Bitcoin PivotFind [BTC Cycle Tops & Bottoms Finder]What is PivotFind?
PivotFind is a custom indicator designed to track 30+ data points of different nature (technical, sentiment, macro, on-chain), and across multiple timeframes (from 1D to 60D), to detect the market conditions that may indicate the formation of potential Cycle Tops and Bottoms .
PivotFind's goal is to help you navigate Bitcoin's price movements and key happenings over its approximately 4-year cycles to help you craft a mid-term investment plan focused on the larger swings, rather than the shorter-term fluctuations.
What Does PivotFind Show/Do?
Market Phase Assessment and Visualization:
- Uses color-coded backgrounds (green for bull, red for bear, yellow for trend reversal) to show the current (assessed) market phase. Note that the price line itself changes color to reinforce the current phase identification.
- Helps you understand if we're in a uptrend, downtrend, or potentially changing direction (reversal), often an open question for traders, with a mid-term horizon
Cycle Top and Bottom Warnings:
- Places red dots above the price line to warn of potential cycle peaks.
- Shows green dots below the price line to indicate possible cycle bottoms.
These markers appear when multiple indicators reach certain thresholds, which historically have often coincided with significant market pivots (from bull to bear, or viceversa). Clusters of tops and bottom warnings are expected to appear at truly pivotal moments.
Parabolic Growth Signals:
- Displays upward arrows when conditions suggest potential for the rapid price increases that historically anticipated blow-off tops
- These signals are based on a combination of technical indicators and market sentiment reaching certain thresholds.
Altcoin Season Indicators:
- Marks with white diamonds the conditions that have historically led to "altseasons" (i.e. Altcoins overperforming BTC's growth rate).
- Based on factors like Bitcoin dominance decrease and certain altcoin performance metrics.
Fibonacci Retracement Bands:
Plots long-term support and resistance zones based on Fibonacci retracement levels.
These bands are calculated from previous major market highs and lows and shed light on the nature of short-term retracements in the context of major trends.
Price Scenario
PivotFind also provides reference price levels for the upcoming halving cycle, including potential thresholds for increased market interest (retail FOMO), possible overvaluation, and theoretical cycle peak ranges. These projections are based on historical data and should be considered as points of reference rather than definitive predictions.
Comprehensive Data Tables:
Right-side Table: Shows current cycle stage, Bitcoin/Altcoin market dominance percentages, and evaluates key economic factors (like inflation and interest rates) for their potential impact.
Bottom Table: Displays real-time values of over 30 key indicators, including RSI, MVRV ratio, and Fear & Greed Index.
Alerts
PivotFind offers you the ability to set up custom alerts (via the standard TradingView alert functionality) or receive automated notifications for significant market events. Despite its sophisticated analysis, PivotFind is designed to be user-friendly, with pre-set parameters that don't require complex adjustments.
How Does It Work?
PivotFind analyzes over 30 different indicators across multiple timeframes (from 1 day to 60 days), grouped into four main categories:
1. Technical Analysis:
Uses standard indicators like RSI, Stochastic RSI, Williams %R, Elliot Oscillator, TDI, and mean reversion concepts.
Looks for divergences between price and multiple indicators (like OBV, MFI, CCI, RSI, SRSI, MACD and others) to spot potential reversals.
2. Market Sentiment:
Incorporates the Crypto Fear & Greed Index (0-100 scale).
Tracks social media trends and influencer follower counts as a gauge of public interest.
3. Macroeconomic Factors:
Monitors inflation rates, interest rates, US rate yields, and money supply (M2) figures.
Tracks the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) and bond market health through ETFs like TLT and HYG.
4. On-Chain Analytics:
Analyzes MVRV (Market Value to Realized Value) ratio to spot potential over/undervaluation.
Examines NUPL (Net Unrealized Profit/Loss) and active Bitcoin addresses.
PivotFind analyzes these indicators collectively, looking for significant correlations and confluences, to provide a view of the market's position within the 4-year cycle and spot the conditions for potential Cycle tops and bottoms (cycle pivots).
Who Is This For?
PivotFind may be particularly useful for:
- Long-term investors looking to optimize entry and exit points within the 4-year cycle
- Individuals who want to understand mid-term trends without engaging in daily analysis of multiple charts (due to lack of time and/or financial knowledge)
- Bitcoin Holders and miners planning their decisions around critical market pivot points
It's less suitable for scalpers, day-traders or those focused on short-term price movements.
Value Proposition
PivotFind simplifies market analysis by bringing together a wide range of indicators and data sources across different timeframes. It uses built-in logic to interpret these inputs within the context of Bitcoin's cycles, giving users an efficient way to spot potential major market shifts. This all-in-one approach helps make sense of complex market conditions and supports more informed decision-making.
Since Bitcoin’s broader cycle strongly influences the entire crypto market, PivotFind can also be useful for investors who are focused on Altcoins, not just Bitcoin.
Important Note (Disclaimer)
Past performance, and patterns, do not guarantee future results. Therefore, PivotFind should be used as one of many tools in your analysis. While the indicator provides a multi-faceted and multi-timeframe analysis of factors historically correlated with pivotal price shifts, it cannot predict future prices with certainty. It's a tool to help inform your decisions, not make them for you. Always conduct your own research and remember that all investments, especially in cryptocurrencies, involve risk.
Recommended Settings
PivotFinds works best on the 1D INDEX:BTCUSD chart (dark-mode, logarithmic scale).
This indicator is not publicly available and requires special access.
Cycles
Money Flow DivergenceThe Money Flow Divergence indicator is designed to help traders identify periods when there is a significant divergence between the growth of the U.S. M2 money supply and the S&P 500 index (SPX).
This divergence can provide insights into potential market turning points, making it a valuable tool for long-term investors and traders looking to capitalize on macroeconomic trends.
How It Works:
Data Sources:
S&P 500 Index (SPX) and U.S. M2 Money Supply.
Calculating Growth Rates:
SPX Growth: The script calculates the percentage growth of the S&P 500 index by comparing the current closing price with the previous period's closing price.
M2 Growth: Similarly, it calculates the percentage growth of the U.S. M2 money supply by comparing the current value with the previous period's value.
Growth Gap/Delta:
Growth Gap: The core of the indicator is the "growth gap" or "delta," which is the difference between the M2 money supply growth and the SPX growth. This gap indicates whether liquidity in the economy (represented by M2) is outpacing or lagging behind the performance of the stock market.
Interpretation:
Positive Gap (Green Bars): When the M2 growth outpaces SPX growth, the gap is positive, indicating that there is more liquidity in the system than what is being reflected in the stock market. This scenario often signals potential upward momentum in the market, making it a good time to consider buying.
Negative Gap (Red Bars): When the SPX growth outpaces M2 growth, the gap is negative, suggesting that the market may be overextended relative to the available liquidity. This can be a warning sign of potential market corrections or downturns.
Visualization:
The indicator plots the growth gap as a histogram with bars colored based on the gap value:
Green Bars: Indicate a positive gap where M2 growth is higher than SPX growth.
Red Bars: Indicate a negative gap where SPX growth is higher than M2 growth.
The bars are thickened for better visibility, and a horizontal line at zero is plotted to help users easily distinguish between positive and negative gaps.
