Marcel's Dynamic Profit / Loss Calculator for GoldOverview
This Dynamic Risk / Reward Tool for Gold is designed to help traders efficiently plan and manage their trades in the volatile gold market. This script provides a clear visualisation of trade levels (Entry, Stop Loss, Take Profit) while dynamically calculating potential profit and loss. It ensures gold traders can assess their positions with precision, saving time and improving risk management.
Key Features
1. Trade Level Visualisation:
Plots Entry (Blue), Stop Loss (Red), and Take Profit (Green) lines directly on the chart.
Helps you visualise and confirm trade setups quickly which is good for scalping and day trades.
2. Dynamic Risk and Reward Calculations:
Calculates potential profit and loss in real time based on user-defined inputs such as position size, leverage, and account equity.
Displays a summary panel showing risk/reward metrics directly on the chart.
3. Customisable Settings:
Allows you to adjust key parameters like account equity, position size, leverage, and specific price levels for Entry, Stop Loss, and Take Profit.
Defaults are dynamically generated for convenience but remain fully adjustable for flexibility.
How It Works
The script uses gold-specific conventions (e.g., 1 lot = 100 ounces, 1 pip = 0.01 price change) to calculate accurate risk and reward metrics.
It dynamically positions Stop Loss and Take Profit levels relative to the entry price, based on user-defined or default offsets.
A real-time summary panel is displayed in the bottom-right corner of the chart, showing:
Potential Profit: The monetary value if the Take Profit is hit.
Potential Lo
ss: The monetary value if the Stop Loss is hit.
How to Use It
1. Add the script to your chart on a gold trading pair (e.g., XAUUSD).
2. Input your:
Account equity.
Leverage.
Position size (in lots).
Desired En
try Price (default: current close price).
3. Adjust the Stop Loss and Take Profit levels to your strategy, or let the script use default offsets of:
500 pips below the Entry for Stop Loss.
1000 pips above the Entry for Take Profit.
4. Review the plotted levels and the summary panel to confirm your trade aligns with your risk/reward goals.
Why Use This Tool?
Clarity and Precision:
Provides clear trade visuals and financial metrics for confident decision-making.
Time-Saving:
Automates the calculations needed to evaluate trade risk and reward.
Improved Risk Management:
Ensures you never trade without knowing your exact potential loss and gain.
This script is particularly useful for both novice and experienced traders looking to enhance their risk management and trading discipline in the Gold market. Enjoy clearer trades at speed.
Matières Premières
Cantom Chart - CL CTG vs BKDEnglish : This Pine Script indicator, named "Cantom Chart - CL CTG vs BKD," uniquely analyzes the immediate state of oil futures contracts to determine if they are in contango or backwardation. The script uses the price ratio between the nearest (CL1) and the next nearest (CL2) NYMEX crude oil futures contracts. It multiplies this ratio by 100 for clarity and scales fluctuations for enhanced visibility.
Key Features:
Dynamic Ratio Calculation: Computes the ratio (CL1/CL2 * 100) to determine the immediate market state.
Market State Interpretation: A ratio above 100 indicates backwardation, suggesting higher demand than supply, while a ratio below 100 indicates contango, suggesting higher supply than demand.
Volatility Adjustment: Amplifies market state changes by tripling the deviation from the baseline of 100, making it easier to observe subtle shifts.
Anomaly Detection: Caps the adjusted ratio at 125 for highs and 75 for lows, maintaining these limits until the ratio returns to normal levels.
Usage: This indicator is especially useful for traders analyzing supply-demand dynamics and inflationary pressures in the oil market. To apply it, simply add the script to your TradingView chart and adjust the 'Lower Threshold' and 'Upper Threshold' lines as needed based on your trading strategy.
