IronCondor 10am 30TF by RMThe IronCondor 10am 30TF indicator shows Iron Condor trades win rate over a large number of days.
The default ETFs in this indicators are "QQQ", "SPY", "RUT" , "CBTX" and "SPX", other entries have not been tested.
Iron Condor quick explanation:
- Iron Condors trades have four options, generally, are based around a Midpoint price (Current Market Price Strike) and
- Two equally distances Strikes for the SELL components (called the Body of the Iron Condor)
- Further away from the two SELLs, another Two BUYs for protection (not considered in this indicator)
- Iron Condors are used for Passive Income based on small gains most of the time.
The IronCondor 10am 30TF has its logic created based on the premises that:
- Most days the market prices stay within a range.
- As example the S&P market prices would stay within 1% on about 80% of the time
- The moving markets (bullish or bearish) occur about 20% of the time
- The biggest market price volatility generally occurs before market opens and then around the first hour or so of trade in the day.
- After the first hour or so of the market the prices would be most likely to stay within a range.
The operation is simple:
- At the Trade Star time in the day (say 10:30 Hrs.) draws a vertical yellow line, then
- Creates two blue horizontal lines for the SELL limits in the Iron Condor Body, at +/- 1% price boundary (check Ticker list below for values)
- At the Trade End time (say 16:00 Hrs.) checks that none of the SELL limits have been broken by highs or lows during the trade day
(The check is done calculating at Trade End time the high/lows 10 bars back for 30 min TF - timeframe)
- There is a label at each Trade End time with Win/Loss and Body value.
- There is one final label with overall calculated past performance in Win percentage out of 'n' trades
Defaults and User Entries:
- The User can modify the Midpoint price called 'IronCondor Midpoint STRIKE' (default is the Candle Close at the selected time)
- The User can modify the Body value called 'IronCondor Body' (default is the Ticker's selected value as per list below)
"QQQ" or "SPY" Body = 5
"RUT" or "CBTX" Body = 20
"SPX" Body = 60
* Disclaimer: This is not a Financial tool, it cannot used as any kind of advice to invest or risk moneys in any market,
Markets are volatile in nature - with little or no warning - and will drain your account if you are not careful.
Use only as an academic demonstrator => * Use at your own risk *
Recherche dans les scripts pour "场内etf交易规则"
Sharpe and Sortino Ratios with Date RangeThis indicator calculates the Sharpe and Sortino ratios using a chart symbol's periodic price returns.
I added the ability to calculate SORTINO and Sharpe based on CUSTOM DATES within the option menu.
It builds on the script here: by adding this feature.
A little about the Sortino Ratio.
www.nasdaq.com
I want equity market returns, but I don’t want equity market volatility. This is the sentiment many investors naturally feel. This sentiment often grows stronger as one approaches or is in the phase where they desire distributions from their savings to improve lifestyle. This is why there is a need for active management in the investment arena. The desire to control downside volatility, but also participate in the upside growth is a very fundamental human desire. The Sortino Ratio measures how well a particular investment meets this fundamental human desire.
There is the old adage, “volatility is the price you pay for returns.” However, what if we could measure the historical performance of an investment and see if it has given above average returns compared to the downside volatility. This is a simple division problem. It will tell us if the volatility “price we are paying for returns” is good. We can then compare that to other investments to see how they compare.
Let us take the return and subtract the risk-free interest rate and then simply divide that by the downside movement from the average. A basic division problem yielding a number that measures a very basic human desire: How well did this investment do compared to the downside risk it experienced.
In the world of financial analysis and investment management, ratios are abundant. There are many ratios that are truly important to a particular analysis. However, the sheer abundance of ratios that are available often overwhelms the casual investor, leading them to disregard ratios altogether. I would argue for those investors that desire a way to rank an investment by its ability to satisfy this very fundamental human desire, the Sortino Ratio is the number they need to consider.
Disappointing in the marketplace for research, the Sortino Ratio is not featured prominently. It is much easier to find the inflows a particular ETF has experienced than the Sortino Ratio. Inflows are important. They measure how much people are investing into an ETF. However, they are mostly only important to the fund manager, not the investor. What investors care about is the Risk-Adjusted Return. This is the Sortino Ratio.
FACTOR MONITORThe Factor Monitor is a comprehensive designed to track relative strength and standard deviation movements across multiple market segments and investment factors. The indicator calculates and displays normalized percentage moves and their statistical significance (measured in standard deviations) across daily, 5-day, and 20-day periods, providing a multi-timeframe view of market dynamics.
