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US government shutdown: How it affects key economic data publishing

Refinitiv2 min de lecture

The U.S. government shut down much of its operations on October 1 after Republicans and Democrats failed to reach an agreement to extend funding past the end of the federal fiscal year on September 30.

The closure has shut off the flow of key economic data at a moment of uncertainty among policymakers and investors about the health of the U.S. job market, the trajectory of inflation and the strength of consumer spending and business investment.

The federal agencies responsible for indicators of U.S. economic activity, including the Bureau of Labor Statistics, Bureau of Economic Analysis and Census Bureau, have said they will suspend the collection and distribution of data in the event of a government shutdown. Those operations will resume once funding is restored.

Much of the data from private-sector sources, however, will continue to be issued, although some of those series rely in part on earlier government reports and will also cease publication during the shutdown.

Following is calendar of economic reports that had been scheduled to be issued in the coming days, noting which releases will be suspended should the shutdown still be in effect and which will continue to be issued.

Release date

Release time (U.S. ET)

Indicator

Indicator source

Will publish?

October 6

1000

Employment Trends Index

Conference Board

No

October 7

0830

International trade

Bureau of Economic Analysis/Census Bureau

No

October 7

0855

Redbook Index

Redbook Research

Yes

October 7

1500

Consumer Credit

Federal Reserve

Yes

October 8

0700

MBA mortgage market index

Mortgage Bankers Association

Yes

October 8

1400

Minutes of Federal Open Market Committee meeting

Federal Reserve

Yes

October 9

0830

Jobless benefits claims

Labor Department's Employment and Training Administration

No

October 9

1000

Wholesale sales and revision to wholesale inventories

Census Bureau

No

October 10

1000

Consumer sentiment index

University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers

Yes

October 10-17 (TBD)

1400

Monthly budget statement

Treasury Department's Fiscal Service

TBD

October 14

0600

NFIB Business Optimism index

National Federation for Independent Business

Yes

October 14

0855

Redbook Index

Redbook Research

Yes

October 15

0700

MBA mortgage market index

Mortgage Bankers Association

Yes

October 15

0830

New York Fed Empire State manufacturing index

New York Fed

Yes

October 15

0830

Real earnings

Bureau of Labor Statistics

No

October 15

0830

Consumer Price Index

Bureau of Labor Statistics

No

October 15

1100

Cleveland Fed median CPI

Cleveland Fed

No

October 16

0830

Jobless benefits claims

Labor Department's Employment and Training Administration

No

October 16

0830

Producer Price Index

Bureau of Labor Statistics

No

October 16

0830

Retail sales

Census Bureau

No

October 16

0830

Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing index

Philadelphia Fed

Yes

October 16

1000

Business inventories

Census Bureau

No

October 16

1000

Home builder sentiment index

National Association of Home Builders

Yes

October 17

0830

Housing starts and building permits

Census Bureau

No

October 17

0830

Import and export prices

Bureau of Labor Statistics

No

October 17

0915

Industrial production

Federal Reserve

Yes

October 17

1600

Treasury International Capital System flows

Treasury Department

TBD

October 20

1000

Leading indicators

Conference Board

No

October 21

0855

Redbook index

Redbook Research

Yes

October 22

0700

MBA mortgage market index

Mortgage Bankers Association

Yes

October 23

0830

Jobless benefits claims

Labor Department's Employment and Training Administration

No

October 23

0830

National Activity Index

Chicago Fed

Yes

October 23

1000

Existing home sales

National Association of Realtors

Yes

October 23

1100

Tenth District Manufacturing Survey

Kansas City Fed

Yes

October 24

Approx. 0800

Building Permit Revisions

Census Bureau

No

October 24

0945

S&P Global Manufacturing Purchasing Managers Index

S&P Global

Yes

October 24

1000

Consumer Sentiment Index

University of Michigan Survey of Consumers

Yes

October 24

1000

New single-family home sales

Census Bureau

No

* TBD = To be determined

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