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Probabilities 101

Long
Amplify ETF Trust Amplify Junior Silver Miners ETF (AMEX:SILJ)  
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AMEX:SILJ   Amplify ETF Trust Amplify Junior Silver Miners ETF
Trend Analysis Chart Patterns Technical Indicators Contains image
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Look carefully at this Silver Junior Miners chart.

What is the MAJOR difference in those 2 trade setup propositions, other than what I already outlined?

Which is MOST probable of reaching its target AND why?

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