Liquidations [ChartPrime]Liquidations Indicator:
The Liquidations indicator is a powerful tool designed to help traders identify significant liquidation levels in financial markets. By analyzing volume data over a specified lookback period, the indicator highlights potential areas where market participants with high leverage positions may face liquidation, providing valuable insights into market dynamics.
Usage:
Traders can use the Liquidations indicator to:
◈ Identify liquidity grab opportunities: Liquidation levels often attract price action as market participants with leveraged positions face the risk of forced liquidation. Traders can anticipate price movements as the market aims to trigger these stops, potentially leading to rapid price movements or reversals.
◈ Confirm trend strength: A cluster of liquidation levels in the same direction as the prevailing trend may confirm the strength of the trend, while divergences between liquidation levels and price movements may signal potential trend reversals.
Settings:
◈ Previous Value Bars Back: Specifies the number of previous bars used in calculating the liquidation levels.
◈ Show Leverage: Allows users to selectively display liquidation levels for different leverage multiples, including 5x, 10x, 25x, 50x, and 100x.
◈ Liquidation Levels Width: Sets the width of the lines representing liquidation levels on the chart.
◈ Short Liquidations Color: Specifies the color of the lines representing short liquidation levels.
◈ Long Liquidations Color: Specifies the color of the lines representing long liquidation levels.
◈ Bar Color: Sets the color of the background bar when the indicator is active.
Visual Representation:
◈ Liquidation levels are plotted as horizontal lines on the chart, with different colors representing short and long liquidation levels.
◈ Each liquidation level is labeled with the corresponding leverage multiple (e.g., 5x, 10x, etc.).
A dashboard displays the active liquidation levels for each leverage multiple, allowing traders to quickly assess the current market conditions.
◈ Time Window allows users to cut off unnecessary part of the chart and concentrate on a current active part of the chart to make better trading decisions:
Interpretation:
Market participants tend to place stop-loss orders near liquidation levels , creating clusters of pending orders. As price approaches these levels, it may trigger a cascade of stop-loss orders, providing liquidity for market orders and potentially leading to rapid price movements in the opposite direction.
Traders can anticipate price reversals or accelerations as price interacts with liquidation levels, using them as reference points for identifying potential entry or exit opportunities.
Note:
While the Liquidations indicator provides valuable insights into market dynamics, traders should use it in conjunction with other technical analysis tools and risk management strategies to make informed trading decisions.
Gestion de portefeuille
Tic Tac Toe Game [TradeDots]Feeling bored with trading?
Time to inject some fun into your decision-making process with our Tic Tac Toe Indicator!
The Tic Tac Toe game transforms your chart into a competitive playground where trading pairs face off in a classic game of Tic Tac Toe.
HOW TO PLAY
Our Tic Tac Toe game invites you to pit one trading pair against another directly on your chart. Choose the competitors and watch as they battle it out in a traditional grid setup.
Navigate to settings and select your competitor pair.
Choose who kicks off the game.
After the close of each new bar, the algorithm will utilize the closing prices of both symbols. These numbers feed into a random number generator which alternates the turns for placing marks on the grid.
The game progresses until one pair aligns three consecutive symbols and wins, or the board fills up. After that, the game resets every three bars, offering continual engagement during active market hours.
MANUAL PLAYING MODE
Currently, due to PineScript's limitations, a fully interactive manual mode is not supported, as all previous data will be lost with each new user input, preventing the replication of existing game states.
However, users can input a sequence at the start, guiding the placement of symbols throughout the game.
Stay tuned for future updates!
Futures Risk CalculatorThe "Futures Risk Calculator" is designed to assist traders in calculating the number of contracts to risk based on their account size, risk percentage, and stop loss level. This script provides a convenient way for traders to determine their position size in futures or other instruments where contracts are used.
The script prompts users to input their account size, risk percentage, entry price, and stop loss price. It then calculates the stop size in points, risk in dollars, and the number of contracts to risk. These calculations are based on standard risk management principles commonly used in trading.
The script plots the entry and stop loss lines on the chart for visual reference. Additionally, it displays a label in the top-right corner of the chart, showing the calculated number of contracts to risk. The label updates dynamically as the input values or market conditions change.
Originality and Usefulness:
This script is original and adds value to the TradingView community by providing traders with a practical tool for managing risk in their trading strategies. It is focusing on risk management, an essential aspect of successful trading.
By automating the calculation process, the script saves traders time and reduces the potential for manual errors. It encourages traders to adopt disciplined risk management practices, which are crucial for long-term profitability and capital preservation.
How to Use:
Input your account size, risk percentage, entry price, and stop loss price in the script settings.
Enter the pip size according to the instrument you are using (by default its's based for NASDAQ)
The script will automatically calculate the number of contracts to risk based on the provided inputs.
The entry and stop loss lines will be plotted on the chart for visual reference.
The calculated number of contracts to risk will be displayed in the top-right corner of the chart.
By following these steps, traders can effectively manage their risk exposure and make informed decisions when entering trades.
Candle Strength based on Relative Strength of EMAOverview:
The EMA-Based Relative Strength Labels indicator provides a dynamic method to visualize the strength of price movements relative to an Exponential Moving Average (EMA). By comparing the current price to the EMA, it assigns labels (A, B, C for bullish and X, Y, Z for bearish) to candles, indicating the intensity of bullish or bearish behavior.
Key Features:
Dynamic EMA Comparison: The indicator calculates the difference between the current price and the EMA, expressing it as a percentage to determine relative strength.
Configurable Thresholds: Users can set custom thresholds for strong, moderate, and low bullish or bearish movements, allowing for tailored analysis based on personal trading strategy or market behavior.
Clear Visual Labels: Each candle is labeled directly on the chart, making it easy to spot significant price movements at a glance.
Usage:
Trend Confirmation: The labels help confirm the prevailing trend's strength, aiding traders in decision-making regarding entry or exit points.
Risk Management: By identifying the strength of the price movements, traders can better manage stop-loss placements and avoid potential false breakouts.
Strategy Development: Incorporate the indicator into trading systems to enhance strategies that depend on trend strength and momentum.
How It Works:
The script calculates the EMA of the closing prices and measures the relative strength of each candle to this average.
Bullish candles above the EMA and bearish candles below the EMA are further analyzed to determine their strength based on predefined percentage thresholds.
Labels 'A', 'B', and 'C' are assigned for varying degrees of bullish strength, while 'X', 'Y', and 'Z' denote levels of bearish intensity.
Customization:
Users can adjust the EMA period and modify the strength thresholds for both bullish and bearish conditions to suit different instruments and timeframes.
Best Practices:
Combine this indicator with volume analysis and other technical tools for comprehensive market analysis.
Regularly update the thresholds based on market volatility and personal risk tolerance to maintain the effectiveness of the labels.
RSI Multi Strategies With Overlay SignalsHello everyone,
In this indicator, you will find 6 different entry and exit signals based on the RSI :
Entry into overbought and oversold zones
Exit from overbought and oversold zones
Crossing the 50 level
RSI cross RSI MA below or above the 50 level
RSI cross RSI MA in the overbought or oversold zones
RSI Divergence
With the signals identified, you can create your own strategy . (If you have any suggestions, please mention them in the comments).
Beyond these signals, you can set SL (Stop Loss) and TP (Take Profit) levels to better manage your positions.
SL Methods:
Percentage: The stop loss is determined by the percentage you specify.
ATR : The stop level is determined based on the Average True Range (ATR).
TP Methods:
Percentage: The take profit is determined by the percentage you specify.
RR ( Risk Reward ): The take profit level is determined based on the distance from the stop level.
