Sunil 2 Bar Breakout StrategyDetailed Explanation of the Sunil 2 Bar Breakout Strategy
Introduction
The Sunil 2 Bar Breakout Strategy is a simple yet effective price-action-based approach designed to identify breakout opportunities in financial markets. This strategy analyzes the movement of the last three candles to detect momentum and initiates trades in the direction of the breakout. It is equipped with a built-in stop-loss mechanism to protect capital, making it suitable for traders looking for a structured and disciplined trading system.
The strategy works well across different timeframes and asset classes, including indices, stocks, forex, and cryptocurrencies. Its versatility makes it ideal for both intraday and swing trading.
Core Concept
The strategy revolves around two primary conditions: breakout identification and risk management.
Breakout Identification:
Long Trade Setup: The strategy identifies bullish breakouts when:
The current candle's closing price is higher than the previous candle's closing price.
The high of the previous candle is greater than the highs of the two candles before it.
Short Trade Setup: The strategy identifies bearish breakouts when:
The current candle's closing price is lower than the previous candle's closing price.
The low of the previous candle is lower than the lows of the two candles before it.
Risk Management:
Stop-Loss: For each trade, a stop-loss is automatically set:
For long trades, the stop-loss is set to the low of the previous candle.
For short trades, the stop-loss is set to the high of the previous candle.
This ensures that losses are minimized if the breakout fails.
Exit Logic:
The trade is closed automatically when the stop-loss is hit.
This approach maintains discipline and prevents emotional trading.
Strategy Workflow
Entry Criteria:
Long Entry: A long trade is triggered when:
The current close is greater than the previous close.
The high of the previous candle exceeds the highs of the two candles before it.
Short Entry: A short trade is triggered when:
The current close is less than the previous close.
The low of the previous candle is below the lows of the two candles before it.
Stop-Loss Placement:
For long trades, the stop-loss is set at the low of the previous candle.
For short trades, the stop-loss is set at the high of the previous candle.
Trade Management:
Trades are exited automatically if the stop-loss level is hit.
The strategy avoids re-entering trades until new breakout conditions are met.
Default Settings
Position Sizing:
The default position size is set to 1% of the account equity. This ensures proper risk management and prevents overexposure to the market.
Stop-Loss:
Stop-loss levels are automatically calculated based on the previous candle’s high or low.
Timeframes:
The strategy is versatile and works across multiple timeframes. However, it is recommended to test it on 15-minute, 1-hour, and daily charts for optimal performance.
Key Features
Automated Trade Execution:
The strategy handles both trade entry and exit automatically based on pre-defined conditions.
Built-In Risk Management:
The automatic stop-loss placement ensures losses are minimized on failed breakouts.
Works Across Markets:
The strategy is compatible with a wide range of instruments, including indices, stocks, forex, and cryptocurrencies.
Clear Signals:
Entry and exit points are straightforward and based on objective conditions, reducing ambiguity.
Versatility:
Can be used for both day trading and swing trading, depending on the chosen timeframe.
Best Practices for Using This Strategy
Backtesting:
Test the strategy on your chosen instrument and timeframe using TradingView's Strategy Tester to evaluate its performance.
Market Conditions:
The strategy performs best in trending markets or during periods of high volatility. Avoid using it in range-bound or choppy markets.
Position Sizing:
Use the default position size (1% of equity) or adjust based on your risk tolerance and account size.
Instrument Selection:
Focus on instruments with good liquidity and volatility, such as indices (e.g., NIFTY, BANKNIFTY), forex pairs, or major cryptocurrencies (e.g., Bitcoin, Ethereum).
Potential Enhancements
To make the strategy even more robust, consider adding the following optional features:
Stop-Loss Multiplier:
Allow users to customize the stop-loss distance as a multiple of the default level (e.g., 1.5x the low or high of the previous candle).
Take-Profit Levels:
Add user-defined take-profit levels, such as a fixed risk-reward ratio (e.g., 1:2).
Time Filter:
Include an option to restrict trading to specific market hours (e.g., avoid low-liquidity times).
Conclusion
The Sunil 2 Bar Breakout Strategy is an excellent tool for traders looking to capitalize on breakout opportunities while maintaining disciplined risk management. Its simplicity, combined with its effectiveness, makes it suitable for traders of all experience levels. By adhering to the clearly defined rules, traders can achieve consistent results while avoiding emotional trading decisions.
This strategy is a reliable addition to any trader’s toolbox and is designed to work seamlessly across different market conditions and instruments.
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Multi-Band Comparison Strategy (CRYPTO)Multi-Band Comparison Strategy (CRYPTO)
Optimized for Cryptocurrency Trading
This Pine Script strategy is built from the ground up for traders who want to take advantage of cryptocurrency volatility using a confluence of advanced statistical bands. The strategy layers Bollinger Bands, Quantile Bands, and a unique Power-Law Band to map out crucial support/resistance zones. It then focuses on a Trigger Line—the lower standard deviation band of the upper quantile—to pinpoint precise entry and exit signals.
Key Features
Bollinger Band Overlay
The upper Bollinger Band visually shifts to yellow when price exceeds it, turning black otherwise. This offers a straightforward way to gauge heightened momentum or potential market slowdowns.
Quantile & Power-Law Integration
The script calculates upper and lower quantile bands to assess probabilistic price extremes.
A Power-Law Band is also available to measure historically significant return levels, providing further insight into overbought or oversold conditions in fast-moving crypto markets.
Standard Deviation Trigger
The lower standard deviation band of the upper quantile acts as the strategy’s trigger. If price consistently holds above this line, the strategy interprets it as a strong bullish signal (“green” zone). Conversely, dipping below indicates a “red” zone, signaling potential reversals or exits.
Consecutive Bar Confirmation
To reduce choppy signals, you can fine-tune the number of consecutive bars required to confirm an entry or exit. This helps filter out noise and false breaks—critical in the often-volatile crypto realm.
Adaptive for Multiple Timeframes
Whether you’re scalping on a 5-minute chart or swing trading on daily candles, the strategy’s flexible confirmation and overlay options cater to different market conditions and trading styles.
Complete Plot Customization
Easily toggle visibility of each band or line—Bollinger, Quantile, Power-Law, and more.
Built-in Simple and Exponential Moving Averages can be enabled to further contextualize market trends.
Why It Excels at Crypto
Cryptocurrencies are known for rapid price swings, and this strategy addresses exactly that by combining multiple statistical methods. The quantile-based confirmation reduces noise, while Bollinger and Power-Law bands help highlight breakout regions in trending markets. Traders have reported that it works seamlessly across various coins and tokens, adapting its triggers to each asset’s unique volatility profile.
Give it a try on your favorite cryptocurrency pairs. With advanced data handling, crisp visual cues, and adjustable confirmation logic, the Multi-Band Comparison Strategy provides a robust framework to capture profitable moves and mitigate risk in the ever-evolving crypto space.
Sunil High-Frequency Strategy with Simple MACD & RSISunil High-Frequency Strategy with Simple MACD & RSI
This high-frequency trading strategy uses a combination of MACD and RSI to identify quick market opportunities. By leveraging these indicators, combined with dynamic risk management using ATR, it aims to capture small but frequent price movements while ensuring tight control over risk.
Key Features:
Indicators Used:
MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence): The strategy uses a shorter MACD configuration (Fast Length of 6 and Slow Length of 12) to capture quick price momentum shifts. A MACD crossover above the signal line triggers a buy signal, while a crossover below the signal line triggers a sell signal.
RSI (Relative Strength Index): A shorter RSI length of 7 is used to gauge overbought and oversold market conditions. The strategy looks for RSI confirmation, with a long trade initiated when RSI is below the overbought level (70) and a short trade initiated when RSI is above the oversold level (30).
Risk Management:
Dynamic Stop Loss and Take Profit: The strategy uses ATR (Average True Range) to calculate dynamic stop loss and take profit levels based on market volatility.
