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Ghost Month HighlighterGhost Month and Trading: Understanding the Phenomenon Ghost Month (鬼月) is the seventh month of the lunar calendar in Chinese culture, typically falling between late July and September. During this period, it's believed that the gates of the afterlife open and spirits roam the earth. This deeply rooted cultural belief has significant implications for Asian markets, particularly in regions with large Chinese populations like Taiwan, Hong Kong, Singapore, and mainland China. Why Markets Often Decline or Stay Flat During Ghost Month: Reduced Business Activity : Many businesses avoid launching new products, signing major contracts, or making significant investments during this period, believing it brings bad luck. Property Market Slowdown : Real estate transactions drop significantly as people avoid moving homes or making large purchases. In some markets, property sales can decline by 20-30%. IPO and M&A Drought : Companies often delay IPOs and merger announcements until after Ghost Month, reducing market catalysts. Retail Spending Drops : Consumer spending on big-ticket items decreases, though spending on offerings and religious items increases. Self-Fulfilling Prophecy : Many traders and investors reduce positions or stay on the sidelines, creating lower volumes and increased volatility. This becomes a self-fulfilling prophecy where expectation of poor performance leads to actual underperformance. Tourism and Entertainment Impact : Travel and entertainment sectors see reduced activity as people avoid unnecessary trips and celebrations. Historical data shows that Asian equity markets often underperform during Ghost Month, with some studies indicating average returns can be 2-5% lower than other months. However, this also creates opportunities for contrarian investors who buy during the seasonal weakness. Inspired by @honey_xbt
Indicateur Pine Script®
par ThatDudeFreak
FunctionADFLibrary "FunctionADF" Augmented Dickey-Fuller test (ADF), The ADF test is a statistical method used to assess whether a time series is stationary – meaning its statistical properties (like mean and variance) do not change over time. A time series with a unit root is considered non-stationary and often exhibits non-mean-reverting behavior, which is a key concept in technical analysis. Reference: - - rtmath.net - en.wikipedia.org adftest(data, n_lag, conf)   : Augmented Dickey-Fuller test for stationarity.   Parameters:      data (array) : Data series.      n_lag (int) : Maximum lag.      conf (string) : Confidence Probability level used to test for critical value, (`90%`, `95%`, `99%`).   Returns: `adf` The test statistic. \ `crit` Critical value for the test statistic at the 10 % levels. \ `nobs` Number of observations used for the ADF regression and calculation of the critical values.
Bibliothèque Pine Script®
par RicardoSantos
8
EUR/USD Multi-Layer Statistical Regression StrategyStrategy Overview This advanced EUR/USD trading system employs a triple-layer linear regression framework with statistical validation and ensemble weighting. It combines short, medium, and long-term regression analyses to generate high-confidence directional signals while enforcing strict risk controls. Core Components Multi-Layer Regression Engine: Parallel regression analysis across 3 customizable timeframes (short/medium/long) Projects future price values using prediction horizons Statistical significance filters (R-squared, correlation, slope thresholds) Signal Validation System: Lookback validation tests historical prediction accuracy Ensemble weighting of layer signals (adjustable influence per timeframe) Confidence scoring combining statistical strength, layer agreement, and validation accuracy Risk Management: Position sizing scaled by signal confidence (1%-100% of equity) Daily loss circuit breaker (halts trading at user-defined threshold) Forex-tailored execution (pip slippage, percentage-based commissions) Visual Intelligence: Real-time regression line plots (3 layered colors) Projection markers for short-term forecasts Background coloring for market bias indication Comprehensive statistics dashboard (R-squared metrics, validation scores, P&L) Key Parameters Category Settings Regression Short/Med/Long lengths (20/50/100 bars) Statistics Min R² (0.65), Correlation (0.7), Slope (0.0001) Validation 30-bar lookback, 10-bar projection Risk Controls 50% position size, 12% daily loss limit, 75% confidence threshold Trading Logic Entries require: Ensemble score > |0.5| Confidence > threshold Short & medium-term significance Active daily loss limit not breached Exits triggered by: Opposite high-confidence signals Daily loss limit violation (emergency exit) The strategy blends quantitative finance techniques with practical trading safeguards, featuring a self-optimizing design where signal quality directly impacts position sizing. The visual dashboard provides real-time feedback on model performance and market conditions.
Stratégie Pine Script®
par ZeroDayGray
CCI-MACD Strategy 4.2 I cerchi si basano sull'oscillatore CCI (Commodity Channel Index). L’indicatore CCI ci permette di osservare se il livello attuale del prezzo è particolarmente al di sopra o al di sotto di una certa media mobile, avente un numero di periodi scelto da noi. Più la deviazione dal prezzo medio nel breve termine è forte, e maggiormente l’indicatore si allontanerà dallo 0: verso l’alto in caso di uptrend, o verso il basso in caso di downtrend. Il segnale viene dato quando il valore del CCI supera la linea dello zero. Il tutto è filtrato con un altro indicatore, il MACD, acronimo di "Moving Average Convergence Divergence", usato per identificare cambiamenti nel momentum del prezzo. The circles are based on the CCI (Commodity Channel Index) oscillator. The CCI indicator allows us to observe whether the current price level is significantly above or below a certain moving average, with a number of periods chosen by us. The greater the deviation from the short-term average price, the further the indicator will deviate from 0: upwards in the case of an uptrend, or downwards in the case of a downtrend. The signal is given when the CCI value crosses the zero line. This is all filtered through another indicator, the MACD, which stands for "Moving Average Convergence Divergence," used to identify changes in price momentum.