Key Features:
Real-time tracking of relative performance between various ETF pairs (e.g., QQQ vs SPY, IWM vs SPY)
Standard deviation scoring system that identifies statistically significant moves
Color-coded visualization (green/red) for quick interpretation of relative strength
Multiple timeframe analysis (1-day, 5-day, and 20-day moves)
Monitoring of key market segments:
Style factors (Value, Growth, Momentum)
Market cap segments (Large, Mid, Small)
Sector relative strength
Risk factors (High Beta vs Low Volatility)
Credit conditions (High Yield vs Investment Grade)
The tool is particularly valuable for:
Identifying significant factor rotations in the market
Assessing market breadth through relative strength comparisons
Spotting potential trend changes through statistical deviation analysis
Monitoring sector leadership and market regime shifts
Quantifying the magnitude of market moves relative to historical norms
Composer Strategy 1 (Haggis Levered)This strategy dynamically selects an asset to trade each day based on a set of predefined market conditions and technical indicators. It uses relative strength index (RSI) and moving averages to evaluate momentum and trends across multiple tickers, aiming to identify the most advantageous asset for the current market environment. By switching between leveraged ETFs, inverse funds, and defensive assets, the strategy seeks to capitalize on both bullish and bearish scenarios while mitigating risk during uncertain periods.
The approach emphasizes adaptability by monitoring key metrics like overbought or oversold signals and comparing cumulative returns and relative performance across asset classes. This flexibility allows the strategy to respond to changing market dynamics daily, aligning with short-term trends while maintaining a systematic and disciplined methodology for asset allocation.
TearRepresentative's Rule-Based Dip Buying Strategy Rule-Based Dip Buying Strategy Indicator
This TradingView indicator, inspired by TearRepresentative [ , is a refined tool designed to assist traders in implementing a rule-based dip buying strategy. The indicator automates the identification of optimal buy and sell points, helping traders stay disciplined and minimize emotional biases. It is tailored to index trading, specifically leveraged ETFs like SPXL, to capture opportunities in market pullbacks and recoveries.
Key Features
Dynamic Buy Levels:
Tracks the local high over a customizable lookback period and calculates three buy levels based on percentage drops from the high:
Buy Level 1: First entry point (e.g., 15% drop).
Buy Level 2: Second entry point (e.g., additional 10% drop).
Buy Level 3: Third entry point (e.g., additional 7% drop).
Average Price Tracking:
Dynamically calculates the average price for entered positions when multiple buy levels are triggered.
Sell Level:
Computes a take-profit level (e.g., 20% above the average price) to automate profit-taking when the market rebounds.
Signal Visualization:
Buy Signals: Displayed as green triangles at each buy level.
Sell Signals: Displayed as red triangles at the sell level.
Alerts:
Configurable alerts notify traders when buy or sell signals are triggered, ensuring no opportunity is missed.
Visual Aids:
Semi-transparent and dynamic lines represent buy and sell levels for clear visualization.
Labels provide additional clarity for active levels, helping traders quickly identify actionable signals.
How It Works
The indicator analyzes market movements to identify dips based on predefined thresholds.
Buy signals are triggered when the market price reaches specified levels below the local high.
Once a position is taken, the indicator dynamically adjusts the average entry price and calculates the corresponding sell level.
A sell signal is generated when the market price rises above the calculated take-profit level.
Why Use This Indicator?
Discipline: Automates decision-making, removing emotional factors from trading.
Clarity: Provides clear entry and exit points to simplify complex market dynamics.
Versatility: Suitable for all market conditions, especially during pullbacks and rebounds.
Customization: Allows traders to tailor parameters to their preferred trading style and risk tolerance.
Acknowledgment
This indicator is based on the strategy and insights provided by TearRepresentative, whose expertise in rule-based trading has inspired countless traders. TearRepresentative's approach emphasizes simplicity, reliability, and consistency, offering a robust framework for long-term success.
Global Market Strength IndicatorThe Global Market Strength Indicator is a powerful tool for traders and investors. It helps compare the strength of various global markets and indices. This indicator uses the True Strength Index (TSI) to measure market strength.
The indicator retrieves price data for different markets and calculates their TSI values. These values are then plotted on a chart. Each market is represented by a different colored line, making it easy to distinguish between them.
One of the main benefits of this indicator is its comprehensive global view. It covers major indices and country-specific ETFs, giving users a broad perspective on global market trends. This wide coverage allows for easy comparison between different markets and regions.
The indicator is highly customizable. Users can adjust the TSI smoothing period to suit their preferences. They can also toggle the visibility of individual markets. This feature helps reduce chart clutter and allows for more focused analysis.
To use the indicator, apply it to your chart in TradingView. Adjust the settings as needed, and observe the relative positions and movements of the TSI lines. Lines moving higher indicate increasing strength in that market, while lines moving lower suggest weakening markets.
