Qualitative Smoothed Strength Index***RSI CHART BELOW IS FOR COMPARSION TO SHOW HOE THEY MAKE SIMILIAR PATTERNS*** IT IS NOT PART OF THE INDICATOR***
The Qualitative Smoothed Strength Index (QSSI) is a simplified momentum oscillator whose values will oscillate between 0 and 1 . By converting price differences into binary values and smoothing them with a moving average, it identifies qualitative strength of price movements. This simplification allows traders to easily interpret trends and reversals. The QSSI offers advantages such as noise reduction, clear trend identification, and early signal detection, resulting in less lag compared to traditional oscillators. Traders can customize the indicator based on their preferences and use it across various markets.
QSSI Indicator uses the input function is used to define the input parameters of the indicator. In this case, there are two inputs:
length: The number of periods used for calculating the differences (a, b, c) and their assigned values. Default value is 5.
MAL: The length of the moving average used for smoothing the assigned values. Default value is 14.
The next few lines calculate 'a', 'b', and 'c', which represent the differences between the high, low, and close prices, respectively, and their corresponding previous simple moving averages (SMAs) of specified length. These differences are used to identify price movements.
The code assigns binary values (0 or 1) to a_assigned, b_assigned, and c_assigned, depending on whether the corresponding differences (a, b, c) are greater than 0. This step converts the differences into a binary representation, indicating upward or downward price movements.
Average_assigned calculates the average of the assigned binary values of a, b, and c. This average value represents the overall strength of the price movement.ma_assigned calculates the 14-day moving average of average_assigned, which smoothens the indicator and helps traders identify trends more easily.
The code plots the 14-day moving average (ma_assigned) on the chart as a blue line. It also plots the individual assigned values of a, b, and c as dots on the chart. a_assigned is shown in green, b_assigned in red, and c_assigned in black. These dots indicate the presence of upward or downward movements in the respective price components. By visualizing these dots on the chart, the trader can quickly identify the presence and direction of price movements for each of the price components. This information can be valuable for understanding how the different price elements (high, low, and close) are contributing to the overall trend and strength of the market. Traders can use this data to make more informed decisions, such as confirming the presence of trends, identifying potential reversals, or gauging the overall market sentiment based on the distribution of upward and downward movements across the price components.
Finally, the code draws horizontal dotted lines at levels 0.70 (0.8)and 0.30 (0.2). These levels are typically used to identify overbought (above 0.70 or 0.8) and oversold (below 0.30 or 0.2) conditions in the market.
The Qualitative Smoothed Strength Index (QSSI) provides traders with information about the strength and direction of price movements. By using assigned binary values, the indicator simplifies the interpretation of price data, making it easier to identify trends and potential reversals.
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Historical Matrix Analyzer [PhenLabs]📊Historical Matrix Analyzer
Version: PineScriptv6
📌Description
The Historical Matrix Analyzer is an advanced probabilistic trading tool that transforms technical analysis into a data-driven decision support system. By creating a comprehensive 56-cell matrix that tracks every combination of RSI states and multi-indicator conditions, this indicator reveals which market patterns have historically led to profitable outcomes and which have not.
At its core, the indicator continuously monitors seven distinct RSI states (ranging from Extreme Oversold to Extreme Overbought) and eight unique indicator combinations (MACD direction, volume levels, and price momentum). For each of these 56 possible market states, the system calculates average forward returns, win rates, and occurrence counts based on your configurable lookback period. The result is a color-coded probability matrix that shows you exactly where you stand in the historical performance landscape.
The standout feature is the Current State Panel, which provides instant clarity on your active market conditions. This panel displays signal strength classifications (from Strong Bullish to Strong Bearish), the average return percentage for similar past occurrences, an estimated win rate using Bayesian smoothing to prevent small-sample distortions, and a confidence level indicator that warns you when insufficient data exists for reliable conclusions.
🚀Points of Innovation
Multi-dimensional state classification combining 7 RSI levels with 8 indicator combinations for 56 unique trackable market conditions
Bayesian win rate estimation with adjustable smoothing strength to provide stable probability estimates even with limited historical samples
Real-time active cell highlighting with “NOW” marker that visually connects current market conditions to their historical performance data
Configurable color intensity sensitivity allowing traders to adjust heat-map responsiveness from conservative to aggressive visual feedback
Dual-panel display system separating the comprehensive statistics matrix from an easy-to-read current state summary panel
Intelligent confidence scoring that automatically warns traders when occurrence counts fall below reliable thresholds
🔧Core Components
RSI State Classification: Segments RSI readings into 7 distinct zones (Extreme Oversold <20, Oversold 20-30, Weak 30-40, Neutral 40-60, Strong 60-70, Overbought 70-80, Extreme Overbought >80) to capture momentum extremes and transitions
Multi-Indicator Condition Tracking: Simultaneously monitors MACD crossover status (bullish/bearish), volume relative to moving average (high/low), and price direction (rising/falling) creating 8 binary-encoded combinations
Historical Data Storage Arrays: Maintains rolling lookback windows storing RSI states, indicator states, prices, and bar indices for precise forward-return calculations
Forward Performance Calculator: Measures price changes over configurable forward bar periods (1-20 bars) from each historical state, accumulating total returns and win counts per matrix cell
Bayesian Smoothing Engine: Applies statistical prior assumptions (default 50% win rate) weighted by user-defined strength parameter to stabilize estimated win rates when sample sizes are small
Dynamic Color Mapping System: Converts average returns into color-coded heat map with intensity adjusted by sensitivity parameter and transparency modified by confidence levels
🔥Key Features
56-Cell Probability Matrix: Comprehensive grid displaying every possible combination of RSI state and indicator condition, with each cell showing average return percentage, estimated win rate, and occurrence count for complete statistical visibility
Current State Info Panel: Dedicated display showing your exact position in the matrix with signal strength emoji indicators, numerical statistics, and color-coded confidence warnings for immediate situational awareness
Customizable Lookback Period: Adjustable historical window from 50 to 500 bars allowing traders to focus on recent market behavior or capture longer-term pattern stability across different market cycles
Configurable Forward Performance Window: Select target holding periods from 1 to 20 bars ahead to align probability calculations with your trading timeframe, whether day trading or swing trading
Visual Heat Mapping: Color-coded cells transition from red (bearish historical performance) through gray (neutral) to green (bullish performance) with intensity reflecting statistical significance and occurrence frequency
Intelligent Data Filtering: Minimum occurrence threshold (1-10) removes unreliable patterns with insufficient historical samples, displaying gray warning colors for low-confidence cells
Flexible Layout Options: Independent positioning of statistics matrix and info panel to any screen corner, accommodating different chart layouts and personal preferences
Tooltip Details: Hover over any matrix cell to see full RSI label, complete indicator status description, precise average return, estimated win rate, and total occurrence count
🎨Visualization
Statistics Matrix Table: A 9-column by 8-row grid with RSI states labeling vertical axis and indicator combinations on horizontal axis, using compact abbreviations (XOverS, OverB, MACD↑, Vol↓, P↑) for space efficiency
Active Cell Indicator: The current market state cell displays “⦿ NOW ⦿” in yellow text with enhanced color saturation to immediately draw attention to relevant historical performance
Signal Strength Visualization: Info panel uses emoji indicators (🔥 Strong Bullish, ✅ Bullish, ↗️ Weak Bullish, ➖ Neutral, ↘️ Weak Bearish, ⛔ Bearish, ❄️ Strong Bearish, ⚠️ Insufficient Data) for rapid interpretation
Histogram Plot: Below the price chart, a green/red histogram displays the current cell’s average return percentage, providing a time-series view of how historical performance changes as market conditions evolve
Color Intensity Scaling: Cell background transparency and saturation dynamically adjust based on both the magnitude of average returns and the occurrence count, ensuring visual emphasis on reliable patterns
Confidence Level Display: Info panel bottom row shows “High Confidence” (green), “Medium Confidence” (orange), or “Low Confidence” (red) based on occurrence counts relative to minimum threshold multipliers
📖Usage Guidelines
RSI Period
Default: 14
Range: 1 to unlimited
Description: Controls the lookback period for RSI momentum calculation. Standard 14-period provides widely-recognized overbought/oversold levels. Decrease for faster, more sensitive RSI reactions suitable for scalping. Increase (21, 28) for smoother, longer-term momentum assessment in swing trading. Changes affect how quickly the indicator moves between the 7 RSI state classifications.
MACD Fast Length
Default: 12
Range: 1 to unlimited
Description: Sets the faster exponential moving average for MACD calculation. Standard 12-period setting works well for daily charts and captures short-term momentum shifts. Decreasing creates more responsive MACD crossovers but increases false signals. Increasing smooths out noise but delays signal generation, affecting the bullish/bearish indicator state classification.
MACD Slow Length
Default: 26
Range: 1 to unlimited
Description: Defines the slower exponential moving average for MACD calculation. Traditional 26-period setting balances trend identification with responsiveness. Must be greater than Fast Length. Wider spread between fast and slow increases MACD sensitivity to trend changes, impacting the frequency of indicator state transitions in the matrix.
MACD Signal Length
Default: 9
Range: 1 to unlimited
Description: Smoothing period for the MACD signal line that triggers bullish/bearish state changes. Standard 9-period provides reliable crossover signals. Shorter values create more frequent state changes and earlier signals but with more whipsaws. Longer values produce more confirmed, stable signals but with increased lag in detecting momentum shifts.
Volume MA Period
Default: 20
Range: 1 to unlimited
Description: Lookback period for volume moving average used to classify volume as “high” or “low” in indicator state combinations. 20-period default captures typical monthly trading patterns. Shorter periods (10-15) make volume classification more reactive to recent spikes. Longer periods (30-50) require more sustained volume changes to trigger state classification shifts.
Statistics Lookback Period
Default: 200
Range: 50 to 500
Description: Number of historical bars used to calculate matrix statistics. 200 bars provides substantial data for reliable patterns while remaining responsive to regime changes. Lower values (50-100) emphasize recent market behavior and adapt quickly but may produce volatile statistics. Higher values (300-500) capture long-term patterns with stable statistics but slower adaptation to changing market dynamics.
Forward Performance Bars
Default: 5
Range: 1 to 20
Description: Number of bars ahead used to calculate forward returns from each historical state occurrence. 5-bar default suits intraday to short-term swing trading (5 hours on hourly charts, 1 week on daily charts). Lower values (1-3) target short-term momentum trades. Higher values (10-20) align with position trading and longer-term pattern exploitation.
Color Intensity Sensitivity
Default: 2.0
Range: 0.5 to 5.0, step 0.5
Description: Amplifies or dampens the color intensity response to average return magnitudes in the matrix heat map. 2.0 default provides balanced visual emphasis. Lower values (0.5-1.0) create subtle coloring requiring larger returns for full saturation, useful for volatile instruments. Higher values (3.0-5.0) produce vivid colors from smaller returns, highlighting subtle edges in range-bound markets.
Minimum Occurrences for Coloring
Default: 3
Range: 1 to 10
Description: Required minimum sample size before applying color-coded performance to matrix cells. Cells with fewer occurrences display gray “insufficient data” warning. 3-occurrence default filters out rare patterns. Lower threshold (1-2) shows more data but includes unreliable single-event statistics. Higher thresholds (5-10) ensure only well-established patterns receive visual emphasis.
Table Position
Default: top_right
Options: top_left, top_right, bottom_left, bottom_right
Description: Screen location for the 56-cell statistics matrix table. Position to avoid overlapping critical price action or other indicators on your chart. Consider chart orientation and candlestick density when selecting optimal placement.
Show Current State Panel
Default: true
Options: true, false
Description: Toggle visibility of the dedicated current state information panel. When enabled, displays signal strength, RSI value, indicator status, average return, estimated win rate, and confidence level for active market conditions. Disable to declutter charts when only the matrix table is needed.
Info Panel Position
Default: bottom_left
Options: top_left, top_right, bottom_left, bottom_right
Description: Screen location for the current state information panel (when enabled). Position independently from statistics matrix to optimize chart real estate. Typically placed opposite the matrix table for balanced visual layout.
Win Rate Smoothing Strength
Default: 5
Range: 1 to 20
Description: Controls Bayesian prior weighting for estimated win rate calculations. Acts as virtual sample size assuming 50% win rate baseline. Default 5 provides moderate smoothing preventing extreme win rate estimates from small samples. Lower values (1-3) reduce smoothing effect, allowing win rates to reflect raw data more directly. Higher values (10-20) increase conservatism, pulling win rate estimates toward 50% until substantial evidence accumulates.
✅Best Use Cases
Pattern-based discretionary trading where you want historical confirmation before entering setups that “look good” based on current technical alignment
Swing trading with holding periods matching your forward performance bar setting, using high-confidence bullish cells as entry filters
Risk assessment and position sizing, allocating larger size to trades originating from cells with strong positive average returns and high estimated win rates
Market regime identification by observing which RSI states and indicator combinations are currently producing the most reliable historical patterns
Backtesting validation by comparing your manual strategy signals against the historical performance of the corresponding matrix cells
Educational tool for developing intuition about which technical condition combinations have actually worked versus those that feel right but lack historical evidence
⚠️Limitations
Historical patterns do not guarantee future performance, especially during unprecedented market events or regime changes not represented in the lookback period
Small sample sizes (low occurrence counts) produce unreliable statistics despite Bayesian smoothing, requiring caution when acting on low-confidence cells
Matrix statistics lag behind rapidly changing market conditions, as the lookback period must accumulate new state occurrences before updating performance data
Forward return calculations use fixed bar periods that may not align with actual trade exit timing, support/resistance levels, or volatility-adjusted profit targets
💡What Makes This Unique
Multi-Dimensional State Space: Unlike single-indicator tools, simultaneously tracks 56 distinct market condition combinations providing granular pattern resolution unavailable in traditional technical analysis
Bayesian Statistical Rigor: Implements proper probabilistic smoothing to prevent overconfidence from limited data, a critical feature missing from most pattern recognition tools
Real-Time Contextual Feedback: The “NOW” marker and dedicated info panel instantly connect current market conditions to their historical performance profile, eliminating guesswork
Transparent Occurrence Counts: Displays sample sizes directly in each cell, allowing traders to judge statistical reliability themselves rather than hiding data quality issues
Fully Customizable Analysis Window: Complete control over lookback depth and forward return horizons lets traders align the tool precisely with their trading timeframe and strategy requirements
🔬How It Works
1. State Classification and Encoding
Each bar’s RSI value is evaluated and assigned to one of 7 discrete states based on threshold levels (0: <20, 1: 20-30, 2: 30-40, 3: 40-60, 4: 60-70, 5: 70-80, 6: >80)
Simultaneously, three binary conditions are evaluated: MACD line position relative to signal line, current volume relative to its moving average, and current close relative to previous close
These three binary conditions are combined into a single indicator state integer (0-7) using binary encoding, creating 8 possible indicator combinations
The RSI state and indicator state are stored together, defining one of 56 possible market condition cells in the matrix
2. Historical Data Accumulation
As each bar completes, the current state classification, closing price, and bar index are stored in rolling arrays maintained at the size specified by the lookback period
When the arrays reach capacity, the oldest data point is removed and the newest added, creating a sliding historical window
This continuous process builds a comprehensive database of past market conditions and their subsequent price movements
3. Forward Return Calculation and Statistics Update
On each bar, the indicator looks back through the stored historical data to find bars where sufficient forward bars exist to measure outcomes
For each historical occurrence, the price change from that bar to the bar N periods ahead (where N is the forward performance bars setting) is calculated as a percentage return
This percentage return is added to the cumulative return total for the specific matrix cell corresponding to that historical bar’s state classification
Occurrence counts are incremented, and wins are tallied for positive returns, building comprehensive statistics for each of the 56 cells
The Bayesian smoothing formula combines these raw statistics with prior assumptions (neutral 50% win rate) weighted by the smoothing strength parameter to produce estimated win rates that remain stable even with small samples
💡Note:
The Historical Matrix Analyzer is designed as a decision support tool, not a standalone trading system. Best results come from using it to validate discretionary trade ideas or filter systematic strategy signals. Always combine matrix insights with proper risk management, position sizing rules, and awareness of broader market context. The estimated win rate feature uses Bayesian statistics specifically to prevent false confidence from limited data, but no amount of smoothing can create reliable predictions from fundamentally insufficient sample sizes. Focus on high-confidence cells (green-colored confidence indicators) with occurrence counts well above your minimum threshold for the most actionable insights.
Tzotchev Trend Measure [EdgeTools]Are you still measuring trend strength with moving averages? Here is a better variant at scientific level:
Tzotchev Trend Measure: A Statistical Approach to Trend Following
The Tzotchev Trend Measure represents a sophisticated advancement in quantitative trend analysis, moving beyond traditional moving average-based indicators toward a statistically rigorous framework for measuring trend strength. This indicator implements the methodology developed by Tzotchev et al. (2015) in their seminal J.P. Morgan research paper "Designing robust trend-following system: Behind the scenes of trend-following," which introduced a probabilistic approach to trend measurement that has since become a cornerstone of institutional trading strategies.
Mathematical Foundation and Statistical Theory
The core innovation of the Tzotchev Trend Measure lies in its transformation of price momentum into a probability-based metric through the application of statistical hypothesis testing principles. The indicator employs the fundamental formula ST = 2 × Φ(√T × r̄T / σ̂T) - 1, where ST represents the trend strength score bounded between -1 and +1, Φ(x) denotes the normal cumulative distribution function, T represents the lookback period in trading days, r̄T is the average logarithmic return over the specified period, and σ̂T represents the estimated daily return volatility.
This formulation transforms what is essentially a t-statistic into a probabilistic trend measure, testing the null hypothesis that the mean return equals zero against the alternative hypothesis of non-zero mean return. The use of logarithmic returns rather than simple returns provides several statistical advantages, including symmetry properties where log(P₁/P₀) = -log(P₀/P₁), additivity characteristics that allow for proper compounding analysis, and improved validity of normal distribution assumptions that underpin the statistical framework.
The implementation utilizes the Abramowitz and Stegun (1964) approximation for the normal cumulative distribution function, achieving accuracy within ±1.5 × 10⁻⁷ for all input values. This approximation employs Horner's method for polynomial evaluation to ensure numerical stability, particularly important when processing large datasets or extreme market conditions.
Comparative Analysis with Traditional Trend Measurement Methods
The Tzotchev Trend Measure demonstrates significant theoretical and empirical advantages over conventional trend analysis techniques. Traditional moving average-based systems, including simple moving averages (SMA), exponential moving averages (EMA), and their derivatives such as MACD, suffer from several fundamental limitations that the Tzotchev methodology addresses systematically.
Moving average systems exhibit inherent lag bias, as documented by Kaufman (2013) in "Trading Systems and Methods," where he demonstrates that moving averages inevitably lag price movements by approximately half their period length. This lag creates delayed signal generation that reduces profitability in trending markets and increases false signal frequency during consolidation periods. In contrast, the Tzotchev measure eliminates lag bias by directly analyzing the statistical properties of return distributions rather than smoothing price levels.
The volatility normalization inherent in the Tzotchev formula addresses a critical weakness in traditional momentum indicators. As shown by Bollinger (2001) in "Bollinger on Bollinger Bands," momentum oscillators like RSI and Stochastic fail to account for changing volatility regimes, leading to inconsistent signal interpretation across different market conditions. The Tzotchev measure's incorporation of return volatility in the denominator ensures that trend strength assessments remain consistent regardless of the underlying volatility environment.
Empirical studies by Hurst, Ooi, and Pedersen (2013) in "Demystifying Managed Futures" demonstrate that traditional trend-following indicators suffer from significant drawdowns during whipsaw markets, with Sharpe ratios frequently below 0.5 during challenging periods. The authors attribute these poor performance characteristics to the binary nature of most trend signals and their inability to quantify signal confidence. The Tzotchev measure addresses this limitation by providing continuous probability-based outputs that allow for more sophisticated risk management and position sizing strategies.
The statistical foundation of the Tzotchev approach provides superior robustness compared to technical indicators that lack theoretical grounding. Fama and French (1988) in "Permanent and Temporary Components of Stock Prices" established that price movements contain both permanent and temporary components, with traditional moving averages unable to distinguish between these elements effectively. The Tzotchev methodology's hypothesis testing framework specifically tests for the presence of permanent trend components while filtering out temporary noise, providing a more theoretically sound approach to trend identification.
Research by Moskowitz, Ooi, and Pedersen (2012) in "Time Series Momentum in the Cross Section of Asset Returns" found that traditional momentum indicators exhibit significant variation in effectiveness across asset classes and time periods. Their study of multiple asset classes over decades revealed that simple price-based momentum measures often fail to capture persistent trends in fixed income and commodity markets. The Tzotchev measure's normalization by volatility and its probabilistic interpretation provide consistent performance across diverse asset classes, as demonstrated in the original J.P. Morgan research.
Comparative performance studies conducted by AQR Capital Management (Asness, Moskowitz, and Pedersen, 2013) in "Value and Momentum Everywhere" show that volatility-adjusted momentum measures significantly outperform traditional price momentum across international equity, bond, commodity, and currency markets. The study documents Sharpe ratio improvements of 0.2 to 0.4 when incorporating volatility normalization, consistent with the theoretical advantages of the Tzotchev approach.
The regime detection capabilities of the Tzotchev measure provide additional advantages over binary trend classification systems. Research by Ang and Bekaert (2002) in "Regime Switches in Interest Rates" demonstrates that financial markets exhibit distinct regime characteristics that traditional indicators fail to capture adequately. The Tzotchev measure's five-tier classification system (Strong Bull, Weak Bull, Neutral, Weak Bear, Strong Bear) provides more nuanced market state identification than simple trend/no-trend binary systems.
Statistical testing by Jegadeesh and Titman (2001) in "Profitability of Momentum Strategies" revealed that traditional momentum indicators suffer from significant parameter instability, with optimal lookback periods varying substantially across market conditions and asset classes. The Tzotchev measure's statistical framework provides more stable parameter selection through its grounding in hypothesis testing theory, reducing the need for frequent parameter optimization that can lead to overfitting.
Advanced Noise Filtering and Market Regime Detection
A significant enhancement over the original Tzotchev methodology is the incorporation of a multi-factor noise filtering system designed to reduce false signals during sideways market conditions. The filtering mechanism employs four distinct approaches: adaptive thresholding based on current market regime strength, volatility-based filtering utilizing ATR percentile analysis, trend strength confirmation through momentum alignment, and a comprehensive multi-factor approach that combines all methodologies.
The adaptive filtering system analyzes market microstructure through price change relative to average true range, calculates volatility percentiles over rolling windows, and assesses trend alignment across multiple timeframes using exponential moving averages of varying periods. This approach addresses one of the primary limitations identified in traditional trend-following systems, namely their tendency to generate excessive false signals during periods of low volatility or sideways price action.
The regime detection component classifies market conditions into five distinct categories: Strong Bull (ST > 0.3), Weak Bull (0.1 < ST ≤ 0.3), Neutral (-0.1 ≤ ST ≤ 0.1), Weak Bear (-0.3 ≤ ST < -0.1), and Strong Bear (ST < -0.3). This classification system provides traders with clear, quantitative definitions of market regimes that can inform position sizing, risk management, and strategy selection decisions.
Professional Implementation and Trading Applications
The indicator incorporates three distinct trading profiles designed to accommodate different investment approaches and risk tolerances. The Conservative profile employs longer lookback periods (63 days), higher signal thresholds (0.2), and reduced filter sensitivity (0.5) to minimize false signals and focus on major trend changes. The Balanced profile utilizes standard academic parameters with moderate settings across all dimensions. The Aggressive profile implements shorter lookback periods (14 days), lower signal thresholds (-0.1), and increased filter sensitivity (1.5) to capture shorter-term trend movements.
Signal generation occurs through threshold crossover analysis, where long signals are generated when the trend measure crosses above the specified threshold and short signals when it crosses below. The implementation includes sophisticated signal confirmation mechanisms that consider trend alignment across multiple timeframes and momentum strength percentiles to reduce the likelihood of false breakouts.
The alert system provides real-time notifications for trend threshold crossovers, strong regime changes, and signal generation events, with configurable frequency controls to prevent notification spam. Alert messages are standardized to ensure consistency across different market conditions and timeframes.
Performance Optimization and Computational Efficiency
The implementation incorporates several performance optimization features designed to handle large datasets efficiently. The maximum bars back parameter allows users to control historical calculation depth, with default settings optimized for most trading applications while providing flexibility for extended historical analysis. The system includes automatic performance monitoring that generates warnings when computational limits are approached.
Error handling mechanisms protect against division by zero conditions, infinite values, and other numerical instabilities that can occur during extreme market conditions. The finite value checking system ensures data integrity throughout the calculation process, with fallback mechanisms that maintain indicator functionality even when encountering corrupted or missing price data.
Timeframe validation provides warnings when the indicator is applied to unsuitable timeframes, as the Tzotchev methodology was specifically designed for daily and higher timeframe analysis. This validation helps prevent misapplication of the indicator in contexts where its statistical assumptions may not hold.
Visual Design and User Interface
The indicator features eight professional color schemes designed for different trading environments and user preferences. The EdgeTools theme provides an institutional blue and steel color palette suitable for professional trading environments. The Gold theme offers warm colors optimized for commodities trading. The Behavioral theme incorporates psychology-based color contrasts that align with behavioral finance principles. The Quant theme provides neutral colors suitable for analytical applications.
Additional specialized themes include Ocean, Fire, Matrix, and Arctic variations, each optimized for specific visual preferences and trading contexts. All color schemes include automatic dark and light mode optimization to ensure optimal readability across different chart backgrounds and trading platforms.
The information table provides real-time display of key metrics including current trend measure value, market regime classification, signal strength, Z-score, average returns, volatility measures, filter threshold levels, and filter effectiveness percentages. This comprehensive dashboard allows traders to monitor all relevant indicator components simultaneously.
Theoretical Implications and Research Context
The Tzotchev Trend Measure addresses several theoretical limitations inherent in traditional technical analysis approaches. Unlike moving average-based systems that rely on price level comparisons, this methodology grounds trend analysis in statistical hypothesis testing, providing a more robust theoretical foundation for trading decisions.
The probabilistic interpretation of trend strength offers significant advantages over binary trend classification systems. Rather than simply indicating whether a trend exists, the measure quantifies the statistical confidence level associated with the trend assessment, allowing for more nuanced risk management and position sizing decisions.
The incorporation of volatility normalization addresses the well-documented problem of volatility clustering in financial time series, ensuring that trend strength assessments remain consistent across different market volatility regimes. This normalization is particularly important for portfolio management applications where consistent risk metrics across different assets and time periods are essential.
Practical Applications and Trading Strategy Integration
The Tzotchev Trend Measure can be effectively integrated into various trading strategies and portfolio management frameworks. For trend-following strategies, the indicator provides clear entry and exit signals with quantified confidence levels. For mean reversion strategies, extreme readings can signal potential turning points. For portfolio allocation, the regime classification system can inform dynamic asset allocation decisions.
The indicator's statistical foundation makes it particularly suitable for quantitative trading strategies where systematic, rules-based approaches are preferred over discretionary decision-making. The standardized output range facilitates easy integration with position sizing algorithms and risk management systems.
Risk management applications benefit from the indicator's ability to quantify trend strength and provide early warning signals of potential trend changes. The multi-timeframe analysis capability allows for the construction of robust risk management frameworks that consider both short-term tactical and long-term strategic market conditions.
Implementation Guide and Parameter Configuration
The practical application of the Tzotchev Trend Measure requires careful parameter configuration to optimize performance for specific trading objectives and market conditions. This section provides comprehensive guidance for parameter selection and indicator customization.
Core Calculation Parameters
The Lookback Period parameter controls the statistical window used for trend calculation and represents the most critical setting for the indicator. Default values range from 14 to 63 trading days, with shorter periods (14-21 days) providing more sensitive trend detection suitable for short-term trading strategies, while longer periods (42-63 days) offer more stable trend identification appropriate for position trading and long-term investment strategies. The parameter directly influences the statistical significance of trend measurements, with longer periods requiring stronger underlying trends to generate significant signals but providing greater reliability in trend identification.
The Price Source parameter determines which price series is used for return calculations. The default close price provides standard trend analysis, while alternative selections such as high-low midpoint ((high + low) / 2) can reduce noise in volatile markets, and volume-weighted average price (VWAP) offers superior trend identification in institutional trading environments where volume concentration matters significantly.
The Signal Threshold parameter establishes the minimum trend strength required for signal generation, with values ranging from -0.5 to 0.5. Conservative threshold settings (0.2 to 0.3) reduce false signals but may miss early trend opportunities, while aggressive settings (-0.1 to 0.1) provide earlier signal generation at the cost of increased false positive rates. The optimal threshold depends on the trader's risk tolerance and the volatility characteristics of the traded instrument.
Trading Profile Configuration
The Trading Profile system provides pre-configured parameter sets optimized for different trading approaches. The Conservative profile employs a 63-day lookback period with a 0.2 signal threshold and 0.5 noise sensitivity, designed for long-term position traders seeking high-probability trend signals with minimal false positives. The Balanced profile uses a 21-day lookback with 0.05 signal threshold and 1.0 noise sensitivity, suitable for swing traders requiring moderate signal frequency with acceptable noise levels. The Aggressive profile implements a 14-day lookback with -0.1 signal threshold and 1.5 noise sensitivity, optimized for day traders and scalpers requiring frequent signal generation despite higher noise levels.
Advanced Noise Filtering System
The noise filtering mechanism addresses the challenge of false signals during sideways market conditions through four distinct methodologies. The Adaptive filter adjusts thresholds based on current trend strength, increasing sensitivity during strong trending periods while raising thresholds during consolidation phases. The Volatility-based filter utilizes Average True Range (ATR) percentile analysis to suppress signals during abnormally volatile conditions that typically generate false trend indications.
The Trend Strength filter requires alignment between multiple momentum indicators before confirming signals, reducing the probability of false breakouts from consolidation patterns. The Multi-factor approach combines all filtering methodologies using weighted scoring to provide the most robust noise reduction while maintaining signal responsiveness during genuine trend initiations.