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日本語 : この「Cantom Chart - CL CTG vs BKD」Pine Scriptインジケーターは、直近の原油先物契約がコンタンゴまたはバックワーデーションにあるかを特定するための独自の分析を提供します。最近の（CL1）と次の（CL2）NYMEX原油先物契約間の価格比を使用し、この比率に100を掛けて明確性を高め、変動の視認性を向上させます。
主要機能:
動的比率計算: 市場の即時状態を判断するために比率（CL1/CL2 * 100）を計算します。
市場状態の解釈: 比率が100を超える場合はバックワーデーション（需要が供給を上回る）、100未満の場合はコンタンゴ（供給が需要を上回る）を示します。
変動調整: 基準値100からの偏差を3倍にして、微妙な変化を容易に観察できるようにします。
異常値検出: 調整された比率を高値で125、低値で75に制限し、通常のレベルに戻るまでこれらの限界を維持します。
使用方法: このインジケーターは、原油市場における需給ダイナミクスとインフレ圧力を分析するトレーダーにとって特に有用です。使用するには、このスクリプトをTradingViewチャートに追加し、トレーディング戦略に基づいて「Lower Threshold」と「Upper Threshold」のラインを必要に応じて調整します。
Daily Range + Asia Liquidity + FVG + silver Bullet sessionIndicator Description :
This indicator combines several trading concepts to provide an overall view of intraday selling opportunities. It includes the following elements:
Daily Range:
Measures the daily price range between the highest and lowest points of the day.
Helps understand daily volatility and identify potential support and resistance levels.
Asia Liquidity:
Analyzes price movements and volumes during the Asian session (usually from 00:00 to 08:00 GMT).
Identifies liquidity levels where the price has reacted during this period, providing clues on where significant orders are concentrated.
FVG (Fair Value Gap):
A trading concept that identifies areas where the price has moved quickly, creating a "gap" or empty space on the chart.
These areas are often revisited by the price, which can provide potential entry or exit points.
Silver Bullet Session:
Refers to a specific period of the day where a particular strategy or setup is expected to occur. For example, this could be a period where price movements are historically more predictable or volatile.
This session particularly targets price movements that attract sellers.
Using the Indicator
Identifying Selling Levels:
Combine the daily range levels with the liquidity zones identified during the Asian session to spot levels where sellers might be interested.
Use the fair value gaps (FVG) to identify areas where the price might return, providing entry or exit points for selling positions.
Silver Bullet Session:
Focus on this period to observe price movements and reactions to the levels identified earlier.
Look for selling signals (e.g., bearish reversal candlesticks or continuation patterns) during this session to maximize selling opportunities.
Objective :
The objective of this indicator is to provide a systematic approach to identifying selling opportunities based on multiple technical and temporal elements. By combining daily volatility, liquidity levels, value gaps, and specific trading periods, this indicator helps traders pinpoint potential selling points with greater accuracy.
Williams Percent Range with Trendlines and BreakoutsHere is my "Williams Percent Range with Trendlines and Breakouts" indicator, a simple yet powerful tool for traders. This indicator combines the classic Williams %R oscillator, which helps identify overbought and oversold levels, with added trendlines for easier trend analysis at a glance.
It's designed to make spotting potential breakouts easier by drawing attention to significant price movements. With customizable settings for the Williams %R period and trendline sensitivity, it's a flexible tool for various symbols and trading styles.
Whether you're looking to refine your trading strategy or just need a clearer view of market trends, this indicator should offer a straight forward approach to hopefully enhance your trading decisions.
Disclaimer: This indicator is intended for educational and informational purposes only. Always conduct your own research and analysis before making trading decisions.
Trend Change IndicatorThe Trend Change Indicator is an all-in-one, user-friendly trend-following tool designed to identify bullish and bearish trends in asset prices. It features adjustable input values and a built-in alert system that promptly notifies investors of potential shifts in both short-term and long-term price trends. This alert system is crucial for helping less active investors correctly position themselves ahead of major trend shifts and assists in risk management after a trend is established. It's important to note that this indicator is most effective with assets that historically exhibit strong trends.