How To Use It:
Time Frame Selection: Users can select the desired time frame (e.g., monthly, weekly) for the data. This flexibility allows traders to analyze the indicator over different periods, depending on their investment horizon.
Monthly time frames seem to work best.
Interpreting the Indicator:
Bullish Signals: Look for sustained periods of positive growth gaps (green bars), which may indicate a favorable environment for buying or holding long positions.
Bearish Signals: Be cautious during periods of negative growth gaps (red bars), which could signal overvaluation in the market or potential pullbacks.
Enjoy and let me know if you have any questions.
Catastrophe DistanceCatastrophe Distance is a tool to visually explore the time between catastrophic price moves.
Catastrophes are defined with 2 variables:
drawdown_threshold: the amount of percent the price has to fall
lookback_period = the amount of last candles in which drawdown_threshold was reached.
Drawdown_threshold per default is 25% and lookback_period is 5, meaning per default if price moves -25% in the last 5 candles you have a catastrophe.
Feel free to play around with this values to fit all the events you consider a catastrophe.
This indicator does not provide signals. It however implies caution if the time since the last catastrophe is higher then the average time between catastrophes (of last x catastrophes).
This is marked by the label over the current price showing the actual and average time since last catastrophe turning from green to black.
Given that the distance between catastrophes is somewhat cyclical:
Maybe now is a good time to start phishing for low limit orders and reduce leverage?
Prometheus NFP LevelsThis script is a tool to mark the high and low of the most recent first Friday of the month. The significance of that day is that’s when the Bureau of Labor Statistics reports the Non Farm Payrolls (NFP) for the month prior. This number includes how many jobs were added that month, the unemployment rate, and labor force participation rate to name a few.
It is always on the first Friday of the new month, and markets tend to care about it quite a bit.
This script also allows a user to get the high and low of a specific date, the default date is the last Federal Open Market Committee day (FOMC). On this day the Federal Reserve announces the Federal Funds Interest Rate, as well as giving guidance on things like bond buying programs, to name a few.
Markets care about these days a lot, that is why we decided to make this script. Prometheus plans to update the default custom date with the most recent FOMC date as they come around.
Here we see the FOMC level high in blue, and low in yellow as well as the NFP high and low in green and red. The white boxes highlight areas where the market reacted to the levels.
On this chart we see a different asset still has interactions with the levels.
We chose to have the user input the date the way we did, not as a timestamp, for this code:
ts_start = timestamp(event_year, event_month, event_day, 9, 30)
ts_end = timestamp(event_year, event_month, event_day+1, 0, 0)
Adding one to the inputted date gives us a simple way to define the time range.
Prometheus encourages users to use indicators as tools along with their own discretion. No indicator is 100% accurate. We encourage comments about requested features and criticism.
Smoothed SuperTrend with VWAP Confirmation [CHE] Smoothed SuperTrend with Automated Optimization and VWAP Confirmation
Overview
The "Smoothed SuperTrend with VWAP Confirmation" is an advanced technical analysis indicator designed for precise trend identification and trading signal generation. This script integrates a smoothed version of the popular SuperTrend indicator with an additional layer of confirmation using the Volume-Weighted Average Price (VWAP). The combination of these two elements offers traders a powerful tool for identifying optimal entry and exit points in the market.
Key Features
1. Smoothed SuperTrend
- Super Smoother Algorithm: The SuperTrend in this script is not just a regular one; it is enhanced by the Super Smoother filter, which reduces market noise and provides more reliable trend signals.
- Customizable Parameters: Traders can adjust three different sets of SuperTrend parameters (factor and ATR length), allowing them to tailor the indicator to their specific trading strategies.
- Automatic Optimization: The script automatically evaluates the performance of each SuperTrend parameter set and selects the one with the best cumulative performance. This selection process can be set to pick either the best or the worst performing parameter set, depending on the trader's preference.
2. VWAP Confirmation
- Precise Trend Confirmation: Once the best-performing SuperTrend is identified, the script further refines the signals by using VWAP as a confirmation tool. VWAP is a highly respected indicator in the trading community, often used to assess the true average price of an asset.
- Long and Short Signal Generation: The script generates Long and Short signals only when the price action is confirmed by both the SuperTrend and VWAP. For a Long signal, the price must be above the VWAP, and for a Short signal, it must be below the VWAP. This dual confirmation ensures higher accuracy and reduces the likelihood of false signals.
3. Visual and Informative Labels
- Signal Labels: Upon confirmation of a trend reversal by both the SuperTrend and VWAP, the script plots clear labels on the chart, indicating confirmed Long or Short signals. These labels are customizable in terms of color, text, and size, ensuring they fit seamlessly into any chart setup.
- Best Parameters Display: At the close of the most recent bar, the script displays a label that provides detailed information about the best-performing SuperTrend parameters and their cumulative performance. This feature keeps traders informed about which settings are currently most effective.
Input Customization Options
1. Super Smoother Length
- Traders can define the length of the Super Smoother filter, which is used to smooth both price data and ATR (Average True Range) values. This input allows traders to control the sensitivity of the indicator, with shorter lengths providing faster responses and longer lengths offering smoother trends.
2. SuperTrend Parameters
- Factor: For each of the three SuperTrends, traders can set a unique factor that determines the distance of the SuperTrend bands from the average price. A higher factor results in wider bands and fewer signals, while a lower factor results in narrower bands and more signals.
- ATR Length: Traders can also specify the length of the ATR used in each SuperTrend calculation. A longer ATR period captures broader market volatility, while a shorter period focuses on more immediate price movements.
3. Label Settings
- Label Colors: The script allows full customization of label colors for Long and Short signals, ensuring that they match the trader’s chart aesthetics.
- Label Text Colors and Sizes: Traders can adjust the text color and size of the labels for Long, Short, and information labels, allowing them to prioritize visibility and readability on their charts.
4. Performance Selection Mode
- Best or Worst Performer: This input allows traders to select whether the script should optimize for the best or worst performing SuperTrend parameter set. This flexibility is useful in different market conditions, where a trader might want to analyze either the strongest trend or focus on a contrarian strategy.
5. VWAP Calculation
- The script automatically recalculates the VWAP based on trend changes, ensuring that the confirmation signals are as accurate and relevant as possible to the current market context.
Important Note
This script is designed to provide more accurate trend signals and confirmations, but like all technical indicators, it should not be used in isolation. It is recommended to use this tool as part of a broader trading strategy, including proper risk management and consideration of fundamental market conditions.
Conclusion
The "Smoothed SuperTrend with VWAP Confirmation" script is an innovative trading tool that combines the strengths of the SuperTrend and VWAP indicators. By integrating smoothing techniques and automatic parameter optimization, this indicator provides traders with more accurate and reliable trend signals. The added confirmation by VWAP further enhances the precision of the entry and exit points, making it an excellent choice for traders looking to improve their technical analysis and trading outcomes. This tool is especially valuable for those who prefer customizable inputs and a systematic approach to trading, ensuring that the indicator adapts to various market conditions and individual trading styles.
Best regards
Chervolino
Entropy Indicator [CHE]Entropy in Technical Analysis Using TradingView
Slide 1: Title
Entropy in Technical Analysis Using TradingView
Introduction to the concept of entropy
Application in technical analysis
Understanding the use of entropy as a market indicator
Slide 2: What is Entropy?