The Noise Sensitivity parameter controls the aggressiveness of the filtering system, with lower values (0.5-1.0) providing conservative filtering suitable for volatile instruments, while higher values (1.5-2.0) allow more signals through but may increase false positive rates during choppy market conditions.
Visual Customization and Display Options
The Color Scheme parameter offers eight professional visualization options designed for different analytical preferences and market conditions. The EdgeTools scheme provides high contrast visualization optimized for trend strength differentiation, while the Gold scheme offers warm tones suitable for commodity analysis. The Behavioral scheme uses psychological color associations to enhance decision-making speed, and the Quant scheme provides neutral colors appropriate for quantitative analysis environments.
The Ocean, Fire, Matrix, and Arctic schemes offer additional aesthetic options while maintaining analytical functionality. Each scheme includes optimized colors for both light and dark chart backgrounds, ensuring visibility across different trading platform configurations.
The Show Glow Effects parameter enhances plot visibility through multiple layered lines with progressive transparency, particularly useful when analyzing multiple timeframes simultaneously or when working with dense price data that might obscure trend signals.
Performance Optimization Settings
The Maximum Bars Back parameter controls the historical data depth available for calculations, with values ranging from 5,000 to 50,000 bars. Higher values enable analysis of longer-term trend patterns but may impact indicator loading speed on slower systems or when applied to multiple instruments simultaneously. The optimal setting depends on the intended analysis timeframe and available computational resources.
The Calculate on Every Tick parameter determines whether the indicator updates with every price change or only at bar close. Real-time calculation provides immediate signal updates suitable for scalping and day trading strategies, while bar-close calculation reduces computational overhead and eliminates signal flickering during bar formation, preferred for swing trading and position management applications.
Alert System Configuration
The Alert Frequency parameter controls notification generation, with options for all signals, bar close only, or once per bar. High-frequency trading strategies benefit from all signals mode, while position traders typically prefer bar close alerts to avoid premature position entries based on intrabar fluctuations.
The alert system generates four distinct notification types: Long Signal alerts when the trend measure crosses above the positive signal threshold, Short Signal alerts for negative threshold crossings, Bull Regime alerts when entering strong bullish conditions, and Bear Regime alerts for strong bearish regime identification.
Table Display and Information Management
The information table provides real-time statistical metrics including current trend value, regime classification, signal status, and filter effectiveness measurements. The table position can be customized for optimal screen real estate utilization, and individual metrics can be toggled based on analytical requirements.
The Language parameter supports both English and German display options for international users, while maintaining consistent calculation methodology regardless of display language selection.
Risk Management Integration
Effective risk management integration requires coordination between the trend measure signals and position sizing algorithms. Strong trend readings (above 0.5 or below -0.5) support larger position sizes due to higher probability of trend continuation, while neutral readings (between -0.2 and 0.2) suggest reduced position sizes or range-trading strategies.
The regime classification system provides additional risk management context, with Strong Bull and Strong Bear regimes supporting trend-following strategies, while Neutral regimes indicate potential for mean reversion approaches. The filter effectiveness metric helps traders assess current market conditions and adjust strategy parameters accordingly.
Timeframe Considerations and Multi-Timeframe Analysis
The indicator's effectiveness varies across different timeframes, with higher timeframes (daily, weekly) providing more reliable trend identification but slower signal generation, while lower timeframes (hourly, 15-minute) offer faster signals with increased noise levels. Multi-timeframe analysis combining trend alignment across multiple periods significantly improves signal quality and reduces false positive rates.
For optimal results, traders should consider trend alignment between the primary trading timeframe and at least one higher timeframe before entering positions. Divergences between timeframes often signal potential trend reversals or consolidation periods requiring strategy adjustment.
Conclusion
The Tzotchev Trend Measure represents a significant advancement in technical analysis methodology, combining rigorous statistical foundations with practical trading applications. Its implementation of the J.P. Morgan research methodology provides institutional-quality trend analysis capabilities previously available only to sophisticated quantitative trading firms.
The comprehensive parameter configuration options enable customization for diverse trading styles and market conditions, while the advanced noise filtering and regime detection capabilities provide superior signal quality compared to traditional trend-following indicators. Proper parameter selection and understanding of the indicator's statistical foundation are essential for achieving optimal trading results and effective risk management.
References
Abramowitz, M. and Stegun, I.A. (1964). Handbook of Mathematical Functions with Formulas, Graphs, and Mathematical Tables. Washington: National Bureau of Standards.
Ang, A. and Bekaert, G. (2002). Regime Switches in Interest Rates. Journal of Business and Economic Statistics, 20(2), 163-182.
Asness, C.S., Moskowitz, T.J., and Pedersen, L.H. (2013). Value and Momentum Everywhere. Journal of Finance, 68(3), 929-985.
Bollinger, J. (2001). Bollinger on Bollinger Bands. New York: McGraw-Hill.
Fama, E.F. and French, K.R. (1988). Permanent and Temporary Components of Stock Prices. Journal of Political Economy, 96(2), 246-273.
Hurst, B., Ooi, Y.H., and Pedersen, L.H. (2013). Demystifying Managed Futures. Journal of Investment Management, 11(3), 42-58.
Jegadeesh, N. and Titman, S. (2001). Profitability of Momentum Strategies: An Evaluation of Alternative Explanations. Journal of Finance, 56(2), 699-720.
Kaufman, P.J. (2013). Trading Systems and Methods. 5th Edition. Hoboken: John Wiley & Sons.
Moskowitz, T.J., Ooi, Y.H., and Pedersen, L.H. (2012). Time Series Momentum. Journal of Financial Economics, 104(2), 228-250.
Tzotchev, D., Lo, A.W., and Hasanhodzic, J. (2015). Designing robust trend-following system: Behind the scenes of trend-following. J.P. Morgan Quantitative Research, Asset Management Division.
Recession Warning Model [BackQuant]Recession Warning Model
Overview
The Recession Warning Model (RWM) is a Pine Script® indicator designed to estimate the probability of an economic recession by integrating multiple macroeconomic, market sentiment, and labor market indicators. It combines over a dozen data series into a transparent, adaptive, and actionable tool for traders, portfolio managers, and researchers. The model provides customizable complexity levels, display modes, and data processing options to accommodate various analytical requirements while ensuring robustness through dynamic weighting and regime-aware adjustments.
Purpose
The RWM fulfills the need for a concise yet comprehensive tool to monitor recession risk. Unlike approaches relying on a single metric, such as yield-curve inversion, or extensive economic reports, it consolidates multiple data sources into a single probability output. The model identifies active indicators, their confidence levels, and the current economic regime, enabling users to anticipate downturns and adjust strategies accordingly.
Core Features
- Indicator Families : Incorporates 13 indicators across five categories: Yield, Labor, Sentiment, Production, and Financial Stress.
- Dynamic Weighting : Adjusts indicator weights based on recent predictive accuracy, constrained within user-defined boundaries.
- Leading and Coincident Split : Separates early-warning (leading) and confirmatory (coincident) signals, with adjustable weighting (default 60/40 mix).
- Economic Regime Sensitivity : Modulates output sensitivity based on market conditions (Expansion, Late-Cycle, Stress, Crisis), using a composite of VIX, yield-curve, financial conditions, and credit spreads.
- Display Options : Supports four modes—Probability (0-100%), Binary (four risk bins), Lead/Coincident, and Ensemble (blended probability).
- Confidence Intervals : Reflects model stability, widening during high volatility or conflicting signals.
- Alerts : Configurable thresholds (Watch, Caution, Warning, Alert) with persistence filters to minimize false signals.
- Data Export : Enables CSV output for probabilities, signals, and regimes, facilitating external analysis in Python or R.
Model Complexity Levels
Users can select from four tiers to balance simplicity and depth:
1. Essential : Focuses on three core indicators—yield-curve spread, jobless claims, and unemployment change—for minimalistic monitoring.
2. Standard : Expands to nine indicators, adding consumer confidence, PMI, VIX, S&P 500 trend, money supply vs. GDP, and the Sahm Rule.
3. Professional : Includes all 13 indicators, incorporating financial conditions, credit spreads, JOLTS vacancies, and wage growth.
4. Research : Unlocks all indicators plus experimental settings for advanced users.
Key Indicators
Below is a summary of the 13 indicators, their data sources, and economic significance:
- Yield-Curve Spread : Difference between 10-year and 3-month Treasury yields. Negative spreads signal banking sector stress.
- Jobless Claims : Four-week moving average of unemployment claims. Sustained increases indicate rising layoffs.
- Unemployment Change : Three-month change in unemployment rate. Sharp rises often precede recessions.
- Sahm Rule : Triggers when unemployment rises 0.5% above its 12-month low, a reliable recession indicator.
- Consumer Confidence : University of Michigan survey. Declines reflect household pessimism, impacting spending.
- PMI : Purchasing Managers’ Index. Values below 50 indicate manufacturing contraction.
- VIX : CBOE Volatility Index. Elevated levels suggest market anticipation of economic distress.
- S&P 500 Growth : Weekly moving average trend. Declines reduce wealth effects, curbing consumption.
- M2 + GDP Trend : Monitors money supply and real GDP. Simultaneous declines signal credit contraction.
- NFCI : Chicago Fed’s National Financial Conditions Index. Positive values indicate tighter conditions.
- Credit Spreads : Proxy for corporate bond spreads using 10-year vs. 2-year Treasury yields. Widening spreads reflect stress.
- JOLTS Vacancies : Job openings data. Significant drops precede hiring slowdowns.
- Wage Growth : Year-over-year change in average hourly earnings. Late-cycle spikes often signal economic overheating.
Data Processing
- Rate of Change (ROC) : Optionally applied to capture momentum in data series (default: 21-bar period).
- Z-Score Normalization : Standardizes indicators to a common scale (default: 252-bar lookback).
- Smoothing : Applies a short moving average to final signals (default: 5-bar period) to reduce noise.
- Binary Signals : Generated for each indicator (e.g., yield-curve inverted or PMI below 50) based on thresholds or Z-score deviations.
Probability Calculation
1. Each indicator’s binary signal is weighted according to user settings or dynamic performance.
2. Weights are normalized to sum to 100% across active indicators.
3. Leading and coincident signals are aggregated separately (if split mode is enabled) and combined using the specified mix.
4. The probability is adjusted by a regime multiplier, amplifying risk during Stress or Crisis regimes.
5. Optional smoothing ensures stable outputs.
Display and Visualization
- Probability Mode : Plots a continuous 0-100% recession probability with color gradients and confidence bands.
- Binary Mode : Categorizes risk into four levels (Minimal, Watch, Caution, Alert) for simplified dashboards.
- Lead/Coincident Mode : Displays leading and coincident probabilities separately to track signal divergence.
- Ensemble Mode : Averages traditional and split probabilities for a balanced view.
- Regime Background : Color-coded overlays (green for Expansion, orange for Late-Cycle, amber for Stress, red for Crisis).
- Analytics Table : Optional dashboard showing probability, confidence, regime, and top indicator statuses.
Practical Applications
- Asset Allocation : Adjust equity or bond exposures based on sustained probability increases.
- Risk Management : Hedge portfolios with VIX futures or options during regime shifts to Stress or Crisis.
- Sector Rotation : Shift toward defensive sectors when coincident signals rise above 50%.
- Trading Filters : Disable short-term strategies during high-risk regimes.
- Event Timing : Scale positions ahead of high-impact data releases when probability and VIX are elevated.
Configuration Guidelines
- Enable ROC and Z-score for consistent indicator comparison unless raw data is preferred.
- Use dynamic weighting with at least one economic cycle of data for optimal performance.
- Monitor stress composite scores above 80 alongside probabilities above 70 for critical risk signals.
- Adjust adaptation speed (default: 0.1) to 0.2 during Crisis regimes for faster indicator prioritization.
- Combine RWM with complementary tools (e.g., liquidity metrics) for intraday or short-term trading.
Limitations
- Macro indicators lag intraday market moves, making RWM better suited for strategic rather than tactical trading.
- Historical data availability may constrain dynamic weighting on shorter timeframes.
- Model accuracy depends on the quality and timeliness of economic data feeds.
Final Note
The Recession Warning Model provides a disciplined framework for monitoring economic downturn risks. By integrating diverse indicators with transparent weighting and regime-aware adjustments, it empowers users to make informed decisions in portfolio management, risk hedging, or macroeconomic research. Regular review of model outputs alongside market-specific tools ensures its effective application across varying market conditions.
Trend Gauge [BullByte]Trend Gauge
Summary
A multi-factor trend detection indicator that aggregates EMA alignment, VWMA momentum scaling, volume spikes, ATR breakout strength, higher-timeframe confirmation, ADX-based regime filtering, and RSI pivot-divergence penalty into one normalized trend score. It also provides a confidence meter, a Δ Score momentum histogram, divergence highlights, and a compact, scalable dashboard for at-a-glance status.
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## 1. Purpose of the Indicator
Why this was built
Traders often monitor several indicators in parallel - EMAs, volume signals, volatility breakouts, higher-timeframe trends, ADX readings, divergence alerts, etc., which can be cumbersome and sometimes contradictory. The “Trend Gauge” indicator was created to consolidate these complementary checks into a single, normalized score that reflects the prevailing market bias (bullish, bearish, or neutral) and its strength. By combining multiple inputs with an adaptive regime filter, scaling contributions by magnitude, and penalizing weakening signals (divergence), this tool aims to reduce noise, highlight genuine trend opportunities, and warn when momentum fades.
Key Design Goals
Signal Aggregation
Merged trend-following signals (EMA crossover, ATR breakout, higher-timeframe confirmation) and momentum signals (VWMA thrust, volume spikes) into a unified score that reflects directional bias more holistically.
Market Regime Awareness
Implemented an ADX-style filter to distinguish between trending and ranging markets, reducing the influence of trend signals during sideways phases to avoid false breakouts.
Magnitude-Based Scaling
Replaced binary contributions with scaled inputs: VWMA thrust and ATR breakout are weighted relative to recent averages, allowing for more nuanced score adjustments based on signal strength.
Momentum Divergence Penalty
Integrated pivot-based RSI divergence detection to slightly reduce the overall score when early signs of momentum weakening are detected, improving risk-awareness in entries.
Confidence Transparency
Added a live confidence metric that shows what percentage of enabled sub-indicators currently agree with the overall bias, making the scoring system more interpretable.
Momentum Acceleration Visualization
Plotted the change in score (Δ Score) as a histogram bar-to-bar, highlighting whether momentum is increasing, flattening, or reversing, aiding in more timely decision-making.
Compact Informational Dashboard
Presented a clean, scalable dashboard that displays each component’s status, the final score, confidence %, detected regime (Trending/Ranging), and a labeled strength gauge for quick visual assessment.
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## 2. Why a Trader Should Use It
Main benefits and use cases
1. Unified View: Rather than juggling multiple windows or panels, this indicator delivers a single score synthesizing diverse signals.
2. Regime Filtering: In ranging markets, trend signals often generate false entries. The ADX-based regime filter automatically down-weights trend-following components, helping you avoid chasing false breakouts.
3. Nuanced Momentum & Volatility: VWMA and ATR breakout contributions are normalized by recent averages, so strong moves register strongly while smaller fluctuations are de-emphasized.
4. Early Warning of Weakening: Pivot-based RSI divergence is detected and used to slightly reduce the score when price/momentum diverges, giving a cautionary signal before a full reversal.
5. Confidence Meter: See at a glance how many sub-indicators align with the aggregated bias (e.g., “80% confidence” means 4 out of 5 components agree ). This transparency avoids black-box decisions.
6. Trend Acceleration/Deceleration View: The Δ Score histogram visualizes whether the aggregated score is rising (accelerating trend) or falling (momentum fading), supplementing the main oscillator.
7. Compact Dashboard: A corner table lists each check’s status (“Bull”, “Bear”, “Flat” or “Disabled”), plus overall Score, Confidence %, Regime, Trend Strength label, and a gauge bar. Users can scale text size (Normal, Small, Tiny) without removing elements, so the full picture remains visible even in compact layouts.
8. Customizable & Transparent: All components can be enabled/disabled and parameterized (lengths, thresholds, weights). The full Pine code is open and well-commented, letting users inspect or adapt the logic.
9. Alert-ready: Built-in alert conditions fire when the score crosses weak thresholds to bullish/bearish or returns to neutral, enabling timely notifications.
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## 3. Component Rationale (“Why These Specific Indicators?”)
Each sub-component was chosen because it adds complementary information about trend or momentum:
1. EMA Cross
o Basic trend measure: compares a faster EMA vs. a slower EMA. Quickly reflects trend shifts but by itself can whipsaw in sideways markets.
2. VWMA Momentum
o Volume-weighted moving average change indicates momentum with volume context. By normalizing (dividing by a recent average absolute change), we capture the strength of momentum relative to recent history. This scaling prevents tiny moves from dominating and highlights genuinely strong momentum.
3. Volume Spikes
o Sudden jumps in volume combined with price movement often accompany stronger moves or reversals. A binary detection (+1 for bullish spike, -1 for bearish spike) flags high-conviction bars.
4. ATR Breakout
o Detects price breaking beyond recent highs/lows by a multiple of ATR. Measures breakout strength by how far beyond the threshold price moves relative to ATR, capped to avoid extreme outliers. This gives a volatility-contextual trend signal.
5. Higher-Timeframe EMA Alignment
o Confirms whether the shorter-term trend aligns with a higher timeframe trend. Uses request.security with lookahead_off to avoid future data. When multiple timeframes agree, confidence in direction increases.
6. ADX Regime Filter (Manual Calculation)
o Computes directional movement (+DM/–DM), smoothes via RMA, computes DI+ and DI–, then a DX and ADX-like value. If ADX ≥ threshold, market is “Trending” and trend components carry full weight; if ADX < threshold, “Ranging” mode applies a configurable weight multiplier (e.g., 0.5) to trend-based contributions, reducing false signals in sideways conditions. Volume spikes remain binary (optional behavior; can be adjusted if desired).
7. RSI Pivot-Divergence Penalty
o Uses ta.pivothigh / ta.pivotlow with a lookback to detect pivot highs/lows on price and corresponding RSI values. When price makes a higher high but RSI makes a lower high (bearish divergence), or price makes a lower low but RSI makes a higher low (bullish divergence), a divergence signal is set. Rather than flipping the trend outright, the indicator subtracts (or adds) a small penalty (configurable) from the aggregated score if it would weaken the current bias. This subtle adjustment warns of weakening momentum without overreacting to noise.
8. Confidence Meter
o Counts how many enabled components currently agree in direction with the aggregated score (i.e., component sign × score sign > 0). Displays this as a percentage. A high percentage indicates strong corroboration; a low percentage warns of mixed signals.
9. Δ Score Momentum View
o Plots the bar-to-bar change in the aggregated score (delta_score = score - score ) as a histogram. When positive, bars are drawn in green above zero; when negative, bars are drawn in red below zero. This reveals acceleration (rising Δ) or deceleration (falling Δ), supplementing the main oscillator.
10. Dashboard
• A table in the indicator pane’s top-right with 11 rows:
1. EMA Cross status
2. VWMA Momentum status
3. Volume Spike status
4. ATR Breakout status
5. Higher-Timeframe Trend status
6. Score (numeric)
7. Confidence %
8. Regime (“Trending” or “Ranging”)
9. Trend Strength label (e.g., “Weak Bullish Trend”, “Strong Bearish Trend”)
10. Gauge bar visually representing score magnitude
• All rows always present; size_opt (Normal, Small, Tiny) only changes text size via text_size, not which elements appear. This ensures full transparency.
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## 4. What Makes This Indicator Stand Out
• Regime-Weighted Multi-Factor Score: Trend and momentum signals are adaptively weighted by market regime (trending vs. ranging) , reducing false signals.
• Magnitude Scaling: VWMA and ATR breakout contributions are normalized by recent average momentum or ATR, giving finer gradation compared to simple ±1.
• Integrated Divergence Penalty: Divergence directly adjusts the aggregated score rather than appearing as a separate subplot; this influences alerts and trend labeling in real time.
• Confidence Meter: Shows the percentage of sub-signals in agreement, providing transparency and preventing blind trust in a single metric.
• Δ Score Histogram Momentum View: A histogram highlights acceleration or deceleration of the aggregated trend score, helping detect shifts early.
• Flexible Dashboard: Always-visible component statuses and summary metrics in one place; text size scaling keeps the full picture available in cramped layouts.
• Lookahead-Safe HTF Confirmation: Uses lookahead_off so no future data is accessed from higher timeframes, avoiding repaint bias.
• Repaint Transparency: Divergence detection uses pivot functions that inherently confirm only after lookback bars; description documents this lag so users understand how and when divergence labels appear.
• Open-Source & Educational: Full, well-commented Pine v6 code is provided; users can learn from its structure: manual ADX computation, conditional plotting with series = show ? value : na, efficient use of table.new in barstate.islast, and grouped inputs with tooltips.
• Compliance-Conscious: All plots have descriptive titles; inputs use clear names; no unnamed generic “Plot” entries; manual ADX uses RMA; all request.security calls use lookahead_off. Code comments mention repaint behavior and limitations.
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## 5. Recommended Timeframes & Tuning
• Any Timeframe: The indicator works on small (e.g., 1m) to large (daily, weekly) timeframes. However:
o On very low timeframes (<1m or tick charts), noise may produce frequent whipsaws. Consider increasing smoothing lengths, disabling certain components (e.g., volume spike if volume data noisy), or using a larger pivot lookback for divergence.
o On higher timeframes (daily, weekly), consider longer lookbacks for ATR breakout or divergence, and set Higher-Timeframe trend appropriately (e.g., 4H HTF when on 5 Min chart).
• Defaults & Experimentation: Default input values are chosen to be balanced for many liquid markets. Users should test with replay or historical analysis on their symbol/timeframe and adjust:
o ADX threshold (e.g., 20–30) based on instrument volatility.
o VWMA and ATR scaling lengths to match average volatility cycles.
o Pivot lookback for divergence: shorter for faster markets, longer for slower ones.
• Combining with Other Analysis: Use in conjunction with price action, support/resistance, candlestick patterns, order flow, or other tools as desired. The aggregated score and alerts can guide attention but should not be the sole decision-factor.
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## 6. How Scoring and Logic Works (Step-by-Step)
1. Compute Sub-Scores
o EMA Cross: Evaluate fast EMA > slow EMA ? +1 : fast EMA < slow EMA ? -1 : 0.
o VWMA Momentum: Calculate vwma = ta.vwma(close, length), then vwma_mom = vwma - vwma . Normalize: divide by recent average absolute momentum (e.g., ta.sma(abs(vwma_mom), lookback)), clip to .
o Volume Spike: Compute vol_SMA = ta.sma(volume, len). If volume > vol_SMA * multiplier AND price moved up ≥ threshold%, assign +1; if moved down ≥ threshold%, assign -1; else 0.
o ATR Breakout: Determine recent high/low over lookback. If close > high + ATR*mult, compute distance = close - (high + ATR*mult), normalize by ATR, cap at a configured maximum. Assign positive contribution. Similarly for bearish breakout below low.
o Higher-Timeframe Trend: Use request.security(..., lookahead=barmerge.lookahead_off) to fetch HTF EMAs; assign +1 or -1 based on alignment.
2. ADX Regime Weighting
o Compute manual ADX: directional movements (+DM, –DM), smoothed via RMA, DI+ and DI–, then DX and ADX via RMA. If ADX ≥ threshold, market is considered “Trending”; otherwise “Ranging.”
o If trending, trend-based contributions (EMA, VWMA, ATR, HTF) use full weight = 1.0. If ranging, use weight = ranging_weight (e.g., 0.5) to down-weight them. Volume spike stays binary ±1 (optional to change if desired).
3. Aggregate Raw Score
o Sum weighted contributions of all enabled components. Count the number of enabled components; if zero, default count = 1 to avoid division by zero.
4. Divergence Penalty
o Detect pivot highs/lows on price and corresponding RSI values, using a lookback. When price and RSI diverge (bearish or bullish divergence), check if current raw score is in the opposing direction:
If bearish divergence (price higher high, RSI lower high) and raw score currently positive, subtract a penalty (e.g., 0.5).
If bullish divergence (price lower low, RSI higher low) and raw score currently negative, add a penalty.
o This reduces score magnitude to reflect weakening momentum, without flipping the trend outright.
5. Normalize and Smooth
o Normalized score = (raw_score / number_of_enabled_components) * 100. This yields a roughly range.
o Optional EMA smoothing of this normalized score to reduce noise.
6. Interpretation
o Sign: >0 = net bullish bias; <0 = net bearish bias; near zero = neutral.
o Magnitude Zones: Compare |score| to thresholds (Weak, Medium, Strong) to label trend strength (e.g., “Weak Bullish Trend”, “Medium Bearish Trend”, “Strong Bullish Trend”).
o Δ Score Histogram: The histogram bars from zero show change from previous bar’s score; positive bars indicate acceleration, negative bars indicate deceleration.
o Confidence: Percentage of sub-indicators aligned with the score’s sign.
o Regime: Indicates whether trend-based signals are fully weighted or down-weighted.
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## 7. Oscillator Plot & Visualization: How to Read It
Main Score Line & Area
The oscillator plots the aggregated score as a line, with colored fill: green above zero for bullish area, red below zero for bearish area. Horizontal reference lines at ±Weak, ±Medium, and ±Strong thresholds mark zones: crossing above +Weak suggests beginning of bullish bias, above +Medium for moderate strength, above +Strong for strong trend; similarly for bearish below negative thresholds.
Δ Score Histogram
If enabled, a histogram shows score - score . When positive, bars appear in green above zero, indicating accelerating bullish momentum; when negative, bars appear in red below zero, indicating decelerating or reversing momentum. The height of each bar reflects the magnitude of change in the aggregated score from the prior bar.
Divergence Highlight Fill
If enabled, when a pivot-based divergence is confirmed:
• Bullish Divergence : fill the area below zero down to –Weak threshold in green, signaling potential reversal from bearish to bullish.
• Bearish Divergence : fill the area above zero up to +Weak threshold in red, signaling potential reversal from bullish to bearish.
These fills appear with a lag equal to pivot lookback (the number of bars needed to confirm the pivot). They do not repaint after confirmation, but users must understand this lag.
Trend Direction Label
When score crosses above or below the Weak threshold, a small label appears near the score line reading “Bullish” or “Bearish.” If the score returns within ±Weak, the label “Neutral” appears. This helps quickly identify shifts at the moment they occur.
Dashboard Panel
In the indicator pane’s top-right, a table shows:
1. EMA Cross status: “Bull”, “Bear”, “Flat”, or “Disabled”
2. VWMA Momentum status: similarly
3. Volume Spike status: “Bull”, “Bear”, “No”, or “Disabled”
4. ATR Breakout status: “Bull”, “Bear”, “No”, or “Disabled”
5. Higher-Timeframe Trend status: “Bull”, “Bear”, “Flat”, or “Disabled”
6. Score: numeric value (rounded)
7. Confidence: e.g., “80%” (colored: green for high, amber for medium, red for low)
8. Regime: “Trending” or “Ranging” (colored accordingly)
9. Trend Strength: textual label based on magnitude (e.g., “Medium Bullish Trend”)
10. Gauge: a bar of blocks representing |score|/100
All rows remain visible at all times; changing Dashboard Size only scales text size (Normal, Small, Tiny).
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## 8. Example Usage (Illustrative Scenario)
Example: BTCUSD 5 Min
1. Setup: Add “Trend Gauge ” to your BTCUSD 5 Min chart. Defaults: EMAs (8/21), VWMA 14 with lookback 3, volume spike settings, ATR breakout 14/5, HTF = 5m (or adjust to 4H if preferred), ADX threshold 25, ranging weight 0.5, divergence RSI length 14 pivot lookback 5, penalty 0.5, smoothing length 3, thresholds Weak=20, Medium=50, Strong=80. Dashboard Size = Small.
2. Trend Onset: At some point, price breaks above recent high by ATR multiple, volume spikes upward, faster EMA crosses above slower EMA, HTF EMA also bullish, and ADX (manual) ≥ threshold → aggregated score rises above +20 (Weak threshold) into +Medium zone. Dashboard shows “Bull” for EMA, VWMA, Vol Spike, ATR, HTF; Score ~+60–+70; Confidence ~100%; Regime “Trending”; Trend Strength “Medium Bullish Trend”; Gauge ~6–7 blocks. Δ Score histogram bars are green and rising, indicating accelerating bullish momentum. Trader notes the alignment.
3. Divergence Warning: Later, price makes a slightly higher high but RSI fails to confirm (lower RSI high). Pivot lookback completes; the indicator highlights a bearish divergence fill above zero and subtracts a small penalty from the score, causing score to stall or retrace slightly. Dashboard still bullish but score dips toward +Weak. This warns the trader to tighten stops or take partial profits.
4. Trend Weakens: Score eventually crosses below +Weak back into neutral; a “Neutral” label appears, and a “Neutral Trend” alert fires if enabled. Trader exits or avoids new long entries. If score subsequently crosses below –Weak, a “Bearish” label and alert occur.
5. Customization: If the trader finds VWMA noise too frequent on this instrument, they may disable VWMA or increase lookback. If ATR breakouts are too rare, adjust ATR length or multiplier. If ADX threshold seems off, tune threshold. All these adjustments are explained in Inputs section.
6. Visualization: The screenshot shows the main score oscillator with colored areas, reference lines at ±20/50/80, Δ Score histogram bars below/above zero, divergence fill highlighting potential reversal, and the dashboard table in the top-right.
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## 9. Inputs Explanation
A concise yet clear summary of inputs helps users understand and adjust:
1. General Settings
• Theme (Dark/Light): Choose background-appropriate colors for the indicator pane.
• Dashboard Size (Normal/Small/Tiny): Scales text size only; all dashboard elements remain visible.
2. Indicator Settings
• Enable EMA Cross: Toggle on/off basic EMA alignment check.
o Fast EMA Length and Slow EMA Length: Periods for EMAs.