At the heart of this tool is the interaction between the 30-day and 60-day Exponential Moving Averages (EMA). A bullish trend is indicated in green when the 30-day EMA is above the 60-day EMA, while a bearish trend is signaled in red when the 30-day EMA is below the 60-day EMA. The appearance of gray alerts users to potential shifts in the current trend as the EMAs converge, falling below the Average True Range (ATR) safety margin. This analysis is conducted across both hourly and daily timeframes, with the 4-hour timeframe providing early signals for daily trend changes. The band visually represents the interaction between the daily EMAs and is also displayed in the second row of the table, with the first row showing the same EMA interaction on the 4-hour timeframe.
This indicator also includes a 140-day (20-week) Simple Moving Average (SMA), visually represented by a line with predictive dots. This feature significantly enhances the investor's ability to understand long-term trends in asset prices, offering forward-looking insights by projecting the SMA value 10 days into the future. The value of this forecast lies in interpreting the slope of the dots; upward trending dots suggest a bullish underlying trend, while downward trending dots indicate a bearish trend. Generally, prices above the SMA signal bullishness, and prices below indicate bearishness.
In summary, the Trend Change Indicator is a comprehensive solution for identifying price trends and managing risk. Its intuitive, color-coded design makes it an indispensable tool for traders and investors who aim to be well-positioned ahead of trend shifts and manage risk once a trend has been established. While it has proven historically valuable in trending markets such as cryptocurrencies, tech stocks, and commodities, it is advisable to use this indicator in conjunction with other technical analysis tools for a more comprehensive and well-rounded decision-making process.
Market Health MonitorThe Market Health Monitor is a comprehensive tool designed to assess and visualize the economic health of a market, providing traders with vital insights into both current and future market conditions. This script integrates a range of critical economic indicators, including unemployment rates, inflation, Federal Reserve funds rates, consumer confidence, and housing market indices, to form a robust understanding of the overall economic landscape.
Drawing on a variety of data sources, the Market Health Monitor employs moving averages over periods of 3, 12, 36, and 120 months, corresponding to quarterly, annual, three-year, and ten-year economic cycles. This selection of timeframes is specifically chosen to capture the nuances of economic movements across different phases, providing a balanced view that is sensitive to both immediate changes and long-term trends.
Key Features:
Economic Indicators Integration: The script synthesizes crucial economic data such as unemployment rates, inflation levels, and housing market trends, offering a multi-dimensional perspective on market health.
Adaptability to Market Conditions: The inclusion of both short-term and long-term moving averages allows the Market Health Monitor to adapt to varying market conditions, making it a versatile tool for different trading strategies.
Oscillator Thresholds for Recession and Growth: The script sets specific thresholds that, when crossed, indicate either potential economic downturns (recessions) or periods of growth (expansions), allowing traders to anticipate and react to changing market conditions proactively.
Color-Coded Visualization: The Market Health Monitor employs a color-coding system for ease of interpretation:
-- A red background signals unhealthy economic conditions, cautioning traders about potential risks.
-- A bright red background indicates a confirmed recession, as declared by the NBER, signaling a critical time for traders to reassess risk exposure.
-- A green background suggests a healthy market with expected economic expansion, pointing towards growth-oriented opportunities.
Comprehensive Market Analysis: By combining various economic indicators, the script offers a holistic view of the market, enabling traders to make well-informed decisions based on a thorough understanding of the economic environment.
Key Criteria and Parameters:
Economic Indicators:
Labor Market: The unemployment rate is a critical indicator of economic health.
High or rising unemployment indicates reduced consumer spending and economic stress.
Inflation: Key for understanding monetary policy and consumer purchasing power.
Persistent high inflation can lead to economic instability, while deflation can signal weak
demand.
Monetary Policy: Reflected by the Federal Reserve funds rate.
Changes in the rate can influence economic activity, borrowing costs, and investor
sentiment.