Stop Loss is set at 0.5x ATR to limit risk.
Take Profit is set at 1.5x ATR to capture reasonable price moves.
Trailing Stop: As the market moves in the strategy’s favor, the position is protected by a trailing stop set at 0.5x ATR, allowing the strategy to lock in profits as the price moves further.
Entry & Exit Signals:
Long Entry: Triggered when the MACD crosses above the signal line (bullish crossover) and RSI is below the overbought level (70).
Short Entry: Triggered when the MACD crosses below the signal line (bearish crossover) and RSI is above the oversold level (30).
Exit Conditions: The strategy exits long or short positions based on the stop loss, take profit, or trailing stop activation.
Frequent Trades:
This strategy is designed for high-frequency trading, with trade signals occurring frequently as the MACD and RSI indicators react quickly to price movements. It works best on lower timeframes such as 1-minute, 5-minute, or 15-minute charts, but can be adjusted for different timeframes based on the asset’s volatility.
Customizable Parameters:
MACD Settings: Adjust the Fast Length, Slow Length, and Signal Length to tune the MACD’s sensitivity.
RSI Settings: Customize the RSI Length, Overbought, and Oversold levels to better match your trading style.
ATR Settings: Modify the ATR Length and multipliers for Stop Loss, Take Profit, and Trailing Stop to optimize risk management according to market volatility.
Important Notes:
Market Conditions: This strategy is designed to capture smaller, quicker moves in trending markets. It may not perform well during choppy or sideways markets.
Optimizing for Asset Volatility: Adjust the ATR multipliers based on the asset’s volatility to suit the risk-reward profile that fits your trading goals.
Backtesting: It's recommended to backtest the strategy on different assets and timeframes to ensure optimal performance.
Summary:
The Sunil High-Frequency Strategy leverages a simple combination of MACD and RSI with dynamic risk management (using ATR) to trade small but frequent price movements. The strategy ensures tight stop losses and reasonable take profits, with trailing stops to lock in profits as the price moves in favor of the trade. It is ideal for scalping or intraday trading on lower timeframes, aiming for quick entries and exits with controlled risk.
Gold Trade Setup Strategy
Title: Profitable Gold Setup Strategy with Adaptive Moving Average & Supertrend
Introduction:
This trading strategy for Gold (XAU/USD) combines the Adaptive Moving Average (AMA) and Supertrend, tailored for high-probability setups during specific trading hours. The AMA identifies the trend, while the Supertrend confirms entry and exit points. The strategy is optimized for swing and intraday traders looking to capitalize on Gold’s price movements with precise trade timing.
Strategy Components:
1. Adaptive Moving Average (AMA):
• Reacts dynamically to market conditions, filtering noise in choppy markets.
• Serves as the primary trend indicator.
2. Supertrend:
• Confirms entry signals with clear buy and sell levels.
• Acts as a trailing stop-loss to protect profits.
Trading Rules:
Trading Hours:
• Only take trades between 8:30 AM and 10:30 PM IST.
• Avoid trading outside these hours to reduce noise and low-volume setups.
Buy Setup:
1. Trend Confirmation: The Adaptive Moving Average (AMA) must be green.
2. Signal Confirmation: The Supertrend should turn green after the AMA is green.
3. Trigger: Take the trade when the high of the trigger candle (the candle that turned Supertrend green) is broken.
Sell Setup (Optional if included):
• Reverse the rules for a short trade: AMA and Supertrend should both indicate bearish conditions (red), and take the trade when the low of the trigger candle is broken.
Stop-Loss and Targets:
• Place the stop-loss at the low of the trigger candle for long trades.
• Set a 1:2 risk-reward ratio or use the Supertrend line as a trailing stop-loss.
Timeframes:
• Recommended timeframes: 1H, 4H, or Daily for swing trading.
• For intraday trading, use 15-minute or 30-minute charts.
Why This Strategy Works:
• Combines trend-following (AMA) with momentum-based entries (Supertrend).
• Focused trading hours filter out low-probability setups.
• Provides precise entry, stop-loss, and target levels for disciplined trading.
Conclusion:
This Gold Setup Strategy is designed for traders seeking a structured approach to trading Gold. Follow the rules strictly, backtest the strategy extensively, and share your results. Let’s master the Gold market together!
Tags: #Gold #XAUUSD #SwingTrading #Intraday #Supertrend #AMA #TechnicalAnalysis #GoldStrategy
IU open equal to high/low strategyIU open equal to high/low strategy:
The "IU Open Equal to High/Low Strategy" is designed to identify and trade specific market conditions where the day's first price action shows a strong directional bias. This strategy automatically enters trades based on the relationship between the market's open price and its first high or low of the day.
Entry Conditions:
1. Long Entry: A long position is initiated when the first open price of the session equals the day's first low. This signals a potential upward move.
2. Short Entry: A short position is initiated when the first open price of the session equals the day's first high. This signals a potential downward move.
Exit Conditions:
1. Stop Loss (SL): For both long and short trades, the stop loss is calculated based on the low or high of the candle where the position was entered.
2. Take Profit (TP): The take profit is set using a Risk-to-Reward (RTR) ratio, which is customizable by the user. The TP is calculated relative to the entry price and the distance between the entry and the stop loss.
Additional Features:
- Plots are used to visualize the entry price, stop loss, and take profit levels directly on the chart, providing clear and actionable insights.
- Labels are displayed to indicate the occurrence of the "Open == Low" or "Open == High" conditions for easier identification of potential trade setups.
- A dynamic fill highlights the areas between the entry price and the stop loss or take profit, offering a clear visual representation of the trade's risk and reward zones.
This strategy is designed for traders looking to capitalize on directional momentum at the start of the trading session. It is customizable, allowing users to set their desired Risk-to-Reward ratio and tailor the strategy to fit their trading style.
Swing High/Low Pivots Strategy [LV]The Swing High/Low Pivots Strategy was developed as a counter-momentum trading tool.
The strategy is suitable for any market and the default values used in the input settings menu are set for Bitcoin (best on 15min). These values, expressed in minimum ticks (or pips if symbol is Forex) make this tool perfectly adaptable to every symbol and/or timeframe.
Check tooltips in the settings menu for more details about every user input.
STRTEGY ENTRY & EXIT MECHANISMS:
Trades Entry based on the detection of swing highs and lows for short and long entries respectively, validated by:
- Limit orders placed after each new pivot level confirmation
- Moving averages trend filter (if enabled)
- No active trade currently open
Trades Exit when the price reaches take-profit or stop-loss level as defined in the settings menu. A double entry/second take-profit level can be enabled for partial exits, with dynamic stop-loss adjustment for the remaining position.
Enhanced Trade Precision:
By limiting entries to confirmed swing high (HH, LH) or swing low (HL, LL) pivot points, the strategy ensures that trades occur at levels of significant price reversals. This precision reduces the likelihood of entering trades in the midst of a trend or during uncertain price action.
Risk Management Optimization:
The strategy incorporates clearly defined stop-loss (SL) and take-profit (TP) levels derived from the pivot points. This structured approach minimizes potential losses while locking in profits, which is critical for consistent performance in volatile markets.
Trend Filtering for Better Entry:
The use of a configurable moving average filter adds a layer of trend validation. This prevents entering trades against the dominant market trend, increasing the probability of success for each trade.
Avoidance of Noise:
The lookback period (length parameter) confirms pivots only after a set number of bars, effectively filtering out market noise and ensuring that entries are based on reliable, well-defined price movements.
Adaptability Across Markets:
The strategy is versatile and can be applied across different markets (Forex, stocks, crypto) due to its dynamic use of ticks and pips converters. It adapts seamlessly to varying price scales and asset types.
Dual Quantity Entries:
The original and optionnal double-entry mechanism allows traders to capture both short-term and extended profits by scaling out of positions. This adaptive approach caters to varying risk appetites and market conditions.
Clear Visualization:
The plotted pivot points, entry limits, SL, and TP levels provide visual clarity, making it easy for traders to track the strategy's behavior and make informed decisions.
