. As a rule, be sure to look at the average winning trade % compared to the average losing trade %, and compare that to the % profitable to judge the effectiveness of a strategy. Factor in fees and slippage as well.
This strategy appears to work better with the lower timeframes, and I was impressed with its results. It also appears to work on a wide range of asset classes. There isn't a stop loss or take profit built-in (other than the reversal signals, which close the current trade), so I would encourage you to expand on the strategy based on your own trading parameters.
You can toggle off the bar colors and the trend filter if you so desire.
Future updates to this script (or ideas of improving on it) might include a take profit level set at one standard deviation past the current level and a stop loss level set at one standard deviation closer to the vwap from the current level - or applying a multiple to the two based off of your reward/risk ratio.
About the strategy results below: this is with commissions of 0.5 % per trade.
Vwapbands
VWAP + Fibo Dev Extensions StrategyBased on my VWAP + Fibo deviations indicator, I tested some strategies to see if the indicator can be profitable; and I got it !
This strategy uses:
H1 timeframe
Weekly VWAP
+1.618 / +2.618 / -1.618 / -2.618 Deviations Extensions to create 2 bands
The value of the deviation
First, the 2 bands are plotted : +1.618/+2.618 painted in red and -1.618/-2.618 painted in lime.
Then, we wait for the deviation value to reach at least 150 (see thumbnail) to avoid littles moves when the gaps between bands are too short.
Entry long position :
first candle must crossunder the -1.618 level and low have to stay over the -2.618
low of the second one must stay in the lime band
enter the third one if the deviation value is over limit (150)
Exit long position :
TP : when a high crossover VWAP
SL : when a low crossunder -2.618
Entry short position :
first candle must crossover the +1.618 level and high have to stay under the +2.618
high of the second one must stay in the red band
enter the third one if the deviation value is over limit (150)
Exit short position :
TP : when a low crossunder VWAP
SL : when a high crossover +2.618
Notes :
this strategy uses pyramiding (5), be careful and calculate your risk management
the comission value is set to 0.08% to include slippages when entering a trade because of market orders
This strategy is not an advice to invest, make your own decisions.