The chart includes reference lines at 0.5 and -0.5. These help identify potential overbought and oversold conditions. Markets with TSI values above 0.5 may be considered strong or potentially overbought. Those below -0.5 may be weak or potentially oversold.
By comparing the movements of different markets, users can identify which markets are leading or lagging. They can also spot potential divergences between related markets. This information can be valuable for identifying sector rotations or shifts in global market sentiment.
A dynamic legend automatically updates to show only the visible markets. This feature improves chart readability and makes it easier to interpret the data.
The Global Market Strength Indicator is a versatile tool that provides valuable insights into global market performance. It helps traders and investors identify trends, compare market performances, and make more informed decisions. Whether you're looking to spot emerging global trends or identify potential trading opportunities, this indicator offers a comprehensive solution for global market analysis.
Daily MAs on Intraday ChartsThis is a very simple, yet powerful indicator, for intraday and swing traders.
The indicator plots price levels of key daily moving averages as horizontal lines onto intraday charts.
The key daily moving averages being:
5-day EMA
10-day EMA
21-day EMA
50-day SMA
100-day SMA
200-day SMA
The moving averages above can be toggled on and off to the users liking and different colours selected to show the locations of daily moving average price levels on intraday charts.
Below is a chart of the SPY on the 30-minute timeframe. The black line represents the price level of the SPY's 10-day EMA, and the blue line represents the price level of the SPY's 21-day EMA.
Key daily moving averages like those mentioned above can be areas of support or resistance for major indexes, ETFs, and individual stocks. Therefore, when using multiple timeframe analysis combining daily charts and intraday charts, it's useful to be aware of these key daily moving average levels for potential reversals.
This indicator clearly shows where the key daily moving average price levels are on intraday charts for the chosen ticker symbol, thus helping traders to identify potential points of interest for trading ideas - i.e., going long or pullbacks into key daily moving averages, or short on rallies into key daily moving averages subject to the trader's thoughts at the time.
By using the 'Daily MAs on Intraday Charts' the trader can now have a multi-chart layout and be easily aware of key price levels from daily moving averages when looking at various intraday timeframe charts such as the 1-minute, 5-minute, 15-minute, 30-minute, 1-hour etc. This can be essential information for opening long and short trading ideas.
Trade Entry Detector, Wick to Body Ratio Trade Entry Detector: Wick-to-Body Ratio Strategy with Bollinger Bands
Overview
The Trade Entry Detector is a custom strategy for TradingView that leverages the Bollinger Bands and a unique wick-to-body ratio approach to capture precise entry opportunities. This indicator is designed for traders who want to pinpoint high-probability reversal points when price interacts with Bollinger Bands, all while offering flexible entry fill options.
The strategy performs primary analysis on the daily time frame, regardless of your current chart setting, allowing you to view daily Bollinger Band levels and entry signals even on lower time frames. This approach is suitable for swing traders and short-term traders looking to align intraday moves with higher time frame signals.
How the Strategy Works
1. Bollinger Band Analysis on the Daily Time Frame
Bollinger Bands are calculated using a 20-period simple moving average (SMA) and a standard deviation multiplier (default is 2). These bands dynamically expand and contract based on market volatility, making them ideal for identifying overbought and oversold conditions:
* Upper Band: Indicates potential overbought levels.
* Lower Band: Indicates potential oversold levels.
2. Wick-to-Body Ratio Condition
This strategy places significant emphasis on candle wicks relative to the candle body. Here’s why:
* A large upper wick relative to the body signals potential selling pressure after testing the upper Bollinger Band.
* A large lower wick relative to the body indicates buying support after testing the lower Bollinger Band.
* Ratio Threshold: You can set a minimum wick-to-body ratio (default is 1.0), meaning that the wick must be at least equal in size to the body. This ensures only candles with significant reversals are considered for entry.
3. Flexible Entry Timing
To adapt to various trading styles, the indicator allows you to choose the entry fill timing:
* Daily Close: Enter at the close of the daily candle.
* Daily Open: Enter at the open of the following daily candle.
* HOD (High of Day): Set entry at the daily high, for those who want confirmation of upward momentum.
* LOD (Low of Day): Set entry at the daily low, ideal for confirming downward movement.
4. Position Sizing and Risk Management
The strategy calculates position size based on a fixed risk percentage of your account balance (default is 1%). This approach dynamically adjusts position sizes based on stop-loss distance:
* Stop Loss: Placed at the nearest swing high (for shorts) or swing low (for longs).
* Take Profit: Exits are triggered when the price reaches the opposite Bollinger Band.
5. Order Expiration
Each pending order (long or short) expires after two days if unfilled, allowing for new setups on subsequent candles if conditions are met again.