Definition and Origins:
Entropy originates from thermodynamics and information theory.
In thermodynamics, entropy describes the degree of disorder or randomness in a system.
In information theory, entropy quantifies the uncertainty or unpredictability of information content.
Mathematical Definition:
Entropy measures the unpredictability of a system.
The basic idea: Higher entropy means more randomness; lower entropy indicates more predictability.
Formula: Entropy is calculated using the probabilities of different outcomes, based on how frequently certain price levels are reached.
Slide 3: Entropy in Financial Markets
Why Entropy Matters:
Market Uncertainty: Entropy can measure the level of uncertainty or randomness in financial markets.
Volatility Indicator: High entropy may indicate a volatile, unpredictable market, while low entropy suggests a stable, predictable market.
Applications in Trading:
Trend Analysis: Identifying periods of high entropy can help detect potential trend reversals or periods of market consolidation.
Risk Management: Using entropy to adjust trading strategies based on the perceived level of market uncertainty.
Slide 4: How Entropy is Calculated in Trading
Step-by-Step Process:
Data Collection:
The first step is to gather the relevant price data over a specific period, such as 200 closing prices. This data forms the basis of the entropy calculation, representing the market's recent behavior.
Defining Bins:
The price range within the collected data is divided into a fixed number of bins or intervals. These bins represent different price levels. For instance, if you choose 5 bins, the price range will be split into 5 equal segments.
Assigning Data to Bins:
The next step is to assign each price within the data to one of these bins. This step helps in understanding how frequently the price falls within specific ranges, indicating the distribution of prices over the period.
Calculating Probabilities:
After assigning the data to bins, calculate the probability for each bin by dividing the number of data points in each bin by the total number of data points. These probabilities reflect how often prices fall into each range.
Computing Entropy:
Entropy is then calculated based on the distribution of these probabilities. The formula involves summing the products of each probability and the logarithm of that probability. This calculation tells us how evenly the prices are distributed across the bins.
Interpretation for Traders:
High entropy indicates that the prices are spread evenly across the bins, suggesting a highly random and uncertain market. Low entropy, on the other hand, shows that prices are concentrated in fewer bins, indicating more predictable and stable market conditions.
Slide 5: Implementing and Using Entropy in TradingView
How It Works in TradingView:
Data Period: Typically, entropy is calculated over a specific number of bars (e.g., 200), representing recent market activity. The longer the period, the broader the market behavior considered.
Bin Division: The price range during this period is divided into a set number of bins. These bins help to categorize price levels and assess how spread out the market’s activity is.
Entropy Calculation: The indicator evaluates the spread of prices across these bins to determine the level of market disorder. This is visualized on the chart as an entropy line, helping traders to see fluctuations in market uncertainty.
Practical Application:
As a trader, you can use the entropy indicator to gauge when the market is in a state of high uncertainty (high entropy) or low uncertainty (low entropy). This insight can inform decisions on when to take riskier trades or when to stay conservative.
Slide 6: Interpreting the Entropy Indicator
High Entropy:
Characteristics:
Indicates a high level of market disorder, where price movements are more random and less predictable.
Suggests volatile or unpredictable market conditions.
Implications for Traders:
During periods of high entropy, traders might need to exercise greater caution, reduce position sizes, or employ more defensive trading strategies.
High entropy could signal potential trend reversals or significant market movements, making it a critical period to watch closely.
Low Entropy:
Characteristics:
Suggests that the market is more predictable, with prices showing less variation and more consistent trends.
Typically associated with trending markets where price movement is more orderly.
Implications for Traders:
In a low entropy environment, traders might favor trend-following strategies, as the market shows clearer directional movement.
Low entropy can also suggest more reliable trading opportunities, where the risk of sudden, unpredictable price swings is reduced.
Slide 7: Use Cases and Strategy Integration
Practical Use Cases:
Trend Reversals: Use entropy to identify potential points where a market may shift from trending to consolidating, or vice versa. A sudden increase in entropy might indicate the end of a stable trend and the start of a more volatile period.
Volatility Detection: Detect periods of increased market volatility by observing spikes in entropy. These periods can be critical for adjusting your trading strategy, either by scaling back or by taking advantage of the increased movement.
Strategy Integration:
Risk Management: Incorporate entropy into your risk management strategy by adjusting position sizes, leverage, or stop-loss levels based on the current entropy reading. In high entropy conditions, it might be wise to take smaller, more conservative positions.
Combining Indicators: Entropy can be effectively combined with other indicators, such as moving averages or RSI, to provide a more comprehensive view of market conditions. For example, using entropy alongside a trend indicator can help confirm whether a trend is strong and likely to continue, or if it's weakening and at risk of reversal.
Slide 8: Advantages and Limitations of Entropy
Advantages:
Unique Perspective: Entropy offers a unique way to measure market uncertainty that complements traditional volatility measures. It provides traders with insights into the randomness and predictability of price movements, which can be crucial for strategic decision-making.
Dynamic Analysis: Entropy adapts to changes in market conditions, offering real-time insights into the level of market disorder. This makes it a valuable tool for traders who need to stay responsive to the market's evolving dynamics.
Limitations:
Complex Interpretation: Unlike more straightforward indicators, entropy requires a deeper understanding to interpret correctly. Traders need to be familiar with how entropy levels relate to market behavior and what actions to take in response.
Sensitivity to Parameters: The results can vary significantly depending on the number of bins and the data period chosen, requiring careful parameter selection. Traders may need to experiment with different settings to find the most informative configuration for their specific market or trading style.
Slide 9: Conclusion
Key Takeaways:
Entropy as a Tool: Provides a unique perspective on market dynamics by measuring unpredictability. This can help traders better understand the nature of market conditions and tailor their strategies accordingly.
Practical Application: Can enhance trading strategies, particularly in volatile markets, by helping to identify periods of high uncertainty and adjusting risk management practices.
Further Exploration: Experimenting with different bin sizes and periods can help fine-tune the entropy indicator for specific markets and trading strategies. Traders are encouraged to combine entropy with other indicators to build a more robust trading framework.
Final Thoughts:
Entropy is a powerful concept that, when applied correctly, can offer valuable insights into market behavior. It should be used in conjunction with other tools and indicators to make informed trading decisions, particularly in markets where unpredictability plays a significant role.
This presentation provides a comprehensive overview of entropy, its significance in financial markets, and how it can be practically applied as an indicator in TradingView. The focus is on how traders can use entropy to enhance their trading strategies and improve their understanding of market conditions.
Best regards
Chervolino
Ultra SessionsThe "Ultra Sessions" indicator is designed to enhance your trading strategy by clearly marking key market sessions and their associated "kill zones" directly on your chart. This powerful tool supports multiple time zones and provides customizable alerts for session opens, closes, and critical kill zones, ensuring you never miss important market movements.
Customizable Time Zones: Align the indicator with your local time by selecting from a wide range of global time zones.
Market Session Tracking: Visually track the New York, London, and Tokyo trading sessions with distinct color-coded markers.
Kill Zones: Highlight the high-volatility periods within each session to focus on key trading opportunities.
Alert System: Receive real-time alerts for session openings, closings, and kill zones, so you stay informed without constantly monitoring the chart.