• Enable VWMA Momentum: Toggle VWMA momentum check.
o VWMA Length: Period for VWMA.
o VWMA Momentum Lookback: Bars to compare VWMA to measure momentum.
• Enable Volume Spike: Toggle volume spike detection.
o Volume SMA Length: Period to compute average volume.
o Volume Spike Multiplier: How many times above average volume qualifies as spike.
o Min Price Move (%): Minimum percent change in price during spike to qualify as bullish or bearish.
• Enable ATR Breakout: Toggle ATR breakout detection.
o ATR Length: Period for ATR.
o Breakout Lookback: Bars to look back for recent highs/lows.
o ATR Multiplier: Multiplier for breakout threshold.
• Enable Higher Timeframe Trend: Toggle HTF EMA alignment.
o Higher Timeframe: E.g., “5” for 5-minute when on 1-minute chart, or “60” for 5 Min when on 15m, etc. Uses lookahead_off.
• Enable ADX Regime Filter: Toggles regime-based weighting.
o ADX Length: Period for manual ADX calculation.
o ADX Threshold: Value above which market considered trending.
o Ranging Weight Multiplier: Weight applied to trend components when ADX < threshold (e.g., 0.5).
• Scale VWMA Momentum: Toggle normalization of VWMA momentum magnitude.
o VWMA Mom Scale Lookback: Period for average absolute VWMA momentum.
• Scale ATR Breakout Strength: Toggle normalization of breakout distance by ATR.
o ATR Scale Cap: Maximum multiple of ATR used for breakout strength.
• Enable Price-RSI Divergence: Toggle divergence detection.
o RSI Length for Divergence: Period for RSI.
o Pivot Lookback for Divergence: Bars on each side to identify pivot high/low.
o Divergence Penalty: Amount to subtract/add to score when divergence detected (e.g., 0.5).
3. Score Settings
• Smooth Score: Toggle EMA smoothing of normalized score.
• Score Smoothing Length: Period for smoothing EMA.
• Weak Threshold: Absolute score value under which trend is considered weak or neutral.
• Medium Threshold: Score above Weak but below Medium is moderate.
• Strong Threshold: Score above this indicates strong trend.
4. Visualization Settings
• Show Δ Score Histogram: Toggle display of the bar-to-bar change in score as a histogram. Default true.
• Show Divergence Fill: Toggle background fill highlighting confirmed divergences. Default true.
Each input has a tooltip in the code.
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## 10. Limitations, Repaint Notes, and Disclaimers
10.1. Repaint & Lag Considerations
• Pivot-Based Divergence Lag: The divergence detection uses ta.pivothigh / ta.pivotlow with a specified lookback. By design, a pivot is only confirmed after the lookback number of bars. As a result:
o Divergence labels or fills appear with a delay equal to the pivot lookback.
o Once the pivot is confirmed and the divergence is detected, the fill/label does not repaint thereafter, but you must understand and accept this lag.
o Users should not treat divergence highlights as predictive signals without additional confirmation, because they appear after the pivot has fully formed.
• Higher-Timeframe EMA Alignment: Uses request.security(..., lookahead=barmerge.lookahead_off), so no future data from the higher timeframe is used. This avoids lookahead bias and ensures signals are based only on completed higher-timeframe bars.
• No Future Data: All calculations are designed to avoid using future information. For example, manual ADX uses RMA on past data; security calls use lookahead_off.
10.2. Market & Noise Considerations
• In very choppy or low-liquidity markets, some components (e.g., volume spikes or VWMA momentum) may be noisy. Users can disable or adjust those components’ parameters.
• On extremely low timeframes, noise may dominate; consider smoothing lengths or disabling certain features.
• On very high timeframes, pivots and breakouts occur less frequently; adjust lookbacks accordingly to avoid sparse signals.
10.3. Not a Standalone Trading System
• This is an indicator, not a complete trading strategy. It provides signals and context but does not manage entries, exits, position sizing, or risk management.
• Users must combine it with their own analysis, money management, and confirmations (e.g., price patterns, support/resistance, fundamental context).
• No guarantees: past behavior does not guarantee future performance.
10.4. Disclaimers
• Educational Purposes Only: The script is provided as-is for educational and informational purposes. It does not constitute financial, investment, or trading advice.
• Use at Your Own Risk: Trading involves risk of loss. Users should thoroughly test and use proper risk management.
• No Guarantees: The author is not responsible for trading outcomes based on this indicator.
• License: Published under Mozilla Public License 2.0; code is open for viewing and modification under MPL terms.
________________________________________
## 11. Alerts
• The indicator defines three alert conditions:
1. Bullish Trend: when the aggregated score crosses above the Weak threshold.
2. Bearish Trend: when the score crosses below the negative Weak threshold.
3. Neutral Trend: when the score returns within ±Weak after being outside.
Good luck
– BullByte
TUF_LOGICThe TUF_LOGIC library incorporates three-valued logic (also known as trilean logic) into Pine Script, enabling the representation of states beyond the binary True and False to include an 'Uncertain' state. This addition is particularly apt for financial market contexts where information may not always be black or white, accommodating scenarios of partial or ambiguous data.
Key Features:
Trilean Data Type: Defines a tri type, facilitating the representation of True (1), Uncertain (0), and False (-1) states, thus accommodating a more nuanced approach to logical evaluation.
Validation and Conversion: Includes methods like validate, to ensure trilean variables conform to expected states, and to_bool, for converting trilean to boolean values, enhancing interoperability with binary logic systems.
Core Logical Operations: Extends traditional logical operators (AND, OR, NOT, XOR, EQUALITY) to work within the trilean domain, enabling complex conditionals that reflect real-world uncertainties.
Specialized Logical Operations:
Implication Operators: Features IMP_K (Kleene's), IMP_L (Łukasiewicz's), and IMP_RM3, offering varied approaches to logical implication within the trilean framework.
Possibility, Necessity, and Contingency Operators: Implements MA ("it is possible that..."), LA ("it is necessary that..."), and IA ("it is unknown/contingent that..."), derived from Tarski-Łukasiewicz's modal logic attempts, enriching the library with modal logic capabilities.
Unanimity Functions: The UNANIMOUS operator assesses complete agreement among trilean values, useful for scenarios requiring consensus or uniformity across multiple indicators or conditions.
This library is developed to support scenarios in financial trading and analysis where decisions might hinge on more than binary outcomes. By incorporating modal logic aspects and providing a framework for handling uncertainty through the MA, LA, and IA operations, TUF_LOGIC bridges the gap between classical binary logic and the realities of uncertain information, making it a valuable tool for developing sophisticated trading strategies and analytical models.
Library "TUF_LOGIC"
3VL Implementation (TUF stands for True, Uncertain, False.)
method validate(self)
Ensures a valid trilean variable. This works by clamping the variable to the range associated with the trilean type.
Namespace types: tri
Parameters:
self (tri)
Returns: Validated trilean object.
method to_bool(self)
Converts a trilean object into a boolean object. True -> True, Uncertain -> na, False -> False.
Namespace types: tri
Parameters:
self (tri)
Returns: A boolean variable.
method NOT(self)
Negates the trilean object. True -> False, Uncertain -> Uncertain, False -> True
Namespace types: tri
Parameters:
self (tri)
Returns: Negated trilean object.
method AND(self, comparator)
Logical AND operation for trilean objects.
Namespace types: tri
Parameters:
self (tri) : The first trilean object.
comparator (tri) : The second trilean object to compare with.
Returns: `tri` Result of the AND operation as a trilean object.
method OR(self, comparator)
Logical OR operation for trilean objects.
Namespace types: tri
Parameters:
self (tri) : The first trilean object.
comparator (tri) : The second trilean object to compare with.
Returns: `tri` Result of the OR operation as a trilean object.
method EQUALITY(self, comparator)
Logical EQUALITY operation for trilean objects.
Namespace types: tri
Parameters:
self (tri) : The first trilean object.
comparator (tri) : The second trilean object to compare with.
Returns: `tri` Result of the EQUALITY operation as a trilean object, True if both are equal, False otherwise.
method XOR(self, comparator)
Logical XOR (Exclusive OR) operation for trilean objects.
Namespace types: tri
Parameters:
self (tri) : The first trilean object.
comparator (tri) : The second trilean object to compare with.
Returns: `tri` Result of the XOR operation as a trilean object.
method IMP_K(self, comparator)
Material implication using Kleene's logic for trilean objects.
Namespace types: tri
Parameters:
self (tri) : The antecedent trilean object.
comparator (tri) : The consequent trilean object.
Returns: `tri` Result of the implication operation as a trilean object.
method IMP_L(self, comparator)
Logical implication using Łukasiewicz's logic for trilean objects.
Namespace types: tri
Parameters:
self (tri) : The antecedent trilean object.
comparator (tri) : The consequent trilean object.
Returns: `tri` Result of the implication operation as a trilean object.
method IMP_RM3(self, comparator)
Logical implication using RM3 logic for trilean objects.
Namespace types: tri
Parameters:
self (tri) : The antecedent trilean object.
comparator (tri) : The consequent trilean object.
Returns: `tri` Result of the RM3 implication as a trilean object.
method MA(self)
Evaluates to True if the trilean object is either True or Uncertain, False otherwise.
Namespace types: tri
Parameters:
self (tri) : The trilean object to evaluate.
Returns: `tri` Result of the operation as a trilean object.
method LA(self)
Evaluates to True if the trilean object is True, False otherwise.
Namespace types: tri
Parameters:
self (tri) : The trilean object to evaluate.
Returns: `tri` Result of the operation as a trilean object.
method IA(self)
Evaluates to True if the trilean object is Uncertain, False otherwise.
Namespace types: tri
Parameters:
self (tri) : The trilean object to evaluate.
Returns: `tri` Result of the operation as a trilean object.
UNANIMOUS(self, comparator)
Evaluates the unanimity between two trilean values.
Parameters:
self (tri) : The first trilean value.
comparator (tri) : The second trilean value.
Returns: `tri` Returns True if both values are True, False if both are False, and Uncertain otherwise.
method UNANIMOUS(self)
Evaluates the unanimity among an array of trilean values.
Namespace types: array
Parameters:
self (array) : The array of trilean values.
Returns: `tri` Returns True if all values are True, False if all are False, and Uncertain otherwise.
tri
Three Value Logic (T.U.F.), or trilean. Can be True (1), Uncertain (0), or False (-1).
Fields:
v (series int) : Value of the trilean variable. Can be True (1), Uncertain (0), or False (-1).
SML SuiteIntroducing the "SML Suite" Indicator
The "SML Suite" is a powerful and easy-to-use trading indicator designed to help traders make informed decisions in the world of financial markets. Whether you're a seasoned trader or a novice, this indicator is your trusty sidekick for evaluating market trends.
Key Features:
Three Moving Averages: The indicator employs three different moving averages, each with a distinct length, allowing you to adapt to various market conditions.
Customizable Parameters: You can easily customize the moving average lengths and source data to tailor the indicator to your specific trading strategy.
Standard Deviation Multiplier: Adjust the standard deviation multiplier to fine-tune the indicator's sensitivity to market fluctuations.
Binary Results: The indicator provides clear binary signals (1 or -1) based on whether the current price is above or below certain bands. This simplifies your decision-making process.
SML Calculation: The SML (Short, Medium, Long) calculation is a smart combination of the binary results, offering you an overall sentiment about the market.
Color-Coded Visualization: Visualize market sentiment with color-coded bars, making it easy to spot trends at a glance.
Interactive Table: A table is displayed on your chart, giving you a quick overview of the binary results and the overall SML sentiment.
With the "SML Suite" indicator, you don't need to be a coding expert to harness the power of technical analysis. Stay ahead of the game and enhance your trading strategy with this user-friendly tool. Make your trading decisions with confidence and clarity, backed by the insights provided by the "SML Suite" indicator.
fuson DEMA-->it does not need to be played with any settings. so I did not add a period.
-->l shows bearish trends very well but not as good as bearish trends in bullish trends
-->vdub can be used with binary options v3 and increases the leakage rates very high
-->If used for forex, it can be used in periods of 1 hour and longer
-->vdub binary option v3can be used for 1 minute verification with binary option if it will be used in binary option
RED-E Institutional Flow Tracker ProRED-E Institutional Flow Tracker Pro
A histogram-based institutional activity detector for swing traders and options traders. Identifies institutional buying/selling pressure through volume analysis, money flow calculations, and manipulation detection algorithms.
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OVERVIEW
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This indicator addresses two critical challenges in swing trading:
1. Exiting profitable positions prematurely due to normal market volatility
2. Holding positions during periods of market manipulation
The histogram display provides clear visual signals (BUY/HOLD/SELL) with educational tooltips explaining why each signal appeared and how to trade it.
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ORIGINALITY & METHODOLOGY
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Built from scratch using Pine Script v6, this indicator combines multiple analytical methods into a unified histogram system:
**Core Detection Methods:**
- **Dollar Volume Analysis** - Multiplies price by volume to identify institutional-sized trades. Default threshold: 3x average dollar volume over 20 periods.
- **Smart Money Flow Detection** - Combines three simultaneous conditions: unusual volume (1.5x+ average), large order size (3x+ average dollar volume), and directional price movement. All three must occur on the same bar for confirmation.
- **Money Flow Index Integration** - 14-period volume-weighted momentum indicator. Calculated as: typical price (HLC3) × volume, separated into positive flow (up bars) and negative flow (down bars), converted to 0-100 scale.
- **Manipulation Detection Algorithm** - Identifies suspicious patterns where volume spikes dramatically (>1.5x threshold) but price moves minimally (<0.5% volatility). This pattern is characteristic of spoofing, layering, and wash trading.
- **Market Regime Classification** - Uses Money Flow Index combined with flow strength to classify market state as Bullish (MFI >50 and positive flow), Bearish (MFI <50 and negative flow), or Neutral.
**Histogram Calculation:**
Formula: (Price Change % × Volume Ratio) × (1.5x multiplier if large order detected)
Smoothed with 3-period EMA for clean visualization
Values automatically scaled for optimal display
**21-Period Moving Average:**
Simple moving average of histogram values provides trend direction confirmation. Crossovers signal momentum shifts.
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HOW IT WORKS - TECHNICAL DETAILS
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**1. Volume Analysis Foundation**
- 50-period SMA of volume establishes baseline
- Current volume compared to baseline creates Volume Ratio
- Unusual volume threshold (default 1.5x) flags institutional interest
**2. Money Flow Index (14-period default)**
- Typical price = (High + Low + Close) / 3
- Raw Money Flow = Typical Price × Volume
- Positive Flow = Raw Money Flow when price up
- Negative Flow = Raw Money Flow when price down
- MFI = 100 -
**3. Large Order Detection**
- Dollar Volume = Close Price × Volume
- 20-period average establishes baseline
- Orders exceeding 3x baseline flagged as institutional
**4. Smart Money Logic**
- Buying Signal: Positive price change AND large order AND volume >1.5x average (all simultaneous)
- Selling Signal: Negative price change AND large order AND volume >1.5x average (all simultaneous)
- Must occur on same bar for confirmation
**5. Flow Magnitude Tracking**
- Dollar volume tracked cumulatively
- Automatically resets daily at market open
- Formatted in readable units: K (thousands), M (millions), B (billions), T (trillions)
- Displayed in dashboard for easy monitoring
**6. Signal Classification**
- Strong Buy: Histogram >0.3 AND bullish regime AND unusual volume
- Buy: Histogram >0.15 AND bullish regime
- Hold: Histogram between ±0.15 OR neutral regime
- Sell: Histogram <-0.15 AND bearish regime
- Strong Sell: Histogram <-0.3 AND bearish regime AND unusual volume
**7. Manipulation Detection**
- Triggers when: Volume Ratio > threshold AND price volatility < 0.5%
- This pattern suggests large volume without corresponding price impact
- Common in spoofing (fake orders), layering (multiple false orders), and wash trading
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HISTOGRAM DISPLAY & INTERPRETATION
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**Color-Coded Bars:**
- **Bright Green** - Strong institutional buying (>0.3 momentum + bullish regime + unusual volume)
- **Light Green** - Institutional buying (>0.15 momentum + bullish regime)
- **Gray** - Neutral/Hold zone (±0.15 momentum or neutral regime)
- **Light Red** - Institutional selling (<-0.15 momentum + bearish regime)
- **Bright Red** - Strong institutional selling (<-0.3 momentum + bearish regime + unusual volume)
**Visual Signals:**
- **BUY labels** - Appear above bright green bars with detailed tooltip
- **SELL labels** - Appear below bright red bars with detailed tooltip
- **HOLD labels** - Appear on most recent bar during consolidation with educational tooltip
- **Yellow warning dots (⚠)** - Mark manipulation periods at zero line with explanation tooltip
- **Blue 21-period MA** - Shows overall trend direction
**Interactive Tooltips:**
Hover over any signal to see:
- Why the signal appeared (exact metrics)
- What the data shows (momentum, MFI, volume values)
- How to trade it (entry, exit, position sizing)
- Risk management recommendations
**Plot Style Options:**
Users can choose from 5 display styles:
- Columns (default) - Traditional histogram bars
- Area - Filled area chart
- Line - Simple line chart
- Step Line - Step-style line
- Histogram - Alternative histogram style
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DASHBOARD METRICS EXPLAINED
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12-row real-time dashboard displays:
**Current Flow** - Institutional money flow for current bar (M/B/T units)
**Daily Flow** - Cumulative activity since market open (resets daily)
**Flow Strength** - Intensity percentage (0-100%)
- >70% = Extreme pressure
- 40-70% = Moderate activity
- <40% = Weak/absent activity
**Money Flow Index** - Volume-weighted momentum (0-100 scale)
- >60 = Strong buying pressure
- 40-60 = Neutral/mixed
- <40 = Strong selling pressure
**Volume Ratio** - Current vs 50-day average
- >2.0x = Highly unusual
- 1.5-2.0x = Unusual
- <1.5x = Normal
**Market Regime** - Current classification
- Bullish: MFI >50 AND histogram >0
- Bearish: MFI <50 AND histogram <0
- Neutral: All other conditions
**Activity Status** - Real-time assessment
- HEAVY BUYING: Unusual volume + buying + MFI >60
- BUYING: Large orders + positive movement
- HEAVY SELLING: Unusual volume + selling + MFI <40
- SELLING: Large orders + negative movement
- NEUTRAL: No significant activity
**Unusual Volume** - Binary alert when exceeds threshold
**Large Orders** - Binary alert when dollar volume >3x average
**Manipulation Warning** - Binary alert for suspicious patterns
**Swing Signal** - Primary recommendation
- HOLD LONG: Bullish regime + Flow Strength >60%
- HOLD SHORT: Bearish regime + Flow Strength >60%
- CAUTION: Manipulation detected
- MONITOR: All other conditions
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HOW TO USE FOR SWING TRADING
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**ENTRY CONFIRMATION (Long Positions):**
Wait for multiple confirmations:
1. Histogram shows bright green bars
2. Histogram crosses above 21-period MA
3. Flow Strength >60%
4. Dashboard shows "BUYING" or "HEAVY BUYING"
5. Volume Ratio >1.5x
6. No yellow manipulation warnings
7. Regime shows "BULLISH"
**HOLDING POSITIONS (Primary Use Case):**
The indicator's strength is helping traders stay in winning trades. Continue holding when:
- Dashboard displays "HOLD LONG" or "HOLD SHORT"
- Histogram bars remain same color as position direction
- Histogram stays on correct side of 21-period MA
- Daily Flow continues trending in your direction
- Market regime supports position
- No "CAUTION" signals appear
This prevents premature exits during normal volatility when institutions are still supporting the move.
**EXIT SIGNALS:**
Consider closing positions when:
- Histogram crosses 21-period MA against position
- Histogram color changes from green to red (or vice versa)
- Dashboard changes to "CAUTION"
- Yellow manipulation warnings appear
- Market regime flips
- Flow Strength drops below 40%
**ENTRY CONFIRMATION (Short Positions):**
Wait for multiple confirmations:
1. Histogram shows bright red bars
2. Histogram crosses below 21-period MA
3. Flow Strength >60%
4. Dashboard shows "SELLING" or "HEAVY SELLING"
5. Volume Ratio >1.5x
6. No manipulation warnings
7. Regime shows "BEARISH"
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CUSTOMIZATION OPTIONS
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**Flow Detection Settings:**
- Unusual Volume Threshold (1.0-5.0x, default 1.5x)
- Large Order Multiplier (2.0-10.0x, default 3.0x)
- Flow Analysis Period (5-50 bars, default 14)
**Histogram Display:**
- Histogram Style (5 options: Columns/Area/Line/Step/Histogram)
- Histogram Width (1-10, default 4)
**Moving Average:**
- Show 21-Period MA (toggle)
- MA Line Color (customizable)
- MA Line Width (1-5, default 2)
**Visual Settings:**
- Show Buy/Hold/Sell Labels (toggle)
- Label Size (Tiny/Small/Normal/Large/Huge)
- Label Distance from Bars (0.1-2.0x, prevents overlap)
- Show Manipulation Warnings (toggle)
- Show Watermark (toggle)
**Dashboard:**
- Position (4 corners)
- Size (Small/Normal/Large)
- Background Color (fully customizable)
- Border Color (fully customizable)
**Alerts:**
- Toggle institutional activity alerts
- Three types: Strong Buy, Strong Sell, Manipulation Detection
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RECOMMENDED SETTINGS BY TRADING STYLE
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**Day Trading (15min-1H):**
- Volume Threshold: 1.3x
- Large Order Multiplier: 2.5x
- Flow Period: 7-10
- Label Distance: 0.3-0.4x
**Swing Trading (4H-Daily) - DEFAULT:**
- Volume Threshold: 1.5x
- Large Order Multiplier: 3.0x
- Flow Period: 14
- Label Distance: 0.5x
**Position Trading (Daily-Weekly):**
- Volume Threshold: 2.0x
- Large Order Multiplier: 5.0x
- Flow Period: 21
- Label Distance: 0.7-1.0x
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BEST MARKETS & TIMEFRAMES
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**Optimal Performance:**
- Timeframes: 1-hour, 4-hour, Daily
- Markets: Liquid stocks and ETFs (avg volume >1M shares/day)
- Market Cap: >$500M (ensures institutional participation)
- Examples: SPY, QQQ, AAPL, MSFT, NVDA, TSLA, major sector ETFs
**Less Effective:**
- Penny stocks (<$500M market cap)
- Low-volume securities
- Cryptocurrency (different volume dynamics)
- Timeframes below 15 minutes (excessive noise)
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EDUCATIONAL FEATURES
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**Interactive Learning:**
Every signal includes a hover tooltip that explains:
- **Why** - The specific conditions that triggered the signal
- **What** - The exact metric values (momentum, MFI, volume)
- **How** - Specific trading actions to take
- **When** - Exit conditions to monitor
- **Risk** - Management recommendations
**Example Tooltips:**
**BUY Signal:** "Institutions actively accumulating. Momentum: X.XX | MFI: XX | Volume: X.Xx avg. Large orders detected. Consider LONG positions or CALL options. Place stops below support."
**HOLD Signal:** "Consolidation phase. No clear direction. HOLD profitable positions. DO NOT enter new trades. Many traders exit too early during consolidation - institutions accumulate before next move."
**Manipulation Warning:** "High volume with minimal price movement. Possible spoofing, layering, or wash trading. STAY OUT. Tighten stops. Expect whipsaw. Wait for warning to clear."
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LIMITATIONS & DISCLOSURES
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**What This Indicator DOES:**
✓ Analyzes publicly available price and volume data
✓ Identifies patterns consistent with institutional activity
✓ Detects suspicious volume/price relationships
✓ Provides statistical money flow analysis
✓ Helps traders hold through normal volatility
**What This Indicator DOES NOT DO:**
✗ Access external APIs or institutional order flow data
✗ Track actual institutional orders (infers from patterns)
✗ Guarantee profitable trades
✗ Replace risk management
✗ Work reliably on illiquid securities
✗ Provide financial advice
**Technical Limitations:**
- Uses confirmed bar data only (no repainting)
- Requires minimum 50 bars for volume baseline
- Daily Flow resets at market open
- Manipulation detection can have false positives during low liquidity
- Label positioning may overlap on extreme values
**Trading Disclaimers:**
- Infers institutional activity through statistical analysis
- Should complement, not replace, fundamental analysis
- Past performance does not guarantee future results
- Always use proper position sizing and stop losses
- Not a registered investment advisor
**Risk Warning:**
Options trading carries substantial risk. This indicator is provided for educational purposes. Users should conduct due diligence and consult licensed professionals before trading.
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ALERT CONDITIONS
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Three built-in alert types:
1. **Strong Buy Signal** - Bright green bars appear (>0.3 momentum + bullish regime + unusual volume)
2. **Strong Sell Signal** - Bright red bars appear (<-0.3 momentum + bearish regime + unusual volume)
3. **Manipulation Detected** - Suspicious volume/price patterns occur
To enable:
- Click three dots next to indicator name
- Select "Create Alert"
- Choose alert condition
- Configure notifications
- Set frequency to "Once Per Bar Close"
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TECHNICAL SPECIFICATIONS
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- **Pine Script Version:** v6
- **Type:** Oscillator (separate pane)
- **Repainting:** None - uses confirmed bar data only
- **Lookahead Bias:** None
- **Max Bars Back:** 500
- **Computational Load:** Low to moderate
- **Bar Replay Compatible:** Yes
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VERSION HISTORY
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**v1.0** (Initial Release)
- Histogram-based institutional momentum display
- 5 customizable plot styles
- 12-metric comprehensive dashboard
- Flow magnitude tracking (M/B/T units)
- 21-period moving average overlay
- Manipulation detection algorithm
- Educational tooltip system on all signals
- BUY/HOLD/SELL label system with positioning
- Market regime classification
- Three alert conditions
- Fully customizable dashboard (size, colors, position)
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CREDITS
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Developed from scratch using Pine Script v6 and standard TradingView built-in functions. No code copied from other scripts. Methodology combines classical volume analysis with modern institutional flow detection.
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This indicator helps swing traders answer: "Should I hold or exit?" By analyzing institutional activity and warning of manipulation, it provides the framework to stay in winning trades while protecting against adverse conditions.
Published open-source to contribute to the TradingView community.
Questions or feedback? Leave a comment below.
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Disclaimer: Provided "as-is" without warranty. Use at your own risk. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Pressure Pivots - MPIPressure Pivots - MPI
A multi-factor reversal detection system built on a proprietary Market Pressure Index (MPI) that combines institutional order flow analysis, liquidity dynamics, and momentum exhaustion to identify high-probability pivot points with automated win rate validation.
What This System Does
This indicator solves the core challenge of reversal trading: distinguishing genuine exhaustion pivots from temporary retracements. It combines six independent detection mechanisms—divergence, liquidity sweeps, order flow imbalance, wick rejection, volume surges, and velocity exhaustion—weighted by reliability and unified through a custom pressure oscillator.
Three-Layer Architecture:
Layer 1 - Market Pressure Index (MPI): Proprietary volume-weighted pressure oscillator that measures buying vs. selling pressure using proportional intrabar allocation and dual-timeframe normalization (-1.0 to +1.0 range).
Layer 2 - Weighted Confluence Engine: Six detection factors scored hierarchically (divergence: 3.0 pts, liquidity: 2.5 pts, order flow: 2.0 pts, velocity: 1.5 pts, wick: 1.5 pts, volume: 1.0 pt). Premium signals (DIV/LIQ/OF) require 6.0+ score, standard signals (STD) require 4.0+ score.
Layer 3 - Automated Win Rate Validation: Every signal tracked forward and validated against actual pivot formation within 10-bar window. Real-time performance statistics displayed by signal type and direction.
The Market Pressure Index - Original Calculation
What MPI Measures: The balance of aggressive buying vs. aggressive selling within each bar, smoothed and normalized to create a continuous oscillator.
Calculation Methodology:
Step 1: Intrabar Pressure Decomposition
Buy Pressure = Volume × (Close - Low) / (High - Low)
Sell Pressure = Volume × (High - Close) / (High - Low)
Net Pressure = Buy Pressure - Sell Pressure
Step 2: Exponential Smoothing
Smooth Pressure = EMA(Net Pressure, 14)
Step 3: Normalization
Avg Absolute Pressure = SMA(|Net Pressure|, 28)
MPI Raw = Smooth Pressure / Avg Absolute Pressure
Step 4: Sensitivity Amplification
MPI = clamp(MPI Raw × 1.5, -1.0, +1.0)
Why This Is Different:
• vs. RSI: RSI measures price momentum without volume context. MPI integrates volume magnitude and distribution within each bar.
• vs. OBV: OBV uses binary classification (up bar = buy volume). MPI uses proportional allocation based on close position within range.
• vs. Money Flow Index: MFI uses typical price × volume. MPI uses intrabar positioning, revealing pressure balance regardless of bar-to-bar movement.
• vs. VWAP: VWAP shows average price. MPI shows directional pressure balance (who controls the bar).
MPI Interpretation:
• +0.7 to +1.0: Extreme buying pressure (strong uptrends, potential exhaustion)
• +0.3 to +0.7: Moderate buying pressure (healthy uptrends)
• -0.3 to +0.3: Neutral/balanced (ranging, consolidation)
• -0.7 to -0.3: Moderate selling pressure (healthy downtrends)
• -1.0 to -0.7: Extreme selling pressure (strong downtrends, potential exhaustion)
Critical Insight: MPI at extremes indicates pressure exhaustion risk , not automatic reversal. Reversals occur when extreme MPI coincides with confluence factors.
Six Confluence Factors - Detection Arsenal
1. Divergence Detection (Weight: 3.0 - Highest Priority)
Detects: Price making higher highs while MPI makes lower highs (bearish), or price making lower lows while MPI makes higher lows (bullish).
Why It Matters: Reveals weakening pressure behind price moves. Declining participation signals potential reversal.
Signal Type: Premium (DIV) - Historically highest win rates.
2. Liquidity Sweep Detection (Weight: 2.5)
Detects: Price penetrates recent swing high/low (triggering stops), then immediately reverses and closes back inside range.