Consumer Confidence: A predictor of consumer spending and economic activity.
Reflects the public’s perception of the economy
Housing Market: The housing market often leads the economy into recession and recovery.
Weakness here can signal broader economic problems.
Market Data:
Stock Market Indices: Reflect overall investor sentiment and economic
expectations. No gains in a stock market could potentially indicate that economy is
slowing down.
Credit Conditions: Indicated by the tightness of bank lending, signaling risk
perception.
Commodity Insight:
Crude Oil Prices: A proxy for global economic activity.
Indicator Timeframe:
A default monthly timeframe is chosen to align with the release frequency of many economic indicators, offering a balanced view between timely data and avoiding too much noise from short-term fluctuations. Surely, it can be chosen by trader / analyst.
The Market Health Monitor is more than just a trading tool—it's a comprehensive economic guide. It's designed for traders who value an in-depth understanding of the economic climate. By offering insights into both current conditions and future trends, it encourages traders to navigate the markets with confidence, whether through turbulent times or in periods of growth. This tool doesn't just help you follow the market—it helps you understand it.
GOLD MonitorI'm using this platform from sometime and I carry out trading on Gold, using a kind of scalping strategy.
Scalping is not an easy task to do. Personally I found a lot of problems while detecting the trend direction.
So I decided to develop an indicator that is capable, in a discrete way, to give an instant-view on the market that is interesting.
This indicator can summarize in a small table all interesting figures related to gold scalping trading and is useful while joined with technical and fundamental analysis.
In this way it is possible to easy take under control all important aspects related to gold trading that I summarize here and you can find inside the table:
1) Gold / USD current direction
2) USD dollar strength (instant DXY) indicator take under consideration the DXY value every each tick and measures the increase or decrease in percentage. If there is a decrease the indicator displays a red low arrow, if there is an increase the indicator displays a green high arrow
also Gold friends are important so it is possible to find also:
3) NZDUSD (that is a Gold friend) variation percentage. If there is a decrease the indicator displays a red low arrow, if there is an increase the indicator displays a green high arrow
4) AUDUSD (that is a Gold friend) variation percentage. If there is a decrease the indicator displays a red low arrow, if there is an increase the indicator displays a green high arrow
then it is possible to find DXY USD dollar strength calculated between previous period (e.g. in timeframe M5 last 5 minutes) and current period (current 5 minutes). This indication is represented by an high arrow if there has been an increase, or by an low arrow if there has been a decrease.
Last but not least the information about the Gold trend itself with the possible forecast for the current period. This information must be carefully interpreted together with other instruments for technical analysis like Fibonacci lines.
Bitcoin to GOLD [presentTrading]**Introduction and How it is Different**
Unlike traditional indicators, the BTGR offers a unique perspective on market sentiment and asset valuation by juxtaposing two seemingly disparate assets: Bitcoin, the digital gold, and Gold, the traditional store of value. This article introduces an advanced version of this ratio, complete with upper and lower bands calculated using standard deviations. These bands add an extra layer of analytical depth, allowing for more nuanced trading strategies.
BTCUSD 12h bigger picture
**Economic Principles**
The BTGR is rooted in the economic principles of asset valuation and market sentiment. Gold has long been considered a safe haven asset, a place where investors park their money during times of economic uncertainty. Bitcoin, on the other hand, is often viewed as a high-risk, high-reward investment. By comparing the two, the BTGR provides insights into the broader market sentiment.
- Risk Appetite: A high BTGR indicates a bullish sentiment towards riskier assets like Bitcoin.
- Market Uncertainty: A low BTGR suggests a bearish sentiment and a flight to the safety of Gold.
- Asset Diversification: The BTGR can be used as a tool for portfolio diversification, helping investors balance risk and reward.
**How to Use It**
Setting Up the Indicator
- Platform: The indicator is designed for use on TradingView.