You can mix and match these options as you like.
What makes the indicator unique and effective is its ability to display the RSI in the bottom chart and the signals, SL (Stop Loss), and TP (Take Profit) levels in the overlay chart simultaneously. This feature allows you to manage your trading quickly and easily without the need for using two separate indicators.
Let's try out a few strategies together.
My entry signal: RSI Entered OS (Oversold) Zone
My exit signal: RSI Entered OB (Overbought) Zone
I'm not using a stoploss for this strategy ("Fortune favors the brave").
Let's keep ourselves safe by adding a stop loss.
I'm adding an ATR-based stop loss.
I think it's better now.
If you have any questions or suggestions about the indicator, you can contact me.
Cheers
Mag7 IndexThis is an indicator index based on cumulative market value of the Magnificent 7 (AAPL, MSFT, NVDA, TSLA, META, AMZN, GOOG). Such an indicator for the famous Mag 7, against which your main security can be benchmarked, was missing from the TradingView user library.
The index bar values are calculated by taking the weighted average of the 7 stocks, relative to their market cap. Explicitly, we are multiplying each bar period's total outstanding stock amount by the OHLC of that period for each stock and dividing that value by the combined sum of outstanding stock for the 7 corporations. OHLC is taken for the extended trading session.
The index dynamically adjusts with respect to the chosen main security and the bars/line visible in the chart window; that is, the first close value is normalized to the main security's first close value. It provides recalculation of the performance in that chart window as you scroll (this isn't apparent in the demo chart above this description).
It can be useful for checking market breadth, or benchmarking price performance of the individual stock components that comprise the Magnificent 7. I prefer comparing the indicator to the Nasdaq Composite Index (IXIC) or S&P500 (SPX), but of course you can make comparisons to any security or commodity.
Settings Input Options:
1) Bar vs. Line - view as OHLC colored bars or line chart. Line chart color based on close above or below the previous period close as green or red line respectively.
2) % vs Regular - the final value for the window period as % return for that window or index value
3) Turn on/off - bottom right tile displaying window-period performance
Inspired by the simpler NQ 7 Index script by @RaenonX but with normalization to main security at start of window and additional settings input options.
Please provide feedback for additional features, e.g., if a regular/extended session option is useful.
Wunder OI breakout1. The basic concept for this strategy is to breakout open interest levels.
2. Open interest indicates the total number of active positions in the market a sharp increase in which we will use to enter a trade.
3. The main concept of this strategy is to break open interest levels.The strategy is based on building levels based on the highs and lows over a certain period. The breakdown of the set levels is used for entry. You can change the period as well as the percentage of change in open interest to find setups based on your pair and timeframe.
4. A function for calculating risk on the portfolio (your deposit) has been added to the Wunder OI breakout. When this option is enabled, you get a calculation of the entry amount in dollars relative to your Stop Loss. In the settings, you can select the risk percentage on your portfolio. The loss will be calculated from the amount that will be displayed on the chart.
5. For example, if your deposit is $1000 and you set the risk to 1%, with a Stop Loss of 5%, the entry volume will be $200. The loss at SL will be $10. 10$, which is your 1% risk or 1% of the deposit.
Important! The risk per trade must be less than the Stop Loss value. If the risk is greater than SL, then you should use leverage.
The amount of funds entering the trade is calculated in dollars. This option was created if you want to send the dollar amount from Tradingview to the exchange. However, putting your volume in dollars you get the incorrect net profit and drawdown indication in the backtest results, as TradingView calculates the backtest volume in contracts.
To display the correct net profit and drawdown values in Tradingview Backtest results, use the ”Volume in contract” option.
Easy Strategy BuilderHello, I focused on making this indicator as user-friendly as possible while designing it. I avoided complex structures, and as a result, I believe I have created an indicator that everyone can easily use.
With the Strategy Builder indicator, you can automate the strategy you use and visualize signals on the chart. This allows you to scale your strategy and stay informed of new signals through alerts.
How it works?
Firstly, we need to determine the entry condition for the trade. For this, you have 15 different sources at your disposal.
1. Price
2. RSI
3. RSI MA
4. CCI
5. STOCH K
6. STOCH D
7. MA 1
8. MA 2
9. ATR
10. DMI+
11. DMI-
12. SUPERTREND
13. BB Lower
14. BB Middle
15. BB Upper
Using the relationship between these sources or with a key level, we can generate signals. There are 7 different conditions available to control this relationship.
1. > x is greater than y
2. > = x is greater than or equal to y
3. < x is less than y
4. ≤ x is less than or equal to y
5. = x is equal to y
6. Cross Up = x has crossed above y. One bar ago, x was less than y, now x is greater than y.
7. Cross Down = x has crossed below y. One bar ago, x was greater than y, now x is less than y.
Let’s make a few examples
1.
- Entry Condition: RSI crosses above RSI moving average.
- Exit Condition: RSI crosses below RSI moving average.
Let's use more than one condition together
2.
Entry Condition: rsi<30 ve rsi cross up rsi Ma
Exit Condition: Rsi>70 ve rsi cross down rsi Ma
Let's strengthen the signal by adding different indicators and price.
3.
Entry Condition: rsi<30 and price70 and price> bb middle and rsi cross down rsi ma
What if things go wrong? Let's add stop loss
4.
Entry Condition: rsi<30 and price70 and price> bb higher and rsi cross down rsi ma
Stoploss: %2
That's how simple it is to create a strategy. Need a more complex strategy? Feel free to contact me.
Important notes:
1. Avoid continuously triggered conditions.
Example:
Entry Condition: RSI > 0
2. Determine logical entry and exit conditions.
3. Avoid placing stop losses too close to entry points.
AIFX with WMALinear regression is a linear approach to modeling the relationship between a dependent variable and one or more independent variables.
In linear regression, the relationships are modeled using linear predictor functions whose unknown model parameters are estimated from the data.
The regression channel in this study is modeled using the least squares approach with four base average types to choose from:
-> Volume Weighted Moving Average (VWMA)
When using VWMA, if no volume is present, the calculation will automatically switch to tick volume, making it compatible with any cryptocurrency, stock, currency pair, or index you want to analyze.
There are two window types for calculation in this script as well:
-> Continuous, which generates a regression model over a fixed number of bars continuously.
-> Interval, which generates a regression model that only moves its starting point when a new interval starts. The number of bars for calculation cumulatively increases until the end of the interval.
The channel is generated by calculating standard deviation multiplied by the channel width coefficient, adding it to and subtracting it from the regression line, then dividing it into quartiles.
To observe the path of the regression, I've included a tracer line, which follows the current point of the regression line. This is also referred to as a Least Squares Moving Average (LSMA).
For added predictive capability, there is an option to extend the channel lines into the future.
A custom bar color scheme based on channel direction and price proximity to the current regression value is included.
I don't necessarily recommend using this tool as a standalone, but rather as a supplement to your analysis systems.
Regression analysis is far from an exact science. However, with the right combination of tools and strategies in place, it can greatly enhance your analysis and trading.
Buy/Sell Signals: The indicator is based on specific criteria to generate buy/sell signals. Crossings between the upper and lower bands trigger buy/sell signals. For example, a sell signal is generated when the price crosses below the upper band, while a buy signal is generated when the price crosses above the lower band.
Alarm Conditions: The indicator sets alarm conditions to notify users when specific buy/sell signals are detected. This ensures that users do not miss trading opportunities and stay informed about significant changes in the market.