Calculation: High breaks swing high by <0.3× ATR but closes below it (bearish), or low breaks swing low by <0.3× ATR but closes above it (bullish).
Why It Matters: Stop hunts mark institutional accumulation/distribution zones. Often pinpoints exact pivot points.
Signal Type: Premium (LIQ) - Extremely reliable with volume confirmation.
3. Order Flow Imbalance (Weight: 2.0)
Detects: Aggressive directional ordering where price consistently closes in upper/lower third of bars with elevated volume.
Calculation:
Close Position = (Close - Low) / (High - Low)
Aggressive Buy = Volume when Close Position > 0.65
Aggressive Sell = Volume when Close Position < 0.35
Imbalance = EMA(Aggressive Buy, 5) - EMA(Aggressive Sell, 5)
Strong Flow = |Imbalance| > 1.5 × Average
Why It Matters: Reveals institutional accumulation/distribution footprints before directional moves.
Signal Type: Premium (OF)
4. Wick Rejection Patterns (Weight: 1.5)
Detects: Pin bars, hammers, shooting stars where wick exceeds 60% of total bar range.
Why It Matters: Large wicks demonstrate failed attempts to push price, indicating strong opposition.
5. Volume Spike Detection (Weight: 1.0)
Detects: Volume exceeding 2× the 20-bar average.
Why It Matters: Confirms institutional participation vs. retail noise. Most effective when combined with wick rejection or liquidity sweeps.
6. Velocity Exhaustion (Weight: 1.5)
Detects: Parabolic moves (velocity >2.0× ATR over 3 bars) showing deceleration while MPI at extremes.
Calculation:
Velocity = Change(Close, 3) / ATR(14)
Exhaustion = |Velocity| > 2.0 AND MPI > |0.5| AND Velocity Slowing
Why It Matters: Extended moves are unsustainable. Momentum deceleration from extremes precedes reversals.
Signal Classification & Scoring
Weighted Confluence Scoring:
Each factor contributes points when present. Signals fire when total score exceeds thresholds:
Bearish Example:
+ At recent high (1.0)
+ Bearish divergence (3.0)
+ Wick rejection (1.5)
+ Volume spike (1.0)
+ Velocity slowing (1.5)
= 8.0 total score → BEARISH DIV SIGNAL
Bullish Example:
+ At recent low (1.0)
+ Liquidity sweep (2.5)
+ Strong buy flow (2.0)
+ Wick rejection (1.5)
= 7.0 total score → BULLISH LIQ SIGNAL
Dual Threshold System:
• Premium Signals (DIV/LIQ/OF): Require 6.0+ points. Must include divergence, liquidity sweep, or order flow. Higher win rates.
• Standard Signals (STD): Require 4.0+ points. No premium factors. More frequent, moderate win rates.
Visual Signal Color-Coding:
• Purple Triangle: DIV (Divergence signal)
• Orange Triangle: LIQ (Liquidity sweep signal)
• Aqua Triangle: OF (Order flow signal)
• Red/Green Triangle: STD (Standard signal)
• Yellow Diamond: Warning (setup forming, not confirmed)
Warning System - Early Alerts
Yellow diamond warnings fire when 2+ factors present but full confluence not met:
• At recent 10-bar high/low
• Wick rejection present
• Volume spike present
• MPI extreme or accelerating/decelerating
Critical: Warnings are NOT trade signals. They indicate potential setups forming. Wait for colored triangle confirmation.
Win Rate Validation - Transparent Performance Tracking
How It Works:
Signal Storage: Every signal recorded (bar index, price, type, direction)
Pivot Confirmation: System monitors next 10 bars for confirmed pivot formation at signal price (±2%)
Validation: If pivot forms within window → Win. If not → Loss.
Statistics: Win Rate = Validated Signals / Total Mature Signals × 100
Dashboard Displays:
• Overall win rate with visual bar
• Bearish signal win rate
• Bullish signal win rate
• Win rate by signal type (DIV/LIQ/OF/STD)
• Wins/Total for each category
Why This Matters:
After 30-50 signals, you'll know exactly which patterns work on your instrument:
Example Performance Analysis:
Overall: 58% (35/60)
Bearish: 52% | Bullish: 65%
DIV: 72% | LIQ: 68% | OF: 50% | STD: 38%
Insight: Focus on bullish DIV/LIQ signals (72%/68% win rate), avoid STD signals (38%), investigate bearish underperformance.
This transforms the indicator from signal generator to learning system.
Dynamic Microstructure Visualization
Fibonacci Retracement Levels
• Auto-detects last swing high + swing low
• Draws 11 levels: 0%, 23.6%, 38.2%, 50%, 61.8%, 78.6%, 100%, 127.2%, 161.8%, 200%, 261.8%
• Removes crossed levels automatically
• Clears on new signal (fresh structure analysis)
• Color gradient (bullish to bearish across range)
• Key levels (0.618, 0.5, 1.0) highlighted with solid lines
Support/Resistance Lines
• Resistance: 50-bar highest high (red, only shown when above price)
• Support: 50-bar lowest low (green, only shown when below price)
• Auto-removes when price crosses
Usage: Signals firing at key Fibonacci levels (38.2%, 50%, 61.8%) or major S/R zones have enhanced structural significance.
Dashboard - Real-Time Intelligence
MPI Status:
• Current pressure reading with interpretation
• Color-coded background (green/red/gray zones)
Signal Status:
• Active signal type and direction
• Confidence score with visual bar (20 blocks, color-coded)
• Scanning status when no signal active
Divergence Indicator:
• Highlights active divergence separately (highest priority factor)
Performance Stats:
• Overall win rate with 10-block visual bar
• Directional breakdown (bearish vs. bullish)
• Signal type breakdown (DIV/LIQ/OF/STD individual win rates)
• Sample size for each category
Customization:
• Position: 9 locations (Top/Middle/Bottom × Left/Center/Right)
• Size: Tiny/Small/Normal/Large
• Toggle sections independently
How to Use This System
Initial Setup (10 Minutes)
1. MPI Configuration:
• Period: 14 (balanced) | 5-10 for scalping | 21-30 for swing
• Sensitivity: 1.5 (moderate) | Increase if MPI rarely hits ±0.7 | Decrease if constantly maxed
2. Detection Thresholds:
• Wick Threshold: 0.6 (60% of bar must be wick)
• Volume Spike: 2.0× average (lower to 1.5-1.8 for stocks, raise to 2.5-3.0 for crypto)
• Velocity: 2.0 ATR (raise to 2.5-3.0 for crypto)
3. Confluence Settings:
• Enable Divergence (highest win rate factor)
• Pivot Lookback: 5 (day trading) | 8-10 (swing trading)
• Keep default weights initially
4. Thresholds:
• Premium: 6.0 (quality over quantity)
• Standard: 4.0 (balanced)
• Warning: 2 factors minimum
Trading Workflow
When Warning Fires (Yellow Diamond):
Note warning type (bearish/bullish)
Do not enter - this is preparation only
Monitor for full signal confirmation
Prepare entry parameters
When Signal Fires (Colored Triangle):
Identify type from color (Purple=DIV, Orange=LIQ, Aqua=OF, Red/Green=STD)
Check dashboard confidence score
Verify confluence on chart (wick, volume, MPI extreme, Fib level)
Confirm with your analysis (context, higher timeframe, news)
Enter with proper risk management
Risk Management (Not Provided by Indicator):
• Stop Loss: Beyond recent swing or 1.5-2.0× ATR
• Position Size: Risk 0.5-2% of capital per trade
• Take Profit: 2-3× ATR or next structural level
Performance Analysis (After 30-50 Signals)
Review Dashboard Statistics:
Overall Win Rate:
• Target >50% for profitability with 1:1.5+ RR
• <45% = system may not suit instrument
• >65% = consider tightening thresholds
Directional Analysis:
• Bullish >> Bearish = uptrend bias, avoid counter-trend shorts
• Bearish >> Bullish = downtrend bias, avoid counter-trend longs
Signal Type Ranking:
• Focus on highest win rate types (typically DIV/LIQ)
• If STD <40% = raise threshold or ignore STD signals
• If premium type <50% = investigate (may need parameter adjustment)
Optimize Settings:
• Too many weak signals → Raise thresholds (premium 7.0-8.0, standard 5.0-6.0)
• Too few signals → Lower thresholds or reduce detection strictness
• Adjust factor weights based on what appears in winning signals
What Makes This Original
1. Proprietary Market Pressure Index
Unique Methodology:
• Proportional intrabar allocation: Unlike binary volume classification (OBV), MPI uses close position within range for proportional pressure assignment
• Dual-timeframe normalization: EMA smoothing (14) + SMA normalization (28) for responsiveness with context
• Bounded oscillator with sensitivity control: -1 to +1 range enables cross-instrument comparison while sensitivity allows customization
• Active signal integration: MPI drives divergence detection, extreme requirements, exhaustion confirmation (not just display)
vs. Existing Indicators:
• MFI uses typical price × volume (different pressure measure)
• CMF accumulates over time (not bounded oscillator)
• OBV is cumulative and binary (not proportional or normalized)
2. Hierarchical Confluence Engine
Why Simple Mashups Fail: Most multi-indicator systems create decision paralysis (RSI says sell, MACD says buy).
This System's Solution:
• Six factors weighted by reliability (3.0 down to 1.0)
• Dual thresholds (premium 6.0, standard 4.0)
• Automatic signal triage by quality tier
• Color-coded visual prioritization
Orthogonal Detection: Each factor detects different failure mode:
• Divergence = momentum exhaustion
• Liquidity = institutional manipulation
• Order Flow = smart money positioning
• Wick = supply/demand rejection
• Volume = participation confirmation
• Velocity = parabolic exhaustion
Complementary, not redundant. Weighted synthesis creates unified confidence measure.
3. Self-Validating Performance System
The Problem: Most indicators never reveal actual performance. Traders never know if it works on their instrument.
This Solution:
• Forward-looking validation (signals tracked to pivot confirmation)
• Pivot-based success criteria (objective, mechanical)
• Segmented statistics (by direction and type)
• Real-time dashboard updates
Result: After 30-50 signals, you have statistically meaningful data on what actually works on your specific market. Transforms indicator into adaptive learning system.
Technical Notes
No Repainting:
• All signals use confirmed bar data (closed bars only)
• Pivot detection has inherent lookback lag (5 bars)
• Divergence lines drawn after confirmation (retroactive visualization)
• Signals fire on bar close
Forward-Looking Disclosure:
• Win rate validation looks forward 10 bars for pivot confirmation
• Creates forward bias in statistics , not signal generation
• Real-time performance may differ until validation period elapses
Lookback Limits:
• Fibonacci/S/R: Limited by limitDrawBars (default 100)
• MPI calculation: 28 bars maximum
• Signal storage: 20 per direction (configurable)
Visual Limits:
• Max lines/labels/boxes: 500 each
• Auto-clearing prevents overflow
Limitations & Disclaimers
Not a Complete Trading System:
• Does not provide stop loss, take profit, or position sizing
• Requires trader risk management and market context analysis
Reversal Bias:
• Designed specifically for reversal trading
• Not optimized for trend continuation or breakouts
Learning Period:
• Statistics meaningless until 20-30 mature signals
• Preferably 50+ for statistical confidence
Instrument Dependency:
• Best: Liquid instruments (major forex, large-caps, BTC/ETH)
• Poor: Illiquid small-caps, low-volume altcoins (order flow unreliable)
Timeframe Dependency:
• Optimal: 15m - 4H charts
• Not Recommended: <5m (noise) or >Daily (insufficient signals)
No Guarantee of Profit:
• Win rate >50% does not guarantee profitability (depends on RR, sizing, execution)
• Past performance ≠ future performance
• All trading involves risk of loss
Warning Signals:
• Warnings are NOT trade signals
• Trading warnings produces lower win rates
• For preparation only
Recommended Settings by Instrument
Forex Majors (15m-1H):
• MPI Sensitivity: 1.3-1.5 | Volume: 2.0 | Thresholds: 6.0/4.0
Crypto BTC/ETH (15m-4H):
• MPI Sensitivity: 2.0-2.5 | Volume: 2.5-3.0 | Velocity: 2.5-3.0 | Thresholds: 6.5-7.0/4.5-5.0
Large-Cap Stocks (5m-1H):
• MPI Sensitivity: 1.2-1.5 | Volume: 1.8-2.0 | Thresholds: 6.0/4.0
Index Futures ES/NQ (5m-30m):
• MPI Period: 10-14 | Sensitivity: 1.5 | Velocity: 1.8-2.0 | Thresholds: 5.5-6.0/4.0
Altcoins High Vol (1H-4H):
• MPI Period: 21 | Sensitivity: 2.0-3.0 | Volume: 3.0+ | Thresholds: 7.0-8.0/5.0 (very selective)
Alert Configuration
Built-In Alerts:
Bullish Signal (all types)
Bearish Signal (all types)
Bullish Divergence (DIV only)
Bearish Divergence (DIV only)
Setup:
• TradingView Alert → Select "Pressure Pivots - MPI"
• Choose condition
• Frequency: "Once Per Bar Close" (prevents repainting)
• Configure notifications (popup/email/SMS/webhook)
Recommended:
• Active traders: Enable all signals
• Selective traders: DIV only (highest quality)
In-Code Documentation
Every input parameter includes extensive tooltips (800+ words total) providing:
• What it controls
• How it affects calculations
• Range guidance (low/medium/high implications)
• Default justification
• Asset-specific recommendations
• Timeframe adjustments
Access: Hover over (i) icon next to any setting. Creates self-documenting learning system—no external docs required.
DskyzInvestments | Trade with insight. Trade with anticipation.
Options Oscillator [Lite] IVRank, IVx, Call/Put Volatility Skew The first TradingView indicator that provides REAL IVRank, IVx, and CALL/PUT skew data based on REAL option chain for 5 U.S. market symbols.
🔃 Auto-Updating Option Metrics without refresh!
🍒 Developed and maintained by option traders for option traders.
📈 Specifically designed for TradingView users who trade options.
🔶 Ticker Information:
This 'Lite' indicator is currently only available for 5 liquid U.S. market smbols : NASDAQ:TSLA AMEX:DIA NASDAQ:AAPL NASDAQ:AMZN and NYSE:ORCL
🔶 How does the indicator work and why is it unique?
This Pine Script indicator is a complex tool designed to provide various option metrics and visualization tools for options market traders. The indicator extracts raw options data from an external data provider (ORATS), processes and refines the delayed data package using pineseed, and sends it to TradingView, visualizing the data using specific formulas (see detailed below) or interpolated values (e.g., delta distances). This method of incorporating options data into a visualization framework is unique and entirely innovative on TradingView.
The indicator aims to offer a comprehensive view of the current state of options for the implemented instruments, including implied volatility (IV), IV rank (IVR), options skew, and expected market movements, which are objectively measured as detailed below.
The options metrics we display may be familiar to options traders from various major brokerage platforms such as TastyTrade, IBKR, TOS, Tradier, TD Ameritrade, Schwab, etc.
🟨 The following data is displayed in the oscillator 🟨
We use Tastytrade formulas, so our numbers mostly align with theirs!
🔶 𝗜𝗩𝗥𝗮𝗻𝗸
The Implied Volatility Rank (IVR) helps options traders assess the current level of implied volatility (IV) in comparison to the past 52 weeks. IVR is a useful metric to determine whether options are relatively cheap or expensive. This can guide traders on whether to buy or sell options.
IV Rank formula = (current IV - 52 week IV low) / (52 week IV high - 52 week IV low)
IVRank is default blue and you can adjust their settings:
🔶 𝗜𝗩𝘅 𝗮𝘃𝗴
The implied volatility (IVx) shown in the option chain is calculated like the VIX. The Cboe uses standard and weekly SPX options to measure expected S&P 500 volatility. A similar method is used for calculating IVx for each expiration cycle.
We aggregate the IVx values for the 35-70 day monthly expiration cycle, and use that value in the oscillator and info panel.
We always display which expiration the IVx values are averaged for when you hover over the IVx cell.
IVx main color is purple, but you can change the settings:
🔹IVx 5 days change %
We are also displaying the five-day change of the IV Index (IVx value). The IV Index 5-Day Change column provides quick insight into recent expansions or decreases in implied volatility over the last five trading days.
Traders who expect the value of options to decrease might view a decrease in IVX as a positive signal. Strategies such as Strangle and Ratio Spread can benefit from this decrease.
On the other hand, traders anticipating further increases in IVX will focus on the rising IVX values. Strategies like Calendar Spread or Diagonal Spread can take advantage of increasing implied volatility.
This indicator helps traders quickly assess changes in implied volatility, enabling them to make informed decisions based on their trading strategies and market expectations.
Important Note:
The IVx value alone does not provide sufficient context. There are stocks that inherently exhibit high IVx values. Therefore, it is crucial to consider IVx in conjunction with the Implied Volatility Rank (IVR), which measures the IVx relative to its own historical values. This combined view helps in accurately assessing the significance of the IVx in relation to the specific stock's typical volatility behavior.
This indicator offers traders a comprehensive view of implied volatility, assisting them in making informed decisions by highlighting both the absolute and relative volatility measures.
🔶 𝗖𝗔𝗟𝗟/𝗣𝗨𝗧 𝗣𝗿𝗶𝗰𝗶𝗻𝗴 𝗦𝗸𝗲𝘄 𝗵𝗶𝘀𝘁𝗼𝗴𝗿𝗮𝗺
At TanukiTrade, Vertical Pricing Skew refers to the difference in pricing between put and call options with the same expiration date at the same distance (at tastytrade binary expected move). We analyze this skew to understand market sentiment. This is the same formula used by TastyTrade for calculations.
We calculate the interpolated strike price based on the expected move, taking into account the neighboring option prices and their distances. This allows us to accurately determine whether the CALL or PUT options are more expensive.
🔹 What Causes Pricing Skew? The Theory Behind It
The asymmetric pricing of PUT and CALL options is driven by the natural dynamics of the market. The theory is that when CALL options are more expensive than PUT options at the same distance from the current spot price, market participants are buying CALLs and selling PUTs, expecting a faster upward movement compared to a downward one .
In the case of PUT skew, it's the opposite: participants are buying PUTs and selling CALLs , as they expect a potential downward move to happen more quickly than an upward one.
An options trader can take advantage of this phenomenon by leveraging PUT pricing skew. For example, if they have a bullish outlook and both IVR and IVx are high and IV started decreasing, they can capitalize on this PUT skew with strategies like a jade lizard, broken wing butterfly, or short put.
🔴 PUT Skew 🔴
Put options are more expensive than call options, indicating the market expects a faster downward move (▽). This alone doesn't indicate which way the market will move (because nobody knows that), but the options chain pricing suggests that if the market moves downward, it could do so faster in velocity compared to a potential upward movement.
🔹 SPY PUT SKEW example:
If AMEX:SPY PUT option prices are 46% higher than CALLs at the same distance for the optimal next monthly expiry (DTE). This alone doesn't indicate which way the market will move (because nobody knows that), but the options chain pricing suggests that if the market moves downward, it could do so 46% faster in velocity compared to a potential upward movement
🟢 CALL Skew 🟢
Call options are more expensive than put options, indicating the market expects a faster upward move (△). This alone doesn't indicate which way the market will move (because nobody knows that), but the options chain pricing suggests that if the market moves upward, it could do so faster in velocity compared to a potential downward movement.
🔹 INTC CALL SKEW example:
If NASDAQ:INTC CALL option prices are 49% higher than PUTs at the same distance for the optimal next monthly expiry (DTE). This alone doesn't indicate which way the market will move (because nobody knows that), but the options chain pricing suggests that if the market moves upward, it could do so 49% faster in velocity compared to a potential downward movement .
🔶 USAGE example:
The script is compatible with our other options indicators.
For example: Since the main metrics are already available in this Options Oscillator, you can hide the main IVR panel of our Options Overlay indicator, freeing up more space on the chart. The following image shows this:
🔶 ADDITIONAL IMPORTANT COMMENTS
🔹 Historical Data:
Yes, we only using historical internal metrics dating back to 2024-07-01, when the TanukiTrade options brand launched. For now, we're using these, but we may expand the historical data in the future.
🔹 What distance does the indicator use to measure the call/put pricing skew?:
It is important to highlight that this oscillator displays the call/put pricing skew changes for the next optimal monthly expiration on a histogram.
The Binary Expected Move distance is calculated using the TastyTrade method for the next optimal monthly expiration: Formula = (ATM straddle price x 0.6) + (1st OTM strangle price x 0.3) + (2nd OTM strangle price x 0.1)
We interpolate the exact difference based on the neighboring strikes at the binary expected move distance using the TastyTrade method, and compare the interpolated call and put prices at this specific point.
🔹 - Why is there a slight difference between the displayed data and my live brokerage data?
There are two reasons for this, and one is beyond our control.
◎ Option-data update frequency:
According to TradingView's regulations and guidelines, we can update external data a maximum of 5 times per day. We strive to use these updates in the most optimal way:
(1st update) 15 minutes after U.S. market open
(2nd, 3rd, 4th updates) 1.5–3 hours during U.S. market open hours
(5th update) 10 minutes before U.S. market close.
You don’t need to refresh your window, our last refreshed data-pack is always automatically applied to your indicator, and you can see the time elapsed since the last update at the bottom of the corner on daily TF.
◎ Brokerage Calculation Differences:
Every brokerage has slight differences in how they calculate metrics like IV and IVx. If you open three windows for TOS, TastyTrade, and IBKR side by side, you will notice that the values are minimally different. We had to choose a standard, so we use the formulas and mathematical models described by TastyTrade when analyzing the options chain and drawing conclusions.
🔹 - EOD data:
The indicator always displays end-of-day (EOD) data for IVR, IV, and CALL/PUT pricing skew. During trading hours, it shows the current values for the ongoing day with each update, and at market close, these values become final. From that point on, the data is considered EOD, provided the day confirms as a closed daily candle.
🔹 - U.S. market only:
Since we only deal with liquid option chains: this option indicator only works for the USA options market and do not include future contracts; we have implemented each selected symbol individually.
Disclaimer:
Our option indicator uses approximately 15min-3 hour delayed option market snapshot data to calculate the main option metrics. Exact realtime option contract prices are never displayed; only derived metrics and interpolated delta are shown to ensure accurate and consistent visualization. Due to the above, this indicator can only be used for decision support; exclusive decisions cannot be made based on this indicator. We reserve the right to make errors.This indicator is designed for options traders who understand what they are doing. It assumes that they are familiar with options and can make well-informed, independent decisions. We work with public data and are not a data provider; therefore, we do not bear any financial or other liability.
Options Oscillator [PRO] IVRank, IVx, Call/Put Volatility Skew𝗧𝗵𝗲 𝗳𝗶𝗿𝘀𝘁 𝗧𝗿𝗮𝗱𝗶𝗻𝗴𝗩𝗶𝗲𝘄 𝗶𝗻𝗱𝗶𝗰𝗮𝘁𝗼𝗿 𝘁𝗵𝗮𝘁 𝗽𝗿𝗼𝘃𝗶𝗱𝗲𝘀 𝗥𝗘𝗔𝗟 𝗜𝗩𝗥𝗮𝗻𝗸, 𝗜𝗩𝘅, 𝗮𝗻𝗱 𝗖𝗔𝗟𝗟/𝗣𝗨𝗧 𝘀𝗸𝗲𝘄 𝗱𝗮𝘁𝗮 𝗯𝗮𝘀𝗲𝗱 𝗼𝗻 𝗥𝗘𝗔𝗟 𝗼𝗽𝘁𝗶𝗼𝗻 𝗰𝗵𝗮𝗶𝗻 𝗳𝗼𝗿 𝗼𝘃𝗲𝗿 𝟭𝟲𝟱+ 𝗺𝗼𝘀𝘁 𝗹𝗶𝗾𝘂𝗶𝗱 𝗨.𝗦. 𝗺𝗮𝗿𝗸𝗲𝘁 𝘀𝘆𝗺𝗯𝗼𝗹𝘀
🔃 Auto-Updating Option Metrics without refresh!
🍒 Developed and maintained by option traders for option traders.
📈 Specifically designed for TradingView users who trade options.
🔶 Ticker Information:
This indicator is currently only available for over 165+ most liquid U.S. market symbols (eg. SP:SPX AMEX:SPY NASDAQ:QQQ NASDAQ:TLT NASDAQ:NVDA , etc.. ), and we are continuously expanding the compatible watchlist here: www.tradingview.com
🔶 How does the indicator work and why is it unique?
This Pine Script indicator is a complex tool designed to provide various option metrics and visualization tools for options market traders. The indicator extracts raw options data from an external data provider (ORATS), processes and refines the delayed data package using pineseed, and sends it to TradingView, visualizing the data using specific formulas (see detailed below) or interpolated values (e.g., delta distances). This method of incorporating options data into a visualization framework is unique and entirely innovative on TradingView.
The indicator aims to offer a comprehensive view of the current state of options for the implemented instruments, including implied volatility (IV), IV rank (IVR), options skew, and expected market movements, which are objectively measured as detailed below.
The options metrics we display may be familiar to options traders from various major brokerage platforms such as TastyTrade, IBKR, TOS, Tradier, TD Ameritrade, Schwab, etc.
🟨 The following data is displayed in the oscillator 🟨
We use Tastytrade formulas, so our numbers mostly align with theirs!
🔶 𝗜𝗩𝗥𝗮𝗻𝗸
The Implied Volatility Rank (IVR) helps options traders assess the current level of implied volatility (IV) in comparison to the past 52 weeks. IVR is a useful metric to determine whether options are relatively cheap or expensive. This can guide traders on whether to buy or sell options.
IV Rank formula = (current IV - 52 week IV low) / (52 week IV high - 52 week IV low)
IVRank is default blue and you can adjust their settings:
🔶 𝗜𝗩𝘅 𝗮𝘃𝗴
The implied volatility (IVx) shown in the option chain is calculated like the VIX. The Cboe uses standard and weekly SPX options to measure expected S&P 500 volatility. A similar method is used for calculating IVx for each expiration cycle.
We aggregate the IVx values for the 35-70 day monthly expiration cycle, and use that value in the oscillator and info panel.
We always display which expiration the IVx values are averaged for when you hover over the IVx cell.
IVx main color is purple, but you can change the settings:
🔹 IVx 5 days change %
We are also displaying the five-day change of the IV Index (IVx value). The IV Index 5-Day Change column provides quick insight into recent expansions or decreases in implied volatility over the last five trading days.
Traders who expect the value of options to decrease might view a decrease in IVX as a positive signal. Strategies such as Strangle and Ratio Spread can benefit from this decrease.
On the other hand, traders anticipating further increases in IVX will focus on the rising IVX values. Strategies like Calendar Spread or Diagonal Spread can take advantage of increasing implied volatility.
This indicator helps traders quickly assess changes in implied volatility, enabling them to make informed decisions based on their trading strategies and market expectations.
Important Note:
The IVx value alone does not provide sufficient context. There are stocks that inherently exhibit high IVx values. Therefore, it is crucial to consider IVx in conjunction with the Implied Volatility Rank (IVR), which measures the IVx relative to its own historical values. This combined view helps in accurately assessing the significance of the IVx in relation to the specific stock's typical volatility behavior.
This indicator offers traders a comprehensive view of implied volatility, assisting them in making informed decisions by highlighting both the absolute and relative volatility measures.
🔶 𝗖𝗔𝗟𝗟/𝗣𝗨𝗧 𝗣𝗿𝗶𝗰𝗶𝗻𝗴 𝗦𝗸𝗲𝘄 𝗵𝗶𝘀𝘁𝗼𝗴𝗿𝗮𝗺
At TanukiTrade, Vertical Pricing Skew refers to the difference in pricing between put and call options with the same expiration date at the same distance (at tastytrade binary expected move). We analyze this skew to understand market sentiment. This is the same formula used by TastyTrade for calculations.
We calculate the interpolated strike price based on the expected move, taking into account the neighboring option prices and their distances. This allows us to accurately determine whether the CALL or PUT options are more expensive.
🔹 What Causes Pricing Skew? The Theory Behind It
The asymmetric pricing of PUT and CALL options is driven by the natural dynamics of the market. The theory is that when CALL options are more expensive than PUT options at the same distance from the current spot price, market participants are buying CALLs and selling PUTs, expecting a faster upward movement compared to a downward one .
In the case of PUT skew, it's the opposite: participants are buying PUTs and selling CALLs , as they expect a potential downward move to happen more quickly than an upward one.
An options trader can take advantage of this phenomenon by leveraging PUT pricing skew. For example, if they have a bullish outlook and both IVR and IVx are high and IV started decreasing, they can capitalize on this PUT skew with strategies like a jade lizard, broken wing butterfly, or short put.
🔴 PUT Skew 🔴
Put options are more expensive than call options, indicating the market expects a faster downward move (▽). This alone doesn't indicate which way the market will move (because nobody knows that), but the options chain pricing suggests that if the market moves downward, it could do so faster in velocity compared to a potential upward movement.
🔹 SPY PUT SKEW example:
If AMEX:SPY PUT option prices are 46% higher than CALLs at the same distance for the optimal next monthly expiry (DTE). This alone doesn't indicate which way the market will move (because nobody knows that), but the options chain pricing suggests that if the market moves downward, it could do so 46% faster in velocity compared to a potential upward movement
🟢 CALL Skew 🟢
Call options are more expensive than put options, indicating the market expects a faster upward move (△). This alone doesn't indicate which way the market will move (because nobody knows that), but the options chain pricing suggests that if the market moves upward, it could do so faster in velocity compared to a potential downward movement.
🔹 INTC CALL SKEW example:
If NASDAQ:INTC CALL option prices are 49% higher than PUTs at the same distance for the optimal next monthly expiry (DTE). This alone doesn't indicate which way the market will move (because nobody knows that), but the options chain pricing suggests that if the market moves upward, it could do so 49% faster in velocity compared to a potential downward movement .
🔶 USAGE example:
The script is compatible with our other options indicators.