Using the Trade Entry Detector
Step-by-Step Guide
1. Set the Primary Time Frame
The core calculations run on the daily time frame, but the strategy can be applied to intraday charts (e.g., 65-minute or 15-minute) for deeper insights.
2. Adjust Bollinger Band Settings
* Length: Default is 20, which determines the period for calculating the moving average.
* Standard Deviation Multiplier: Default is 2.0, which sets the width of the bands. Adjusting this can help you capture broader or tighter volatility ranges.
3. Define the Wick-to-Body Ratio
Set the minimum ratio between wick and body (default 1.0). Higher values filter out candles with less wick-to-body contrast, focusing on stronger rejection moves.
4. Choose Entry Fill Timing
Select your preferred fill condition:
* Daily Close: Confirms the trade at the end of the daily session.
* Daily Open: Executes the entry at the open of the next day.
* HOD/LOD: Uses the daily high or low as an additional confirmation for upward or downward moves.
5. Position Sizing and Risk Management
* Set your account balance and risk percentage. The strategy automatically calculates position sizes based on the stop distance to manage risk efficiently.
* Stop Loss and Take Profit points are automatically set based on swing highs/lows and opposing Bollinger Bands, respectively.
Practical Example
Let’s say SPY (S&P 500 ETF) tests the lower Bollinger Band on the daily time frame, with a lower wick that is twice the size of the body (meeting the 1.0 ratio threshold). Here’s how the strategy might proceed:
1. Signal: The lower wick on SPY suggests buying interest at the lower Bollinger Band.
2. Entry Fill Timing: If you’ve selected "Daily Open," the entry order will be placed at the next day's open price.
3. Stop Loss: Positioned at the nearest daily swing low to minimize risk.
4. Take Profit: If SPY price moves up and reaches the upper Bollinger Band, the position is automatically closed.
Indicator Features and Benefits
* Multi-Time Frame Compatibility: Perform daily analysis while tracking signals on any intraday chart.
* Automatic Position Sizing: Tailor risk per trade based on account balance and desired risk percentage.
* Flexible Entry Options: Choose from close, open, HOD, or LOD for optimal timing.
* Effective Trend Reversal Identification: Uses wick-to-body ratio and Bollinger Band interaction to pinpoint potential reversals.
* Dynamic Visualization: Bollinger Bands are displayed on your chosen time frame, allowing seamless intraday tracking.
Summary
The Trade Entry Detector provides a unique, data-driven way to spot reversal points with customizable entry options. By combining Bollinger Bands with wick-to-body ratio conditions, it identifies potential trade setups where price has tested extremes and shown reversal signals. With its flexible entry timing, risk management features, and multi-time frame compatibility, this indicator is ideal for traders looking to blend daily market context with shorter-term execution.
Tips for Usage:
* For swing trading, consider the Daily Open or Close entry options.
* For momentum entries, HOD or LOD may offer better alignment with the direction of the wick.
* Backtest on different assets to find optimal Bollinger Band and wick-to-body settings for your market.
Use this indicator to enhance your understanding of price behavior at key levels and improve the precision of your entry points. Happy trading!
Buffett Valuation Indicator [TradeDots]The Buffett Valuation Indicator (also known as the Buffett Index or Buffett Ratio) measures the ratio of the total United States stock market to GDP.
This indicator helps determine whether the valuation changes in US stocks are justified by the GDP level.
For example, the ratio is calculated based on the standard deviations from the historical trend line. If the value exceeds +2 standard deviations, it suggests that the stock market is overvalued relative to GDP, and vice versa.
This "Buffett Valuation Indicator" is an enhanced version of the original indicator. It applies a Bollinger Band over the Valuation/GDP ratio to identify overvaluation and undervaluation across different timeframes, making it efficient for use in smaller timeframes, e.g. daily or even hourly intervals.
HOW DOES IT WORK
The Buffett Valuation Indicator measures the ratio between US stock valuation and US GDP, evaluating whether stock valuations are overvalued or undervalued in GDP terms.
In this version, the total valuation of the US stock market is represented by considering the top 10 market capitalization stocks.
Users can customize this list to include other stocks for a more balanced valuation ratio. Alternatively, users may use S&P 500 ETFs, such as SPY or VOO, as inputs.
The ratio is plotted as a line chart in a separate panel below the main chart. A Bollinger Band with a default 100-period and multiples of 1 and 2 is used to identify overvaluation and undervaluation.
For instance, if the ratio line moves above the +2 standard deviation line, it indicates that stocks are overvalued, signaling a potential selling opportunity.
APPLICATION
When the indicator is applied to a chart, we observe the ratio line's movements relative to the standard deviation lines. The further the line deviates from the standard deviation lines, the more extreme the overvaluation or undervaluation.