Trailing Management (Zeiierman)█ Overview
The Trailing Management (Zeiierman) indicator is designed for traders who seek an automated and dynamic approach to managing trailing stops. It helps traders make systematic decisions regarding when to enter and exit trades based on the calculated risk-reward ratio. By providing a clear visual representation of trailing stop levels and risk-reward metrics, the indicator is an essential tool for both novice and experienced traders aiming to enhance their trading discipline.
The Trailing Management (Zeiierman) indicator integrates a Break-Even Curve feature to enhance its utility in trailing stop management and risk-reward optimization. The Break-Even Curve illuminates the precise point at which a trade neither gains nor loses value, offering clarity on the risk-reward landscape. Furthermore, this precise point is calculated based on the required win rate and the risk/reward ratio. This calculation aids traders in understanding the type of strategy they need to employ at any given time to be profitable. In other words, traders can, at any given point, assess the kind of strategy they need to utilize to make money, depending on the price's position within the risk/reward box.
█ How It Works
The indicator operates by computing the highest high and the lowest low over a user-defined period and then applying this information to determine optimal trailing stop levels for both long and short positions.
Directional Bias:
It establishes the direction of the market trend by comparing the index of the highest high and the lowest low within the lookback period.
Bullish
Bearish
Trailing Stop Adjustment:
The trailing stops are adjusted using one of three methods: an automatic calculation based on the median of recent peak differences, pivot points, or a fixed percentage defined by the user.
The Break-Even Curve:
The Break-Even Curve, along with the risk/reward ratio, is determined through the trailing method. This approach utilizes the current closing price as a hypothetical entry point for trades. All calculations, including those for the curve, are based on this current closing price, ensuring real-time accuracy and relevance. As market conditions fluctuate, the curve dynamically adjusts, offering traders a visual benchmark that signifies the break-even point. This real-time adjustment provides traders with an invaluable tool, allowing them to visually track how shifts in the market could impact the point at which their trades neither gain nor lose value.
Example:
Let's say the price is at the midpoint of the risk/reward box; this means that the risk/reward ratio should be 1:1, and the minimum win rate is 50% to break even.
In this example, we can see that the price is near the stop-loss level. If you are about to take a trade in this area and would respect your stop, you only need to have a minimum win rate of 11% to earn money, given the risk/reward ratio, assuming that you hold the trade to the target.
In other words, traders can, at any given point, assess the kind of strategy they need to employ to make money based on the price's position within the risk/reward box.
█ How to Use
Market Bias:
When using the Auto Bias feature, the indicator calculates the underlying market bias and displays it as either bullish or bearish. This helps traders align their trades with the underlying market trend.
Risk Management:
By observing the plotted trailing stops and the risk-reward ratios, traders can make strategic decisions to enter or exit positions, effectively managing the risk.
Strategy selection:
The Break-Even Curve is a powerful tool for managing risk, allowing traders to visualize the relationship between their trailing stops and the market's price movements. By understanding where the break-even point lies, traders can adjust their strategies to either lock in profits or cut losses.
Based on the plotted risk/reward box and the location of the price within this box, traders can easily see the win rate required by their strategy to make money in the long run, given the risk/reward ratio.
Consider this example: The market is bullish, as indicated by the bias, and the indicator suggests looking into long trades. The price is near the top of the risk/reward box, which means entering the market right now carries a huge risk, and the potential reward is very low. To take this trade, traders must have a strategy with a win rate of at least 90%.
█ Settings
Trailing Method:
Auto: The indicator calculates the trailing stop dynamically based on market conditions.
Pivot: The trailing stop is adjusted to the highest high (long positions) or lowest low (short positions) identified within a specified lookback period. This method uses the pivotal points of the market to set the trailing stop.
Percentage: The trailing stop is set at a fixed percentage away from the peak high or low.
Trailing Size (prd):
This setting defines the lookback period for the highest high and lowest low, which affects the sensitivity of the trailing stop to price movements.
Percentage Step (perc):
If the 'Percentage' method is selected, this setting determines the fixed percentage for the trailing stop distance.
Set Bias (bias):
Allows users to set a market bias which can be Bullish, Bearish, or Auto, affecting how the trailing stop is adjusted in relation to the market trend.
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Disclaimer
The information contained in my Scripts/Indicators/Ideas/Algos/Systems does not constitute financial advice or a solicitation to buy or sell any securities of any type. I will not accept liability for any loss or damage, including without limitation any loss of profit, which may arise directly or indirectly from the use of or reliance on such information.
All investments involve risk, and the past performance of a security, industry, sector, market, financial product, trading strategy, backtest, or individual's trading does not guarantee future results or returns. Investors are fully responsible for any investment decisions they make. Such decisions should be based solely on an evaluation of their financial circumstances, investment objectives, risk tolerance, and liquidity needs.
My Scripts/Indicators/Ideas/Algos/Systems are only for educational purposes!
Equity CurveAn equity curve is a graphical representation of the change in the value of a trading account over a time period. The equity curve is a direct reflection of a trading strategy's effectiveness. A consistently upward-trending equity curve indicates a successful strategy, while a flat or declining curve may signal the need for adjustment.
This indicator takes traders daily account values as a comma separated list, and creates an equity curve and simple moving average of the equity curve. This serves as a mirror reflecting the outcome of past actions and decisions, guiding traders in fine-tuning their strategies, managing risk more effectively, and ultimately striving towards a consistently profitable trading journey.
New equity values should be added to the end of the current list. A space or no space after the comma has no effect.
Importance of the Equity Curve
Strategy Evaluation: The equity curve is a direct reflection of a trading strategy's effectiveness over time. A consistently upward-trending equity curve indicates a successful strategy, while a flat or declining curve may signal the need for adjustment.
Risk Management: Monitoring the equity curve helps traders to see the impact of their risk management practices. Sudden drops in equity could highlight instances of excessive risk-taking or inadequate stop-loss settings.
Performance Benchmarks: Comparing the equity curve against benchmarks or desired performance goals allows traders to assess if they are meeting, exceeding, or falling short of their trading objectives.
Psychology: Trading is as much about psychology as it is about strategy. A visual representation of one's equity curve helps maintain discipline, encouraging adherence to a trading plan during downturns and preventing overconfidence during upswings.
Having this data visually allows traders to see which category of trader they fall into.
Unprofitable
Boom or Bust
Profitable
Statistical Data
The indicator not only plots the equity curve and moving average, but includes the option to display the highest value reached by the equity curve, the percentage difference from the peak, and performance over selected periods (All Time, YTD, QTD, MTD, WTD).
Historical Analysis
The Equity Curve Indicator is not just a tool for real-time monitoring of trading performance; it also serves as a powerful instrument for conducting historical analysis. By analyzing the equity curve in conjunction with historical market conditions, traders can identify patterns or triggers that resulted in significant gains or losses.
For example, the chart below shows the equity curve overlaid on periods of net new highs / lows. The equity curve experienced declines while the market was showing net new lows or choppy periods (represented by a red or white background), while most of the equity gains were made while net new highs were present (green background).
This retrospective analysis helps in understanding how different market conditions impact trading strategies and performance.
Trading the Equity Curve
All trading strategies produce an equity curve that has winning and losing periods. In the example above, the trader could introduce a simple rule to lighten up on long positions or move to cash during periods of net new lows.
Another simple rule could be introduced to stop trading if the equity curve falls below the moving average, until favorable market conditions return again.
This indicator is intended to be used on the daily timeframe.
Danger Signals from The Trading MindwheelThe " Danger Signals " indicator, a collaborative creation from the minds at Amphibian Trading and MARA Wealth, serves as your vigilant lookout in the volatile world of stock trading. Drawing from the wisdom encapsulated in "The Trading Mindwheel" and the successful methodologies of legends like William O'Neil and Mark Minervini, this tool is engineered to safeguard your trading journey.