For example: Since the main metrics are already available in this Options Oscillator, you can hide the main IVR panel of our Options Overlay indicator, freeing up more space on the chart. The following image shows this:
🔶 ADDITIONAL IMPORTANT COMMENTS
🔹 Historical Data:
Yes, we only using historical internal metrics dating back to 2024-07-01, when the TanukiTrade options brand launched. For now, we're using these, but we may expand the historical data in the future.
🔹 What distance does the indicator use to measure the call/put pricing skew?:
It is important to highlight that this oscillator displays the call/put pricing skew changes for the next optimal monthly expiration on a histogram.
The Binary Expected Move distance is calculated using the TastyTrade method for the next optimal monthly expiration: Formula = (ATM straddle price x 0.6) + (1st OTM strangle price x 0.3) + (2nd OTM strangle price x 0.1)
We interpolate the exact difference based on the neighboring strikes at the binary expected move distance using the TastyTrade method, and compare the interpolated call and put prices at this specific point.
🔹 - Why is there a slight difference between the displayed data and my live brokerage data?
There are two reasons for this, and one is beyond our control.
◎ Option-data update frequency:
According to TradingView's regulations and guidelines, we can update external data a maximum of 5 times per day. We strive to use these updates in the most optimal way:
(1st update) 15 minutes after U.S. market open
(2nd, 3rd, 4th updates) 1.5–3 hours during U.S. market open hours
(5th update) 10 minutes before U.S. market close.
You don’t need to refresh your window, our last refreshed data-pack is always automatically applied to your indicator, and you can see the time elapsed since the last update at the bottom of the corner on daily TF.
◎ Brokerage Calculation Differences:
Every brokerage has slight differences in how they calculate metrics like IV and IVx. If you open three windows for TOS, TastyTrade, and IBKR side by side, you will notice that the values are minimally different. We had to choose a standard, so we use the formulas and mathematical models described by TastyTrade when analyzing the options chain and drawing conclusions.
🔹 - EOD data:
The indicator always displays end-of-day (EOD) data for IVR, IV, and CALL/PUT pricing skew. During trading hours, it shows the current values for the ongoing day with each update, and at market close, these values become final. From that point on, the data is considered EOD, provided the day confirms as a closed daily candle.
🔹 - U.S. market only:
Since we only deal with liquid option chains: this option indicator only works for the USA options market and do not include future contracts; we have implemented each selected symbol individually.
Disclaimer:
Our option indicator uses approximately 15min-3 hour delayed option market snapshot data to calculate the main option metrics. Exact realtime option contract prices are never displayed; only derived metrics and interpolated delta are shown to ensure accurate and consistent visualization. Due to the above, this indicator can only be used for decision support; exclusive decisions cannot be made based on this indicator. We reserve the right to make errors.This indicator is designed for options traders who understand what they are doing. It assumes that they are familiar with options and can make well-informed, independent decisions. We work with public data and are not a data provider; therefore, we do not bear any financial or other liability.
RSI Pulsar [QuantraSystems]RSI Pulsar
Introduction
The RSI Pulsar is an advanced and multifaceted tool designed to cater to the varying needs of traders, from long-term swing traders to higher-frequency day traders. This indicator takes the Relative Strength Index (RSI) to new heights by combining several unique methodologies to provide clear, actionable signals across different market conditions. With its ability to analyze impulsive trend strength, volatility, and binary market direction, the RSI Pulsar offers a holistic view of the market that assists traders in identifying robust signals and rotational opportunities within a volatile market.
The integration of dynamic color coding further aids in quick visual assessments, allowing traders to adapt swiftly to changing market conditions, making the RSI Pulsar an essential component in the arsenal of modern traders aiming for precision and adaptability in their trading endeavors.
Legend
The RSI Pulsar encapsulates various modes tailored to diverse trading strategies. The different modes are the:
Impulse Mode:
Focuses on strong outperformance, ideal for capturing movements in highly dynamic tokens.
Trend Following Mode:
A classical perpetual trend-following approach and provides binary long and short signal classifications ideal for medium term swing trading.
Ribbon Mode:
Offers quicker signals that are also binary in nature. Perfect for a confirmation signal when building higher frequency day trading systems.
Volatility Spectrum:
This feature projects a visual 'cloud' representing volatility, which helps traders spot emerging trends and potential breakouts or reversals.
Compressed Mode:
A condensed view that displays all signals in a clean and space-efficient manner. It provides a clear summary of market conditions, ideal for traders who prefer a simplified overview.
Methodology
The RSI Pulsar is built on a foundation of dynamic RSI analysis, where the traditional RSI is enhanced with advanced moving averages and standard deviation calculations. Each mode within the RSI Pulsar is designed to cater to specific aspects of the market's behavior, making it a versatile tool allowing traders to select different modes based on their trading style and market conditions.
Impulse Mode:
This mode identifies strong outperformance in assets, making it ideal for asset rotation systems. It uses a combination of RSI thresholds and dynamic moving averages to pinpoint when an asset is not just trending positively, but doing so with significant strength.
This is in contrast to typical usage of a base RSI, where elevated levels usually signal overbought and oversold periods. The RSI Pulsar flips this logic, where more extreme values are actually interpreted as a strong trend.
Trend Following Mode:
Here, the RSI is compared to the midline (the default is level 50, but a dynamic midline can also be set), to determine the prevailing trend. This mode simplifies the trend-following process, providing clear bullish or bearish signals based on whether the RSI is above or below the midline - whether a fixed or dynamic level.
Ribbon Mode:
This mode employs a series of calculated values derived from modified Heikin-Ashi smoothing to create a "ribbon" that smooths out price action and highlights underlying trends. The Ribbon Mode is particularly useful for traders who need quick confirmations of trend reversals or continuations.
Volatility Spectrum:
The Volatility Spectrum takes a unique approach to measuring market volatility by analyzing the size and direction of Heikin-Ashi candles. This data is used to create a volatility cloud that helps traders identify when volatility is rising, falling, or neutral - allowing them to adjust their strategies accordingly.
When the signal line breaks above the cloud, it signals increasing upwards volatility. When it breaks below it signifies increasing downwards volatility.
This can be used to help identify strengthening and weakening trends, as well as imminent volatile periods, allowing traders to position themselves and adapt their strategies accordingly. This mode also works as a great volatility filter for shorter term day trading strategies. It is incredibly sensitive to volatility divergences, and can give additional insights to larger market turning points.
Compressed Mode:
In Compressed Mode, all the signals from the various modes are displayed in a simplified format, making it easy for traders to quickly assess the market's overall condition without needing to delve into the details of each mode individually. Perfect for only viewing the exact data you need when live trading, or back testing.
Case Study I:
Utilizing ALMA Impulse Mode in High-Volatility Environments
Here, the RSI Pulsar is configured with an RSI length of 9 and an ALMA length of 2 in Impulse Mode. The chart example shows how this setup can identify significant price movements, allowing traders to enter positions early and capture substantial price moves. Despite the fast settings resulting in occasional false signals, the indicator's ability to catch and ride out major trends more than compensates, making it highly effective in volatile environments.
This configuration is suitable for traders seeking to trade quick, aggressive movements without enduring prolonged drawdowns. In Impulse Mode, the RSI Pulsar seeks strong trending zones, providing actionable signals that allow for timely entries and exits.
Case Study II:
SMMA Trend Following Mode for Ratio Analysis
The RSI Pulsar in Trend Following mode, configured with the SMMA with default length settings. This setup is ideal for analyzing longer-term trends, particularly useful in cryptocurrency pairs or ratio charts, where it’s crucial to identify robust directional moves. The chart showcases strong trends in the Solana/Ethereum pair. The RSI Pulsar’s ability to smooth out price action while remaining responsive to trend changes makes it an excellent tool for capturing extended price moves.
The image highlights how the RSI Pulsar efficiently tracks the strength of two tokens against each other, providing clear signals when one asset begins to outperform the other. Even in volatile markets, the SMMA ensures that the signals are reliable, filtering out noise and allowing traders to stay in the trend longer without being shaken out by minor corrections. This approach is particularly effective in ratio trading in order to inform a longer term swing trader of the strongest asset out of a customized pair.
Case Study III:
Monthly Analysis with RSI Pulsar in Ribbon Mode
This case study demonstrates the versatility and reliability of the RSI Pulsar in Ribbon mode, applied to a monthly chart of Bitcoin with an RSI length of 8 and a TEMA length of 14. This setup highlights the indicator’s robustness across multiple timeframes, extending even to long-term analysis. The RSI Pulsar effectively smooths out noise while capturing significant trends, as seen during Bitcoin bull markets. The Ribbon mode provides a clear visual representation of momentum shifts, making it easier for traders to identify trend continuations and reversals with confidence.
Case Study IV:
Divergences and Continuations with the Volatility Spectrum
Identifying harmony/divergences can be hit-or-miss at times, but this unique analysis method definitely has its merits at times. The RSI Pulsar, with its Volatility Spectrum feature, is used here to identify critical moments where price action either aligns with or diverges from the underlying volatility. As seen in the Bitcoin chart (using default settings), the indicator highlights areas where price trends either continue in harmony with volatility or diverge, signaling potential reversals. This method, while not always perfect, provides significant insight during key turning points in the market.
The Volatility Spectrum's visual representation of rising and falling volatility, combined with divergence and harmony analysis, enables traders to anticipate significant shifts in market dynamics. In this case, multiple divergences correctly identified early trend reversals, while periods of harmony indicated strong trend continuations. While this method requires careful interpretation, especially during complex market conditions, it offers valuable signals that can be pivotal in making informed trading decisions, especially if combined with other forms of analysis it can form a critical component of an investing system.
[GYTS-Pro] Flux Composer🧬 Flux Composer (Professional Edition)
🌸 Confluence indicator in GoemonYae Trading System (GYTS) 🌸
The Flux Composer is a powerful tool in the GYTS suite that is designed to aggregate signals from multiple Signal Providers, apply advanced decaying functions, and offer customisable and advanced confluence mechanisms. This allows making informed decisions by considering the strength and agreement ("when all stars align") of various input signals.
🌸 --------- TABLE OF CONTENTS --------- 🌸
1️⃣ Main Highlights
2️⃣ Flux Composer’s Features
Multi Signal Provider support
Advanced decaying functions
Customisable Flux confluence mechanisms
Actionable trading experience
Filtering options
User-friendly experience
Upgrades compared to Community Edition
3️⃣ User Guide
Selecting Signal Providers
Connecting Signal Providers to the Flux Composer
Understanding the Flux
Tuning the decaying functions
Choosing Flux confluence mechanism
Choosing sensitivity
Utilising the filtering options
Interpreting the Flux for trading signals
4️⃣ Limitations
🌸 ------ 1️⃣ --- MAIN HIGHLIGHTS --- 1️⃣ ------ 🌸
- Signal aggregation : Combines signals from multiple different 📡 Signal Providers, each of which can be tuned and adjusted independently.
- Decaying function : Utilises advanced decaying functions to model the diminishing effect of signals over time, ensuring that recent signals have more weight. In addition to the decaying effect, the "quality" of the original signals (e.g. a "strong" GDM from WaveTrend 4D ) are accounted for as well.
- Flux confluence mechanism : The aggregation of all decaying functions form the "Flux", which is the core signal measurement of the Flux Composer. Multiple mechanisms are available for creating the Flux and effectively using it for actionable trading signals.
- Visualisation : Provides detailed visualisation options to help users understand and tune the contributions of individual Signal Providers and their decaying functions.
- Backtesting : The 🧬 Flux Composer is a core component of the TradingView suite of the 🌸 GoemonYae Trading System (GYTS) 🌸. It connects multiple 📡 Signal Providers, such as the WaveTrend 4D, and processes their signals to produce a unified "Flux". This Flux can then be used by the GYTS "🎼 Order Orchestrator" for backtesting and trade automation.
🌸 ------ 2️⃣ --- FLUX COMPOSER'S FEATURES --- 2️⃣ ------ 🌸
Let's delve into more details...
💮 1. Multi Signal Provider support
Using the name of the GYTS "🎼 Order Orchestrator" as an analogy: Imagine a symphony where each instrument plays its own unique part, contributing to the overall harmony. The Flux Composer operates similarly, integrating multiple Signal Providers to create a comprehensive and robust trading signal -- the "Flux". Currently, it supports up to four streams from the WaveTrend 4D's ’s Gradient Divergence Measure (GDM) and another four streams from the Quantile Median Cross (QMC). These can be either four "Professional Edition" Signal Providers or eight "Community Editions".
Note that the GDM includes 2 different continuous signals and the QMC 3 different continuous signals (from different frequencies). This means that the Community Edition can handle 2*2 + 2*3 = 10 different continuous signals and the Professional Edition as much as 20.
As GYTS evolves, more Signal Providers will be added; at the moment of releasing the Flux Composer, only WaveTrend 4D is publicly available.
💮 2. Advanced decaying functions
A trading signal can be relevant today, less relevant tomorrow, and irrelevant in a week's time. In other words, its relevance diminishes, or decays , over time. The Flux Composer utilises decaying functions that ensure that recent signals carry more weight, while older signals fade away. This is crucial for accurate signal processing. The intensity and decay settings allow for precise control, allowing emphasising certain signals based on their strength and relevance over time. On top of that, unlike binary signals ("buy now"), the Flux Composer utilises the actual values from the Signal Providers, differentiating between the exact quality of signals, and thus offering a detailed representation of the trading landscape. We will illustrate this in a further section.
💮 3. Customisable Flux confluence mechanisms
Another core component of the Flux Composer is the ability of intelligently combining the decaying functions. It offers four sophisticated confluence mechanisms: Amplitude Compression, Accentuated Amplitude Compression, Trigonometric, and GYTSynthesis. Each mechanism has its unique way of processing the Flux, tailored to different trading needs. For instance, the Amplitude Compression method scales the Flux based on recent values, much like the Stochastic Oscillator, while the Trigonometric method uses smooth functions to reduce outliers’ impact. The GYTSynthesis is a proprietary method, striking a balance between signal strength and discriminative power.
We'll discuss this in more detail in the User Guide section.
💮 4. Actionable trading experience
While the mathematical abilities might seem overwhelming, the goal of the Flux Composer is to transform complex signal data into actionable trading signals. When the Flux reaches certain thresholds, it generates clear bullish or bearish signals, making it easy for traders to interpret. The inclusion of upper and lower thresholds (UT and LT) helps in identifying strong signals visually and should be a familiar behaviour similar to how many other indicators operate. Furthermore, the Flux Composer can plot trading signals directly on the oscillator, showing triangle shapes for buy or sell signals. This visual aid is complemented by the possibility to setup TradingView alerts.
💮 5. Filtering options
The Professional Edition also offers filtering options to possibly further improve the quality of Flux signals. Signal streams can be divided into “Signal Flux” and “Filter Flux.” The Filter Flux acts as a gatekeeper, ensuring that only signals meeting the Filter's criteria (which consist of similar UT/LT thresholds) are considered for trading. This dual-layer approach enhances the reliability of trading signals, reducing the chances of false positives.
💮 6. User-friendly experience
GYTS is all about sophisticated, robust methods but also "elegance". One of the interpretations of the latter, is that the users' experience is very important. Despite the Flux Composer's mathematical underpinnings, it offers intuitive settings that with omprehensive tooltips to help with a smooth setup process. For those looking to fine-tune their signals, the Flux Composer allows the visualisation of individual decaying functions. This feature helps users understand the impact of each setting and make informed adjustments. Additionally, the background of the chart can be coloured to indicate the trading direction suggested by the Filter Flux, providing an at-a-glance overview of market conditions.
💮 7. Upgrades compared to Community Edition
Number of signal streams -- At the moment of writing, the Professional Edition works with 4x GDM and 4x QMC signal streams from WaveTrend 4D Signal Provider , while Community Edition (CE) Flux Composer (FC) only works with 2x GDM and 2x QMC signal streams.
Flux confluence mechanism -- CE includes the Amplitude Compression and Trigonometric confluence mechanisms, while the Pro Edition also includes the Accentuated Amplitude Compression and the GYTSynthesis mechanisms.
Signal streams as filters -- The Pro Edition can use Signal Providers as filters.
🌸 ------ 3️⃣ --- USER GUIDE --- 3️⃣ ------ 🌸
💮 1. Selecting Signal Providers
The Flux Composer’s foundation lies in its Signal Providers. When starting with the Flux Composer, using a single Signal Provider can already provide significant value due to the nature of decaying functions. For instance, the WaveTrend 4D signal provider includes up to 5 signal types (GDM and QMC in different frequencies) in a single direction (long/short). Moreover, the various confluence mechanisms that enhance the resulting Flux result in improved discrimination between weak and strong signals. This approach is akin to ensemble learning in machine learning, where multiple models are combined to improve predictive performance.
While using a single Signal Provider is beneficial, the true power of the Flux Composer is realised with multiple Signal Providers. Here are two general approaches to selecting Signal Providers:
Diverse Behaviours
Use Signal Providers with different behaviours, such as WaveTrend 4D on various assets/timeframes or entirely different Signal Providers. This approach leverages diversification to achieve robustness, rooted in the principle that varied sources enhance the overall signal quality. To explain this with an analogy, this strategy aligns with the theory of diversification in portfolio management, where combining uncorrelated assets reduces overall risk. Similarly, combining uncorrelated signals can mitigate the risk of signal failure. A practical example can be integrating a mean-reversion signal with a trend-following signal -- these can balance each other out, providing more stable outputs over different market conditions.
Enhancing a Single Provider
If you consider a particular Signal Provider highly effective, you could improve its robustness by using multiple instances with slight variations. These variations could include different sources (e.g., close, HL2, HLC3), data providers (same asset across different brokers/exchanges), or parameter adjustments. This method mirrors Monte Carlo simulations, often used in risk management and derivative pricing, which involve running many simulations with varied inputs to estimate the probability of different outcomes. By applying similar principles, the strategy becomes less susceptible to overfitting, ensuring the signals are not overly dependent on specific data conditions.
💮 2. Connecting Signal Providers to the Flux Composer
Moving on to practicalities: how do you connect Signal Providers with the Flux Composer? You may have noticed that when you open the drawdown of a data source in a TradingView indicator (with "open", "high", "low", etc.), you also see names from other indicators on your chart. We call these "streams", and the Signal Providers are designed such that they output this stream in a way that the Flux Composer can interpret it. Thus, to connect a Signal Provider with the Flux Composer, you should first have that Signal Provider on your chart. Obviously you should set it up an a way that it seems to provide good signals. After that, in the Data Stream dropdown in the Flux Composer, you can select the stream that is outputted by your Signal Provider. This will always be with a prefix of "🔗 STREAM" (after the Signal Provider's indicator name). See the chart below.
There is one important nuance: when you have multiple (similar) Signal Providers on your chart, it may be hard to select the correct data stream in the Flux Composer as the names of the streams keep repeating when you use identical indicators. So be sure to be attentive as you might end up using the same signals multiple times.
Also, the Signal Providers have an "Indicator name" parameter (and another parameter to repeat this name) that is handy to use when you have multiple Signal Providers on your screen. It is handy to give names that describe the unique settings of that Signal Provider so you can better differentiate what you are looking at on your screen.
💮 3. Understanding the Flux
Let's understand how the Signal Provider's signals are processed. In the chart below, you see we have one Signal Provider (WaveTrend 4D) connected to the Flux Composer and that it gives a bearish QMC signal. The Flux Composer converts this into a decaying function. You can show these functions per Signal Provider when the option "Show decaying function of Signal Provider" is enabled (as it is in the chart).
In our opinion, of crucial importance is the ability to process the quality of signals, rather than just any signal. In mathematical terms, we are interested in continuous signals as these provide a spectrum of values. These signals can reflect varying degrees of market sentiment or trend strength, offering richer information than binary signals, which offer only two states (e.g., buy/sell). Especially in the context of the Flux Composer, where you aggregate multiple signals, it makes a big difference whether you combine 10 weak signals or 10 strong signals. To illustrate this principle, look at the chart below where there are 4 signals of different strengths. As you can see, each of the signals affects the Flux with different intensities.
💮 4. Tuning the decaying functions
As previously mentioned, the decaying functions are a way to give more importance to recent signals while allowing older ones to fade away gradually. This mimics the natural way we assess information, giving more weight to recent events. The decaying functions in the Flux Composer are highly customisable while remaining easy to use. You can adjust the initial intensity , which sets the starting strength of a signal, and the decay rate, which determines how quickly this signal diminishes over time. Let's look at specific examples.
If we add 3 Flux Composers on the chart, connect the same Signal Provider, keep all settings the same with one exception, we get the chart below. Here we have changed the "intensity" parameter of the specific signal. As you can see, the decaying functions are different. The intensity determines the initial strength of the decayed function. Adjusting the intensity allows you to emphasise certain signal types based on their perceived reliability or importance.
Let's now keep the intensity the same ("normal"), but change the "decay" parameter. As you can see in the image below, the decay controls how quickly the signal’s strength diminishes over time. By adjusting the decay, you can model the longevity of the signal’s impact. A faster decay means the signal loses its influence quickly, while a slower decay means it remains relevant for a longer period.
So how do multiple signals interact? You can see this as a simple "stacking of decaying functions" (although there is more to it, see next section). In the chart below we different strenghts of signals and different decay rates to illustrate how the Flux is constructed.
Hopefully this helps with developing some intuition how signals are converted to decaying functions, how you can control them, and how the Flux is constructed. When tuning these parameters, use the visualisation options to see how individual decaying functions contribute to the overall Flux. This helps in understanding and refining the parameters to achieve the desired trading signal behaviour.
💮 5. Choosing Flux confluence mechanism
While we mentioned that the Flux is a "stacking of individual decaying functions", in the back-end, that is not exactly that simple. Like previously mentioned, for GYTS, "elegance" is very important. One of the interpretations is "user friendliness" and the Flux confluence mechanism is one of the essential developments for this characteristic. The Flux confluence mechanism is critical in synthesising the aggregated signals into the Flux. The choice of mechanism affects how the signals are combined and the resulting trading signals. The Professional Edition offers four distinct mechanisms, each with its strengths.
The Amplitude Compression mechanism is intuitive, scaling the Flux based on recent values, intuitively not unlike the method of the well-known Stochastic Oscillator. The Accentuated Amplitude Compression method takes this a step further, giving more weight to strong Flux values. The Trigonometric mechanism smooths the Flux and reduces the impact of outliers, providing a balanced approach. Finally, the GYTSynthesis mechanism, a proprietary approach, balances signal strength and discriminative power, making it easier to tune and generalise.
It's difficult to convey the workings of the Flux confluence mechanism in a chart, but let's take the opportunity to show how the Flux would look like when connecting both one WaveTrend 4D Signal Provider signals to four Flux Composers with default settings, except the Flux confluence mechanism:
You may notice subtle differences between the four methods. They react differently to different values and their overall shape is slightly be different. The Amplitude Compression is more "pointy" and GYTSynthesis doesn't react to low values. There are many nuances, especially in combination with tuning the sensitivity and upper/lower threshold (UT/LT) parameters.
💮 6. Choosing sensitivity
Speaking of the sensitivity , this parameters fine-tunes how responsive the Flux is to the input signals. Higher sensitivity results in more pronounced responses, leading to more frequent trading signals. Lower sensitivity makes the Flux less responsive, resulting in fewer but potentially more reliable signals.
You might think that changing the upper/lower threshold (UT/LT) parameters would be equivalent, but that's not the case. The sensitivity In case of the Amplitude Compression mechanisms, changing the sensitivity would change the relative Flux shape over time, and with the Trigonometric and GYTSynthesis mechanisms, the Flux shape itself (independent of time) would change. In other words, these are all good parameters for tuning.
💮 7. Utilising the filtering options
When choosing the signal stream of a Signal Provider, you can also change the default "Signal" category of that Signal Provider to a "Filter". In the example below, two Signal Providers are connected; the second is set as a filter. You can see that a second row of a Flux is shown in the Flux Composer (this visualisation can be disabled), corresponding with the signals of the second Signal Provider.
Logically, only when the Filter Flux gives a signal in a certain direction, signals from the regular Signal Flux are registered. Generally speaking, for this use case it is handy to set the thresholds for the Filter Flux low and possibly to decrease the decay rate so that the filtering is active for a long enough time.
💮 8. Interpreting the Flux for trading signals
Lastly, the Signal Flux gives buy and sell signals when it crosses the upper/lower thresholds (UT/LT), when the filter allows it (if enabled). This can be visualised with the triangles as you may have seen in the charts in the previous sections. For people using TradingView's alerts -- these would work too out of the box. And finally, for backtesting and possibly trade automation, we will have the GYTS "🎼 Order Orchestrator" that connects with the Flux Composer.
🌸 ------ 4️⃣ --- LIMITATIONS --- 4️⃣ ------ 🌸
Only 🌸 GYTS 📡 Signal Providers are supported, as there is a specific method to pass continuous (non-binary) data in the data stream
At the moment of release, only the WaveTrend 4D Signal Provider is available. Other Signal Providers will be gradually released.
[GYTS-CE] Flux Composer🧬 Flux Composer (Community Edition)
🌸 Confluence indicator in GoemonYae Trading System (GYTS) 🌸
The Flux Composer is a powerful tool in the GYTS suite that is designed to aggregate signals from multiple Signal Providers, apply customisable decaying functions, and offer customisable and advanced confluence mechanisms. This allows making informed decisions by considering the strength and agreement ("when all stars align") of various input signals.
🌸 --------- TABLE OF CONTENTS --------- 🌸
1️⃣ Main Highlights
2️⃣ Flux Composer’s Features
Multi Signal Provider support
Advanced decaying functions
Customisable Flux confluence mechanisms
Actionable trading experience
User-friendly experience
3️⃣ User Guide
Selecting Signal Providers
Connecting Signal Providers to the Flux Composer
Understanding the Flux
Tuning the decaying functions
Choosing Flux confluence mechanism
Choosing sensitivity
Interpreting the Flux for trading signals
4️⃣ Limitations
🌸 ------ 1️⃣ --- MAIN HIGHLIGHTS --- 1️⃣ ------ 🌸
- Signal aggregation : Combines signals from multiple different 📡 Signal Providers, each of which can be tuned and adjusted independently.
- Decaying function : Utilises advanced decaying functions to model the diminishing effect of signals over time, ensuring that recent signals have more weight. In addition to the decaying effect, the "quality" of the original signals (e.g. a "strong" GDM from WaveTrend 4D with GDM ) are accounted for as well.
- Flux confluence mechanism : The aggregation of all decaying functions form the "Flux", which is the core signal measurement of the Flux Composer. Multiple mechanisms are available for creating the Flux and effectively using it for actionable trading signals.
- Visualisation : Provides detailed visualisation options to help users understand and tune the contributions of individual Signal Providers and their decaying functions.
- Backtesting : The 🧬 Flux Composer is a core component of the TradingView suite of the 🌸 GoemonYae Trading System (GYTS) 🌸. It connects multiple 📡 Signal Providers, such as the WaveTrend 4D, and processes their signals to produce a unified "Flux". This Flux can then be used by the GYTS "🎼 Order Orchestrator" for backtesting and trade automation.
🌸 ------ 2️⃣ --- FLUX COMPOSER'S FEATURES --- 2️⃣ ------ 🌸
Let's delve into more details...
💮 1. Multi Signal Provider support
Using the name of the GYTS "🎼 Order Orchestrator" as an analogy: Imagine a symphony where each instrument plays its own unique part, contributing to the overall harmony. The Flux Composer operates similarly, integrating multiple Signal Providers to create a comprehensive and robust trading signal -- the "Flux". Currently, it supports up to two streams from the WaveTrend 4D’s Gradient Divergence Measure (GDM) and another two streams from the WaveTrend 4D's Quantile Median Cross (QMC) .
Note that the GDM includes 2 different continuous signals and the QMC 3 different continuous signals (from different frequencies). This means that the Community Edition can handle 2*2 + 2*3 = 10 different continuous signals.
As GYTS evolves, more Signal Providers will be added; at the moment of releasing the Flux Composer, only WaveTrend 4D with GDM and with QMC are publicly available.
💮 2. Advanced decaying functions
A trading signal can be relevant today, less relevant tomorrow, and irrelevant in a week's time. In other words, its relevance diminishes, or decays , over time. The Flux Composer utilises decaying functions that ensure that recent signals carry more weight, while older signals fade away. This is crucial for accurate signal processing. The intensity and decay settings allow for precise control, allowing emphasising certain signals based on their strength and relevance over time. On top of that, unlike binary signals ("buy now"), the Flux Composer utilises the actual values from the Signal Providers, differentiating between the exact quality of signals, and thus offering a detailed representation of the trading landscape. We will illustrate this in a further section.
💮 3. Customisable Flux confluence mechanisms
Another core component of the Flux Composer is the ability of intelligently combining the decaying functions. It offers two sophisticated confluence mechanisms: Amplitude Compression and Trigonometric. Each mechanism has its unique way of processing the Flux, tailored to different trading needs. The Amplitude Compression method scales the Flux based on recent values, much like the Stochastic Oscillator, while the Trigonometric method uses smooth functions to reduce outliers’ impact We'll discuss this in more detail in the User Guide section.
💮 4. Actionable trading experience
While the mathematical abilities might seem overwhelming, the goal of the Flux Composer is to transform complex signal data into actionable trading signals. When the Flux reaches certain thresholds, it generates clear bullish or bearish signals, making it easy for traders to interpret. The inclusion of upper and lower thresholds (UT and LT) helps in identifying strong signals visually and should be a familiar behaviour similar to how many other indicators operate. Furthermore, the Flux Composer can plot trading signals directly on the oscillator, showing triangle shapes for buy or sell signals. This visual aid is complemented by the possibility to setup TradingView alerts.
💮 5. User-friendly experience
GYTS is all about sophisticated, robust methods but also "elegance". One of the interpretations of the latter, is that the users' experience is very important. Despite the Flux Composer's mathematical underpinnings, it offers intuitive settings that with omprehensive tooltips to help with a smooth setup process. For those looking to fine-tune their signals, the Flux Composer allows the visualisation of individual decaying functions. This feature helps users understand the impact of each setting and make informed adjustments.