We look for buying opportunities when the Buffett Index moves below the first and second standard deviation lines and sell opportunities when it moves above these lines. This indicator is used as a microeconomic confirmation tool, in combination with other indicators, to achieve higher win-rate setups.
RISK DISCLAIMER
Trading entails substantial risk, and most day traders incur losses. All content, tools, scripts, articles, and education provided by TradeDots serve purely informational and educational purposes. Past performances are not definitive predictors of future results.
Growth TrendThis powerful indicator plots the number of growth stocks in an uptrend, providing a comprehensive view of the market's overall direction. By applying a simple moving average, users can quickly gauge the trend and make informed trading decisions.
How does it work?
The script pulls tickers from the S & P 500 Growth ETF. It then plots the number of stocks from the ETF that are trending above a medium-term Moving Average, signaling an uptrend.
A moving average is applied to help understand the trend.
The background is shaded when 3 or more consecutive days are above (green) or below (red) the moving average.
Key Features:
Visual Trend Identification: The indicator shades the background green when three or more consecutive days are above the moving average, indicating a strong uptrend. Conversely, it shades red when three consecutive days are below the moving average, signaling a downtrend.
Breakout Insights: By tracking the trend, traders can identify when breakouts in growth stocks are more likely to occur or fail. This helps traders time their entries and exits more effectively.
Trend Strength Assessment: The indicator provides a quick visual assessment of the trend's strength, enabling traders to adjust their strategies accordingly.
Why is this indicator helpful?
Improved Trading Decisions: By understanding the overall trend and strength of growth stocks, traders can make more informed decisions about when to buy or sell.
Enhanced Risk Management: The indicator helps traders identify potential trend reversals, enabling them to adjust their positions and manage risk more effectively.
Market Insights: The Growth Stock Trend Indicator provides a valuable perspective on the market's overall direction, helping traders stay ahead of the curve.
By incorporating this indicator into their trading strategy, traders can gain a competitive edge and make more informed decisions in the growth stock market.
Concretum BandsDefinition
The Concretum Bands indicator recreates the Upper and Lower Bound of the Noise Area described in the paper "Beat the Market: An Effective Intraday Momentum Strategy for S&P500 ETF (SPY)" published by Concretum founder Zarattini, along with Barbon and Aziz, in May 2024.
Below we provide all the information required to understand how the indicator is calculated, the rationale behind it and how people can use it.
Idea Behind
The indicator aims to outline an intraday price region where the stock is expected to move without indicating any demand/supply imbalance. When the price crosses the boundaries of the Noise Area, it suggests a significant imbalance that may trigger an intraday trend.
How the Indicator is Calculated
The bands at time HH:MM are computed by taking the open price of day t and then adding/subtracting the average absolute move over the last n days from market open to minute HH:MM . The bands are also adjusted to account for overnight gaps. A volatility multiplier can be used to increase/decrease the width of the bands, similar to other well-known technical bands. The bands described in the paper were computed using a lookback period (length) of 14 days and a Volatility Multiplier of 1. Users can easily adjust these settings.
How to use the indicator
A trader may use this indicator to identify intraday moves that exceed the average move over the most recent period. A break outside the bands could be used as a signal of significant demand/supply imbalance.
Index investingThe Index Investing indicator simplifies decision-making for adding to Index ETF's Long-term investments. By utilizing a percentage discount methodology, it highlights potential opportunities to enhance portfolios. This straightforward tool aids in identifying favorable moments to invest based on calculated price discounts from selected reference points, making the process more systematic and less subjective.
🔶 SETTINGS
Reference Price: Choose between 'All-Time-High' or 'Start of the Year' as the basis for calculating discount levels. This allows for flexibility in strategy depending on market conditions or investment philosophy.
Discount 1 %, Discount 2 %, Discount 3 %: These inputs define the percentage below the reference price at which buy signals are generated. They represent strategic entry points at discounted prices.
🔶 Default Parameters
The default parameters of 4.13%, 8.26%, and 12.39% for the discount levels are chosen based on the average 5-year return of the NSE:NIFTY Index, which stands at approximately 12.39%. By dividing this return into three parts, we obtain a structured approach to capturing potential upside at varying levels of market retracement, providing a logical basis for the selected default values.
Users have the flexibility to modify these parameters, tailoring the indicator to fit their unique approach and market outlook.
🔶 How Levels Are Calculated
Discount levels are calculated using the formula: Discount Price = Reference Price * (1 - Discount %) . This succinct approach establishes specific entry points below the chosen reference, such as an all-time high or the year's start price.