Core Features:
Real-Time Alerts: Identify critical danger signals as they emerge in the market. Whether it's a single day of heightened risk or a pattern forming, stay informed with specific danger signals and a tally of signals for comprehensive decision-making support. The indicator looks for over 30 different signals ranging from simple closing ranges to more complex signals like blow off action.
Tailored Insights with Portfolio Heat Integration: Pair with the "Portfolio Heat" indicator to customize danger signals based on your current positions, entry points, and stops. This personalized approach ensures that the insights are directly relevant to your trading strategy. Certain signals can have different meanings based on where your trade is at in its lifecycle. Blow off action at the beginning of a trend can be viewed as strength, while after an extended run could signal an opportunity to lock in profits.
Forward-Looking Analysis: Leverage the 'Potential Danger Signals' feature to assess future risks. Enter hypothetical price levels to understand potential market reactions before they unfold, enabling proactive trade management.
The indicator offers two different modes of 'Potential Danger Signals', Worst Case or Immediate. Worst Case allows the user to input any price and see what signals would fire based on price reaching that level, while the Immediate mode looks for potential Danger Signals that could happen on the next bar.
This is achieved by adding and subtracting the average daily range to the current bars close while also forecasting the next values of moving averages, vwaps, risk multiples and the relative strength line to see if a Danger Signal would trigger.
User Customization: Flexibility is at your fingertips with toggle options for each danger signal. Tailor the indicator to match your unique trading style and risk tolerance. No two traders are the same, that is why each signal is able to be turned on or off to match your trading personality.
Versatile Application: Ideal for growth stock traders, momentum swing traders, and adherents of the CANSLIM methodology. Whether you're a novice or a seasoned investor, this tool aligns with strategies influenced by trading giants.
Validation and Utility:
Inspired by the trade management principles of Michael Lamothe, the " Danger Signals " indicator is more than just a tool; it's a reflection of tested strategies that highlight the importance of risk management. Through rigorous validation, including the insights from "The Trading Mindwheel," this indicator helps traders navigate the complexities of the market with an informed, strategic approach.
Whether you're contemplating a new position or evaluating an existing one, the " Danger Signals " indicator is designed to provide the clarity needed to avoid potential pitfalls and capitalize on opportunities with confidence. Embrace a smarter way to trade, where awareness and preparation open the door to success.
Let's dive into each of the components of this indicator.
Volume: Volume refers to the number of shares or contracts traded in a security or an entire market during a given period. It is a measure of the total trading activity and liquidity, indicating the overall interest in a stock or market.
Price Action: the analysis of historical prices to inform trading decisions, without the use of technical indicators. It focuses on the movement of prices to identify patterns, trends, and potential reversal points in the market.
Relative Strength Line: The RS line is a popular tool used to compare the performance of a stock, typically calculated as the ratio of the stock's price to a benchmark index's price. It helps identify outperformers and underperformers relative to the market or a specific sector. The RS value is calculated by dividing the close price of the chosen stock by the close price of the comparative symbol (SPX by default).
Average True Range (ATR): ATR is a market volatility indicator used to show the average range prices swing over a specified period. It is calculated by taking the moving average of the true ranges of a stock for a specific period. The true range for a period is the greatest of the following three values:
The difference between the current high and the current low.
The absolute value of the current high minus the previous close.
The absolute value of the current low minus the previous close.
Average Daily Range (ADR): ADR is a measure used in trading to capture the average range between the high and low prices of an asset over a specified number of past trading days. Unlike the Average True Range (ATR), which accounts for gaps in the price from one day to the next, the Average Daily Range focuses solely on the trading range within each day and averages it out.
Anchored VWAP: AVWAP gives the average price of an asset, weighted by volume, starting from a specific anchor point. This provides traders with a dynamic average price considering both price and volume from a specific start point, offering insights into the market's direction and potential support or resistance levels.
Moving Averages: Moving Averages smooth out price data by creating a constantly updated average price over a specific period of time. It helps traders identify trends by flattening out the fluctuations in price data.
Stochastic: A stochastic oscillator is a momentum indicator used in technical analysis that compares a particular closing price of an asset to a range of its prices over a certain period of time. The theory behind the stochastic oscillator is that in a market trending upwards, prices will tend to close near their high, and in a market trending downwards, prices close near their low.
While each of these components offer unique insights into market behavior, providing sell signals under specific conditions, the power of combining these different signals lies in their ability to confirm each other's signals. This in turn reduces false positives and provides a more reliable basis for trading decisions
These signals can be recognized at any time, however the indicators power is in it's ability to take into account where a trade is in terms of your entry price and stop.
If a trade just started, it hasn’t earned much leeway. Kind of like a new employee that shows up late on the first day of work. It’s less forgivable than say the person who has been there for a while, has done well, is on time, and then one day comes in late.
Contextual Sensitivity:
For instance, a high volume sell-off coupled with a bearish price action pattern significantly strengthens the sell signal. When the price closes below an Anchored VWAP or a critical moving average in this context, it reaffirms the bearish sentiment, suggesting that the momentum is likely to continue downwards.
By considering the relative strength line (RS) alongside volume and price action, the indicator can differentiate between a normal retracement in a strong uptrend and a when a stock starts to become a laggard.
The integration of ATR and ADR provides a dynamic framework that adjusts to the market's volatility. A sudden increase in ATR or a character change detected through comparing short-term and long-term ADR can alert traders to emerging trends or reversals.
The "Danger Signals" indicator exemplifies the power of integrating diverse technical indicators to create a more sophisticated, responsive, and adaptable trading tool. This approach not only amplifies the individual strengths of each indicator but also mitigates their weaknesses.