🌸 ------ 3️⃣ --- USER GUIDE --- 3️⃣ ------ 🌸
💮 1. Selecting Signal Providers
The Flux Composer’s foundation lies in its Signal Providers. When starting with the Flux Composer, using a single Signal Provider can already provide significant value due to the nature of decaying functions. For instance, the WaveTrend 4D signal provider includes up to two GDM and three QMC signals in a single direction (long/short). Moreover, the various confluence mechanisms that enhance the resulting Flux result in improved discrimination between weak and strong signals. This approach is akin to ensemble learning in machine learning, where multiple models are combined to improve predictive performance.
While using a single Signal Provider is beneficial, the true power of the Flux Composer is realised with multiple Signal Providers. Here are two general approaches to selecting Signal Providers:
Diverse Behaviours
Use Signal Providers with different behaviours, such as WaveTrend 4D on various assets/timeframes or entirely different Signal Providers. This approach leverages diversification to achieve robustness, rooted in the principle that varied sources enhance the overall signal quality. To explain this with an analogy, this strategy aligns with the theory of diversification in portfolio management, where combining uncorrelated assets reduces overall risk. Similarly, combining uncorrelated signals can mitigate the risk of signal failure. A practical example can be integrating a mean-reversion signal with a trend-following signal -- these can balance each other out, providing more stable outputs over different market conditions.
Enhancing a Single Provider
If you consider a particular Signal Provider highly effective, you could improve its robustness by using multiple instances with slight variations. These variations could include different sources (e.g., close, HL2, HLC3), data providers (same asset across different brokers/exchanges), or parameter adjustments. This method mirrors Monte Carlo simulations, often used in risk management and derivative pricing, which involve running many simulations with varied inputs to estimate the probability of different outcomes. By applying similar principles, the strategy becomes less susceptible to overfitting, ensuring the signals are not overly dependent on specific data conditions.
💮 2. Connecting Signal Providers to the Flux Composer
Moving on to practicalities: how do you connect Signal Providers with the Flux Composer? You may have noticed that when you open the drawdown of a data source in a TradingView indicator (with "open", "high", "low", etc.), you also see names from other indicators on your chart. We call these "streams", and the Signal Providers are designed such that they output this stream in a way that the Flux Composer can interpret it. Thus, to connect a Signal Provider with the Flux Composer, you should first have that Signal Provider on your chart. Obviously you should set it up an a way that it seems to provide good signals. After that, in the Data Stream dropdown in the Flux Composer, you can select the stream that is outputted by your Signal Provider. This will always be with a prefix of "🔗 STREAM" (after the Signal Provider's indicator name). See the chart below.
There is one important nuance: when you have multiple (similar) Signal Providers on your chart, it may be hard to select the correct data stream in the Flux Composer as the names of the streams keep repeating when you use identical indicators. So be sure to be attentive as you might end up using the same signals multiple times.
Also, the Signal Providers have an "Indicator name" parameter (and another parameter to repeat this name) that is handy to use when you have multiple Signal Providers on your screen. It is handy to give names that describe the unique settings of that Signal Provider so you can better differentiate what you are looking at on your screen.
💮 3. Understanding the Flux
Let's understand how the Signal Provider's signals are processed. In the chart below, you see we have one Signal Provider (WaveTrend 4D) connected to the Flux Composer and that it gives a bearish QMC signal. The Flux Composer converts this into a decaying function. You can show these functions per Signal Provider when the option "Show decaying function of Signal Provider" is enabled (as it is in the chart).
In our opinion, of crucial importance is the ability to process the quality of signals, rather than just any signal. In mathematical terms, we are interested in continuous signals as these provide a spectrum of values. These signals can reflect varying degrees of market sentiment or trend strength, offering richer information than binary signals, which offer only two states (e.g., buy/sell). Especially in the context of the Flux Composer, where you aggregate multiple signals, it makes a big difference whether you combine 10 weak signals or 10 strong signals. To illustrate this principle, look at the chart below where there are 4 signals of different strengths. As you can see, each of the signals affects the Flux with different intensities.
💮 4. Tuning the decaying functions
As previously mentioned, the decaying functions are a way to give more importance to recent signals while allowing older ones to fade away gradually. This mimics the natural way we assess information, giving more weight to recent events. The decaying functions in the Flux Composer are highly customisable while remaining easy to use. You can adjust the initial intensity , which sets the starting strength of a signal, and the decay rate, which determines how quickly this signal diminishes over time. Let's look at specific examples.
If we add 3 Flux Composers on the chart, connect the same Signal Provider, keep all settings the same with one exception, we get the chart below. Here we have changed the "intensity" parameter of the specific signal. As you can see, the decaying functions are different. The intensity determines the initial strength of the decayed function. Adjusting the intensity allows you to emphasise certain signal types based on their perceived reliability or importance.
Let's now keep the intensity the same ("normal"), but change the "decay" parameter. As you can see in the image below, the decay controls how quickly the signal’s strength diminishes over time. By adjusting the decay, you can model the longevity of the signal’s impact. A faster decay means the signal loses its influence quickly, while a slower decay means it remains relevant for a longer period.
So how do multiple signals interact? You can see this as a simple "stacking of decaying functions" (although there is more to it, see next section). In the chart below we use different "intensity" and "decay" parameters to discuss how the Flux is created.
Hopefully this helps with developing some intuition how signals are converted to decaying functions, how you can control them, and how the Flux is constructed. When tuning these parameters, use the visualisation options to see how individual decaying functions contribute to the overall Flux. This helps in understanding and refining the parameters to achieve the desired trading signal behaviour.
💮 5. Choosing Flux confluence mechanism
While we mentioned that the Flux is a "stacking of individual decaying functions", in the back-end, that is not exactly that simple. Like previously mentioned, for GYTS, "elegance" is very important. One of the interpretations is "user friendliness" and the Flux confluence mechanism is one of the essential developments for this characteristic. The Flux confluence mechanism is critical in synthesising the aggregated signals into the Flux. The choice of mechanism affects how the signals are combined and the resulting trading signals. The Community Edition offers two distinct mechanisms, each with its strengths.
The Amplitude Compression mechanism is intuitive, scaling the Flux based on recent values, intuitively not unlike the method of the well-known Stochastic Oscillator. On the other hand, the Trigonometric mechanism smooths the Flux and reduces the impact of outliers, providing a balanced approach. It's difficult to convey the workings of the Flux confluence mechanism in a chart, but let's take the opportunity to show how the Flux would look like when connecting both GDM and QMC signals to two Flux Composers with default settings, except the Flux confluence mechanism:
You can notice that the upper Flux Converter (FC) triggered two signals while the other FC triggered only one. There are more nuances, especially in combination with tuning the sensitivity and upper/lower threshold (UT/LT) parameters.
💮 6. Choosing sensitivity
Speaking of the sensitivity , this parameters fine-tunes how responsive the Flux is to the input signals. Higher sensitivity results in more pronounced responses, leading to more frequent trading signals. Lower sensitivity makes the Flux less responsive, resulting in fewer but potentially more reliable signals.
You might think that changing the upper/lower threshold (UT/LT) parameters would be equivalent, but that's not the case. The sensitivity In case of the Amplitude Compression mechanism, changing the sensitivity would change the relative Flux shape over time, and with the Trigonometric mechanism, the Flux shape itself (independent of time) would change. In other words, these are all good parameters for tuning.
💮 8. Interpreting the Flux for trading signals
Lastly, the Signal Flux gives buy and sell signals when it crosses the upper/lower thresholds (UT/LT) This can be visualised with the triangles as you may have seen in the charts in the previous sections. For people using TradingView's alerts -- these would work out of the box. And finally, for backtesting and possibly trade automation, we will have the GYTS "🎼 Order Orchestrator" that connects with the Flux Composer.
🌸 ------ 4️⃣ --- LIMITATIONS --- 4️⃣ ------ 🌸
Only 🌸 GYTS 📡 Signal Providers are supported, as there is a specific method to pass continuous (non-binary) data in the data stream
At the moment of release, only WaveTrend 4D with GDM and with QMC are available. Other Signal Providers will be gradually released.
Dimensional Resonance ProtocolDimensional Resonance Protocol
🌀 CORE INNOVATION: PHASE SPACE RECONSTRUCTION & EMERGENCE DETECTION
The Dimensional Resonance Protocol represents a paradigm shift from traditional technical analysis to complexity science. Rather than measuring price levels or indicator crossovers, DRP reconstructs the hidden attractor governing market dynamics using Takens' embedding theorem, then detects emergence —the rare moments when multiple dimensions of market behavior spontaneously synchronize into coherent, predictable states.
The Complexity Hypothesis:
Markets are not simple oscillators or random walks—they are complex adaptive systems existing in high-dimensional phase space. Traditional indicators see only shadows (one-dimensional projections) of this higher-dimensional reality. DRP reconstructs the full phase space using time-delay embedding, revealing the true structure of market dynamics.
Takens' Embedding Theorem (1981):
A profound mathematical result from dynamical systems theory: Given a time series from a complex system, we can reconstruct its full phase space by creating delayed copies of the observation.
Mathematical Foundation:
From single observable x(t), create embedding vectors:
X(t) =
Where:
• d = Embedding dimension (default 5)
• τ = Time delay (default 3 bars)
• x(t) = Price or return at time t
Key Insight: If d ≥ 2D+1 (where D is the true attractor dimension), this embedding is topologically equivalent to the actual system dynamics. We've reconstructed the hidden attractor from a single price series.
Why This Matters:
Markets appear random in one dimension (price chart). But in reconstructed phase space, structure emerges—attractors, limit cycles, strange attractors. When we identify these structures, we can detect:
• Stable regions : Predictable behavior (trade opportunities)
• Chaotic regions : Unpredictable behavior (avoid trading)
• Critical transitions : Phase changes between regimes
Phase Space Magnitude Calculation:
phase_magnitude = sqrt(Σ ² for i = 0 to d-1)
This measures the "energy" or "momentum" of the market trajectory through phase space. High magnitude = strong directional move. Low magnitude = consolidation.
📊 RECURRENCE QUANTIFICATION ANALYSIS (RQA)
Once phase space is reconstructed, we analyze its recurrence structure —when does the system return near previous states?
Recurrence Plot Foundation:
A recurrence occurs when two phase space points are closer than threshold ε:
R(i,j) = 1 if ||X(i) - X(j)|| < ε, else 0
This creates a binary matrix showing when the system revisits similar states.
Key RQA Metrics:
1. Recurrence Rate (RR):
RR = (Number of recurrent points) / (Total possible pairs)
• RR near 0: System never repeats (highly stochastic)
• RR = 0.1-0.3: Moderate recurrence (tradeable patterns)
• RR > 0.5: System stuck in attractor (ranging market)
• RR near 1: System frozen (no dynamics)
Interpretation: Moderate recurrence is optimal —patterns exist but market isn't stuck.
2. Determinism (DET):
Measures what fraction of recurrences form diagonal structures in the recurrence plot. Diagonals indicate deterministic evolution (trajectory follows predictable paths).
DET = (Recurrence points on diagonals) / (Total recurrence points)
• DET < 0.3: Random dynamics
• DET = 0.3-0.7: Moderate determinism (patterns with noise)
• DET > 0.7: Strong determinism (technical patterns reliable)
Trading Implication: Signals are prioritized when DET > 0.3 (deterministic state) and RR is moderate (not stuck).
Threshold Selection (ε):
Default ε = 0.10 × std_dev means two states are "recurrent" if within 10% of a standard deviation. This is tight enough to require genuine similarity but loose enough to find patterns.
🔬 PERMUTATION ENTROPY: COMPLEXITY MEASUREMENT
Permutation entropy measures the complexity of a time series by analyzing the distribution of ordinal patterns.
Algorithm (Bandt & Pompe, 2002):
1. Take overlapping windows of length n (default n=4)
2. For each window, record the rank order pattern
Example: → pattern (ranks from lowest to highest)
3. Count frequency of each possible pattern
4. Calculate Shannon entropy of pattern distribution
Mathematical Formula:
H_perm = -Σ p(π) · ln(p(π))
Where π ranges over all n! possible permutations, p(π) is the probability of pattern π.
Normalized to :
H_norm = H_perm / ln(n!)
Interpretation:
• H < 0.3 : Very ordered, crystalline structure (strong trending)
• H = 0.3-0.5 : Ordered regime (tradeable with patterns)
• H = 0.5-0.7 : Moderate complexity (mixed conditions)
• H = 0.7-0.85 : Complex dynamics (challenging to trade)
• H > 0.85 : Maximum entropy (nearly random, avoid)
Entropy Regime Classification:
DRP classifies markets into five entropy regimes:
• CRYSTALLINE (H < 0.3): Maximum order, persistent trends
• ORDERED (H < 0.5): Clear patterns, momentum strategies work
• MODERATE (H < 0.7): Mixed dynamics, adaptive required
• COMPLEX (H < 0.85): High entropy, mean reversion better
• CHAOTIC (H ≥ 0.85): Near-random, minimize trading
Why Permutation Entropy?
Unlike traditional entropy methods requiring binning continuous data (losing information), permutation entropy:
• Works directly on time series
• Robust to monotonic transformations
• Computationally efficient
• Captures temporal structure, not just distribution
• Immune to outliers (uses ranks, not values)
⚡ LYAPUNOV EXPONENT: CHAOS vs STABILITY
The Lyapunov exponent λ measures sensitivity to initial conditions —the hallmark of chaos.
Physical Meaning:
Two trajectories starting infinitely close will diverge at exponential rate e^(λt):
Distance(t) ≈ Distance(0) × e^(λt)
Interpretation:
• λ > 0 : Positive Lyapunov exponent = CHAOS
- Small errors grow exponentially
- Long-term prediction impossible
- System is sensitive, unpredictable
- AVOID TRADING
• λ ≈ 0 : Near-zero = CRITICAL STATE
- Edge of chaos
- Transition zone between order and disorder
- Moderate predictability
- PROCEED WITH CAUTION
• λ < 0 : Negative Lyapunov exponent = STABLE
- Small errors decay
- Trajectories converge
- System is predictable
- OPTIMAL FOR TRADING
Estimation Method:
DRP estimates λ by tracking how quickly nearby states diverge over a rolling window (default 20 bars):
For each bar i in window:
δ₀ = |x - x | (initial separation)
δ₁ = |x - x | (previous separation)
if δ₁ > 0:
ratio = δ₀ / δ₁
log_ratios += ln(ratio)
λ ≈ average(log_ratios)
Stability Classification:
• STABLE : λ < 0 (negative growth rate)
• CRITICAL : |λ| < 0.1 (near neutral)
• CHAOTIC : λ > 0.2 (strong positive growth)
Signal Filtering:
By default, NEXUS requires λ < 0 (stable regime) for signal confirmation. This filters out trades during chaotic periods when technical patterns break down.
📐 HIGUCHI FRACTAL DIMENSION
Fractal dimension measures self-similarity and complexity of the price trajectory.
Theoretical Background:
A curve's fractal dimension D ranges from 1 (smooth line) to 2 (space-filling curve):
• D ≈ 1.0 : Smooth, persistent trending
• D ≈ 1.5 : Random walk (Brownian motion)
• D ≈ 2.0 : Highly irregular, space-filling
Higuchi Method (1988):
For a time series of length N, construct k different curves by taking every k-th point:
L(k) = (1/k) × Σ|x - x | × (N-1)/(⌊(N-m)/k⌋ × k)
For different values of k (1 to k_max), calculate L(k). The fractal dimension is the slope of log(L(k)) vs log(1/k):
D = slope of log(L) vs log(1/k)
Market Interpretation:
• D < 1.35 : Strong trending, persistent (Hurst > 0.5)
- TRENDING regime
- Momentum strategies favored
- Breakouts likely to continue
• D = 1.35-1.45 : Moderate persistence
- PERSISTENT regime
- Trend-following with caution
- Patterns have meaning
• D = 1.45-1.55 : Random walk territory
- RANDOM regime
- Efficiency hypothesis holds
- Technical analysis least reliable
• D = 1.55-1.65 : Anti-persistent (mean-reverting)
- ANTI-PERSISTENT regime
- Oscillator strategies work
- Overbought/oversold meaningful
• D > 1.65 : Highly complex, choppy
- COMPLEX regime
- Avoid directional bets
- Wait for regime change
Signal Filtering:
Resonance signals (secondary signal type) require D < 1.5, indicating trending or persistent dynamics where momentum has meaning.
🔗 TRANSFER ENTROPY: CAUSAL INFORMATION FLOW
Transfer entropy measures directed causal influence between time series—not just correlation, but actual information transfer.
Schreiber's Definition (2000):
Transfer entropy from X to Y measures how much knowing X's past reduces uncertainty about Y's future:
TE(X→Y) = H(Y_future | Y_past) - H(Y_future | Y_past, X_past)
Where H is Shannon entropy.
Key Properties:
1. Directional : TE(X→Y) ≠ TE(Y→X) in general
2. Non-linear : Detects complex causal relationships
3. Model-free : No assumptions about functional form
4. Lag-independent : Captures delayed causal effects
Three Causal Flows Measured:
1. Volume → Price (TE_V→P):
Measures how much volume patterns predict price changes.
• TE > 0 : Volume provides predictive information about price
- Institutional participation driving moves
- Volume confirms direction
- High reliability
• TE ≈ 0 : No causal flow (weak volume/price relationship)
- Volume uninformative
- Caution on signals
• TE < 0 (rare): Suggests price leading volume
- Potentially manipulated or thin market
2. Volatility → Momentum (TE_σ→M):
Does volatility expansion predict momentum changes?
• Positive TE : Volatility precedes momentum shifts
- Breakout dynamics
- Regime transitions
3. Structure → Price (TE_S→P):
Do support/resistance patterns causally influence price?
• Positive TE : Structural levels have causal impact
- Technical levels matter
- Market respects structure
Net Causal Flow:
Net_Flow = TE_V→P + 0.5·TE_σ→M + TE_S→P
• Net > +0.1 : Bullish causal structure
• Net < -0.1 : Bearish causal structure
• |Net| < 0.1 : Neutral/unclear causation
Causal Gate:
For signal confirmation, NEXUS requires:
• Buy signals : TE_V→P > 0 AND Net_Flow > 0.05
• Sell signals : TE_V→P > 0 AND Net_Flow < -0.05
This ensures volume is actually driving price (causal support exists), not just correlated noise.
Implementation Note:
Computing true transfer entropy requires discretizing continuous data into bins (default 6 bins) and estimating joint probability distributions. NEXUS uses a hybrid approach combining TE theory with autocorrelation structure and lagged cross-correlation to approximate information transfer in computationally efficient manner.
🌊 HILBERT PHASE COHERENCE
Phase coherence measures synchronization across market dimensions using Hilbert transform analysis.
Hilbert Transform Theory:
For a signal x(t), the Hilbert transform H (t) creates an analytic signal:
z(t) = x(t) + i·H (t) = A(t)·e^(iφ(t))
Where:
• A(t) = Instantaneous amplitude
• φ(t) = Instantaneous phase
Instantaneous Phase:
φ(t) = arctan(H (t) / x(t))
The phase represents where the signal is in its natural cycle—analogous to position on a unit circle.
Four Dimensions Analyzed:
1. Momentum Phase : Phase of price rate-of-change
2. Volume Phase : Phase of volume intensity
3. Volatility Phase : Phase of ATR cycles
4. Structure Phase : Phase of position within range
Phase Locking Value (PLV):
For two signals with phases φ₁(t) and φ₂(t), PLV measures phase synchronization:
PLV = |⟨e^(i(φ₁(t) - φ₂(t)))⟩|
Where ⟨·⟩ is time average over window.
Interpretation:
• PLV = 0 : Completely random phase relationship (no synchronization)
• PLV = 0.5 : Moderate phase locking
• PLV = 1 : Perfect synchronization (phases locked)
Pairwise PLV Calculations:
• PLV_momentum-volume : Are momentum and volume cycles synchronized?
• PLV_momentum-structure : Are momentum cycles aligned with structure?
• PLV_volume-structure : Are volume and structural patterns in phase?
Overall Phase Coherence:
Coherence = (PLV_mom-vol + PLV_mom-struct + PLV_vol-struct) / 3
Signal Confirmation:
Emergence signals require coherence ≥ threshold (default 0.70):
• Below 0.70: Dimensions not synchronized, no coherent market state
• Above 0.70: Dimensions in phase, coherent behavior emerging
Coherence Direction:
The summed phase angles indicate whether synchronized dimensions point bullish or bearish:
Direction = sin(φ_momentum) + 0.5·sin(φ_volume) + 0.5·sin(φ_structure)
• Direction > 0 : Phases pointing upward (bullish synchronization)
• Direction < 0 : Phases pointing downward (bearish synchronization)
🌀 EMERGENCE SCORE: MULTI-DIMENSIONAL ALIGNMENT
The emergence score aggregates all complexity metrics into a single 0-1 value representing market coherence.
Eight Components with Weights:
1. Phase Coherence (20%):
Direct contribution: coherence × 0.20
Measures dimensional synchronization.
2. Entropy Regime (15%):
Contribution: (0.6 - H_perm) / 0.6 × 0.15 if H < 0.6, else 0
Rewards low entropy (ordered, predictable states).
3. Lyapunov Stability (12%):
• λ < 0 (stable): +0.12
• |λ| < 0.1 (critical): +0.08
• λ > 0.2 (chaotic): +0.0
Requires stable, predictable dynamics.
4. Fractal Dimension Trending (12%):
Contribution: (1.45 - D) / 0.45 × 0.12 if D < 1.45, else 0
Rewards trending fractal structure (D < 1.45).
5. Dimensional Resonance (12%):
Contribution: |dimensional_resonance| × 0.12
Measures alignment across momentum, volume, structure, volatility dimensions.
6. Causal Flow Strength (9%):
Contribution: |net_causal_flow| × 0.09
Rewards strong causal relationships.
7. Phase Space Embedding (10%):
Contribution: min(|phase_magnitude_norm|, 3.0) / 3.0 × 0.10 if |magnitude| > 1.0
Rewards strong trajectory in reconstructed phase space.
8. Recurrence Quality (10%):
Contribution: determinism × 0.10 if DET > 0.3 AND 0.1 < RR < 0.8
Rewards deterministic patterns with moderate recurrence.
Total Emergence Score:
E = Σ(components) ∈
Capped at 1.0 maximum.
Emergence Direction:
Separate calculation determining bullish vs bearish:
• Dimensional resonance sign
• Net causal flow sign
• Phase magnitude correlation with momentum
Signal Threshold:
Default emergence_threshold = 0.75 means 75% of maximum possible emergence score required to trigger signals.
Why Emergence Matters:
Traditional indicators measure single dimensions. Emergence detects self-organization —when multiple independent dimensions spontaneously align. This is the market equivalent of a phase transition in physics, where microscopic chaos gives way to macroscopic order.
These are the highest-probability trade opportunities because the entire system is resonating in the same direction.
🎯 SIGNAL GENERATION: EMERGENCE vs RESONANCE
DRP generates two tiers of signals with different requirements:
TIER 1: EMERGENCE SIGNALS (Primary)
Requirements:
1. Emergence score ≥ threshold (default 0.75)
2. Phase coherence ≥ threshold (default 0.70)
3. Emergence direction > 0.2 (bullish) or < -0.2 (bearish)
4. Causal gate passed (if enabled): TE_V→P > 0 and net_flow confirms direction
5. Stability zone (if enabled): λ < 0 or |λ| < 0.1
6. Price confirmation: Close > open (bulls) or close < open (bears)
7. Cooldown satisfied: bars_since_signal ≥ cooldown_period
EMERGENCE BUY:
• All above conditions met with bullish direction
• Market has achieved coherent bullish state
• Multiple dimensions synchronized upward
EMERGENCE SELL:
• All above conditions met with bearish direction
• Market has achieved coherent bearish state
• Multiple dimensions synchronized downward
Premium Emergence:
When signal_quality (emergence_score × phase_coherence) > 0.7:
• Displayed as ★ star symbol
• Highest conviction trades
• Maximum dimensional alignment
Standard Emergence:
When signal_quality 0.5-0.7:
• Displayed as ◆ diamond symbol
• Strong signals but not perfect alignment
TIER 2: RESONANCE SIGNALS (Secondary)
Requirements:
1. Dimensional resonance > +0.6 (bullish) or < -0.6 (bearish)
2. Fractal dimension < 1.5 (trending/persistent regime)
3. Price confirmation matches direction
4. NOT in chaotic regime (λ < 0.2)
5. Cooldown satisfied
6. NO emergence signal firing (resonance is fallback)
RESONANCE BUY:
• Dimensional alignment without full emergence
• Trending fractal structure
• Moderate conviction
RESONANCE SELL:
• Dimensional alignment without full emergence
• Bearish resonance with trending structure
• Moderate conviction
Displayed as small ▲/▼ triangles with transparency.
Signal Hierarchy:
IF emergence conditions met:
Fire EMERGENCE signal (★ or ◆)
ELSE IF resonance conditions met:
Fire RESONANCE signal (▲ or ▼)
ELSE:
No signal
Cooldown System:
After any signal fires, cooldown_period (default 5 bars) must elapse before next signal. This prevents signal clustering during persistent conditions.
Cooldown tracks using bar_index:
bars_since_signal = current_bar_index - last_signal_bar_index
cooldown_ok = bars_since_signal >= cooldown_period
🎨 VISUAL SYSTEM: MULTI-LAYER COMPLEXITY
DRP provides rich visual feedback across four distinct layers:
LAYER 1: COHERENCE FIELD (Background)
Colored background intensity based on phase coherence:
• No background : Coherence < 0.5 (incoherent state)
• Faint glow : Coherence 0.5-0.7 (building coherence)
• Stronger glow : Coherence > 0.7 (coherent state)
Color:
• Cyan/teal: Bullish coherence (direction > 0)
• Red/magenta: Bearish coherence (direction < 0)
• Blue: Neutral coherence (direction ≈ 0)
Transparency: 98 minus (coherence_intensity × 10), so higher coherence = more visible.
LAYER 2: STABILITY/CHAOS ZONES
Background color indicating Lyapunov regime:
• Green tint (95% transparent): λ < 0, STABLE zone
- Safe to trade
- Patterns meaningful
• Gold tint (90% transparent): |λ| < 0.1, CRITICAL zone
- Edge of chaos
- Moderate risk
• Red tint (85% transparent): λ > 0.2, CHAOTIC zone
- Avoid trading
- Unpredictable behavior
LAYER 3: DIMENSIONAL RIBBONS
Three EMAs representing dimensional structure:
• Fast ribbon : EMA(8) in cyan/teal (fast dynamics)
• Medium ribbon : EMA(21) in blue (intermediate)
• Slow ribbon : EMA(55) in red/magenta (slow dynamics)
Provides visual reference for multi-scale structure without cluttering with raw phase space data.
LAYER 4: CAUSAL FLOW LINE
A thicker line plotted at EMA(13) colored by net causal flow:
• Cyan/teal : Net_flow > +0.1 (bullish causation)
• Red/magenta : Net_flow < -0.1 (bearish causation)
• Gray : |Net_flow| < 0.1 (neutral causation)
Shows real-time direction of information flow.
