Bollinger Bands Regression Forecast [BigBeluga]🔵 OVERVIEW
The Bollinger Bands Regression Forecast combines volatility envelopes from Bollinger Bands with a linear regression-based projection model .
It visualizes both current and future price zones by extrapolating the Bollinger channel forward in time, giving traders a statistical forecast of probable support and resistance behavior.
🔵 CONCEPTS
Classic Bollinger Bands use a moving average (basis) and standard deviation (deviation) to form dynamic envelopes around price.
This indicator enhances them with linear regression slope detection , allowing it to forecast how the band may expand or contract in the future.
Regression is applied to both the band’s basis and deviation components to predict their trajectory for a user-defined number of Forecast Bars .
The resulting forecast creates a smoothed, funnel-shaped projection that dynamically adapts to volatility.
▲ and ▼ markers highlight potential mean reversion points when price crosses the outer bounds of the bands.
🔵 FEATURES
Forecast Engine : Uses linear regression to project Bollinger Band movement into the future.
Dynamic Channel Width : Adapts standard deviation and slope for realistic volatility modeling.
Auto-Labeled Levels : Displays live upper and lower forecast values for quick reference.
Cross Signals : Marks potential overbought and oversold zones with ▲/▼ signals when price exits the band.
Trend-Adaptive Basis Color : Basis line automatically switches color to represent short-term trend direction.
Customizable Colors and Widths for complete visual control.
🔵 HOW TO USE
Apply the indicator to visualize both current Bollinger structure and its forward projection.
Use ▲/▼ breakout markers to identify short-term reversals or volatility shifts.
When price consistently rides the upper band forecast, the trend is strong and likely continuing.
When regression shows narrowing bands ahead, expect a volatility contraction or consolidation period.
For range traders, outer projected bands can be used as potential mean reversion entry points .
Combine with volume or momentum filters to confirm whether breakouts are genuine or fading.
🔵 CONCLUSION
Bollinger Bands Regression Forecast transforms classic Bollinger analysis into a predictive forecasting model .
By merging volatility dynamics with regression-based extrapolation, it provides traders with a forward-looking visualization of likely price boundaries — revealing not only where volatility is but also where it’s heading next.
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