Automated Execution with Alerts:
Integrated alerts for both entries and exits ensure timely actions without the need for constant market monitoring, enhancing efficiency. Configurable alert messages are suitable for API use.
Any feedback, comments, or suggestions for improvement are always welcome.
Hope you enjoy!
Supertrend and MACD strategyThe Supertrend and MACD Strategy is a comprehensive trading approach designed to capitalize on market trends by using a combination of the Supertrend indicator, the Exponential Moving Average (EMA), and the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). This strategy aims to identify optimal entry and exit points for both long and short trades, while incorporating strict risk management rules.
Indicators Used:
Supertrend: This indicator is used to identify the overall trend direction. It provides clear signals for trend reversals, helping traders to enter trades in the direction of the prevailing trend.
200-period EMA: This long-term moving average is used to determine the primary trend direction. The strategy only takes long trades when the price is above the 200 EMA and short trades when the price is below it.
MACD: The MACD is used to gauge the momentum and confirm the signals provided by the Supertrend and EMA. It consists of the MACD line, the signal line, and the histogram.
Entry Conditions:
Long Entry:
The Supertrend indicator shows an uptrend (direction > 0).
The MACD line is above the signal line (macd > signal).
The price is above the 200-period EMA (close > ema200).
Short Entry:
The Supertrend indicator shows a downtrend (direction < 0).
The MACD line is below the signal line (macd < signal).
The price is below the 200-period EMA (close < ema200).
Exit Conditions:
Long Exit:
Exit the long position when the MACD line crosses below the signal line (ta.crossunder(macd, signal)).
Set a stop loss (SL) below the lowest low of the last 10 periods (lowestLow - 1).
Short Exit:
Exit the short position when the MACD line crosses above the signal line (ta.crossover(macd, signal)).
Set a stop loss (SL) above the highest high of the last 10 periods (highestHigh + 1).
Risk Management:
The strategy ensures that no new positions are opened if there is already an open trade, preventing overexposure in the market.
Alerts:
Alerts are set to notify traders when the MACD crosses the signal line, providing timely updates for potential exit points.
Triple CCI Strategy MFI Confirmed [Skyrexio]Overview
Triple CCI Strategy MFI Confirmed leverages 3 different periods Commodity Channel Index (CCI) indicator in conjunction Money Flow Index (MFI) and Exponential Moving Average (EMA) to obtain the high probability setups. Fast period CCI is used for having the high probability to enter in the direction of short term trend, middle and slow period CCI are used for confirmation, if market now likely in the mid and long-term uptrend. MFI is used to confirm trade with the money inflow/outflow with the high probability. EMA is used as an additional trend filter. Moreover, strategy uses exponential moving average (EMA) to trail the price when it reaches the specific level. More information in "Methodology" and "Justification of Methodology" paragraphs. The strategy opens only long trades.
Unique Features
Dynamic stop-loss system: Instead of fixed stop-loss level strategy utilizes average true range (ATR) multiplied by user given number subtracted from the position entry price as a dynamic stop loss level.
Configurable Trading Periods: Users can tailor the strategy to specific market windows, adapting to different market conditions.
Four layers trade filtering system: Strategy utilizes two different period CCI indicators, MFI and EMA indicators to confirm the signals produced by fast period CCI.
Trailing take profit level: After reaching the trailing profit activation level scrip activate the trailing of long trade using EMA. More information in methodology.
Methodology
The strategy opens long trade when the following price met the conditions:
Fast period CCI shall crossover the zero-line.
Slow and Middle period CCI shall be above zero-lines.
Price shall close above the EMA. Crossover is not obligatory
MFI shall be above 50
When long trade is executed, strategy set the stop-loss level at the price ATR multiplied by user-given value below the entry price. This level is recalculated on every next candle close, adjusting to the current market volatility.
At the same time strategy set up the trailing stop validation level. When the price crosses the level equals entry price plus ATR multiplied by user-given value script starts to trail the price with EMA. If price closes below EMA long trade is closed. When the trailing starts, script prints the label “Trailing Activated”.
Strategy settings
In the inputs window user can setup the following strategy settings:
ATR Stop Loss (by default = 1.75)
ATR Trailing Profit Activation Level (by default = 2.25)
CCI Fast Length (by default = 14, used for calculation short term period CCI)
CCI Middle Length (by default = 25, used for calculation short term period CCI)
CCI Slow Length (by default = 50, used for calculation long term period CCI)
MFI Length (by default = 14, used for calculation MFI
EMA Length (by default = 50, period of EMA, used for trend filtering EMA calculation)
Trailing EMA Length (by default = 20)
User can choose the optimal parameters during backtesting on certain price chart.
Justification of Methodology
Before understanding why this particular combination of indicator has been chosen let's briefly explain what is CCI, MFI and EMA.
The Commodity Channel Index (CCI) is a momentum-based technical indicator that measures the deviation of a security's price from its average price over a specific period. It helps traders identify overbought or oversold conditions and potential trend reversals.
The CCI formula is:
CCI = (Typical Price − SMA) / (0.015 × Mean Deviation)
Typical Price (TP): This is calculated as the average of the high, low, and closing prices for the period.
Simple Moving Average (SMA): This is the average of the Typical Prices over a specific number of periods.
Mean Deviation: This is the average of the absolute differences between the Typical Price and the SMA.
The result is a value that typically fluctuates between +100 and -100, though it is not bounded and can go higher or lower depending on the price movement.
The Money Flow Index (MFI) is a technical indicator that measures the strength of money flowing into and out of a security. It combines price and volume data to assess buying and selling pressure and is often used to identify overbought or oversold conditions. The formula for MFI involves several steps:
1. Calculate the Typical Price (TP):
TP = (high + low + close) / 3
2. Calculate the Raw Money Flow (RMF):
Raw Money Flow = TP × Volume
3. Determine Positive and Negative Money Flow:
If the current TP is greater than the previous TP, it's Positive Money Flow.
If the current TP is less than the previous TP, it's Negative Money Flow.
4. Calculate the Money Flow Ratio (MFR):
Money Flow Ratio = Sum of Positive Money Flow (over n periods) / Sum of Negative Money Flow (over n periods)
5. Calculate the Money Flow Index (MFI):
MFI = 100 − (100 / (1 + Money Flow Ratio))
MFI above 80 can be considered as overbought, below 20 - oversold.
The Exponential Moving Average (EMA) is a type of moving average that places greater weight and significance on the most recent data points. It is widely used in technical analysis to smooth price data and identify trends more quickly than the Simple Moving Average (SMA).
Formula:
1. Calculate the multiplier
Multiplier = 2 / (n + 1) , Where n is the number of periods.
2. EMA Calculation
EMA = (Current Price) × Multiplier + (Previous EMA) × (1 − Multiplier)
This strategy leverages Fast period CCI, which shall break the zero line to the upside to say that probability of short term trend change to the upside increased. This zero line crossover shall be confirmed by the Middle and Slow periods CCI Indicators. At the moment of breakout these two CCIs shall be above 0, indicating that there is a high probability that price is in middle and long term uptrend. This approach increases chances to have a long trade setup in the direction of mid-term and long-term trends when the short-term trend starts to reverse to the upside.
Additionally strategy uses MFI to have a greater probability that fast CCI breakout is confirmed by this indicator. We consider the values of MFI above 50 as a higher probability that trend change from downtrend to the uptrend is real. Script opens long trades only if MFI is above 50. As you already know from the MFI description, it incorporates volume in its calculation, therefore we have another one confirmation factor.
Finally, strategy uses EMA an additional trend filter. It allows to open long trades only if price close above EMA (by default 50 period). It increases the probability of taking long trades only in the direction of the trend.