Portfolio Heat Indicator can be found by clicking on the image below
Danger Signals Included
Price Closes Near Low - Daily Closing Range of 30% or Less
Price Closes Near Weekly Low - Weekly Closing Range of 30% or Less
Price Closes Near Daily Low on Heavy Volume - Daily Closing Range of 30% or Less on Heaviest Volume of the Last 5 Days
Price Closes Near Weekly Low on Heavy Volume - Weekly Closing Range of 30% or Less on Heaviest Volume of the Last 5 Weeks
Price Closes Below Moving Average - Price Closes Below One of 5 Selected Moving Averages
Price Closes Below Swing Low - Price Closes Below Most Recent Swing Low
Price Closes Below 1.5 ATR - Price Closes Below Trailing ATR Stop Based on Highest High of Last 10 Days
Price Closes Below AVWAP - Price Closes Below Selected Anchored VWAP (Anchors include: High of base, Low of base, Highest volume of base, Custom date)
Price Shows Aggressive Selling - Current Bars High is Greater Than Previous Day's High and Closes Near the Lows on Heaviest Volume of the Last 5 Days
Outside Reversal Bar - Price Makes a New High and Closes Near the Lows, Lower Than the Previous Bar's Low
Price Shows Signs of Stalling - Heavy Volume with a Close of Less than 1%
3 Consecutive Days of Lower Lows - 3 Days of Lower Lows
Close Lower than 3 Previous Lows - Close is Less than 3 Previous Lows
Character Change - ADR of Last Shorter Length is Larger than ADR of Longer Length
Fast Stochastic Crosses Below Slow Stochastic - Fast Stochastic Crosses Below Slow Stochastic
Fast & Slow Stochastic Curved Down - Both Stochastic Lines Close Lower than Previous Day for 2 Consecutive Days
Lower Lows & Lower Highs Intraday - Lower High and Lower Low on 30 Minute Timeframe
Moving Average Crossunder - Selected MA Crosses Below Other Selected MA
RS Starts Curving Down - Relative Strength Line Closes Lower than Previous Day for 2 Consecutive Days
RS Turns Negative Short Term - RS Closes Below RS of 7 Days Ago
RS Underperforms Price - Relative Strength Line Not at Highs, While Price Is
Moving Average Begins to Flatten Out - First Day MA Doesn't Close Higher
Price Moves Higher on Lighter Volume - Price Makes a New High on Light Volume and 15 Day Average Volume is Less than 50 Day Average
Price Hits % Target - Price Moves Set % Higher from Entry Price
Price Hits R Multiple - Price hits (Entry - Stop Multiplied by Setting) and Added to Entry
Price Hits Overhead Resistance - Price Crosses a Swing High from a Monthly Timeframe Chart from at Least 1 Year Ago
Price Hits Fib Level - Price Crosses a Fib Extension Drawn From Base High to Low
Price Hits a Psychological Level - Price Crosses a Multiple of 0 or 5
Heavy Volume After Significant Move - Above Average and Heaviest Volume of the Last 5 Days 35 Bars or More from Breakout
Moving Averages Begin to Slope Downward - Moving Averages Fall for 2 Consecutive Days
Blow Off Action - Highest Volume, Largest Spread, Multiple Gaps in a Row 35 Bars or More Post Breakout
Late Buying Frenzy - ANTS 35 Bars or More Post Breakout
Exhaustion Gap - Gap Up 5% or Higher with Price 125% or More Above 200sma
STIC bullish and bearish hunter with FVGSmart Trading and Investment Companion (STIC) is a sophisticated tool designed to identify and visualize inducement, market structure, market trends, track liquidity, and project and forecast price action for all applicable assets. it has been tested to work on all timeframes and has been traded on stock, forex, and crypto assets.
This script is an upgraded version of previous STIC indicator, which you can use in addition to it or separately as you deem fit
Traders/ investor that are familiar with market structure, inducement, candlestick psychology, trend-following indicatorsand Fair Value Gap FVG will find it easy to adopt this trading and investment companion. As stated below, this is how it works.
Features and how to use
1st of all, after adding the indicator to yoursuperchart, you want to endusre to set your to so as to enable you see the text labeling clearly. to do that, after adding the indicator to your chart, right click it on the list, you will se the Visual order option.
Special Extreme Alert!
By analyzing the trends and dimensions, we are able to predict market extremes conditions, especially in pump and dump scenarios. (the bullish or bearish P/D extreme alerts).
Market flip arrow
The arrows trigger to indicate when the market flips to bullish (green) or bearish (red) conditions. note that this arrow is just a market flip confirmation and it it triggered by market trends, it does not come one time and sometimes later after market trigger conditions had been met.
circled in white.
Buy or sell potential {The tiny yelow(sell) and blue(buy) triangle}
By analyzing market extreme conditions, market sentiment, and liquidity, the buy/sell potential alert trigger is able to determine the state of the market, This can and should be used in combination with the market flip line (MFL) [the yellow line from , market flip trigger (MFT) (purple line), and market support/resistance line (MSR)(blue line) .
Market flip Line (Blue line) (MFL): the MFL is useful to also understand the market phase; a candle close above the MFL is bullish, while a candle close Below, the MFL is bearish. You are, however, expected to experience market retests and rejections coupled with support and resistance to follow through with the predicted direction. Patience is a valuable virtue in trading.
Extended sell or buy hunt (Red and Green Triangle)
this is real-time triangles indicator just like every other indicator on theis chart that indicates the market direction labeled with buy and sell. Note that the market-extended extreme can occur multiple times in the same direction. Hence, we'll advise having multiple trade entries.
The flip support line
Market Flip Trigger Line (MFTL) (Magenta): When the market crosses and closes below or above the Market Flip Trigger Line, you should wait for a confirmation. a confirmation is usually a retest or rejection of the line. A candle close and reject indicates the market as flip direction and it is going for a correction or major reversal. it is applicable on all timeframe.
As mentioned earlier, if you understand market structure and sentiment, using the uFVG, iFVG, upLQTY, downLQTY and BOS will be easy. however, this is how it works, you may need tohave and expanded readbout market structure for additional knowledge.
upLQTY (Bullish liquidity inducement)
The indicator appear at the close and confirmation on the 3rd candle and it is extended to only appear on 200 bars applicable on all timeframes.
This is a bullish sentiment and liquidty inducement order block that occurs, leading to the break of trend structure and change of character. Meaning the market sentiment as change which is backed up by liquidity in that region, which mostly gets filled, especially on lower timeframes before the price action continues. If price revese breaks and hold above this region, it invalidates the order block. This will always appear when there is a confirmed change of character CHoCH to the bullish side.
downLQTY (Bearish liquidity inducement) The indicator appear at the close and confirmation on the 3rd candle and it is extended to only appear on 200 bars applicable on all timeframes. It is and inverse of the upLQTY.
like order block, these are supply and demand zones that has the potential to change the direction of a trade. This is a bearish order block that occurs, leading to the break of structure and change of character. Meaning there is bearish liquidity yet to be accounted for in the region, which mostly gets filled, especially on lower timeframes before the price action continues. If broken, it invalidates the order block. This will always appear when there is a confirmed change of character from CHoCH to the bearish side.
Fair Value Gap
From general knowledge, FVG also know as Fair value gaps are inbalnace created by a 3 candlestick pattern where the top of the bottom candles doesn't cross the bottom of the top candle. like order block, these are supply and demand zones that has the potential to change the direction of a trade. This mostly indicate the presense of big plays in the market. for STIC indicator, FVG are labeled as listed below;
UFVG, also FVGup, {Colour green box} = bullish imbalance fair value gap
IFVG, aka FVGdown, {Red box} = bearish imbalance fair value gap
OIFVG, {Yellow box, no label} = other imbalances fair value gab
You should not that FG has upper, lower and middle band, any of the this area can be induced and filled by price.
Alert Conditions!
Buy alert conditions
- Any bullish buy alert
- Bullish hunt
- Re-entry Buy
- Sharp Market Sell rejection
- Buy potential
- upLQTY
Long position Exit conditions
- ExtremeB
- Profit
- Sell hunt
The Entry, exit and trail profit alert trigger should be used as position exit conditions either for a Long (Buy) or Short (Sell) situation and should be set as OPB (Once Per Bar). Using it as entry for exit or vice versa as shown not to be very profitable. hence the need to combine with other order entry alerts like the Any bullish or Bearish alerts
Sell alert conditions ( NOTE: All Sell alert are not yet included in this current version as this is targeted towards bullrun.)
- Sell potential
- Sell triangle (Sell hunt)
- downLQTY
and any trail profit alert, this alert put into consideration all the conditions required to trail profit.
Risk management advice
Patience and a good risk management strategy are required to be profitable trader using this tool. You need to ensure not to overleverage, and you should have multiple entries in case the buy coditions/alert shows again below the previous buy alert before a sell condition/alert occurs.
Forex lot size calculation🔶What it is ?
Forex lot size calculation is an indicator to help traders to manage trading account better and avoid emotion when you're changing account from small to bigger capital.
This indicator calculates lot size to entry by calculation risk in percent that you're planing for a position and your account balance also.
Our purpose is, keep your mind always "Empty" during trading even you're managing 100k$, 200k$ and more, espeically when you're changing from small account to bigger account.