- Time Frame: A 480-minute time frame is recommended for more accurate signals.
- Parameters: The moving average is set at 200 periods, and the standard deviation is calculated over the same period.
**Trading Signal**
Long Entry: Consider going long when the BTGR crosses above the upper band.
Short Entry: Consider going short when the BTGR crosses below the lower band.
Note: Due to the issue that the number of trading is less than about 100 times, the corresponding strategy is not allowed to publish.
Cynical Cold IndexThis TradingView indicator calculates the Cynical Cold Index, which is a weighted basket of commodity prices designed to track economic conditions. It compares the price of a given asset to the index value.
Weights the commodities as percentages:
Gold: 10%
Oil: 15%
Coffee: 5%
Natural Gas: 10%
Silver: 15%
Sugar: 5%
Corn: 5%
Wheat: 5%
Cotton: 10%
Copper: 10%
Iron Ore: 5%
Live Cattle: 5%
Urea: 5%
Extreme Reversal SignalThe Extreme Reversal Signal is designed to signal potential pivot points when the price of an asset becomes extremely overbought or oversold. Extreme conditions typically signal a brief or extensive price reversal, offering valuable entry or exit points. It's important to note that this indicator may produce multiple signals, making it essential to corroborate these signals with other forms of analysis to determine their validity. While the default settings provide valuable insights, it might be beneficial to experiment with different configurations to ensure the indicator's efficacy.
Two primary conditions define extremely overbought and oversold states. The first condition is that the price must deviate by two standard deviations from the 20-day Simple Moving Average (SMA). The second condition is that the 3-day SMA of the 14-day Stochastic Oscillator (STO) derived from the 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) is above or below the upper or lower limit.
Oversold states arise when the first condition is met and the 3-day SMA of the 14-day Stochastic RSI falls below the lower limit, suggesting a buy signal. These are visually represented by green triangles below the price bars. Overbought states arise when the first condition is met and the 3-day SMA of the 14-day Stochastic RSI rises above the upper limit, suggesting a sell signal. These are visually represented by red triangles above the price bars. It's also possible to set up automated alerts to get notifications when either of these two conditions is met to avoid missing out.
While this indicator has traditionally identified overbought and oversold conditions in various different assets, past performance does not guarantee future results. Therefore, it is advisable to supplement this indicator with other technical tools. For instance, trend indicators can greatly improve the decision-making process when planning for entries and exit points.
Correlation Coefficient - DXY & XAUPublishing my first indicator on TradingView. Essentially a modification of the Correlation Coefficient indicator, that displays a 2 ticker symbols' correlation coefficient vs, the chart presently loaded.. You can modify the symbols, but the default uses DXY and XAU, which have been displaying strong negative correlation.
As with the built-in CC (Correlation Coefficient) indicator, readings are taken the same way:
Positive Correlation = anything above 0 | stronger as it moves up towards 1 | weaker as it moves back down towards 0
Negative Correlation = anything below 0 | stronger moving down towards -1 | weaker moving back up towards 0
This is primarily created to work with the Bitcoin weekly chart, for comparing DXY and Gold (XAU) price correlations (in advance, when possible). If you change the chart timeframe to something other than weekly, consider playing with the Length input, which is set to 35 by default where I think it best represents correlations with Bitcoin's weekly timeframe for DXY and Gold.
The intention is that you might be able to determine future direction of Bitcoin based on positive or negative correlations of Gold and/or the US Dollar Index. DXY has been making peaks and valleys prior to Bitcoin since after March 2020 black swan event, where it peaked just after instead. In the future, it may flip over again and Bitcoin may hit major highs or lows prior to DXY, again. So, keep an eye on the charts for all 3, as well as the indicator correlations.