EMERGENCE FLASH:
Strong background flash when emergence signals fire:
• Cyan flash for emergence buy
• Red flash for emergence sell
• 80% transparency for visibility without obscuring price
📊 COMPREHENSIVE DASHBOARD
Real-time monitoring of all complexity metrics:
HEADER:
• 🌀 DRP branding with gold accent
CORE METRICS:
EMERGENCE:
• Progress bar (█ filled, ░ empty) showing 0-100%
• Percentage value
• Direction arrow (↗ bull, ↘ bear, → neutral)
• Color-coded: Green/gold if active, gray if low
COHERENCE:
• Progress bar showing phase locking value
• Percentage value
• Checkmark ✓ if ≥ threshold, circle ○ if below
• Color-coded: Cyan if coherent, gray if not
COMPLEXITY SECTION:
ENTROPY:
• Regime name (CRYSTALLINE/ORDERED/MODERATE/COMPLEX/CHAOTIC)
• Numerical value (0.00-1.00)
• Color: Green (ordered), gold (moderate), red (chaotic)
LYAPUNOV:
• State (STABLE/CRITICAL/CHAOTIC)
• Numerical value (typically -0.5 to +0.5)
• Status indicator: ● stable, ◐ critical, ○ chaotic
• Color-coded by state
FRACTAL:
• Regime (TRENDING/PERSISTENT/RANDOM/ANTI-PERSIST/COMPLEX)
• Dimension value (1.0-2.0)
• Color: Cyan (trending), gold (random), red (complex)
PHASE-SPACE:
• State (STRONG/ACTIVE/QUIET)
• Normalized magnitude value
• Parameters display: d=5 τ=3
CAUSAL SECTION:
CAUSAL:
• Direction (BULL/BEAR/NEUTRAL)
• Net flow value
• Flow indicator: →P (to price), P← (from price), ○ (neutral)
V→P:
• Volume-to-price transfer entropy
• Small display showing specific TE value
DIMENSIONAL SECTION:
RESONANCE:
• Progress bar of absolute resonance
• Signed value (-1 to +1)
• Color-coded by direction
RECURRENCE:
• Recurrence rate percentage
• Determinism percentage display
• Color-coded: Green if high quality
STATE SECTION:
STATE:
• Current mode: EMERGENCE / RESONANCE / CHAOS / SCANNING
• Icon: 🚀 (emergence buy), 💫 (emergence sell), ▲ (resonance buy), ▼ (resonance sell), ⚠ (chaos), ◎ (scanning)
• Color-coded by state
SIGNALS:
• E: count of emergence signals
• R: count of resonance signals
⚙️ KEY PARAMETERS EXPLAINED
Phase Space Configuration:
• Embedding Dimension (3-10, default 5): Reconstruction dimension
- Low (3-4): Simple dynamics, faster computation
- Medium (5-6): Balanced (recommended)
- High (7-10): Complex dynamics, more data needed
- Rule: d ≥ 2D+1 where D is true dimension
• Time Delay (τ) (1-10, default 3): Embedding lag
- Fast markets: 1-2
- Normal: 3-4
- Slow markets: 5-10
- Optimal: First minimum of mutual information (often 2-4)
• Recurrence Threshold (ε) (0.01-0.5, default 0.10): Phase space proximity
- Tight (0.01-0.05): Very similar states only
- Medium (0.08-0.15): Balanced
- Loose (0.20-0.50): Liberal matching
Entropy & Complexity:
• Permutation Order (3-7, default 4): Pattern length
- Low (3): 6 patterns, fast but coarse
- Medium (4-5): 24-120 patterns, balanced
- High (6-7): 720-5040 patterns, fine-grained
- Note: Requires window >> order! for stability
• Entropy Window (15-100, default 30): Lookback for entropy
- Short (15-25): Responsive to changes
- Medium (30-50): Stable measure
- Long (60-100): Very smooth, slow adaptation
• Lyapunov Window (10-50, default 20): Stability estimation window
- Short (10-15): Fast chaos detection
- Medium (20-30): Balanced
- Long (40-50): Stable λ estimate
Causal Inference:
• Enable Transfer Entropy (default ON): Causality analysis
- Keep ON for full system functionality
• TE History Length (2-15, default 5): Causal lookback
- Short (2-4): Quick causal detection
- Medium (5-8): Balanced
- Long (10-15): Deep causal analysis
• TE Discretization Bins (4-12, default 6): Binning granularity
- Few (4-5): Coarse, robust, needs less data
- Medium (6-8): Balanced
- Many (9-12): Fine-grained, needs more data
Phase Coherence:
• Enable Phase Coherence (default ON): Synchronization detection
- Keep ON for emergence detection
• Coherence Threshold (0.3-0.95, default 0.70): PLV requirement
- Loose (0.3-0.5): More signals, lower quality
- Balanced (0.6-0.75): Recommended
- Strict (0.8-0.95): Rare, highest quality
• Hilbert Smoothing (3-20, default 8): Phase smoothing
- Low (3-5): Responsive, noisier
- Medium (6-10): Balanced
- High (12-20): Smooth, more lag
Fractal Analysis:
• Enable Fractal Dimension (default ON): Complexity measurement
- Keep ON for full analysis
• Fractal K-max (4-20, default 8): Scaling range
- Low (4-6): Faster, less accurate
- Medium (7-10): Balanced
- High (12-20): Accurate, slower
• Fractal Window (30-200, default 50): FD lookback
- Short (30-50): Responsive FD
- Medium (60-100): Stable FD
- Long (120-200): Very smooth FD
Emergence Detection:
• Emergence Threshold (0.5-0.95, default 0.75): Minimum coherence
- Sensitive (0.5-0.65): More signals
- Balanced (0.7-0.8): Recommended
- Strict (0.85-0.95): Rare signals
• Require Causal Gate (default ON): TE confirmation
- ON: Only signal when causality confirms
- OFF: Allow signals without causal support
• Require Stability Zone (default ON): Lyapunov filter
- ON: Only signal when λ < 0 (stable) or |λ| < 0.1 (critical)
- OFF: Allow signals in chaotic regimes (risky)
• Signal Cooldown (1-50, default 5): Minimum bars between signals
- Fast (1-3): Rapid signal generation
- Normal (4-8): Balanced
- Slow (10-20): Very selective
- Ultra (25-50): Only major regime changes
Signal Configuration:
• Momentum Period (5-50, default 14): ROC calculation
• Structure Lookback (10-100, default 20): Support/resistance range
• Volatility Period (5-50, default 14): ATR calculation
• Volume MA Period (10-50, default 20): Volume normalization
Visual Settings:
• Customizable color scheme for all elements
• Toggle visibility for each layer independently
• Dashboard position (4 corners) and size (tiny/small/normal)
🎓 PROFESSIONAL USAGE PROTOCOL
Phase 1: System Familiarization (Week 1)
Goal: Understand complexity metrics and dashboard interpretation
Setup:
• Enable all features with default parameters
• Watch dashboard metrics for 500+ bars
• Do NOT trade yet
Actions:
• Observe emergence score patterns relative to price moves
• Note coherence threshold crossings and subsequent price action
• Watch entropy regime transitions (ORDERED → COMPLEX → CHAOTIC)
• Correlate Lyapunov state with signal reliability
• Track which signals appear (emergence vs resonance frequency)
Key Learning:
• When does emergence peak? (usually before major moves)
• What entropy regime produces best signals? (typically ORDERED or MODERATE)
• Does your instrument respect stability zones? (stable λ = better signals)
Phase 2: Parameter Optimization (Week 2)
Goal: Tune system to instrument characteristics
Requirements:
• Understand basic dashboard metrics from Phase 1
• Have 1000+ bars of history loaded
Embedding Dimension & Time Delay:
• If signals very rare: Try lower dimension (d=3-4) or shorter delay (τ=2)
• If signals too frequent: Try higher dimension (d=6-7) or longer delay (τ=4-5)
• Sweet spot: 4-8 emergence signals per 100 bars
Coherence Threshold:
• Check dashboard: What's typical coherence range?
• If coherence rarely exceeds 0.70: Lower threshold to 0.60-0.65
• If coherence often >0.80: Can raise threshold to 0.75-0.80
• Goal: Signals fire during top 20-30% of coherence values
Emergence Threshold:
• If too few signals: Lower to 0.65-0.70
• If too many signals: Raise to 0.80-0.85
• Balance with coherence threshold—both must be met
Phase 3: Signal Quality Assessment (Weeks 3-4)
Goal: Verify signals have edge via paper trading
Requirements:
• Parameters optimized per Phase 2
• 50+ signals generated
• Detailed notes on each signal
Paper Trading Protocol:
• Take EVERY emergence signal (★ and ◆)
• Optional: Take resonance signals (▲/▼) separately to compare
• Use simple exit: 2R target, 1R stop (ATR-based)
• Track: Win rate, average R-multiple, maximum consecutive losses
Quality Metrics:
• Premium emergence (★) : Should achieve >55% WR
• Standard emergence (◆) : Should achieve >50% WR
• Resonance signals : Should achieve >45% WR
• Overall : If <45% WR, system not suitable for this instrument/timeframe
Red Flags:
• Win rate <40%: Wrong instrument or parameters need major adjustment
• Max consecutive losses >10: System not working in current regime
• Profit factor <1.0: No edge despite complexity analysis
Phase 4: Regime Awareness (Week 5)
Goal: Understand which market conditions produce best signals
Analysis:
• Review Phase 3 trades, segment by:
- Entropy regime at signal (ORDERED vs COMPLEX vs CHAOTIC)
- Lyapunov state (STABLE vs CRITICAL vs CHAOTIC)
- Fractal regime (TRENDING vs RANDOM vs COMPLEX)
Findings (typical patterns):
• Best signals: ORDERED entropy + STABLE lyapunov + TRENDING fractal
• Moderate signals: MODERATE entropy + CRITICAL lyapunov + PERSISTENT fractal
• Avoid: CHAOTIC entropy or CHAOTIC lyapunov (require_stability filter should block these)
Optimization:
• If COMPLEX/CHAOTIC entropy produces losing trades: Consider requiring H < 0.70
• If fractal RANDOM/COMPLEX produces losses: Already filtered by resonance logic
• If certain TE patterns (very negative net_flow) produce losses: Adjust causal_gate logic
Phase 5: Micro Live Testing (Weeks 6-8)
Goal: Validate with minimal capital at risk
Requirements:
• Paper trading shows: WR >48%, PF >1.2, max DD <20%
• Understand complexity metrics intuitively
• Know which regimes work best from Phase 4
Setup:
• 10-20% of intended position size
• Focus on premium emergence signals (★) only initially
• Proper stop placement (1.5-2.0 ATR)
Execution Notes:
• Emergence signals can fire mid-bar as metrics update
• Use alerts for signal detection
• Entry on close of signal bar or next bar open
• DO NOT chase—if price gaps away, skip the trade
Comparison:
• Your live results should track within 10-15% of paper results
• If major divergence: Execution issues (slippage, timing) or parameters changed
Phase 6: Full Deployment (Month 3+)
Goal: Scale to full size over time
Requirements:
• 30+ micro live trades
• Live WR within 10% of paper WR
• Profit factor >1.1 live
• Max drawdown <15%
• Confidence in parameter stability
Progression:
• Months 3-4: 25-40% intended size
• Months 5-6: 40-70% intended size
• Month 7+: 70-100% intended size
Maintenance:
• Weekly dashboard review: Are metrics stable?
• Monthly performance review: Segmented by regime and signal type
• Quarterly parameter check: Has optimal embedding/coherence changed?
Advanced:
• Consider different parameters per session (high vs low volatility)
• Track phase space magnitude patterns before major moves
• Combine with other indicators for confluence
💡 DEVELOPMENT INSIGHTS & KEY BREAKTHROUGHS
The Phase Space Revelation:
Traditional indicators live in price-time space. The breakthrough: markets exist in much higher dimensions (volume, volatility, structure, momentum all orthogonal dimensions). Reading about Takens' theorem—that you can reconstruct any attractor from a single observation using time delays—unlocked the concept. Implementing embedding and seeing trajectories in 5D space revealed hidden structure invisible in price charts. Regions that looked like random noise in 1D became clear limit cycles in 5D.
The Permutation Entropy Discovery:
Calculating Shannon entropy on binned price data was unstable and parameter-sensitive. Discovering Bandt & Pompe's permutation entropy (which uses ordinal patterns) solved this elegantly. PE is robust, fast, and captures temporal structure (not just distribution). Testing showed PE < 0.5 periods had 18% higher signal win rate than PE > 0.7 periods. Entropy regime classification became the backbone of signal filtering.
The Lyapunov Filter Breakthrough:
Early versions signaled during all regimes. Win rate hovered at 42%—barely better than random. The insight: chaos theory distinguishes predictable from unpredictable dynamics. Implementing Lyapunov exponent estimation and blocking signals when λ > 0 (chaotic) increased win rate to 51%. Simply not trading during chaos was worth 9 percentage points—more than any optimization of the signal logic itself.
The Transfer Entropy Challenge:
Correlation between volume and price is easy to calculate but meaningless (bidirectional, could be spurious). Transfer entropy measures actual causal information flow and is directional. The challenge: true TE calculation is computationally expensive (requires discretizing data and estimating high-dimensional joint distributions). The solution: hybrid approach using TE theory combined with lagged cross-correlation and autocorrelation structure. Testing showed TE > 0 signals had 12% higher win rate than TE ≈ 0 signals, confirming causal support matters.
The Phase Coherence Insight:
Initially tried simple correlation between dimensions. Not predictive. Hilbert phase analysis—measuring instantaneous phase of each dimension and calculating phase locking value—revealed hidden synchronization. When PLV > 0.7 across multiple dimension pairs, the market enters a coherent state where all subsystems resonate. These moments have extraordinary predictability because microscopic noise cancels out and macroscopic pattern dominates. Emergence signals require high PLV for this reason.
The Eight-Component Emergence Formula:
Original emergence score used five components (coherence, entropy, lyapunov, fractal, resonance). Performance was good but not exceptional. The "aha" moment: phase space embedding and recurrence quality were being calculated but not contributing to emergence score. Adding these two components (bringing total to eight) with proper weighting increased emergence signal reliability from 52% WR to 58% WR. All calculated metrics must contribute to the final score. If you compute something, use it.
The Cooldown Necessity:
Without cooldown, signals would cluster—5-10 consecutive bars all qualified during high coherence periods, creating chart pollution and overtrading. Implementing bar_index-based cooldown (not time-based, which has rollover bugs) ensures signals only appear at regime entry, not throughout regime persistence. This single change reduced signal count by 60% while keeping win rate constant—massive improvement in signal efficiency.
🚨 LIMITATIONS & CRITICAL ASSUMPTIONS
What This System IS NOT:
• NOT Predictive : NEXUS doesn't forecast prices. It identifies when the market enters a coherent, predictable state—but doesn't guarantee direction or magnitude.
• NOT Holy Grail : Typical performance is 50-58% win rate with 1.5-2.0 avg R-multiple. This is probabilistic edge from complexity analysis, not certainty.
• NOT Universal : Works best on liquid, electronically-traded instruments with reliable volume. Struggles with illiquid stocks, manipulated crypto, or markets without meaningful volume data.
• NOT Real-Time Optimal : Complexity calculations (especially embedding, RQA, fractal dimension) are computationally intensive. Dashboard updates may lag by 1-2 seconds on slower connections.
• NOT Immune to Regime Breaks : System assumes chaos theory applies—that attractors exist and stability zones are meaningful. During black swan events or fundamental market structure changes (regulatory intervention, flash crashes), all bets are off.
Core Assumptions:
1. Markets Have Attractors : Assumes price dynamics are governed by deterministic chaos with underlying attractors. Violation: Pure random walk (efficient market hypothesis holds perfectly).
2. Embedding Captures Dynamics : Assumes Takens' theorem applies—that time-delay embedding reconstructs true phase space. Violation: System dimension vastly exceeds embedding dimension or delay is wildly wrong.
3. Complexity Metrics Are Meaningful : Assumes permutation entropy, Lyapunov exponents, fractal dimensions actually reflect market state. Violation: Markets driven purely by random external news flow (complexity metrics become noise).
4. Causation Can Be Inferred : Assumes transfer entropy approximates causal information flow. Violation: Volume and price spuriously correlated with no causal relationship (rare but possible in manipulated markets).
5. Phase Coherence Implies Predictability : Assumes synchronized dimensions create exploitable patterns. Violation: Coherence by chance during random period (false positive).
6. Historical Complexity Patterns Persist : Assumes if low-entropy, stable-lyapunov periods were tradeable historically, they remain tradeable. Violation: Fundamental regime change (market structure shifts, e.g., transition from floor trading to HFT).
Performs Best On:
• ES, NQ, RTY (major US index futures - high liquidity, clean volume data)
• Major forex pairs: EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/JPY (24hr markets, good for phase analysis)
• Liquid commodities: CL (crude oil), GC (gold), NG (natural gas)
• Large-cap stocks: AAPL, MSFT, GOOGL, TSLA (>$10M daily volume, meaningful structure)
• Major crypto on reputable exchanges: BTC, ETH on Coinbase/Kraken (avoid Binance due to manipulation)
Performs Poorly On:
• Low-volume stocks (<$1M daily volume) - insufficient liquidity for complexity analysis
• Exotic forex pairs - erratic spreads, thin volume
• Illiquid altcoins - wash trading, bot manipulation invalidates volume analysis
• Pre-market/after-hours - gappy, thin, different dynamics
• Binary events (earnings, FDA approvals) - discontinuous jumps violate dynamical systems assumptions
• Highly manipulated instruments - spoofing and layering create false coherence
Known Weaknesses:
• Computational Lag : Complexity calculations require iterating over windows. On slow connections, dashboard may update 1-2 seconds after bar close. Signals may appear delayed.
• Parameter Sensitivity : Small changes to embedding dimension or time delay can significantly alter phase space reconstruction. Requires careful calibration per instrument.
• Embedding Window Requirements : Phase space embedding needs sufficient history—minimum (d × τ × 5) bars. If embedding_dimension=5 and time_delay=3, need 75+ bars. Early bars will be unreliable.
• Entropy Estimation Variance : Permutation entropy with small windows can be noisy. Default window (30 bars) is minimum—longer windows (50+) are more stable but less responsive.
• False Coherence : Phase locking can occur by chance during short periods. Coherence threshold filters most of this, but occasional false positives slip through.
• Chaos Detection Lag : Lyapunov exponent requires window (default 20 bars) to estimate. Market can enter chaos and produce bad signal before λ > 0 is detected. Stability filter helps but doesn't eliminate this.
• Computation Overhead : With all features enabled (embedding, RQA, PE, Lyapunov, fractal, TE, Hilbert), indicator is computationally expensive. On very fast timeframes (tick charts, 1-second charts), may cause performance issues.
⚠️ RISK DISCLOSURE
Trading futures, forex, stocks, options, and cryptocurrencies involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. Leveraged instruments can result in losses exceeding your initial investment. Past performance, whether backtested or live, is not indicative of future results.
The Dimensional Resonance Protocol, including its phase space reconstruction, complexity analysis, and emergence detection algorithms, is provided for educational and research purposes only. It is not financial advice, investment advice, or a recommendation to buy or sell any security or instrument.
The system implements advanced concepts from nonlinear dynamics, chaos theory, and complexity science. These mathematical frameworks assume markets exhibit deterministic chaos—a hypothesis that, while supported by academic research, remains contested. Markets may exhibit purely random behavior (random walk) during certain periods, rendering complexity analysis meaningless.
Phase space embedding via Takens' theorem is a reconstruction technique that assumes sufficient embedding dimension and appropriate time delay. If these parameters are incorrect for a given instrument or timeframe, the reconstructed phase space will not faithfully represent true market dynamics, leading to spurious signals.
Permutation entropy, Lyapunov exponents, fractal dimensions, transfer entropy, and phase coherence are statistical estimates computed over finite windows. All have inherent estimation error. Smaller windows have higher variance (less reliable); larger windows have more lag (less responsive). There is no universally optimal window size.
The stability zone filter (Lyapunov exponent < 0) reduces but does not eliminate risk of signals during unpredictable periods. Lyapunov estimation itself has lag—markets can enter chaos before the indicator detects it.
Emergence detection aggregates eight complexity metrics into a single score. While this multi-dimensional approach is theoretically sound, it introduces parameter sensitivity. Changing any component weight or threshold can significantly alter signal frequency and quality. Users must validate parameter choices on their specific instrument and timeframe.
The causal gate (transfer entropy filter) approximates information flow using discretized data and windowed probability estimates. It cannot guarantee actual causation, only statistical association that resembles causal structure. Causation inference from observational data remains philosophically problematic.
Real trading involves slippage, commissions, latency, partial fills, rejected orders, and liquidity constraints not present in indicator calculations. The indicator provides signals at bar close; actual fills occur with delay and price movement. Signals may appear delayed due to computational overhead of complexity calculations.
Users must independently validate system performance on their specific instruments, timeframes, broker execution environment, and market conditions before risking capital. Conduct extensive paper trading (minimum 100 signals) and start with micro position sizing (5-10% intended size) for at least 50 trades before scaling up.
Never risk more capital than you can afford to lose completely. Use proper position sizing (0.5-2% risk per trade maximum). Implement stop losses on every trade. Maintain adequate margin/capital reserves. Understand that most retail traders lose money. Sophisticated mathematical frameworks do not change this fundamental reality—they systematize analysis but do not eliminate risk.
The developer makes no warranties regarding profitability, suitability, accuracy, reliability, fitness for any particular purpose, or correctness of the underlying mathematical implementations. Users assume all responsibility for their trading decisions, parameter selections, risk management, and outcomes.
By using this indicator, you acknowledge that you have read, understood, and accepted these risk disclosures and limitations, and you accept full responsibility for all trading activity and potential losses.
📁 DOCUMENTATION
The Dimensional Resonance Protocol is fundamentally a statistical complexity analysis framework . The indicator implements multiple advanced statistical methods from academic research:
Permutation Entropy (Bandt & Pompe, 2002): Measures complexity by analyzing distribution of ordinal patterns. Pure statistical concept from information theory.
Recurrence Quantification Analysis : Statistical framework for analyzing recurrence structures in time series. Computes recurrence rate, determinism, and diagonal line statistics.
Lyapunov Exponent Estimation : Statistical measure of sensitive dependence on initial conditions. Estimates exponential divergence rate from windowed trajectory data.
Transfer Entropy (Schreiber, 2000): Information-theoretic measure of directed information flow. Quantifies causal relationships using conditional entropy calculations with discretized probability distributions.
Higuchi Fractal Dimension : Statistical method for measuring self-similarity and complexity using linear regression on logarithmic length scales.
Phase Locking Value : Circular statistics measure of phase synchronization. Computes complex mean of phase differences using circular statistics theory.
The emergence score aggregates eight independent statistical metrics with weighted averaging. The dashboard displays comprehensive statistical summaries: means, variances, rates, distributions, and ratios. Every signal decision is grounded in rigorous statistical hypothesis testing (is entropy low? is lyapunov negative? is coherence above threshold?).
This is advanced applied statistics—not simple moving averages or oscillators, but genuine complexity science with statistical rigor.
Multiple oscillator-type calculations contribute to dimensional analysis:
Phase Analysis: Hilbert transform extracts instantaneous phase (0 to 2π) of four market dimensions (momentum, volume, volatility, structure). These phases function as circular oscillators with phase locking detection.
Momentum Dimension: Rate-of-change (ROC) calculation creates momentum oscillator that gets phase-analyzed and normalized.
Structure Oscillator: Position within range (close - lowest)/(highest - lowest) creates a 0-1 oscillator showing where price sits in recent range. This gets embedded and phase-analyzed.
Dimensional Resonance: Weighted aggregation of momentum, volume, structure, and volatility dimensions creates a -1 to +1 oscillator showing dimensional alignment. Similar to traditional oscillators but multi-dimensional.
The coherence field (background coloring) visualizes an oscillating coherence metric (0-1 range) that ebbs and flows with phase synchronization. The emergence score itself (0-1 range) oscillates between low-emergence and high-emergence states.
While these aren't traditional RSI or stochastic oscillators, they serve similar purposes—identifying extreme states, mean reversion zones, and momentum conditions—but in higher-dimensional space.
Volatility analysis permeates the system:
ATR-Based Calculations: Volatility period (default 14) computes ATR for the volatility dimension. This dimension gets normalized, phase-analyzed, and contributes to emergence score.
Fractal Dimension & Volatility: Higuchi FD measures how "rough" the price trajectory is. Higher FD (>1.6) correlates with higher volatility/choppiness. FD < 1.4 indicates smooth trends (lower effective volatility).
Phase Space Magnitude: The magnitude of the embedding vector correlates with volatility—large magnitude movements in phase space typically accompany volatility expansion. This is the "energy" of the market trajectory.
Lyapunov & Volatility: Positive Lyapunov (chaos) often coincides with volatility spikes. The stability/chaos zones visually indicate when volatility makes markets unpredictable.
Volatility Dimension Normalization: Raw ATR is normalized by its mean and standard deviation, creating a volatility z-score that feeds into dimensional resonance calculation. High normalized volatility contributes to emergence when aligned with other dimensions.
The system is inherently volatility-aware—it doesn't just measure volatility but uses it as a full dimension in phase space reconstruction and treats changing volatility as a regime indicator.
CLOSING STATEMENT
DRP doesn't trade price—it trades phase space structure . It doesn't chase patterns—it detects emergence . It doesn't guess at trends—it measures coherence .
This is complexity science applied to markets: Takens' theorem reconstructs hidden dimensions. Permutation entropy measures order. Lyapunov exponents detect chaos. Transfer entropy reveals causation. Hilbert phases find synchronization. Fractal dimensions quantify self-similarity.
When all eight components align—when the reconstructed attractor enters a stable region with low entropy, synchronized phases, trending fractal structure, causal support, deterministic recurrence, and strong phase space trajectory—the market has achieved dimensional resonance .
These are the highest-probability moments. Not because an indicator said so. Because the mathematics of complex systems says the market has self-organized into a coherent state.
Most indicators see shadows on the wall. DRP reconstructs the cave.
"In the space between chaos and order, where dimensions resonate and entropy yields to pattern—there, emergence calls." DRP
Taking you to school. — Dskyz, Trade with insight. Trade with anticipation.
Alpha V3 proAlpha V3 pro is a custom technical indicator designed specifically for binary options trading. It analyzes market structure, price action behavior, and momentum shifts to generate high-probability buy and sell signals. The indicator filters out noise and focuses on identifying clear market reversals or trend continuations, helping traders take more accurate entries within short-term timeframes. With its optimized signal logic, Alpha V3 aims to provide timely alerts, improved decision-making, and greater consistency for traders looking to capitalize on fast binary option opportunities.
Liquidity Void Zone Detector [PhenLabs]📊 Liquidity Void Zone Detector
Version: PineScript™v6
📌 Description
The Liquidity Void Zone Detector is a sophisticated technical indicator designed to identify and visualize areas where price moved with abnormally low volume or rapid momentum, creating "voids" in market liquidity. These zones represent areas where insufficient trading activity occurred during price movement, often acting as magnets for future price action as the market seeks to fill these gaps.
Built on PineScript v6, this indicator employs a dual-detection methodology that analyzes both volume depletion patterns and price movement intensity relative to ATR. The revolutionary 3D visualization system uses three-layer polyline rendering with adaptive transparency and vertical offsets, creating genuine depth perception where low liquidity zones visually recede and high liquidity zones protrude forward. This makes critical market structure immediately apparent without cluttering your chart.
🚀 Points of Innovation
Dual detection algorithm combining volume threshold analysis and ATR-normalized price movement sensitivity for comprehensive void identification
Three-layer 3D visualization system with progressive transparency gradients (85%, 78%, 70%) and calculated vertical offsets for authentic depth perception
Intelligent state machine logic that tracks consecutive void bars and only renders zones meeting minimum qualification requirements
Dynamic strength scoring system (0-100 scale) that combines inverted volume ratios with movement intensity for accurate void characterization
Adaptive ATR-based spacing calculation that automatically adjusts 3D layering depth to match instrument volatility
Efficient memory management system supporting up to 100 simultaneous void visualizations with automatic array-based cleanup
🔧 Core Components
Volume Analysis Engine: Calculates rolling volume averages and compares current bar volume against dynamic thresholds to detect abnormally thin trading conditions
Price Movement Analyzer: Normalizes bar range against ATR to identify rapid price movements that indicate liquidity exhaustion regardless of instrument or timeframe
Void Tracking State Machine: Maintains persistent tracking of void start bars, price boundaries, consecutive bar counts, and cumulative strength across multiple bars
3D Polyline Renderer: Generates three-layer rectangular polylines with precise timestamp-to-bar index conversion and progressive offset calculations
Strength Calculation System: Combines volume component (inverted ratio capped at 100) with movement component (ATR intensity × 30) for comprehensive void scoring
🔥 Key Features
Automatic Void Detection: Continuously scans price action for low volume conditions or rapid movements, triggering void tracking when thresholds are exceeded
Real-Time Visualization: Creates 3D rectangular zones spanning from void initiation to termination, with color-coded depth indicating liquidity type
Adjustable Sensitivity: Configure volume threshold multiplier (0.1-2.0x), price movement sensitivity (0.5-5.0x), and minimum qualifying bars (1-10) for customized detection
Dual Color Coding: Separate visual treatment for low liquidity voids (receding red) and high liquidity zones (protruding green) based on 50-point strength threshold
Optional Compact Labels: Toggle LV (Low Volume) or HV (High Volume) circular labels at void centers for quick identification without visual clutter
Lookback Period Control: Adjust analysis window from 5 to 100 bars to match your trading timeframe and market volatility characteristics
Memory-Efficient Design: Automatically manages polyline and label arrays, deleting oldest elements when user-defined maximum is reached
Data Window Integration: Plots void detection binary, current strength score, and average volume for detailed analysis in TradingView's data window
🎨 Visualization
Three-Layer Depth System: Each void is rendered as three stacked polylines with progressive transparency (85%, 78%, 70%) and calculated vertical offsets creating authentic 3D appearance
Directional Depth Perception: Low liquidity zones recede with back layer most transparent; high liquidity zones protrude with front layer most transparent for instant visual differentiation
Adaptive Offset Spacing: Vertical separation between layers calculated as ATR(14) × 0.001, ensuring consistent 3D effect across different instruments and volatility regimes
Color Customization: Fully configurable base colors for both low liquidity zones (default: red with 80 transparency) and high liquidity zones (default: green with 80 transparency)
Minimal Chart Clutter: Closed polylines with matching line and fill colors create clean rectangular zones without unnecessary borders or visual noise
Background Highlight: Subtle yellow background (96% transparency) marks bars where void conditions are actively detected in real-time
Compact Labeling: Optional tiny circular labels with 60% transparent backgrounds positioned at void center points for quick reference
📖 Usage Guidelines
Detection Settings
Lookback Period: Default: 10 | Range: 5-100 | Number of bars analyzed for volume averaging and void detection. Lower values increase sensitivity to recent changes; higher values smooth detection across longer timeframes. Adjust based on your trading timeframe: short-term traders use 5-15, swing traders use 20-50, position traders use 50-100.
Volume Threshold: Default: 1.0 | Range: 0.1-2.0 (step 0.1) | Multiplier applied to average volume. Bars with volume below (average × threshold) trigger void conditions. Lower values detect only extreme volume depletion; higher values capture more moderate low-volume situations. Start with 1.0 and decrease to 0.5-0.7 for stricter detection.
Price Movement Sensitivity: Default: 1.5 | Range: 0.5-5.0 (step 0.1) | Multiplier for ATR-normalized price movement detection. Values above this threshold indicate rapid price changes suggesting liquidity voids. Increase to 2.0-3.0 for volatile instruments; decrease to 0.8-1.2 for ranging or low-volatility conditions.
Minimum Void Bars: Default: 10 | Range: 1-10 | Minimum consecutive bars exhibiting void conditions required before visualization is created. Filters out brief anomalies and ensures only sustained voids are displayed. Use 1-3 for scalping, 5-10 for intraday trading, 10+ for swing trading to match your time horizon.
Visual Settings
Low Liquidity Color: Default: Red (80% transparent) | Base color for zones where volume depletion or rapid movement indicates thin liquidity. These zones recede visually (back layer most transparent). Choose colors that contrast with your chart theme for optimal visibility.
High Liquidity Color: Default: Green (80% transparent) | Base color for zones with relatively higher liquidity compared to void threshold. These zones protrude visually (front layer most transparent). Ensure clear differentiation from low liquidity color.
Show Void Labels: Default: True | Toggle display of compact LV/HV labels at void centers. Disable for cleaner charts when trading; enable for analysis and review to quickly identify void types across your chart.
Max Visible Voids: Default: 50 | Range: 10-100 | Maximum number of void visualizations kept on chart. Each void uses 3 polylines, so setting of 50 maintains 150 total polylines. Higher values preserve more history but may impact performance on lower-end systems.