Stratégie Pine Script®
par jake_theboss
1
R Manager PRO++ – Multi-Setup Risk/Reward ToolDescription The R Manager PRO++ V1.3d is an advanced risk/reward management tool designed for traders who want to visually plan, track, and manage multiple trade setups directly on their charts. This script allows you to plot up to three independent setups (A, B, and C) simultaneously. For each setup, you can manually input your Entry and Stop Loss levels, and the tool will automatically calculate and display R-multiple levels (1R to 5R), providing a clear overview of your potential profit targets. Key Features Multi-Setup Management (A, B, C) Track up to three separate trades at the same time, each with individual colors and controls. Manual Entry & Stop Loss Input Enter your trade levels manually for flexible usage across any market or strategy. Automatic R-Multiple Calculation (1R to 5R) The indicator automatically draws lines and labels for 1R to 5R targets based on your risk distance. Live R Display Real-time calculation of your current R multiple, updating with every price move. Custom Symbol Selection Link each setup to a specific symbol (e.g., EURUSD, XAUUSD, NAS100) to manage multiple markets without clutter. Reset Function One-click reset button to quickly clear individual setups. Alerts for Reached R-Levels Receive alerts when price reaches each R level (1R to 5R) to monitor trades without constant chart-watching. How to Use - Select Entry and Stop Loss levels manually in the input panel. - Choose the symbol for each setup (supports Forex, Indices, Gold). - Enable or disable setups individually with the Activate checkbox. - Optional: Use the Reset button to clear a setup quickly. - Monitor R-multiples visually and via alerts as price evolves. Suitable For - Swing traders - Day traders - Risk-based trading strategies (R-multiples) - Multi-market portfolio management
Indicateur Pine Script®
par Marvin_Brh
Red Folder News Pass Your Eval [HERMAN]Red Folder News Levels This indicator provides visual reference levels around high-impact economic news events (commonly called “red folder” news) to help traders prepare for potential market volatility. It is strictly educational and informational and does not place trades or guarantee any results. What This Indicator Does: -Plots dynamic price reference levels above and below the current market price. -Displays Take Profit (TP) reference levels a fixed distance from the entry levels. Shows optional on-chart tables: Instruction Table – summarizes how to interpret the plotted levels. Red Folder News Table – lists key economic events (CPI, NFP, FOMC, ISM, etc.) and ranks them by typical market impact. Visual Elements on the Chart: -Green Dashed Line → Upper reference level (potential long-side zone). -Solid Green Line → Take-profit reference above the green dashed line. -Red Dashed Line → Lower reference level (potential short-side zone). -Solid Red Line → Take-profit reference below the red dashed line. These levels update dynamically with each new bar, allowing you to see real-time visual guides around market-moving news releases. Settings & What They Do: -Entry Settings -Manual Entry Offset (pts) Distance in points above and below the current price to place the dashed reference levels. Example: 4.0 means the green/red dashed lines appear 4 points above and below the current market price. Instruction Table Show Instruction Table (true/false) If enabled, displays a step-by-step usage table on the top-right of the chart. Explains how to interpret the visual levels in a simple flow. Red Folder News Table Show Red Folder News Table (true/false) If enabled, displays a reference list of high-impact economic events on the bottom-right of the chart. Events are ranked by market impact (⭐ to ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐). Theme Settings Table Theme (Dark/Light) Switch between a dark or light theme for all on-chart tables. Adjusts the background and text colors to improve visibility depending on your chart style. Note: The TP distance is fixed at 32 points and is automatically calculated from the entry lines. How to Use (Educational Only) Add the indicator to your chart and set your preferred Manual Entry Offset. Check the Red Folder News Table to know which events typically generate higher volatility. Observe the visual levels before high-impact economic releases. Use them purely as reference zones for your own manual analysis and risk management. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This script is for educational and informational purposes only. It does not execute trades, provide financial advice, or guarantee performance. Always trade responsibly and use your own judgment and risk management. This description: ✅ Explains logic, visuals, and settings ✅ Avoids buy/sell instructions and profit promises ✅ Meets TradingView House Rules
Indicateur Pine Script®
par helmans13
Previous Day Levels (High, Low, Open, Close)This TradingView Pine Script indicator plots the previous day’s price levels (High, Low, Open, and Close) as horizontal rays that extend across the current trading day. Green lines mark the Previous Day High and Previous Day Low. Yellow lines mark the Previous Day Open and Previous Day Close. Labels are automatically displayed at the right edge of the chart, positioned above each line, making it easy to identify the corresponding level in real time. The levels are updated daily and always begin at the start of the current day, ensuring that they cover the entire intraday session. This tool helps traders quickly visualize key support and resistance levels from the previous trading day and incorporate them into intraday strategies.
Indicateur Pine Script®
par jorgeadrianvigu
1