Flexible Positioning: Choose the positioning of session markers to fit your chart layout, whether at the top or bottom.
Ideal for traders who want to optimize their entry and exit points by focusing on the most active and volatile times in the market, the indicator is a must-have for any serious trading setup.
CZ Scalping/Doji Strategy v1The "CZ Scalping/Doji Strategy" is designed to detect potential buy and sell opportunities based on a combination of indicators, including the ATR (Average True Range), SMA (Simple Moving Average), HMA (Hull Moving Average), and Doji candles. It also incorporates a risk management system to define stop-loss and take-profit levels.
Key Parameters and Indicators
Key Value (keyValue): This is a sensitivity factor that influences the calculation of the ATR-based trailing stop. It affects how closely the stop-loss follows the price.
ATR Period (atrPeriod): The period used for calculating the ATR, which measures market volatility. A higher value smooths out short-term fluctuations, while a lower value makes the ATR more responsive to recent price changes.
SMA Length (smaLength): The length of the Simple Moving Average, which serves as a trend filter. The script can dynamically adjust the SMA length if high-frequency trading is enabled.
Risk-Reward Ratio (riskRewardRatio): Defines the desired risk-reward ratio for trades. This ratio determines the relationship between potential profit and the accepted loss for each trade.
Trade Range Multiplier (tradeRangeMultiplier): Multiplies the ATR-based stop-loss value to set a range for trade conditions.
Enable High Frequency (enableHighFrequency): A boolean switch that, when enabled, adjusts the SMA length and trade range multiplier for higher trading frequency.
Indicators
ATR (Average True Range): This is used to calculate the trailing stop-loss (xATRTrailingStop). The stop-loss dynamically adjusts based on the volatility of the asset.
SMA (Simple Moving Average): The SMA serves as a trend filter, allowing trades only when the price is above (for buy signals) or below (for sell signals) the SMA.
HMA (Hull Moving Average): The script calculates and plots three different HMAs with lengths of 20, 25, and 200 periods. These HMAs help to smooth out price data and identify trends more clearly.
Doji Candles: The script identifies and plots Doji candles, which are often seen as indecision points in the market. A Doji candle is characterized by a small difference between the open and close prices.
Trade Logic
Buy Condition: A buy signal is generated when the price crosses above the ATR-based trailing stop, and the price is above the SMA filter. The trade must also meet certain range criteria related to the ATR.
Sell Condition: A sell signal is generated when the price crosses below the ATR-based trailing stop, and the price is below the SMA filter. Similar range criteria apply.
Risk Management
Stop Loss: The stop loss is set based on the ATR and adjusted by the trade range multiplier.
Take Profit: The take profit is calculated as a multiple of the stop loss, determined by the risk-reward ratio.
Alerts
The script includes alert conditions for buy and sell signals, as well as for detecting Doji candles. These alerts can be used to notify traders when specific conditions are met.
Chart Visualization
Plots: The script plots the three HMAs and marks buy/sell signals on the chart with diamonds. The bars are colored based on their relation to the ATR trailing stop: green for bars above the stop and red for bars below.
Doji Indicator: Doji candles are marked on the chart with a special symbol.
Usage
This strategy is intended for traders looking for a scalping method that incorporates volatility-based trailing stops and trend filtering. The additional Doji indicator helps in identifying potential reversals or periods of indecision in the market.
Publishing Considerations
Before publishing this script, ensure that:
Originality: The description clearly explains the unique aspects of this strategy, including the use of the ATR-based trailing stop in combination with trend filtering and Doji candle detection.
Language: The description and title are in English.
Chart: Publish with a clean chart that only includes this script and clear visualizations of the strategy's signals and indicators.
Risk Management: The strategy uses realistic back testing parameters, including appropriate commission, slippage, and position sizing.
Big Volumes HighlighterBig Volumes Highlighter
Overview:
The "Big Volume Highlighter" is a powerful tool designed to help traders quickly identify candles with the highest trading volume over a specified period. This indicator not only highlights the most significant volume candles but also color-codes them based on the candle's direction—green for bullish (close > open) and red for bearish (close < open). Whether you're analyzing volume spikes or looking for key moments in price action, this indicator provides clear visual cues to enhance your trading decisions.
Features:
Customizable Lookback Period: Define the number of candles to consider when determining the highest volume.
Automatic Color Coding: Candles with the highest volume are highlighted in green if bullish and red if bearish.
Visual Clarity: The indicator marks the significant volume candles with a triangle above the bar and changes the background color to match, making it easy to spot important volume events at a glance.
Use Cases:
Volume Spike Detection:
Quickly identify when a large volume enters the market, which may indicate significant buying or selling pressure.
Trend Confirmation: Use volume spikes to confirm trends or potential reversals by observing the direction of the high-volume candles.
Market Sentiment Analysis: Understand market sentiment by analyzing the direction of the candles with the biggest volumes.
How to Use:
Add the "Big Volume Highlighter" to your chart.
Adjust the lookback period to suit your analysis.
Observe the highlighted candles for insights into market dynamics.
This script is ideal for traders who want to incorporate volume analysis into their technical strategy, providing a simple yet effective way to monitor significant volume changes in the market.
M2 Global Liquidity Index (Candles)M2 Global Liquidity Index (Candles)
In this enhanced version of the original M2 Global Liquidity Index script by Mik3Christ3ns3n , I've taken the foundational concept and expanded its capabilities for more in-depth analysis and user flexibility. This updated script aggregates M2 money supply data from major global economies—China, the U.S., the Eurozone, Japan, and the U.K.—adjusted by their respective exchange rates, into a customizable global liquidity index.
Key Enhancements:
Candlestick Visualization:
• Instead of a simple line chart, I've implemented a candlestick chart, providing a more detailed representation of liquidity trends with open, high, low, and close values for each period. This allows traders to analyze the index with the same technical tools used for price charts.
Customizable Components:
• Users can now select which components (M2 data and exchange rates) to include in the index calculation, giving you the flexibility to tailor the index to specific economic factors or regions of interest.
Dynamic Color Coding:
• Candles are color-coded based on their performance (bullish or bearish), with customized wick and border colors to enhance visual clarity, making it easier to spot liquidity trends at a glance.
Overlay Option:
• This script is designed to be an overlay, allowing you to plot the Global Liquidity Index directly on your price charts, facilitating comparison between liquidity trends and asset prices.
This enhanced script is ideal for traders and analysts who want a deeper understanding of global liquidity trends and their impact on financial markets.
Prometheus TTM SqueezeThe TTM indicator is an indicator used to better understand an underlying’s direction and volatility. Positive values indicate a rising price, negative falling. There is also an element of the underlying's volatility, explained below.
When, in this particular indicator, the zero line is the aqua color, that means that the volatility has picked up. In literal terms, it means that the upper Keltner Channel is above the upper Bollinger Band and the lower Keltner Channel is below the lower Bollinger Band. The range of the Keltner Channels is greater than the range of the Bollinger bands. What this is supposed to correlate to with price action is a more volatile choppier area. See below.
This is an example of volatility picking up being shown as the speed of the underlying. When the line turns aqua the move following tends to be sharp in the respective direction. Not a smooth delivery of price.