🔶 How Are the Buy Labels Generated
Buy signals are generated when the market price(Low of the candle) crosses under any of the defined discount levels. Each level has a corresponding buy label ('Buy 1', 'Buy 2', 'Buy 3'), which is activated upon the price crossing below the specified discount level and is only reset at the beginning of a new year or upon reaching a new reference high, ensuring signals are not repetitive for the same price level.
🔶 Other Features
Alerts: The indicator provides alerts for each buy signal, notifying potential entry points at their defined discount levels. The alert triggers only once per candle.
Year Marker: A vertical line with an accompanying label marks the start of each trading year on the chart. This feature aids in visualizing the temporal context of buy signals and reference price adjustments.
PercenageDropFromATHINFO:
The PercenageDropFromATH script is fairly simple indicator, which is able to:
detect the last ATH (real ATH of the full chart, not related to the selected timeframe) and plot it
user can select a percentage of drop from this price, and once reached can receive a notification
Note that if the ATH is outside of the visibility of the currently selected timeframe the indicator will not be able to show it. Recommended settings is 1D TF!
DETAILS:
The purpose of the script is to serve to ease passive investments in ETFs and indices, once those are dropping below certain point from the ATH.
Individual stocks are not really recommended in my view, as unlike the indices which are cherry picking the best companies from the sector, individual companies can always start drifting away.
Anyway, the indicator should work on all assets, including crypto, gold, etc.
Example usage could be of setting an alert for 25% drop in SPY, and start accumulating positions on every next 10% additional drop, so DCA can be done with favorable prices.
SETTINGS
The settings are pretty straight forward:
ATH Source - source for computing the ATH, default to "high", but user can select to check only on open/close/low as well
Percentage drop target from ATH - self explaining, default to 20
ATH color - only the last ATH until the current bar is been drawn
Plot ATH drop target price - optionally the target price after the percentage drop can be plotted as well
ATH drop target color - the color of the price after the percentage drop from ATH
Variable Keltner Channel For DCAHello Everyone,
Sharing the indicator that I'm using for Dollar Cost Averaging into the stocks & ETFs in my portfolio.
Instead of entering regularly each month, entry only happens when the share price is below the indicator.
This indicator is based on Exponential Moving Average & Keltner Channel.
When 21 EMA is above 34 EMA, the line is 1 ATR below the 21 EMA. (green color)
When 21 EMA is below 34 EMA, the line is 2 ATR below the 21 EMA. (red color)
Exploring ways to refine this further, especially during sideways or transition to downtrend, do comment if you have any idea.
This strategy itself was based on SMA 50 strategy for DCA.
COSTAR [SS]This idea came to me after I wrote the post about Co-Integration and pair trading. I wondered if you could use pair trading principles as a way to determine overbought and oversold conditions in a more neutral way than RSI or Stochastics.
The results were promising and this indicator resulted :-)!
About:
COSTAR provides another, more neutral way to determine whether an equity is overbought or oversold.
Instead of relying on the traditional oscillator based ways, such as using RSI, Stochastics and MFI, which can be somewhat biased and narrow sided, COSTAR attempts to take a neutral, unbiased approached to determine overbought and oversold conditions. It does this through using a co-integrated partner, or "pair" that is closely linked to the underlying equity and succeeds on both having a high correlation and a high t-statistic on the ADF test. It then references this underlying, co-integrated partner as the "benchmark" for the co-integration relationship.
How this succeeds as being "unbiased" and "neutral" is because it is responsive to underlying drivers. If there is a market catalyst or just general bullish or bearish momentum in the market, the indicator will be referencing the integrated relationship between the two pairs and referencing that as a baseline. If there is a sustained rally on the integrated partner of the underlying ticker that is holding, but the other ticker is lagging, it will indicate that the other ticker is likely to be under-valued and thus "oversold" because it is underperforming its benchmark partner.
This is in contrast to traditional approaches to determining overbought and oversold conditions, which rely completely on a single ticker, with no external reference to other tickers and no control over whether the move could potentially be a fundamental move based on an industry or sector, or whether it is a fluke or a squeeze.
The control for this giving "false" signals comes from its extent of modelling and assessment of the degree of integration of the relationship. The parameters are set by default to assess over a 1 year period, both the correlation and the integration. Anything that passes this degree of integration is likely to have a solid, co-integrated state and not likely to be a "fluke". Thus, the reliability of the assessment is augmented by the degree of statistical significance found within the relationship. The indicator is not going to prompt you to rely on a relationship that is statistically weak, and will warn you of such.
The indicator will show you all the information you require regarding the relationship and whether it is reliable or not, so you do not need to worry!
