Winrate

Step Range Breakout & Trailing Stop [BigBeluga]🔵 OVERVIEW Step Range Breakout & Trailing Stop is an indicator that detects quiet consolidation zones, catches clean breakouts, and manages open trades automatically with a dynamic ATR trailing stop. It solves the problem of false signals in sideways markets by highlighting only stable, confirmed ranges, then switching to a trailing stop mode once price breaks out. 🔵 HOW IT WORKS The system runs on an automated state machine that moves through three phases — Searching, Zone Active, and

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Streak Reality Check - was that losing run actually unusual?Most people abandon a working strategy during a losing run rather than because of anything in the numbers. The run feels like new information. Usually it is not, and roughly how long a run you should expect is calculable before it happens. For n trades at a win rate w, the expected longest run of losses is about: log(n × w) / log(1 / (1 − w)) That is the standard result for the longest run of failures in n Bernoulli trials. It has one property worth sitting with: n is inside it. More trades me

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par ThistleCode

Hourly Alpha Profile Terminal [The Quant Science]Hourly Alpha Profile Terminal is an advanced quantitative analysis tool developed for the TradingView platform, designed for traders operating on intraday timeframes up to 60 minutes. Its main goal is to unveil the hidden structure of price volatility and directionality on an hourly basis , focusing on a specific day of the week chosen by the user. Instead of relying on traditional momentum indicators, this script historically maps market behavior hour by hour, calculating win rates and ri

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par thequantscience

Momentum Peak Breakout-Pro [Saheewin]🚀 Momentum Peak Breakout — Premium Multi-Timeframe Trading System Momentum Peak Breakout is a premium-class technical analysis indicator built around a simple but powerful concept: Momentum must break its previous structural peak or trough, and price must confirm the breakout. The system then uses multi-timeframe EMA alignment, optional momentum-quality filters, price/momentum divergence and structured Risk/Reward levels to help traders identify and manage potential directional opportunities.

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Filter Reality Check # Filter Reality Check — does your condition actually select anything? My last script measured what entering at random would have produced on a chart at a given reward-to-risk. The question everybody asked next was the obvious one: *fine — does my filter beat that?* Almost nobody measures it. This does. It resolves every bar in the sample exactly once, then counts the outcome twice: into the baseline, and into the filtered set if your condition was true on that bar. Same bars, same distances,

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par ThistleCode

Repainting Statistics: Displayed vs Tradeable Win Rate Repainting means that an indicator draws or changes signals on bars that have already closed, using information that did not exist when those bars closed. Before you trust an indicator whose arrows mark every top and bottom - or a backtest built on such arrows - this script shows how much of that performance hindsight alone can create, on any chart. On randomly generated price bars - data with no trend and no pattern to find - a pivot-reversal arrow showed a 75.84% win rate. The same arrow, ent

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Edge Reality Check - the win rate your R:R actually needs Before you build a strategy, it is worth knowing whether the reward-to-risk you have in mind has ever been achievable on the instrument you are trading. Most people find out afterwards. This measures it. From every bar in the sample it asks one question: did price travel the target distance before it travelled the stop distance? Counting the answers gives the hit rate that entering at random would have produced on this chart — and that is the number any entry signal has to beat. WHAT THE TABLE

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par ThistleCode

Order Block (OB) Statistics: Real Win Rate vs Random Levels On real price data, a 54% win rate can be worse than random, and a 46% win rate can be better. Whether a level "works" depends on the number it is compared with. That comparison number is called the baseline, and for levels on a chart it is almost never exactly 50%. An order-block arrow is therefore not evidence of an edge. The practical question is simple: does price behave differently after touching an order block than after touching a similar level with no order-block event behind it? This

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RSI Probability Matrix [ChartPrime]RSI Probability Matrix 🔶 OVERVIEW Traders frequently rely on rigid, fixed overbought and oversold thresholds for the Relative Strength Index, ignoring how historical price action actually responds at different momentum levels. The RSI Probability Matrix introduces a statistical learning engine to your charts. It tracks and measures real-time trade outcomes across 10-point RSI brackets, turning historical momentum reactions into actionable win-rate probabilities. Instead of guessing whe

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Supertrend Twincore [MachineSuiteAI]Supertrend Twincore 🟦 OVERVIEW A fast Supertrend flips too often; a slow one flips too late. This script runs both at once and only signals when they agree — and then shows you, with win rates and sample sizes, how that agreement has actually performed on the chart you have loaded. A signal only appears where the fast core (timing) and the slow core (structure) first align, and only if it passes a gate: clustered whipsaw flips always suppress, and every other filter blocks signals only wher