Regarding why this script is different from the others, with this script you do not need to input a bar's back value if you do not want to. Bars back being the amount of bars used in the indicator calculation. This is because of the use of Sum of Squared Errors, or SSE. How we do it is we calculate a Simple Moving Average or SMA and the indicator using a lot of different bars back values. Then if there is an event, characterized by the oscillator crossing over or under the 0 line, we subtract the close by the SMA and square it. If there is no event we return a big value, we want the error to be as small as possible. Because we loop over every value for bars back, we get the value with the smallest error. Or the SMA closest to the price ensuring we are following it as close as we can. This also becomes the value used as the multiplier for the Keltner Channels and Bollinger Bands, we simply divide them by 10 to normalize it. This leads to ease of use. A user does not need to worry about finding the best bars back for each ticker and time frame. We have you covered! SSE is not to be regarded to be the best given values for a pocket of the market, simply an estimation.
Of course we have the option for users to enter their own bars back or multipliers. Here is a comparison of the SSE at work and a 20 period bar’s back with 2 as the multiplier on a 4 hour $QQQ.
The top one is the SSE, the bottom is 20. I turned off showing the SMA, and alerts for better visibility. We see the SSE version does not cross above 0 again until the trend totally reverses. I would much rather overestimate risk than underestimate it.
The BULL and BEAR plotted on the chart is a result of the following conditions. A BULL if the price is above our auto optimized SMA and the oscillator crosses over 0. BEAR is the opposite, price below the SMA and an oscillator cross below 0. Here is the Daily NYSE:PLTR chart to show some.
Users have the options to toggle on and off the BULL and BEAR plots, SMA, as well as input their own lookback and multipliers.
We encourage traders to not follow indicators blindly, none are 100% accurate. SSE does not guarantee that the values generated will be the best for a given moment in time. Please comment on any desired updates, all criticism is welcome!
Inverted Yield Curve (US01Y/US10Y Ratio)This indicator calculates and visualizes the ratio between the US 1-Year Treasury Yield (US01Y) and the US 10-Year Treasury Yield (US10Y). It provides a clear visual representation of the relationship between short-term and long-term interest rates, which can be a valuable tool for analyzing market conditions, potential recessions, or shifts in economic outlook.
Features:
US01Y/US10Y Ratio: The indicator plots the ratio between the 1-Year and 10-Year US Treasury Yields as a smooth curve.
Dynamic Highlighting: Portions of the curve where the ratio exceeds 1 are highlighted in red, making it easy to identify periods where short-term rates surpass long-term rates—a key signal often associated with economic shifts or inversions.
Customizable Appearance: The main curve is plotted in a light blue color for clear visibility against most chart backgrounds.
Use Cases:
Yield Curve Analysis: This indicator helps traders and analysts monitor the yield curve, specifically focusing on the relationship between short-term and long-term interest rates.
Recession Signals: An inverted yield curve, where the ratio exceeds 1, can be an early warning signal for potential economic downturns.
Market Sentiment: Use the indicator to gauge shifts in investor sentiment by tracking changes in the yield curve over time.
How to Use:
Add the script to your TradingView chart.
The light blue curve represents the ratio of US01Y/US10Y.
Red highlights indicate periods where the ratio exceeds 1, signaling potential yield curve inversion.
This indicator is ideal for traders, investors, and economists looking to incorporate yield curve analysis into their trading strategies or economic forecasts.
Forex Session Tracker [MacroGlide]Forex Session Tracker is a tool designed to track and visualize trading activity across the four key Forex market sessions: New York, London, Tokyo, and Sydney. The indicator helps traders see the time intervals of each session, their impact on price movements, and analyze volatility within these sessions.
Key Features:
• Session Visualization: The indicator highlights price ranges during the New York, London, Tokyo, and Sydney sessions using different colors, making data easier to visually interpret and analyze. Users can customize the color scheme for each session.
• Price Change Analysis: The indicator tracks the opening prices of each session and calculates the price changes by the session's close. This allows traders to assess market dynamics within each session and make informed trading decisions.
• Average Price Changes: The average price change for a specified number of sessions is calculated for each session, helping to identify trends and volatility levels.
• Time Zone Support: The indicator takes into account time zones, allowing users to adjust the display according to their location or use the market's time zone.
• Interactive Dashboard: The built-in dashboard shows the status of each session in real-time (active or inactive), recent price changes, and average changes, providing quick access to key information directly on the chart.
How to Use:
• Add the indicator to your chart and configure the displayed sessions according to your needs.
• Use color differentiation to easily identify active trading sessions and assess their impact on price movements.
• Monitor price changes in each session and analyze averages for a deeper understanding of market trends.
Methodology:
The indicator uses the time intervals of each trading session to calculate and display opening prices, price ranges, and price changes for the session. Based on this data, the Forex Session Tracker visualizes the session's high and low prices and calculates the average price change over the last several sessions. All data is displayed in real-time, considering the user's time zone settings or the market's time zone.
Originality and Usefulness:
Forex Session Tracker stands out for its ability to combine price change information from several key trading sessions into one indicator, providing traders with a simple and clear way to analyze market activity across different time zones.
Charts:
The indicator displays clean and clear charts, where each trading session is highlighted with its own color, making visual interpretation easier. The charts focus only on essential information for analysis: opening prices, session ranges, and price changes. The integrated dashboard provides quick access to key session metrics, such as activity status, recent price changes, and average values for the selected period. These features make the charts highly useful for rapid analysis and trading decision-making.
Enjoy the game!
US Market CrashesThis script allows you to manually highlight specific periods on a chart, making it easy to visualize significant market events such as recessions, market crashes, or other key timeframes. Unlike traditional indicators that are based on price movements, this script provides a flexible way to mark any custom date range directly on your Trading View charts.
Features:
Custom Date Ranges: Easily specify start and end dates for periods you want to highlight on the chart.
Custom Colors: Choose different colors for each highlighted period for clear visual distinction.
Predefined Market Crashes: By default, the script highlights 18 historical market crashes where the market declined by over 20%.
Use Cases:
Historical Analysis: Highlight and study the impact of past recessions or market crashes.
Event Marking: Mark specific economic events, earnings seasons, or other relevant periods.
Presentation: Use the highlighted periods to enhance presentations or reports on market behavior.
How to Use:
Input the start and end dates for the periods you want to highlight.
Adjust the colors and transparency as needed.
Apply the script to your chart to see the highlighted periods.
This tool is perfect for traders, analysts, and investors who want a clean and straightforward way to visualize important historical periods on their charts.
The default setup includes 18 significant market crashes with declines of over 20%.
Prometheus Cauchy ProbabilityThe Cauchy probability distribution is a distribution that is better suited to be used on non normal data, such as stock returns. Markets characterized by volatility and fat-tails can be better modeled like this.
This script provides two values to a user. The blue line represents the probability for the underlying to rise. The purple line represents its probability to fall. Rise and fall by how much? By default a prediction of 0.5% is set, but users can adjust it. The script automatically calculates based on how many bars would be in an entire day. For example there are 390 minutes from 9:30am to 4:00pm est. time so the script uses 390 bars. Users have the option to set a custom bars back length.
Developer’s note. This script works best with extended market hours on. Every example shown will have it on. The more price and volatility the better!