How to Use
The first step to use COSTAR is identifying which ticker has a strong relationship with the current ticker. In the main chart, you will see that SPY is overlaid with VIX. There is a strong, negative correlation between the VIX and SPY. When VIX is entered as the paired ticker, the indicator returns the data as stationary, indicating a compatible match.
Now you have 3 ways of viewing this relationship, 2 of which are going to be directly applicable to trading.
You can view them as
Price to Price Ratio (Not very useful for trading, but if you are curious)
Z-Score: Helpful for trading
Co-integration: Helpful for trading
Here is an example of all three:
Example of Z-Score Chart:
Example of Price Ratio:
Example of Co-Integration Pair:
Using for Trading
As stated above, the two best ways to use this for trading is to either use the Z-Score Chart or the Co-Integrated Pair chart.
The Z-Score chart is based off of the price ratio data and provides an assessment of both the independent and dependent data.
The co-integration shows the dependent (the ticker you are trading) in yellow and the independent (the ticker you are referencing) in teal. When teal is above yellow, you will see it is green. This means, based on your benchmark pair, there is still more up room and the ticker you are trading is actually lagging behind.
When the yellow crosses up, it will turn red. This means that your ticker is out-performing the benchmark pair and you likely will see pullback and a "regression to the mean" through re-integration.
The indicator is capable of plotting out entries and exits, which are guided by the z-score:
How Effective is it?
I created a basic strategy in Pinescript, and the back-test results vary. Trading ES1! using NQ1! as the co-integrated pair, results were around 78% effective.
With VIX, results were around 50% effective, but with a net profit.
Generally, the efficacy surpassed that of both stochastics and RSI.
I will be releasing the strategy version of this in the coming days, still just cleaning up that code and making it more "public use" friendly.
Other Applications
If you are a pair trader, you can technically use this for pair trading as well. That's essentially all this is doing :-).
Tips
If you are trading a ticker such as MSFT, AMD, KO etc., it's best to try to find an ETF or index that has that particular ticker as a large holding and use that as your benchmark. You will see on the indicator whether there is a high correlation and whether the data is indeed stationary.
If the indicator returns "Non-stationary", you can attempt to extend your regression range from 252 to 500. If this fixes the issue, ensure that the correlation is still >= 0.5 or <= -0.5. If this does not work still, you will need to find another pair, as its likely the result of incompatibility and an insignificant relationship.
To help you identify tickers with strong relationships, consider using a correlation heatmap indicator. I have one available and I think there are a couple of other similar ish ones out there. You want to make sure the relationship is stable over time (a correlation of >= 0.50 or <= -0.5 over the past 252 to 500 days).
IMPORTANT: The long and short exits delete the signal after one is signaled. Therefore, when you look back in the chart you will notice there are no signals to exit long or short. That is because they signal as they happen. This is to keep the chart clean.
'Tis all my friends!
Hope you enjoy and let me know your questions and suggestions below!
Side note:
COSTAR stands for Co-integration Statistical Analysis and Regression. ;)
Expected Move by Option's Implied Volatility Symbols: EAT - GBDC
This script plots boxes to reflect weekly, monthly and yearly expected moves based on "At The Money" put and call option's implied volatility.
Symbols in range: This script will display Expected Move data for Symbols within the range of EAT-GDBC in alphabetical order.
Weekly Updates: Each weekend, the script is updated with fresh expected move data, a job that takes place every Saturday following the close of the markets on Friday.
In the provided script, several boxes are created and plotted on a price chart to represent the expected price moves for various timeframes.
These boxes serve as visual indicators to help traders and analysts understand the expected price volatility.
Definition of Expected Move: Expected Move refers to the anticipated range within which the price of an underlying asset is expected to move over a specific time frame, based on the current implied volatility of its options. Calculation: Expected Move is typically calculated by taking the current stock price and applying a multiple of the implied volatility. The most commonly used multiple is the one-standard-deviation move, which encompasses approximately 68% of potential price outcomes.
Example: Suppose a stock is trading at $100, and the implied volatility of its options is 20%. The one-standard-deviation expected move would be $100 * 0.20 = $20.
This suggests that there is a 68% probability that the stock's price will stay within a range of $80 to $120 over the specified time frame. Usage: Traders and investors use the expected move as a guideline for setting trading strategies and managing risk. It helps them gauge the potential price swings and make informed decisions about buying or selling options. There is a 68% chance that the underlying asset stock or ETF price will be within the boxed area at option expiry. The data on this script is updating weekly at the close of Friday, calculating the implied volatility for the week/month/year based on the "at the money" put and call options with the relevant expiry.
In summary, implied volatility reflects market expectations about future price volatility, especially in the context of options. Expected Move is a practical application of implied volatility, helping traders estimate the likely price range for an asset over a given period. Both concepts play a vital role in assessing risk and devising trading strategies in the options and stock markets.