Currently, we've moved back into negative correlation between Bitcoin and DXY, and positive correlation with Bitcoin and Gold:
Negative Correlation b/w Bitcoin and DXY - if DXY moves up, Bitcoin likely moves down, or if DXY moves down, Bitcoin likely moves up (or if Bitcoin were to move first before DXY, as it did on March 2020, instead)
Positive Correlation b/w Bitcoin and Gold - Bitcoin and Gold will likely move up or down with each other.
DXY is represented by the green histogram and label, Gold is represented by the yellow histogram and label. Again, you can modify the tickers you want to check against, and you can modify the colors for their histograms / labels.
The inspiration from came from noticing areas of same date or delayed negative correlation between Bitcoin and DXY, here is one of my most recent posts about that:
Please let me know if you have any questions, or would like to see updates to the indicator to make it easier to use or add more useful features to it.
I hope this becomes useful to you in some way. Thank you for your support!
Cheers,
dudebruhwhoa :)
comm_idxThis script displays information about the components of the Goldman Sachs Commodity Index. The index is based on futures contracts in the categories of agricultural products, softs commodities, livestock, energies, industrial metals, and precious metals. The statistics displayed in the table are:
change: 1-day % change
from ma: the % change from a moving average
corr idx: correlation of the contract to the GSCI
The lengths for the moving average and correlation statistic can be set using the inputs.
See the script source for the symbols used for each commodity. Although most of the symbols correspond to the actual futures contract used to compute the index, LME contracts are not available on tradingview. Hence, corresponding HKEX contracts are used for the industrial metals.
Market Relative Candle Ratio ComparatorIntroducing the Market Relative Candle Ratio Comparator, a visually captivating script that eases the way you compare two financial assets, such as cryptocurrencies and market indices. Leveraging a distinctive calculation method based on percentage changes and their averages, this tool presents a crystal-clear view of how your chosen assets perform in relation to each other, both for individual candles and over a range of previous candles.
Tailoring the script to your preferences is a walk in the park, as it allows you to easily adjust input symbols, moving average lengths, and other parameters to match your analytical approach. The visually arresting column chart it creates employs vivid red and green colors to underscore the differences between the two assets on each candle. Simultaneously, the lower-opacity columns depict the accumulated differences over a specified lookback period. This vibrant blend of colors and opacities results in a dynamic visual experience, enabling you to better grasp market trends relative to each other.
The reverse bool input is a handy feature that lets you invert the effect of the input symbol (DXY by default) in the comparison. When you set the reverse input to true, the script multiplies the calculated DXY percentage change by -1, effectively reversing the comparison. This is particularly useful when examining assets with an inverse relationship or when you'd like to analyze the input symbol's impact in the opposite direction.
For instance, if the input symbol represents a market index that generally moves in the opposite direction of the selected cryptocurrency, enabling the reverse input will help you better visualize and understand the relationship between the two assets by inverting the input symbol's effect on the comparison.
In the accompanying chart, you can observe the comparison of Bitcoin's movement relative to the Dollar, Gold, Bonds, and the S&P 500. The indicator reveals that in the last day, Bitcoin outperformed Bonds, Gold, and the Dollar but not the S&P 500!
BE - Golden Cross Crude KeyTraders, i have been observing crude oil for about 3 months now and somehow I can see that crude is respecting 42 days Moving average and crosses have created massive spikes most of the time.
However you need to be mindful of the time to trade and timeframe since not all crosses creates spikes.
Note: I have been testing on a 15min timeframe.
Keeping this in mind, this indicator is a automated solution which takes trade entries on crosses plus buffer and exits based on the specified Sl type.
Enjoy!
DISCLAIMER: No sharing, copying, reselling, modifying, or any other forms of use are authorized for our documents, script / strategy, and the information published with them. This informational planning script / strategy is strictly for individual use and educational purposes only. This is not financial or investment advice. Investments are always made at your own risk and are based on your personal judgement. I am not responsible for any losses you may incur. Please invest wisely.
Happy to receive suggestions and feedback in order to improve the performance of the indicator better.