The diffirence here is only Lot size you will input, we don't need to focus on how many money in dollors will we lost after a position. Each position, that's 1%, 2% balance , just like that. From that point, we can control emotion better and trade more effectively.
🔶 Who can use it ?
1. All traders who are using NCI, ICT , MACD system and other systems...
2. All traders who are trading on any timeframe
3. All traders who are trading on Forex market
4. All traders who are new or experienced traders
5. All traders who are swing or scalping traders
🔶 The purpose of indicator
1. Calculate lot size for all forex pairs exactly to trade on other platform like MT4/5, Ctrader and even Tradingview.
2. Exchange from risk by percent of account to lot size
3. Helping you to manage trading accounts easier
4. Always "Empty your mind" during Trading
🔶 How will indicator appear on chart
After you added it on chart, indicator will appear as table at your bottom right of chart. You can change it to Top-center as above chart by setting that I will guide you right on below.
In general, you can see three data :
1. Acc size $: That's your account balance you already input
2. %Risk : Here is risk by percent that you're planing to trade
3. LOT SIZE : Here is value after calcuation to help you can know how many lot size to entry.
Indicator will show you as three colors also :
GREEN : You're taking risk at a safe level that's less than 1%your account. You normally can trade better and manage trade easier with risk like that.
WHITE : You're taking risk at a normal level that's from 1 - 2% your account. You should becareful during taking this risk because it is only for experience traders.
RED : You're taking risk at a dangerous level that's greater than 2% your account.
This type of risk is only for top trader who can earn profit from mange consistency for a long time. Plus, with this type of risk, you will be rejected by prop firm companies easier because of gambling rules.
🔶 INPUT value
There're 2 groups for trader to input and use this indicator :
1. Trading input :
You need to input data to calcuate lot size here
- Your account balance : here is your initial account balance that you deposit
- Acc risk % : Here is risk by percent you're planing for each position.
- Stop loss by pips : Here is stop loss by pips for your position.
Explanation about stoploss by pips in Forex
Please help to refer to my chart above, that's a buying position in Tradingview. Tradingview measured all needed data in pips for you.
For example : My buying position on have chart having stop loss value is 15.3 pips.
I just need to input stoploss here as 15.3.
2. Display setting
Here is the place we will set the text size and location of table.
- Font size : The size of texts in this indicator. You can choose from tiny to Huge size
- Location : The position of indicator on chart. You can put it from bottom to top and left to right as your favorite
🔶 How to use indicator
After setting indicator, you need to input all data to Trading input group :
1. Your account balance
2. Acc risk %
3. Stop loss by pips
And then click to OK.
Indicator will calculate and give out LOT SIZE for you to entry.
It will remember your account balance and risk %, so you just need to input stop loss for your diffirence trades.
As chart above, I input my initial account as 200k$ and I normally take 1% risk for each position.
I want to buy at green box on chart above with SL is around 15.3 pips on AUDUSD.
Indicator helped to calculate lot size as 13.07 lot to trade.
I hope this indicator help you to trade and manage account better.
Simple Position SizerSimple Position Sizer is designed to calculate optimal position sizes based on a defined risk percentage and stop-loss level. It offers two modes for determining position size: using the current close price or a specified entry price. The script provides key trade details such as entry price, stop-loss level, quantity to trade, total cost, and risk amount in monetary terms, alongside visual indications of these parameters through colored lines and labels on the chart. Users can customize account size, risk per trade percentage, and entry and stop-loss levels directly within the settings.
Usage Scenario:
A trader looking to enter a position would first decide whether the entry is based on the current closing price or a predetermined level. After setting the stop-loss level and specifying the risk per trade as a percentage of the account size, the script calculates the number of shares or contracts to purchase. It also computes the total cost of the position and displays the potential loss if the stop-loss is triggered, allowing the trader to understand the risk involved before entering the trade.
Visual Indicators:
Green indicators suggest a long setup where the entry level is above the stop-loss, indicating bullish entry.
Red indicators signal a short setup where the entry level is below the stop-loss, reflecting bearish entry
Blue lines represent the entry level when specified by the trader, providing a visual cue for planned entries.
Mental Health Monitoring🔶What it is ?
NCI_Mental Health is a reminder to help traders to manage psychology during analyzation.
This indicator calculates and displays your analyzation time and give you alert about your current mental status to continue analyzing or close chart to avoid being manipulated my market.
Our purpose is, keep your mind always "Empty" during analyzation. Counting opening chart will help you to control analyzation time and empty your mind better.
🔶 Who can use it ?
1. All traders who are using NCI, ICT , MACD system and other systems...
2. All traders who are trading on any timeframe
3. All traders who are trading on any market like stock, crypto, forex, gold, indices...
4. All traders who are new or experienced traders
5. All traders who are swing or scalping traders
🔶 The purpose of indicator
This indicator will give you alert and information about your mental health to know :
1. When you need to stop analyzation
2. When you can continue analyzing chart without any worries
3. Choosing your best emotion period to analyze to give out the best decision
4. Always "Empty your mind" during analyzation
🔶 How will indicator appear on chart
After you added it on chart, indicator will appear at your top right corner of chart. You can change it to Top-center as above chart by setting that I will guide you right on below.
In general, you can see two data :
1. Analyzation time : That's period that you used to analyze now by seconds and minutes
2. Metal status : Your mental status during analyzation
We will have 3 status as :
Good- You're on a very good status to start analyzing. This infomation will be shown as green color. We can remember color better than words so I added more color.
Normal - Your brain are on a normal status that you still continue analyzing.
This infomation will be shown as white color.
MANIPULATED - Your brain is very TIRED and you must close chart to take a rest.
This infomation will be shown as red color.
🔶 How to use indicator
You should focus on Metal status mostly with below guidance :
1. Good: You're on a nice status to give out the best decision. Normally, you should analyze a chart less than 3 minutes as default to always stay on the best status during analyzation.
2. Normal : It is better to prepare to take a rest. You can continue analyzing without any worries.
3. MANIPULATED : You will be manipulated by market easily to give out the wrong decisions.
You need to close chart now.
🔶 INPUT value
1. Minute : Analyzation time as minute value
2. Second : Analyzation time as second value
3. Your Alert message: A message to remind yourself if analyzation time is ended.
4. Font size : The size of texts in this indicator. You can choose from tiny to Huge size
5. Location : The position of indicator on chart. You can put it from bottom to top and left to right as your favorite.
🔶 Setting ALERT
If you prefer to receive a remind from Indicator than checking Mental status on indicator table
You can set alert by Tradingview with below steps :
1. Click to Alert on top middle of chart (tool bar)
2. At Condition, choose NCI mental health
3. Click to Create
Indicator will send you alert if your analyzation time now is over your Input value.
You should close chart and stop analyzation to avoid giving wrongly decision.
Warm regards,
Jayce
Prepare Targets, Stop Loss, Position Size and calculate PnL You are watching the price action of your favorite coin. Then the price changes quickly and you know you could start a good trade now.
But how much should you buy, where should you set your Target for Profit Taking and your Stop Loss? How much money do you want to risk, how much money would you win if the trade is succesfull?
This indicator helps you to set up your trade in a quick way, no need to do some calculations by hand.
How does it work?
Just enter the prices where you want to take Profit and where your Stopp Loss should be.
Enter the number of coins and wether you buy or sell/go long or short.
These targets are then shown in the chart, move them around to see if your stopp loss is positioned well. See directly what your profit or loss would be.
See some Screenshots with more explanations for what is possible and how to set up everything.
General Overview:
How to set up the Trade:
Formatting and Extras:
Let me know if you like it!