✅ Best Use Cases
Gap Fill Trading: Identify unfilled liquidity voids that price frequently returns to, providing high-probability retest and reversal opportunities when price approaches these zones
Breakout Validation: Distinguish genuine breakouts through established liquidity from false breaks into void zones that lack sustainable volume support
Support/Resistance Confluence: Layer void detection over key horizontal levels to validate structural integrity—levels within high liquidity zones are stronger than those in voids
Trend Continuation: Monitor for new void formation in trend direction as potential continuation zones where price may accelerate due to reduced resistance
Range Trading: Identify void zones within consolidation ranges that price tends to traverse quickly, helping to avoid getting caught in rapid moves through thin areas
Entry Timing: Wait for price to reach void boundaries rather than entering mid-void, as voids tend to be traversed quickly with limited profit-taking opportunities
⚠️ Limitations
Historical Pattern Indicator: Identifies past liquidity voids but cannot predict whether price will return to fill them or when filling might occur
No Volume on Forex: Indicator uses tick volume for forex pairs, which approximates but doesn't represent true trading volume, potentially affecting detection accuracy
Lagging Confirmation: Requires minimum consecutive bars (default 10) before void is visualized, meaning detection occurs after void formation begins
Trending Market Behavior: Strong trends driven by fundamental catalysts may create voids that remain unfilled for extended periods or permanently
Timeframe Dependency: Detection sensitivity varies significantly across timeframes; settings optimized for one timeframe may not perform well on others
No Directional Bias: Indicator identifies liquidity characteristics but provides no predictive signal for price direction after void detection
Performance Considerations: Higher max visible void settings combined with small minimum void bars can generate numerous visualizations impacting chart rendering speed
💡 What Makes This Unique
Industry-First 3D Visualization: Unlike flat volume or liquidity indicators, the three-layer rendering with directional depth perception provides instant visual hierarchy of liquidity quality
Dual-Mode Detection: Combines both volume-based and movement-based detection methodologies, capturing voids that single-approach indicators miss
Intelligent Qualification System: State machine logic prevents premature visualization by requiring sustained void conditions, reducing false signals and chart clutter
ATR-Normalized Analysis: All detection thresholds adapt to instrument volatility, ensuring consistent performance across stocks, forex, crypto, and futures without constant recalibration
Transparency-Based Depth: Uses progressive transparency gradients rather than colors or patterns to create depth, maintaining visual clarity while conveying information hierarchy
Comprehensive Strength Metrics: 0-100 void strength calculation considers both the degree of volume depletion and the magnitude of price movement for nuanced zone characterization
🔬 How It Works
Phase 1: Real-Time Detection
On each bar close, the indicator calculates average volume over the lookback period and compares current bar volume against the volume threshold multiplier
Simultaneously measures current bar's high-low range and normalizes it against ATR, comparing the result to price movement sensitivity parameter
If either volume falls below threshold OR movement exceeds sensitivity threshold, the bar is flagged as exhibiting void characteristics
Phase 2: Void Tracking & Qualification
When void conditions first appear, state machine initializes tracking variables: start bar index, initial top/bottom prices, consecutive bar counter, and cumulative strength accumulator
Each subsequent bar with void conditions extends the tracking, updating price boundaries to envelope all bars and accumulating strength scores
When void conditions cease, system checks if consecutive bar count meets minimum threshold; if yes, proceeds to visualization; if no, discards the tracking and resets
Phase 3: 3D Visualization Construction
Calculates average void strength by dividing cumulative strength by number of bars, then determines if void is low liquidity (>50 strength) or high liquidity (≤50 strength)
Generates three polyline layers spanning from start bar to end bar and from top price to bottom price, each with calculated vertical offset based on ATR
Applies progressive transparency (85%, 78%, 70%) with layer ordering creating recession effect for low liquidity zones and protrusion effect for high liquidity zones
Creates optional center label and pushes all visual elements into arrays for memory management
Phase 4: Memory Management & Display
Continuously monitors polyline array size (each void creates 3 polylines); when total exceeds max visible voids × 3, deletes oldest polylines via array.shift()
Similarly manages label array, removing oldest labels when count exceeds maximum to prevent memory accumulation over extended chart history
Plots diagnostic data to TradingView’s data window (void detection binary, current strength, average volume) for detailed analysis without cluttering main chart
💡 Note:
This indicator is designed to enhance your market structure analysis by revealing liquidity characteristics that aren’t visible through standard price and volume displays. For best results, combine void detection with your existing support/resistance analysis, trend identification, and risk management framework. Liquidity voids are descriptive of past market behavior and should inform positioning decisions rather than serve as standalone entry/exit signals. Experiment with detection parameters across different timeframes to find settings that align with your trading style and instrument characteristics.
Quantum Flux Universal Strategy Summary in one paragraph
Quantum Flux Universal is a regime switching strategy for stocks, ETFs, index futures, major FX pairs, and liquid crypto on intraday and swing timeframes. It helps you act only when the normalized core signal and its guide agree on direction. It is original because the engine fuses three adaptive drivers into the smoothing gains itself. Directional intensity is measured with binary entropy, path efficiency shapes trend quality, and a volatility squash preserves contrast. Add it to a clean chart, watch the polarity lane and background, and trade from positive or negative alignment. For conservative workflows use on bar close in the alert settings when you add alerts in a later version.
Scope and intent
• Markets. Large cap equities and ETFs. Index futures. Major FX pairs. Liquid crypto
• Timeframes. One minute to daily
• Default demo used in the publication. QQQ on one hour
• Purpose. Provide a robust and portable way to detect when momentum and confirmation align, while dampening chop and preserving turns
• Limits. This is a strategy. Orders are simulated on standard candles only
Originality and usefulness
• Unique concept or fusion. The novelty sits in the gain map. Instead of gating separate indicators, the model mixes three drivers into the adaptive gains that power two one pole filters. Directional entropy measures how one sided recent movement has been. Kaufman style path efficiency scores how direct the path has been. A volatility squash stabilizes step size. The drivers are blended into the gains with visible inputs for strength, windows, and clamps.
• What failure mode it addresses. False starts in chop and whipsaw after fast spikes. Efficiency and the squash reduce over reaction in noise.
• Testability. Every component has an input. You can lengthen or shorten each window and change the normalization mode. The polarity plot and background provide a direct readout of state.
• Portable yardstick. The core is normalized with three options. Z score, percent rank mapped to a symmetric range, and MAD based Z score. Clamp bounds define the effective unit so context transfers across symbols.
Method overview in plain language
The strategy computes two smoothed tracks from the chart price source. The fast track and the slow track use gains that are not fixed. Each gain is modulated by three drivers. A driver for directional intensity, a driver for path efficiency, and a driver for volatility. The difference between the fast and the slow tracks forms the raw flux. A small phase assist reduces lag by subtracting a portion of the delayed value. The flux is then normalized. A guide line is an EMA of a small lead on the flux. When the flux and its guide are both above zero, the polarity is positive. When both are below zero, the polarity is negative. Polarity changes create the trade direction.
Base measures
• Return basis. The step is the change in the chosen price source. Its absolute value feeds the volatility estimate. Mean absolute step over the window gives a stable scale.
• Efficiency basis. The ratio of net move to the sum of absolute step over the window gives a value between zero and one. High values mean trend quality. Low values mean chop.
• Intensity basis. The fraction of up moves over the window plugs into binary entropy. Intensity is one minus entropy, which maps to zero in uncertainty and one in very one sided moves.
Components
• Directional Intensity. Measures how one sided recent bars have been. Smoothed with RMA. More intensity increases the gain and makes the fast and slow tracks react sooner.
• Path Efficiency. Measures the straightness of the price path. A gamma input shapes the curve so you can make trend quality count more or less. Higher efficiency lifts the gain in clean trends.
• Volatility Squash. Normalizes the absolute step with Z score then pushes it through an arctangent squash. This caps the effect of spikes so they do not dominate the response.
• Normalizer. Three modes. Z score for familiar units, percent rank for a robust monotone map to a symmetric range, and MAD based Z for outlier resistance.
• Guide Line. EMA of the flux with a small lead term that counteracts lag without heavy overshoot.
Fusion rule
• Weighted sum of the three drivers with fixed weights visible in the code comments. Intensity has fifty percent weight. Efficiency thirty percent. Volatility twenty percent.
• The blend power input scales the driver mix. Zero means fixed spans. One means full driver control.
• Minimum and maximum gain clamps bound the adaptive gain. This protects stability in quiet or violent regimes.
Signal rule
• Long suggestion appears when flux and guide are both above zero. That sets polarity to plus one.
• Short suggestion appears when flux and guide are both below zero. That sets polarity to minus one.
• When polarity flips from plus to minus, the strategy closes any long and enters a short.
• When flux crosses above the guide, the strategy closes any short.
What you will see on the chart
• White polarity plot around the zero line
• A dotted reference line at zero named Zen
• Green background tint for positive polarity and red background tint for negative polarity
• Strategy long and short markers placed by the TradingView engine at entry and at close conditions
• No table in this version to keep the visual clean and portable
Inputs with guidance
Setup
• Price source. Default ohlc4. Stable for noisy symbols.
• Fast span. Typical range 6 to 24. Raising it slows the fast track and can reduce churn. Lowering it makes entries more reactive.
• Slow span. Typical range 20 to 60. Raising it lengthens the baseline horizon. Lowering it brings the slow track closer to price.
Logic
• Guide span. Typical range 4 to 12. A small guide smooths without eating turns.
• Blend power. Typical range 0.25 to 0.85. Raising it lets the drivers modulate gains more. Lowering it pushes behavior toward fixed EMA style smoothing.
• Vol window. Typical range 20 to 80. Larger values calm the volatility driver. Smaller values adapt faster in intraday work.
• Efficiency window. Typical range 10 to 60. Larger values focus on smoother trends. Smaller values react faster but accept more noise.
• Efficiency gamma. Typical range 0.8 to 2.0. Above one increases contrast between clean trends and chop. Below one flattens the curve.
• Min alpha multiplier. Typical range 0.30 to 0.80. Lower values increase smoothing when the mix is weak.
• Max alpha multiplier. Typical range 1.2 to 3.0. Higher values shorten smoothing when the mix is strong.
• Normalization window. Typical range 100 to 300. Larger values reduce drift in the baseline.
• Normalization mode. Z score, percent rank, or MAD Z. Use MAD Z for outlier heavy symbols.
• Clamp level. Typical range 2.0 to 4.0. Lower clamps reduce the influence of extreme runs.
Filters
• Efficiency filter is implicit in the gain map. Raising efficiency gamma and the efficiency window increases the preference for clean trends.
• Micro versus macro relation is handled by the fast and slow spans. Increase separation for swing, reduce for scalping.
• Location filter is not included in v1.0. If you need distance gates from a reference such as VWAP or a moving mean, add them before publication of a new version.
Alerts
• This version does not include alertcondition lines to keep the core minimal. If you prefer alerts, add names Long Polarity Up, Short Polarity Down, Exit Short on Flux Cross Up in a later version and select on bar close for conservative workflows.
Strategy has been currently adapted for the QQQ asset with 30/60min timeframe.
For other assets may require new optimization
Properties visible in this publication
• Initial capital 25000
• Base currency Default
• Default order size method percent of equity with value 5
• Pyramiding 1
• Commission 0.05 percent
• Slippage 10 ticks
• Process orders on close ON
• Bar magnifier ON
• Recalculate after order is filled OFF
• Calc on every tick OFF
Honest limitations and failure modes
• Past results do not guarantee future outcomes
• Economic releases, circuit breakers, and thin books can break the assumptions behind intensity and efficiency
• Gap heavy symbols may benefit from the MAD Z normalization
• Very quiet regimes can reduce signal contrast. Use longer windows or higher guide span to stabilize context
• Session time is the exchange time of the chart
• If both stop and target can be hit in one bar, tie handling would matter. This strategy has no fixed stops or targets. It uses polarity flips for exits. If you add stops later, declare the preference
Open source reuse and credits
• None beyond public domain building blocks and Pine built ins such as EMA, SMA, standard deviation, RMA, and percent rank
• Method and fusion are original in construction and disclosure
Legal
Education and research only. Not investment advice. You are responsible for your decisions. Test on historical data and in simulation before any live use. Use realistic costs.
Strategy add on block
Strategy notice
Orders are simulated by the TradingView engine on standard candles. No request.security() calls are used.
Entries and exits
• Entry logic. Enter long when both the normalized flux and its guide line are above zero. Enter short when both are below zero
• Exit logic. When polarity flips from plus to minus, close any long and open a short. When the flux crosses above the guide line, close any short
• Risk model. No initial stop or target in v1.0. The model is a regime flipper. You can add a stop or trail in later versions if needed
• Tie handling. Not applicable in this version because there are no fixed stops or targets
Position sizing
• Percent of equity in the Properties panel. Five percent is the default for examples. Risk per trade should not exceed five to ten percent of equity. One to two percent is a common choice
Properties used on the published chart
• Initial capital 25000
• Base currency Default
• Default order size percent of equity with value 5
• Pyramiding 1
• Commission 0.05 percent
• Slippage 10 ticks
• Process orders on close ON
• Bar magnifier ON
• Recalculate after order is filled OFF
• Calc on every tick OFF
Dataset and sample size
• Test window Jan 2, 2014 to Oct 16, 2025 on QQQ one hour
• Trade count in sample 324 on the example chart
Release notes template for future updates
Version 1.1.
• Add alertcondition lines for long, short, and exit short
• Add optional table with component readouts
• Add optional stop model with a distance unit expressed as ATR or a percent of price
Notes. Backward compatibility Yes. Inputs migrated Yes.
Continuation Index [DCAUT]█ Continuation Index
📊 OVERVIEW
Continuation Index (CI) is an advanced trend analysis indicator developed by John F. Ehlers. This indicator provides early warning signals for trend onset, continuation, and exhaustion, with values oscillating between -1 and +1 to offer clear trend state identification for traders.
Based on the article TASC 2025.09 "Trend Onset And Trend Exhaustion - The Continuation Index" by John F. Ehlers.
💡 CORE VALUE
Unlike traditional trend indicators, the Continuation Index provides:
- Advanced dual-filter architecture (Ultimate Smoother + Laguerre Filter)
- Inverse Fisher Transform for enhanced signal-to-noise ratio
- Adaptive gamma parameter allowing market-specific tuning
- Binary state output (+1/-1) eliminating interpretation ambiguity
🎯 CONCEPTS
Signal Interpretation
CI > 0.5 : Strong bullish trend continuation - consider holding/adding long positions
CI = +1 : Maximum bullish signal - strong uptrend in progress
CI < -0.5 : Strong bearish trend continuation - consider holding/adding short positions
CI = -1 : Maximum bearish signal - strong downtrend in progress
CI near 0 : Neutral zone - trend uncertain, wait for clear signals
Brief pullbacks from extreme states : Potential reentry opportunities in trend direction
Primary Applications
Trend Onset Detection : Early warning signals for trend initiation
Trend Exhaustion Signals : Identify potential trend reversals
Position Management : Clear binary states for entry/exit decisions
Market Timing : Adaptive filtering reduces false signals
📋 PARAMETER SETUP
Source : Data source for calculation (default: close)
Length : The calculation length for the filters (default: 40, min: 1)
Gamma : Controls the phase response of the Laguerre filter. Smaller values increase responsiveness (default: 0.8, range: 0.0-1.0)
Laguerre Order : The order of the Laguerre filter, which directly affects its lag (default: 8, range: 1-10)
📊 COLOR CODING
Green : CI > 0.5 - Bullish trend continuation
Red : CI < -0.5 - Bearish trend continuation
Gray : Neutral zone - Trend unclear
[DEM] Multiple Linear Regression Score Multiple Linear Regression Score is a composite momentum indicator that evaluates market conditions by analyzing a reference symbol (defaulting to NDX) across multiple technical dimensions and combining them into a single predictive score. The indicator processes ten different technical variables including RSI, MACD components (line, signal, and histogram), price relationships to various moving averages (10, 50, 100, 200), and short-term price changes (1-day and 5-day), converting most into binary signals (1 or 0) based on whether they're above or below zero. These binary and continuous inputs are then weighted using regression-derived coefficients and combined into a final percentage score that oscillates around zero, with the indicator also calculating a 20-period standard deviation of the score to measure volatility. This approach creates a data-driven sentiment gauge that quantifies the overall technical health of the reference market by mathematically weighting the importance of each technical factor based on historical relationships.
Options Trading Max Success_V1DISCLAIMER:
The information provided is NOT financial advice. I am not a financial adviser, accountant or the like. This information is purely from my own due diligence and an expression of my thoughts, my opinions based on my personal experiences, and the way I transact.
Utilize this indicator at your own risk..! The indicator creator is not liable for your loss due to untimely action / adverse consequences / server lags from Tradingview (if any).
======================================================
Welcome!
This is a 95-100% Success rate High Frequency Indicator exclusively for Binary Options Traders. It works on any time frames and pairs but is EXCLUSIVELY built for 1-minute candles for EUR/USD currency on "OANDA" forex chart. So, use it for same to get this indicator working at its best.
Use Martingale strategy (5 attempts max) for making profits / recover loss with some profits.
======================
Martingale Strategy For your knowledge with an example:
1) Lets say you are trading on binary options platform that gives 80% profit upon successful trade.
2) UP signal seen. You do the below from next candle:
a) 1st attempt = Rs.100.
- If Success, then profit = Rs.80. Cycle close and exit.
- If Loss, then do 2nd attempt.
b) 2nd attempt =Rs.200.
- If Success, then profit = Rs.160. (Rs. 100 recovery + Rs.60 Profit). Cycle close and exit.
- If Loss, then do 3rd attempt.
c) 3rd attempt = Rs. 400.
- If Success, then profit = Rs.320. (Rs. 300 recovery + Rs.20 Profit). Cycle close and exit.
- If Loss, then do 4th attempt.. and so on.
=======================
If you see any body less/Doji candle in between your attempts. Then do not continue further.
Hold this cycle for next similar stage. For example:
Select chart which promises: Success = 80% profit.
Then attempt the below on the next candle AFTER you see an UP signal.
Cycle 1: UP signal seen. 5 attempts from next candle:
Let's say:
1st attempt = Rs.100. Result = loss
2nd attempt =Rs.200. Result = loss
3rd attempt = Rs.400. Result = No profit/loss (due to Doji candle/candle without body).
Recommendation: Do not proceed further in current cycle. Hold on for next cycle/UP signal.
Park Rs.400 rupees attempt aside for a while.
Cycle 2: UP signal seen. 5 attempts from next candle:
Let's say:
1st attempt = Rs.100. Result = loss
2nd attempt =Rs.200. Result = Success
Cycle Completed. Wait for next cycle/Up signal
Cycle 3: UP signal seen. 5 attempts from next candle:
Let's say:
1st attempt = Rs.100. Result = loss
2nd attempt =Rs.200. Result = loss
3rd attempt = Now you can attempt with Rs. 800.
.
=====================
Recommendations:
- Keep a good discipline and make smart moves.
- You may add other supporting indicators of your choice along with this.
- You can keep your trading attempts low i.e. After you see an UP signal, let go the 1st one/two/three candles. If they turn out to be Red candles back to back, then good for you, as you can start entry of attempts from the 2nd/3rd/4th candle. Thereby evading one/two/three few failed attempts. If any candle gets green After Up signal and before your entry, then do not enter this cycle. Wait for next cycle.
Good luck.
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Dip Hunter [BackQuant]Dip Hunter
What this tool does in plain language
Dip Hunter is a pullback detector designed to find high quality buy-the-dip opportunities inside healthy trends and to avoid random knife catches. It watches for a quick drop from a recent high, checks that the drop happened with meaningful participation and volatility, verifies short-term weakness inside a larger uptrend, then scores the setup and paints the chart so you can act with confidence. It also draws clean entry lines, provides a meter that shows dip strength at a glance, and ships with alerts that match common execution workflows.
How Dip Hunter thinks
It defines a recent swing reference, measures how far price has dipped off that high, and only looks at candidates that meet your minimum percentage drop.
It confirms the dip with real activity by requiring a volume spike and a volatility spike.
It checks structure with two EMAs. Price should be weak in the short term while the larger context remains constructive.
It optionally requires a higher-timeframe trend to be up so you focus on pullbacks in trending markets.
It bundles those checks into a score and shows you the score on the candles and on a gradient meter.
When everything lines up it paints a green triangle below the bar, shades the background, and (if you wish) draws a horizontal entry line at your chosen level.
Inputs and what they mean
Dip Hunter Settings
• Vol Lookback and Vol Spike : The script computes an average volume over the lookback window and flags a spike when current volume is a multiple of that average. A multiplier of 2.0 means today’s volume must be at least double the average. This helps filter noise and focuses on dips that other traders actually traded.
• Fast EMA and Slow EMA : Short-term and medium-term structure references. A dip is more credible if price closes below the fast EMA while the fast EMA is still below the slow EMA during the pullback. That is classic corrective behavior inside a larger trend.
• Price Smooth : Optional smoothing length for price-derived series. Use this if you trade very noisy assets or low timeframes.
• Volatility Len and Vol Spike (volatility) : The script checks both standard deviation and true range against their own averages. If either expands beyond your multiplier the market confirms the move with range.
• Dip % and Lookback Bars : The engine finds the highest high over the lookback window, then computes the percentage drawdown from that high to the current close. Only dips larger than your threshold qualify.
Trend Filter
• Enable Trend Filter : When on, Dip Hunter will only trigger if the market is in an uptrend.
• Trend EMA Period : The longer EMA that defines the session’s backbone trend.
• Minimum Trend Strength : A small positive slope requirement. In practice this means the trend EMA should be rising, and price should be above it. You can raise the value to be more selective.
Entries
• Show Entry Lines : Draws a horizontal guide from the signal bar for a fixed number of bars. Great for limit orders, scaling, or re-tests.
• Line Length (bars) : How far the entry guide extends.
• Min Gap (bars) : Suppresses new entry lines if another dip fired recently. Prevents clutter during choppy sequences.
• Entry Price : Choose the line level. “Low” anchors at the signal candle’s low. “Close” anchors at the signal close. “Dip % Level” anchors at the theoretical level defined by recent_high × (1 − dip%). This lets you work resting orders at a consistent discount.
Heat / Meter
• Color Bars by Score : Colors each candle using a red→white→green gradient. Red is overheated, green is prime dip territory, white is neutral.
• Show Meter Table : Adds a compact gradient strip with a pointer that tracks the current score.
• Meter Cells and Meter Position : Resolution and placement of the meter.
UI Settings
• Show Dip Signals : Plots green triangles under qualifying bars and tints the background very lightly.
• Show EMAs : Plots fast, slow, and the trend EMA (if the trend filter is enabled).
• Bullish, Bearish, Neutral colors : Theme controls for shapes, fills, and bar painting.
Core calculations explained simply
Recent high and dip percent
The script finds the highest high over Lookback Bars , calls it “recent high,” then calculates:
dip% = (recent_high − close) ÷ recent_high × 100.
If dip% is larger than Dip % , condition one passes.
Volume confirmation
It computes a simple moving average of volume over Vol Lookback . If current volume ÷ average volume > Vol Spike , we have a participation spike. It also checks 5-bar ROC of volume. If ROC > 50 the spike is forceful. This gets an extra score point.
Volatility confirmation
Two independent checks:
• Standard deviation of closes vs its own average.
• True range vs ATR.
If either expands beyond Vol Spike (volatility) the move has range. This prevents false triggers from quiet drifts.
Short-term structure
Price should close below the Fast EMA and the fast EMA should be below the Slow EMA at the moment of the dip. That is the anatomy of a pullback rather than a full breakdown.
Macro trend context (optional)
When Enable Trend Filter is on, the Trend EMA must be rising and price must be above it. The logic prefers “micro weakness inside macro strength” which is the highest probability pattern for buying dips.
Signal formation
A valid dip requires:
• dip% > threshold
• volume spike true
• volatility spike true
• close below fast EMA
• fast EMA below slow EMA
If the trend filter is enabled, a rising trend EMA with price above it is also required. When all true, the triangle prints, the background tints, and optional entry lines are drawn.
Scoring and visuals
Binary checks into a continuous score
Each component contributes to a score between 0 and 1. The script then rescales to a centered range (−50 to +50).
• Low or negative scores imply “overheated” conditions and are shaded toward red.
• High positive scores imply “ripe for a dip buy” conditions and are shaded toward green.
• The gradient meter repeats the same logic, with a pointer so you can read the state quickly.
Bar coloring
If you enable “Color Bars by Score,” each candle inherits the gradient. This makes sequences obvious. Red clusters warn you not to buy. White means neutral. Increasing green suggests the pullback is maturing.
EMAs and the trend EMA
• Fast EMA turns down relative to the slow EMA inside the pullback.
• Trend EMA stays rising and above price once the dip exhausts, which is your cue to focus on long setups rather than bottom fishing in downtrends.
Entry lines
When a fresh signal fires and no other signal happened within Min Gap (bars) , the indicator draws a horizontal level for Line Length bars. Use these lines for limit entries at the low, at the close, or at the defined dip-percent level. This keeps your plan consistent across instruments.
Alerts and what they mean
• Market Overheated : Score is deeply negative. Do not chase. Wait for green.
• Close To A Dip : Score has reached a healthy level but the full signal did not trigger yet. Prepare orders.
• Dip Confirmed : First bar of a fresh validated dip. This is the most direct entry alert.
• Dip Active : The dip condition remains valid. You can scale in on re-tests.
• Dip Fading : Score crosses below 0.5 from above. Momentum of the setup is fading. Tighten stops or take partials.
• Trend Blocked Signal : All dip conditions passed but the trend filter is offside. Either reduce risk or skip, depending on your plan.
How to trade with Dip Hunter
Classic pullback in uptrend
Turn on the trend filter.
Watch for a Dip Confirmed alert with green triangle.
Use the entry line at “Dip % Level” to stage a limit order. This keeps your entries consistent across assets and timeframes.
Initial stop under the signal bar’s low or under the next lower EMA band.
First target at prior swing high, second target at a multiple of risk.
If you use partials, trail the remainder under the fast EMA once price reclaims it.
Aggressive intraday scalps
Lower Dip % and Lookback Bars so you catch shallow flags.
Keep Vol Spike meaningful so you only trade when participation appears.
Take quick partials when price reclaims the fast EMA, then exit on Dip Fading if momentum stalls.
Counter-trend probes
Disable the trend filter if you intentionally hunt reflex bounces in downtrends.
Require strong volume and volatility confirmation.
Use smaller size and faster targets. The meter should move quickly from red toward white and then green. If it does not, step aside.
Risk management templates
Stops
• Conservative: below the entry line minus a small buffer or below the signal bar’s low.
• Structural: below the slow EMA if you aim for swing continuation.
• Time stop: if price does not reclaim the fast EMA within N bars, exit.
Position sizing
Use the distance between the entry line and your structural stop to size consistently. The script’s entry lines make this distance obvious.
Scaling
• Scale at the entry line first touch.
• Add only if the meter stays green and price reclaims the fast EMA.
• Stop adding on a Dip Fading alert.
Tuning guide by market and timeframe
Equities daily
• Dip %: 1.5 to 3.0
• Lookback Bars: 5 to 10
• Vol Spike: 1.5 to 2.5
• Volatility Len: 14 to 20
• Trend EMA: 100 or 200
• Keep trend filter on for a cleaner list.
Futures and FX intraday
• Dip %: 0.4 to 1.2
• Lookback Bars: 3 to 7
• Vol Spike: 1.8 to 3.0
• Volatility Len: 10 to 14
• Use Min Gap to avoid clusters during news.
Crypto
• Dip %: 3.0 to 6.0 for majors on higher timeframes, lower on 15m to 1h
• Lookback Bars: 5 to 12
• Vol Spike: 1.8 to 3.0
• ATR and stdev checks help in erratic sessions.
Reading the chart at a glance
• Green triangle below the bar: a validated dip.
• Light green background: the current bar meets the full condition.
• Bar gradient: red is overheated, white is neutral, green is dip-friendly.
• EMAs: fast below slow during the pullback, then reclaim fast EMA on the bounce for quality continuation.
• Trend EMA: a rising spine when the filter is on.
• Entry line: a fixed level to anchor orders and risk.
• Meter pointer: right side toward “Dip” means conditions are maturing.
Why this combination reduces false positives
Any single criterion will trigger too often. Dip Hunter demands a dip off a recent high plus a volume surge plus a volatility expansion plus corrective EMA structure. Optional trend alignment pushes odds further in your favor. The score and meter visualize how many of these boxes you are actually ticking, which is more reliable than a binary dot.
Limitations and practical tips
• Thin or illiquid symbols can spoof volume spikes. Use larger Vol Lookback or raise Vol Spike .
• Sideways markets will show frequent small dips. Increase Dip % or keep the trend filter on.
• News candles can blow through entry lines. Widen stops or skip around known events.
• If you see many back-to-back triangles, raise Min Gap to keep only the best setups.
Quick setup recipes
• Clean swing trader: Trend filter on, Dip % 2.0 to 3.0, Vol Spike 2.0, Volatility Len 14, Fast 20 EMA, Slow 50 EMA, Trend 100 EMA.
• Fast intraday scalper: Trend filter off, Dip % 0.7 to 1.0, Vol Spike 2.5, Volatility Len 10, Fast 9 EMA, Slow 21 EMA, Min Gap 10 bars.
• Crypto swing: Trend filter on, Dip % 4.0, Vol Spike 2.0, Volatility Len 14, Fast 20 EMA, Slow 50 EMA, Trend 200 EMA.
Summary
Dip Hunter is a focused pullback engine. It quantifies a real dip off a recent high, validates it with volume and volatility expansion, enforces corrective structure with EMAs, and optionally restricts signals to an uptrend. The score, bar gradient, and meter make reading conditions instant. Entry lines and alerts turn that read into an executable plan. Tune the thresholds to your market and timeframe, then let the tool keep you patient in red, selective in white, and decisive in green.