Gold Value RainbowThis indicator can only be used with 'GOLD' ticker. It is used to estimate Gold valuation based on major countries base money supply M0 such as US, EU, JP and CN. These 4 countries represent nearly 75% of total global money supply in the world. The chart will compare how gold value will move alongside with base money supply for comparison study. The chart presented here is just a relative comparison with some scaling and shifting so it doesn't refers to any real measurement. However it can be used to track gold price whether it's too cheap or too expensive in relative to money supply available in the market.
- The gray line represent major countries money supply M0
- The rainbow above the gray line represent the multiplication factors from 1x, 2x, ..., 10x
- The rainbow below the gray line represent the division factors from 0.8x, 0.6x, ..., 0.2x
Check other script to value stock and index:
- Stock Value Rainbow: script to value stock based on book value, earning, dividend and cash flow
- Index Value Rainbow: script to value index based on fed balance sheet and base money supply
- Gold Value Rainbow: script to value gold based on global money supply
- Stock Value US: script to check US stock value
- Stock Value EU: script to check EU stock value
- Stock Value JP: script to check JP stock value
- Stock Value CN: script to check CN stock value
Recession Warning Traffic LightThis is an indicator that uses 6 different metrics to determine the combined probability of a recession and compares the high probability warning periods against actual historical periods of recession.
GREEN tells us that the referenced recession indicators are not exhibiting any warning. Observe the long stretches of “all-green” in between recessionary periods in the chart above.
RED will show a full-on warning level for that particular recession indicator, signaling that monitoring of this sector is clearly showing a problem – which has in the past, reliably exhibited itself as a forewarning of recessions.
Adding green and red together can help determine a combined probability of recession.
IMPORTANT: Your chart should be on 1d and set to SPX , DJI ,or NDQ indices
Precious metals: This indicator calculates the relative prices of Gold & rhodium. Gold is a flight-to-quality asset. Rhodium is the rarest of precious industrial metals and prices spike when the economy is heating up. In front of a recession, the upper relative movement of rhodium precedes gold.
Stock markets: This indicator compares closing prices to growth rate curves of the SPX. This indication is the noisiest but tells us very well when the recession has ended. Stock market indices, which respond to “smart money” moving out of markets when the other indicators begin to warn of recession, or when markets become overheated and rise to historically unsustainable levels.
Yield curve: This indicator compares the 3m & 10y treasuries and detects yield curve inversions. Interest rates are controlled by the Federal Reserve and by the purchasers in the Federal Treasury auction markets, which together create the treasury yield curve. This inversion is the most reliable recession indicator. These happen during a flight to quality.
Federal Reserve: This indicator measures GDP and detects contraction which is technically a recession. This is usually one of the last indicators to enter a Warning state, and it could be 6 months delayed simply confirming what may have already been projected.
Money Supply. This indicator measures the M2 money supply, which typically grows about 1% per calendar quarter. When this shrinks, it's tapping the brakes on the economy. This can also lead to yield curve inversion. This is also a measure of inflation and its effects on the aggregate money supply (liquid capital) available for short-term economic activity, or which can be directed into the purchase of long-term, less liquid assets.
Leading Economic factors: There is a whole basket of leading economic indicators that, as collections, reflect overall growth or contraction of economic activity. These indicators include measures of level and growth in productivity, employment, housing, consumer confidence, industrial purchasing confidence, and much more. These indicators may or may not be detached from the broader economy, and often provide up to 6 months of foresight. For more information please visit www.conference-board.org
Actual Recession: Central Bank indicators are published by the Federal Reserve and reflect their own analysis of national and regional economic health, as well as their calculations of the likelihood of a recession. The Federal Reserve has a recession ticker which is used to plot periods of actual recessions on this indicator for comparison.