Temporal Value Tracker: Inception-to-Present Inflation Lens!What we're looking at here is a chart that does more than just display the price of gold. It offers us a time-traveling perspective on value. The blue line, that's our nominal price—it's the straightforward market price of gold over time. But it's the red line that takes us on a deeper journey. This line adjusts the nominal price for inflation, showing us the real purchasing power of gold.
Now, when we talk about 'real value,' we're not just philosophizing. We're anchoring our prices to a point in time when the journey began—let's say when gold trading started on the markets, or any inception point we choose. By 'shadowing' certain years—say, from the 1970s when the gold standard was abandoned—we can adjust this chart to reflect what the inflation-adjusted price means since that key moment in history.
By doing so, we're effectively isolating our view to start from that pivotal year, giving us insight into how gold, or indeed any asset, has held up against the backdrop of economic changes, policy shifts, and the inevitable rise in the cost of living. If you're analyzing a stock index like the S&P 500, you might begin your inflation-adjusted view from the index's inception date, which allows you to measure the true growth of the market basket from the moment it started.
This adjustment isn't just academic. It influences how we perceive value and growth. Consider a period where the nominal price skyrockets. We might toast to our brilliance in investment! But if the inflation-adjusted line lags, what we're seeing is nominal growth without real gains. On the other hand, if our red line outpaces the blue even during stagnant market periods, we're witnessing real growth—our asset is outperforming the eroding effects of inflation.
Every asset class can be evaluated this way. Stocks, bonds, real estate—they all have their historical narratives, and inflation adjustment tells us if these stories are tales of genuine growth or illusions masked by inflation.
So, as informed traders and investors, we need to keep our eyes on this inflation-adjusted line. It's our measure against the silent thief that is inflation. It ensures we're not just keeping up with the Joneses of the market, but actually outpacing them, building real wealth over time
[S1B] Leverage Take-Profit-LinesShort Description:
The Leverage Take-Profit-Lines indicator assists traders in setting take-profit and stop-loss levels based on leverage, entry price, and risk percentage. It draws horizontal lines representing various take-profit levels and the stop-loss level on the chart, aiding traders in visually identifying potential exit points and managing risk.
Detailed Description:
The Leverage Take-Profit-Lines indicator is designed to provide traders with a visual representation of take-profit and stop-loss levels tailored to their leverage, entry price, and risk preferences.
Key Features:
Customizable Parameters: Traders can adjust parameters such as leverage, entry price, risk percentage, and whether to extend lines to suit their trading strategy.
Take-Profit Levels: The indicator calculates and draws horizontal lines representing different take-profit levels based on the specified percentage of leverage-adjusted entry price.
Stop-Loss Level: It calculates and displays the stop-loss level based on the specified risk percentage and leverage, helping traders manage risk effectively.
Visual Representation: The indicator visually highlights take-profit and stop-loss levels on the chart, facilitating quick decision-making for traders.
Usage Guide:
Setting Parameters: Adjust the input parameters including leverage, entry price, risk percentage, and other settings according to your trading strategy.
Interpreting Lines: Horizontal lines are drawn on the chart representing take-profit levels (TP1, TP2, TP3, TP4) and the stop-loss level. These lines indicate potential exit points and risk management levels.
As an example the TP1 can be used to sell 10% of position size, TP2 20%, TP3 20% and TP4 20-40%.
The Leverage Take-Profit-Lines indicator empowers traders with valuable insights into setting profit targets and managing risk effectively, contributing to more informed trading decisions.
Historical Correlation [LuxAlgo]The Historical Correlation tool aims to provide the historical correlation coefficients of up to 10 pairs of user-defined tickers starting from a user-defined point in time.
Users can choose to display the historical values as lines or the most recent correlation values as a heat map.
🔶 USAGE
This tool provides historical correlation coefficients, the correlation coefficient between two assets highlight their linear relationship and is always within the range (-1, 1).
It is a simple and easy to use statistical tool, with the following interpretation:
Positive correlation (values close to +1.0): the two assets move in sync, they rise and fall at the same time.
Negative correlation (values close to -1.0): the two assets move in opposite directions: when one goes up, the other goes down and vice versa.
No correlation (values close to 0): the two assets move independently.
The user must confirm the selection of the anchor point in order for the tool to be executed; this can be done directly on the chart by clicking on any bar, or via the date field in the settings panel.
For the parameter Anchor period , the user can choose between the following values NONE, HOURLY, DAILY, WEEKLY, MONTHLY, QUARTERLY and YEARLY. If NONE is selected, there will be no resetting of the calculations, otherwise the calculations will start from the first bar of the new period.
There is a wide range of trading strategies that make use of correlation coefficients between assets, some examples are:
Pair Trading: Traders may wish to take advantage of divergences in the price movements of highly positively correlated assets; even highly positively correlated assets do not always move in the same direction; when assets with a correlation close to +1.0 diverge in their behavior, traders may see this as an opportunity to buy one and sell the other in the expectation that the assets will return to the likely same price behavior.
Sector rotation: Traders may want to favor some sectors that are expected to perform in the next cycle, tracking the correlation between different sectors and between the sector and the overall market.
Diversification: Traders can aim to have a diversified portfolio of uncorrelated assets. From a risk management perspective, it is useful to know the correlation between the assets in your portfolio, if you hold equal positions in positively correlated assets, your risk is tilted in the same direction, so if the assets move against you, your risk is doubled. You can avoid this increased risk by choosing uncorrelated assets so that they move independently.
Hedging: Traders may want to hedge positions with correlated assets, from a hedging perspective, if you are long an asset, you can hedge going long a negative correlated asset or going short a positive correlated asset.
Traders generally need to develop awareness, a key point is to be aware of the relationships between the assets we hold or trade, the historical correlation is an invaluable tool in our arsenal which allows us to make better informed decisions.
On this chart we have an example of historical correlations for several futures markets.
We can clearly see how positively correlated the Nasdaq100 and Dow30 are with the SP500 over the whole period, or how the correlation between the Euro and the SP500 falls from almost +85% to almost -4% since 2021.
As we can see, correlations, like everything else in the market, are not static and vary over time depending on many factors, from macro to technical and everything in between.
🔹 Heatmap
The chart above shows the tool with the default settings and the Drawing Mode set to 'HEATMAP'.
We can see the current correlation between the assets, in this case the FX pairs.
The highest positive correlation is +90% (+0.90) between EURUSD and GBPUSD.
The highest negative correlation is -78% (-0.78) between EURUSD and USDJPY.
The pair with no correlation is AUDUSD and EURCAD with 1% (0.01)
On the above chart we can see the current correlations for the futures markets.
Currently, the assets that are less correlated to the SP500 are NaturalGas and the Euro, the more positive correlations are Nasdaq100 and Dow20, and the more negative correlations are the Yen, Treasury Bonds and 10-Year Notes.
🔶 DETAILS
🔹 Anchor Period
This chart shows the standard FX correlations with the Anchor Period set to `MONTHLY`.
We can clearly see how the calculations restart with the new month, in this case we can clearly see the differences between the correlations from month to month.
Let us look at the correlation coefficient between GBPUSD and USDJPY
In January, their correlation started at close to -100%, rose to close to +50%, only to fall to close to 0% and remain there for the second half of the month.
In February it was -90% in the first few days of the month and is now around -57%.
And between AUDUSD and EURCAD
Last month their correlation was negative for most of the month, reaching -70% and ending around -14%.
This month their correlation has never gone below +21% and at the time of writing is close to +53%.