SPDR TrackerMonitor all SPDR Index Funds in one location! The purpose of this indicator is to review which sectors are trend up vs down to better manage risk against SPY, other funds and/or individual stocks.
With this indicator it may become more apparent which sectors to begin investment in that are at lows compared to others, or use it to determine which stocks may be undervalued or overvalued against SPY.
There is a small table at the bottom where each fund symbol is presented along with it's mode value, last period change as well as last period volume - there's a tooltip that shows the description for each symbol for a quick reminder.
Review the configuration pane where:
Individual funds can have their visibility toggled
Change funds colors
Adjust display mode for each fund (SMA, EMA, VWMA, BBW, Change, ATR, VWAP - many more!)
Some presentation modes may look better on some timeframes vs others, adjust lengths and use anchor point for VWAP.
Future updates may bring about new features, I have some code organization and refactoring to do but wanted to share the idea anyways.
Feel free to drop any suggestions for feature enhancement and I hope it brings success to many, enjoy.
Seasonal Performance for Stocks & CryptoThe Seasonal Performance indicator quickly allows you to see if you are in a bullish or bearish time of year for an underlying security and where the current performance stacks up compared to the same time of year historically. Table is fully customizable from colors to what data to see.
Table Displays
Average Performance
Best Performance
Worst Performance
Last Performance
Current Performance
Note this indicator will only work with Stocks, ETF's, Index's or Crypto.
Custom Group Financials [Technimentals]This script allows the user to build custom groups and combine the same financial data from 40 different symbols simultaneously and plot it data as a total or as an average.
By default, the top 40 symbols in the QQQ are used. Between them they account for the majority of the index. This is a good workaround for the lack of ETF financial data in TradingView.
This functions much like any other financial indicator. You choose the financial data and period:
FY = Financial Year
FQ = Financial Quarter
TTM = Trailing Twelve Months
Bare in mind that some data only exists in FY data.
Thanks to @LucF for writing most of this code!
Enjoy!
ThiccZonesThis indicator is a formula that includes 4 different zones which are different sizes based on the ticker you decide to use. It was optimized for SPY and other market ETFs but works well for all stocks on the market. The formula puts a zone at the previous day's high and low, and the previous 5 day's high and low. These zones are meant to be used as support and resistance and can even overlap, creating a 'master zone'. This is different than other zone indicators because the formula for these zones is something I created myself and have been unable to find on here. I have had the most success using a 1-15 minute chart and using my zones for reversal areas. I often look for other indications of reversal as well that line up with the area of the zones. It can also be used on the break and retest of these zones. I have found that when a stock breaks one of these zones it will often retest and continue that trend.
XLY/XLP RatioThe XLY/XLP ratio is a financial indicator that measures the ratio between the two ETFs (Exchange Traded Funds) Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLY) and Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLP). This ratio is often used by traders and investors as a measure of the relative success of companies in the consumer goods and consumer services sectors.
A higher XLY/XLP ratio indicates that consumer confidence is higher and people are more willing to spend their money on non-essential items, such as entertainment or luxury goods (discretionary spending). A lower XLY/XLP ratio, on the other hand, indicates that consumer confidence is lower and people are more willing to spend their money on essential items like food and household items (staple spending).
The interpretation of the XLY/XLP ratio depends on the current market situation and the analysis of the economic and political factors that may influence consumption. If the XLY/XLP ratio rises, it could be an indication of a growing economy and increasing consumer sentiment. However, if it falls, it could be an indication of a weakening economy or declining consumer confidence.
It is important to note that the XLY/XLP indicator should not be used as the sole indicator to make trading decisions. It is advisable to also consider other indicators, such as technical and fundamental analysis, before making a decision.
SPX Fair Value Strategy UltimateThis is a strategy using the SPX Fair Value derived from Net Liquidity.
Net Liquidity function is simply: Fed Balance Sheet - Treasury General Account - Reverse Repo Balance
Formula for calculating the fair value of SPX using Net Liquidity looks like this: net_liquidity/1000000000/1.1 -1625
The SPX Fair Value is then subtracted from the SPX value which creates an oscillating diff value.
When diff is greater than 350, SPX is considered overbought and we go short/sell.
When diff is less than -150, SPX is considered oversold and we cover/buy.
The net liquidity values I calculate outside of TradingView. If you'd like the strategy to work for future dates, you'll need to update them.
Paremeters:
Strategy: Short Only, Long Only, Long/Short
Inverse (bool): check if using an inverse ETF to go long instead of short.
Start After Date: When the strategy should start trading
Close Date: Day to close open trades. I just like it to get complete results rather than the strategy ending with open trades.