ATR is used to adjust the strategy risk management to the current market volatility. If volatility is low, we don’t need the large stop loss to understand the there is a high probability that we made a mistake opening the trade. User can setup the settings ATR Stop Loss and ATR Trailing Profit Activation Level to realize his own risk to reward preferences, but the unique feature of a strategy is that after reaching trailing profit activation level strategy is trying to follow the trend until it is likely to be finished instead of using fixed risk management settings. It allows sometimes to be involved in the large movements. It’s also important to make a note, that script uses another one EMA (by default = 20 period) as a trailing profit level.
Backtest Results
Operating window: Date range of backtests is 2022.04.01 - 2024.11.25. It is chosen to let the strategy to close all opened positions.
Commission and Slippage: Includes a standard Binance commission of 0.1% and accounts for possible slippage over 5 ticks.
Initial capital: 10000 USDT
Percent of capital used in every trade: 50%
Maximum Single Position Loss: -4.13%
Maximum Single Profit: +19.66%
Net Profit: +5421.21 USDT (+54.21%)
Total Trades: 108 (44.44% win rate)
Profit Factor: 2.006
Maximum Accumulated Loss: 777.40 USDT (-7.77%)
Average Profit per Trade: 50.20 USDT (+0.85%)
Average Trade Duration: 44 hours
These results are obtained with realistic parameters representing trading conditions observed at major exchanges such as Binance and with realistic trading portfolio usage parameters.
How to Use
Add the script to favorites for easy access.
Apply to the desired timeframe and chart (optimal performance observed on 2h BTC/USDT).
Configure settings using the dropdown choice list in the built-in menu.
Set up alerts to automate strategy positions through web hook with the text: {{strategy.order.alert_message}}
Disclaimer:
Educational and informational tool reflecting Skyrex commitment to informed trading. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Test strategies in a simulated environment before live implementation
Breaks and Retests - Free990Strategy Description: "Breaks and Retests - Free990"
The "Breaks and Retests - Free990" strategy is based on identifying breakout and retest opportunities for potential entries in both long and short trades. The idea is to detect price breakouts above resistance levels or below support levels, and subsequently identify retests that confirm the breakout levels. The strategy offers an automated approach to enter trades after a breakout followed by a retest, which serves as a confirmation of trend continuation.
Key Components:
Support and Resistance Detection:
The strategy calculates pivot levels based on historical price movements to define support and resistance areas. A lookback range is used to determine these key levels.
Breakouts and Retests:
The system identifies when a breakout occurs above a resistance level or below a support level.
It then waits for a retest of the previously broken level as confirmation, which is often a better entry opportunity.
Trade Direction Selection:
Users can choose between "Long Only," "Short Only," or "Both" directions for trading based on their market view.
Stop Loss and Trailing Stop:
An initial stop loss is placed at a defined percentage away from the entry.
The trailing stop loss is activated after the position gains a specified percentage in profit.
Long Entry:
A long entry is triggered if the price breaks above a resistance level and subsequently retests that level successfully.
The entry condition checks if the breakout was confirmed and if a retest was valid.
The long entry is only executed if the user-selected direction is either "Long Only" or "Both."
Short Entry:
A short entry is triggered if the price breaks below a support level and subsequently retests that level.
The short entry is only executed if the user-selected direction is either "Short Only" or "Both."
sell_condition checks whether the support has been broken and whether the retest condition is valid.
An initial stop loss is placed when the trade is opened to limit the risk if the trade moves against the position.
The stop loss is calculated based on a user-defined percentage (stop_loss_percent) of the entry price.
pinescript
Copy code
stop_loss_price := strategy.position_avg_price * (1 - stop_loss_percent / 100)
For long positions, the stop loss is placed below the entry price.
For short positions, the stop loss is placed above the entry price.
Trailing Stop:
When a position achieves a certain profit threshold (profit_threshold_percent), the trailing stop mechanism is activated.
For long positions, the trailing stop follows the highest price reached, ensuring that some profit is locked in if the price reverses.
For short positions, the trailing stop follows the lowest price reached.
Code Logic for Trailing Stop:
Exit Execution:
The strategy exits the position when the price hits the calculated stop loss level.
This includes both the initial stop loss and the trailing stop that adjusts as the trade progresses.
Code Logic for Exit:
Summary:
Breaks and Retests - Free990 uses support and resistance levels to identify breakouts, followed by retests for confirmation.
Entry Points: Triggered when a breakout is confirmed and a retest occurs, for both long and short trades.
Exit Points:
Initial Stop Loss: Limits risk for both long and short trades.
Trailing Stop Loss: Locks in profits as the price moves in favor of the position.
This strategy aims to capture the momentum after breakouts and minimize losses through effective use of stop loss and trailing stops. It gives the flexibility of selecting trade direction and ensures trades are taken with confirmation through the retest, which helps to reduce false breakouts.
Original Code by @HoanGhetti
Pavan CPR Strategy Pavan CPR Strategy (Pine Script)
The Pavan CPR Strategy is a trading system based on the Central Pivot Range (CPR), designed to identify price breakouts and generate long trade signals. This strategy uses key CPR levels (Pivot, Top CPR, and Bottom CPR) calculated from the daily high, low, and close to inform trade decisions. Here's an overview of how the strategy works:
Key Components:
CPR Calculation:
The strategy calculates three critical CPR levels for each trading day:
Pivot (P): The central value, calculated as the average of the high, low, and close prices.
Top Central Pivot (TC): The midpoint of the daily high and low, acting as the resistance level.
Bottom Central Pivot (BC): Derived from the pivot and the top CPR, providing a support level.
The script uses request.security to fetch these CPR values from the daily timeframe, even when applied on intraday charts.
Trade Entry Condition:
A long position is initiated when:
The current price crosses above the Top CPR level (TC).
The previous close was below the Top CPR level, signaling a breakout above a key resistance level.
This condition aims to capture upward momentum as the price breaks above a significant level.
Exit Strategy:
Take Profit: The position is closed with a profit target set 50 points above the entry price.
Stop Loss: A stop loss is placed at the Pivot level to protect against unfavorable price movements.
Visual Reference:
The script plots the three CPR levels on the chart:
Pivot: Blue line.
Top CPR (TC): Green line.
Bottom CPR (BC): Red line.
These plotted levels provide visual guidance for identifying potential support and resistance zones.
Use Case:
The Pavan CPR Strategy is ideal for intraday traders who want to capitalize on price movements and breakouts above critical CPR levels. It provides clear entry and exit signals based on price action and is best used in conjunction with proper risk management.
Note: The strategy is written in Pine Script v5 for use on TradingView, and it is recommended to backtest and optimize it for the asset or market you are trading.
Demo GPT - Day Trading Scalping StrategyOverview:
This strategy is designed for day trading and scalping, utilizing a combination of technical indicators, candlestick patterns, and volume analysis to determine entry and exit points. It focuses on capturing short-term price movements while ensuring that trades are executed under specific market conditions.
Key Components:
Technical Indicators Used:
Exponential Moving Average (EMA): The strategy uses the 20-period EMA to identify the trend direction. The EMA smooths out price data, helping traders make more informed decisions about potential buy or sell signals.
Volume Weighted Average Price (VWAP): VWAP is used to measure the average price a security has traded at throughout the day, based on both volume and price. This indicator helps assess whether the current price is above or below the average trading price.
Camarilla Pivot Points: The strategy calculates four levels of Camarilla pivots (S2, S3, R2, R3) based on the highest and lowest prices over the last 14 daily candles. These levels act as potential support and resistance zones, guiding entry and exit decisions.
Candlestick Analysis:
Buy Condition: A buy signal is triggered when:
The first candle (previous candle) is green (close > open).
The second candle (current candle) is also green and opens above the first candle.
The volume of the current candle exceeds the 20-period moving average of volume, indicating strong buying interest.
Sell Condition: A sell signal is triggered when:
The first candle is red (close < open).
The second candle opens below the first red candle.
The volume of the current candle also exceeds the 20-period moving average of volume, indicating strong selling pressure.