Code breakdown:
cauchy_cdf(x, x0, gamma)=>
1 / math.pi * math.atan((x - x0) / gamma) + 0.5
This function is what calculates the Cauchy cumulative density function.
// Calculate x and gamma
x = close * (1 + pred)
x0 = hi
gamma := ta.stdev(close, Len, false)
y = cauchy_cdf(x, x0, gamma)
//down
x_lo = close * (1 - pred)
x0_lo = lo
y_lo = cauchy_cdf(x_lo, x0_lo, gamma)
x represents the target price. x0 represents the current highest price of the day. Gamma is the standard deviation of prices over the desired length. x_lo, x0_lo, are variables to determine the probability of falling. Inputting these values into the function we get back our chance of rising and falling. Our blue and purple line.
Trade Examples:
Step 1: After a move down there is some choppiness, the values are close to each other and moving sharply.
Step 2: The chance to rise (Blue Line) strongly moves above the chance to fall (Purple Line), uptrend ensues.
Step 3: Small breaks below the purple line show breaks in the overall trend.
Step 4: Strong move down in price, and up in purple line end up trend.
Step 1: Strong cross in purple and blue line, marking the start of a downtrend.
Step 2: Small breaks above the purple line show breaks in the overall trend.
Step 3: Strong move up in price, and up in the blue line end downtrend.
Day trading example:
Custom input:
Step 1: Pre market weakness ends with a move up in the blue line and price.
Step 2: Consolidation in the uptrend with a small downtrend and above the purple line.
Step 3: Strong move up in price, and up in the blue line end consolidation and resumes strong uptrend.
This example is with custom input: 100 bars back, and 1% prediction.
Step 1: Downtrend starts after a big move up.
Step 2: Big crossover in blue and purple line. Uptrend starts.
Step 3: Lines get close signaling choppiness.
Step 4: Purple crosses over blue ending uptrend.
No indicator is 100% accurate, we encourage traders to use them along with their own discretion. Please use these tools with your own decision making. Comments about desired features and updates are encouraged!
Percentage Change IndicatorPercentage Change Indicator
This indicator calculates and displays the percentage change between the current close price and the previous close price. It provides a clear visual representation of price movements, helping traders quickly identify significant changes in the market.
## Formula
The percentage change is calculated using the following formula:
```
Percentage Change = (Current Close - Previous Close) * 100 / Current Close
```
## Features
- Displays percentage change as a bar chart
- Green bars indicate positive changes
- Red bars indicate negative changes
- A horizontal line at 0% helps distinguish between positive and negative movements
## How to Use
1. Add the indicator to your chart
2. Observe the bar chart below your main price chart
3. Green bars above the 0% line indicate upward price movements
4. Red bars below the 0% line indicate downward price movements
5. The height of each bar represents the magnitude of the percentage change
This indicator can be particularly useful for:
- Identifying sudden price spikes or drops
- Analyzing the volatility of an asset
- Comparing price movements across different timeframes
- Spotting potential entry or exit points based on percentage changes
Customize the indicator's appearance in the settings to suit your charting preferences.
Note: This indicator works on all timeframes, adapting its calculations to the selected chart period.
Normalized SP100/SP400 Ratio with Shiller PE Ratio (CAPE Ratio)This indicator is designed to observe market concentration and overall valuation by combining the Shiller CAPE Ratio with the SP100/SP400 ratio.
Blue Line: Represents the Shiller CAPE Ratio, which reflects the overall market valuation.
Yellow Line: Represents the SP100/SP400 ratio, which indicates market concentration.
The combination of these two metrics provides insight into market dynamics. Historically, on the SPX monthly chart, when the yellow line (SP100/SP400 ratio) crosses below the blue line (CAPE Ratio), it has been followed by a period of stock market gains.
Justification for Combination:
The Shiller CAPE Ratio is a widely recognized indicator of market valuation, providing a long-term perspective on whether the market is overvalued or undervalued. The SP100/SP400 ratio, on the other hand, measures the concentration of the market by comparing the largest 100 companies to the next 400 mid-sized companies.
By normalizing both metrics and analyzing their relationship, this script provides a unique perspective on market movements. The crossunder of the SP100/SP400 ratio below the CAPE Ratio may signal a shift in market sentiment or concentration, often leading to potential market rallies. This combination is not just a simple merger of indicators but rather a thoughtful integration that adds value by highlighting periods where market concentration and valuation dynamics align.
World Clock [VHX]Keeping track of local times across different time zones has always been a challenge, especially when working with global markets.
But worry no more, as we now have a solution tailored for this very need. With this indicator, you can effortlessly add two different time zones to your chart, making it easier than ever to stay on top of market activity. The indicator not only shows the current date and time for the selected time zones but also integrates seamlessly with your chart, ensuring that you’re always aligned with the right market timings, no matter where you or your trades are based.
Unfortunately, the clock won't function when the market is closed.
Bitcoin Power Law Oscillator [InvestorUnknown]The Bitcoin Power Law Oscillator is a specialized tool designed for long-term mean-reversion analysis of Bitcoin's price relative to a theoretical midline derived from the Bitcoin Power Law model (made by capriole_charles). This oscillator helps investors identify whether Bitcoin is currently overbought, oversold, or near its fair value according to this mathematical model.
Key Features:
Power Law Model Integration: The oscillator is based on the midline of the Bitcoin Power Law, which is calculated using regression coefficients (A and B) applied to the logarithm of the number of days since Bitcoin’s inception. This midline represents a theoretical fair value for Bitcoin over time.
Midline Distance Calculation: The distance between Bitcoin’s current price and the Power Law midline is computed as a percentage, indicating how far above or below the price is from this theoretical value.
float a = input.float (-16.98212206, 'Regression Coef. A', group = "Power Law Settings")
float b = input.float (5.83430649, 'Regression Coef. B', group = "Power Law Settings")
normalization_start_date = timestamp(2011,1,1)
calculation_start_date = time == timestamp(2010, 7, 19, 0, 0) // First BLX Bitcoin Date
int days_since = request.security('BNC:BLX', 'D', ta.barssince(calculation_start_date))
bar() =>
= request.security('BNC:BLX', 'D', bar())
int offset = 564 // days between 2009/1/1 and "calculation_start_date"
int days = days_since + offset
float e = a + b * math.log10(days)
float y = math.pow(10, e)
float midline_distance = math.round((y / btc_close - 1.0) * 100)
Oscillator Normalization: The raw distance is converted into a normalized oscillator, which fluctuates between -1 and 1. This normalization adjusts the oscillator to account for historical extremes, making it easier to compare current conditions with past market behavior.
float oscillator = -midline_distance
var float min = na
var float max = na
if (oscillator > max or na(max)) and time >= normalization_start_date
max := oscillator
if (min > oscillator or na(min)) and time >= normalization_start_date
min := oscillator
rescale(float value, float min, float max) =>
(2 * (value - min) / (max - min)) - 1
normalized_oscillator = rescale(oscillator, min, max)
Overbought/Oversold Identification: The oscillator provides a clear visual representation, where values near 1 suggest Bitcoin is overbought, and values near -1 indicate it is oversold. This can help identify potential reversal points or areas of significant market imbalance.