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par MachineSuiteAI

Trend Ribbon [MachineSuiteAI]Trend Ribbon respect ranking, measured cross odds and auditable statistics 🟦 OVERVIEW A five-average trend ribbon (8 / 21 / 50 / 100 / 200 by default; EMA, WMA, SMA, HMA or VWMA) built on one idea: the ribbon should measure itself. Beyond the stack-based trend state and 50/100 cross markers, it keeps auditable statistics on the chart it is loaded on: which average price has actually been respecting (and how reliably), how every 50/100 cross resolved, what happened after squeeze expansions

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par MachineSuiteAI

HalfTrend Long/Short Signal Engine [BigBeluga]HalfTrend Long/Short Signal Engine is an institutional-grade trend tracking toolkit built for TradingView. It filters out minor market noise to deliver definitive, non-repainting long and short entry signals based on asset volatility and structural swing pivots. Instead of displaying standard lag-heavy moving averages, this system uses an adaptive directional engine to lock onto clean trend lines and overlay automatic risk-management matrices directly onto your chart. It calculates real-time

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Event Probability Engine [Quantum Algo]Event Probability Engine ==================================================== 🔶 OVERVIEW Event Probability Engine is a statistical probability indicator that answers one question at the close of every bar: based on the measurable conditions active right now, what is the historical probability that price closes higher one, three, and five days from today? Instead of subjective pattern reading, the script builds and maintains a live rolling database of forward returns conditioned on eighteen o

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par Quantum-Algo

WinRate & Profit Calculator [AloneMask]Very simple calculator for WinRate or amount of your win/loss trades. Very helpful for backtesting strategies. After opening the settings (or doubleclick directly on the table in the chart), a table will open in which you simply write the size of your trading account and gradually add the number of win/loss trades and the value of the win/loss trades. The calculator will calculate the total number of trades, the dollar value and the winrate. If you only want to calculate the winrate, leave the d

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par AloneMask_prod

Renaissance Mean Reversion [JOAT]RENAISSANCE MEAN REVERSION A tribute to the Medallion-style statistical-arbitrage approach: do not trade price — trade the spread between price and its smoothed expectation , measure how reliably that spread mean-reverts using an AR(1) half-life regression , and only fire signals when the half-life is fast enough to be tradeable. The result is a discipline-enforcing engine that says no more often than yes : it refuses to take a reversion trade until the spread shows it actually reverts

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par officialjackofalltrades

Mean Reversion Pro 📊 Mean Reversion Pro — Data-Driven Edge on Any Market, Any Timeframe Most mean reversion indicators tell you the price is "too far" from the moving average. This one tells you exactly how far is statistically worth trading — using your own chart's historical data as proof. Works on all instruments and timeframes: futures (NQ, ES, CL, GC…), crypto (BTC, ETH, SOL…), forex (EUR/USD, GBP/USD…), indices (SPX, DAX, NASDAQ…), stocks, commodities — anything with a price and volume. ──────────────────

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Trade Strategy Calculator [WillyAlgoTrader]📊 Trade Strategy Calculator is the first comprehensive mathematical strategy calculator built entirely inside TradingView — a 4-panel dashboard that computes position sizing, risk analysis, deposit growth projection, and Kelly Criterion optimization in real time, directly on your chart. No spreadsheets, no external tools, no switching tabs. Every number you need before entering a trade — position size, stop loss level, take-profit targets, commission impact, expected value, probability of ruin,

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par WillyAlgoTrader

Reinforced RSI - The Quant Science This strategy was designed and written with the goal of showing and motivating the community how to integrate our 'Probabilities' module with their own script. We have recreated one of the simplest strategies used by many traders. The strategy only trades long and uses the overbought and oversold levels on the RSI indicator. We added stop losses and take profits to offer more dynamism to the strategy. Then the 'Probabilities' module was integrated to create a probabilistic reinforcement on

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par thequantscience

Probabilities Module - The Quant Science This module can be integrate in your code strategy or indicator and will help you to calculate the percentage probability on specific event inside your strategy. The main goal is improve and simplify the workflow if you are trying to build a quantitative strategy or indicator based on statistics or reinforcement model. Logic The script made a simulation inside your code based on a single event. For single event mean a trading logic composed by three different objects: entry, take profit, sto

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par thequantscience

Breakout Probability (Expo)█ Overview Breakout Probability is a valuable indicator that calculates the probability of a new high or low and displays it as a level with its percentage. The probability of a new high and low is backtested, and the results are shown in a table— a simple way to understand the next candle's likelihood of a new high or low. In addition, the indicator displays an additional four levels above and under the candle with the probability of hitting these levels. The indicator helps traders to

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Binary Options Strategy Template With the hype around Binary Options trading (more like gambling instead of trading) it is good to be able to backtest a strategy before using it in the live markets. In a Binary Options trade the trade get's closed after a specific amount of time and the only thing that matters is if the market has increased in price or decreased after that amount of time. Because of this a strategy backtest should close all positions after a specific amount of time. In this super small script the number of ba

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par Honestcowboy