Position Management:
The strategy enters a long position (buy) when the buy condition is met and closes the long position when the sell condition is met. This approach aims to capture upward momentum while avoiding extended exposure to downside risks.
Trading Settings:
Capital Management: The strategy uses 100% of available capital for each trade, allowing for maximum exposure to potential gains.
Commission and Slippage: The script includes settings for a commission rate of 0.1% and slippage of 3, accounting for trading costs and potential price changes during order execution.
Date Filtering: The strategy allows users to set a start date (January 1, 2018) and an end date (December 31, 2069) for trade execution, providing flexibility in backtesting and live trading.
Visualization:
The script plots the 20 EMA, VWAP, and the Camarilla pivot levels on the chart for visual reference.
Buy and sell signals are visually represented with shapes on the chart, making it easy to identify potential trade opportunities at a glance.
Volume is plotted in a separate pane to assess trading activity, and a horizontal line at zero provides a reference point.
Summary:
This Day Trading Scalping Strategy is designed to exploit short-term price movements by using a combination of EMAs, VWAP, and Camarilla pivot levels, alongside candlestick patterns and volume analysis. It is well-suited for traders looking to make quick trades based on real-time market conditions while maintaining a disciplined approach to entry and exit points. The strategy is highly visual, allowing traders to quickly assess market conditions and make informed trading decisions.
Feel free to modify or adjust any aspects of the strategy according to your specific trading goals or preferences!
XAUUSD 10-Minute StrategyThis XAUUSD 10-Minute Strategy is designed for trading Gold vs. USD on a 10-minute timeframe. By combining multiple technical indicators (MACD, RSI, Bollinger Bands, and ATR), the strategy effectively captures both trend-following and reversal opportunities, with adaptive risk management for varying market volatility. This approach balances high-probability entries with robust volatility management, making it suitable for traders seeking to optimise entries during significant price movements and reversals.
Key Components and Logic:
MACD (12, 26, 9):
Generates buy signals on MACD Line crossovers above the Signal Line and sell signals on crossovers below the Signal Line, helping to capture momentum shifts.
RSI (14):
Utilizes oversold (below 35) and overbought (above 65) levels as a secondary filter to validate entries and avoid overextended price zones.
Bollinger Bands (20, 2):
Uses upper and lower Bollinger Bands to identify potential overbought and oversold conditions, aiming to enter long trades near the lower band and short trades near the upper band.
ATR-Based Stop Loss and Take Profit:
Stop Loss and Take Profit levels are dynamically set as multiples of ATR (3x for stop loss, 5x for take profit), ensuring flexibility with market volatility to optimise exit points.
Entry & Exit Conditions:
Buy Entry: T riggered when any of the following conditions are met:
MACD Line crosses above the Signal Line
RSI is oversold
Price drops below the lower Bollinger Band
Sell Entry: Triggered when any of the following conditions are met:
MACD Line crosses below the Signal Line
RSI is overbought
Price moves above the upper Bollinger Band
Exit Strategy: Trades are closed based on opposing entry signals, with adaptive spread adjustments for realistic exit points.
Backtesting Configuration & Results:
Backtesting Period: July 21, 2024, to October 30, 2024
Symbol Info: XAUUSD, 10-minute timeframe, OANDA data source
Backtesting Capital: Initial capital of $700, with each trade set to 10 contracts (equivalent to approximately 0.1 lots based on the broker’s contract size for gold).
Users should confirm their broker's contract size for gold, as this may differ. This script uses 10 contracts for backtesting purposes, aligned with 0.1 lots on brokers offering a 100-contract specification.
Key Backtesting Performance Metrics:
Net Profit: $4,733.90 USD (676.27% increase)
Total Closed Trades: 526
Win Rate: 53.99%
Profit Factor: 1.44 (1.96 for Long trades, 1.14 for Short trades)
Max Drawdown: $819.75 USD (56.33% of equity)
Sharpe Ratio: 1.726
Average Trade: $9.00 USD (0.04% of equity per trade)
This backtest reflects realistic conditions, with a spread adjustment of 38 points and no slippage or commission applied. The settings aim to simulate typical retail trading conditions. However, please adjust the initial capital, contract size, and other settings based on your account specifics for best results.
Usage:
This strategy is tuned specifically for XAUUSD on a 10-minute timeframe, ideal for both trend-following and reversal trades. The ATR-based stop loss and take profit levels adapt dynamically to market volatility, optimising entries and exits in varied conditions. To backtest this script accurately, ensure your broker’s contract specifications for gold align with the parameters used in this strategy.
[ETH] Optimized Trend Strategy - Lorenzo SuperScalpStrategy Title: Optimized Trend Strategy - Lorenzo SuperScalp
Description:
The Optimized Trend Strategy is a comprehensive trading system tailored for Ethereum (ETH) and optimized for the 15-minute timeframe but adaptable to various timeframes. This strategy utilizes a combination of technical indicators—RSI, Bollinger Bands, and MACD—to identify and act on price trends efficiently, providing traders with actionable buy and sell signals based on market conditions.
Key Features:
Multi-Indicator Approach:
RSI (Relative Strength Index): Identifies overbought and oversold conditions to time market entries and exits.
Bollinger Bands: Acts as a dynamic support and resistance level, helping to pinpoint precise entry and exit zones.
MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence): Detects momentum changes through bullish and bearish crossovers.
Signal Conditions:
Buy Signal:
RSI is below 45 (indicating an oversold condition).
Price is near or below the lower Bollinger Band.
MACD bullish crossover occurs.
Sell Signal:
RSI is above 55 (indicating an overbought condition).
Price is near or above the upper Bollinger Band.
MACD bearish crossunder occurs.
Trade Execution Logic:
Long Trades: Opened when a buy signal flashes. If there’s an open short position, it is closed before opening a long.
Short Trades: Opened when a sell signal flashes. If there’s an open long position, it is closed before opening a short.
The strategy also ensures a minimum number of bars between consecutive trades to avoid rapid trading in choppy conditions.
Pyramiding Support:
Up to 3 consecutive trades in the same direction are allowed, enabling traders to scale into positions based on strong signals.
Visual Indicators:
RSI Levels: Dotted lines at 45 and 55 for quick reference to oversold and overbought levels.
Buy and Sell Signals: Visual markers on the chart indicate where trades are executed, ensuring clarity on entry and exit points.
Best Used For:
Swing Trading & Scalping: While optimized for the 15-minute timeframe, this strategy works across various timeframes, making it suitable for both short-term scalping and swing trading.
Crypto Trading: Tailored for Ethereum but effective for other cryptocurrencies due to its dynamic indicator setup.
Supertrend StrategyThe Supertrend Strategy was created based on the Supertrend and Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicators, widely respected tools in technical analysis. This strategy combines these two indicators to capture market trends with precision and reliability, looking for optimizing exit levels at oversold or overbought price levels.
The Supertrend indicator identifies trend direction based on price and volatility by using the Average True Range (ATR). The ATR measures market volatility by calculating the average range between an asset’s high and low prices over a set period. It provides insight into price fluctuations, with higher ATR values indicating increased volatility and lower values suggesting stability. The Supertrend Indicator plots a line above or below the price, signaling potential buy or sell opportunities: when the price closes above the Supertrend line, an uptrend is indicated, while a close below the line suggests a downtrend. This line shifts as price movements and volatility levels change, acting as both a trailing stop loss and trend confirmation.
To enhance the Supertrend strategy, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) has been added as an exit criterion. As a momentum oscillator, the RSI indicates overbought (usually above 70) or oversold (usually below 30) conditions. This integration allows trades to close when the asset is overbought or oversold, capturing gains before a possible reversal, even if the percentage take profit level has not been reached. This mechanism aims to prevent losses due to market reversals before the Supertrend signal changes.
### Key Features
1. **Entry criteria**:
- The strategy uses the Supertrend indicator calculated by adding or subtracting a multiple of the ATR from the closing price, depending on the trend direction.