Optional Moving Average: Users can overlay a moving average (either SMA or EMA) on the oscillator to smooth out short-term fluctuations and focus on longer-term trends. This is particularly useful for confirming trend reversals or persistent overbought/oversold conditions.
This indicator is particularly useful for long-term Bitcoin investors who wish to gauge the market's mean-reversion tendencies based on a well-established theoretical model. By focusing on the Power Law’s midline, users can gain insights into whether Bitcoin’s current price deviates significantly from what historical trends would suggest as a fair value.
xBrat SlingshotThe xBrat Slingshot Software is designed to identify measured Pull Backs during trends. The Software then identifies two different types of “with trend” trading signals and 1 “trend failure” signal (discussed further down the logic explanation). It is important to know that every pullback is NOT tradeable and a strong set of rules/logic must be used consistently to first measure the pullback. Then a set of repeatable rules/logic is used to identify trading signals when that pullback has found support or resistance within those measured pullback zones. The xBrat Slingshot Software does this all automatically using the following logic.
Long trade
If False Breakout Stochastics (Stoch) closes below 20%, and then closes above 80%, identify a swing low as the lowest price reached since the close below 20%.
When Stoch then closes back down below N%, the algorithm will identify a swing high as the highest price reached since the close above 80.
Behind the chart the software draws a fib retracement from swing low to swing high.
If price ever closed below the 61.8 at any time between the swing high bar and the bar that closed below N%, the software cancels the setup (and undraws pullback zone visuals).
Otherwise our software draws pullback zones at the following fib percentages that are commonly used when measuring pullbacks against a trend.
Pullback zone 1: 23.6-38.2 (default green, light opacity)
Pullback zone 2: 38.2-50 (default green, medium opacity)
Pullback zone 3: 50-61.8 (default green, dark opacity)
If price enters (either closes inside of or touches) a pullback zone and then closes above it without ever closing past (below) it, the setup is confirmed and fib extension targets are drawn (distance from high swing to end of the pullback, extended from the end of the pullback):
Target zone 1: 110-127 (default green, light opacity)
Target zone 2: 161-176 (default green, medium opacity)
Target zone 3: 262-286 (default green, dark opacity)
If price closes past (below) Pullback zone 3 before the setup is confirmed, cancel the setup (and undraw visuals).
Once target zones are drawn, the setup is confirmed and never undrawn.
Short trade
Reverse of the above long trade logic.
Pullback confirmation value: N%
Default zone colour: Red
Once the pullback zone is identified and sufficient initial Support or Resistance occurs within the pullback zones, they are locked along with the target Target Zones for the current move.
Then further confluences are used with our proprietary logic to identify 3 types of Trading Signals. Just because we have a pullback during a trend, doesn't mean we are going to get straight back to the trend. We have identified 2 special sets of confluences that occur in a predefined order to ensure the trend is being returned to with momentum.
These are the Type 1 and Type 2 Trading Signals Below. Then we have another set of circumstances/confluence for when a Trend Fails and traders need to be able to trade these. This is the 3rd type of Trade, a Type 3 below.
Type 1 Trade Signals - Trend Continuation - The following MUST occur within the 3 pullback zones. This signal uses Crosses of Fast and Slow EMA’s which denote the switch back for slingshot and the trend to resume in its original direction after a measured pullback. Then we apply our proprietary EMA cloud for moving out of the pull back zones as a final confirmation for the signal to be Printed.
Type 1 Buy Signals: Fast EMA (default period N, displacement 0) closes below the slow EMA (default period N, displacement N) while in a green pullback zone, and then the fast EMA closes back above the slow EMA without price ever breaking below the last pullback zone (green zones must still be printing). Draw a horizontal line N ticks for entry above the close of the confirmation bar and extend until the lower EMA cloud line breaks it – at which point the lower EMA cloud line is shown as trailing stop
Type 1 Sell Signals: Fast EMA (default period N, displacement 0) closes above the slow EMA (default period N, displacement N) while in a red pullback zone, and then the fast EMA closes back below the slow EMA without price ever breaking above the last pullback zone (red zones must still be printing). Draw a horizontal line N ticks below the close of the confirmation bar and extend until the upper EMA cloud line breaks it – at which point the upper EMA cloud line is shown as trailing stop.
These are the most common of the trading signals when price action follows all of our standard logic rules for a pullback and starts to return in the direction of the main trend after the measured pullback. The highest probability move is to Target 2.
Type 2 Trades - Trend Continuation - For this signal type the Fast and Slow EMA’s DO NOT Cross. BUT price action has to Enter our proprietary EMA cloud and close in the cloud. Then on a set “N” bars must move back out and close outside of the EMA Cloud back in the direction of the original trend. Again, All this must be done within the Pull back Zones.
Type 2 Buy Signal: A bar closes below the upper cloud line while in a green pullback zone, and then within N bars, a bar closes above the upper cloud line without ever breaking below the last pullback zone or the lower EMA Cloud line (green zones must still be printing). Draw a horizontal line N ticks above the close of this bar and extend until the lower EMA cloud line breaks it – at which point the lower EMA cloud line is shown as trailing stop.
Type 2 Sell Signal: A bar closes above the lower cloud line while in a red pullback zone, and then within N bars, a bar closes below the lower cloud line without ever breaking above the last pullback zone or upper EMA cloud line (red zones must still be printing). Draw a horizontal line N ticks below the close of this bar and extend until the upper cloud line breaks it – at which point the upper cloud line is shown as trailing stop.
These are Shallow pullbacks, but still hit the pullback zones. The price action in this instance returns to the direction of the main trend more quickly but still follows a different set of rules to that of Type 1 trades. The Highest Probability move is to target Two
Type 3 Trades - Trend failure - These are trend failure signals where the pullback zones are printed but the price action does not return to the main trend, BUT breaks the third pullback zone and breaks the slingshot rules for a Trend following trade setup. Our proprietary EMA Cloud positioning is then used to confirm and print the signal once the leading edge( direction dependent) moves out of the last pullback zone and we get a candle close with “N” percentage of the pull backs zone's depth.
Type 3 Buy Signal: A bar closes above the highest red pullback zone without pricing previously having ever touched the first red target zone for previous short with trend move. Draw a horizontal line N ticks above the close of the bar that broke the last zone and extend until the lower cloud line breaks it – at which point the lower cloud line is shown as a trailing stop.
Type 3 Sell Signal: A bar closes below the lowest green pullback zone without pricing having ever touched the previous first green target zone for previous long with trend move. Draw a horizontal line N ticks below the close of the bar that broke the last zone and extend until the upper cloud line breaks it – at which point the upper cloud line is shown as a trailing stop.
The Trailing Stop Line is also printed to help with trade management of these 3 different types of trades. This EMA trailing stop is adjustable.
This strategy is designed for Scalping, Day Trading and even Swing Trading. Works with Forex, Crypto, Futures and Stocks.
Anomaly Detection with Standard Deviation [CHE]Anomaly Detection with Standard Deviation in Trading
Application for Traders
Traders can use this indicator to identify potential turning points in the market. Anomalies above the upper threshold may indicate overbought conditions, suggesting a possible reversal or sell opportunity. Conversely, anomalies below the lower threshold might signal oversold conditions, presenting a potential buying opportunity. By combining these signals with other technical analysis tools, traders can make more informed decisions and refine their trading strategies.