🔶 SETTINGS
Anchor point: Starting point from which the tool is executed
Anchor period: At the beginning of each new period, the tool will reset the calculations
Pairs from 1 to 10: For each pair of tickers, you can: enable/disable the pair, select the color and specify the two tickers from which you wish to obtain the correlation
🔹 Style
Drawing Mode: Output style, `LINES` will show the historical correlations as lines, `HEATMAP` will show the current correlations with a color gradient from green for correlations near 1 to red for correlations near -1.
Bitcoin Momentum StrategyThis is a very simple long-only strategy I've used since December 2022 to manage my Bitcoin position.
I'm sharing it as an open-source script for other traders to learn from the code and adapt it to their liking if they find the system concept interesting.
General Overview
Always do your own research and backtesting - this script is not intended to be traded blindly (no script should be) and I've done limited testing on other markets beyond Ethereum and BTC, it's just a template to tweak and play with and make into one's own.
The results shown in the strategy tester are from Bitcoin's inception so as to get a large sample size of trades, and potential returns have diminished significantly as BTC has grown to become a mega cap asset, but the script includes a date filter for backtesting and it has still performed solidly in recent years (speaking from personal experience using it myself - DYOR with the date filter).
The main advantage of this system in my opinion is in limiting the max drawdown significantly versus buy & hodl. Theoretically much better returns can be made by just holding, but that's also a good way to lose 70%+ of your capital in the inevitable bear markets (also speaking from experience).
In saying all of that, the future is fundamentally unknowable and past results in no way guarantee future performance.
System Concept:
Capture as much Bitcoin upside volatility as possible while side-stepping downside volatility as quickly as possible.
The system uses a simple but clever momentum-style trailing stop technique I learned from one of my trading mentors who uses this approach on momentum/trend-following stock market systems.
Basically, the system "ratchets" up the stop-loss to be much tighter during high bearish volatility to protect open profits from downside moves, but loosens the stop loss during sustained bullish momentum to let the position ride.
It is invested most of the time, unless BTC is trading below its 20-week EMA in which case it stays in cash/USDT to avoid holding through bear markets. It only trades one position (no pyramiding) and does not trade short, but can easily be tweaked to do whatever you like if you know what you're doing in Pine.
Default parameters:
HTF: Weekly Chart
EMA: 20-Period
ATR: 5-period
Bar Lookback: 7
Entry Rule #1:
Bitcoin's current price must be trading above its higher-timeframe EMA (Weekly 20 EMA).
Entry Rule #2:
Bitcoin must not be in 'caution' condition (no large bearish volatility swings recently).
Enter at next bar's open if conditions are met and we are not already involved in a trade.
"Caution" Condition:
Defined as true if BTC's recent 7-bar swing high minus current bar's low is > 1.5x ATR, or Daily close < Daily 20-EMA.
Trailing Stop:
Stop is trailed 1 ATR from recent swing high, or 20% of ATR if in caution condition (ie. 0.2 ATR).
Exit on next bar open upon a close below stop loss.
I typically use a limit order to open & exit trades as close to the open price as possible to reduce slippage, but the strategy script uses market orders.
I've never had any issues getting filled on limit orders close to the market price with BTC on the Daily timeframe, but if the exchange has relatively low slippage I've found market orders work fine too without much impact on the results particularly since BTC has consistently remained above $20k and highly liquid.
Cost of Trading:
The script uses no leverage and a default total round-trip commission of 0.3% which is what I pay on my exchange based on their tier structure, but this can vary widely from exchange to exchange and higher commission fees will have a significantly negative impact on realized gains so make sure to always input the correct theoretical commission cost when backtesting any script.
Static slippage is difficult to estimate in the strategy tester given the wide range of prices & liquidity BTC has experienced over the years and it largely depends on position size, I set it to 150 points per buy or sell as BTC is currently very liquid on the exchange I trade and I use limit orders where possible to enter/exit positions as close as possible to the market's open price as it significantly limits my slippage.
But again, this can vary a lot from exchange to exchange (for better or worse) and if BTC volatility is high at the time of execution this can have a negative impact on slippage and therefore real performance, so make sure to adjust it according to your exchange's tendencies.
Tax considerations should also be made based on short-term trade frequency if crypto profits are treated as a CGT event in your region.
Summary:
A simple, but effective and fairly robust system that achieves the goals I set for it.
From my preliminary testing it appears it may also work on altcoins but it might need a bit of tweaking/loosening with the trailing stop distance as the default parameters are designed to work with Bitcoin which obviously behaves very differently to smaller cap assets.
Good luck out there!
Power OutageThe Power Outage indicator serves as the antithesis to the Power Trend, highlighting periods of extreme weakness or downtrends. Drawing inspiration from the Power Trend, the Power Outage framework was conceived by reversing the logic to highlight periods where being in cash or net short could be beneficial.
What Initiates a Power Outage?
The high is below the 21-day EMA for at least 10 consecutive days.
The 21-day EMA is below the 50-day SMA for a minimum of five days.
The 50-day SMA is on a downward trajectory.
The closing price is lower than the previous day's close.
A Power Outage can be a caution sign for traders to tighten up risk management and encourage defensive strategies or the consideration of short positions. Not only does this indicator clearly identify a Power Outage by a shaded background or shape plotted on the chart, but it also records metrics for each previous Power Outage.
The number of Power Outages that have occurred, their average length, and average depth (from the first day's close when the Power Outage activates to the low of the Power Outage) are all displayed to help assess the condition of the current Power Outage.
What Ends a Power Outage?
A Power Outage ends when the 21-day EMA crosses above the 50-day SMA, or when the price closes 10% above the recent low and above the 50-day SMA.
This indicator is designed to be viewed on a daily time frame.
Index investingThe Index Investing indicator simplifies decision-making for adding to Index ETF's Long-term investments. By utilizing a percentage discount methodology, it highlights potential opportunities to enhance portfolios. This straightforward tool aids in identifying favorable moments to invest based on calculated price discounts from selected reference points, making the process more systematic and less subjective.
🔶 SETTINGS
Reference Price: Choose between 'All-Time-High' or 'Start of the Year' as the basis for calculating discount levels. This allows for flexibility in strategy depending on market conditions or investment philosophy.
Discount 1 %, Discount 2 %, Discount 3 %: These inputs define the percentage below the reference price at which buy signals are generated. They represent strategic entry points at discounted prices.
🔶 Default Parameters
The default parameters of 4.13%, 8.26%, and 12.39% for the discount levels are chosen based on the average 5-year return of the NSE:NIFTY Index, which stands at approximately 12.39%. By dividing this return into three parts, we obtain a structured approach to capturing potential upside at varying levels of market retracement, providing a logical basis for the selected default values.
Users have the flexibility to modify these parameters, tailoring the indicator to fit their unique approach and market outlook.
🔶 How Levels Are Calculated
Discount levels are calculated using the formula: Discount Price = Reference Price * (1 - Discount %) . This succinct approach establishes specific entry points below the chosen reference, such as an all-time high or the year's start price.
🔶 How Are the Buy Labels Generated
Buy signals are generated when the market price(Low of the candle) crosses under any of the defined discount levels. Each level has a corresponding buy label ('Buy 1', 'Buy 2', 'Buy 3'), which is activated upon the price crossing below the specified discount level and is only reset at the beginning of a new year or upon reaching a new reference high, ensuring signals are not repetitive for the same price level.
🔶 Other Features
Alerts: The indicator provides alerts for each buy signal, notifying potential entry points at their defined discount levels. The alert triggers only once per candle.
Year Marker: A vertical line with an accompanying label marks the start of each trading year on the chart. This feature aids in visualizing the temporal context of buy signals and reference price adjustments.