- When the price crosses above the Supertrend line, the strategy signals a long (buy) entry. Conversely, when the price crosses below, it signals a short (sell) entry.
- The strategy performs a reversal if there is an open position and a change in the direction of the supertrend occurs
2. **Exit criteria**:
- Take profit of 30% (default) on the average position price.
- Oversold (≤ 5) or overbought (≥ 95) RSI
- Reversal when there is a change in direction of the Supertrend
3. **No Repainting**:
- This strategy is not subject to repainting, as long as the timeframe configured on your chart is the same as the supertrend timeframe .
4. **Position Sizing by Equity and risk management**:
- This strategy has a default configuration to operate with 35% of the equity. At the time of opening the position, the supertrend line is typically positioned at about 12 to 16% of the entry price. This way, the strategy is putting at risk about 16% of 35% of equity, that is, around 5.6% of equity for each trade. The percentage of equity can be adjusted by the user according to their risk management.
5. **Backtest results**:
- This strategy was subjected to deep backtesting and operations in replay mode, including transaction fees of 0.12%, and slippage of 5 ticks.
- The past results in deep backtest and replay mode were compatible and profitable (Variable results depending on the take profit used, supertrend and RSI parameters). However, it should be noted that few operations were evaluated, since the currency in question has been created for a short time and the frequency of operations is relatively small.
- Past results are no guarantee of future results. The strategy's backtest results may even be due to overfitting with past data.
Default Settings
Chart timeframe: 2h
Supertrend Factor: 3.42
ATR period: 14
Supertrend timeframe: 2 h
RSI timeframe: 15 min
RSI Lenght: 5 min
RSI Upper limit: 95
RSI Lower Limit: 5
Take Profit: 30%
BYBIT:1000000MOGUSDT.P
Keltner Channel Strategy by Kevin DaveyKeltner Channel Strategy Description
The Keltner Channel Strategy is a volatility-based trading approach that uses the Keltner Channel, a technical indicator derived from the Exponential Moving Average (EMA) and Average True Range (ATR). The strategy helps identify potential breakout or mean-reversion opportunities in the market by plotting upper and lower bands around a central EMA, with the channel width determined by a multiplier of the ATR.
Components:
1. Exponential Moving Average (EMA):
The EMA smooths price data by placing greater weight on recent prices, allowing traders to track the market’s underlying trend more effectively than a simple moving average (SMA). In this strategy, a 20-period EMA is used as the midline of the Keltner Channel.
2. Average True Range (ATR):
The ATR measures market volatility over a 14-period lookback. By calculating the average of the true ranges (the greatest of the current high minus the current low, the absolute value of the current high minus the previous close, or the absolute value of the current low minus the previous close), the ATR captures how much an asset typically moves over a given period.
3. Keltner Channel:
The upper and lower boundaries are set by adding or subtracting 1.5 times the ATR from the EMA. These boundaries create a dynamic range that adjusts with market volatility.
Trading Logic:
• Long Entry Condition: The strategy enters a long position when the closing price falls below the lower Keltner Channel, indicating a potential buying opportunity at a support level.
• Short Entry Condition: The strategy enters a short position when the closing price exceeds the upper Keltner Channel, signaling a potential selling opportunity at a resistance level.
The strategy plots the upper and lower Keltner Channels and the EMA on the chart, providing a visual representation of support and resistance levels based on market volatility.
Scientific Support for Volatility-Based Strategies:
The use of volatility-based indicators like the Keltner Channel is supported by numerous studies on price momentum and volatility trading. Research has shown that breakout strategies, particularly those leveraging volatility bands such as the Keltner Channel or Bollinger Bands, can be effective in capturing trends and reversals in both trending and mean-reverting markets  .
Who is Kevin Davey?
Kevin Davey is a highly respected algorithmic trader, author, and educator, known for his systematic approach to building and optimizing trading strategies. With over 25 years of experience in the markets, Davey has earned a reputation as an expert in quantitative and rule-based trading. He is particularly well-known for winning several World Cup Trading Championships, where he consistently demonstrated high returns with low risk.
Stochastic RSI OHLC StrategyThe script titled "Stochastic RSI High Low Close Bars" is a versatile trading strategy implemented in Pine Script, designed for TradingView. Here's an overview of its features:
Description
This strategy leverages the Stochastic RSI to determine entry and exit signals in the market, focusing on high, low, and close values of the indicator. It incorporates various trading styles, stop-loss mechanisms, and multi-timeframe analysis to adapt to different market conditions.
Key Features
Stochastic RSI Analysis:
Uses the Stochastic RSI to identify potential entry points for long and short positions.
Tracks high, low, and close values for more granular analysis.
Multiple Trading Styles:
Supports diverse trading styles like Volume Color Swing, RSI Divergence, RSI Pullback, and more.
Allows switching between these styles to suit market dynamics.
Session-Based Trading:
Offers session control, limiting trades to specific hours (e.g., NY sessions).
Can close all positions at the end of the trading day.
Stop-Loss and Take-Profit Mechanisms:
Includes both static and dynamic stop-losses, with options for time-based stops, trailing stops, and momentum-based exits.
Customizable take-profit levels ensure efficient trade management.
Volume Analysis:
Integrates volume indicators to add a bias for trade entries and exits, enhancing signal reliability.
Multi-Timeframe Integration:
Employs multi-timeframe RSI analysis, allowing the strategy to capture broader trends and optimize entries.
This script is designed to provide flexibility and adaptability, making it useful for different trading strategies and market conditions. It is suitable for traders looking to refine their entries and exits with a focus on the Stochastic RSI.
Dont make me crossStrategy Overview
This trading strategy utilizes Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) to generate buy and sell signals based on the crossover of two EMAs, which are shifted downwards by 50 points. The strategy aims to identify potential market reversals and trends based on these crossovers.
Components of the Strategy
Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs):
Short EMA: This is calculated over a shorter period (default is 9 periods) and is more responsive to recent price changes.
Long EMA: This is calculated over a longer period (default is 21 periods) and provides a smoother view of the price trend.
Both EMAs are adjusted by a fixed shift amount of -50 points.
Input Parameters:
Short EMA Length: The period used to calculate the short-term EMA. This can be adjusted based on the trader's preference or market conditions.
Long EMA Length: The period used for the long-term EMA, also adjustable.
Shift Amount: A fixed value (default -50) that is subtracted from both EMAs to shift their values downwards. This is useful for visual adjustments or specific strategy requirements.
Plotting:
The adjusted EMAs are plotted on the price chart. The short EMA is displayed in blue, and the long EMA is displayed in red. This visual representation helps traders identify the crossover points easily.
Signal Generation:
Buy Signal: A buy signal is generated when the short EMA crosses above the long EMA. This is interpreted as a bullish signal, indicating potential upward price movement.
Sell Signal: A sell signal occurs when the short EMA crosses below the long EMA, indicating potential downward price movement.
Trade Execution:
When a buy signal is triggered, the strategy enters a long position.
Conversely, when a sell signal is triggered, the strategy enters a short position.
Trading Logic
Market Conditions: The strategy is most effective in trending markets. During sideways or choppy market conditions, it may generate false signals.
Risk Management: While this script does not include explicit risk management features (like stop-loss or take-profit), traders should consider implementing these to manage their risk effectively.
Customization
Traders can customize the EMA lengths and the shift amount based on their analysis and preferences.
The strategy can also be enhanced with additional indicators, such as volume or volatility measures, to filter signals further.
Use Cases
This strategy can be applied to various timeframes, such as intraday, daily, or weekly charts, depending on the trader's style.
It is suitable for both novice and experienced traders, offering a straightforward approach to trading based on technical analysis.
Summary
The EMA Crossover Strategy with a -50 shift is a straightforward technical analysis approach that capitalizes on the momentum generated by the crossover of short and long-term EMAs. By shifting the EMAs downwards, the strategy can help traders visualize potential entry and exit points more clearly, although it's important to consider additional risk management and market context for effective trading.