Fiat Currency and Gold Indices (FGXY) CandlesA modification of my previous indicator "Crypto Index (DXY) Candles". The idea was to create a similar currency basket to the standard DXY, but from the perspective of other currencies. Still using the standard DXY weights, this indicator allows you to create a tailored index for other currencies, provided that a currency pair exists for each of the 6 components. This means that even currencies that aren't included should work in theory; just find the 3 character currency prefix used by tradingview and give it a shot! This indicator is useful for gauging how well countries/currencies are holding up and when paired with the standard DXY may help see potential inflection points. For use on longer time frames (~1h-~3d) as some of the data being pulled seems to have issues on lower timeframes.
The Price of Hard MoneyIf we calculate “the price of hard money” (the market capitalization weighted price of gold plus Bitcoin); we get this chart.
Since 2017, Bitcoin’s share of hard money growth has been increasing, we can see it visibly on the gold chart by a widening delta between the price of hard money and the Gold price. We can also see some interesting technical behaviours.
In 2021, Hard Money broke out and held this breakout above the 2011 Gold high. Only later in 2022 did a correction of 20% occur – typical of Golds historic volatility in periods of inflation and high interest rates.
Hard Money is at major support and we have evidence for a fundamental shift in investor capital flows away from gold and into Bitcoin.
This Indicator is useful:
- To track the market capitalization of Gold (estimated), Bitcoin and combined market capitalization of Hard Money.
- To track the price action and respective change in investor flows from Gold to Bitcoin .
Provided Bitcoin continues to suck more value out of gold with time, this chart will be useful for tracking price action of the combined asset classes into the years to come.
Investing ZonesInvesting Zones indicator shows the areas where LONGS or SHORTS can be made, the areas are calculated based on the mathematical averages of the high and low peaks of the price.
-There is an area called "No trading Zone" where the price is too slow, It also has a Alma Trend Ribbon (blue for uptrend, pink for downtrend) that helps to make trading decisions.
-You can make shorts when the price enters the Yellow zone called the "Sell Zone" and the price is below the Alma trend, set the TP1 in the white dotted line, and TP2 in the white lower line
-You can make longs when the price enters the Green zone called the "Buy Zone" and the price is above the Alma trend, set the TP1 in the yellow dotted line, and TP2 in the yellow upper line
-It works in all timeframes, personally I use it in 1min, 5min and 1hr.
Price Average ZonesThis indicator shows the areas where LONGS or SHORTS can be made, the areas are calculated based on the mathematical averages of the high and low peaks of the price.
It also has a line that shows the average of the price movement. you can make shorts when the price enters the orange zone called the "Short Zone".
You can make longs when the price enters the orange zone called the sell zone.
It works in all timeframes, personally I use it in 1 min and in 1 hour.
ILM CFTC COT Legacy PlotUse this indicator on Daily Timeframe
Please refer to the below link for CFTC Disaggregated COT
www.cftc.gov
This script is very similar to COT Financial Plot indicator except that it plots the data for Futures in Legacy buckets Commercial vs. Non-Commercial
ILM CFTC COT Disaggregated PlotUse this indicator on Daily Timeframe
Please refer to the below link for CFTC Disaggregated COT
www.cftc.gov
This script is very similar to COT Financial Plot indicator except that it plots the data for Disaggregated Futures
In Chart Currency TickersQuick View of Multiple Currencies & Gold Price on Chart
In Chart Currency Tickers will help quick view of Multiple Currencies (Up/Down points & Percentage), you can change symbols on settings as per your requirement
മെയിൻ കറൻസികളും സ്വർണവിലയും റിയൽ ടൈം മോണിറ്റർ ചെയ്യുന്നതിനും മാർക്കറ്റ് സെന്റിമെൻറ് അറിയുന്നതിനും അതിനനുസരിച്ച് ട്രേഡിങ്ങ് ഡിസിഷൻ എടുക്കുന്നതിനും നിങ്ങളെ സഹായിക്കുന്നു
Happy Trading to All..!!!
Asif Kerim Naduvilaparambil