Introduction
Welcome to this presentation on Anomaly Detection using Standard Deviation in the context of trading. This method helps traders identify unusual price movements that may indicate potential trading opportunities. We will walk through the concept, explain how to set up the indicator, and discuss how traders can utilize it effectively.
Concept Overview
Anomaly Detection using Standard Deviation is a statistical method that identifies price points in a financial market that deviate significantly from the norm. The method relies on calculating the moving average and the standard deviation of a chosen price indicator over a specified period. By defining thresholds (e.g., 3 standard deviations above and below the mean), the method flags these deviations as anomalies, which can signal potential trading opportunities.
1. Selecting the Data Source
Description: The first step in setting up the indicator is choosing the price data that will be analyzed. Common options include the closing price, opening price, highest price, lowest price, or a combination of these (such as the average of the open, high, low, and close prices, known as OHLC4).
Importance: The choice of data source affects the sensitivity and relevance of the detected anomalies.
2. Setting the Calculation Period
Description: The calculation period refers to the number of time units (such as days, hours, or minutes) used to compute the moving average and standard deviation. A typical default period might be 20 units.
Importance: A shorter period makes the indicator more responsive to recent changes, while a longer period smooths out short-term fluctuations and highlights more significant trends.
3. Determining the Number of Displayed Lines and Labels
Description: Traders can configure how many anomaly lines and labels are displayed on the chart at any given time. This is crucial for maintaining a clear and readable chart, especially in volatile markets.
Importance: Limiting the number of displayed anomalies helps avoid clutter and focuses attention on the most recent or relevant data points.
4. Calculating the Mean and Standard Deviation
Description: The mean (or moving average) represents the central tendency of the price data, while the standard deviation measures the dispersion or volatility around this mean.
Importance: These statistical measures are fundamental to determining the thresholds for what constitutes an "anomaly."
5. Defining Anomaly Thresholds
Description: Anomaly thresholds are typically set at 3 standard deviations above and below the mean. Prices that exceed these thresholds are considered anomalies, signaling potential overbought (above the upper threshold) or oversold (below the lower threshold) conditions.
Importance: These thresholds help traders identify extreme market conditions that might present trading opportunities.
6. Identifying Anomalies
Description: The indicator checks whether the high or low prices exceed the defined thresholds. If they do, these price points are flagged as anomalies.
Importance: Identifying these points can alert traders to unusual market behavior, prompting them to consider buying, selling, or holding their positions.
7. Visualizing the Anomalies
Description: The indicator plots the thresholds on the chart as lines, with anomalies highlighted through additional visual cues, such as labels or lines.
Importance: This visualization makes it easy for traders to spot significant deviations from the norm, which might warrant further analysis or immediate action.
8. Managing Displayed Anomalies
Description: To keep the chart organized, the indicator automatically removes the oldest lines and labels when the number exceeds the user-defined limit.
Importance: This feature ensures that the chart remains clear and focused on the most relevant data points, preventing information overload.
Conclusion
The Anomaly Detection with Standard Deviation indicator is a powerful tool for identifying significant deviations in market behavior. By customizing parameters such as the calculation period and the number of displayed anomalies, traders can tailor the indicator to suit their specific needs, leading to more effective trading decisions.
Best regards
Chervolino
AB_Bnf_Selling_5minThe Mathematical Level Reversal Strategy is designed to identify potential reversal points in the market using mathematical levels combined with price action on a 5-minute chart. This strategy is particularly effective for intraday traders who seek to capitalize on precise entry and exit points based on calculated levels rather than traditional indicators like moving averages or Bollinger Bands.
Creators' Mathematical Levels Explanation
Mathematical levels are predetermined price points calculated based on various factors such as previous high/low points, Fibonacci retracements, or other arithmetic calculations. These levels are used to anticipate areas where the price might reverse or experience significant support or resistance.
higher threshold: A predefined level where the price is expected to experience resistance, leading to a potential reversal downward.
Lower Threshold: A predefined level where the price might find support, leading to a potential upward reversal.
In this strategy, we focus on price movements around the upper mathematical level, where prices are likely to reverse downwards.
Strategy Logic
Setup:
The strategy is applied on a 5-minute chart.
Mathematical levels are calculated based on your preferred method, such as Fibonacci levels, pivot points, or custom calculations. For this strategy, let's assume we are using a specific predefined upper level.
Sell Signal Criteria:
A 5-minute candle must cross above the predefined upper mathematical level or close entirely above it (open and close both above the level).
The following candle must break below the low of the candle that crossed the upper level and close below that low. This confirms a bearish reversal.
Once these conditions are met, a sell signal is triggered.
Stop Loss:
The stop loss is placed at the high of the candle that crossed above the upper mathematical level.
This level represents the point where the trade setup would be invalidated.
Take Profit:
Target 1: The first take profit is set at a level that offers a 1:5 risk-to-reward ratio.
Target 2: An alternative take profit level is set at a 1:3 risk-to-reward ratio, providing flexibility based on market conditions.
Trade Management:
Once a trade is initiated, no new trades will be taken until the current trade hits either the stop loss or the first take profit level. This prevents overlapping signals and helps in managing risk effectively.
Originality and Usefulness
This strategy offers a unique approach by using mathematical levels instead of traditional indicators. It provides traders with a clear framework for identifying and executing high-probability reversal trades, particularly in intraday markets.
Originality:
The strategy's originality lies in its reliance on mathematical levels combined with a multi-candle confirmation pattern. This approach reduces the chances of false signals and offers a robust method for identifying potential reversals.
Usefulness:
The strategy is particularly useful for traders who prefer a more quantitative approach, relying on calculated price levels rather than indicators. The clear rules for entry, stop loss, and take profit make it easier to execute consistently.
The inclusion of both 1:5 and 1:3 risk-to-reward targets allows for flexibility depending on market conditions, ensuring that traders can adapt to varying levels of volatility.
Chart Signals and Examples
To demonstrate the effectiveness of this strategy, let's look at a few hypothetical examples on a 5-minute chart:
Example 1: Clear Reversal Signal
The price steadily rises and crosses above the predefined upper mathematical level. The next candle breaks below the low of this candle and closes lower, triggering a sell signal.
A red dotted line is drawn at the stop loss level (the high of the candle that crossed the upper level).
Two green dashed lines are drawn to indicate the first and second take profit levels.
Example 2: No Signal Due to Ongoing Trade
After an initial sell signal is triggered, the price fluctuates but does not hit either the stop loss or the first take profit target. During this period, the strategy refrains from issuing any new signals, adhering to the trade management rule.
Example 3: Trade Reaches Target 1
In another scenario, the price moves sharply in favor of the trade after the signal is triggered. The first take profit level is hit, securing a profit. The trade is then considered closed, and the strategy is ready to issue a new signal when conditions are met.
Opening Price LinesThis script allows the user to set 16 custom opening time price lines and labels, as well as 4 vertical lines to delineate times of the day.
Opening price is crucial for PO3 and OHLC/OLHC market strategies. If you are bearish, you want to get in above the opening price of a candle; conversely if you are bullish you want to enter below the opening price of a candle.
This indicator will aid in identifying time clusters in price as well as identifying important times for whatever strategy the user employs.
*Many thanks to TFO for the framework from which this indicator was created.*