Exponantial Spread StrategyIt is strongly recommended to evaluate the strategy's performance on long time frames such as 1D or 4H.
This strategy calculates a custom moving average by the formula EMA+(TEMA-DEMA)*G,
G being the gain parameter. The main idea behind that is since TEMA is much more adaptive than DEMA their spread give us momentum, and incorporating this with a gain allows us to calculate a very responsive but yet not noisy moving average.
We calculate 4 MAs like described with gains 0,1,2,3 from less adaptive (normal EMA) to most adaptive. When they align in terms of position and the price is above the original MA we enter a long position, and do partial exits at each crossunder weighted by how adaptive ma is, the more adaptive the less weight, we do a full stop when the price crossed below under the original MA or the position aligment changed.
Simple RSI stock Strategy [1D] The "Simple RSI Stock Strategy " is designed to long-term traders. Strategy uses a daily time frame to capitalize on signals generated by the Relative Strength Index (RSI) and the Simple Moving Average (SMA). This strategy is suitable for low-leverage trading environments and focuses on identifying potential buy opportunities when the market is oversold, while incorporating strong risk management with both dynamic and static Stop Loss mechanisms.
This strategy is recommended for use with a relatively small amount of capital and is best applied by diversifying across multiple stocks in a strong uptrend, particularly in the S&P 500 stock market. It is specifically designed for equities, and may not perform well in other markets such as commodities, forex, or cryptocurrencies, where different market dynamics and volatility patterns apply.
Indicators Used in the Strategy:
1. RSI (Relative Strength Index):
- The RSI is a momentum oscillator used to identify overbought and oversold conditions in the market.
- This strategy enters long positions when the RSI drops below the oversold level (default: 30), indicating a potential buying opportunity.
- It focuses on oversold conditions but uses a filter (SMA 200) to ensure trades are only made in the context of an overall uptrend.
2. SMA 200 (Simple Moving Average):
- The 200-period SMA serves as a trend filter, ensuring that trades are only executed when the price is above the SMA, signaling a bullish market.
- This filter helps to avoid entering trades in a downtrend, thereby reducing the risk of holding positions in a declining market.
3. ATR (Average True Range):
- The ATR is used to measure market volatility and is instrumental in setting the Stop Loss.
- By multiplying the ATR value by a custom multiplier (default: 1.5), the strategy dynamically adjusts the Stop Loss level based on market volatility, allowing for flexibility in risk management.
How the Strategy Works:
Entry Signals:
The strategy opens long positions when RSI indicates that the market is oversold (below 30), and the price is above the 200-period SMA. This ensures that the strategy buys into potential market bottoms within the context of a long-term uptrend.
Take Profit Levels:
The strategy defines three distinct Take Profit (TP) levels:
TP 1: A 5% from the entry price.
TP 2: A 10% from the entry price.
TP 3: A 15% from the entry price.
As each TP level is reached, the strategy closes portions of the position to secure profits: 33% of the position is closed at TP 1, 66% at TP 2, and 100% at TP 3.
Visualizing Target Points:
The strategy provides visual feedback by plotting plotshapes at each Take Profit level (TP 1, TP 2, TP 3). This allows traders to easily see the target profit levels on the chart, making it easier to monitor and manage positions as they approach key profit-taking areas.
Stop Loss Mechanism:
The strategy uses a dual Stop Loss system to effectively manage risk:
ATR Trailing Stop: This dynamic Stop Loss adjusts based on the ATR value and trails the price as the position moves in the trader’s favor. If a price reversal occurs and the market begins to trend downward, the trailing stop closes the position, locking in gains or minimizing losses.
Basic Stop Loss: Additionally, a fixed Stop Loss is set at 25%, limiting potential losses. This basic Stop Loss serves as a safeguard, automatically closing the position if the price drops 25% from the entry point. This higher Stop Loss is designed specifically for low-leverage trading, allowing more room for market fluctuations without prematurely closing positions.
to determine the level of stop loss and target point I used a piece of code by RafaelZioni, here is the script from which a piece of code was taken
Together, these mechanisms ensure that the strategy dynamically manages risk while offering robust protection against significant losses in case of sharp market downturns.
The position size has been estimated by me at 75% of the total capital. For optimal capital allocation, a recommended value based on the Kelly Criterion, which is calculated to be 59.13% of the total capital per trade, can also be considered.
Enjoy !
Overnight Positioning w EMA - Strategy [presentTrading]I've recently started researching Market Timing strategies, and it’s proving to be quite an interesting area of study. The idea of predicting optimal times to enter and exit the market, based on historical data and various indicators, brings a dynamic edge to trading. Additionally, it is integrated with the 3commas bot for automated trade execution.
I'm still working on it. Welcome to share your point of view.
█ Introduction and How it is Different
The "Overnight Positioning with EMA " is designed to capitalize on market inefficiencies during the overnight trading period. This strategy takes a position shortly before the market closes and exits shortly after it opens the following day. What sets this strategy apart is the integration of an optional Exponential Moving Average (EMA) filter, which ensures that trades are aligned with the underlying trend. The strategy provides flexibility by allowing users to select between different global market sessions, such as the US, Asia, and Europe.
It is integrated with the 3commas bot for automated trade execution and has a built-in mechanism to avoid holding positions over the weekend by force-closing positions on Fridays before the market closes.
BTCUSD 20 mins Performance
█ Strategy, How it Works: Detailed Explanation
The core logic of this strategy is simple: enter trades before market close and exit them after market open, taking advantage of potential price movements during the overnight period. Here’s how it works in more detail:
🔶 Market Timing
The strategy determines the local market open and close times based on the selected market (US, Asia, Europe) and adjusts entry and exit points accordingly. The entry is triggered a specific number of minutes before market close, and the exit is triggered a specific number of minutes after market open.
🔶 EMA Filter
The strategy includes an optional EMA filter to help ensure that trades are taken in the direction of the prevailing trend. The EMA is calculated over a user-defined timeframe and length. The entry is only allowed if the closing price is above the EMA (for long positions), which helps to filter out trades that might go against the trend.
The EMA formula:
```
EMA(t) = +
```
Where:
- EMA(t) is the current EMA value
- Close(t) is the current closing price
- n is the length of the EMA
- EMA(t-1) is the previous period's EMA value
🔶 Entry Logic
The strategy monitors the market time in the selected timezone. Once the current time reaches the defined entry period (e.g., 20 minutes before market close), and the EMA condition is satisfied, a long position is entered.
- Entry time calculation:
```
entryTime = marketCloseTime - entryMinutesBeforeClose * 60 * 1000
```
🔶 Exit Logic
Exits are triggered based on a specified time after the market opens. The strategy checks if the current time is within the defined exit period (e.g., 20 minutes after market open) and closes any open long positions.
- Exit time calculation:
exitTime = marketOpenTime + exitMinutesAfterOpen * 60 * 1000
🔶 Force Close on Fridays
To avoid the risk of holding positions over the weekend, the strategy force-closes any open positions 5 minutes before the market close on Fridays.
- Force close logic:
isFriday = (dayofweek(currentTime, marketTimezone) == dayofweek.friday)
█ Trade Direction
This strategy is designed exclusively for long trades. It enters a long position before market close and exits the position after market open. There is no shorting involved in this strategy, and it focuses on capturing upward momentum during the overnight session.
█ Usage
This strategy is suitable for traders who want to take advantage of price movements that occur during the overnight period without holding positions for extended periods. It automates entry and exit times, ensuring that trades are placed at the appropriate times based on the market session selected by the user. The 3commas bot integration also allows for automated execution, making it ideal for traders who wish to set it and forget it. The strategy is flexible enough to work across various global markets, depending on the trader's preference.
█ Default Settings
1. entryMinutesBeforeClose (Default = 20 minutes):
This setting determines how many minutes before the market close the strategy will enter a long position. A shorter duration could mean missing out on potential movements, while a longer duration could expose the position to greater price fluctuations before the market closes.
2. exitMinutesAfterOpen (Default = 20 minutes):
This setting controls how many minutes after the market opens the position will be exited. A shorter exit time minimizes exposure to market volatility at the open, while a longer exit time could capture more of the overnight price movement.
3. emaLength (Default = 100):
The length of the EMA affects how the strategy filters trades. A shorter EMA (e.g., 50) reacts more quickly to price changes, allowing more frequent entries, while a longer EMA (e.g., 200) smooths out price action and only allows entries when there is a stronger underlying trend.
The effect of using a longer EMA (e.g., 200) would be:
```
EMA(t) = +
```
4. emaTimeframe (Default = 240):
This is the timeframe used for calculating the EMA. A higher timeframe (e.g., 360) would base entries on longer-term trends, while a shorter timeframe (e.g., 60) would respond more quickly to price movements, potentially allowing more frequent trades.
5. useEMA (Default = true):
This toggle enables or disables the EMA filter. When enabled, trades are only taken when the price is above the EMA. Disabling the EMA allows the strategy to enter trades without any trend validation, which could increase the number of trades but also increase risk.
6. Market Selection (Default = US):
This setting determines which global market's open and close times the strategy will use. The selection of the market affects the timing of entries and exits and should be chosen based on the user's preference or geographic focus.
Commitment of Trader %R StrategyThis Pine Script strategy utilizes the Commitment of Traders (COT) data to inform trading decisions based on the Williams %R indicator. The script operates in TradingView and includes various functionalities that allow users to customize their trading parameters.
Here’s a breakdown of its key components:
COT Data Import:
The script imports the COT library from TradingView to access historical COT data related to different trader groups (commercial hedgers, large traders, and small traders).
User Inputs:
COT data selection mode (e.g., Auto, Root, Base currency).
Whether to include futures, options, or both.
The trader group to analyze.
The lookback period for calculating the Williams %R.
Upper and lower thresholds for triggering trades.
An option to enable or disable a Simple Moving Average (SMA) filter.
Williams %R Calculation: The script calculates the Williams %R value, which is a momentum indicator that measures overbought or oversold levels based on the highest and lowest prices over a specified period.
SMA Filter: An optional SMA filter allows users to limit trades to conditions where the price is above or below the SMA, depending on the configuration.
Trade Logic: The strategy enters long positions when the Williams %R value exceeds the upper threshold and exits when the value falls below it. Conversely, it enters short positions when the Williams %R value is below the lower threshold and exits when the value rises above it.
Visual Elements: The script visually indicates the Williams %R values and thresholds on the chart, with the option to plot the SMA if enabled.
Commitment of Traders (COT) Data
The COT report is a weekly publication by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) that provides a breakdown of open interest positions held by different types of traders in the U.S. futures markets. It is widely used by traders and analysts to gauge market sentiment and potential price movements.
Data Collection: The COT data is collected from futures commission merchants and is published every Friday, reflecting positions as of the previous Tuesday. The report categorizes traders into three main groups:
Commercial Traders: These are typically hedgers (like producers and processors) who use futures to mitigate risk.
Non-Commercial Traders: Often referred to as speculators, these traders do not have a commercial interest in the underlying commodity but seek to profit from price changes.
Non-reportable Positions: Small traders who do not meet the reporting threshold set by the CFTC.
Interpretation:
Market Sentiment: By analyzing the positions of different trader groups, market participants can gauge sentiment. For instance, if commercial traders are heavily short, it may suggest they expect prices to decline.
Extreme Positions: Some traders look for extreme positions among non-commercial traders as potential reversal signals. For example, if speculators are overwhelmingly long, it might indicate an overbought condition.
Statistical Insights: COT data is often used in conjunction with technical analysis to inform trading decisions. Studies have shown that analyzing COT data can provide valuable insights into future price movements (Lund, 2018; Hurst et al., 2017).
Scientific References
Lund, J. (2018). Understanding the COT Report: An Analysis of Speculative Trading Strategies.
Journal of Derivatives and Hedge Funds, 24(1), 41-52. DOI:10.1057/s41260-018-00107-3
Hurst, B., O'Neill, R., & Roulston, M. (2017). The Impact of COT Reports on Futures Market Prices: An Empirical Analysis. Journal of Futures Markets, 37(8), 763-785.
DOI:10.1002/fut.21849
Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC). (2024). Commitment of Traders. Retrieved from CFTC Official Website.
Simplified Gap Strategy with SMA FilterThe Simplified Gap Strategy leverages price gaps as a trading signal, focusing on their significance in market behavior. Gaps occur when the opening price of a security differs significantly from the previous closing price, often signaling potential continuation or reversal patterns.
Key Features:
Gap Threshold:
This strategy requires a minimum percentage gap (defined by the user) to qualify for trading signals.
Directional Trading:
Users can select from various gap types, including "Long Up Gap" and "Short Down Gap," allowing for tailored trading approaches.
SMA Filter:
An optional Simple Moving Average (SMA) filter helps refine trade entries based on trend direction, increasing the probability of successful trades.
Hold Duration:
Positions can be held for a user-defined duration, providing flexibility in trade management.
Statistical Significance of Gaps:
Research has shown that gaps can provide insights into future price movements. According to studies such as those by Hutton and Jiang (2008), price gaps are often followed by momentum in the direction of the gap, indicating that they can serve as reliable indicators for traders. The "Gap Theory" suggests that gaps are filled approximately 90% of the time, emphasizing their relevance in market dynamics (Nikkinen, Sahlström, & Kinnunen, 2006).
Important Note:
This strategy is designed solely for statistical analysis and should not be construed as financial advice. Users are encouraged to conduct their own research and analysis before applying this strategy in live trading scenarios.
By understanding the underlying mechanisms of price gaps and their statistical significance, traders can enhance their decision-making processes and potentially improve trading outcomes.
References:
Hutton, A. W., & Jiang, W. (2008). "Price Gaps: A Guide to Trading Gaps."
Nikkinen, J., Sahlström, P., & Kinnunen, J. (2006). "The Gaps in Financial Markets: An Empirical Study."
This description provides an overview of the strategy while emphasizing its analytical purpose and backing it with relevant academic insights.
Streak-Based Trading StrategyThe strategy outlined in the provided script is a streak-based trading strategy that focuses on analyzing winning and losing streaks. It’s important to emphasize that this strategy is not intended for actual trading but rather for statistical analysis of streak series.
How the Strategy Works
1. Parameter Definition:
• Trade Direction: Users can choose between “Long” (buy) and “Short” (sell).
• Streak Threshold: Defines how many consecutive wins or losses are needed to trigger a trade.
• Hold Duration: Specifies how many periods the position will be held.
• Doji Threshold: Determines the sensitivity for Doji candles, which indicate market uncertainty.
2. Streak Calculation:
• The script identifies Doji candles and counts winning and losing streaks based on the closing price compared to the previous closing price.
• Streak counting occurs only when no position is currently held.
3. Trade Conditions:
• If the loss streak reaches the defined threshold and the trade direction is “Long,” a buy position is opened.
• If the win streak is met and the trade direction is “Short,” a sell position is opened.
• The position is held for the specified duration.
4. Visualization:
• Winning and losing streaks are plotted as histograms to facilitate analysis.
Scientific Basis
The concept of analyzing streaks in financial markets is well-documented in behavioral economics and finance. Studies have shown that markets often exhibit momentum and trend-following behavior, meaning the likelihood of consecutive winning or losing periods can be higher than what random statistics would suggest (see, for example, “The Behavior of Stock-Market Prices” by Eugene Fama).
Additionally, empirical research indicates that investors often make decisions based on psychological factors influenced by streaks. This can lead to irrational behavior, as they may focus on past wins or losses (see “Behavioral Finance: Psychology, Decision-Making, and Markets” by R. M. F. F. Thaler).
Overall, this strategy serves as a tool for statistical analysis of streak series, providing deeper insights into market behavior and trends rather than being directly used for trading decisions.
